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India Shelter Finance (NSE:INDIASHLTR) - Early Breakout Alert📌 Trade Setup: Entry: Above ₹811 (Preferably wait for a daily close above this level). Stop Loss: ₹699 (Closing basis). Target: ₹1,050+ (Positional). Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~2.0+ (Depending on entry confirmation). 📊 Technical Overview: ✅ The stock has been consolidating in a base and is attempting a breakout today. ✅ The candle structure looks strong and wide, indicating momentum. ✅ RSI is in a good zone, signaling strength. ✅ Trading above 200 DMA and 50 DMA, indicating bullish structure. ✅ The finance sector is showing early signs of recovery. 💡 Volume is key! While there's a slight improvement, we need stronger volume confirmation for conviction. 📈 Key Fundamentals: Metric Value Market Cap ₹8,770 Cr. Current Price ₹813 Stock P/E 25.3 Book Value ₹231 Dividend Yield 0.00% ROCE (Return on Capital Employed) 12.2% ROE (Return on Equity) 14.0% Face Value ₹5.00 💡 Fundamental View: The stock is trading at a P/E of 25.3, which is reasonable for a growing financial company. ROE of 14% and ROCE of 12.2% indicate decent profitability. No dividend yield as the company is focused on growth. ⚠️ Risk Considerations: 🚨 This is a counter-trend trade! The broader market is still uncertain, so we are taking a test position, NOT an aggressive bet. 🚨 This is NOT a guaranteed move up. The trade idea is to alert about a potential mover once the dust settles. 🚨 Risk management is crucial. Do NOT go all-in, thinking the market has found a bottom. Another round of fall is still possible. 📌 Trade Plan: Buy in small quantities above ₹811 and wait for follow-through confirmation or a potential retest. If the breakout sustains, consider adding more positions gradually. If the stock closes below ₹699, exit. 📌 Do your due diligence! This is an early-stage breakout attempt, and risk-reward should be managed carefully. 🚦 📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and NOT financial advice. Stock markets are subject to risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making any investment decisions. 🚨
NSE:INDIASHLTRLong
by sagartharayil
Bharti Airtel-Will it breakout and sustain?📊 Bharti Airtel Chart Analysis – Bharti Airtel is trading in an upward channel but recently fell out of it and started forming a base. The stock is at a critical juncture, currently near its 50 DMA, with volume building up. This suggests the potential for a breakout or breakdown, depending on broader market conditions and price action. 🎯 Trading Plan: 📌 EarlyEntry Zone: ₹1,710.50 (small quantities recommended initially). 📌 Stop Loss (SL): ₹1,501.90 (closing basis) – ~12.2% below the entry. 📌 Prtial booking/Fresh Entry: ₹1,777.30 (~3.9% gain from entry). 📌 Positional Target): ₹2,104.40 (~23% gain from entry). 📌 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 1:1.8 (approx.). ✨ Why This Setup? 📈 Trend Potential: Stock is trading above key DMAs (50, 200) despite the broader bearish market, highlighting its relative strength. 🏛️ Volume Support: Gradual volume accumulation near the 50 DMA indicates potential institutional interest. 📉 Downside Risks: The stock is against the overall bearish trend, increasing the chances of breakout failures in these market conditions. 🛡️ Risk Management: Entering in small quantities reduces risk, especially when the broader market is trending Lower High, Lower Low (LH LL). ⚠️ Risks to Consider: Market Trend: The broader market remains bearish, with weak sentiment and no structural change yet. Breakout Failure: Many breakouts in current conditions tend to retrace 10-20% brutally, shaking out weak hands. 💡 Tips for Trading This Setup: Partial Profits: Once the entry is triggered, consider booking partial profits along the way. Trailing SL: Use a trailing stop loss to lock in gains if the stock starts moving in your favor. Position Sizing: Keep position sizes small to manage risks effectively. Wait for Confirmation: Safe players should wait for the broader market to stabilize above 50 and 200 DMA and structure to shift to Higher High, Higher Low (HH HL). 📝 Educational Takeaway: Stocks like Bharti Airtel, which are among the least affected in a bearish market, can outperform once the market stabilizes. However, in current conditions, the probability of breakout failures is high, so it’s essential to follow risk management and avoid aggressive positions. 🚀 Stay Disciplined and Trade Smart! 📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research and consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trading and investing involve risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
