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AUDUSD bulls need validation from 0.6770AUDUSD confirmed a falling wedge bullish chart pattern during the early days and is keeping the breakout so far during Wednesday. The RSI (14) line’s gradual rebound from the oversold territory adds strength to the upside bias. However, a convergence of the 100 and 200 DMAs, around 0.6770 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the Aussie buyers to keep the reins. Following that, tops marked during December 2022 and mid-February 2023, respectively around 0.6895 and 0.7030, could act as intermediate halts during the theoretical target of 0.7240. On the contrary, a downside break of the 0.6640 level, comprising the stated wedge’s top line, could negate the bullish bias. Even so, the latest swing low and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to March 2023 upside, close to 0.6560 and 0.6545 in that order, could test the AUDUSD sellers before giving them control. Also acting as a downside filter is the lower line of the aforementioned bullish chart formation, near 0.6515 as we write. Overall, AUDUSD is likely to rise further toward the previous monthly peak. However, the key DMA convergence challenges the buyers as top-tier Aussie data looms, up for publishing on Thursday.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD turns bearish but road to the south is long and bumpyEven if sustained trading below the 100-DMA and a three-month-old ascending trend line become necessary for the AUD/USD bears, a daily closing below the 200-DMA and an upward-sloping previous support line from October 2022 signals the pair’s further decline. Further, the bearish MACD signals and downbeat RSI adds strength to the downside bias. Hence, the sellers should wait for a clear downside move below 0.6720 to aim for the lows marked in late December and November of 2022, respectively around 0.6630 and 0.6585. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the Aussie pair’s October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6550, appears the last defense of the buyers. On the contrary, AUDUSD recovery remains elusive unless the quote stays below a convergence of the 200-DMA and four-month-old previous support, close to 0.6800. Adding to the upside filters is the December 2022 high near 0.6895 and the mid-month peak of 0.7030. In a case where the Aussie buyers keep the reins, the monthly high surrounding 0.7160 could lure the bulls. Overall, AUDUSD is ready to witness further downside but the downturn is less likely to be smooth.
by MTradingGlobal
Stock Market Risks: A Brief Guide to Get ThroughThe stock market can be an exciting and potentially lucrative place to invest, but it also carries significant risks, particularly in the futures and options segment. While the potential for high returns is a major draw, it is essential to understand the risks and take appropriate measures to manage them effectively. Risks in Futures and Options Segment Futures and options are derivative products that allow investors to buy or sell a particular asset at a specific price on a future date. This segment can be risky due to the potential for high leverage, meaning that a small investment can lead to significant losses or gains. Moreover, futures and options are often complex instruments that require a solid understanding of the underlying asset. Risk Aspects in Investment Investment in the stock market also carries inherent risks, such as market volatility, company-specific risk, and currency risk, among others. These risks can impact the overall performance of your portfolio in the long run. Risk Aspects in Day Trading In day trading, an instrument is bought and sold on the same day so as to make a quick profit. While day trading can be profitable, it also carries significant risks due to the high volatility and leverage involved. Day traders need to have a deep understanding of the market and should use technical analysis to make informed decisions. Step-by-Step Guide for Surviving the Stock Market 1. Educate Yourself: The first step to surviving the stock market is to educate yourself about the risks involved, market trends, and investment strategies. You can attend seminars, read books, and consult with experienced investors or brokers. 2. Set Realistic Goals: Setting realistic financial goals based on your investment horizon, risk appetite, and financial situation is crucial. This not only helps in avoiding impulsive trading but also in staying focussed. 3. Diversify Your Investments: Diversifying your portfolio across different sectors, geographies, and asset classes can help mitigate risks and balance your returns. 4. Have a Disciplined Approach: Avoid chasing quick returns or taking unnecessary risks. Have a disciplined approach to investing, and stick to your investment plan. 5. Manage Your Risks: Use risk management tools such as stop-loss orders and limit orders to minimize losses. Moreover, one should always try to invest only that much money which one can afford to lose. Other than that there is always need to maintain a cash buffer for emergencies. In conclusion, the stock market carries significant risks, especially in the futures and options segment. However, with a disciplined approach, a sound investment strategy, and effective risk management, new and struggling traders and investors can survive and thrive in the stock market. Thanks for reading.
