Time Premium Decay - Trick to sell 1350 CE at just Rs.57000If you guys might have noticed, PVR is not moving up above 1320 even after opening theaters, or started 4 new theaters.
It is because of the time premium decay. It only mean one thing that there are sellers at large.
During this time, swing trade earns us good but risky because if we expect the share travels between 1280 and 1320,
we usually buy at 1280 after a buy signal but it ends falling to 1250. so, we end up in losses.
At this time, selling options is the only thing we could do.
Most of the retail traders cannot sell the options as they require huge investments
So, here is trick which is known to many but I'm posting this for those few unknown who want to sell any:
"What ever the option you want to sell, first buy the father option away from the one you want to sell and then sell the option that you planned."
for example,
If PVR is trading at 1300 and don't cross 1320, we usually sell PVR 1350 CE, it would cost you around Rs.208000.
But you could sell at just Rs.57000 by following the simple trick.
For that,
first buy the father option away (which will not cross)= Buy PVR 1400 CE at Rs.14
Now, sell the option that you planned = sell 1350 CE at Rs.27, your broker will ask you just Rs.51000.
Your gain will be 5000 which 9% for 5 days if PVR closes below 1340.
(Incase of selling PE, you can sell 1260 PE with ease but first, you have to buy 1220 PE which can never be touched)
Usually, selling is seen more in the expiry week, but in PVR, the game has already begun. which is way the share is not moving above 1320
Wanna Know how big players earn good (two ways) but loose (no way) nothing and also why share is not moving above 1320 ?
Huge Call option contracts were written between 1300 & 1400 (means Big players sold the call options between 1300 & 1400)
which is why Big players will:
1. a) Sell the shares holding at 1320 and they'll let the share fall.
b) Buy them back soon after the share touches 1280 (one way earning).
2. The above swings result in the Time Premium Decay and thus the big players gain from the options sold too (2nd way of earning).
Eventually, this share ends at or below 1280 on 26th November.
This is called as Trading....
Selling of options when big players are involved gives us guaranteed money.
If you don't believe me, check the August month,
1. Why did PVR traded in within the box until 27th August? (expiry)
2. why did PVR sky rocket after 27th August? (fresh buying's)
Big players never exit, they turn the game to win...
We are not big, So, those who are holding the options, better exit.
Until next Friday, PVR don't go above 1350 but trade within the box.
Happy Trading :)
Search in ideas for "OPTIONS"
Option trading Opportunity Many have asked me about Options trading using Wave Analysis , they asked weather they can trade Options buy or sell ,
Yes of course they can do that , they can sell Options and they can buy options , but need a patience and Proper Understanding how the price moves
Options trading using wave theory requires clear attention on smallest time frame and Opportunity are used with proper risk to reward method
Here i have made small efforts in Explaining what i am looking and how i am looking to trade Options in case i decide to take the trade
Good luck
Nifty F&O data analysisNifty closed the day 313 points lower. Let us analyse the data for the day.
FIIs sold 16996 contracts in Index Futures worth 803.13 Cr
Futures data
Retail participants added 9.08K Long contracts & squared off 3.87K short contracts
FIIs squared off 1.05K Long contracts & added 15.94K Short contracts
Pro traders added 8.08K Long contracts & added 3K Short contracts
Call Option data
Retail participants bought 2.46 Lakh Call options & 1.54 Lakhs Calls were shorted by them
FIIs bought 10.3K Call options & 20.93K Calls were shorted by them
Pro traders bought 8K Call options & 87.90 K Calls were shorted by them
Put Option data
Retail participants bought 23.75K Puts and 22.69K Put Contracts were Shorted by them
FIIs bought 12.59K Puts & 12.24K Puts were Shorted by them
Pro traders bought 9.2K Puts & 11.61K Puts were Shorted by them.
All in all, Retail participants have gone aggressive on the Long side.
