BANDHAN BANK - BULISHIT'LL GET SUPPORT STRONG FROM EMA 100
EMA 50 ALREADY CROSSED EMA 100
NOW, IT'S TIME TO CROSS EMA 100 TO EMA 200
Search in ideas for "EMA"
RELIANCE SPOTRELIANCE HAS BROKEN BELOW ALL ITS HOURLY EMAS....... AND ON A DAILY BASIS, IS BELOW THE 5/20/50 EMAS . ALTOUGH 200 EMA IS WAY DOWN AT 1700/...... WHAT NEXT IS THE QUESTION??????? PLEASE LOOK AT THE WEEKLY EMAS, AND YOU WILL FIND THAT IT HAS BROKEN BELOW 5 EMA ON A WEEKLY BASIS AS WELL, BUT THE 20 EMA ( WHICH IS ALWAYS A VERY STRONG SUPPORT/RESISTENCE POINT) IS AT 2040 APPRXX....... I AM HIGHLY OF THE OPINION THAT THIS IS THE ZONE WHERE IT WILL TAKE SUPPORT TO BOUNCE BACK AGAIN.....
Oracle Financial Services Software (OFSS) Chart StudyOracle Financial Services Software ( OFSS ) is trending above 200 days EMA and 50 days EMA . 50 days EMA has crossed 200 days EMA from below.
Stock is having strong support near 200 days EMA and a resistance around Rs . 3427. If breaks the resistance with volume , it can reach to levels mention in the chart.
TWO WEEKS AGO GIVEN TARGETS WITH DIRECTION ALL ACHIEVED SEE HOW Hi Traders,
1. On the 3rd of August 2020, I mentioned in my post of nifty wherein point no. 1 of the trade plan is quoting for your consideration. " I made a blue dotted line, if price opens gap down and takes the support of this line and gives close above the sky blue trendline then one should cover positional shorts. On the contrary, if the price opens gap up and sustains above sky blue line by giving close above it then no more shorting for time being." Here you can see I gave the condition of the gap down which did not happen next day trading session and price moving up. From that day this low was not even tested once and the price remained almost 18 days up. I clearly mentioned on the contrary condition that NO MORE SHORTING and see price did not fall from that blue trendline condition. When I write my conditions all are written with confidence after the activation, with very less chances to fail. More than 205+ post on record. Earlier I used to post every day but now I manifest complete moves in such a way that worked more than two weeks. See how?
2. In the current fig, I marked a green circle showing you resistance taken on the same level where I made resistance. similarly, a white color circle showing you the support of my choice of Ema that you will not get in any book. If you see maximum support on white color Ema and only one support on yellow ema. Both Emas along with support resistance worked so precisely that if anybody followed them properly would have been earners these days. I gave you one white support to see how precisely price took support breaching yellow Ema marked in the red circle. Nobody uses this combination of Ema except me and works well. In the setting chart below of the last post, you can compare all levels with current fig and see yourself how more than two weeks' price behaved around my levels so well.
Trade Plan for next session
1. My final target of the previous post was an upper white line where price made a zone with today trading. So that will be achieved in the coming sessions. See the red dotted line where the price is closed today. This line was earlier resistance now it will act as support so if the price in the next session does not take out in both time frames of 15 min and 1 hour then the white solid line and the white dotted line are the first targets.
2. On the contrary, If price takes out a red dotted line downside in both time frames then support white lines target. If price takes out this support line further down then uptrend will change into a downtrend for the coming days.
3. The yellow solid line will act as resistance if taken out in both time frames then the yellow dotted line will be the target. If the yellow solid line is not taken out then up trend can change to downtrend no more positional longs.
4. For new readers taken out condition is as follows:-
Taken out condition works in the two-time frame combination for daily( 4 hr + 1 day) analysis. Similarly, work for lower time frames is also a two-time frame combination. For intraday trades 1 hr with 15 min. For taken out condition price has to complete in both time frames. Aggressive traders can take that side position in a lower time frame with the stop loss of breached candle low. In both the time frames given line is breached by a candle that candle high is to be breached by next candle and close should be above the previously breached candle. This is how taken out condition is being implemented.