Editors' picks
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by Bravetotrade
10
AUDUSD stays bearish unless crossing 0.6950AUDUSD braces for the first monthly loss in four despite Friday’s rebound from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its December 2022 to early February highs. A clear downside break of the two-month-old ascending trend line joins a two-week-old descending trend line to favor sellers. Adding strength to the bearish bias are the downbeat oscillators. The corrective bounce, however, could become important if it manages to cross the convergence of the previous support line and an immediate downward-sloping resistance line, close to 0.6950. Following that, the 100-SMA surrounding 0.6985 and the 0.7000 psychological magnet could act as the final defense of the Aussie bears before giving control to the bulls. Alternatively, the aforementioned 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around 0.6830, also known as the golden Fibonacci ratio, puts a floor under the short-term AUDUSD downside. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio near 0.6750 may act as an extra filter towards the south. In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6750, the December 2022 low near 0.6630 could lure the sellers. Overall, AUDUSD’s corrective bounce, if any, remains elusive unless crossing the 0.6950 hurdle.
by MTradingGlobal
Trading is a waste of time Trading is a waste of time - until you do this! Welcome back for another exciting video, an educational video, and an eye-opening video for a lot of traders, and I have given it a very, very interesting title that is Trading a Waste of Time. Let's find out in this short video. Recently reading a book called The Best Loser Wins. It's written by Tom Hoggard , he goes by the name of Trader Tom on YouTube .And I urge you to check him out. There are some things that I have learned from his book and I'd like to share it with you. The particular data is of 2019 and these brokers are all located in European Union and, by law they are required to post the failure rates , how many clients are losing money in their market in their accounts. Out of a hundred clients, 89 clients were in a loss. And the situation is same for almost each and every broking houses. So eventually the brokers are making money, but the clients are not. Whenever as a beginner or even a seasoned trader, we are looking at these data and we believe that we are not in this statistical data. We are in the winning percentage in the remaining 10%, but it's not like that for the markets. We are just a statistic. Right? And even if you look at the top 10 broking forms in the world, the majority of people are in a loss. So that really makes us ask this question. Is trading really a waste of time? Are we just wasting our time in trading? And a lot of people, it's a very fine detail and a lot of people might agree with me that, in the initial stages it's really hard to be consistent in making money, right? And I'll discuss the reason with you because this particular reason is not discussed. The social media of Twitter, YouTube, it has all created an image where if you're not doubling your money every month, then you are a loser in the market. But in fact, trading is a very tough profession and it's really hard to make money and initial days protecting your money is one of the biggest tasks in surviving in the market. Protecting yourself from ruin is one of the biggest achievements in trading. So whenever we are starting our journey as a trader, where is our focus? What are the questions we are looking for? What are the things we are usually focused on? , we are on the internet looking for strategies, how to do scalping, how to do seing trading, how to use the indicators, the MACD and RSI, and how we can use different types of breakout indicators, right? These are the focal points of. I remember when I started trading, these are the things I was looking for. A hundred percent strategy, no loss strategy. These are the things that I was looking for initially, but these are usually the wrong answers. You know, in an area where 90% people are in a loss, then you need to ask yourself that. Because it has never been easier to trade because you go back 10 to 15 years, it was not easy to trade. You had to call your broker. And now we have an online trading system where we can just buy and sell stocks at an instant, right? That leads to high liquidity. And high liquidity usually means you can enter and. Very fast and you don't have to pay much for it. And you have all the tools available, especially a tool like Trading View, where you get each and every trading charts, indicators without paying a single penny. So it has never ever been easier to trade. So why are we all still losing money? We are only creating brokerage for our broking firm. This takes us to another and final topic is that in the year 2019, one Forex brokerage firm did an analysis of over 25,000 traders. And over a span of 15 months or 16 months. So that is a long period of time and over five crore trades were analyzed. So it was a very big data to analyze and that would give us a clear picture. So in that analysis it was recorded that out of hundred. , the traders were profitable in 60 of them and they lost money in 40 of them. So this is a very good data, right? Your win, your hit ratio is very high in the total amount of trades. So