Net long in Futures having Long :: Short ratio of 1 :: 0.94
Net Long in Call options
Net Short in Put options
FIIs are Net Short Futures having Long :: Short ratio of 1 :: 2.58
Net neutral in Call options &
Net Long in Put Options
Pro traders are Net long in Futures having Long :: Short ratio of 1 :: 0.55
Net Short in Call option
Net neutral in Put option
With Overall PCR at 0.77 & SGX showing a bumper opening, will retail traders win the battle tomorrow?
Majority of Call activity happened at 9000 & 9200 Strike price
Important levels for Nifty on the upside 9105 / 9253 / 9307 / 9334
Important levels for Nifty that should be watched 8960 / 8905
Take care & safe trading…!!!
Long#AdaniPorts is trading near its most crucial level and the strongest demand zones. CMP=357.6. 355 is multi month strongest support level. 345 is 50 monthly moving average. 349.7 is 200 WEMA. On daily chart it has made doji today near the support zone of 355. Adding it to buying radar. One can play it with bullish option spreads. R:R is high at current levels. #Positional #Long #OptionSpreads #Hedged
DHFL Weekly View - Inside BarDaily Frame -
Right now it is in sideways trend. So we can not bet on the break of the sideways trend and we can neither short (as it fell way over it should account for and fundamentally it is still good!) and neither long (given the current "Falling Like No Tomorrow" market scenario).
Also, we can not bet on the sideways movement because there has been heavy movement; so there is no question of leverage positions as of now.
Options -
You can not buy options as the premiums are too high due to volatility.
You can not sell options thinking it is a sideways trend because it can break the trend anytime in any direction.
Basically, it is fundamental Hold and technically No View at all.
Weekly Frame -
It is near a long-term support (We can call it to pivot line instead.)
It made an inside bar. So we can expect a heavy breakout or breakdown.
Where to sell -
We should sell below 265 and can resist near 252.65 which is last week's low and 250 is a good psychological level. So breaking 252.65 will trigger a breakdown towards 213.
So after selling below 265 with a stop loss at 333.7, one need to update the trailing stop loss to the cost when there is 10 points fall because our stop loss in case of shorting is too high and unaffordable here.
Where to buy -
Based on Inside Bar Strategy - Buy at 333.7 with a stop loss at 265.
Based on Support and Resistance - Buy at 215 with a stop loss at 200.
Options Idea -
Buy DHFL 330 CE at 4 with a stop loss at 0 and target 10. (Gambling on volatility and risk: reward.)
Sell DHFL 180 PE at 4 with a stop loss at 10. (Betting on consolidation on pivot line and not break of pivot line)
in.tradingview.com
Yesbank Iron Condor IdeaThe Open interest of Yesbank shows a massive resistance at 340-350 and support and at 340. Based on technicals, 330-360 is the support-resistance pivots. Fundamentally, it is bullish based on the approval of Yesbank Mutual funds.
So, let's construct an Iron condor based on that -
Sell 350 call options at 11.5
Sell 340 put options at 5.4
Buy 370 call options at 3.8
Buy 320 put options at 1.65
For visualizing the Payoff Graph, You can check here -
unofficed.com
Today Bank Nifty View For 10.01.2025Bank Nifty, officially known as the Nifty Bank Index, is a stock market index on the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). It is a benchmark that represents the performance of the banking sector in the Indian stock market.
The index includes the most liquid and large capitalized banking stocks listed on the NSE, providing investors and market participants with an overview of the banking industry's market performance. Bank Nifty serves as a barometer for the banking sector's health and is widely used by traders and investors to gauge market sentiment and to trade in derivative instruments like futures and options based on the index.
### 1. **Composition**:
- **Bank Nifty** consists of the most liquid and largest Indian banking stocks, both public sector banks and private sector banks. The number of constituents in the index can vary, but it typically includes 12 to 15 of the most significant banking companies listed on the NSE.
- Some of the major banks included in the index are:
- HDFC Bank
- ICICI Bank
- State Bank of India (SBI)
- Kotak Mahindra Bank
- Axis Bank
- IndusInd Bank
- And others depending on their market capitalization and liquidity.
