Abans Holdings Ltd - AHLLast Resistance now Working as Support.
Tested base multiple time.
Spent good time near Support.
Good R:R For Longs.
Riskreward
Dhruv Consultancy ServicesI see an ascending Flag Patten and a good breakout.
I also expect a retest after may be another good weekly green candle.
Stoploss here can be kept as per your risk appetite.
Having said that I sort of trust this breakout. There are less chances for this to be a fake out.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD bulls eye $68,700 resistance as key week beginsBitcoin's (BTCUSD) recent gains are under pressure as traders await important data this week, including the US Q3 GDP, Fed Inflation, and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). However, optimism about post-US election industry regulations and strong ETF inflows continue to support buyers.
BTCUSD braces for major upside
Although Bitcoin (BTCUSD) buyers take a breather, the prices remain above the key resistance-turned-support, and the oscillators are positive, too, suggesting the cryptocurrency pair’s further advances. That said, the quote’s sustained trading beyond the 100-SMA and month-old horizontal support join bullish MACD signals and an upbeat RSI (14) line, keeping the buyers hopeful.
Key technical levels to watch
Among the important technical levels, a one-week-old descending resistance line surrounding $68,700 gains immediate attention. Following that, the monthly high surrounding $69,490 and the $70,000 threshold will be in the spotlight. It should be noted that the BTCUSD pair’s successful trading beyond the $70,000 hurdle enables the buyers to aim for the yearly high of around $73,800.
Meanwhile, the 100-SMA and aforementioned horizontal support restrict the short-term downside of Bitcoin to around $66,600 and $66,100 respectively. In a case where the BTCUSD prices remain bearish past $66,100, an upward-sloping trend line from early September, close to $63,000 at the latest, will be the final defense of the buyers.
An interesting week for buyers
Despite positive technical and fundamental signals for Bitcoin buyers, key data and events could introduce volatility, leading to month-end consolidation. Bulls should stay cautious, as they are likely to maintain control of the market.
Gold portrays much-awaited pullback, focus on $2,710 & US dataEarly Friday, gold prices slipped after a brief bounce from a week-long support level, retreating from a point that has shifted from support to resistance. Traders are closely watching the September U.S. Durable Goods Orders. This movement highlights gold's defense against a mid-week rejection of a bullish trend, signaling the anticipated price pullback.
Sellers flex muscles
Gold is struggling to regain momentum, facing rejection from recent highs. With bearish signals from the MACD and an RSI close to 50, further declines in gold prices seem likely. However, strong support levels may challenge sellers' quest for lower prices.
Key technical levels to watch
In the past week, gold has seen multiple peaks and troughs, with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) highlighting $2,715-$2,710 as a crucial support zone for sellers. Below that, the 38.2% Fibonacci Extension of gold's movements from September to October and the previous monthly high near $2,686 could attract bearish interest. Importantly, the upward-sloping trend line from early August and the 200-day SMA, around $2,657 and $2,638, respectively, will serve as final defenses for buyers before control shifts to sellers.
On the upside, gold buyers are looking for confirmation from the lower boundary of the bullish channel, around $2,753. A successful breakout could lead to a rise towards the recent peak of $2,758 and potentially up to the channel’s upper line near $2,790. The 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at $2,772 and the $2,800 mark are additional upside filters to watch for the XAUUSD bulls.
Bulls run out of steam
Despite several strong support levels, the anticipated strength of the US dollar after upcoming economic data and recent technical consolidations indicate a potential short-term decline in gold prices. However, the overall bullish trend remains intact unless prices fall below $2,638.
ETHOSLTD ETHOSLTD can be a good bet on this pullback. Currently available at very decent risk-reward. Do your due diligence.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD surpasses 200-SMA barrier, focus on $65,450Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rises to a five-week high, crossing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) during a slow trading session on Monday, largely affected by holidays in Japan, the US, and Canada. Notably, Bitcoin formed a Doji candlestick on the weekly chart, hinting at a potential reversal of its losses from late September.
Further upside appears lucrative
In addition to the weekly Doji candlestick and Bitcoin's recent move above the key moving average, a bullish crossover on the MACD and a strong RSI (14) support BTCUSD buyers.
Key technical levels to watch
With Bitcoin (BTCUSD) successfully trading above the 200-SMA, buyers are gearing up for a challenge against a four-month-old descending resistance line near $65,450. The previous monthly high of around $66,500 also poses a barrier; breaking through this level could open the door for Bitcoin bulls to target the $70,000 mark, which was tested in July.