eventually the data is in your favor, but there's a small catch . When the traders are winning, they're winning 40 points. And when they lose, they lose around 75 points. This is a recipe for disaster. This particular thing created a lot of problems for me in the initial trades during my initial career. And this might be creating a lot of problems for people who are trading for the past one or two years in this high VIX environment because, you know, on paper, on week to week basis, you are winning And, and suddenly there's one particular day when you lose it all and that is the day when it drags your capital back to square one. So this is the biggest reason why it's very difficult for people to manage their trades. Cause it all comes down to how much you win when you win, and how much you lose when you lose. This brings us to the concept of risk . right in this modern area, uh, where option selling and creating spreads and selling naked options has been a very famous thing to do for the past couple of years. That is what happens whenever you're selling options, you have a probability of one 68%. That is a one standard deviation, right? So out of hundred trades you are going to win in 68% of them. But what you do and how you come out of the remaining 30 trades when the situation is not going to go in your favor, that is all going to matter. And that is the crux of thing that makes your journey as a successful trader. Our position in the market is very, very small for the market to know that we even exist or not. If you look at the data, if you just reverse the win and the loss points, even if you're winning only 50% of the times, then also your position is going to be in a net profit. So that's it for the guys. That makes this particular question really interesting. Is trading a waste of time? You're wasting of time, or are you smart enough to realize this thing that the other traders are doing and are in a loss? And what are you doing to improve this position and to improve your survival In this market. So that's it for you guys. I hope I have provided some value in this video, and if you found the video helpful, don't forget to follow me @piyushrawtani Trading View. And if you have any queries, feel free to post it in the comments section. Thank you very much and good night.
Editors' picks
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by piyushrawtani
13
AUDUSD bulls are all set to visit the 0.7000 thresholdOn Friday, AUDUSD offered the first daily closing beyond the 200-DMA, as well as a downward-sloping trend line from June, despite an upbeat US jobs report. The upside momentum recently crossed multiple hurdles surrounding the 0.6900 threshold, as well as the tops marked during early September 2022 near 0.6915, which in turn suggests the pair’s run-up towards the 0.7000 psychological magnet. In a case where the Aussie bulls keep the reins past 0.7000, a run-up towards the August 2022 peak around 0.7135 can’t be ruled out. Alternatively, sellers need to wait for a clear downside break of the resistance-turned-support line from June, close to 0.6830 at the latest. Even so, a two-month-old ascending support line, near 0.6730, could probe the AUDUSD bears before giving them control. In a case where the Aussie pair remains weak past 0.6730, the lows marked during December and the mid-November, close to 0.6630 and 0.6585 in that order, should lure the sellers. Overall, AUDUSD is ready for further upside towards the 0.7000 psychological magnet.
by MTradingGlobal
Sasken technologies - CMP 881. could go up to 1098-1100. Stock under minor correction and near support level. making higher high and higher lows. could be a good entry at about 860-880 with sl at 843. stock has resistance zone at 960-980. stock is having a history of decreasing volume period(consolidation) followed by high volume spikes with increase in share price. P/E is only 12.27 compared to industry average of 32.36, which is also favourable.. Also company has a good dividend history (200-250%) YOY. disclaimer: pls do ur own study before investing. this is not a recommendation to buy but my opinion only
NSE:SASKENLong
by Trade_with_Raghu
AUDUSD lures bears even as 200-SMA probes immediate downsideA clear break of the monthly bullish channel welcomed AUDUSD buyers the last week despite the quote’s hesitance to break the 200-SMA. That said, bearish MACD signals add strength to the downside bias suggesting an imminent fall to the November 08 swing high surrounding 0.6550, given the successful break of the 200-SMA level of 0.6660. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the Aussie pair’s November-December upside, around 0.6410, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, any recoveries need to defy the channel breakdown by successful trading above the 0.6725-30 support-turned-resistance to recall the AUDUSD buyers. Even so, the 0.6800 hurdle comprising multiple levels marked since mid-November could test the bulls before giving them control. In a case where AUDUSD remains firmer past 0.6800, the December-start peak near 0.6850 could return to the chart. However, a convergence of the stated channel’s upper line and the monthly high, close to 0.6890, closely followed by the 0.6900 round figure, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers afterward. Overall, AUDUSD sellers are in the driver’s seat and await a clear break of the 200-SMA to dominate further.
