Positional Trade Setup | Bank of Baroda | 09-08-2021NSE:BANKBARODA
It has formed rounding bottom pattern on daily time frame. Breakout of it seems to be happen in coming days.
But I have mentioned safe trade levels on either side. Better to wait and let this levels break and then take trade.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Roundingbottom
BASF - ATH Closing Stock has a tendency to form rounding bottom and give BO after consolidating for couple of weeks.
Once can see drying of volumes during consolidation phase
Risen from the golden Fibo level of 61.8% in May
Today stock has given ATH closing
Stock seems set to make another high in coming sessions, targetting 8-9% move
Phillips Carbon - Positional - a mistake I corrected Sharing a mistake I made and how I corrected it.
On Weekly chart, I saw a nice rounding botton pattern and stock close to ATH with a BO candle of 26 July 2021. I also saw volume expansion on that day as well as expansion since the candle of 18 January 2021.
I went long at approx. 270.
Although RSI was above 60, what I failed to see was RSI High was flat. And price was making a high with flat RSI. That was my first mistake.
The second mistake was my decision was based on upward slope of MA line and entry price was roughly 25% away from 30 Weekly MA.
The third mistake I made was I have a rule where I add 20-25% corpus on BO with Volumes and slowly add the rest on retracement based on price action. In this case, I added 75% at one go. I also didn't see the Daily chart for entry. A lower timeframe is recommended as ideal for entry, so for someone like me who invests positionally basis Weekly charts, I should have taken cognizance of the price action on Daily.
We don't know what will happen in future. Nifty 50 is on steroids and maybe price will go up or it may retrace and form a cup and handle pattern which is a better confirmation in terms of probability.
At my entry price my risk was way too high to add 75% at one go (If I had added only 20-25% this would be a safe trade). And as investors and traders, we have to manage risk and protect capital.
You may wonder why did I do this? It was my mind that was excited and momentarily I saw a prominent site where the stock had made the day's high. I make a conscious effort to not follow the calls given by research agencies or stock news sites. There is a reason behind this- news comes later, charts inform us earlier.
I exited a part at cost and remain invested only 25% of my corpus for this stock. If stock retraces to the area of better Risk Reward zone, I will add more.
Disl: This is not an investment or trading buy / sell advice. The purpose of this is educational- to share knowledge and learn from the community members. Please consult your investment advisor for any investment related advice.
DMART: Rounding BottomWas going through this DMART chart and luckily enough got to analyse two bullish patterns in a single chart:-
1. Inverted Head and Shoulder
2. Rounded Bottom
If you look at the Inverted Head and Shoulder pattern it hit its target on the upside equal to the depth of the Head and then gave a break out completing the Rounding Bottom Pattern.
Phillips cabron, breakout awaitedSame as goa carbon, Phillips carbon is also readying for a breakout.
Rounding bottom pattern complete.
This pattern is being formed for 2 years.
So breakout move will be of good intensity.
Increased volumes when stock is consolidating at neckline of the rounding bottom.
Maithan Alloys - 3.5yr Rounding Bottom BO RetestBUY GUIDANCE:
Never ever buy before 3PM. I have been burnt many many times. Try to buy between 3:15 - 3:30PM, later the better.
SL: Depending on your risk appetite: Below Weekly BO Candle / Below Daily BO Candle / 50% of Weekly BO candle / Below 20DMA
TGT: After a 10-15%+ vertical move, breakdown of 20DMA (on a daily close basis)
SELL GUIDANCE:
Selling in Profit:
Sell earlier in the session when the prices are higher, around 11AM.
Selling at SL:
Give your stock a chance to recover by end of session. If it doesn't recover, sell anywhere between 3:00 - 3:30PM.
Note: I reserve the right to be wrong.
DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.