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NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD | Monthly Chart Breakout📊 NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD (NSE: NAZARA) | Monthly Chart Breakout 📅 Date: June 1, 2025 📈 CMP: ₹1,295.10 (+28.04%) 📌 Ticker: NSE:NAZARA 📉 Chart Pattern Insight 🔥 Cup & Handle + Falling Wedge Breakout Nazara Tech has broken out of a strong Cup & Handle pattern, reinforced by a Falling Wedge breakout — a powerful confluence suggesting a major trend reversal. 🎯 Breakout is confirmed with high volume and a clean monthly candle close above key resistances. 📐 Fibonacci Retracement Levels (From High ₹1678 to Low ₹477) 🔸 38.2% – ₹935.85 (was resistance, now flipped to support) 🔸 50% – ₹1,077.55 🔸 61.8% – ₹1,219.25 (just surpassed – strong bullish confirmation) 🧭 100% – ₹1,678 (All-Time High) 📊 Indicator: RSI + Moving Average Cross (Icon shown) 🔍 RSI is at 71.63 and rising sharply, indicating strong momentum 🔺 RSI crossover above MA confirms bullish strength and trend continuation 🧱 Volume Spike 📈 Volume this month is multi-month high, validating the breakout 🔑 Key Levels Support: ₹935 (prior resistance, now retest zone) Immediate Resistance: ₹1,300 (psychological), ₹1,400 Target Zones: Short-Term: ₹1,450 Medium-Term: ₹1,600+ Long-Term: Retest of All-Time High ₹1,678+ 🛡️ SL: ₹935 (monthly close basis) 📌 Trading Plan Entry: Pullback near ₹1,220–₹1,250 or breakout retest SL: ₹935 (below 38.2%) Target: ₹1,450 / ₹1,600+ Time Frame: Positional – Multi-week to multi-month ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.
NSE:NAZARALong
by PriceAction_Pulse
KIRLPNU: Technical Breakout Attempt That Could Deliver 25% ReturNSE:KIRLPNU : A Technical Breakout Attempt That Could Deliver 25% Returns Price Action Analysis: - Current Price: Rs 1,511.20 - Day's High: Rs 1,817.00 - Day's Low: Rs 953.00 - Volume: 152.69K shares Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Profile: - Significant volume spike during recent breakout attempt - Volume during consolidation was relatively lower - Current volume suggests institutional buying - Volume trend supports price movement authenticity Volume Indicators: - Volume surge above 20-day average confirms breakout attempt - Price-volume divergence absent, indicating a healthy move - The accumulation phase is visible in the volume profile during base formation Key Technical Observations: - The stock has shown a strong upward momentum with a significant gap-up movement - Price has moved from the consolidation zone around Rs 1,350-1,400 to the current levels - Strong volume surge indicating institutional participation - Daily candlestick pattern shows bullish momentum with long green candles Technical Levels & Pattern Analysis: Support Levels: - Immediate Support: Rs 1,350-1,380 (previous resistance turned support) - Strong Support: Rs 1,250-1,300 (multiple touch points) - Major Support: Rs 1,100-1,150 (significant accumulation zone) Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: Rs 1,550-1,580 (red horizontal line marked on chart) - Next Resistance: Rs 1,650-1,700 (psychological level) - Major Resistance: Rs 1,800-1,850 (day's high region) Base Formation: - Multi-month base formation visible from December 2024 to June 2025 - Consolidation range: Rs 1,100 to Rs 1,400 - Base breakout occurred around Rs 1,380-1,400 levels - Volume expansion during breakout confirms strength Technical Patterns: - Cup and Handle pattern completion with breakout attempt - Ascending triangle formation during the consolidation phase - Bullish flag pattern on shorter timeframes - Higher highs and higher lows trend intact Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: - Primary Entry: Rs 1,480-1,520 (current market price on dips) - Secondary Entry: Rs 1,350-1,380 (on pullback to support) - Aggressive Entry: Rs 1,540-1,560 (breakout continuation) Target Levels: - Target 1: Rs 1,650-1,700 (8-12% upside) - Target 2: Rs 1,800-1,850 (18-22% upside) - Target 3: Rs 1,950-2,000 (25-30% upside) Stop Loss Levels: - Conservative Stop Loss: Rs 1,320 (below major support) - Aggressive Stop Loss: Rs 1,420 (below immediate support) - Trailing Stop Loss: Rs 1,480 (after first target achievement) Risk Management: Position Sizing: - Conservative traders: 2-3% of portfolio - Moderate traders: 4-5% of portfolio - Aggressive traders: 6-8% of portfolio - Risk per trade should not exceed 1-2% of total capital Risk Assessment: - Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 to 1:3 (favorable) - Maximum drawdown potential: 12-15% - Probability of success: 65-70% based on technical setup Money Management Rules: - Never risk more than 2% of capital per trade - Use position sizing based on stop loss distance - Maintain diversification across sectors - Book partial profits at predetermined levels Sectoral Backdrop: Industry Overview: - NSE:KIRLPNU is engaged in the manufacturing and service of engineering goods, operating through the Compression Systems Segment, comprising air and gas compressors, air-conditioning and refrigeration - Industrial air compressor market to grow at 8.2% CAGR (2023-2033) with market share to reach US$6.86 Billion by 2033 Market Dynamics: - India Air Compressor Market is forecast to reach $995 million by 2030, after growing at a CAGR of 5.2% during 2024-2030 - Manufacturing is expected to contribute 39.1% share of the market in 2025, as the industry relies heavily on compressed air for pneumatic tools Growth Drivers: - Increasing industrialization and infrastructure development - Rising demand from the manufacturing and automotive sectors - Energy-efficient compressor adoption - Government initiatives supporting industrial growth Fundamental Backdrop: Financial Performance: - Market Cap: 9,797 Crore with Revenue of 1,629 Cr and Profit of 211 Cr - Revenue: ₹583Cr as on March 2025 (Q4 FY25) with Net Profit: ₹81Cr - Annual revenue growth of 23% is outstanding, Pre-tax margin of 17% is great, ROE of 21.1% is exceptional, ROCE of 28.3% is also exceptional Key Metrics: - The stock is trading at 8.95 times its book value - The company is debt-free and has a strong balance sheet, enabling stable earnings growth - Promoter holding has decreased over the last 3 years: -14.8% with current Promoter Holding: 38.85% Analyst Outlook: - Recent research reports show an average share price target of 1784 - Strong financial metrics support technical breakout - Debt-free status provides financial flexibility - Consistent profitability across business cycles Investment Thesis Summary: Bullish Factors: - Strong technical breakout attempt with volume confirmation - Robust financial performance with 23.14% revenue growth - Favourable industry growth prospects - Debt-free balance sheet providing stability Risk Factors: - General market volatility - Sector-specific cyclical risks - Global economic uncertainties - Promoter holding reduction trend My Take: NSE:KIRLPNU presents a compelling technical setup with strong fundamental backing. The recent breakout attempt from multi-month consolidation, supported by volume surge and positive sector outlook, creates an attractive risk-reward opportunity for medium-term investors. The company's strong financial metrics and debt-free status add confidence to the technical setup. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:KIRLPNULong
by Karanshah137
14
LIC Housing Finance cmp 637.05 by Daily Chart viewLIC Housing Finance cmp 637.05 by Daily Chart view - Support Zone 600 to 625 Price Band - Resistance Zone 660 to 685 Price Band - Rising Support Trendline seen well respected - Volumes have spiked heavily today by demand based buying - Breakout seemingly sustained for Double Falling Resistance Trendlines - Support Zone acting as neckline for Multiple Bullish Technical Chart patterns - Most common Technical Indicators BB, EMA, MACD, RSI, SAR trending positively - Bullish Rounding Bottoms with considerate Cup & Handle and a faintly observant Head & Shoulders too
NSE:LICHSGFIN
by PIYUSHCHAVDA
