YOUR NEXT MOVE?So well NIFTY is currently trading at 20068 points with
-BIG Support levels at
1.19207.75
2.18832.75
-Resistance levels at
1.19877
2.19983
3.20228
The index well is near its highest resistance level that is 20228 which was actually achieved because of the G20 summit that was held in india that had crossed resistance levels at 19983.
Now looking at the RSI levels we can determine that the index has used up all its strength and energy at 82.07rsi levels which was the previous RSI resistance level. What we can conclude through this is that nifty wont be crossing nifty levels of 20228 and will start its downward journey because of lack of power it needs to be in a upward trend. Well Nifty could be seeing levels as low as 18832.75 to 19207.75.
Well for my trade in options:
-Expiry- 28 DEC
-Strike price-19550 .
-PUT SELL
Rsi_divergence
Base formation is seen in Ideaforge.Reversal trade for educational purposes
Ideaforge has been in a downtrend since its listing. However, stock has formed a short term base.
780-840 is a good accumulation zone. Breakout above 840 might be a sign for reversal.
RSI positive divergence is clearlyseen in the stock
Targets can 960, 1000, 1050+ with SL below 780 DCB.
However, there is no guarantee regarding long term reversal hence traders should trail their SL to reduce loss.
Research report on RSI for beginnersLet's break down each point and explain them ::::::::::::::::: Happy learning
**Basic Concepts:**
1. **What is RSI?**
- RSI is like a traffic light for stocks in the Indian market. It tells you if a stock is moving too fast or too slow. If RSI is high, the stock might be overexcited, and if it's low, it might be tired.
2. **Calculation of RSI:**
- RSI is calculated by looking at how much a stock's price went up and how much it went down in the last 14 days. This gives you a number between 0 and 100.
3. **Interpreting RSI:**
- When RSI is above 70 in the Indian market, it's like a stock being at a crowded party – it might be time to leave soon. When RSI is below 30, it's like a stock being alone in a quiet room – it might be time to join the party.
4. **Divergence:**
- If a stock's price is doing one thing, and RSI is doing the opposite, it's like a disagreement. In India, this can signal a possible change in the stock's direction.
5. **Using RSI for Trend Confirmation:**
- RSI can help you confirm if a trend is strong in the Indian market. If RSI is above 70 in a rising market, the trend might continue. If RSI is below 30 in a falling market, the trend might keep going down.
**Intermediate Concepts:**
6. **RSI Period and Sensitivity:**
- You can change the "14-day" period to make RSI more or less sensitive to stock movements in India. Shorter periods are like a faster reaction, and longer periods are like a slower reaction.
7. **Centerline Crossovers:**
- RSI crossing the 50 mark in the Indian market is like a stock changing its mood. Above 50, it's becoming bullish (optimistic); below 50, it's becoming bearish (pessimistic).
8. **Overbought and Oversold Confirmation:**
- Overbought (above 70) in India can be like a stock being too hot to handle. Oversold (below 30) is like a stock being on a big discount. But remember, check other signals too.
**Advanced Concepts:**
9. **Hidden Divergence:**
- Hidden divergence in the Indian market is like spotting a hidden treasure. When a stock's price is doing something special, but RSI disagrees, it can be a hidden signal of a trend change.
10. **RSI and Support/Resistance:**
- RSI levels can act as bouncy floors (support) or glass ceilings (resistance) for stocks in India. If RSI bounces off a level, it can be a good entry or exit point.
11. **Multiple Timeframes:**
- Think of this like looking at a movie frame by frame. Combining RSI analysis on different timeframes in India gives you a full picture of the stock's behavior.
12. **RSI with Other Indicators:**
- RSI is like one player in a cricket team. When you have a whole team of indicators working together in the Indian market, you can make more accurate decisions.
13. **RSI Strategy Development:**
- This is like creating your own recipe for a perfect dish. Traders often create their unique RSI-based strategies in India with specific rules for when to buy and sell.