Conversely, sellers should watch for a drop below the 200-SMA, currently around $63,350. If this happens, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the June-August decline and an upward-sloping support line from early August, located near $60,800 and $58,750 respectively, will be crucial for buyers to defend.
US Dollar consolidation adds strength to bullish bias
In addition to the technical indicators, a quiet economic calendar this week and mixed data from the previous week could lead to the US Dollar’s retreat, which may help boost Bitcoin (BTCUSD) prices.
why risk management is important in tradingWithout appropriate risk management, events like this can lead to: Loss of all your trading capital or more. Losses that are too large given your overall financial position. Having to close positions in your account at the wrong time because you don't have enough liquid funds available to cover margin.
Key Takeaways:
#Trading can be exciting and even profitable if you are able to stay focused, do due diligence, and keep emotions at bay.
#Still, the best traders need to incorporate risk management practices to prevent losses from getting out of control.
#Having a strategic and objective approach to cutting losses through stop orders, profit taking, and protective puts is a smart way to stay in the game.
USDJPY: Sellers remain in driver’s seat despite BoJ’s status quoEarly Friday, USDJPY reverses the previous day’s run-up to the highest level in a fortnight as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) leaves monetary policy unchanged, as expected.
Oscillators, technical hurdles push back buyers within falling wedge
USDJPY recently reversed from a six-week resistance level, and the RSI is pulling back while the MACD shows signs of a bearish crossover, which keeps sellers optimistic. Additionally, the price remains below the 200-Exponential Moving Average, making it harder for Yen buyers. However, a bullish falling wedge pattern that has formed since early August could encourage buyers.
Technical levels to watch
The USDJPY pair's drop from a key resistance level, along with weak indicators, suggests sellers will target below 142.00. Key levels to watch are the psychological mark at 140.00 and the monthly low around 139.55. If buyers can’t hold above the falling wedge's bottom near 139.30, the price could drop to the mid-2023 low around 137.20.
On the flip side, the 1.5-month-old horizontal resistance area near 143.70-144.00 appears a tough nut to crack for the USDJPY bulls. Following that, the quote’s quick jump toward the stated bullish wedge’s top line around 145.00 can’t be ruled out. If the price stays above 145.00, it could aim for 156.00, but breaking the 200-EMA at 145.30 is essential for that rally.
What next?
Given the monetary policy divergence between the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), as well as the quote’s sustained trading below the key resistances, the USDJPY sellers are likely to have some more days to cheer.
Grasim Industries - Bullish Flag PatternLet's break down the analysis provided for Grasim Industries Ltd based on the bullish flag chart pattern, as outlined by Arvind Share Academy. This is for educational purposes, so here’s how you might evaluate and implement such a trade:
Trade Plan Breakdown
Current Market Price (CMP): ₹2700
Context: This is the price at which Grasim Industries Ltd is currently trading. Understanding the CMP helps to set up entry and exit points effectively.
Buy Above ₹2725
Entry Point: The suggestion to buy above ₹2725 indicates a breakout level where the stock price is expected to move higher if it surpasses this level. This price is above the consolidation phase (the flag) and is likely where the upward momentum should resume.
Purpose: This strategy aims to enter the trade only when the stock shows a confirmed breakout from the bullish flag pattern, reducing the risk of buying into a false breakout.
Stop Loss (SL) at ₹2640
Risk Management: The stop loss is set at ₹2640, which is below the flag pattern and recent consolidation lows. This level is crucial for limiting potential losses if the trade does not go as planned.
Rationale: Setting the stop loss at this level protects against significant downturns while allowing some room for price fluctuations.
Target 1: ₹2865
First Target: This level represents a near-term profit-taking point. It might be based on technical projections from previous resistance levels.
Strategy: It’s often wise to consider taking partial profits or reassessing the trade when the stock reaches this level, especially if it faces resistance.
Target 2: ₹3000
Extended Target: This target is set higher, assuming that the bullish momentum continues beyond the initial projection. This level reflects a more optimistic outcome and suggests further potential upside.
Strategy: As the stock approaches this level, monitoring its behavior is key. Adjusting stop losses or taking additional profits may be prudent if the stock shows signs of reversing.
PCBL 1:2 TRADE PLANSymmetrical triangle pattern
Watchout above 500 level
May test 560 in coming weeks
If sustain above 500 level
Below 470 Setup will be invalid
ASIAN PAINTS - INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERNThe stock has given breakout of INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER pattern & Retested
on the daily chart.