Yogesh Vats
Disclaimer:- All trading positions should be taken from consulting your financial planner. This study is for educational purposes only.
1 Day left for a breakdown.The stock has a very small space to float for intraday tomorrow.
Breakout/Breakdown seems to be a possibility.
100 EMA - Blue
200 EMA - Black
Stock is above 200 EMA but below 100 EMA.
200 EMA & our Trendline can act as a support to not let our stock from falling.
If a breakdown happens inside intraday then our first target will be the red zone. It has acted as resistance and support for a while. We can see some profit booking at this level.
200 EMA will be our Stop Loss.
Nifty: Why Nifty is Stuck in a moment & strategy to tradeNifty
CMP 10863
- one of the reasons can be explained with the help of EMAs
- when ever there is a wide gap between 50 day EMA & 200 day EMA it can be said that markets are in a trending market
- with the expansion of gap trend gets stronger & vice versa
- Since November 2018 there is hardly any gap between 50 day EMA & 200 day EMA & the result is Nifty is doing a yo-yo trade in a 450 point range not giving any sense of direction...
Strategy
- look to sell close to channel top or buy close to channel bottom...
- exit trade if Nifty moves out of yellow channel & reverse the trade if it sustains beyond the yellow channel for 3 consecutive days
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Is YPP (S1) a turning point for a range break?Unlike AUD, it is NZDUSD which is completely invisible to down trend when looking at the weekly stick.
weekly
The current position is a difficult place to hit the YPP (S1) and the trend line.
Because it is a range market, I'd like to think about long at the bottom of the range.
However, as far as EMA is seen, the closest direction is down.
Therefore, long entry is a difficult place.
Unfortunately, I have not been able to trade so much this week, but I will also check off this time.
I will wait for a chance of a short.
<< tactics >>
1-1) MPP (P) rose to 0.68568. It acted as a resistance line.
short.
The first limit is decided by referring to the WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on YPP (S1) 0.67273.
1-2) MPP (P) rose to 0.68568. It penetrated it.
If it functions as a support line, think of a long.
2-1) YPP (S1) 0.67273 penetrated downward. That worked as a support line.
short.
The first limit is MPP (S1) 0.66538
The second limit is above WePP in the next week above MPP (S2)0.65331.
2-2) penetrated below YPP (S1) 0.67273. It reached MPP (S2) as it was.
Wait for a short entry point.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Crude Oil view: Channel trade set up
Observations from the chart
- WTI Crude trading in up trend channel since last 1 month
- 20 day EMA crossover above 50 day EMA and 200 day EMA
- 50 day EMA crossover above 200 day EMA
Based on the observations we feel:
WTI Crude to be in positive territory &
If channel trade is to continue there seems to be good opportunity to go long for target of 54-55 with stop below 48.50 on closing basis
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Regards
Indiamarketoutlook
Nifty viewNifty
Cmp 10451
Observations
- 20 hr EMA is currently above 50 hr EMA
- 50 hr EMA has acted as the make or break level for confirmation of trend continuation or trend reversal
- Nifty is trading in blue channel since September 2017 & is currently at lower end of the channel
- however what looks more important here is to see if or not there is a cross over of 20 hr EMA below 50 day EMA happening
- this is a passive & not a pro-active indicator but as can be seen from the charts, previous 2 crossovers have given 4.5% - 6% movements after confirmation
Keep a close watch & look for Chart confirmation...
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Nifty : Big brother at rescue again...If you have gone through previous post on Nifty, you will realize we have been tracking Nifty movement more from Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) point of view...
Link to Previous updates on Nifty...
Nifty has been giving signals of weakening of 20day EMA support which it has broken
- also it was suggesting that it's time for big brother 50 day EMA to show its mettle
Well that is exactly what is happening...
Nifty has been taking a hits this week but has been able to get up with a helping hand from support provided by 50 day EMA for the last 4 days...
We closed our short positions @9480 as per plan suggested in earlier post with gains of 200 points and a long initiated near 50 day EMA is already giving 30 points for today...
