Asian Paints | Possible Bottom ? ⭕️ Swing Trading opportunity: Price Action Analysis Alert !!!⭕️
💡✍️Technical Reasons to trade or Strategy applied :-
✅Inverted Head & Shoulder Chart Pattern Bull Breakout
✅Breakout confirmed
✅Rise in Volume
✅Good 3 touches Trendline Breakout with volume
✅Clear uptrend with HH & HLs sequence
✅ Order block as potential Target
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Rallybaserally
SYNGENE: A Confluence of Demand Zones Worth Watching
Understanding the market moves through the lens of demand and supply zones can give traders a critical edge. I’ve been looking at SynGene International ( NSE:SYNGENE ), and I think it’s at a super interesting level right now. Let me break it down for you in a simple way!
📈 Why SynGene Looks Promising Right Now
Triple Timeframe Demand Zone Confluence : NSE:SYNGENE is trading in demand zones across the 75-minute, 125-minute, and daily timeframes. This rare alignment of zones suggests that "smart money" may be active here. Demand zones represent areas where unfilled buy orders are likely to exist, making this confluence a highly positive factor for demand-supply zone traders.
Absence of Supply Zones : No supply zones are visible on the current timeframes or even on the weekly chart. This indicates that price movement may face minimal resistance ahead. The absence of supply zones on the higher timeframe (weekly) places the stock in a "wholesale area" as per Curve (location) analysis.
Quality Demand Zone : The demand zones currently in play were instrumental in driving the price to an all-time high in the past. These zones follow-through candles broken multiple tested resistance levels, demonstrating their strength.
Act of Polarity : While the price is not precisely in the demand zone right now, it is trading at a level that previously acted as resistance. This "act of polarity" (where resistance becomes support) adds another layer of technical validity to this setup.
Uptrend on Higher Timeframe : The higher timeframe trend for SynGene remains upward, aligning well with the idea of buying on demand zones.
🎯 Key Trading Considerations
- Entry Strategy : Look for entry opportunities near the demand zone, ensuring your stop-loss (SL) is placed below the distal line of the demand zone with a buffer.
- Risk Management : Aim for a minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratio for your first target. If the price moves further upward, consider trailing your stop-loss to capture extended rallies.
- Safety is Key : While the setup is promising, remember that no setup is foolproof. Discipline with stop-losses.
Lastly, thank you for your support. Feel free to ask if you have any questions.
📢 Disclaimer : This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. Please note, I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Always consult with a financial professional before making trading or investment decisions.
TataMotors | Bullish from here ⭕️ Swing Trading opportunity: Price Action Analysis Alert !!!⭕️
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Honaut: Strong Daily Demand Zone & 44,000 Weekly SupportHonaut is currently trading entering a strong daily demand zone between 44,275 and 43,060, which could offer significant support if price stays within this range. Additionally, we observe a key weekly support line at 44,000 (also aligns with a psychological level). This makes it an even more significant area for potential price action.
Key Levels:
Daily Demand Zone: 44,275 and 43,060
Weekly resistance turned support Line: 44,000 (previous resistance now acting as support)
If the price remains within the demand zone, this could be an ideal area for potential reversals, especially with the added confluence of the 44,000 psychological level. Watch for price action confirmation and the possibility of an uptrend continuation or reversal as the price approaches this zone.
Reliance in confluence of demand zones- Long OpportunityReliance is currently sitting in the weekly and daily demand zones, providing strong support.
weekly zone
Daily zone:
However, the price has yet to reach the 4-hour and 2-hour demand zones, which are located near the bottom of the weekly and daily zones, adding further strength to this area.
For an ideal long entry, wait for the price to touch the 4-hour and 2-hour demand zones, as this will reinforce the potential reversal. Once these zones are tested, a breakout above the key trendline could signal a bullish move. Monitor the trendline breakout as confirmation to take a long position.
Reliance Industries: Opportunity in a Demand Zone ConfluenceReliance Industries Limited (RIL), one of India’s largest conglomerates, has recently experienced a drop in its share price. In the second quarter of FY25, the company reported a 5% decline in consolidated net profit, down to Rs 16,563 crore. While this has weighed on the stock price, it also presents a buying opportunity for traders.