PPLPHARMA: 8 Month Slopping Downwards Trendline BreakoutNSE:PPLPHARMA : This Pharma Stock Broke Out of Its Descending Triangle Prison Price Action: - Current Price: ₹216.22 (as of July 15, 2025) - 52-week Range: ₹181.73 - ₹307.90 - The stock has been in a clear descending triangle pattern since November 2024 - Price has been consistently making lower highs while finding support around the ₹190-200 zone - Recent price action shows signs of consolidation near the apex of the triangle Volume Spread Analysis: - Average daily volume: 4.68M shares - Volume spikes were observed during significant price movements in November 2024 and March 2025 - Recent volume has been relatively subdued, indicating a lack of conviction in either direction - Volume pattern suggests an accumulation phase with periodic distribution Key Technical Levels: Support Levels: - Primary Support: ₹190-200 (multiple tests, strong base) - Secondary Support: ₹181.73 (52-week low) - Psychological Support: ₹175-180 zone Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: ₹230-240 (descending trendline) - Secondary Resistance: ₹250-260 (previous swing high) - Major Resistance: ₹280-290 (November 2024 high) Base Formation: - The stock has formed a solid base between ₹190-220 over the past 4 months - This base represents a potential accumulation zone for institutional investors - The horizontal support at ₹200 has been tested multiple times, showing its significance Technical Patterns: - Primary Pattern: Descending Triangle - Secondary Pattern: Potential Cup and Handle formation if the stock breaks above ₹240 - The descending triangle spans approximately 8 months, making it a significant pattern Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: - Breakout Entry: Buy above ₹240 with volume confirmation - Support Entry: Buy near ₹200-205 for swing trade - Conservative Entry: Wait for weekly close above ₹245 for momentum play Exit Levels: - Short-term Target: ₹260-270 - Medium-term Target: ₹290-300 - Long-term Target: ₹350-380 Stop-Loss Levels: - For breakout trades: ₹225 (below breakdown level) - For support trades: ₹185 (below 52-week low) - Trailing stop: 8-10% below entry price Position Sizing: - Risk per trade: Maximum 2% of portfolio - For ₹240 entry with ₹225 stop: Position size = (Portfolio × 0.02) / 15 - Suggested allocation: 1-2% of total portfolio for this trade Risk Management: - Maximum holding period: 3-6 months - Review position if stock fails to break ₹240 within 4 weeks - Partial profit booking at ₹270 (book 50% position) - Trail stop-loss after first target achievement Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop: Sectoral Analysis: - The India Pharmaceutical Market size is estimated at USD 66.66 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 88.86 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 5.92% during the forecast period (2025-2030) - India's pharmaceutical industry ranks third globally in pharmaceutical production by volume and 14th by value, supported by a well-established domestic sector comprising approximately 3,000 drug companies and over 10,000 custom manufacturing units - The Indian pharmaceuticals industry is expected to grow 9-11% in the financial year 2024, as per ICRA - The biosimilars market in India is expected to grow at a CAGR of 22%, reaching USD 12 billion by 2025, representing nearly 20% of the country's pharmaceutical market Company Fundamentals: - Market Cap: 28,745 Crore (up 42.2% in 1 year), Revenue: 9,151 Cr, Profit: 91.1 Cr - Stock is trading at 3.53 times its book value - The company has a low interest coverage ratio, Promoter Holding: 34.94% - The P/E ratio of Piramal Pharma Ltd is 324 times as on 15-July-2025, a 651% premium to its peers' median range of 33.45 times Business Overview: - The company has a 49% ownership interest in a joint venture with Allergan India Pvt. Ltd (Avvyie, a US pharmaceutical company, holds a 51% ownership interest), which is one of the leading pharmaceutical companies in Ophthalmology formulations in India - Strong presence in glaucoma and dry eye treatments - Diversified portfolio across multiple therapeutic areas Analyst Targets: - Recent research reports show an average share price target of 253 - The estimated share price target for 2025 can range from ₹198 to ₹350 Investment Thesis: Bullish Factors: - Strong sectoral tailwinds with the Indian pharma market growing at 5.92% CAGR - Solid base formation indicating institutional accumulation - Reasonable valuation compared to growth prospects - Strategic partnership with Allergan provides a competitive advantage Risk Factors: - A high P/E ratio indicates expensive valuation - A low interest coverage ratio suggests financial stress - Regulatory changes in the pharmaceutical sector My Take: NSE:PPLPHARMA presents a mixed technical picture with a descending triangle pattern Breakout but strong support base. The stock is at a crucial juncture where a breakout above ₹240 could lead to significant upside, while a breakdown below ₹190 would confirm further weakness. Given the positive sectoral outlook and the company's strategic positioning, a breakout trade above ₹240 with proper risk management offers favorable risk-reward ratio. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:PPLPHARMALong
by Karanshah137
19
Rossari: Ready to Break Out from Multi-Month ConsolidationNSE:ROSSARI : Hidden Gem Ready to Break Out from Multi-Month Consolidation - My Technical Analysis & Trade Setup on this beautiful Chart Structure Price Action: - Stock has been in a prolonged consolidation phase since March 2025, after a significant decline from highs near 970 levels - Current price action shows the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern with converging trend lines - Recent price movement indicates a potential breakout attempt with increased volume participation - The stock has found strong support around 580-600 levels and resistance near the 720-740 zone Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Characteristics: - Volume has been declining during the consolidation phase, which is typical for triangle patterns - Recent sessions show increasing volume participation, suggesting institutional interest - Volume spike during recent upward movement indicates genuine buying interest - Average volume appears to be around 300-400K shares, with recent pickup to 620K+ Volume Confirmation Signals: - Higher volume on up days compared to down days in recent sessions - Volume expansion during the recent breakout attempt - Accumulation pattern visible in volume profile during base formation Base Formation: - Primary base formation: Large consolidation base formed between 580-740 levels over 7+ months - Base characteristics: Symmetrical triangle with higher lows - Base depth: Approximately 27% from resistance to support levels - Time duration: An Extended 7-month base suggests a strong accumulation phase Key Support and Resistance Levels: - Immediate Support: 680-690 (recent swing low) - Major Support: 580-600 (tested multiple times, strong buying interest) - Immediate Resistance: 720-740 (upper trend line of triangle) - Major Resistance: 800-820 (previous significant resistance zone) - Ultimate Resistance: 900-920 (prior consolidation area) Technical Patterns: - Primary Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle - Secondary Pattern: Potential Cup and Handle formation within the larger triangle - Volume Pattern: Decreasing volume during consolidation with recent pickup suggesting breakout preparation - Price compression: Narrowing price range indicates imminent directional move Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: - Primary Entry: On breakout above 720-725 with volume confirmation - Secondary Entry: On pullback to 700-705 levels after successful breakout - Aggressive Entry: Current levels around 704-706 for risk-tolerant traders Exit Levels: - Target 1: 760-770 (measured move from triangle base) - Target 2: 800-820 (previous resistance zone) - Target 3: 860-880 (extended target based on base depth) - Ultimate Target: 920-950 (full triangle breakout target) Stop-Loss Strategy: - Conservative Stop-Loss: Below 680 (recent swing low) - Aggressive Stop-Loss: Below 695 (intraday support) - Trailing Stop: Move to breakeven once Target 1 is achieved Position Sizing: - Risk per trade: Maximum 2% of portfolio - Position size calculation: Based on stop-loss distance from entry - For entry at 705 with stop at 680: Risk of 25 points allows for appropriate position sizing - Recommended allocation: 3-5% of portfolio for medium-term holding Risk Management: - Maximum drawdown tolerance: 3-4% from entry point - Partial profit booking at each target level (25% at each target) - Trailing stop-loss implementation after achieving Target 1 - Time-based exit if no progress within 3-4 weeks Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop: Sector Overview: - The speciality chemicals sector is showing resilience in the current market conditions - Increasing demand for sustainable and eco-friendly chemical solutions - The government push for domestic manufacturing under PLI schemes - Growing export opportunities in the speciality chemicals space Company Fundamentals: - Business