Booking partial profits here and holding balance with stop at 9445 so as to ensure no loss for the weekend trade... :-)
Nifty might once again try to rise if support holds true...
Do note: In case it doesn't we have a Plan B ready and we look at Fib levels of 9283 and 9018 for next support / review zone...
Do review your trading plan and
plan your trade accordingly...!!!
Take care and safe trading...!!!
AUD/JPY Bearish Outlook: Potential Breakdown Toward 83.516?1. Chart Pattern: Descending Wedge/Channel
The chart shows a clear downward sloping channel, indicating a bearish trend.
Price has been making lower highs and lower lows, suggesting selling pressure.
2. Key Levels
Resistance: The upper boundary of the descending channel acts as resistance.
Support: The lower boundary of the descending channel serves as support.
Major Target: The projected price movement (indicated by the arrow) suggests a drop toward 83.516, which appears to be a strong support level.
3. Moving Average (EMA 200)
The 200 EMA (94.639) is being tested.
If price breaks below the 200 EMA, it could signal further downside.
4. Recent Price Action
The price is currently at 95.848, having dropped -1.43% in the latest session.
If it fails to hold this zone, a breakdown could accelerate selling pressure.
5. Bearish Breakdown Scenario
A break below 95.000 could trigger further selling.
If price follows the projected path, a move to 83.516 is possible.
Conclusion
Bearish bias in the medium term.
Watching for a breakdown below 94.639 (200 EMA) for confirmation.
If the lower channel support holds, a bounce could occur.
Traders should look for confirmation signals before entering a position.
EUR/GBP Bearish Momentum – Eyes on Support Zone!📊 EUR/GBP Daily Chart Analysis (28th Jan 2025)
🔹 Overview:
Pair: EUR/GBP
Current Price: 0.83855 📉 (-0.10%)
Key Indicators:
200 EMA (Red Line): 0.84129 (Price is below the EMA, indicating bearish sentiment)
Resistance Zone (🟠 Orange Box): ~0.84200 - 0.84400
Support Zone (🟢 Green Box): ~0.83200 - 0.83400
🔻 Bearish Outlook:
Price recently rejected the resistance zone and started declining.
It is now trading below the 200 EMA, suggesting potential further downside.
Next Target: The support zone (~0.83200 - 0.83400) is likely the next major level.
📉 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bearish Continuation ⬇️
If the price maintains momentum, it may head toward the support zone (~0.83200).
A break below support could trigger further downside.
2️⃣ Bullish Rebound 🔄
If the price finds strong buying interest at support, a rebound toward the resistance (~0.84200) is possible.
A breakout above 200 EMA could shift momentum back to bullish.
🎯 Trading Considerations:
Short Opportunity: Below 0.83800, targeting 0.83400.
Long Opportunity: If support holds around 0.83200, aiming for a move back to resistance.
Breakout Watch: A move above 0.84200 could trigger bullish momentum.
🔥 Conclusion: Currently, the trend is bearish, and price action suggests further downside toward the support zone. Keep an eye on price behavior around 0.83400 for potential reactions.
Stock Analysis: Jash EngineeringIntroduction:
Jash Engineering Limited is involved in the manufacturing a wide range of equipment for Water Intake Systems, Water and Waste Water Pumping Stations and Treatment Plants, Storm Water Pumping Stations, Water Transmission Lines, Power, Steel, Cement, Paper & Pulp, Petrochemicals, Chemical, Fertilizers, and other process plants. Jash offers a single-stop solution under one roof including Design, Casting, Fabrication, Assembly & Testing, and provides the most varied range of these products in the largest possible sizes. Jash is an industry leader in India and also exports these products to over 45 countries worldwide.
Fundamentals:
Market Cap: ₹ 3,589 Cr.; Stock P/E: 46.2 (Ind. P/E: 39.70) 👎;
ROCE: 25.1% 👍 ; ROE: 22.6% 👍;
3 Years Sales Growth: 20% 👍; 3 Years Profit Growth: 30% 👍;
3 Years Stock Price CAGR: 83% 👍
Cons: Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -9.36%
Technicals:
Jash engineering has fell sharply from the strong resistance level of 638 in Mud jan 2025.