Chart Analysis: A Confluence of Demand Zones
Let’s take a closer look at the technical picture. If you analyze the weekly chart of Reliance Industries, you’ll notice that the stock is currently trading in a demand zone . This zone is an area on the chart where there is strong buying interest, and it could potentially support the price, leading to a bounce.
What makes this setup more attractive is that the stock is also sitting in a daily demand zone , creating a confluence between the two timeframes. Confluences like this increase the probability of a successful trade since multiple factors align in the same direction.
Entry 1: Reversal Candlestick Pattern at the First Demand Zone
The first potential entry point for a trade comes from the RBR (Rally-Base-Rally) zone , which is the current demand zone on the weekly chart. If you observe a reversal candlestick pattern , this could signal the start of a move higher.
Wait for a confirmation of the reversal pattern before entering the trade. This pattern could serve as a signal that the market is ready to rally from the current demand zone. Let’s call this Entry 1 .
Entry 2: The Second Demand Zone - A Stronger Opportunity
If the price continues to drop, there’s a second RBR demand zone below the current one, and this could provide an even better buying opportunity. What makes this zone particularly strong is that it coincides with a previous resistance level, which could now act as support again .
This is known as the Act of Polarity , where old resistance becomes new support & this is also confluence. Entry 2 is compelling because the stock had previously been in a tight consolidation, and this demand zone formed as the price broke out of that consolidation. Now, as the price approaches this zone again, it’s a high-probability area for a bounce.
For Entry 2, you can place a stop-loss just below the demand zone, allowing a small buffer. This will protect your trade if the price falls further. Your first target could be the daily supply zone around 2928.
Despite recent setbacks, Reliance remains one of the strongest companies in India, with diversified business interests across sectors like telecom, retail, and energy. The current pullback is more of a short-term correction rather than a sign of fundamental weakness.
The confluence of demand zones on the weekly and daily charts offers traders a high-probability setup in Reliance Industries. While waiting for a reversal candlestick pattern at the first demand zone is a more conservative approach, the second demand zone presents a stronger opportunity due to confluence of its location at a previous resistance level, which now acts as support. Proper risk management with a stop-loss below the second demand zone ensures that traders are protected if the price drops further.
Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes & comments.
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
ZydusLife | Looking bullish ⭕️ Swing Trading opportunity: Price Action Analysis Alert !!!⭕️
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Force Motors: A Technical and Fundamental Play in Demand ZoneWelcome traders! Today, we're diving deep into Force Motors, a stock currently sitting in a significant demand zone. Let’s break down the technical and fundamental aspects that make this stock an interesting opportunity.
Monthly and Weekly Demand Zones:
When we look at the monthly chart , Force Motors is currently trading in a strong Rally Base Rally (RBR) demand zone . This zone is a crucial area where price often finds support and can lead to a bounce back.
If we zoom into the weekly chart , we notice that the price has already reacted from a weekly RBR demand zone nested inside the monthly zone. Last week’s candle formation is notable because it’s an absorption candle , indicating that the selling pressure has been taken over by buyers.
📊 Volume Analysis:
The presence of large green volume bars compared to smaller red bars further suggests that the selling is minimal, showing a clear sign of strength.
The price is currently in a healthy pullback from its all-time high, which often provides a great buying opportunity for savvy traders.
🧠 Fundamental Strength: A Company on the Rise 💪
Force Motors is not just looking good technically; its fundamentals are also rock solid. The company's Piotroski F-score is 9, indicating strong financial health. This score assesses several financial criteria, including profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency, confirming that the company is fundamentally sound.
Recent quarterly (June 2024) numbers are impressive:
Net Sales: Rs 1,884.90 crore in June 2024, up 26.71% from June 2023.
Net Profit: Rs. 115.70 crore in June 2024, up 68.76% from June 2023.
EBITDA: Rs. 264.13 crore, up 37.52% from June 2023.
EPS: Increased to Rs. 87.81 from Rs. 52.04 in June 2023.
These numbers reflect not just growth but also consistent performance. Such fundamentals often provide a safety net for technical setups, adding an extra layer of confidence.