### 2. **Weightage**:
- The index is **market capitalization-weighted**, meaning the banks with larger market caps have a more significant impact on the index's movement.
- It is rebalanced semi-annually to ensure it reflects the latest market trends and company performance.
### 3. **Purpose**:
- Bank Nifty serves as a benchmark for the banking sector, providing insights into the sector's performance.
- It helps investors and market participants analyze the overall trend in the banking sector.
- It is also used for derivatives trading, with many traders actively trading Bank Nifty futures and options due to the high volatility and liquidity of the index.
### 4. **Derivatives Trading**:
- Bank Nifty futures and options are among the most actively traded derivative instruments on the NSE.
- These instruments allow traders to speculate on or hedge against movements in the banking sector.
- They offer opportunities for both intraday and positional traders to profit from market movements.
### 5. **Calculation**:
- The index is calculated using the **free-float market capitalization method**, similar to the Nifty 50.
- This method considers only the shares readily available for trading in the market, excluding shares held by promoters or other entities with controlling interests.
Would you like to know more about how to trade Bank Nifty or its historical performance?
option and databse trading Traders use an options chain to choose the specific option contracts that best align with their trading strategy. They can select options with the desired strike prices and expiration dates based on their market outlook. Options chains are crucial for assessing and managing risk.
Nifty option chain is considered to be the best advance warning system of sharp moves or break outs in the index.
Nifty key levels for 03.01.2025Nifty key levels for 03.01.2025
If nifty breaks the upper or lower range we can expect the momentum. Consolidation zone will be favour to option sellers. Either side breakout will help option buyers.
Disclaimer:
Views are purely educational in nature. You are solely responsible for any decisions you take on basis of my research
NIFTY PREDICTIONS.... BEARISH OUTLOOK FOR DECEMBER 2024. I'll try explaining my Nifty chart analysis through Elliot waves.
Nifty, again, is likely correcting in a 5-wave pattern. After reaching an ATH of 24274, Nifty's downside waves/correction started towards the end of September.
Wave (1) moved in a 5-wave pattern and ended around 24700, as marked in the chart.
Wave (2) had a zig-zag pattern and ended around 25200.
Wave (3) also had a 5-wave pattern, falling 1.23 times wave 1 to end around 23300 levels.
Wave (4)- Nifty is currently in this wave, which is probably in a zig-zag pattern. Wave (4), as usual, notoriously has violent moves on either side, giving challenges to traders.
Probable levels of termination of wave (4) are 24800 {0.5 of waves (1-3)}and 25150 {0.618 of waves (1-3).
Wave (5) - Assuming wave (4) termination around 25150, we can expect a big correction in Nifty to 22700 levels. This wave (5) alone can cause approximately 10% fall in Nifty.
Remember,
THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT.
Trade with appropriate stoploss.
TRADE PLAN ON TITAN Titan Stock Swing Trade Idea
1. Trend Analysis: The stock is in a strong uptrend, indicating positive momentum and investor confidence.
2. Demand Zone: It has reached a strong demand zone, a key level where buying interest is likely to emerge, providing potential support for price recovery.
3. Technical Patterns:
Weekly Timeframe: A shooting star-like pattern indicates possible hesitation or reversal after a strong upward move.
Daily Timeframe: A bullish engulfing pattern signals a potential continuation of the upward trend, confirming buyer dominance near the support zone.
4. Moving Average Support: The stock is taking support at a key moving average , adding to the confluence of bullish signals.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Consider NSE:TITAN the current demand zone or after confirmation of bullish momentum (e.g., a breakout above recent highs).
Stop-Loss: Place below the recent swing low or moving average support for risk management.
Target: Aim for the next resistance zone or a measured move based on the uptrend continuation.
