Dixon Technologies Bullish Bias 10% upsideThe Stock has been consolidating for a while
As visible from the RSI the stock has given a nice breakout from the range
The stock price was also falling and took support near 200day EMA zone
The price has reversed from the selling zone
3 days constant increase in the price and reversal with a W Breakout pattern
The overall sentiment looks really bullish for the counter
Also, the tariff pause shall be helping the business for a short term
Looks really bullish to me.
Caution: Trade as per your risk appetite.
Riskreward
The Psychology Behind Holding Option Trades to the Targets!Hello Traders!
Entering a trade is easy, but holding it with conviction till the target hits — that’s where 90% of traders fail. Most of the time, we exit early out of fear, impatience, or seeing quick profits vanish. Today, let’s understand the psychology behind holding option trades and how to set yourself up for patience and discipline .
Why We Exit Too Early?
Fear of Losing Unrealized Profits: The moment your trade shows green, the mind screams “book now!” even when the setup is still valid.
Overtrading Mentality: You want to book fast and re-enter again, leading to emotional and scattered trades.
Lack of a Clear Plan: If you don’t have a defined target, SL, and reason to hold , you’ll exit at the first sign of volatility.
How to Develop the Patience to Hold Trades
Visualize Your Trade Before Entering: Ask yourself — “What will I do if price pulls back after entry?” Plan your SL, target, and trailing logic beforehand.
Use Alert Zones, Not Constant Monitoring: Watching every tick increases anxiety. Instead, set alerts at key levels and focus on the logic, not emotions.
Risk What You’re Comfortable With: If your position size is too big, you’ll panic during small reversals. Right sizing = calm holding.
Follow Structure Over Emotion: Hold as long as price is above VWAP/Trendline/Support (for longs). Only exit if structure breaks.
Rahul’s Tip
“The market rewards patience more than perfection.” If your analysis was right, trust it. Let the trade breathe. Stop treating every green candle as your exit point.
Conclusion
The biggest wins in options trading come when you hold with discipline . Build a setup where your entry has logic, your exit has structure, and your mind stays calm in between. That’s how you train yourself for consistency — not by chasing, but by mastering patience .
How long do you usually hold your option trades? Let’s talk about it in the comments below!
The Most Powerful Gap Fill Strategy You've Never Used!Hello Traders!
Today, let’s dive into one of the most reliable and underrated trading setups – the Gap Fill Strategy on the Daily Chart . This strategy works like magic when traded with patience and proper confirmation. If you’re a swing trader looking for high-probability setups, this is a goldmine for catching reversals and trend continuation moves .
When a stock or index leaves a price gap and then returns to fill that area, it often provides a clear entry point with well-defined risk and reward .
What is a Gap Fill?
Gap Up or Gap Down: A gap is formed when the price opens significantly higher or lower than the previous day’s close.
Gap Fill: A gap fill happens when price retraces and returns to cover the gap zone fully or partially.
Why It Works: Gaps often represent emotional moves or news-based reactions. When that emotion fades, price tends to come back to “fill the gap,” offering a great opportunity.
How to Trade the Gap Fill Strategy
Chart Timeframe: Focus on the Daily Timeframe for more reliable swing setups.
Identify Clear Gaps: Look for recent gap ups or downs with strong candles and volume.
Confirmation: Wait for reversal candlestick patterns (like bullish engulfing, hammer, or doji) near the gap zone.
Entry: Enter once price enters the gap zone and shows signs of reversal.
Stop Loss: Place SL below the gap zone (for longs) or above it (for shorts).
Target: First target is the top/bottom of the gap; second target based on previous support/resistance.
When Is It Most Effective?
After News-Driven Gaps (like earnings, macro events)
At Key Support/Resistance Zones
In Range-Bound or Reversal Markets
Rahul’s Tip
Gaps get filled not always — but often! Combine this setup with volume analysis and candle patterns, and it turns into a powerful swing weapon. Trust the structure, and wait for confirmation.
Conclusion
The Gap Fill Strategy on the Daily Chart offers a simple yet effective way to catch swing trades with clean entries and exits. It’s perfect for those who can wait for the right moment rather than chase every candle.
Have you used the gap fill setup in your trading? Share your experience below and let’s grow together!
When to Book Profits? Smart Exit Signs Every Trader Must Know!Hello Traders!
We all love the feeling of seeing profits on our screen, but the real challenge is knowing when to book them . Exiting too early means missing the big move. Exiting too late? You give back most of your gains. So today, let’s break down how to identify the perfect moment to book profits —whether you're trading intraday, swing, or positional.