Profile: Speciality chemicals manufacturer focusing on home, personal care, and fabric care segments - Revenue Growth: Consistent growth trajectory in recent quarters - Market Position: Strong presence in domestic market with expanding export footprint - Product Portfolio: Diversified range of speciality chemicals and ingredients Industry Tailwinds: - Increasing consumer spending on personal care products - Growing demand for sustainable and biodegradable chemical products - Import substitution opportunities in speciality chemicals - Rising per capita income is driving demand for quality personal care products Fundamental Catalysts: - New product launches and capacity expansions - Strategic partnerships and collaborations - Improving operational efficiency and margin expansion - Strong balance sheet supporting growth investments Risk Factors: Technical Risks: - Failure to sustain above 720 levels could lead to further consolidation - Breakdown below 680 could trigger deeper correction to 600-620 levels - Low liquidity may result in higher volatility during a breakout Fundamental Risks: - Raw material price inflation is impacting margins - Competitive pressure from larger players - Regulatory changes affecting product approvals - Currency fluctuation impact on export revenues My Take: NSE:ROSSARI presents an attractive risk-reward setup with a well-defined technical pattern and strong fundamental backdrop. The extended consolidation phase suggests substantial energy is building up for the next directional move. With proper risk management and disciplined execution, this setup offers multiple target levels for profit booking while maintaining manageable downside risk. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:ROSSARILong
by Karanshah137
10
Vascon Engineers cmp 55.70 by Weekly Chart viewVascon Engineers cmp 55.70 by Weekly Chart view - Support Zone 49.50 to 53.50 Price Band - Resistance Zone 49.50 to 53.50 Price Band - Volumes are getting close to average traded quantity - Common Technical Indicators BB, EMA, SAR, MACD, RSI indicating positive trend - Multiple Bullish Technical Chart patterns have emerged on the Daily and Weekly Charts - Rounding Bottom, Head & Shoulders, Cup & Handle, VCP, as one may observe and interpret
NSE:VASCONEQ
by PIYUSHCHAVDA
AHLUCONT: Rising Wedge pattern formationNSE:AHLUCONT Rising from the Ashes: How This Construction Giant is Trying to Break Out of Its Year-Long Consolidation Pattern. Let's Analyze Price Action Analysis: • The stock is displaying a classic Rising Wedge pattern formation over the past several months • Current price of ₹1,037.70 represents a +54.00 gain (+5.49%) from the previous close • The stock has established a strong base formation around the ₹620-650 levels as indicated by the low marker • Multiple higher lows have been formed along the rising trendline, demonstrating buying interest at progressively higher levels • The pattern shows a narrowing price range as it approaches the apex, typical of wedge formations Volume Spread Analysis: • Volume has been relatively subdued during the consolidation phase, which is characteristic of wedge patterns • Recent session shows increased volume at 349.26K compared to the average, suggesting institutional participation • Volume spikes appear to coincide with key support and resistance tests, indicating active participation at critical levels Key Technical Levels: Support Levels: • Primary Support: ₹950-970 (recent breakout level) • Secondary Support: ₹850-880 (previous consolidation zone) • Major Support: ₹620-650 (base formation area) Resistance Levels: • Immediate Resistance: ₹1,050-1,070 (psychological level) • Key Resistance: ₹1,100-1,120 (pattern target) • Major Resistance: ₹1,300-1,337 (52-week high zone) Technical Patterns: • Rising Wedge Pattern: The stock has formed a rising wedge over several months, which typically indicates a continuation pattern in an uptrend • Base Formation: A solid base has been established in the ₹620-650 range, providing strong support for future moves Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: • Primary Entry: ₹1,040-1,050 (current levels with momentum confirmation) • Secondary Entry: ₹980-1,000 (on any retracement to support) • Breakout Entry: Above ₹1,070 with volume confirmation Exit Strategy: • Target 1: ₹1,120-1,150 (short-term target) • Target 2: ₹1,200-1,250 (medium-term target) • Target 3: ₹1,300+ (long-term target based on pattern projection) Risk Management: • Stop Loss: ₹950 (below recent support and breakout level) • Position Size: Risk 1-2% of portfolio per trade • Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2 for all entries Position Sizing Guidelines: • Conservative investors: 2-3% of portfolio • Moderate risk takers: 4-5% of portfolio • Aggressive traders: 6-8% of portfolio (not recommended to exceed this) Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop: Company Overview: • Ahluwalia Contracts has a market cap of ₹6,936 crore with promoter holding at 55.32% • The company reported revenue of ₹4,099 crore and profit of ₹202 crore • Recent quarterly results show revenue of ₹1,215.84 crore and net profit of ₹83.33 crore for Q4 FY25 Sector Outlook: • The infrastructure boom is set to lead India to become the third-largest construction market by 2025 • Government has bolstered capital expenditure by 11.1% to $133 billion for fiscal year 2024-25, equivalent to 3.4% of GDP • The India Infrastructure Sector Market is expected to reach USD 190.70 billion in 2025 and grow at a CAGR of 8% to reach USD 280.60 billion by 2030 Government Support: • Budget 2025-26 allocates INR 11.21 lakh crore for the infrastructure sector • The FY2025–26 Budget outlines major allocations with INR 2.9 trillion for the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, and INR 2.6 trillion for the Ministry of Railways Growth Drivers: • The flourishing housing market, coupled with the government's sustained and massive infrastructure push, has driven construction market growth • Government-led initiatives aimed at advancing infrastructure are driving the Indian construction market growth during the forecast period • The India Construction Market is projected to register a CAGR of greater than 6% during the forecast period (2025-2030) Investment Rationale: Bullish Factors: • Strong technical breakout on cards from a well-defined pattern • Robust government spending on infrastructure development • The company's established market position in the construction sector • Healthy financial metrics with consistent profitability Risk Factors: • Contingent liabilities of ₹1,963 crore present a concern • Dividend payout has been low at 1.42% of profits over the last 3 years • General market volatility could impact sector performance • Execution risks in large infrastructure projects My Take: The stock presents a compelling technical setup with strong fundamental support from the government's infrastructure push. The rising wedge breakout, combined with increased volume and supportive sector dynamics, makes it an attractive investment opportunity for medium to long-term investors. However, strict adherence to stop-loss levels and position sizing guidelines is essential for risk management. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:AHLUCONTLong
by Karanshah137
14
Ugro Capital cmp 180.50 by the Weekly Chart view since listedUgro Capital cmp 180.50 by the Weekly Chart view since listed - Support Zone 161 to 172 Price Band - Resistance Zone 194 to 205 Price Band - Bullish Rounding Bottom 1st done and 2nd in completion stage - Resistance Zone neckline will be a decent hurdle to cross for fresh breakout - Volumes surging heavily by demand based buying and well above avg traded quantity - Majority of the Technical Indicators of BB, EMA, SAR, SuperTrend, MACD, RSI are seen in positive trend
NSE:UGROCAP
by PIYUSHCHAVDA
2