Risk Note: Watch for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from current levels, as the shooting star pattern in the weekly timeframe could indicate selling pressure if demand fails to
#stockmarket #nifty50 #swingtrade #titan
Nifty Trading Levels for 21st November 2024Trading Strategy and Market Analysis
Current Price: 23,518
This analysis provides a clear trading strategy with multiple levels of support and resistance, helping traders make informed decisions. The following targets are based on technical analysis, assuming no significant market-impacting news.
Buy Strategy
Trigger Point: Enter a buy position above 23,590.
Targets:
Target 1: 23,750 – First level of profit booking, aligns with short-term resistance.
Target 2: 23,880 – Higher resistance zone, suitable for extended trades if momentum sustains.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss around 23,500 to limit downside risk.
Sell Strategy
Trigger Point: Enter a sell position below 23,383.
Targets:
Target 1: 23,298 – Immediate downside support and potential bounce level.
Target 2: 23,200 – A significant support zone, indicating possible bearish strength.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss around 23,450 to cap losses on unexpected reversals.
Detailed Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels (Price levels likely to act as ceilings, limiting upward movement):
R1: 23,590 – Immediate resistance; crossing this could indicate bullish momentum.
R2: 23,750 – Strong short-term resistance and a likely profit booking zone.
R3: 23,880 – Major resistance zone; surpassing this level could signal a breakout rally.
Support Levels (Price levels likely to act as floors, limiting downward movement):
S1: 23,383 – Immediate support; breaking this could lead to further downside.
S2: 23,298 – Key short-term support level, potential for a bounce.
S3: 23,200 – Strong support zone; if breached, it could indicate significant bearish sentiment.
Market Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks and sustains above 23,590, we may see a move toward higher targets, driven by positive market sentiment.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below 23,383 could indicate bearish strength, with the price potentially testing lower support levels.
Disclaimer
I am not SEBI Registered. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only. Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks, including the risk of losing capital. Readers should perform their own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred as a result of using this information.
Note for Traders
Ensure that you:
Monitor Market Sentiment: Stay updated with news and economic events that might impact market movements.
Stick to Risk Management: Use appropriate position sizing and set stop losses to limit potential losses.
Use Indicators: Combine these levels with technical indicators like RSI, MACD, or Moving Averages for better confirmation.
Happy trading! 😊
Nifty Spot Trading Strategy 18th November 2024Nifty Spot Trading Strategy: Buy Above 23,695 / Sell Below 23,475
Current Value: 23,533
Key Trading Levels:
Buy Signal: Close above 23,695 on the 15-minute candle
Sell Signal: Close below 23,475 on the 15-minute candle
Strategy Overview:
Buy Strategy:
Trigger Level: 23,695
Action: Enter long positions
Profit Booking: Regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss
Target Levels: 23,800 and 23,900
Sell Strategy:
Trigger Level: 23,475
Action: Enter short positions
Profit Booking: Regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss
Target Levels: 23,400 and 23,300
Market Insights:
The price is currently at 23,533, indicating potential for both bullish and bearish activity based on the key levels.
Key support and resistance levels to watch are between 23,475 to 23,695.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not SEBI registered. Please conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 14th November 2024Nifty Trading Strategy: Buy Above 23,710 / Sell Below 23,500
Current Price: 23,559
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 23,710 on the 15-minute candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 23,500 on the 15-minute candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 23,559, just below the buy signal level.
It's important to monitor the price closely, especially around the 23,550 to 23,700 levels, which could act as support or resistance.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 23,710 on the 15-minute candle close, consider entering long positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 23,800 and 23,900.
Sell: If the price breaks below 23,500 on the 15-minute candle close, consider short positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 23,400 and 23,300.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
NIFTY50 DEC OPTION SWING TRADE IDEA FOR HUGE PROFITNIFTY50 is currently trading at 26075 & trading at new life time high.
There are a lot of fundamental, technical & valuation reasons why I am taking this trade.
I'm seeing a trading opportunity with very good RR.