🔍 Institutional Interest: The Big Players Are Watching 👀
We always like to see where institutional money is flowing because it often moves the market. For Force Motors, the institutional investment data is promising:
FII/FPI holdings have increased from 6.34% to 7.78% in the June 2024 quarter.
Number of FII/FPI investors rose from 124 to 160.
Institutional Investors’ holdings jumped from 7.20% to 8.80%.
This surge in institutional interest tells us that the big players are finding value in Force Motors at these levels. Their buying can lead to further price appreciation as they tend to have a long-term view.
The current price is trading in area where institutions have increased their stakes most probably, indicating that these monthly and weekly demand zones are genuine footprints of smart money. This means we are aligning our trades with institutional players. The likelihood of the price falling from this area is quite low because institutions typically protect their positions. These demand zones suggest that there may be pending or unfilled buy orders from smart money, so entering a trade here means we are trading alongside these big players.
💡 Trade Setup: A Clear Plan for Traders 🗺️
Based on the technical and fundamental analysis, here’s a potential trade setup:
Entry: You can consider buying at the current price level, which is within the strong demand zone.
Stop Loss: Place your SL below the demand zone or, if you don't want to take big risk, just keep SL below last week’s candle low with a buffer.
Target: Aim for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. You can ride the rally by trailing your stop-loss, ensuring you lock in gains as the stock moves in your favor
⚠️ A Word of Caution: Always Manage Your Risk
Trading is about probabilities, not certainties. Even the best setups can fail, so always manage your risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only. I'm not a SEBI registered analyst, and you should do your own research before making any trading decisions.
🔥 Keep Trading and Keep Growing! 📈💪
"Success in trading is not about being right, but about managing your risk and emotions." 💡
Thank you for your support, likes, and comments. Feel free to ask any questions! Your interaction keeps me motivated to share more valuable insights.
Happy trading, and may the markets be ever in your favor! 🎯🚀
IRCTC Long Trade OpportunityIRCTC stock is in a strong Uptrend & forming new highs.
There is a Rally-Base-Rally Demand Zone formation around 1045.
If the stock retraces to the demand zone , it will offer a good opportunity to go long and join the uptrend.
Stop Loss to be placed slightly below the demand zone, preferably on a candle closing basis.
First target will be the immediate swing high , where one can book partial profits & trail the rest for bigger gains.
Unlocking Potential: A Deep Dive into Elecon Engineering's ChartWelcome to today's analysis of NSE:ELECON , where we explore a compelling trading scenario fuelled by recent stock activities.
📊 The Breakout Story
Elecon Engineering hit a record high in its previous Friday trading session, breaking past its former resistance with impressive volume. The surge was marked by a robust breakout candle, signalling strong buyer interest.
Following this significant high, the stock opened the today with a sizeable gap up. Interestingly, the subsequent movement saw the stock retrace downwards on notably lower volumes. This behavior is typically indicative of a 'retest' of the breakout level.
The retest scenario presents a potential buying opportunity at a specific demand zone identified on the 15-minute timeframe. This strategy focuses on the Rally-Base-Rally pattern, suggesting a tactical entry around 1130.
📈 Strategic Trade Setup
Entry Point: The proposed entry is at the Rally-Base-Rally demand zone, calculated around the 1130 level.
Stop Loss: A stop loss is advised at a 3% decrease from the entry point to limit potential downside.
Profit Target: The initial target for taking profits is set at a 10% gain from the entry level, offering a risk-reward ratio of over 1:3.
Management Strategy: To maximize gains, a trailing stop loss is recommended, which allows profits to run while safeguarding against sudden downturns.
📉 Recent Financial Highlights
Elecon Engineering has recently announced its consolidated financial results for the quarter ending March 2024:
Net Sales: Rs. 564.62 crore, a surge of 32.99% compared to Rs. 424.54 crore in March 2023.
Net Profit: Rs. 103.65 crore, up 52.55% from Rs. 67.95 crore in the same quarter last year.
EBITDA: Rs. 148.40 crore, reflecting a growth of 47.43% from Rs. 100.66 crore in March 2023.