NSE:BHARTIARTLLong
by sagartharayil
Senores Pharmaceuticals IPO Base BreakouAnalysis: Senores Pharmaceuticals Structure: IPO Base Breakout 🌟 Entry: Above ₹610 (preferably on a closing basis) Stop Loss (SL): ₹499 (Closing Basis) ❗ SL Percentage: -18.20% 📉 Target Levels: T1: ₹849 (+39.18%) 🎯 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 1:2.15 ⚖️ Technical Highlights: 📌 Volume Surge: Today's volume is 2x-3x higher than previous sessions, indicating strong interest. 📌 Price Action: Candle traded right at the All-Time High (ATH) but didn’t close above it. Pharma sector is holding up despite the broader market correction. 📌 Market Condition: Risky Setup: Trading against the trend as Nifty remains below 200 DMA and 50 DMA. Overall market structure is still weak, increasing the probability of a big fall. Key Strategy: ⚡ Buy Small Quantity: At breakout levels; wait for a potential retest to add more. ⚡ Position Sizing is Key: Due to the deep SL, risk management is crucial. ⚡ Discipline Required: Avoid emotional trading in such setups. Risks: 1️⃣ Nifty Weakness: Broader market correction can weigh on individual stocks. 2️⃣ Trend Reversal: Pharma sector performance is not guaranteed to sustain in this correction. 💬 Trade Safe and Stay Disciplined! ⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:SENORESLong
by sagartharayil
Kamat Hotels - Bullish Breakout with Massive VolumeKamat Hotels - Bullish Breakout with Massive Volume 🚀 📊 Timeframe: Daily Trade Setup 🔹 Entry Level: ₹273.20 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): ₹226.11 (~17.23% below entry) 🔹 Target Levels: T1 (Pivot High of April 2024): ₹315.45 (+15.46%) 🟢 T2 (Positional Target - ATH): ₹374.00 (+36.93%) 🏆 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): R:R for T1: 0.89 R:R for T2: 2.14 Technical Highlights 🔥 Volume Spike: Breakout supported by 4-5x higher volumes than recent sessions. Volume is the key reason for this suggestion. 📈 Price Journey: The stock started its upward journey in March 2020, slowly rising while trading inside a channel. Made a peak (ATH) in January 2024, followed by a sharp fall. After the fall, the stock formed a base and consolidated, leading to the current breakout. 📈 Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: ₹292.45 (Pivot High from May 2024 – 8 months ago). Target 1: ₹315.45 (April 2024 Pivot High). 🌟 Candle Analysis: Strong, clean candle with no upper shadow, showing bullish strength. 📊 Trend Consideration: While technically bullish, keep in mind this is against the broader trend, which increases the risk of failure. 💡 Pyramiding Opportunity: Consider adding positions gradually (pyramiding) on follow-through price action. Fundamental Perspective ⚠️ Fundamentals: Nothing extraordinary here; this is purely a technical trade driven by a volume-backed breakout. Actionable Advice & Risks 🔍 Wait and Watch: Look for follow-through price action before committing significant capital. ⚡ Sharp Retracement Risk: Breakouts can often retrace sharply, especially against the trend. Consider adding only small quantities or trade according to your risk appetite. ❗ Trend Risk: 2 out of 3 trades fail if the market sentiment turns bearish, so trade cautiously when going against the prevailing trend. Disclaimer This idea is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor and trade according to your risk tolerance. Summary: The stock shows a technically strong breakout, supported by massive volume, and has been gradually rising since March 2020, trading inside a channel. It made an ATH in January 2024, followed by a sharp fall, formed a base, and consolidated before breaking out. Immediate resistance lies at ₹292.45, followed by T1 at ₹315.45, and positional traders can aim for the ATH of ₹374. While fundamentals are not strong, the volume-backed breakout and clean price action make this a compelling technical setup. Be cautious of retracements and manage your risk effectively.
