Bitcoin Bybit Path Analysis July 6th
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Today is a new movement route analysis.
15 minute chart.
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BitCoin: A new Move about to start.BitCoin has been consolidated for the last 6-8 months in a channel shown in the graph.
As per prediction it is about to break that range and will move towards new and higher highs.
As per the chart and pattern structure in this current move it can go up to 100K easily and more above levels will be unlocked after that
SL must be 56k.
Targets 100k - 120k
Time range 8-10 months
it does not constitute and cannot replace investment advice. We therefore recommend that you contact your personal financial advisor before carrying out specific transactions and investments.
Bitcoin near resistance level.Bitcoin has been respecting the resistance level of 44500 and is just below the 200ema.
On daily chart frame,the chart pattern formed near the resistance level will help is confirmation of the movement of the price above or below the resistance levels
The bitcoin is forming a ascending triangle chart pattern on a bigger time frame.
Support levels :- 41980, 37700
Resistance levels :- 44500, 45800
Wait for the candlestick chart pattern to be formed near the zone to find the movement in bitcoin.
BITCOIN LONG-TERM VIEWBitcoin is going through massive pain areas as compared to the other cryptos, as it has been affected the most in this bearish time frame. We have given here the technical analysis for the long-term scenario and short-term scenario, with all of its possibilities. The price is volatile enough to move in any direction- up, down or sideways.
Bitcoin USD Live chart states that currently, Bitcoin is trading at $4140.28 with a market capitalisation of $62,477,511,147 and circulating supply of 17,429,512 BTC.
First, let us represent the long-term monthly time frame chart of Bitcoin live ticker- XBT/USD (BitMex) as per Bitcoin stock price, which covers both resistance and support levels with Bitcoin candlestick charts as well.
Long-Term Analysis (A Month Timeframe)
Bitcoin Long Term Analysis
Scenario 1: Bullish (Uptrend)
If the Monthly candle (December) closes with price above $3430 with decent buy volume then we might see the price the testing the "Resistance Zone 2" ranging from $4207-$4700 within few weeks.
Few other factors in confluence with the bullish scenario:
1) Stochastic RSI is in the Oversold Region (its a region where asset price is likely to rebound or bounce).
2) Selling Volume (red bars at the bottom of the chart) is declining i.e. sellers are getting exhausted.
Scenario 2: Bearish (Downtrend)
If the Monthly candle (December) closes with the price below $3430 with decent sell volume then we might see the price, the testing, the "Support (Buying) Zone 1" ranging from $2400-$2900 within few weeks.
If that support doesn't hold (no buying interest) then we might see "Support (Buying) Zone 2" followed by last "Support Zone 3".
Factors in confluence with Bearish Scenario
Support Zone 3 ranging from $1100-$1300 is the High of the previous Bull market cycle (2013) and might get a retest to follow market cycle rule (not mandatory but likely).
Scenario 3: Ranging Scenario
Bitcoin Ranging Scenario
One of the scenarios which people often ignore is that an asset ranges between two boundary zones for some weeks and months before moving into strong trends (Upward or Downward) just like Bitcoin did between price levels $5800-$6400 for 3 months (September-November'18) before making a major move downtrend to $3100 price level.
There are permutations and combinations you can apply between different zones (Resistance and Support) on the chart to form Ranging Zones.
These are areas where major market participants (Institutional Investors) accumulate before a big change in direction of the price.
Note: Monthly time frame charts illustrates the movement of price over a long-term horizon and are most often used by long-term investors.
Short-Term Analysis (Daily and Weekly)
Let's take both the bullish and bearish scenario for the short-term time frame.
Bitcoin Short Term Analysis
Scenario 1: Bullish (Uptrend)
If BTC close above $3650 Daily and the weekly frame shows a reversal pattern (Green Engulfing candle) we might enter at these levels ($3600) with a target around $4000+ which eventually might restest Resistance Zone ($4400-$5400) in the coming weeks.