14. **Risk Management:**
- Just like a goalkeeper in football, you need to protect your goal (money). In India, set limits on how much you're willing to lose (stop-loss) and how much profit you're happy with (take-profit).
15. **Backtesting and Optimization:**
- Backtesting is like practicing before the big game. In India, you can test your RSI strategies on past data and tweak them to find the best ones for the future.
:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: Formula :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::
Relative Strength Index (RSI) Formula:
RSI = 100 -
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is calculated using the following steps:
Calculate Daily Price Changes: Find the price changes (typically closing prices) from one day to the next. If today's closing price is higher than yesterday's, it's considered a "gain," and if it's lower, it's a "loss."
Calculate Average Gain and Average Loss: Calculate the average gain and average loss over a specified period, usually 14 days. The average gain is the sum of gains over the period divided by 14, and the average loss is the sum of losses divided by 14.
Calculate the Relative Strength (RS): Divide the average gain by the average loss to get the relative strength (RS). RS = Average Gain / Average Loss.
Calculate the RSI: Use the RS to calculate the RSI using the formula RSI = 100 - .
Further Explanation:
RSI is used to determine whether a stock or market is overbought (too high) or oversold (too low). Here's a more detailed explanation:
RSI values range from 0 to 100. When RSI is above 70, it's typically considered overbought, suggesting that the stock might be due for a price correction or a pullback in the Indian market.
When RSI is below 30, it's usually considered oversold, indicating that the stock might be undervalued or due for a potential price increase in the Indian market.
Traders often use RSI to identify potential entry and exit points. For example, if RSI crosses above 70, it may be a signal to sell or take profits. Conversely, if RSI crosses below 30, it may be a signal to buy or enter a position.
Hidden divergence occurs when the price of a stock in the Indian market makes a higher high (in an uptrend) or a lower low (in a downtrend), but the RSI fails to do the same. This can be a more subtle sign of a trend reversal.
RSI can be used in conjunction with other technical indicators to enhance trading strategies in the Indian market.
BSE:BANK NSE:BANKNIFTY NSE:ICICIBANK NSE:AXISBANK NSE:SBIN NSE:KOTAKBANK NSE:UNIONBANK NSEIX:NIFTY1!
BITCOIN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ( 18th Oct 2023 )Price Analysis
Current Price: $28739.02
24-Hour Change: 1.88%
Circulation Supply: 19.52M
Trend Analysis
Technical Indicator : Strong Buy (On Daily Basis)
Moving Average : Strong Buy (On Daily Basis)
Overall Trend : Strong Buy (On Daily Basis)
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Level 1: 28125.4
Support Level 2: 27850.3
Resistance Level 1: 28639.0
Resistance Level 2: 23378.7
Moving Averages:
50-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA): 26790.70 ( Buy)
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA): 27772.0 ( Buy )
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Current RSI: 67.237
RSI Interpretation: Buy Zone
Volume Analysis
Trading Volume: $14,616,751,761
Volume Trends: Increasing in Nature
Candlestick Patterns
BULLISH DOJI STAR : Bullish Reversal ( Indication ), Medium ( Reliabilty ), During a downtrend, the market strengthens the bears with a long black candlestick and gaps open on the second one. However, the second candlestick trades within a small range and closes at or near its open. This scenario generally shows the potential for a rally, as many positions have been changed. Confirmation of the trend reversal would be a higher open on the next candlestick ( Description ).
HANGING MAN : Bearish Revesal ( Indication ), Low ( Reliabilty ),
During an uptrend, there is a sharp sell off after a gap to the upside. However, the candlestick closes at or near its high. This signifies the potential for further sell-offs. Since the certainty for a Hanging Man indicator is low, the trend reversal can be confirmed by a black candlestick or a large down gap on the next candlestick accompanied by a lower close ( Description ).
Conclusion
The live price of Bitcoin is $ 28,739.15 per (BTC / USD) with a current market cap of $ 560.90B USD. 24-hour trading volume is $ 14.61B USD. BTC to USD price is updated in real-time. Bitcoin is +1.83% in the last 24 hours with a circulating supply of 19.52M.