Top Signs You Should Book Profits
Price Hits Key Resistance or Target Zone:
When your price hits a pre-defined target, Fibonacci level, or a strong resistance, it's a clear signal to book partial or full profits.
Momentum is Fading:
Look for weakening RSI, MACD crossovers, or decreasing volume. These are signs that buying strength is drying up.
Reversal Candlesticks Near Resistance:
Patterns like Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star, or Evening Star near key levels indicate a possible reversal.
News/Event Risk Ahead:
If there's a major earnings release, policy decision, or macroeconomic event ahead, it’s safer to secure some profits.
Risk-Reward Becomes Unfavorable:
If the remaining upside is less than the downside risk, reduce your position and protect gains.
Trailing Stop Loss Triggered:
Using trailing stops helps you ride the trend while locking in profits. If it hits, exit without regret.
Rahul’s Tip
You don’t need to catch the exact top. Profit booked is better than profit on paper. Focus on consistency and discipline. Let the markets reward your process, not just your predictions.
Conclusion
Booking profits is an art backed by rules. Follow your strategy, monitor price action, and trust your system. That’s how you grow and protect your trading capital in the long run.
How do you decide when to exit your trades? Share your strategy in the comments below!
Time-Tested Tips for Better Risk Management in Trading
📝 Develop a Trading Plan
• Start with a Plan: Avoid jumping into trades without preparation. A solid trading plan is
your blueprint for success.
• Key Components: Define your entry points, stop-loss levels (to limit losses), and target
profit levels in advance.
• Why It Matters: A structured plan provides clarity during stressful trading situations and
ensures consistency with your risk tolerance.
________________________________________
🧘♂️ Understand Your Risk Tolerance
• Self-Reflection: Assess your emotional and psychological response to risk.
Know your comfort level with losses, market fluctuations, and stress.
• Financial Awareness: Factor in your income, savings, debts, and expenses to
gauge how much risk you can afford.
• Personalization is Key: There’s no one-size-fits-all strategy.
Tailor your risk management approach to your account size, goals,
and unique circumstances.
________________________________________
📚 Follow Your Trading System
• Have a Clear System: Establish rules for entering and exiting trades to maintain discipline
and avoid impulsive decisions.
• Backtest and Research: Test your system against historical data and simulate performance
in different market conditions.
• Stick to It: If your system has a proven edge, trust it. Jumping between strategies after
losses often leads to bigger losses.
________________________________________
🚨 Use a Stop-Loss
• What is a Stop-Loss? A predefined price level where you exit a trade to
limit potential losses.
• Why It’s Important: Prevents emotional decision-making and ensures you
quantify your risk before entering a trade.
________________________________________
✂️ Manage Your Position Size
• Avoid Overexposure: Adjust your position size to manage risk effectively and
avoid putting too much capital into one trade.
• Diversify: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket unless you fully understand and
accept the risks.
Risk-Reward Ratios: Quick Reference
1:2 Risk-Reward
• Risking $1 to make $2
• Win 33% of the time to break even.
• Common for day and swing traders aiming for moderate profits.
• Example: Stop-loss at 10 pips, target profit at 20 pips.
________________________________________
1:3 Risk-Reward
• Risking $1 to make $3
• Win 25% of the time to break even.
• Ideal for trades with a high-probability setup and larger moves.
• Example: Stop-loss at $50, target profit at $150.
________________________________________
1:5 Risk-Reward
• Risking $1 to make $5
• Win 17% of the time to break even.
• Suitable for trend-following strategies or breakout trades with significant momentum.
• Example: Stop-loss at 5% of capital, target profit at 25%.
________________________________________
❌ Don’t Overtrade or Revenge Trade
• Control Impulses: Avoid the urge to overtrade or recover losses through high-risk trades.
• Stay Rational: Emotional trading can lead to poor decisions and bigger losses.
Trade with a clear head and logic.
________________________________________
📔 Maintain a Trading Journal
• Track Your Trades: Document your trades to identify patterns, mistakes, and
areas for improvement.
• Enhance Strategies: Regular reviews help refine your approach,
improve risk management, and evolve as a trader.
• Accountability: A journal instils discipline and serves as a learning tool for future trades.
________________________________________
✅ Final Reminders
• Trade with discipline, not emotions.
• Always align your strategies with your risk tolerance and financial situation.
• Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint—stay consistent and patient.
________________________________________
Note- The Magic Formula for Lot Size Calculation (1% Risk)
Formula = 1% of Capital/Stop Loss in Pips/10
Example Scenarios:
Capital = $5,000 | Stop Loss = 30 pips: in XAUUSD
1% of capital = 50$
Lot size = 1% of Capital/Stop Loss in Pips/10 = 50/30/10 = 0.16
🚀 Thanks for reading!