Jash engineering has given a good breakout in the past few sessions after taking strong support around 100 EMA level of 542.
RSI (56.24) is indicating price strength.
20 EMA (Black Line) is trading above 50 EMA (Orange Line) and 100 EMA (Blue line).
Resistance levels: 638, 663
Support levels: 559, 520, 483
What Next In EURUSD
Key Levels:
1. Resistance Levels:
o The red supply zone above (around 1.04500) represents a key resistance area.
Price has rejected this level in the past, showing that sellers are active there.
o Another small resistance zone is identified near 1.04390 from previous candles.
2. Support Levels:
o The light blue demand zone below (1.04126) acts as a significant support area.
Buyers stepped in here previously, causing a rally.
o A second support level is near 1.04100, aligning with
the current price's point of interest (POI).
________________________________________
Market Behavior:
1. Range-Bound Price Action:
o The note on the chart mentions that the price was in a range yesterday. This is evident as
price oscillates between the resistance zone (1.04500) and
the demand/support zone (1.04126).
o Breakout confirmation (upward or downward) is crucial for clarity on the next trend.
2. Current Price:
o The price is currently testing the demand zone (POI Level). If it holds, we may see a
bounce back toward resistance at 1.04500.
________________________________________
💡 Technical Indicators:
1. Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
o The price is hovering near the blue EMA line, which is likely a 50-period EMA. This suggests
a mixed market sentiment where buyers and sellers are evenly matched.
o A strong price reaction above or below the EMA can indicate the next potential trend.
________________________________________
📊 Supply and Demand Zones:
1. Supply Zone:
o The red supply zone at the top indicates strong selling pressure. Price will need strong
momentum to break through it.
2. Demand Zone:
o The light blue demand zone has seen active buyers before. It's a critical level for bulls to
maintain to avoid further downside.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Plan:
1. For Buyers:
o Wait for a bullish reaction from the demand zone (1.04126) and a possible breakout above
the range (1.04500) to target higher levels.
o A bounce off the EMA would also signal bullish momentum.
2. For Sellers:
o Look for a rejection at the resistance zone (1.04500) or a confirmed break below the
demand zone at 1.04126 for shorting opportunities.
________________________________________
⚠️Recommendation:
• Wait for Breakout:
o Avoid trading in the current range until a breakout occurs, as it is unclear if the price will
move higher or lower.
o Monitor for volume and candlestick patterns at key levels (rejections or breakouts).
This chart currently exhibits consolidation, requiring a patient approach for clarity on the
next directional move.
👉 Always follow TP/SL to protect your capital and maximize profits!
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more
analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart
with me !
📢Best Regards , Silver Wolf Traders Community
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only.
Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively
Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis. Altseason. The price of Bitcoin has declined following the release of labor market data (JOLTS) and the FOMC meeting minutes, where Fed officials expressed concerns about the impact of Donald Trump's policies on the U.S. economy. BTC's price has once again fallen below the 200 EMA line and is currently retesting the support block at 90,000–91,000, which it has repeatedly bounced off over the past month. If Bitcoin breaks below this level under selling pressure, we anticipate a continued correction into the 4H Imbalance zone, located between the 0.5 and 0.61 Fibonacci levels. In this area, reversal patterns can be sought for building short-term long positions in the 87,000–82,000 range. The likelihood of further decline is indicated by the crossing of the EMA 200 and EMA 50 moving average lines. At the same time, the RSI indicator is already near its lower limits, offering hope for a quick end to the correction if the support levels of 87,000 and 80,000 hold against the sellers' pressure.
For Bitcoin to resume its upward trend, it needs to break above the dynamic resistance of the 200 EMA and hold above the psychological level of 100,000. In that case, we would expect further growth with a retest of the resistance block at 108,000–110,000 and a potential update of the all-time high.
📉 Bitcoin market global analysis. When does the altseason start?