It's essential to exercise caution and apply risk management strategies in your trading decisions.
Kotak Bank RSI Bullish DivergenceOn the daily timeframe chart of Kotak Bank, a noteworthy observation can be made. While the price has been forming lower lows, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is displaying a pattern of lower highs. This development indicates a bullish divergence on the RSI, which presents a potential opportunity for a swing trade.
Entry:
To capitalize on this bullish divergence, it is advisable to consider initiating a long position after the opening of the next candle. This will allow for confirmation of the divergence pattern and potentially capture any subsequent upward movement in the stock's price.
Stop Loss:
To manage risk effectively, it is recommended to place the stop loss below the previous swing low, taking into account a suitable buffer. This precautionary measure ensures protection against unexpected price declines and helps to preserve capital in the event that the trade does not unfold as anticipated.
Targets:
For this swing trade setup, two distinct target levels are identified on the chart, referred to as Target 1 and Target 2. These targets correspond to the next resistance levels that the stock may encounter during its potential upward movement. Traders may consider taking profits or adjusting their positions accordingly upon reaching these predefined targets.
Remember to like this post and consider following for future updates.
USDINR - REVERSAL PLAYThe Indian Rupee (INR) has depreciated by 1 RS against the US dollar in the past month and is approaching its historical peak, a potential reversal opportunity. Consider taking a short position, using a tight stop loss set at the all-time high of 83.6 . This decision is bolstered by the presence of a bearish divergence, lending further support to this strategy.
Bharat Forge*Bharat Forge* -
*Time Frame*-Weekly
*Study* - Bearish Divergence, A bearish Sign
*Price Zone*- Moving between 600 -915.5 zone
*Conclusion*-If stock breaks above 915 then it may be kept in watchlist for investing purpose. Also, FII activity in this stock is very high
This study is only for educational purpose. Do your own study before taking any trades.
RSI Divergence(s) :: A Case Study 📈📉Hey Pivster's ★
Found out one interesting query in a public forum and thought to provide the explanation through a chart so that it can be documented for reference in future.
Chart is actually self-explanatory as marked and constructed accordingly 🫶
◉ Query:
"During uptrends prices make lower highs whereas RSI makes lower lows..this is called positive reversal".
This is a statement made by Bharat Jhunjhunwala in one of his lectures....i don't get the lower highs in prices...can anyone explain?
☞ My answer would be -
➣ He is basically taking about a RSI positive divergence scenario where the “Price” has higher probability for making a reversal.
➣ This scenario is ideal as 'RSI' is mostly taking closing price into consideration. SO, when the price starts to close above the previous red candles it shifts the RSI curve towards an uptrend and a reversal can be confirmed once the 'Price' breaks the previous Lower High (LH) which will eventually be in correspondence to the 'RSI' making a Higher Low (HL) after a visible "Positive Divergence" to the 'Price' chart.
➣ Here, the structure for the 'Price' is now expected to reverse and follow the structure of an "Uptrend" now while the "RSI" continues making Higher Lows (HL) as the closing price is higher to that of the previous candle in an 'Uptrend'.
Explained this whole scenario in the chart of NSE:MARUTI which showed a fresh and live demonstration of this discussed scenario in the last trading session that was on 1st September, 2023 (Friday) 📍
Well just to add a better confluence alongside PIVOT POINTS, here is the same chart with weekly pivots applied ↘︎
- This shows the entry of Weekly Initiative Players ( WH4 ) once the reversal structure gets confirmed ♠️
I hope your query has been answered to a satisfactory level and understanding from the basic to core 🥂
Let me know your view/suggestions in the comment section below 😊
Regards,
Mukkull
EIH Bullish Bias 40% Upside PossibleSoon to be a blockbuster Stock
Consolidation was happening and the moment it went down from 200day EMA it pulled back
The Steam is still pending
Anchored VWAP also indicating a stop loss of 185s
Aim to buy when the stock pauses
It has a typical behavior of pausing after an upmove
Flag Pattern Potential 35 to 40% upside