PEL: Perfect Cup & Handle Breakout That Could Double Your MoneyNSE:PEL : The Perfect Cup & Handle Breakout That Could Double Your Money? Let's Analyse Price Action Analysis: • Stock has formed a classic Cup & Handle pattern over approximately 8 months (Dec 2024 to July 2025) • The "cup" formation shows a rounded bottom with the low around ₹850-900 levels in March 2025 • Current breakout above the handle resistance at ₹1,200 levels with strong momentum • Price has surged from ₹1,158.70 to ₹1,217.50 with a healthy 4.69% gain on breakout day • The handle formation shows controlled consolidation with lower volumes, indicating accumulation Volume Spread Analysis: • Volume spike of 2.51M shares on breakout day, significantly higher than the 20-day average • During the cup formation, volume was relatively subdued, showing smart money accumulation • The breakout volume of 556.96K is substantial, confirming the validity of the pattern • Volume profile shows institutional participation during the base-building phase Key Support and Resistance Levels: • Primary Support: ₹1,150-1,160 (previous handle resistance now acting as support) • Secondary Support: ₹1,100-1,120 (handle low) • Major Support: ₹1,000-1,020 (cup rim level) • Immediate Resistance: ₹1,240-1,250 • Major Resistance: ₹1,275 (all-time high) • Target Resistance: ₹1,400-1,450 (measured move from cup depth) Base Formation: • 8-month base formation from Dec 2024 to July 2025 • Base depth: Approximately 35-40% from highs to lows • Constructive base with multiple retests of support levels • Base shows characteristics of institutional accumulation with controlled selling pressure Technical Patterns: Cup & Handle Pattern: • Perfect textbook Cup & Handle formation with 8-month duration • Cup depth of approximately ₹400 (from ₹1,240 to ₹850) • Handle formed over 6-8 weeks with declining volume • Breakout above ₹1,200 with expanding volume confirms pattern completion • Measured target: ₹1,600+ (adding cup depth to breakout level) Additional Patterns: • Ascending triangle formation within the handle • Multiple higher lows during the recovery phase • Bullish flag pattern preceding the final breakout • Volume price confirmation throughout the pattern development Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: • Aggressive Entry: ₹1,210-1,220 (on breakout confirmation) • Conservative Entry: ₹1,180-1,190 (on pullback to breakout level) • Scale-in Entry: 50% at ₹1,210, 50% at ₹1,190 if pullback occurs • Entry should be accompanied by volume expansion above 1.5x average Exit Strategy: • Target 1: ₹1,320-1,340 (8-10% upside) • Target 2: ₹1,450-1,480 (20-25% upside) • Target 3: ₹1,600-1,650 (pattern target, 35-40% upside) • Partial profit booking at each target level (33% each) Stop-Loss Management: • Initial Stop-Loss: ₹1,150 (below handle support) • Trailing Stop-Loss: Move to breakeven once Target 1 is achieved • Progressive Stop-Loss: ₹1,250 after Target 1, ₹1,350 after Target 2 • Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 minimum for the trade setup Risk Management: Position Sizing: • Maximum allocation: 3-5% of the portfolio for this single position • Scale-in approach recommended for average entry price • Avoid concentrating more than 10% in the financial services sector • Consider correlation with other financial holdings Risk Mitigation: • Set alerts at key support and resistance levels • Monitor volume patterns for any divergence signals • Keep track of broader market sentiment and financial sector performance • Regular review of stop-loss levels and profit booking strategy • Avoid averaging down if the stop-loss is triggered Sectoral Analysis: Financial Services Sector Overview: • NBFC sector showing signs of recovery post-COVID consolidation • Regulatory environment becoming more favourable for established players • Credit growth revival benefiting well-capitalized NBFCs • Sector rotation from growth to value creates opportunities in the financial space Sector Positioning: • NSE:PEL is positioned in the diversified financial services space • Benefits from real estate cycle recovery and pharma business stability • Regulatory changes favouring larger, well-capitalized players • Sector P/B multiples are still reasonable compared to historical averages Fundamental Backdrop: Company Overview: • Diversified conglomerate with presence in financial services, pharmaceuticals, and real estate • Strong balance sheet with improved asset quality metrics • Management focuses on deleveraging and core business strengthening • Strategic divestments are improving cash flows and reducing the debt burden Past/Recent Developments: • Successful completion of major asset sales improves the liquidity position • Pharma business showing steady growth with new product launches • Real estate segment benefiting from sector recovery • Financial services arm gaining market share in target segments Valuation Metrics: • Trading at reasonable valuations compared to sector peers • Improved return ratios and asset quality metrics • Strong cash generation from core operations • Debt reduction improving financial flexibility and credit ratings Growth Catalysts: • Real estate sector recovery driving housing finance growth • Pharma business expansion in domestic and international markets • Potential for higher ROE as leverage normalizes • Market share gains in target financial services segments My Take: This technical setup in NSE:PEL presents a compelling risk-reward opportunity with the stock breaking out from a well-formed base pattern, supported by improving fundamentals and favourable sector dynamics. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
PLong
by Karanshah137
43
ABDL - Daily Timeframe Breakout Idea (Resistance Zone Break)Allied Blenders and Distillers Ltd. has shown a breakout above a key horizontal resistance level on the daily chart, accompanied by a nearly 2 times volume surge near the breakout zone, as seen earlier, supported by strong momentum. 🔍 Breakout Context: - Price might break above the ~₹446 horizontal resistance, which had held for over 6 months. The breakout zone has been supported by 2X volume and a range 1.5X of average near the resistance zone. - The price is also trading above both the 50- and 100-day SMAs, indicating strong trend continuation. - This aligns with a bullish continuation setup. 📉 Trade Plan: - CMP: ₹439.15 - Entry: Near ₹446 - Target: ₹481 (~7.5% upside from CMP) - Stop-Loss: ₹430 - Risk-Reward Ratio: ~ 1 : 2 📌 Note: - Look for a confirmation candle to enter the trade. - Avoid chasing the extended move unless confident in intraday momentum. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NSE:ABDLLong
by ashutoshanand30
Castrol: Lubricant Oil Giant's Ends Consolidation PhaseNSE:CASTROLIND : Lubricant Oil Giant's Consolidation Phase Offers Strategic Entry Opportunity Looking at NSE:CASTROLIND chart on the Daily Timeframe, the stock presents a compelling technical setup after months of consolidation following a significant decline from its October 2024 highs. Price Action Analysis: NSE:CASTROLIND has been trading in a well-defined range between ₹190-195 support and ₹210-215 resistance since February 2025. The stock peaked around ₹245-250 in October 2024 before experiencing a sharp correction that bottomed out near ₹162 in January. Since then, it has established a solid base above the ₹190 level with multiple successful retests. The recent price action shows the stock consolidating around ₹208-210, with the current price at ₹208.70 representing a modest gain of 5.66%. This positioning near the upper end of the trading range suggests potential for a breakout attempt. Volume Analysis: Volume patterns reveal interesting insights - the chart shows several volume spikes that coincided with key support tests and bounce attempts. The volume of 25.74M against a 20-day average suggests active participation, though not at extreme levels. The volume profile indicates accumulation phases during dips below ₹200, which is constructive for future upward movement. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Key support levels are clearly defined at ₹190-195, , which have held multiple times since February. Secondary support exists around ₹180-185. On the upside, immediate resistance sits at ₹210-215 , followed by the more significant ₹230-235 zone . A break above ₹215 would target the previous consolidation high around ₹245. Technical Pattern: The stock is forming a classic rectangular consolidation pattern, also known as a trading range. This pattern typically resolves with a breakout in the direction of the prior trend, though given the extended decline from October highs, a base-building scenario appears more likely. The multiple retests of support without breaking down suggest a strong institutional interest at lower levels. Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: Consider accumulating on dips toward ₹195-200 or on a confirmed breakout above ₹215 with volume confirmation. Entry Levels: ₹195-200 (value entry) or ₹216+ (momentum entry) Target 1: ₹225-230 Target 2: ₹240-245 Target 3: ₹255-260 Stop Loss: Below ₹185 for medium-term positions Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2.5 from current levels Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop: The lubricants sector has been facing headwinds from the transition to electric vehicles and longer oil change intervals in modern engines. However, Castrol benefits from its strong brand presence, extensive distribution network, and exposure to industrial lubricants. The company's parent, BP, provides technological advantages and global synergies. Recent quarterly results have shown resilience despite volume pressures, with the company maintaining healthy margins through premiumization strategies. The automotive sector's recovery post-pandemic and increased industrial activity should support volume growth, though EV adoption remains a long-term concern. India's infrastructure development and manufacturing push under various government initiatives provide tailwinds for industrial lubricant demand. Currency stability and crude oil price moderation also support margin profiles for lubricant companies. The stock's valuation appears reasonable after the correction, trading below historical averages, which makes it attractive for patient investors willing to ride through the transition phase in the automotive industry. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:CASTROLINDLong