Scenario 2: Bearish (Downtrend)
If BTC couldn’t break the previous support ($3600) turned resistance in the coming weeks then there are two Bounce(rebound) zone for Bullish reversal ranging from $1800-$2400 and $896-$1200 for coming weeks and month.
Now, we have reached the last segment of our analysis where we will mention the news and event analysis
Institutional bodies are getting interested in cryptocurrencies. One such example is the U.S. state of Ohio accepting tax payments. Merchants like Overstock, eGifter, Expedia, Shopify accept Bitcoins as payments and several people are testifying on social media how they purchased goods and services with cryptocurrencies such as BTC, ETH, and BNB.
The supply of Bitcoin is finite and limited to 21 Million hence the demand is not going down. Second, that the number of Bitcoins generated per block is set to decrease by 50% every 210,000 blocks. For example, if today each miner receives 12.5 Bitcoins for solving (mining) a block, after the next halving event they will receive only 6.25 BTC and so forth.
2018 was filled with rumors of institutional investors buying into cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. Several times, the Bitcoin ETF has been rejected in 2018. But recently an SEC commissioner has started a Bitcoin ETF is definitely possible. In 2019, NASDAQ is going to work with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to launch Bitcoin futures in the first quarter of 2019.
Conclusion
While bull and bear markets are nothing new in the financial world and Bitcoin has been through the bear cycle before and recovered well from it with given time. Bitcoin is here to stay, it’s worth exploring the drops in value and equally fast recovery the currency has experienced. History shows that the top cryptocurrency has sustained much more rapid losses during a shorter period of time over the course of the past several years, and has not discouraged long-term investors.
Bitcoin Swing Long Update & Levels- Bitcoin is currently trading at 61,739$
- Bitcoin has filled my Fair Value Gap, I want to see the reaction and its behavior after this
- We can see a Market Structure shift below 57,500 if we witness a weekly candle below that and the structure is going to turn bearish
- Watch out for Spot Accumulation around 58,000-60,000$
- Bitcoin can move impulsively from here as well if the War news gets digested and we see markets bouncing back by next week
- The first 2 weeks have always been bearish for the overall crypto market so we need to factor in the same.
Bitcoin consolidating after a drop.Bitcoin for last 10 day is being consolidating after a nice fall of 10%.
The coin is consolidating in a range of 1% and there can be a nice move one it breaks the consolidation zone.
On the weekly charts, it is taking support from the 200 ema i.e. 25670 and has retested after testing the levels.
Even on the daily charts, there is also a bearish moving averages cross over and its trading below it. There might be a retest as there is a huge imbalance created.
For the intraday trades. The coin is trading around the 20 ema, on the hourly charts, and below the 200 ema.
The volumes are high when there is a fall and a reduction in the up move.
There is volatility which no giving a clear view in this range.
Let the coin give break out or break down of the levels and trades should be initiated accordingly.
Support :- 25860, 25670
Resistance :- 26185, 26500
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering a trade.
BitCoin – Next Tulipmania?BitCoin – Next Tulipmania?
Selling Pressure is seen in BitCoin after Elon musk announcement.
Chart is around its major support level.
If 39520 breaks on weekly basis then Prices will easily reach 26650.
Extended target can be 19100.
If the above condition fails then good reversal is also possible from current level. So keep your stop losses as per your risk reward.
Disc. : Views Shared for Education Purpose only. Consult your Financial Advisor before taking any position.
Bitcoin 4H Swing Update Bitcoin is currently trading at 62,836
- Bitcoin needs to flip and close above 65,213$ to flip bullish and discover new prices
- On the downside, we can soon see 61,300$ getting tested before we move further impulsively
- Bitcoin followed my old path exactly the way I had predicted it to follow
- Majorly Twitter and a lot of social media outlets were bullish when BTC was trading below 58,000 and that's where accumulation was witnessed and shorts got trapped
- Learning: In order to make money in Spot from the crypto market you need to stop doing what the 99% does in order to succeed and then only you will make extravagant money, Q4 & Q1 has always been bullish for crypto according to Seasonality