by MTradingGlobal
Rising wedge teases gold sellers below $1,800Gold buyers appear running out of steam, despite grinding around $1,770 of late. That said, the metal portrays a one-month-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern, recently poking the support line of the formation surrounding $1,773. However, the 100-SMA acts as an extra filter towards the south near $1,763 before directing the metal bears toward the theoretical target of around $1,627. It should be noted that the 200-SMA level around $1,720 and the $1,700 round figure could act as intermediate halts during the anticipated fall. Alternatively, the $1,800 threshold could restrict the short-term recovery of the gold price. However, an upside clearance of the $1,813 hurdle becomes necessary to defy the bearish formation. Following that, a gradual run-up towards June’s peak surrounding $1,880 can’t be ruled out. In a case where the metal buyers keep the reins past $1,880, the $1,900 round figure and May’s peak near $1,910 will be in focus. Overall, gold awaits a fresh signal to welcome bears as it prints the rising wedge formation on the four-hour play.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Possible 52 Week high breakout in Tube Investments?As this stock was added to MSCi Index on 30th November, we observed an extremely high volume buying with a significantly smaller candle, which indicates an significant inflow of funds from Institutions and key players tracking the index.We can expect more buying happening in this stock in coming days if it closes above 2,900 in today's trading session (2/12/22). Adding to this, currently price is trading near its 52 week high price of 2969.85, from where we can expect a small correction in lower time frames. Immediate major support is at 2,771. Considering the volumes, current price looks attractive. One can maintain stop-loss at 2,470. All possible targets are marked on the chart. This is just a view, not recommendation to trade. Do your own analysis before making any investment. Do like and share this idea and share your opinion in the comment section. NSE:TIINDIA
NSE:TIINDIALong
by varun_devadiga
1
Bearish RSI divergence teases EURUSD sellers on a crucial dayAlthough the EURUSD pair is all set to register the biggest monthly gain since September 2010, a bearish RSI divergence on the Daily chart challenges the quote’s further upside as traders await Eurozone inflation and a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The price-negative signal could be known when the quote makes higher highs but the oscillator, RSI (14) in this case, prints lower tops. Also raising doubts about the pair’s further upside is its repeated failures to stay successfully beyond the 200-DMA, currently around 1.0380. It’s worth noting, however, that a fresh high of the monthly, close to 1.0500 at the latest, could reject the bearish divergence in case the RSI ticks up beyond the latest peak surrounding 60.40. Even so, the highs marked during late June near 1.0615 will precede the June month’s top of 1.0773 to test the bulls before allowing them to challenge May’s peak of 1.0786. Meanwhile, the previous weekly low close to 1.0220 seems to lure the short-term sellers of the EURUSD pair. Following that, September’s high near 1.0195 could act as the last defense of the buyers before directing the prices towards October’s top of 1.0088. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.0088, the parity level will precede the early September swing low around 0.9865 to please the bears. Overall, EURUSD bulls are running out of steam as they brace for the key data/events.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD teases bears amid China-inspired risk aversionAfter closing a positive week on the red side, AUDUSD remains on the bear’s radar as it broke a short-term symmetrical triangle, as well as the 50-SMA. However, the bears need a clear downside break of the previous week’s bottom surrounding 0.6580 to keep the reins. In that case, the downward trajectory could aim for the 200-SMA level surrounding 0.6475. During the fall, the 0.6500 round figure may act as intermediate halts. Alternatively, a convergence of the previous support line and the 50-SMA, around 0.6700, holds the key to the buyer’s entry. Following that, a downward-sloping trend line from November 15, close to 0.6770 could challenge the upside momentum. In a case where the AUDUSD pair remains firmer past 0.6770, the monthly high and 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of 10-21 November moves, respectively around 0.6800 and 0.6840 will be in focus. Overall, AUDUSD is likely to remain weaker unless rising back beyond 0.6770.