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USDJPY: Bulls run out of steam, focus on US Retail Sales, 150.00USDJPY is stuck in a tight weekly trading range near the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), hovering between 149.30 and 150.00, as traders are on the lookout for the US Retail Sales report coming Thursday. Buyers need a strong boost to keep the reins In addition to the nervousness ahead of the data release and the 200-day EMA, the fading bullish momentum in the MACD and a steady RSI near overbought levels show that USDJPY is struggling to attract buyers. However, trading above key EMAs makes it tough for sellers to gain control. While bulls are likely to stay in charge, a pullback seems expected unless the upcoming data gives the US Dollar a lift. Key technical levels to watch If the US Dollar falls after the data, watch for the 149.30 level comprising the lower band of the immediate trading range and the 200-day EMA as key support. Following that, a quick drop to the 147.30-20 zone, including the 50-day EMA, is possible. However, the quote’s sustained weakness past 147.20 will make it vulnerable to slump toward the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement of its July-September downside, close to 144.85. On the upside, buyers need to break above 150.00 to maintain control. If they do, a rise towards the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels at approximately 150.80 and 153.50 is likely. Buyers are still optimistic, but it all hinges on the US data Despite challenges for USDJPY buyers, solid support levels and potentially positive US data hint at further gains. This is especially true with the Bank of Japan's easing hawkish stance and expectations for fewer rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve.
by MTradingGlobal
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EURUSD: 200-SMA, oversold RSI test bears ahead of ECBEarly Wednesday, EURUSD sees the first daily gains in more than a week, after hitting its lowest point in 10 weeks. In doing so, the Euro pair portrays the market’s consolidation ahead of Thursday’s European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision and September’s US Retail Sales data. Sellers have a bumpy road ahead In addition to pre-data consolidation, the 200-day SMA and oversold RSI pose challenges for EURUSD bears, indicating limited downside potential. A significant drop may occur only if the ECB disappoints or US data delivers unexpectedly strong signals for the dollar. Technical levels to watch The 200-SMA level surrounding 1.0870 appears a tough nut to crack for the EURUSD, backed by the oversold RSI. However, a downside break of the same won’t hesitate to drag the prices toward the August month’s low of near 1.0775. Following that, an ascending support line from October 2023, close to 1.0750 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the buyers. On the contrary, July’s high of near 1.0950 could lure EURUSD buyers during a corrective bounce. Following that, the March peak surrounding 1.0980 and the 1.1000 psychological magnet can entertain Euro buyers before testing them with a two-month-old horizontal support-turned-resistance of near 1.1015 and the previous support line stretched from late June, close to 1.1030. Price Consolidation Ahead, But No Trend Change Expected While technical indicators suggest bear exhaustion and a possible corrective bounce for EURUSD, multiple resistances and fundamental factors hinder a reversal of the ongoing two-week bearish trend.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold: Pullback remains elusive beyond $2,570, US data, Fed eyedGold snaps three-day winning streak while retreating from an all-time high, marked the previous day, as traders await the US Retail Sales and monetary policy announcements from the Federal Reserve (Fed), scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. In doing so, the precious metal eases from the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of its July-September moves. Buyers remain optimist Gold’s recent dip comes as the RSI (14) moves back from the overbought zone and marked failure to break through the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension level on prices. Sellers are also eyeing a potential bear cross on the MACD. Despite this, gold remains above the two-month-old resistance line near $2,570, keeping buyers hopeful with dovish expectations from the Fed. Technical levels to watch For intraday sellers, the $2,570 level is key as it has turned into support. If gold continues to decline, the 50% and 38.6% Fibonacci Extension levels around $2,560 and $2,540 could be next obstacles. Below these, the bears might target the month-old resistance line and an upward trend line from early August, near $2,525 and $2,515, respectively. However, gold buyers will stay optimistic unless the price clearly falls below the 200-SMA level at $2,487. On the flip side, if gold breaks above recent peaks around $2,590, it could target the $2,600 level before approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at $2,610. If gold buyers push past $2,610, the focus will shift to the 100% Fibonacci Extension near $2,650 and then the $2,700 mark. Sellers need a strong motive to retake control Overall, gold remains bullish despite the recent pullback. For sellers to gain control, they would need not only a drop below the 200-SMA but also strong US data and a hawkish stance from the Fed.