These financial metrics not only reflect a robust growth trajectory but also bolster the stock’s attractiveness in the eyes of potential investors and traders.
Lastly, Thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
🌟 “Every day is a new opportunity to reach that goal.” 🌟
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and does not constitute a trading or investment recommendation. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
TGV Sraac Ltd - Looks Good!BSE:TGVSL Looks good for an uptrend!
It seems like a potential trend reversal in this stock, possibly in the context of technical analysis.
Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Price Reaching a Bottom: This suggests that the stock price has been in a downtrend for a period, and it has recently stopped declining or slowed down significantly.
Signs of Reversal: This indicates that there are indications or patterns in the price movement that suggest the trend may be changing. These signs can include technical indicators, candlestick patterns, or other chart patterns.
Breaking Upward: This means that the stock price has moved above a specific level or trendline, often referred to as a resistance level. Breaking above this level is seen as a bullish signal.
Period of Uncertainty or Consolidation: Prior to the breakout, the price may have been moving sideways in a range, which is known as consolidation. This phase typically indicates indecision in the market.
When traders and investors observe these patterns and signs, they may interpret it as an opportunity to enter a long (buy) position, anticipating that the price will continue to rise.
However, it's important to note that technical analysis is just one approach to market analysis, and it should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis (fundamental, sentiment, etc.) to make informed trading decisions. Additionally, not all trend reversals are successful, so risk management is crucial in trading.
Proximal and Distal Line Plotting For Supply and Demand ZonesProximal and Distal lines are important components of any Supply and Demand zone. One needs to plot two horizontal lines to mark Supply and Demand Zones. To know How to draw these lines, you need to understand Supply and Demand Zone formations.
Proximity means nearest to the current price, while distal means farthest from the current price.
What is the need to draw Proximal and Distal lines on a zone?
As a Supply and Demand trader, one needs to know which price point to enter and where to exit.
The proximal line is used to define the entry point into a trade, and the Distal line defines the Stopping Point. We place our stop losses slightly beyond the distal lines of the zones.
Have a look at the above image
Supply zones are located above the current market price and Demand zones are located below the current market price.
In the illustration above, CMP is Rs.1668.3
The green-shaded zone below CMP is the Demand zone. It has two horizontal lines one at Rs.1607.65 which is nearer to the current price, and it forms the proximal line, whereas the other horizontal line is at Rs.1588.75 which is far away as compared to Rs.1607.65, so it constitutes the distal line of the demand zone
The pink-shaded zone above CMP is the Supply zone. It has two horizontal lines one at Rs.1688 which is nearer to the current price, and it forms the proximal line, whereas the other horizontal line is at Rs.1702.4 which is far away as compared to Rs.1688, so it constitutes the distal line of Supply zone.
How to Draw Proximal and Distal Lines for a Demand Zone
A Demand zone is a designated area on a chart where Demand exceeds Supply, and there is a high likelihood of having pending Institutional Buy Orders. We look to enter long trades when the price retraces back to the demand zone, in doing so we also participate along with the Institutions which increases the probability of the trade working in our favour. So it's important to correctly identify the Proximal line and Distal line of a Demand Zone. Let u see how to mark the Proximal and Distal line of a Demand Zone
Proximal Line Marking For A Demand Zone
Irrespective of whether it’s a DBR or RBR Demand zone, the proximal line marking method remains the same. There are multiple ways to mark proximal lines, I will discuss the one that I follow and is widely used. While marking the proximal line we look at only the Base Candles, Proximal line is plotted at the Highest Wick of the base candles.
Distal Line Marking For A Demand Zone
There is a slight variation while marking distal lines, depending upon whether it’s a DBR or RBR Demand Zone
Distal Line For DBR Demand Zone
We need to consider all three components, Leg In, Base Candles & Leg Out. The distal line is plotted at the lowest point of the entire formation.
Distal Line For RBR Demand Zone
We need to ignore the Leg In and focus only on the Base candles and the Leg Out. The distal line is plotted at the lowest point of either the Base candles or the Leg Out, whichever is lower.
How to Draw Proximal and Distal Lines for a Supply Zone
A Supply zone is a designated area on a chart where Supply exceeds Demand, and there is a high likelihood of having pending Institutional Sell Orders. We look to enter Short trades when the price retraces back to the supply zone, in doing so we also participate along with the Institutions which increases the probability of the trade working on our favour. So it's important to correctly identify the Proximal line and Distal line of a Supply Zone. Let u see how to mark the Proximal and Distal lines of a Supply Zone
Proximal Line Marking For A Supply Zone
Irrespective of whether it’s an RBD or DBD Supply zone, the proximal line marking method remains the same. There are multiple ways to mark proximal lines, I will discuss the one that I follow and is widely used. While marking the proximal line we look at only the Base Candles, Proximal line is plotted at the Lowest Wick of the base candles.
Distal Line Marking For A Supply Zone
There is a slight variation while marking distal lines, depending upon whether it’s an RBD or DBD Supply Zone
Distal Line For RBD Supply Zone
We need to consider all three components, Leg In, Base Candles & Leg Out. Distal line is plotted at the highest point of the entire formation.
Distal Line For DBD Supply Zone
We need to ignore the Leg In, focus only on the Base candles and the Leg Out. Distal line is plotted at the Highest point of either the Base candles or the Leg Out, whichever is Higher.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the Proximal and Distal lines are critical components of the Supply and Demand Trading Strategy. Knowing how to properly place them is essential for the correct identification of zones. Supply and Demand Zone formations when combined with other factors like Trend, Location, and Quality attributes of the zone form a very sound rule-based Price Action Trading Strategy.
Price Action Trading Using Supply & Demand ZonesSupply and Demand Trading Strategy is a price action strategy that focuses on identifying Institutional Buying & Selling Footprints on a Price Chart. This strategy doesn’t rely on any indicators or oscillators; entire focus is on Price Action.
Owing to the sheer large size of their orders, Institutional buying or selling leaves behind certain footprints which create specific chart patterns.
Price Action Trading Methodology relies on a vast number of Price Patterns, however Supply Demand Trading Methodology focuses only 4 Specific Price Formations. These are classified as Supply & Demand Zones.
Supply & Demand Zones
These zones are areas on a price chart where price in the past had spent very little time and had moved in an explosive manner. Such sharp moves in price is possible only because of Institutional buying or selling. Owing to the structure of these zones, there is a very high likelihood of having unfilled institutional orders in any zone.
Demand Zone Formations
Rally-Base-Rally (RBR)
A Rally- Base- Rally is a price action pattern that represents the formation of a Demand Zone. It is generally found in strong uptrends, indicating a continuation of the uptrend. This type of pattern is characterized by a leg-in candle followed by a basing of candlesticks and then another Big Explosive leg-out candle. If you look at the leg out candle created in the chart below, it shows a strong vertical rally which is very likely due to institutional buying activity.
Drop-Base-Rally (DBR)
A Drop-Base-Rally is a formation that represents another Demand Zone pattern. It is a reversal formation, in which a drop is followed by a sideways price movement and then a strong bullish rally. The leg out candle ideally should be a big explosive move which will depict institutional buying activity.
Supply Zone Formations
Drop-Base-Drop (DBD)
Drop-Base-Drop is a price action pattern that represents a Supply zone. A bearish drop followed by a basing or sideways price movement and then an explosive bearish continuation downwards. It is a continuation pattern which can be used to trade & participate in the down trend.
Rally-Base-Drop (RBD)
Rally-Base -Drop is a price action pattern that represents another supply zone. This formation is characterized by an upward move then a basing of candles and a strong explosive move downwards. Explosive drop after basing indicates the footprint of institutional selling activity. This formation is generally found at the end of an Uptrend signalling a reversal.
Trade Action at Zones
Supply & Demand trading methodology is a retracement strategy. Long trades can be initiated when price retraces to a Demand Zone & Short trades can be initiated when price retraces to a Supply Zone.
However, all zone formations aren’t alike, one must qualify the zones based on factors like how Explosive was the move from the zone, how much time price spent in the zone & most importantly what Reward to Risk Ratios do they zones provide.
These zone formations combined with Trend, Location & Multiple Time Frame Analysis lays down the ground rules for Supply Demand Trading.