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold buyers are all set to revisit $1,787Gold pierces 50-SMA as it braces for the weekly gains with a four-day uptrend. The upside momentum also gains support from the MACD and RSI indicators and portrays a nice bounce off the previous monthly peak. With this, the yellow metal is set for refreshing the monthly peak surrounding $1,787. In that case, the $1,800 threshold gains major attention ahead of August month’s high near $1,808. It’s worth noting that the bullion’s successful run-up beyond $1,808 enables the bulls to retake control and aim for June’s top surrounding $1,880. Alternatively, failure to stay beyond the 50-SMA level surrounding $1,756 could drag gold prices towards the seven-week-old resistance-turned-support that also encompasses the 100-SMA around $1,730-28. Should the precious metal fail to bounce the key support zone, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of its September-November upside, near the $1,700 round figure, could act as the last defense for buyers. It should be observed that the quote’s weakness past $1,700 won’t hesitate to recall $1,680 on the chart. To sum up, gold buyers are all in to refresh the monthly high.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Gold could drop to $1,730 but further downside appears doubtfulDespite the latest bounce off the 200-day EMA, a clear break of a fortnight-old ascending trend line and the RSI pullback from overbought territory favor gold bears to snap a two-week uptrend. The metal’s downside, however, appears limited as a three-month-old horizontal support area near $1,730 appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. Also acting as a downside filter is the 100-day EMA surrounding $1,722, a break of which won’t hesitate to direct sellers towards the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of June-September south-run, close to $1,675. Meanwhile, recovery remains elusive below the support-turned-resistance line from November 03, around $1,795 at the latest. That said, a five-month-old horizontal area surrounding $1,805 could challenge the gold buyers afterward. In a case where the precious metal stays firmer past $1,805, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near $1,822 can act as a buffer during the run-up targeting the mid-2022 peak surrounding $1,875 will be in focus. Overall, gold is likely to decline further but the downside room appears limited.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
A Very Low risk setup in SKFINDIAHello everyone! Now is the best time to go long in SKFINDIA. I have been tracking this stock since July'22 and it has given a fabulous one sided rally of 35% since then, it is going through consolidation from last 2 month(pl. go through chart for probable target and SL). Someone might consider it after breakout from trendline but I personally prefer a low risk setup even with slightly less probability as after breakout the probability will increase but the risk to reward will be not as good as now. Let us understand this through example: Consider 2 setups, one with low RR and high wining % and another setup with considerably less winning % and high RR. RR ratio Wining % 1st Setup 1:3 90% 2nd Setup 1:6 60% Now before doing calculation let us pre-assume a few things; Total Capital - ₹1000 Maximum risk he/she take per trade - ₹20 After 10 trades: For 1st Setup; 1 trade will hit SL since setup has 90% accuracy. so, total loss = ₹20 As the setup have RR of 1:3 So, target for each trade will be = ₹20x3 = ₹60 In 9 trades target will be achieved. So, total gain = ₹60x9 = ₹540 Similarly for 2nd Setup: No of losing trade = 4 Total loss = ₹20x4 = ₹80 Target for each trade = ₹20x6 = ₹120 No of winning trades = 6 Total gain = ₹120x6 = ₹720 Total loss Total gain Net Gain ROI 1st Setup ₹20 ₹540 ₹520 52% 2nd Setup ₹80 ₹720 ₹640 64% Now you may make your decision. Thanks!
NSE:SKFINDIALong
by sudhanshu_raaz