NSE:KAMATHOTELLong
by sagartharayil
SRF Update – Trading Near a 3-Year Range Watch for breakout📌 Cheat Entry: ₹2704 📌 Entry: ₹2864 (ATH Level) 📌 Stop Loss: ₹2259.8 (Closing Basis, -16.6%) 📌 Target 1: ₹3386 (+25%, R:R 1:1.5 from Cheat Entry) 📌 Positional Target: ₹3910 (+44.6%, R:R 1:2.7 from Cheat Entry) 💡 How to Trade: 1️⃣ Test Quantities: Add small quantities above the Cheat Entry (₹2704). 2️⃣ Full Entry: Add the rest above the ATH breakout level (₹2864). 3️⃣ Look for a clean breakout with a wide-range candle supported by strong volumes. ⚠️ Position Sizing Tip: The market remains weak. Trade only 10% of your usual position size. Example: If you usually buy 100 stocks, buy 3 above Cheat Entry and the rest above ₹2864 (ATH breakout). ✅ Why Trade This Setup: 🏷️ Stock has been in a range since Oct 2021 and is now trading below its ATH. 📈 Once the ATH is broken, no resistance remains, setting the stage for a potential Stage 2 breakout. 🚀 Stock gapped up on Jan 9, 2025, with volumes 7x-8x higher than previous sessions—a potential breakaway gap. 🔑 Trading above key DMAs, showing resilience in a falling market. ⚠️ Risks to Watch: Nifty 50 & Overall Market: The structure remains Lower-High, Lower-Low (LL-LH). Any bounce could be just a natural pullback within this structure. If Nifty or the broader market falls further, the probability of failure increases significantly. Until Nifty & broader market close above 200 DMA & 50 DMA, and change the structure to HH-HL, the risks are amplified. Probability: 2 out of 3 trades may fail in such conditions. 💡 Pro Tip: Trade small quantities unless you’re skilled at managing risk. Missing a rally is better than burning your capital. 📜 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Please consult with a certified financial advisor and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading or investment decisions. 🔍 Final Thoughts: 📊 This trade aligns with the potential for a major breakout, but it’s crucial to manage risk and position sizing carefully. Make decisions based on your risk appetite and always do your due diligence.
NSE:SRFLong
by sagartharayil
Smallcap Index Breakdown: Retailers Brace for Impact!Smallcap Index Breakdown: Retailers Brace for Impact! The Smallcap Index has fallen decisively out of its rectangle base. While it briefly re-entered the zone, it has now resumed its breakdown trajectory, signalling more pain ahead for portfolios. 🔎 What to Watch For: Testing of the 14,900 support seems increasingly probable. A 2-3% drop in Nifty could potentially double the impact on Midcap, Smallcap, and Microcap indices. Retail investors, especially those who bought near the highs, are likely to feel the brunt of this breakdown. ⚠️ Why It Matters: Breakdown in Smallcap and Microcap indices could trigger widespread panic selling. Investors need to manage risks proactively and avoid emotional decisions. The recent breakdown is a reminder to maintain disciplined investing and avoid impulsive decisions. Focus on long-term strategies that align with your goals and risk appetite. 💡 Actionable Insight: Rather than reacting emotionally to the market, this is a good time to focus on capital protection strategies. Ensure you’re following proper risk management and avoid overexposure to high-risk assets. 💬 Let’s Discuss: How do you plan to navigate this potential storm? Will the index find support at 14,900, or is more downside imminent? 🛑 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Please consult with your financial advisor for personalized guidance.
NSE:CNXSMALLCAPShort
by sagartharayil
RGL Global Ltd. Base Breakout!Analysis of Renaissance Global Ltd (RGL) Technical Overview: Base Breakout: Immediate resistance at ₹217.62. Safe Traders: Wait for the ₹217–₹218 level to break with high volume and a strong Wide Range Candle (WRC) for confirmation. Entry Level: ₹205.77. Stop Loss (SL): ₹179.27 (12.88%). Target 1 (T1): ₹251.60 (+22.28%). Target 2 (T2): ₹297.10 (+44.45%). Risk-Reward (R:R): 1:1.73 for T1, 1:3.45 for T2. Technical Highlights: Volume: Significant increase, indicating accumulation. RSI: Gaining strength, showing bullish momentum. Fundamental Overview: Market Cap: ₹1939 crore. P/E Ratio: 26.2 (compare with sector P/E for evaluation). ROCE: 8.25%, reflecting mediocre efficiency. Fundamentals aren't highly attractive but technicals suggest good potential. Key Risks: Sector Comparison: Evaluate P/E and ROCE against industry peers. Breakout Strength: Ensure price sustains above ₹217–₹218 with robust volume for safer entry. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade based on your risk tolerance.