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY extends recovery from key supports, US Retail Sales eyedUSDJPY rises the most among the G10 currency pairs early Tuesday while stretching the previous day’s recovery from an upward-sloping support line from late December 2023 and the 50-SMA. Adding strength to the Yen pair’s rebound is the improvement in the RSI (14) line. However, the bearish MACD signals and the 21-SMA hurdle, currently around 160.00, challenge the bulls ahead of the US Retail Sales for June. Apart from the short-term Simple Moving Average (SMA), an 11-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 160.30 will also tame the pair’s further upside. It’s worth mentioning that multiple tops marked since the start of July and ascending trend line from late April, respectively near 161.80 and 162.35, act as the final defense of the pair sellers. Meanwhile, 50-SMA and the aforementioned ascending trend line from late December 2023, close to 157.90 and 157.60 in that order, put a floor under the USDJPY pair for a short term. In a case where the Yen pair closes beneath 157.60, it becomes vulnerable to test the previous monthly low of around 154.50. However, May’s low of 151.85 and early 2024 peak surrounding 150.80, quickly followed by the 150.00 threshold, will challenge the sellers afterward. To sum up, USDJPY remains in a bullish trend ahead of the key US data but the upside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
Monthly bullish megaphone keeps Gold buyers hopefulGold price resumes its upward trajectory within a fortnight-old bullish megaphone chart pattern after a volatile day that initially refreshed an all-time high before posting the biggest daily loss in two months. That said, the XAUUSD’s corrective bounce also takes clues from a rebound in the RSI (14) line. However, bullish MACD signals and cautious mood ahead of the US Retail Sales tests the bullion’s recovery moves. It should be noted that 100% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the quote’s February-March moves, near the $2,400 threshold, currently lures the buyers. However, the aforementioned megaphone’s top line, close to $2,441 at the latest, will challenge the precious metal’s upside afterward. Following that, the commodity’s run-up toward the $2,500 round figure can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the Gold price sellers need a clear downside break of the stated wedge’s bottom line, around $2,336 by the press time. Following that, the 61.8% and 50% FE level will entertain the XAUUSD bears around $2,305 and $2,277 respectively. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and an upward-sloping support line from February 28, near $2,265, appears a tough nut to crack for the precious metal sellers. In a case where the quote remains weak past $2,265, the odds of witnessing a quick fall toward March’s peaks of around $2,222 and $2,195 appear brighter. Overall, the Gold price lacks upside momentum but the sellers stay off the table beyond $2,265.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Gold stays range-bound ahead of US Retail Sales Gold fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off the weekly low as market players await the US Retail Sales for February. In doing so, the spot Gold price, namely the XAUUSD, seesaws within a $48 trading range comprising an ascending resistance line stretched from May 2023 and the previous yearly top. It’s worth noting that the sluggish oscillators and the pre-data anxiety suggest a continuation of the sideways range. However, the bulls appear to have run out of fuel hence sellers are likely to benefit more on a downside break of $2,148 support. In that case, a quick fall toward the $2,100 round figure will be imminent but a 3.5-month-old horizontal support zone surrounding $2,090 could challenge the XAUUSD sellers afterward. Alternatively, an upside clearance of the aforementioned multi-month-old rising resistance line, close to $2,186 could recall the Gold buyers. However, the $2,200 threshold and 78.6% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the quote’s October-December 2023 moves, near $2,240, will challenge the XAUUSD’s upside momentum afterward. Following that, the 100% FE level of $2,313 and the $2,500 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight. Overall, Gold stays within a long-term bullish trend but the short-term view appears to favor a pullback in prices should the scheduled data allow the US Dollar to defend the first weekly gain in four.