One can enter above 3054 with a strict Stoploss of 2970
Target 1 - 3200
Target 2 - 3280
Target 3 - 3360
#SWINGTRADE
#FUNDAMENTALLY STRONG STOCK
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
ASIAN PAINTS - INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERNThe stock has given breakout of INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER pattern & Retested
on the daily chart.
One can enter above 3054 with a strict Stoploss of 2970
Target 1 - 3200
Target 2 - 3280
Target 3 - 3360
#SWINGTRADE
#FUNDAMENTALLY STRONG STOCK
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
100-SMA challenges Crude Oil buyers at three-week highWTI crude oil has ended its four-day rise as prices fall from their highest level since July 19, due to a slow start on Tuesday morning in Asia. The oil price has moved back from the 100-day simple moving average (SMA). Still, closing above the 200-day SMA, positive MACD signals, and a strong RSI suggest buyers might push prices past the $80.15 mark. If they succeed, the next resistance levels are around $81.40 and $82.50, which will be key for sellers to defend.
If oil prices drop below the 200-day SMA support at $77.90, sellers might take control. If prices stay weak and fall below $77.90, they could move towards June and August lows of $72.40 and $71.70. If prices go below $71.70, they could reach the late 2023 low of $67.70.
Overall, buyers are likely to stay in control, but the potential for price increases seems limited.
GBPJPY rebound appears elusive below 200-SMAGBPJPY portrays a corrective bounce off the lowest level in seven months while recovering from a 10-month-old ascending support line. The rebound also takes clues from the oversold RSI (14) line and the market’s consolidation mode after a heavy slump. While the aforementioned clues suggest a continuation of the quote’s further recovery, the bearish MACD signals and the pair’s successful trading below the 200-SMA support of 191.80 keep the sellers hopeful. Even if the buyers manage to cross the 200-SMA hurdle, a previous support line from March 2023, near 194.50 by the press time, will act as the final defense of the bears before giving control to the bulls.
On the contrary, rising trend lines from July and October of 2023, close to 182.50 and 180.00 in that order, restrict the short-term downside of the GBPJPY pair. Following that, the December 2023 low of 178.30 and the July 2023 low near 176.30 will entertain the pair sellers. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s sustained weakness past 176.30 will make it vulnerable to slump toward the 170.00 psychological magnet.
Overall, GBPJPY consolidates the previous heavy fall but the resumption of a bullish trend is far from the table.
USDJPY slumps to seven-month low amid risk aversion, BoJ biasUSDJPY begins the week on a back foot while declining for the fifth consecutive day to the lowest since early January. The Yen pair’s latest fall could be linked to the market’s risk-off mood and concerns about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) further rate hikes versus the fresh bias about the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) requirement for more rate cuts. Also keeping the bears hopeful is the quote’s clear downside break of an upward-sloping support line from January 2023.
With this, USDJPY bears are completely in control and can move further toward the late 2023 bottom of around 140.25, quickly followed by the 140.00 threshold. However, the oversold RSI (14) line and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s January 2023 to July 2024 upside, near 140.40, can challenge the quote’s further declines. If the pair drops past 140.00, the odds of witnessing a slump toward July 2023 low of near 137.20 can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair’s corrective bounce needs validation from a 50% Fibonacci ratio of 144.55. Following that, the lows marked during February and March of the current year, respectively near 145.90 and 146.50, will precede the multi-month-old support-turned-resistance of surrounding 148.60 to challenge the Yen pair buyers. It’s worth mentioning, however, that the rejection of the latest bearish trend signals will only be possible if the quote stays successfully above the 200-SMA hurdle of 151.60.
Overall, the USDJPY pair sneaked into the bearish trend but the road toward the south is long and bumpy.
Understanding Risk-ManagementThe stock is trading at lower prices if you see last month's movements. In the last few days, it formed a double bottom
and again came down to lower levels. If reverses from these levels, a bull run may come.
The risk-reward ratio is good at this point.
1. If we enter at 940 while considering the stop-loss at 860 - the loss will be 60 points.
2. If prices go in our desired direction, the final target comes at 1500 - the profit will be 560 points.
So we have to keep our position size in a way that if we have to exit at a loss, that should be manageable for us.
This means we should be ready for that loss. Else while going in profits, we may exit at the first target of 1140.
Let's calculate the quantity of 25.
If we have to exit at a stop-loss of 860 - the loss will be 2000.
If the price reaches the first target of 1140 - the profit will be 5000
if the price reaches the final target of 1500 - the profit will be 14000
We should always keep our position size in accordance with our risk capacity.
