Gufic breakout, pullback & bounce back 1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or daily RSI closing below 40
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
After consolidation since January 2022, NSE:GUFICBIO gave a break out of 12th April, went down below the support level and has given a bounce back today. Buy with a stop at ₹236.
Other fundamentals:
1. The company has delivered good profit growth of 43.44% CAGR over last 5 years.
2. The company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 27.89%.
3. The company's median sales growth is 22.02% of last 10 year.
4. TTM sales growth of 71% and TTM profit growth of 160%.
5. Borrowings came down from ₹126cr on March 2020 to ₹35cr on September 2021.
6. Promoter holding increased from 65% in June 2021 to 75% in September 2021.
7. CRISIL Ratings has revised its outlook on the long-term bank facilities of Gufic Biosciences Limited (GBL) to 'Positive' from 'Stable', while reaffirming the rating at 'CRISIL BBB+'. and has assigned its 'CRISIL A2' rating to the short-term bank facility. The outlook revision reflects improvement in GBL’s business risk profile in fiscal 2022, marked by expected revenue of Rs. 750 crore, increase from Rs 488 crores in fiscal 2021, driven by capacity expansion and higher revenue from critical drugs. Operating profitability improved in fiscal 2021 to 17.6% and expected to sustain in fiscal 2022. With further capacity expansion in FY2023, revenue is expected to grow in future years. Hence, sustenance of operating margin and revenue growth will remain key rating sensitivity factors. Financial profile and liquidity continue to be strong.
8. GBL obtained various certifications and approvals for its manufacturing facilities and diversified its product portfolio through continuous research and development. The top 10 products contributed to 34% of revenue till the third quarter of fiscal 2022. Revenue grew to an estimated Rs 750 crore in fiscal 2022 from Rs 300 crore in fiscal 2018.
9. Financial risk should remain strong despite the huge, debt-funded capex to be undertaken in fiscal 2023. Networth was Rs 173 crore as on March 31, 2021 and is estimated at Rs 250 crore on March 31, 2022. Its controlled reliance on external debt has led to comfortable gearing and total outside liabilities to adjusted networth (TOLANW) ratios, which are estimated to be 0.14-0.15 times and 0.8-0.9 times, respectively in fiscal 2022. Debt protection metrics are robust, with interest coverage and net cash accrual to adjusted debt ratios estimated at 25 times and 2.5 times, respectively, for fiscal 2022.
Pullbacktrade
RCF break out, pull back and bounce1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or close below daily supertrend (for short term traders) or close below weekly supertrend (for long term investors)
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Largest weekly price spread
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
after consolidation since may 2021, on 29th March NSE:RCF gave a high volume breakout. Today at pulled back to the support of Rs.88.50 and is currently trying to cross the previous day high of Rs.93.70. If he successfully bounces back above Rs.93.70 it will be a good buy with a stop just below Rs.87.50.
Why are fertilizer stocks in demand?
Shares of fertilizers companies have been in demand riding the commodity boom, more so after the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. According to reports, prices of three main types of nutrients have been rising for several months on the back of supply shortages and high energy prices. Recently, the government had permitted fertilizer companies to raise output of urea manufacturing units beyond installed capacity, in order to meet shortfall.
RCF fundamentals:
Company has reduced debt.
Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.35%.
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 50.47%.
Debtor days have improved from 140.73 to 63.89 days.
Debt to equity at 0.50 (less than 1 is good) and Interest Coverage at 7.46 (greater than 3 is good).
Gujarat Alkalies breakout, pullback and bounce1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or close below daily supertrend (for short term traders) or close below weekly supertrend (for long term investors)
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Largest weekly price spread
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
after a quarterly sales growth of 65%, quarterly profit growth of 501%, TTM sales growth of 38% and TTM profit growth of 161%, NSE:GUJALKALI gave a high volume breakout on 28th March 2022 after a consolidation since October 2021. It pulled back and after taking a support at previous resistance zone bounced back today. It is a buy with a stop just below Rs.810.
other fundamentals: -
The company is almost debt free.
Stock is trading at 1.17 times its book value.
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 20.46%.
Debtor days improved from 60 in 2018 to 43 in 2021.
Debt to equity at 0.11 (less than 1 is good), Interest Coverage at 43.3 (greater than 3 is good).
Shree Pushkar Bounce Back 1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or close below daily supertrend (for short term traders) or close below weekly supertrend (for long term investors)
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Largest weekly price spread
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
After consolidation since October 21, NSE:SHREEPUSHK gave a break out on 21st March 2022. It corrected to the level of Rs. 272 and gave a bounce back today. It is a buy with a stop below Rs. 270.
Other fundamentals:
1. TTM sales growth of 29% and TTM profit growth of 49%.
2. Promoter stake increased since December 2019 from 65.03 to 67.03.
3. FII stake increased from 0.40 in June 2021 to 1.44 in December 2021.
4. Co. is a leading manufacturer of Reactive Dyes. It launched DYECOL™ range of Reactive Dyes to tackle environmental and sustainability issues of the textile wet processing industry. Its products are certified from “GOTS” and enjoy the privileged status of being a government recognized “Export House”.
5. Its product portfolio consists of 15+ grades of Fertilizers, all of which are distributed through its own distribution and dealership network in the states of Haryana, Punjab, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Maharashtra, Karnataka, and Goa.
6. Co. manufactures feed grade Di-Calcium Phosphate (DCP) which is manufactured from the waste generated in the manufacturing process of its other divisions.
7. Co. utilizes high-pressure steam from Sulfuric Acid for power generation and internal consumption. In FY21, it also started Electricity generation commissioned for two solar projects of 2.00 MW and 2.60 MW each. It planned CAPEX of 21 crs out of which 13.29 crs has been incurred.
8. The company's Unit V capex is almost complete and a dry trial run has been started in Q2FY22 with commercial production expected to commence in FY22. The planned capex for this facility was 108 crs out of which 99.47 crs was incurred until December 31st, 2021.
9. Post the CAPEX made in the manufacturing facilities and acquisitions of two new companies, the manufacturing capacity of the company is expected to rise substantially.
Product - Current output (FY21) - Expected output (FY22-23E)
Chemicals – 14,260 MTPA – 38,260 MTPA
Fertilizers - 4,02,200 MTPA - 5,90,200 MTPA
5 Jan 2022 How to apply Ninja Scalping to Bank Nifty optionsHow to apply Ninja Scalping (Pull back method)
Bank Nifty intraday ninja scalping technique #Banknifty, #Charts, #market, #trading
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Fin Cables- A Good Setup in Weak MarketHi All,
The benchmark index (NIFTY50) has become somewhat weak now or to put it better we can say that the power of bulls is now being challenged by the bears. In this phase the trader needs to become really cautious and find some really good setups where the R:R should be given highest priority.
Above is the weekly chart of one such setup. Finolex cables gave a trend reversal signal and now the stock price is aiming towards its ATH price level. It has given a good clear breakout along with volumes ( also note the volume breakout in May) while the benchmark is falling. This fact makes this setup strong.
While currently the R:R is not favorable. I would wait for a pullback towards the green line which should now act as a support and any reversal signs after testing the green line would mark my entry into this scrip with 1st target at the red line.
I would request to whomsoever watches this idea, give sometime to this setup, mark your own entry/exit strategies before executing this trade.
Remember, a failed plan is far more rewarding than a successful guess. You can comment/message, any feedback/suggestions/applause.
Like I always say, let's learn and earn together :)
Pullback entry after breakout.After the breakout from a resistance of 170 zone, M&M FIn has entered to a new bullish territory, and is testing its previous resistance. Good signs are that a bullish engulfing candle has formed taking support of 20 EMA and RSI is also in bullish zone. Entry can be done from current levels till 173 with a SL of low of the breakout candle i.e. 171, hoping for an up move upto 200. targets can also be seen as per fibonacci levels. Any move below 165 will end its trend.
PULLBACK
Generally, Pullback is occur when stock price break above the resistance line and gain some percentage, but after that it take a pause and fall down to that previous resistance line which just have broken. Also that line act as a support line, because when a resistance line break that line act as a support line, most of the time.
Pullback give an opportunity to an investor or trader to enter that trade if anybody missed when breakout was occur.
Strongest among peers.Sunpharma is continously in uptrend and had given a breakout after a good consolidation. Stock has tested its resistance and got a bounce back from that zone. Here is the reason why we can take a entry here:-
1.RSI is above 60 in both weekly and daily chart, which shows strong momentum.
2.Stock is out performing both NIFTY and PHARMA index.
3.Price taking support from EMA as well as previous resistance, shows an uptrend.
Entry- Above 827
SL- Below 780
1st Target- 865
Crude Oil Weekly Trendline Pullback CompletionCrude Oil continuous futures contract on the weekly chart seems to have pulled back from its decade+ old trend line breakout. Breakout happened in Jun'21 and crude bounced back on the trend line. We have seen successful bounce from the trend line support and can expect the price to turn bullish from here on the weekly scale. If so, 76 would be the immediate target for Crude.
VENKEY #VENKEY (W): Maintaining an uptrend with correct higher high and higher low formations, it has now established a new higher low. Return to the prior breakthrough zone for a retest.
1) Retest Done
2) Risk to Reward Ratio is good :)
#Disclaimer:- View shared is for educational purposes only. Conduct your due diligence before making any trading/investment decisions.
#Stocktowatch
WAIT FOR A PULLBACK TO ENTER LONGS IN VEDLVEDL had a successful breakout on 29.07.21 and would have given around Rs 60 profit. Since the stock is an uptrend would it be prudent to enter now.
My thinking is since the stock has given a good profit in the push phase we should wait for a pull back to enter fresh longs.
Also we have a negative divergence. So wait and watch before committing to fresh longs.
How to take swing trades - catching the best breakouts!
1. Find stocks which trading in a range. Longer the range - the bigger the move.
2. Wait for price to show strength. Don't jump all in at the breakout. Gradually build positions. Take a small position at breakout and a bigger one at pullback continuation.