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bears approach key supports as UK, US data loomGBPUSD remains pressured at the lowest level in eight days after breaking a five-week-long trend line support the previous day. Apart from the support break, bearish MACD signals and an absence of oversold RSI also keep the Cable sellers hopeful. With this, the quote’s further downside toward the 1.2600 support confluence, comprising a 50% Fibonacci retracement of July-October downside and 50-SMA, appears imminent. However, the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.2545 appears a tough nut to crack for the Pound Sterling sellers, a break of which will make the pair vulnerable to slump toward the 1.2330-20 support zone comprising multiple levels marked since late May 2023. Alternatively, the GBPUSD pair’s corrective bounce needs validation from the aforementioned previous support line, close to 1.2665 at the latest, to convince the short-term buyers. Following that, a 5.5-month-old horizontal resistance area near 1.2790, quickly followed by the 1.2800 threshold, will test the quote’s further upside. In a case where the Cable buyers manage to keep the reins past 1.2800, the 11-week-long support-turned-resistance near 1.2890 and the 1.2900 round figure will be the last defense of the Pound Sterling sellers. Apart from the bearish technical signals, the comparative economic pessimism surrounding the UK and recent hawkish bias about the Federal Reserve (Fed) also keeps the GBPUSD sellers hopeful as the UK inflation and the US Retail Sales loom.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD begins eventful week on a front foot, 0.6380 eyedAUDUSD prints a three-day winning streak on upbeat Australia Retail Sales for September during the initial trading hours of an eventful week comprising the FOMC and US NFP. In doing so, the Aussie pair extends the previous week’s rebound from a monthly support line while also justifying the bullish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI (14) line. With this, the pair buyers are confident while planning the battle with the 0.6380-85 resistance confluence comprising the 200-SMA and descending trend lines stretched from late September, as well as from early October. Also acting as the upside filter is the previous weekly high of around 0.6400 and the monthly peak surrounding 0.6450, a break of which will give control to the bulls. On the contrary, the 0.6300 round figure restricts the short-term downside of the AUDUSD pair. Following that, a slightly rising support line from early October, close to 0.6290 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the Aussie pair buyers. It’s worth noting that the monthly trough near 0.6270 will also challenge the sellers before allowing them to target the previous yearly bottom close to 0.6190. Overall, the AUDUSD pair remains in the recovery mode but the upside momentum needs validation from the 0.6380-85 hurdle and the scheduled key fundamental data/events.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD stays in bear’s jaws ahead of US Retail SalesEURUSD stays within a three-month-old bearish trend channel despite rising the most in October the previous day. Adding strength to the bearish bias is the looming bear cross between the 100-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, as well as the steady RSI (14) line. However, three-week-long horizontal support surrounding 1.0500 joins the bullish MACD signals to restrict the immediate downside of the Euro pair. Following that, the monthly low of around 1.0450 will act as the final defense for the bulls before driving prices down towards the aforementioned channel’s bottom line, close to 1.0350 by the press time. Meanwhile, EURUSD recovery needs to defy the bearish channel pattern, by clearly crossing the 1.0600 hurdle, to convince the short-term buyers. Even so, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since May, near 1.0620-35, will be a tough nut to crack for the bulls. It’s worth noting that a convergence of the 100-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, near 1.0830 at the latest, holds to key to the bullish trend. To sum up, the EURUSD remains within a bearish trajectory as markets await the Eurozone/German ZEW data and EU EcoFin Meeting, as well as the US Retail Sales. The same suggests that the outcome favoring the US Dollar, or weighing on the Euro, will have a clearer response than the otherwise.