Risk management is a general concept in every aspect of our life and normally we follow this other than the stock market.
Only for learning and sharing purposes, not a bit of trading advice in any form. Please do your own analysis before taking any trade or consult your financial advisor.
All the best.
Consolidation breakout is on the cards!Vguard has been consolidating from 2018 in a rising wedge pattern.
Today, the stock has given a breakout of its ATH and is currently looking bullish.
However, the best entry for the stock is 255-260 with a SL of below 235 DCB for minimum target of 300.
The stock can give multibagger after a upward breakout of the pattern.
Idea is shared for educational purposes and should not be considered as a recommendation.
Crude Oil rebounds toward 200-SMA as the key week beginsWTI Crude Oil posts more than 1.0% intraday gain early Monday, after declining in the last three consecutive weeks, as energy traders brace for a rollercoaster week comprising multiple central bank announcements and top-tier data. In doing so, the black gold takes clues from a nearly oversold RSI (14) amid cautious optimism in the market. However, bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beneath the 200-SMA keep the oil sellers hopeful of visiting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its December 2023 to April 2024 upside, near $75.30. Following that, a seven-month-old upward-sloping support line surrounding $74.40 will be a crucial level for the bears to conquer to keep the reins. In a case where the commodity prices remain bearish past $74.40, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward the previous monthly low of around $72.40.
Alternatively, the WTI Crude Oil buyers’ ability to provide a daily close beyond the 200-SMA hurdle of $78.40 won’t give them the throne as a downward-sloping resistance line from early July, close to $79.50, will challenge further advances. Also restricting the commodity’s run-up is the $80.00 threshold and a two-month-old horizontal resistance region near $80.30-60. If the energy benchmark manages to remain strong past $80.60, the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of around $83.00 and the monthly high of $84.50 will lure the bulls.
Overall, the market’s consolidation allows WTI crude Oil to lick its wounds but the bullish trend is far from the reach.
Nazara-Have your Nazar on it ;)Nazara is a company which develops gaming software.
Stock has given good volume breakout from a strong resistance zone.
Immediate resistance is 1000 above which stock will fly.
As i said, keep this stock in your nazar(watchlist)
Risky traders can enter as per my levels for better risk reward.
Do follow me if you like my analysis!
Crude Oil buyers brace for a bumpy road ahead, focus on $79.50WTI Crude Oil picks up bids to reverse the previous day’s retreat from a seven-week-old falling resistance line, close to $78.65 by the press time. In doing so, the black gold recovers from a 50% Fibonacci retracement of December 2023 to April 2024 upside, near $77.70. Given the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI conditions underpinning the commodity’s rebound, the buyers are likely to overcome the immediate trend line resistance surrounding $78.65. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA, around $79.50 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the energy bulls. Also acting as an upside filter are the $80.00 threshold and late May swing high of $80.60. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s successful trading past $80.60 enables the optimists to aim for the support-turned-resistance line stretched from late 2023, near $83.50 as we write.
On the contrary, a daily closing beneath the 50% Fibonacci ratio of $77.70 could quickly fetch the WTI crude oil prices to the previous monthly low of around $76.20. If the black gold remains bearish past $76.20, the monthly bottom of around $72.40 and the $70.00 psychological magnet will lure the sellers. It’s worth observing that the energy benchmark’s sustained weakness past $70.00 could make it vulnerable to a slump toward the previous yearly low of around $63.60.
Overall, WTI Crude Oil appears all set to post the biggest weekly gain since early April but a daily closing past $79.50 will be crucial for bulls to retake control.
LT - Positional Short SetupCMP 3658 on 29.04.24
The chart explains the support and resistance areas in recent sessions. According to the scenario, if the stock does not sustain above 3730, may go weak in the next few sessions.
One should sell between 3650-3700. Targets are mentioned on the charts.
This setup fails if the price sustains above 3730-50. One has to plan the position size and the exit plan wisely.
This is only for learning and sharing purposes, not trading advice in any form.
All the best.
COAL INDIA AT SUPPORTBuy coal india 481 for 510 to 540. All time high breakout and retesting support levels. Good swing and momentum trade with good risk reward ratio. Invalid below 471 on closing basis.
Sumitomo-An attractive support reversal trade Sumitomo has a strong demand zone at around 345-350 levels which has been tested multiple times.
Stock is looking strong as a reversal trade since we can see good volume buying from demand zone. A weekly closing above 450 will open ATH and above targets for the stock.
Keep in watchlist.
Just my personal opinion and not a recommendation