Drop your thoughts or additional tips in the comments below. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! Cheers! 🌟
Abans Holdings Ltd - AHLLast Resistance now Working as Support.
Tested base multiple time.
Spent good time near Support.
Good R:R For Longs.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD bulls eye $68,700 resistance as key week beginsBitcoin's (BTCUSD) recent gains are under pressure as traders await important data this week, including the US Q3 GDP, Fed Inflation, and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). However, optimism about post-US election industry regulations and strong ETF inflows continue to support buyers.
BTCUSD braces for major upside
Although Bitcoin (BTCUSD) buyers take a breather, the prices remain above the key resistance-turned-support, and the oscillators are positive, too, suggesting the cryptocurrency pair’s further advances. That said, the quote’s sustained trading beyond the 100-SMA and month-old horizontal support join bullish MACD signals and an upbeat RSI (14) line, keeping the buyers hopeful.
Key technical levels to watch
Among the important technical levels, a one-week-old descending resistance line surrounding $68,700 gains immediate attention. Following that, the monthly high surrounding $69,490 and the $70,000 threshold will be in the spotlight. It should be noted that the BTCUSD pair’s successful trading beyond the $70,000 hurdle enables the buyers to aim for the yearly high of around $73,800.
Meanwhile, the 100-SMA and aforementioned horizontal support restrict the short-term downside of Bitcoin to around $66,600 and $66,100 respectively. In a case where the BTCUSD prices remain bearish past $66,100, an upward-sloping trend line from early September, close to $63,000 at the latest, will be the final defense of the buyers.
An interesting week for buyers
Despite positive technical and fundamental signals for Bitcoin buyers, key data and events could introduce volatility, leading to month-end consolidation. Bulls should stay cautious, as they are likely to maintain control of the market.
Gold portrays much-awaited pullback, focus on $2,710 & US dataEarly Friday, gold prices slipped after a brief bounce from a week-long support level, retreating from a point that has shifted from support to resistance. Traders are closely watching the September U.S. Durable Goods Orders. This movement highlights gold's defense against a mid-week rejection of a bullish trend, signaling the anticipated price pullback.
Sellers flex muscles
Gold is struggling to regain momentum, facing rejection from recent highs. With bearish signals from the MACD and an RSI close to 50, further declines in gold prices seem likely. However, strong support levels may challenge sellers' quest for lower prices.
Key technical levels to watch
In the past week, gold has seen multiple peaks and troughs, with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) highlighting $2,715-$2,710 as a crucial support zone for sellers. Below that, the 38.2% Fibonacci Extension of gold's movements from September to October and the previous monthly high near $2,686 could attract bearish interest. Importantly, the upward-sloping trend line from early August and the 200-day SMA, around $2,657 and $2,638, respectively, will serve as final defenses for buyers before control shifts to sellers.
On the upside, gold buyers are looking for confirmation from the lower boundary of the bullish channel, around $2,753. A successful breakout could lead to a rise towards the recent peak of $2,758 and potentially up to the channel’s upper line near $2,790. The 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at $2,772 and the $2,800 mark are additional upside filters to watch for the XAUUSD bulls.
Bulls run out of steam
Despite several strong support levels, the anticipated strength of the US dollar after upcoming economic data and recent technical consolidations indicate a potential short-term decline in gold prices. However, the overall bullish trend remains intact unless prices fall below $2,638.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD surpasses 200-SMA barrier, focus on $65,450Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rises to a five-week high, crossing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) during a slow trading session on Monday, largely affected by holidays in Japan, the US, and Canada. Notably, Bitcoin formed a Doji candlestick on the weekly chart, hinting at a potential reversal of its losses from late September.
Further upside appears lucrative
In addition to the weekly Doji candlestick and Bitcoin's recent move above the key moving average, a bullish crossover on the MACD and a strong RSI (14) support BTCUSD buyers.
Key technical levels to watch
With Bitcoin (BTCUSD) successfully trading above the 200-SMA, buyers are gearing up for a challenge against a four-month-old descending resistance line near $65,450. The previous monthly high of around $66,500 also poses a barrier; breaking through this level could open the door for Bitcoin bulls to target the $70,000 mark, which was tested in July.
Conversely, sellers should watch for a drop below the 200-SMA, currently around $63,350. If this happens, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the June-August decline and an upward-sloping support line from early August, located near $60,800 and $58,750 respectively, will be crucial for buyers to defend.