NSE:RGLLong
by sagartharayil
WEL- Base breakout! Looks good positionally... WEL Broke out of a Base Volume is improving RSI indicates strength Trading above Key DMAs Resilient to the market correction and did not correct that much Entry: 184.5 SL: 145-Closing basis Positional Target: 261 RR: 1:1.85 ⚠️The market is currently bearish, and these trades go against the prevailing trend. Exercise caution, focus on proper position sizing, and trade lightly to manage risk effectively. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:WELLong
by sagartharayil
Aegis Trying to breakout of a long consolidation. Observations: 1⃣Trying to break out of consolidation/DarvasBox. 2⃣Closed Right below previous ATH/Resistance. 3⃣Huge Volume 5⃣Inverse Head &Shoulders on DTF. 6⃣Dry Volume During Consolidation/Pullback. 1⃣Action Plan: ➡️Entry Strategy: Enter on a retest of ₹969.5 in case of a gap-up opening or Enter Above 1017.25 with 50% qty and wait for a retest. 2⃣Risk Management: Place a stop loss at ₹843(Day Closing Basis). ➡️Use trailing stops to lock in profits as targets are reached. ➡️Volume Confirmation: Monitor for sustained volume above average to ensure the breakout is genuine. ➡️The confluence of the Inverse Head and Shoulders and Darvas Box breakout significantly strengthens the bullish case. Market is very weak. So exercise extreme caution and manage the risk.
NSE:AEGISLOGLong
by sagartharayil
2
Jash Enginering. Watch for a Base Breakout!Stock: Jash Engineering Ltd. Chart Pattern: Breakout from a consolidation range. Key Levels:Entry: ₹655.5 Stop Loss (SL): ₹545.10 Expected T1: 777 Observations: - Strong bullish momentum with a 10.23% move today. -Price consolidating and forming a base -Above key moving averages. -Resilient in Bearish Market -Volume spike indicates strong buying interest. -Strong RSI -Stock is in an Uptrend. -Takes Support at 50 and 200 DMA on each pull back. Risk-Reward: Favorable setup for swing traders. ⚠️Overall Market is Bearish. We are trading against the trend. Risk Management is important. If your Risk Management is poor then please do not trade. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
NSE:JASHLong
by sagartharayil
1
Darvas Box in Apollo Hospitals Enterprise LtdApollo Hospitals, is a leading integrated healthcare services provider in Asia with a robust presence across the healthcare ecosystem. The company has shown good profit growth of 34.3% CAGR over the last 5 years and maintains a healthy dividend payout of 22.6%. Technical Analysis Consolidation: The stock has been consolidating for the last 15 - 18 days and is ready to give a breakout for a new high. Darvas Box Formation: The stock formed a Darvas Box at its 52-week high and corrected around 15%. Volume: Volume is starting to increase, indicating potential for a breakout. Entry Point: Early entry can be taken around the highlighted range with a stop loss of ₹7,130. Target: Open /Trail What do you think about this? 🙂
NSE:APOLLOHOSPLong
by Vikrant_Mighty
MegaSoft On the verge of a breakout!#Megasoft. ⚠️Risky bet Technical. - Trying to break out of a prolonged consolidation. -Closed right below a previous resistance. -The past few trading sessions price has been moving up with increased volume forming bullish candles. 🟢Entry Above-108. 🟢SL- Short term- 96- closing basis. 🟢SL-Positional,- 83, is very deep so trade very light. 🟢Target 1(Positional)- 138 🟢Target 2(Positional)- 185 Fundamentally Very Weak. Extreme caution should be exercised. The recent diversification might help them improve the fundamentals and it might be reflecting on the chart. Brief about the Company. Megasoft Limited, established in 1994 and headquartered in Hyderabad, India, operates primarily in the IT consulting and outsourcing industry. The company has recently diversified into sectors such as pharmaceuticals, defence, and manufacturing. Corporate Restructuring: Megasoft has redefined its business focus to include pharmaceuticals, defence, and manufacturing, indicating a strategic shift towards these sectors. Open Offer: Sri Power Generation (India) Private Limited made an open offer to acquire equity shares of Megasoft, signaling potential changes in the ownership structure. Megasoft Limited is undergoing a strategic transformation by diversifying into new sectors. While the company has reported an increase in net profit and EPS, challenges remain, as indicated by certain financial ratios. Investors should monitor the company's restructuring efforts and their impact on financial performance in the coming years. #TradingSignals #stocktobuy
NSE:MEGASOFTLong
by sagartharayil