On the daily logarithmic chart, the RSI indicator has crossed below the midline, suggesting a continued correction is likely. During Bitcoin’s rapid growth in November 2024, an Imbalance 1D zone formed in the 77,000–85,000 range, characterized by significant gaps at horizontal trading volume levels that need to be filled through consolidations.
After the correction is complete, the next target for Bitcoin's price growth could be the global trendline, drawn based on the two peaks of the previous growth cycle. This line may be tested around the 120,000 level, as confirmed by the analysis of large order blocks in exchange order books.
Meanwhile, the crypto market is gearing up for the much-anticipated altseason—a period when altcoins outperform Bitcoin in returns. Altseason typically follows Bitcoin's new all-time high and its consolidation within that range, as investors reinvest profits into other coins to maximize gains. However, the upcoming altseason will likely differ from previous ones due to the influx of institutional funds via Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs and the tightening regulation of crypto assets.
Historically, in 2017 and 2021, the start of altseason coincided with a decline in Bitcoin's market dominance. A drop in Bitcoin's share of total market capitalization below 50% could signal the beginning of altseason. Additionally, altseason often aligns with moments when Bitcoin reaches the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart.
💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels
The Fear and Greed Index remains in the Greed Zone - 69.
The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has fallen to $3.19 billion, while the Bitcoin Dominance Index has risen to 57.94.
According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels:
🟢 Demand Zone: 80,000 - 91,000
🔴 Supply Zone: 105,000 - 120,000
Levels for long positions:
90,000 - psychological support level
87,000 - 88,000 - large support block
80,000 - large support block
Levels for short positions:
105,000 - largest resistance block
110,000 - largest resistance block
120,000 - ascending trend line of resistance
📊 Fundamental analysis
At the December meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) discussed various topics, ranging from inflation risks to the anticipated slowdown in rate cuts. Fed officials expressed concerns that Trump’s proposed trade and immigration policies could intensify inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, fresh U.S. labor market data may push the Fed to abandon further rate reductions. The cryptocurrency market reacted sharply, with significant price declines.
At the same time, financial analysts predict that the current bull market could become the longest in the history of the cryptocurrency industry. Investor optimism regarding a continued crypto rally surged after Bitcoin reclaimed levels above $100,000, following news that the largest BTC investor among public companies, MicroStrategy, resumed its coin purchases. The company acquired 1,070 Bitcoins for $101 million, bringing its total holdings to 447,470 BTC.
Experts believe the cryptocurrency market’s peak will occur in mid-2025, followed by a steep decline. Net liquidity of $57 billion, expected to flow into the market in the first quarter, may temporarily support the bull market. However, economic pressures are likely to trigger a correction. These projections are based on an analysis of market liquidity and the impact of political events, as U.S. dollar liquidity remains a critical factor in crypto market dynamics. Changes in Fed policy and U.S. Treasury operations could lead to significant volatility.
🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy
We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates:
➤ 01/15, 16:30 - U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI).
➤ 01/16, 16:30 - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims.
➤ 01/29, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision.
➤ 03/19, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision.
📈 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator:
In December 2024, the price of Bitcoin updated its historical maximum, then a correction began. Our trading indicator, as always, warned about this in advance! And even during the flat period it gave good entry points. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals have become profitable, and built-in Anti-Flat System prevented losses from manipulative market movements. 😎
Total price movement by all signals: + 45.09%
Maximum price movement: + 11.17%
Average price movement: + 5.01%
In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
Bank Nifty Analysis 17-Jan-2025Today Bank Nifty opens at 48959 and close at 48540. Traded sideways in narrow range 48400 - 48600. On Monday, 48550 level crucial. If bank will trade above 48550 for first 30 min then bank nifty will trade bullish and Resistance level will be.
R1- 48675
R2 - 48800
R3 - 48925
EMA 21 (48584) is below then EMA 55 (48744), EMA 100 (48831), EMA 200 (49128). There is more PUT writer then CALL writer so Bank nifty is excepted to open negative and trade bearish. if bank nifty trade below 48550 for first 30 min then support level will be
S1 - 48445
S2 - 48180
S3 - 47900