US Dollar consolidation adds strength to bullish bias
In addition to the technical indicators, a quiet economic calendar this week and mixed data from the previous week could lead to the US Dollar’s retreat, which may help boost Bitcoin (BTCUSD) prices.
why risk management is important in tradingWithout appropriate risk management, events like this can lead to: Loss of all your trading capital or more. Losses that are too large given your overall financial position. Having to close positions in your account at the wrong time because you don't have enough liquid funds available to cover margin.
Key Takeaways:
#Trading can be exciting and even profitable if you are able to stay focused, do due diligence, and keep emotions at bay.
#Still, the best traders need to incorporate risk management practices to prevent losses from getting out of control.
#Having a strategic and objective approach to cutting losses through stop orders, profit taking, and protective puts is a smart way to stay in the game.
USDJPY: Sellers remain in driver’s seat despite BoJ’s status quoEarly Friday, USDJPY reverses the previous day’s run-up to the highest level in a fortnight as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) leaves monetary policy unchanged, as expected.
Oscillators, technical hurdles push back buyers within falling wedge
USDJPY recently reversed from a six-week resistance level, and the RSI is pulling back while the MACD shows signs of a bearish crossover, which keeps sellers optimistic. Additionally, the price remains below the 200-Exponential Moving Average, making it harder for Yen buyers. However, a bullish falling wedge pattern that has formed since early August could encourage buyers.
Technical levels to watch
The USDJPY pair's drop from a key resistance level, along with weak indicators, suggests sellers will target below 142.00. Key levels to watch are the psychological mark at 140.00 and the monthly low around 139.55. If buyers can’t hold above the falling wedge's bottom near 139.30, the price could drop to the mid-2023 low around 137.20.
On the flip side, the 1.5-month-old horizontal resistance area near 143.70-144.00 appears a tough nut to crack for the USDJPY bulls. Following that, the quote’s quick jump toward the stated bullish wedge’s top line around 145.00 can’t be ruled out. If the price stays above 145.00, it could aim for 156.00, but breaking the 200-EMA at 145.30 is essential for that rally.
What next?
Given the monetary policy divergence between the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), as well as the quote’s sustained trading below the key resistances, the USDJPY sellers are likely to have some more days to cheer.
Grasim Industries - Bullish Flag PatternLet's break down the analysis provided for Grasim Industries Ltd based on the bullish flag chart pattern, as outlined by Arvind Share Academy. This is for educational purposes, so here’s how you might evaluate and implement such a trade:
Trade Plan Breakdown
Current Market Price (CMP): ₹2700
Context: This is the price at which Grasim Industries Ltd is currently trading. Understanding the CMP helps to set up entry and exit points effectively.
Buy Above ₹2725
Entry Point: The suggestion to buy above ₹2725 indicates a breakout level where the stock price is expected to move higher if it surpasses this level. This price is above the consolidation phase (the flag) and is likely where the upward momentum should resume.
Purpose: This strategy aims to enter the trade only when the stock shows a confirmed breakout from the bullish flag pattern, reducing the risk of buying into a false breakout.
Stop Loss (SL) at ₹2640
Risk Management: The stop loss is set at ₹2640, which is below the flag pattern and recent consolidation lows. This level is crucial for limiting potential losses if the trade does not go as planned.
Rationale: Setting the stop loss at this level protects against significant downturns while allowing some room for price fluctuations.
Target 1: ₹2865
First Target: This level represents a near-term profit-taking point. It might be based on technical projections from previous resistance levels.
Strategy: It’s often wise to consider taking partial profits or reassessing the trade when the stock reaches this level, especially if it faces resistance.
Target 2: ₹3000
Extended Target: This target is set higher, assuming that the bullish momentum continues beyond the initial projection. This level reflects a more optimistic outcome and suggests further potential upside.
Strategy: As the stock approaches this level, monitoring its behavior is key. Adjusting stop losses or taking additional profits may be prudent if the stock shows signs of reversing.
ASIAN PAINTS - INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERNThe stock has given breakout of INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER pattern & Retested
on the daily chart.
One can enter above 3054 with a strict Stoploss of 2970
Target 1 - 3200
Target 2 - 3280
Target 3 - 3360
#SWINGTRADE
#FUNDAMENTALLY STRONG STOCK
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
ASIAN PAINTS - INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERNThe stock has given breakout of INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER pattern & Retested
on the daily chart.