by MTradingGlobal
23-week-old support line challenges AUDUSD bearsAUDUSD bears ran out of steam during the sixth week of the downtrend by positing the slimmest losses since mid-July. Even so, the Aussie pair faded bounce off a downward-sloping support line from early March, not to forget staying beneath a six-week-long descending resistance line. It’s worth noting that the nearly oversold RSI and the impending bull cross on the MACD challenge the pair sellers, suggesting another bounce off the stated multi-week-old support line, close to 0.6450 by the press time. In a case where the bears manage to conquer the 0.6450 support, last November’s bottom of around 0.6270 will be in the spotlight. Following that, the previous yearly low of near 0.6170 could lure the offers. On the flip side, a corrective bounce needs validation from the downward-sloping resistance line from mid-July, close to 0.6435 at the latest. Also acting as the short-term upside AUDUSD hurdle is the 21-DMA of around 0.6505. Should the Aussie bulls manage to keep the reins past 0.6505, the lows marked in late June and early July around 0.6600 will give the final fight to the bulls before giving them control. It should be observed that the double tops marked in June and July surrounding 0.6900 appear a tough nut to crack for the buyers afterward. Overall, AUDUSD remains bearish but the downside room appears limited, which in turn suggests a corrective bounce before the fresh leg towards the south.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD buyers need successful break of 0.6810 to keep controlAUDUSD remains firmer inside an 11-week-old trading range, poking the 100-DMA hurdle of 0.6790 of late. Apart from the 100-DMA, the stated range’s top line, close to 0.6810, also challenges the Aussie pair buyers. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI conditions approach the overbought territory and hence the 0.6810 hurdle appears crucial for bulls to cross to keep the reins. Following that, a run-up towards 0.6870 and the mid-February swing high near 0.7030 can’t be ruled out. In a case where the quote rises past 0.7030, the yearly high marked in February near 0.7160 may be expected. Meanwhile, pullback moves may initially aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6665, ahead of challenging the stated trading range’s bottom of surrounding 0.6560. Also acting as a downside filter is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near 0.6550, known as the golden Fibonacci ratio. If at all the AUDUSD bears occupy the driver’s seat past 0.6550, the sellers may carve out a gradual fall towards the November 2022 bottom of near 0.6270 and then to the late 2022 low of around 0.6170. To sum up, AUDUSD buyers are likely to keep the reins but a pullback can’t be ruled out.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD stays pressured towards 0.6980-75 support confluenceDespite the latest pause, AUDUSD extends the week-start pullback from a nine-month high as the economic calendar starts spreading key releases. In doing so, the Aussie pair stays inside the monthly bullish channel. That said, the RSI retreat from overbought territory joins the downbeat MACD signals to also tease bears. Even so, a convergence of the stated channel support line and the 100-SMA highlights the 0.6980-75 zone as the key for the bear’s entry. Following that, a seven-week-old horizontal support zone near 0.6880 could challenge the quote’s further downside before placing the bear in the driver’s seat. Meanwhile, multiple highs marked around 0.7130 and the recent peak surrounding 0.7150 could challenge AUDUSD bulls. Also acting as an immediate upside hurdle is the aforementioned bullish channel’s top line, close to 0.7170 at the latest. In a case where the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.7170, the 0.7200 round figure and May 2022 high surrounding 0.7285 could gain the buyer’s attention. Overall, AUDUSD slips from the bull’s radar but the bears need confirmation before taking control.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD needs a sustained break of 1.0430 to avoid a pullbackEURUSD refreshed a 4.5-month high by piercing the 200-DMA ahead of the US Retail Sales. Even so, a successful break of the stated key moving average level, around 1.0430 by the press time, appears necessary for the bulls to keep the reins, in addition to the downbeat US data. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of May-September declines, near 1.0520, could act as an additional upside filter before directing buyers towards the late June high near 1.0615. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.0615, the odds of crossing the mid-2022 peak surrounding 1.0785 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, EURUSD’s failure to provide a daily closing below 1.0430 could trigger a pullback towards a six-month-old horizontal support area near 1.0370-50. Should the pair breaks the multi-day-old support region, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and September’s high, respectively near 1.0300 and 1.0195, could test the bears. It’s worth noting that a one-week-old support line and the 100-DMA, close to 1.0065 and 1.0025 in that order, are likely the last defenses for the pair buyers, a break of which will highlight the yearly low. Overall, EURUSD buyers remain in the driver’s seat but the further upside hinges on a 1.0430 breakout, as well as the US data.