I am taking long positions in NIFTY DEC MONTHLY 25000 PE at CMP 240
I will add more quantity around 100-120, if comes & Hold with stoploss of 40
Risk in this trade is 140 points & reward is huge.
If any external event takes place which is not factored in by local & global markets, Then we can see 10-20% correction easily given current overvaluations. Hence I am taking this trade. I am not taking this trade to hedge my portfolio. I am already sitting at 75% cash & only 25% capital is invested as of now. I have bearish view on market at current valuation & I have 3 months time too which makes this trade a perfect trade with great RR.
ENTRY, SL & TARGETS are mentioned in the trading idea. If any panic happens, In that case we may see all targets getting hit.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Nifty Trading Strategy: 4th November 2024Nifty Trading Strategy: Buy Above 24,360 / Sell Below 24,150
Current Price: 24,305.00
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 24,360 on the one-hour candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 24,150 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 24,305.00, just below the buy signal level.
The market is showing signs of bullish momentum, but it's important to monitor the price closely.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 24,360 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions with targets at 24,500 and 24,600.
Sell: If the price breaks below 24,150 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions with targets at 24,000 and 23,900.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
Bank Nifty - Formation of Bearish Head and ShoulderBank Nifty index is forming bearish head and shoulders pattern. Here are the key levels mentioned below:
Neckline : 50000 (activation point for the pattern)
Immediate Support: 49700 (200 EMA)
Potential Target: 46500 (if price pierces below 200 EMA)
Trend Breakdown: Noted breakdown of the uptrend line since October 23.
Make sure to keep an eye on these levels and monitor price action closely as it approaches them! If you have any more insights or questions about trading strategies, feel free to share.
14 Oct 2024 - Bank Nifty Predictions (Next Trading Day)1. Index Chart and Time Frames
Index: Nifty Bank Index
Date: October 11, 2024
Time Frames:
Daily (1D)
5-Minute (5M)
Weekly (1W)
Monthly (1M)
2. Support and Resistance Levels for Next Trading Day
Support 1 51,000
Support 2 50,800
Resistance 1 51,500
Resistance 2 51,750
3. Scenario for Next Trading Day
Slight Gap Down Bearish Expect initial selling pressure due to recent bearish candle on the daily chart.
Timing 9:15 AM - 10:30 AM Initial volatility expected, watch for support at 51,000.
Midday Range-bound Possible consolidation around 51,200.
Afternoon Slightly Bullish If support holds, potential recovery towards 51,500.
4. Options Strategies for Next Trading Day
Bull Call Spread Buy 51,200, Sell 51,500 Limited risk with potential upside if market recovers.
Bear Put Spread Buy 51,000, Sell 50,800 Hedge against further downside if market breaks support.
5a. Calendar Spread Strategy
51,200 (Daily) October 12, 2024 Capture short-term volatility.
51,500 (Weekly) October 19, 2024 Longer-term view if bullish trend develops.
51,000 (Monthly) November 2024 Hedge against potential downturn.
5b. Daily, Weekly, and Monthly Trends
Daily Bearish Recent bearish candle, potential for further downside.
Weekly Neutral Consolidation phase, waiting for direction.
Monthly Bullish Overall trend remains bullish, but recent pullback observed.
6. Trading Recommendations for ATM, ITM, OTM
ATM Trade 9:15 AM - 10:30 AM High volatility expected, good for quick trades.
ITM Don't Trade All Day Higher risk, less favorable for options buyers.
OTM Trade 10:30 AM - 3:30 PM Potential for high reward if market moves favorably.
Summary
Market Opening: Slight gap down expected.
Support and Resistance: Key levels identified for trading decisions.
Options Strategies: Specific strategies tailored for the next trading day.
Trends: Mixed signals across time frames, indicating caution.
This analysis is based solely on the provided charts and does not account for external market factors. Always consider your risk tolerance and market conditions before making trading decisions.
Disclaimer: Do Manage your Risk and Money management, Do not Forget to PUT STOP LOSS.