One can enter above 3054 with a strict Stoploss of 2970
Target 1 - 3200
Target 2 - 3280
Target 3 - 3360
#SWINGTRADE
#FUNDAMENTALLY STRONG STOCK
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
100-SMA challenges Crude Oil buyers at three-week highWTI crude oil has ended its four-day rise as prices fall from their highest level since July 19, due to a slow start on Tuesday morning in Asia. The oil price has moved back from the 100-day simple moving average (SMA). Still, closing above the 200-day SMA, positive MACD signals, and a strong RSI suggest buyers might push prices past the $80.15 mark. If they succeed, the next resistance levels are around $81.40 and $82.50, which will be key for sellers to defend.
If oil prices drop below the 200-day SMA support at $77.90, sellers might take control. If prices stay weak and fall below $77.90, they could move towards June and August lows of $72.40 and $71.70. If prices go below $71.70, they could reach the late 2023 low of $67.70.
Overall, buyers are likely to stay in control, but the potential for price increases seems limited.
GBPJPY rebound appears elusive below 200-SMAGBPJPY portrays a corrective bounce off the lowest level in seven months while recovering from a 10-month-old ascending support line. The rebound also takes clues from the oversold RSI (14) line and the market’s consolidation mode after a heavy slump. While the aforementioned clues suggest a continuation of the quote’s further recovery, the bearish MACD signals and the pair’s successful trading below the 200-SMA support of 191.80 keep the sellers hopeful. Even if the buyers manage to cross the 200-SMA hurdle, a previous support line from March 2023, near 194.50 by the press time, will act as the final defense of the bears before giving control to the bulls.
On the contrary, rising trend lines from July and October of 2023, close to 182.50 and 180.00 in that order, restrict the short-term downside of the GBPJPY pair. Following that, the December 2023 low of 178.30 and the July 2023 low near 176.30 will entertain the pair sellers. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s sustained weakness past 176.30 will make it vulnerable to slump toward the 170.00 psychological magnet.
Overall, GBPJPY consolidates the previous heavy fall but the resumption of a bullish trend is far from the table.
USDJPY slumps to seven-month low amid risk aversion, BoJ biasUSDJPY begins the week on a back foot while declining for the fifth consecutive day to the lowest since early January. The Yen pair’s latest fall could be linked to the market’s risk-off mood and concerns about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) further rate hikes versus the fresh bias about the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) requirement for more rate cuts. Also keeping the bears hopeful is the quote’s clear downside break of an upward-sloping support line from January 2023.
With this, USDJPY bears are completely in control and can move further toward the late 2023 bottom of around 140.25, quickly followed by the 140.00 threshold. However, the oversold RSI (14) line and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s January 2023 to July 2024 upside, near 140.40, can challenge the quote’s further declines. If the pair drops past 140.00, the odds of witnessing a slump toward July 2023 low of near 137.20 can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair’s corrective bounce needs validation from a 50% Fibonacci ratio of 144.55. Following that, the lows marked during February and March of the current year, respectively near 145.90 and 146.50, will precede the multi-month-old support-turned-resistance of surrounding 148.60 to challenge the Yen pair buyers. It’s worth mentioning, however, that the rejection of the latest bearish trend signals will only be possible if the quote stays successfully above the 200-SMA hurdle of 151.60.
Overall, the USDJPY pair sneaked into the bearish trend but the road toward the south is long and bumpy.
Understanding Risk-ManagementThe stock is trading at lower prices if you see last month's movements. In the last few days, it formed a double bottom
and again came down to lower levels. If reverses from these levels, a bull run may come.
The risk-reward ratio is good at this point.
1. If we enter at 940 while considering the stop-loss at 860 - the loss will be 60 points.
2. If prices go in our desired direction, the final target comes at 1500 - the profit will be 560 points.
So we have to keep our position size in a way that if we have to exit at a loss, that should be manageable for us.
This means we should be ready for that loss. Else while going in profits, we may exit at the first target of 1140.
Let's calculate the quantity of 25.
If we have to exit at a stop-loss of 860 - the loss will be 2000.
If the price reaches the first target of 1140 - the profit will be 5000
if the price reaches the final target of 1500 - the profit will be 14000
We should always keep our position size in accordance with our risk capacity.
Risk management is a general concept in every aspect of our life and normally we follow this other than the stock market.
Only for learning and sharing purposes, not a bit of trading advice in any form. Please do your own analysis before taking any trade or consult your financial advisor.
All the best.
Consolidation breakout is on the cards!Vguard has been consolidating from 2018 in a rising wedge pattern.
Today, the stock has given a breakout of its ATH and is currently looking bullish.
However, the best entry for the stock is 255-260 with a SL of below 235 DCB for minimum target of 300.
The stock can give multibagger after a upward breakout of the pattern.
Idea is shared for educational purposes and should not be considered as a recommendation.