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD prepares for more downside below 0.6900AUDUSD reversed before the 100-DMA hurdle on Friday. The bears, however, jostle with the five-week-old horizontal support area surrounding 0.6860-50 afterward, a break of which could quickly drag the quote towards May’s low near 0.6830. It’s worth noting that the pair’s downside past 0.6830 could have an intermediate halt around the 0.6800 round figure before directing the bears toward the 0.6680-70 support zone comprising the lows marked during September 2019 and July 2022. Alternatively, recovery moves may initially poke the 0.7000 psychological magnet before attacking the 100-DMA resistance, around 0.7030 by the press time. Even if the quote rises past 0.7030, the 200-DMA level near 0.7130 and the monthly high of 0.7136 will be crucial for the AUDUSD bulls to tackle to retake control. Following that, an upward trajectory towards June’s peak, close to 0.7285, can’t be ruled out. Overall, AUDUSD bears are in the driver’s seat and are riding towards the yearly low.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bears stay on the way to 1.1890GBPUSD extended pullback from 100-SMA to refresh monthly low, before the recent corrective pullback near 1.1900. In doing so, the Cable pair also broke below the support area of a fortnight-old descending triangle. The downside break also takes clues from the bearish MACD signals, suggesting more to run towards the south. However, the late July swing low around 1.1890 will be in focus as the RSI quickly approaches the oversold territory and teases a bounce. Should the price remain weak past 1.1890, the yearly low marked in the last month, close to 1.1760 should lure the sellers. Alternatively, recovery moves could initially aim for the triangle’s upper line, at 1.2080 by the press time, a break of which could escalate the direct buyers towards the 100-SMA level surrounding 1.2130. It’s worth noting that multiple hurdles around 1.2200 could challenge the GBPUSD buyers afterward. Should the quote remain firmer past 1.2200, the odds of its refreshing the monthly top, close to 1.2190 at the latest can’t be ruled out. Overall, GBPUSD bears keep the reins but oversold RSI suggests limited room to the south.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls have more upside on the platterGBPUSD braces for further upside until staying beyond the 100-SMA and a three-week-old horizontal resistance, now support 1.2400. That said, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of the pair’s downside from late April to the recent lows, around 1.2515, appears short-term target for the bulls. Following that, the 1.2600 threshold and the monthly peak surrounding 1.2640 should gain the market’s attention. In a case where the cable buyers dominate past 1.2640, the 200-SMA level near 1.2700 appears a tough nut to crack. Meanwhile, further selling should wait for a clear downside break of 1.2400 to aim for the early May swing low near 1.2260. In a case where GBPUSD prices remain weak past 1.2260, the recent multi-month low close to 1.2155 will act as the last defense for the bulls. It’s worth noting that sustained trading below 1.2155 could make the quote vulnerable to a slump towards the 1.2000 psychological magnet. To sum up, GBPUSD has had enough of the south-run and hence a short-term recovery can’t be ruled out.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bears dominate ahead of EU GDP, US Retail SalesEURUSD portrays a bearish consolidation inside a seven-week-old descending trend channel ahead of the key Eurozone GDP for Q1 2022, the US Retail Sales for April and a speech from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Although oversold RSI conditions challenge the pair’s further downside, a convergence of the stated channel’s resistance line and the 10-SMA, around 1.0500, appears a tough nut to crack for the buyers. Even if the quote rises past 1.0500, the monthly high surrounding 1.0640 and March’s low of 1.0805 will challenge the upside momentum before welcoming the buyers. On the contrary, lows marked since 2017, around 1.0350-40, restrict the short-term downside of the EURUSD. Following that, a downward trajectory towards the 1.0300 threshold becomes imminent. However, a convergence of the aforementioned channel’s lower line and downward sloping trend line from late January, close to 1.0220-10, could gain the market’s attention before the 1.0200 round figure. It’s worth noting that the pair’s south-run past 1.0200 seems a slow grind towards the 1.0000 psychological magnet. Overall, the EURUSD pair’s downside has recently stalled but the trend remains bearish.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD rebound appears interesting if it stays beyond 0.6960AUDUSD managed to rebound from a two-year low on Friday, snapping a six-day downtrend and portraying a falling wedge bullish chart pattern. However, downbeat data from China and fresh fears of covid resurgence push the risk-barometer pair to reverse the previous day’s recovery moves during early Monday. Even so, the RSI’s bullish divergence, confirmation of the falling wedge seems more likely, which in turn could gain recovery strength on staying beyond the 0.6960 hurdle. Following that, a run-up towards the downward sloping trend line from early April, surrounding 0.7150 can’t be ruled out. However, the 0.7000 and the 0.7100 thresholds may offer intermediate halts during the anticipated rally. If at all the pair buyers keep reins past 0.7150, the 200-SMA level near 0.7280 will act as the last defense for the bears. Meanwhile, fresh declines can initially target the latest multi-month low around 0.6830 ahead of challenging the 0.6800 round figure, also comprising the lower line of the aforementioned wedge. It’s worth noting that the AUDUSD pair’s sustained downtrend past 0.6800 will aim for an early 2020 peak close to 0.6685 before targeting the sub-0.6600 area. Overall, AUDUSD bears are running out of steam and a corrective pullback is more likely.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD signals further losses, UK data, BOE’s Bailey eyedGBPUSD extends pullback from 1.3090 ahead of the key UK data, as well as a speech from the BOE Governor Andrew Bailey, during early Friday. The downside bias also gains support from the sluggish RSI and MACD, which in turn suggests the pair’s further weakness towards the support line of a six-week-old triangle, near 1.2990 at the latest. Following that, the monthly low and 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the March-April moves, respectively around 1.2970 and 1.2945, will lure the pair sellers. Alternatively, recovery moves will aim for the stated triangle’s upper line, surrounding 1.3090. Also acting as the short-term key resistance is the 200-SMA level close to the 1.3100 threshold. Should the quote rises past 1.3100, the mid-month high of 1.3146 and the monthly peak of 1.3166 may test the GBPUSD buyers. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level close to 1.3170 will act as an additional challenge for the bulls before retaking the controls.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls eye 1.3700 on crossing monthly resistanceGBPUSD stays beyond a downward sloping resistance line from January 20, now support around 1.3590. Despite the recent pullback, the trend line breakout joins upbeat RSI and MACD signals to direct buyers towards the late January tops surrounding 1.3660. Following that, January 14 swing low near 1.3700 will gain the market’s attention as the RSI might have turned overbought by then. If not then the last month’s peak of 1.3748 should return to the charts. Alternatively, pullback moves remain elusive beyond the resistance-turned-support line, close to 1.3590. Though, a convergence of the 50-SMA, 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of January 2022 downside, around 1.3550, becomes a tough nut to crack for the GBPUSD bears. Should the pair drop below 1.3550, it becomes vulnerable to drop towards the 38.2% and 23.6% Fibo. levels, respectively around 1.3500 and 1.3450. To sum up, a clear upside break of the previous key resistance line joins successful trading beyond the 1.35550 support confluence to favor GBPUSD buyers.
Long
by MTradingGlobal
Rising wedge teases GBPUSD sellers before UK Retail SalesGBPUSD’s gradual rebound from the yearly low is at test ahead of the UK Retail Sales as the pair portrays a bearish chart pattern on the four-hour timeframe. It should be noted, however, that the bullish MACD signals and firmer RSI conditions also keep the buyers hopeful. Hence, the pair traders should wait for a clear break of the wedge, currently between 1.3515 and 1.3450, before taking entries. Should the quote rises past 1.3515, a 13-day-old horizontal resistance near 1.3600 and 200-SMA level around 1.3620 will be in focus. Alternatively, a downside break of 1.3450 will confirm the bearish chart pattern and direct the prices towards the 1.3285 level to refresh the yearly bottom. During the fall, the previous resistance line from October, close to 1.3385, will precede the latest bottom of 1.3352 to offer intermediate halts.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold bulls are at test ahead of the key US dataWith the risk-on mood weighing on the US dollar and Treasury yields, gold buyers battle the yearly resistance line heading into the US Retail Sales release for October. Given the overbought RSI conditions and likely negative impact of the price pressure on US consumer spending, gold prices should step back from the key hurdle around $1,870. However, a positive surprise might not refrain from fueling the quote towards June’s high near $1,917 and January’s peak surrounding $1,960. Meanwhile, pullback moves could retest $1,855 before highlighting the $1,834 resistance-turned-support zone. Also acting as an important downside filter is the convergence of the 100-DMA and 200-DMA near $1,790. In a case where the gold prices drop below $1,790, the monthly low of $1,758 will be in focus.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MTradingGlobal
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