Anant Raj Ltd- Broke out of consolidation.📊 Stock: Anant Raj Ltd. 📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart 🚀 Breakout Alert! Key Observations: Breakout Zone: The price has recently broken out of a consolidation range (highlighted in the green box). The breakout appears clean with a strong bullish candle, indicating upward momentum. Entry Point: The suggested entry level is marked at ₹874.90 (highlighted with a dashed purple line above the breakout zone). The stock currently trades near this level, suggesting the breakout is still actionable. Stop-Loss (SL): The stop-loss level is set at ₹693.25 (on a closing basis), below the consolidation range, providing a safety margin if the breakout fails. SL is Deep so position sizing is key. Trend Indicators: The 50-day moving average (green line) and the 200-day moving average (yellow line) are sloping upward, signalling a strong bullish trend. Price remains significantly above both these levels, affirming bullish dominance. Volume Analysis: A visible spike in volume during the breakout suggests strong participation from market participants, adding reliability to the upward move. Target Levels: Though not explicitly marked, potential target levels could be extrapolated using Fibonacci extensions or prior resistance levels. The upward purple dashed lines may indicate rough target zones. Analysis: Risk-Reward Ratio: Assuming a target at ₹950 or above, the risk-reward ratio appears favourable considering the SL is at ₹693.25. Bullish Sentiment: The clean breakout with high volume is a strong bullish signal. The consolidation before the breakout adds strength to the move, as it represents accumulation. Strategy Recommendation: Entry: Enter above ₹874.90 if today's close sustains above this level. Stop-Loss: ₹693.25 (strictly on a closing basis). Targets: Short-term: ₹950 Medium-term: ₹1,000 or more, depending on broader market conditions. Monitor volume closely! -A continuation of rising volume will add confidence to this breakout. -Price pulling back with huge volume is a cause for concern. And remember the market is bearish. So please position size and manage risk properly. Do not scale everything in one go. It is better to trade light. If you are new to the market it is better to sit in the sidelines and watch until we get a clarity.
NSE:ANANTRAJLong
by sagartharayil
4
ITI Technically looks Good. Potential stage 2 Underway.📈 Stock Analysis: Indian Telephone Industries Limited (ITI) - Daily Chart 📊 🟪Setup Overview: ➡️Entry Zone: ₹408.65 ➡️Current Price: ₹379.20 ➡️Stop Loss: ₹323.70 (Closing Basis)-Deep SL. Manage risk and position size properly. ➡️Target 1: ₹501.20 ➡️Probable Long-Term Target: ₹718.85 🟪Key Observations: ➡️Volume Spurt: Recent bullish candles are accompanied by notable volume spikes, indicating accumulation and strong buying interest. ➡️Range Breakout in Progress: The stock has been consolidating in a tight range for several months and is now showing signs of breaking out above the upper boundary. ➡️Technical Strength: The breakout aligns with a well-defined risk-reward setup. Higher volume near resistance increases the probability of a sustained move. ➡️Risk-Reward Ratio: With the stop-loss defined at ₹323.70 (closing basis), this setup offers a favorable risk reward for positional traders. ➡️Sectoral Support: ITI is part of a growing sector with robust demand potential, which adds a fundamental tailwind to this technical setup. 🟪Strategy: A decisive close above the Entry Zone (₹408.65) could trigger the next upward leg toward Target 1 (₹501.20). Long-term investors can look for a potential rally toward ₹718.85 if the trend sustains. Maintain strict discipline with the stop-loss to manage risk effectively. ⚠️Fundamentally very weak. ⚠️Still we are in a sell-on-rise market. ⚠️High Chances of breakouts failing. Once again reiterating the importance of risk management. 📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please do your own research before making any trading or investment decisions. 🙌
NSE:ITILong
by sagartharayil
2 years breakout coming soon in JINDAL WORLDWIDEWe can see the price is consolidation in a fixed range since 2023, a breakout 474 will likely take the price to 820 levels as per advance technical analysis. Jindal Worldwide Ltd., incorporated in the year 1986, is a Small Cap company (having a market cap of Rs 8,802.85 Crore) operating in Textiles sector. Jindal Worldwide Ltd. key Products/Revenue Segments include Textiles, Income from Project Development, Export Incentives and Other Operating Revenue for the year ending 31-Mar-2024. For the quarter ended 30-09-2024, the company has reported a Consolidated Total Income of Rs 571.35 Crore, up 15.67 % from last quarter Total Income of Rs 493.94 Crore and up 45.65 % from last year same quarter Total Income of Rs 392.27 Crore. Company has reported net profit after tax of Rs 17.33 Crore in latest quarter.
NSE:JINDWORLDLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit