ONGC: Chart set up and trading strategy
ONGC
Observations
- we are looking at daily candlestick chart pattern
- In Jan 2023 stock faced resistance around 151-152 odd levels
- mid Feb we see a breakout
- currently the stock is holding on above 151 odd levels
set up opens up doors for upside up to 166-168 odd levels
SL If stock is closing below 150 on daily charts
I have gone with a trading strategy which gives me complete protection below 152.
Focus on your Risk Management and plan your trade accordingly.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Putoptoin
Game of Positions: Friday Index F&O Trade data analysis This is not a recommendation.
Trading in Futures & Options involves real money and high risk. Hence there is a need to do more study before you randomly take a decision.
Just like in a game of Chess, when you plan to make a move, you need to factor in opposition's game strategy.
Using the same principle, when trading in Futures & Options, we should be aware of how 3 major participants i.e
- retail participants,
- FIIS
- Proprietary traders
have positioned themselves. DIIs have not been factored in here as they have limited access to F&O trade
Futures data
• Retail participants squared off 142 Long contracts & squared off 2.71K Shor t contracts
• FIIs squared off 5.99K Long c ontracts & added 6.89K Short contracts
• Pro traders added 5.06K Long contracts & squared off 6.20K Short Contracts
Call option
• Retail traders added 4.26 Lakh Call Longs & added 3.91 Lakh Call shorts
• FIIs added 54.92K Call Longs & added 70.17K Call short
• Pro traders added 1.14 Lakh Call Longs & added 1.34 Lakh Call shorts
Put option
• Retail traders added 2.24 Lakh Put Long & added 2.79 Lakh Put shorts
• FIIs added 62.13K Put Long & added 40.61K Put shorts
• Pro traders added 89.54K Put Long & added 67.18K Put Short contracts
- Retail Participants exited from Index Futures shorts and in Options are Net Call Buyers and Net Put sellers (bias is bullish)
- FIIs on the other hand exited from Index Futures Long and added Index Futures Short positions and in Options are Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers (bias is bearish)
- Pro traders have taken long position in Index Futures and exited from Short positions. However, they have hedged their position in Options by being Net Call sellers and Net Put buyers (Neutral)
Let us see who turns out to be the winner in this Game of Positions on Monday.
Important levels for Nifty
Important levels on upper side: 15960 /16030
Important levels on the downside: 15780 / 15628 / 15450
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Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
- we do our best to ensure that the data we release is complete, accurate and useful. However, because we do not create the data, and because the processing required to make the data useful is complex, we cannot be liable for omissions or inaccuracies
– The user expressly acknowledges that the Data may contain some nonconformities, defects, or errors.
– Neither Indiamarketoutlook nor the author shall be liable for any claim for any loss, or any other damage arising from access to or use of data or information contained herewith.
Nifty: Are you with the trend or against the trend???Nifty
CMP 15853
Observations
- Nifty traded in down trend channel since Feb 2021 till April 2021
- Currently Nifty is trading in Uptrend channel
Now that we have identified the trend, let us look and analyze Futures & Options data for 05 July 2021 and understand how each market participant viz
- the Retail traders,
- FIIs and
- Proprietary traders
have positioned themselves.
Futures Data:
- Retail traders bought 1086 Long contracts & exited from 8397 Short contracts
- FIIs bought 3487 Long contracts and added 4663 Short Contracts
- Proprietary traders booked profits in 1314 Long contracts and added 5060 Short Contracts
Call option data:
- Retail traders added 29.56 K Long Call Contracts and added 69.42K Short Call Contracts
- FIIs added 18.95K Long Call contracts and added 13.34 K Short Call Contracts
- Proprietary traders added 80.38 K Call Long contracts and added 46.13 K Call Short Contracts
Put Option data
- Retail traders bought 3.16 Lakhs Put Long Contracts and added 2.64 Lakh Put Short Contracts
- FIIs added 5.98 K Put Long Contracts and Shorted 21.77 K Put Contracts
- Proprietary traders bought 83.08 K Put Long and Shorted 1.18 Lakh Put Contracts
Retail traders have exited from Futures Short position but still have a negative bias and have positioned in Options against the trend for a fall in Nifty
FIIs and Proprietary traders on the other hand are less active in Futures but in Options have positioned themselves with the trend for more upside to neutral play
Plan your trade accordingly...!!!
Trust, you would find this analysis helpful. If yes then
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But don't just follow me blindly
Learn and identify opportunities independently
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If you have been following me, our strategy is already in place.
Strategy update
Suggested selling 15 July expiry
15700 Put option around 120
CMP 42
Profit of 78 points so far per lot.
Take care & safe trading
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be