by Karanshah137
7
KIRLOSENG: Post-Results Breakout and Consolidation. F&P PatternNSE:KIRLOSENG : How This Hidden Gem Could Be Your Next Big Winner After Post-Results Breakout and Consolidation Let's Analyze in my "Chart of the Week" Price Action: - The stock shows a classic recovery pattern from March 2025 lows around ₹590-600 - Current price at ₹914.85 represents a significant 52% recovery from the March bottom - The stock has been forming higher lows since March, indicating underlying strength - Recent breakout above the ₹850 resistance level with strong volume confirmation Volume Spread Analysis: - Volume spike during the recent breakout suggests institutional participation - The post-results reaction shows a healthy volume of 724.08K against a 20-day average of 5.73M - Volume patterns indicate an accumulation phase during the consolidation period from April to June Base Formation: - Primary base established between ₹590-650 (March 2025 lows) - Secondary base formed around the ₹750-800 level during April-May consolidation - Current base being built around ₹880-920 after the recent breakout Support and Resistance Levels: Key Support Levels: - Immediate support: ₹880-890 (recent breakout level) - Strong support: ₹830-850 (previous resistance turned support) - Major support: ₹780-800 (secondary base level) - Ultimate support: ₹590-650 (primary base) Resistance Levels: - Immediate resistance: ₹950-970 - Major resistance: ₹1,000-1,020 (psychological level) - Long-term resistance: ₹1,100-1,150 (previous highs from late 2024) - Ultimate target: ₹1,400+ (all-time high region) Technical Patterns: Flag and Pole Pattern: - The chart clearly shows a flag and pole formation - The flag represents the consolidation phase from May to June 2025 - Recent breakout confirms the pattern completion with an upward trajectory Ascending Triangle: - The stock has formed an ascending triangle pattern with higher lows and consistent resistance around ₹850 - The breakout above this level validates the bullish continuation pattern Post-Results Reaction: - Kirloskar Oil Engines shares settled slightly, trading at Rs 803.75, representing a 9.36% increase, while the BSE Sensex was up by 0.25%. - The positive reaction to results indicates market confidence in the company's performance Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: - Primary entry: ₹900-920 (current levels on any dip) - Secondary entry: ₹880-890 (on pullback to support) - Aggressive entry: ₹930-950 (on breakout above current resistance) Entry Levels: - Conservative traders: Wait for pullback to ₹880-890 support - Moderate traders: Enter at current levels around ₹910-920 - Aggressive traders: Enter on a breakout above ₹950 Exit Strategy: Target Levels: - Target 1: ₹1,000 (8-10% upside) - Target 2: ₹1,100 (18-20% upside) - Target 3: ₹1,250 (35-40% upside) - Ultimate target: ₹1,400+ (50%+ upside) Exit Timing: - Book 30% profits at Target 1 - Book 40% profits at Target 2 - Hold the remaining 30% for the ultimate target with a trailing stop loss Risk Management: Stop-Loss Levels: - Conservative stop-loss: ₹850 (6-7% downside) - Moderate stop-loss: ₹830 (8-9% downside) - Aggressive stop-loss: ₹800 (11-12% downside) Position Sizing: - Risk per trade: Maximum 2% of portfolio - Position size calculation: Portfolio value × 2% ÷ (Entry price - Stop loss) - For ₹1,00,000 portfolio with entry at ₹910 and stop at ₹850: Position size = ₹2,000 ÷ ₹60 = 33 shares Sectoral Backdrop: Industrial Machinery Sector: - The industrial machinery sector has been showing resilience amid economic recovery - Infrastructure push by the government supports demand for engines and pumps - Agricultural mechanization trends favour companies like NSE:KIRLOSENG Market Position: - The company caters to the agriculture, ... Clients (Marine, Defence, etc), After Sales Support, Retail Channel – Tractor spares, Oil, Batteries. - Diversified revenue streams provide stability across economic cycles Fundamental Backdrop: Financial Performance: - Netprofit is up for the last 2 quarters, 68 Cr → 127 Cr (in ₹) - Revenue is up for the last 2 quarters, 1454 Cr → 1753 Cr (in ₹) - As of 31-Mar-2025, Kirloskar Oil Engines has a trailing 12-month revenue of 6349 Cr Market Valuation: - Its current market cap is 13,289 Cr with 14.5 Cr shares. - Stock is trading at 4.30 times its book value - Promoter holding has decreased over the last 3 years: -18.3% Growth Outlook: - The B2B business grew 5 per cent year on year, and the B2C business also witnessed a double-digit growth of 14 per cent year on year - Strong positioning in agriculture and industrial segments provides sustainable growth prospects - The final dividend of Rs 4 per equity Share indicates management confidence My Take: Investment Rationale: - Technical breakout supported by improving fundamentals - Diversified business model reduces concentration risk - Strong balance sheet with consistent profitability - Attractive valuation after the recent correction from highs The combination of technical breakout, improving fundamentals, and supportive sectoral trends makes NSE:KIRLOSENG an attractive investment opportunity for medium to long-term investors with appropriate risk management measures in place. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:KIRLOSENGLong
by Karanshah137
12
Krystal Integrated cmp 655.50 by Daily Chart view since listedKrystal Integrated cmp 655.50 by Daily Chart view since listed - Support Zone 600 to 630 Price Band - Resistance Zone 685 to 715 Price Band - Support Zone tested, retested and broken out, was resistance earlier - Volumes are flat, need to increase for the Resistance Zone neckline crossover - Most common Technical Indicators are seen to be turning out with positive trend - Rising Support Trendline seems been well respected by the price action momentum - Falling Wedge Breakout attempted by Bullish Rounding Bottoms through breakdown recovery
NSE:KRYSTAL
by PIYUSHCHAVDA
PCBL: The Sleeping Giant Ready to BreakOut of Its TriangleNSE:PCBL : The Sleeping Giant Ready to Break Out of Its Consolidation Triangle Price Action Analysis: • Stock has been trading in a well-defined ascending triangle pattern since early 2025 • Current price at ₹434.40 represents a +2.53% gain, showing bullish momentum • The pattern shows a higher low formation with resistance around ₹450-460 levels • Recent price action suggests an accumulation phase with controlled volatility Volume Spread Analysis: • Volume has been consistently above average during recent sessions (4.79M vs 1.71M average) • Volume spike visible in recent trading sessions, indicating increased institutional interest • The volume pattern supports the price consolidation with periodic accumulation phases • Higher volume during up-moves compared to down-moves suggests buying interest Key Technical Levels: Support Levels: • Primary Support: ₹420-425 (recent swing low) • Secondary Support: ₹390-395 (ascending trendline support) • Major Support: ₹360-370 (previous consolidation zone) Resistance Levels: • Immediate Resistance: ₹450-460 (triangle upper boundary) • Key Resistance: ₹480-490 (previous highs) • Major Resistance: ₹520-530 (psychological level) Base Formation: • The stock has formed a strong ascending triangle base over 6-7 months • Base depth of approximately 15-20% from highs to lows • Duration suggests a sustainable breakout when it occurs • Base shows characteristics of institutional accumulation Technical Patterns: • Primary Pattern: Ascending Triangle (Bullish) • Secondary Pattern: Flag formation on shorter timeframes • Volume-Price Relationship: Positive divergence during recent consolidation • Moving Average Setup: Price trading above all its key moving averages Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: • Breakout Entry: ₹465-470 (above triangle resistance with volume confirmation) • Pullback Entry: ₹440-445 (on any dip to support with volume) • Accumulation Entry: ₹420-430 (for longer-term investors) Exit Levels: • Target 1: ₹520-530 (measured move from triangle base) • Target 2: ₹580-590 (previous swing high zone) • Target 3: ₹650-680 (extension target based on base depth) Stop-Loss Levels: • For Breakout Trades: ₹445-450 (below breakout level) • For Accumulation Trades: ₹410-415 (below key support) • Trailing Stop: Use an 8-10% trailing stop after the first target Position Sizing: • Conservative Approach: 2-3% of portfolio • Moderate Approach: 3-5% of portfolio • Aggressive Approach: 5-7% of portfolio (only for experienced traders) Risk Management: • Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2 for all trades • Maximum risk per trade: 2% of total capital • Use the position sizing calculator based on stop-loss distance • Avoid adding to losing positions • Book partial profits at each target level Sectoral Backdrop: Chemical Sector Overview: • Indian chemical sector showing strong fundamentals with export growth • The speciality chemicals segment is experiencing robust demand • The government's PLI scheme supports domestic chemical manufacturing • Global supply chain diversification benefiting Indian chemical companies Industry Trends: • Increasing demand for agrochemicals and pharmaceutical intermediates • Focus on sustainable and green chemistry practices • Rising input costs are being managed through pricing power • Strong export opportunities in speciality chemicals Fundamental Backdrop: Company Overview: • NSE:PCBL is a leading player in speciality chemicals and carbon black • Strong presence in the tire industry through carbon black manufacturing • Diversified product portfolio, reducing concentration risk • Established relationships with major tire manufacturers Financial Highlights: • Consistent revenue growth over the past few quarters • Improving margin profile due to operational efficiency • Strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels • Increasing return on equity and asset efficiency Growth Drivers: • Expanding tire industry in India and globally • New product launches in speciality chemicals • Capacity expansion plans for key products • Focus on high-margin speciality products Risk Factors: • Raw material price volatility • Environmental regulations compliance costs • Competition from global players • Cyclical nature of the tire industry My Take: NSE:PCBL presents a compelling technical setup with its ascending triangle pattern nearing completion. The combination of strong volume accumulation, supportive sectoral trends, and improving fundamentals creates a favourable risk-reward scenario. Traders should wait for a decisive breakout above the ₹465 levels, accompanied by volume confirmation, for optimal entry. Meanwhile, investors can consider gradual accumulation at current levels, exercising proper risk management. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:PCBLLong
by Karanshah137
8
Gabriel India: Ascending Trendline Breakout, Chart of the WeekNSE:GABRIEL : A Technical Breakout Story That Could Double Your Investment? Let's Analyze it in my "Chart of the Week" Idea. Price Action Analysis: • The stock has shown a remarkable multi-year uptrend from around ₹100 levels in 2022 to current levels above ₹950 • A clear ascending channel pattern is visible with the yellow dotted trendline acting as dynamic support • Recent price action shows a powerful breakout from a consolidation phase around ₹600-700 levels • The stock is currently trading near all-time highs with strong momentum • Volume expansion during the recent breakout confirms genuine buying interest Volume Spread Analysis: • Volume patterns show significant spikes during major price advances • The recent breakout phase is accompanied by above-average volume, indicating institutional participation • Volume tends to contract during consolidation phases, which is a healthy price action • The volume profile suggests strong accumulation during the base-building phases Key Technical Levels: Base Formation: • Primary base formed between ₹100-200 levels during 2022-early 2023 • Secondary base established around ₹400-500 levels in late 2023 • Most recent consolidation base around ₹600-700 levels before the current breakout Support Levels: • Immediate support: ₹850-900 (recent breakout zone) • Strong support: ₹700-750 (previous resistance turned support) • Major support: ₹600 (base of recent consolidation) • Critical support: ₹500 (psychological level and previous consolidation zone) Resistance Levels: • Immediate resistance: ₹1000-1050 (psychological barrier) • Next resistance: ₹1200 (measured move target) • Extended target: ₹1400-1500 (based on channel projection) Technical Pattern Recognition: Primary Patterns: • Long-term ascending channel with consistent higher highs and higher lows • Multiple cups and handle formations during the uptrend • Recent flag/pennant consolidation followed by breakout • Classical stage 2 uptrend characteristics with expanding volume Technical Indicators: • Price trading above all major moving averages • Strong momentum as evidenced by the steep price advance • Healthy pullbacks followed by resumption of uptrend • Volume-price confirmation during breakouts Trade Setup: Entry Levels: • Aggressive entry: Current market price (₹950-970) • Conservative entry: On pullback to ₹850-880 levels • Breakout entry: Above ₹1000 with volume confirmation • Accumulation entry: Any dip towards ₹800-820 levels Exit Levels: • First target: ₹1200 (26% upside from current levels) • Second target: ₹1400 (47% upside) • Extended target: ₹1600 (68% upside) • Trailing stop strategy recommended for long-term positions Stop-Loss Placement: • For aggressive entries: ₹800 (16% risk) • For conservative entries: ₹750 (12% risk from ₹850 entry) • For breakout entries: ₹900 (10% risk from ₹1000 entry) • Weekly closing basis stop-loss recommended Risk Management Framework: Position Sizing: • Risk per trade: Maximum 2-3% of portfolio • For ₹800 stop-loss from current price: Position size = (Portfolio × 2%) ÷ ₹150 • Recommended allocation: 5-8% of equity portfolio given the risk-reward profile • Consider scaling into position over 2-3 tranches Risk Parameters: • Maximum drawdown tolerance: 20% from peak • Time-based stop: Exit if consolidation exceeds 6 months • Sector rotation risk: Monitor auto sector performance • Market correlation: High beta stock, reduce position size in volatile markets Sectoral Backdrop: Auto Ancillary Sector Dynamics: • Indian automotive sector showing strong recovery post-COVID • Shift towards electric vehicles creating new opportunities for component manufacturers • Export potential increasing with global supply chain diversification • Government's PLI scheme supporting auto component manufacturing Industry Trends: • Increasing focus on high-quality, precision components • Growing aftermarket business providing stable revenue streams • Consolidation in the sector is favouring established players • Technology upgrades driving margin expansion Fundamental Backdrop: Company Overview: • NSE:GABRIEL is a leading manufacturer of automotive shock absorbers and suspension systems • Strong presence in both OEM and aftermarket segments • Diversified customer base across passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, and two-wheelers • Established relationships with major automotive manufacturers Financial Highlights: • Consistent revenue growth is driven by industry expansion • Improving margins through operational efficiency and product mix optimization • Strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels • Increasing return on equity and return on capital employed Growth Drivers: • Expanding automotive production in India • Growing replacement market for suspension components • Export opportunities in emerging markets • New product development and technology partnerships Investment Thesis: • Well-positioned to benefit from India's automotive growth story • Strong competitive moat through technical expertise and customer relationships • Potential for multiple expansions as the company scales operations • Dividend yield providing downside protection for long-term investors My Take: The technical setup for NSE:GABRIEL presents a compelling risk-reward opportunity with the stock breaking out from a multi-month consolidation phase. The combination of strong sectoral tailwinds, robust fundamental backdrop, and bullish technical patterns creates a favourable investment environment. However, investors should maintain proper risk management given the stock's high beta nature and current extended valuation levels. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:GABRIELLong
by Karanshah137
14
HSCL: A Classic Breakout Story in the MakingNSE:HSCL : A Classic Breakout Story in the Making Price Action Analysis: - Stock has formed a strong uptrend from September 2024 lows around 365 levels - Current price of 517.80 represents a significant +41% move from the base - Recent breakout above the 500 resistance level with strong volume confirmation - Price action shows a classic accumulation pattern followed by a markup phase Volume Spread Analysis: - Significant volume spike visible in recent sessions (12.96M vs average 4.38M) - Volume confirmation during breakout above 500 levels - Accumulation pattern evident with higher volume on up days - Volume trend supports the bullish price action Base Formation & Key Levels: - Primary Base: Formed between 400-520 levels from December 2024 to May 2025 - Secondary Base: 440-480 consolidation zone during March-April 2025 - Base Duration: Approximately 6 months of sideways consolidation - Base Characteristics: Multiple retests of support levels with decreasing volatility Key Support & Resistance Levels: - Immediate Support: 480-500 zone (previous resistance turned support) - Strong Support: 440-460 zone (multiple bounce levels) - Major Support: 400 psychological level - Immediate Resistance: 520-530 zone - Next Resistance: 580-600 zone (measured move target) - All-time High Resistance: 688.70 Technical Chart Patterns: - Cup and Handle Pattern: Visible from October 2024 to June 2025 - Ascending Triangle: Formed during the consolidation phase - Bullish Flag: Recent consolidation before the breakout - Higher Highs and Higher Lows: Established uptrend structure Trade Setup & Strategy: Entry Strategy: - Primary Entry: 515-520 on any pullback to the breakout zone - Aggressive Entry: Current levels around 517-518 - Conservative Entry: Wait for retest of the 500 support level - Scale-in Approach: 50% at 515, 30% at 505, 20% at 495 Exit Strategy: - Target 1: 560-570 (Risk-Reward 1:2) - Target 2: 600-620 (Risk-Reward 1:3) - Target 3: 650-680 (Risk-Reward 1:4) - Trailing Stop: Use 480 as a trailing stop once Target 1 is achieved Risk Management: - Stop Loss: 475-480 (below breakout support) - Position Size: Maximum 2-3% of portfolio - Risk per Trade: Not more than 1% of total capital - Time Stop: Exit if no progress in 3-4 weeks Position Sizing Guidelines: - Conservative Investor: 1-1.5% portfolio allocation - Moderate Risk: 2-2.5% portfolio allocation - Aggressive Trader: 3-4% portfolio allocation (with tight stops) - Swing Trading: 2% with wider stops at 460 levels Fundamental & Sectoral Backdrop: Company Overview: - NSE:HSCL is a leading manufacturer of coal tar pitch and advanced carbon materials - Key products include coal tar pitch, carbon black feedstock, and speciality carbons - Strong presence in aluminium, graphite electrode, and speciality chemical sectors Sectoral Dynamics: - The speciality chemicals sector is showing strong growth momentum - Increased demand from the aluminium and steel industries - The government focus on Make in India and import substitution - Rising demand for advanced materials in electric vehicles and renewable energy Fundamental Catalysts: - Capacity expansion plans and new product launches - Strong demand from end-user industries - Improved margin profile due to product mix optimization - Debt reduction and improved financial metrics - ESG initiatives and sustainable product development Market Conditions: - Overall market sentiment is positive for chemical stocks - Sectoral rotation favours speciality chemicals - Export opportunities in global markets - Raw material cost stabilization supporting margins Risk Factors: Technical Risks: - Failure to sustain above 500 levels could lead to a retest of the 440 support level - High volatility is expected given the breakout nature - Overbought conditions in the short term may cause profit booking Fundamental Risks: - Raw material price volatility (coal tar and petroleum products) - Environmental regulations affecting production - Competition from global players - Economic slowdown affecting end-user demand - Currency fluctuation impact on exports/imports My Take: My analysis suggests a positive technical setup with strong breakout potential, supported by favourable sectoral trends and improving fundamentals. However, proper risk management and position sizing remain crucial for successful execution. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:HSCLLong
by Karanshah137
10
Venus Pipes: A Breakout Story in the MakingNSE:VENUSPIPES : A Breakout Story in the Making Price Action Analysis: • Price consolidated between 1,200-1,600 levels from January 2025 to June 2025 • Recent breakout above 1,600 resistance with strong volume confirmation • Currently trading at 1,574.80 after hitting a high of 2,450.35 • Pullback to retest the breakout level suggests healthy consolidation Volume Spread Analysis: • Significant volume spike during the recent breakout phase • Volume increased from an average of 149.65K to 860.5K, indicating institutional interest • Higher volume during up moves compared to down moves shows buying pressure • Volume pattern supports the breakout thesis with strong participation Key Technical Levels: Support Levels: • Primary Support: 1,200 (previous base level) • Secondary Support: 1,400 (mid-range support) • Immediate Support: 1,500 (recent pullback low) Resistance Levels: • Immediate Resistance: 1,650 (recent high) • Major Resistance: 2,450 (lifetime high) • Psychological Resistance: 2,000 and 2,500 Base Formation: • Strong base formed between 1,200-1,400 levels over 6 months • Multiple retests of support levels showing accumulation • Base provides a strong foundation for upward movement Technical Patterns: Primary Pattern: • Bullish continuation pattern with horizontal resistance at 1,600 and rising support line • Pattern duration: 8 months (Jan 2025 to July 2025) • Breakout confirmed with volume expansion Secondary Patterns: • Higher low pattern indicating underlying strength • Volume-price divergence resolved with a recent breakout Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: • Conservative Entry: On pullback to 1,500-1,520 levels • Aggressive Entry: Current levels around 1,570-1,580 • Breakout Entry: Above 1,650 with volume confirmation Exit Strategy: • Target 1: 1,800 (immediate target) • Target 2: 2,100 (50% retracement of lifetime high) • Target 3: 2,400-2,500 (lifetime high retest) Stop-Loss Levels: • For entries around 1,570: Stop at 1,450 (below base support) • For entries around 1,500: Stop at 1,350 (below key support) • Trailing stop: 8-10% below recent swing highs Risk Management: Position Sizing: • Risk per trade: Maximum 2% of portfolio • Position size calculation: Portfolio value × 2% ÷ (Entry price - Stop loss) • Gradual position building is recommended, given the volatility Risk Assessment: • Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 to 1:3 for current setup • Time horizon: 3-6 months for primary targets • Market correlation: Monitor broader market sentiment Sectoral Backdrop: Steel Pipes and Tubes Industry: • Infrastructure spending boost under government initiatives • Demand from the oil and gas sector supports growth • Housing sector recovery driving construction demand • Water supply projects creating additional opportunities Industry Trends: • Consolidation phase in the sector, favouring established players • Raw material cost pressures being managed through pricing power • Export opportunities emerging in neighbouring markets • Technology upgrades improving operational efficiency Fundamental Backdrop: Company Overview: • Venus Pipes & Tubes is a leading manufacturer of steel pipes and tubes • Established presence in water supply, structural, and industrial applications • Strong distribution network across India • Focus on quality and customer service Recent Developments: • Capacity expansion plans to meet growing demand • Strategic partnerships with infrastructure companies • Improved working capital management • Strong order book visibility for coming quarters Financial Health: • Steady revenue growth trajectory • Improving margin profile • Healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels • Strong cash flow generation capabilities My Take: Short-term View (1-3 months): • Consolidation expected around current levels • Potential for retest of breakout levels • Volume patterns to be monitored for direction Medium-term View (3-6 months): • Upside potential to 2,000-2,200 levels • Sector rotation could benefit the stock • Infrastructure spending cycle supporting fundamentals Long-term View (6-12 months): • Structural growth story intact • Market leadership position strengthening • Potential for significant value creation Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:VENUSPIPESLong
by Karanshah137
6
MIRZAINT – Cup & Handle Breakout | Daily Chart📊 MIRZAINT – Cup & Handle Breakout from Order Block | RVol 349% | RSI Near Overbought | Daily Chart 📅 Chart Date: July 8, 2025 📍 CMP: ₹34.45 (+4.71%) 📈 Symbol: NSE:MIRZAINT 🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown ☕ Cup & Handle Breakout Classic Cup & Handle pattern breakout above neckline resistance at ~₹33. Smooth rounding bottom base followed by tight consolidation and bullish breakout. 🟥 Volumized Order Block (OB) Analysis Previous Supply Zone: Between ₹41–₹49.5. Demand Zone: ~₹24–₹26, previously respected. Breakout occurred from a fresh bullish 1D OB . 📈 Relative Volume (RVol%): 349% Significant volume spike confirms strong buying interest behind the breakout. 📐 Measured OB Data 1.542M (44%) red OB supply previously pushed price down. Bullish OB of 795.893K (18%) supported accumulation phase pre-breakout. 📊 RSI (14, close): 69.18 Approaching overbought zone (>70), confirming strong trend but may see minor consolidation. 🏁 Key Technical Levels Breakout Level (Neckline): ₹33.00 CMP: ₹34.45 Resistance Ahead: ₹41.00 → ₹49.50 (previous OB supply zone) Support: ₹30.00 / ₹26.00 (OB base) 💡 Trade Setup Insight Entry: CMP on breakout or retest near ₹33 Target 1: ₹41 Target 2: ₹49+ Stoploss: Below ₹30 or ₹26 (OB base zone) Risk Profile: Moderate to Aggressive ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is an educational chart setup and not trading advice. Please conduct your own research and risk management. 📣 Follow @PriceAction_Pulse for more such clean breakouts and chart pattern analysis! 🔁 Drop a comment if TFCILTD is on your radar for the next breakout rally 📈
NSE:MIRZAINTLong
by PriceAction_Pulse
JP Power: Breaking Out After 6-Month ConsolidationNSE:JPPOWER : Breaking Out After 6-Month Consolidation Price Action Analysis: • Long-term Trend: Stock has been in a prolonged downtrend from highs of ₹23.77, finding support around ₹12.36 • Recent Pattern: Clear consolidation phase from December 2024 to May 2025 within a rectangular range • Current Movement: Sharp breakout from consolidation with strong volume confirmation • Momentum: Bullish momentum building with gap-up opening and sustained buying Volume Analysis: • Volume Pattern: Significant volume spike during current breakout session • Volume Confirmation: Current volume of 195.09M vs average of 41.29M indicates strong institutional participation • Historical Volume: Notable volume spikes during previous breakout attempts in October 2024 • Volume Quality: Expansion on up-moves and contraction during consolidation phases Key Technical Levels: Support Levels: • Immediate Support: ₹16.35 (previous resistance turned support) • Strong Support: ₹15.50-16.00 (consolidation base) • Critical Support: ₹12.36 (52-week low and major support zone) • Long-term Support: ₹12.00-12.50 (multiple bounce zone) Resistance Levels: • Immediate Resistance: ₹18.50-19.00 (previous swing high zone) • Major Resistance: ₹20.00-20.50 (psychological level and previous rejection zone) • Target Resistance: ₹22.00-23.00 (measured move target) • Ultimate Resistance: ₹23.77 (52-week high) Base Formation: • Base Type: Rectangular consolidation base • Base Duration: Approximately 6 months (December 2024 to May 2025) • Base Range: ₹12.36 to ₹16.35 • Base Depth: Approximately 25% from highs • Base Quality: Well-defined with multiple tests of support and resistance Technical Patterns Identified: Primary Pattern: • Pattern: Rectangle/Box Consolidation with Breakout • Formation Period: December 2024 to May 2025 • Breakout Confirmation: Volume-backed breakout above ₹16.35 • Pattern Reliability: High, given the extended consolidation period Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: • Primary Entry: ₹17.50-17.80 (current levels with momentum) • Pullback Entry: ₹16.50-17.00 (if stock retraces to test breakout level) • Aggressive Entry: ₹18.00+ (breakout continuation trade) • Conservative Entry: Wait for weekly close above ₹17.50 for confirmation Exit Levels: • Target 1: ₹19.50-20.00 (10-12% upside, resistance zone) • Target 2: ₹22.00-22.50 (25-27% upside, measured move) • Target 3: ₹24.00+ (35%+ upside, extension target) • Trail Stop: Use a 15-20% trailing stop once the first target is achieved. Stop Loss Strategy: • Initial Stop Loss: ₹15.50 (below consolidation base) • Risk: 12-15% from current levels • Tight Stop: ₹16.00 (for aggressive traders) • Weekly Close Stop: Below ₹15.80 on weekly closing basis Position Sizing & Risk Management: Position Sizing Guidelines: • Conservative Approach: 2-3% of portfolio (given sector risks) • Moderate Approach: 3-5% of portfolio • Aggressive Approach: 5-7% of portfolio (only for risk-tolerant investors) • Maximum Allocation: Not more than 10% due to sector concentration risk Risk Management Framework: • Risk per Trade: Limit to 1-2% of total capital • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Minimum 1:2, targeting 1:3 • Portfolio Heat: Consider correlation with other power/infrastructure stocks • Sector Exposure: Monitor total exposure to the power sector Sectoral Backdrop: Power Sector Overview: • Sector Trend: Power sector showing signs of revival with government's focus on renewable energy • Policy Support: Government initiatives for power infrastructure development • Demand Scenario: Growing power demand with industrial recovery • Investment Climate: Increased capex allocation for power infrastructure Industry Dynamics: • Renewable Push: Shift towards renewable energy, creating opportunities • Transmission Focus: Grid strengthening and transmission line expansion • Financial Health: Gradual improvement in power sector financials • Regulatory Environment: Supportive policies for power sector growth Fundamental Backdrop: Company Profile: • Business: Power generation, transmission, and infrastructure development • Promoter Group: Jaiprakash Associates Group • Market Cap: Mid-cap power sector player • Operational Status: Multiple power projects across different states Key Fundamental Factors: • Debt Levels: High debt burden remains a key concern • Asset Quality: Mix of operational and under-construction assets • Revenue Visibility: Power purchase agreements providing revenue stability • Execution Risk: Project completion and commissioning risks • Financial Stress: Historical financial challenges and restructuring efforts Recent Developments: • Debt Resolution: Ongoing efforts for debt restructuring and resolution • Project Status: Updates on project commissioning and operations • Regulatory Approvals: Progress on pending regulatory clearances • Strategic Initiatives: Focus on operational efficiency and cost optimization Risk Factors: Technical Risks: • False Breakout: Risk of failure at higher resistance levels • Volume Sustainability: Need for sustained volume support • Market Sentiment: Dependency on overall market conditions • Sector Rotation: Risk of sector-specific selling pressure Fundamental Risks: • High Leverage: Elevated debt levels impacting financial flexibility • Execution Risk: Project execution and commissioning challenges • Regulatory Risk: Changes in power sector policies • Liquidity Risk: Working capital and cash flow management issues My Take: My Technical Outlook: • Short-term: Bullish momentum with breakout confirmation • Medium-term: Potential for 25-30% upside if breakout sustains • Long-term: Dependent on fundamental improvements and sector revival My Investment Recommendation: • Recommendation: Cautious Buy for technical traders • Time Horizon: 3-6 months for technical targets • Suitability: Risk-tolerant investors with sector understanding • Monitoring: Close watch on volume patterns and sector developments This analysis is based on technical patterns and should be combined with thorough fundamental research and professional advice before making investment decisions. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:JPPOWERLong
by Karanshah137
20