INDIA VIX - OPTION SELLERS BEWAREVolatility is back in the markets after a while and does not look like it will cool off anytime soon.
Another series of spikes is expected which can take INDIA VIX to 25.
Weekly chart of the volatility index shows the range between 16-25 for coming months.
High VIX = Inflated premiums on option contracts.
For beginners ,
India VIX is a volatility index which measures market expectations of near term volatility.
It indicates the investor's perceptions of the market volatility in near term and is based on Nifty OTM options. Higher the India VIX values, higher the expected volatility and vice-versa.
As the volatility index rises, one should become careful as the market can steeply move into either direction
- Animesh Vashisht
Search in ideas for "OPTIONS"
Countdown to Impact: Can Expiry of 18K BTC Options Shake Bitcoin
Today marks the expiration of 18,000 Bitcoin options contracts, with the maxpain price set at $62,000.
At the time of writing, the BTC was trading almost flat, exchanging hands at $63,276.
Bitcoin has been taking investors on a roller coaster experience post the halving event, with its price plummeting from a high of 67K to a recent low of 56K, before making a comeback to 65K.
In addition, today is significant as it marks the expiry of roughly 18,000 BTC options contracts, with the max pain price at 62K. Despite this, Bitcoin is currently trading above 63.27K, indicating potential activity in the market prior to the contracts' expiration.
Let's delve into a more detailed analysis of the potential impact this expiration could have on Bitcoin's trajectory.
Can Bitcoin Plummet Towards Maxpain Of $62K mark?
According to the options data from May 10th, there are 18,000 Bitcoin options set to expire. These options have a Put/Call Ratio of 0.64 and a Max Pain point at $62,000, with a total notional value of $1.2 billion.
May 10 Options Data 18,000 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.64, a Maxpain point of $62,000 and a notional value of $1.2 billion. 280,000 ETH options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.74, Maxpain point of $3,050 and a notional value of…— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) May 10, 2024
The Max Pain value represents the strike price at which the largest number of options would expire worthlessly, allowing option sellers—who are typically the more dominant market players with greater resources—to maximize profits. As expiration approaches, the market price often gravitates towards the Max Pain value, benefiting these large stakeholders.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $63.27K, which is about $1,200 above the Max Pain price. This suggests that Bitcoin's price might decline as it moves towards the Max Pain value of $62K during the expiry period.
Bitcoin Seems Weaker From Technical Point Of View?
The daily charts indicate a descending parallel channel pattern, with the price oscillating within its confines. Presently, the cryptocurrency is attempting to break above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), but remains stagnant.
Should the buyers manage to decisively breach and hold above the 50-day EMA, it could pave the way for an ascent to the channel's upper limit at $68K. Conversely, if the momentum wanes and sellers take control, we could witness a retraction to the channel's lower edge.
Conclusion.
Bitcoin has been delivering a roller coaster experience to their investors post the halving event hovering from 56K to 65K. Moreover, Today, 18,000 BTC options were about to expire, with a max pain point at 62K. At press time, Bitcoin traded above 63.27K, hinting at pre-expiry market moves. The market tends to align with the max pain price as expiry nears, suggesting a potential drop for Bitcoin.
Also, The daily chart showcased the formation of a descending channel. Now, on a sustained move above the 50-day EMA, BTC could rise to 68K. Otherwise, it may fall back to the channel's lower boundary.
Trading Farmers ! Bollocks.. Bollocks.. & More Bollocks...!!!Hi Guys,
Its time already to post for Nifty but I'm still typing the content here, Sorry for the delay. Today we got 3 points to discuss, (i) Nifty analysis (ii) Farmer's who Trade (iii) Corporate News events & how they hustle your money !
(i) Nifty analysis :
Actually I expected Nifty to move in channel shown above but it gapped up. Anyway, being expiry day I'm more in favor of range with post-lunch session with volatility due to expiry, But taking out 8820's or below support zone - the chances are lesser. Probably if we get pullback around 8780's & on bullish reversal we can go long in Nifty vice-versa for Shorting Nifty @ 8820's, always go with stops as per your plan only after valid confirmation. If nothing happens take a day off n B relaxed !
(ii) Farmer's who Trade :
Surprised ?? Don't be surprised, our farmers are trading according to NCDEX (Md)... To take My point further I quote part of an article from Business standard "Mcx introduces options trading" -
" Samir Shah, managing director and chief executive officer, National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange said, “For farmers, it will be a game changer. It would help them sell their produce in the derivatives market and, thereby, get the benefit of price protection in case price falls below their cost of production and also derive benefit of any rise. Options are also a much better hedging instrument compared to futures." To be honest, those guys edited the article by midnight, actually when I read last evening it was" Farmers can use options, so they can protect their crops. But for options we need risk-takers, so hedge-funds / institutions will accept that risk, protecting the farmers ". Unfortunately they edited article by midnight so you guys cudn't read that.
Wow... How sweet ? Corporates/ Sebi board members do have Big heart n helping tendency to protect our farmers. They take the risk, so farmers will be protected. You know its middlemen n big guys who make real money.
We are from great country, where our farmer's know how to trade in stock market, that too in options by understanding Greeks behind options - you know our farmers are Intellectuals so they know option Greeks as if its like irrigating farms. Our farmers are literates who operates computers.
I'm very much annoyed & angered by the comments made by board member & irresponsible publication, Here Our very own farmers are dying in Vidarbha (Maharastra), & here down south cauvery is drying n Farmers livelihood is questionmark. And these Board members are making irresponsible statements about farmers. Same as politicians who do politics over essential water n burn buses for cauvery disrupting public life. No farmer burnt bus or involved in violence, Our farmer is struggling for daily meal, then how he can protest ?? Politicians disguise as farmers n do atrocity for votes, Corporate's/Board members in name of helping farmers planning to make money. Ashamed by those senseless people.
Note : I have no interest in politics & the board member could have simply told - we are introducing options in Mcx also.
Dixon Technologies: Market Sentiment and Options StrategyMarket Sentiment Overview
As Dixon Technologies approaches its dividend declaration on September 18, 2024, the options data reflects a balance between bullish sentiment and caution:
- Bullish Indicators:
- Call Options Build-Up: Strong buying activity is observed, especially at the 14,000 and 15,000 strike prices.
- Put-Call Ratio (PCR) at 0.98: This indicates a slightly bullish sentiment, as calls outnumber puts.
- High Open Interest in Calls: A total call OI of 23,51,300, focused on the 14,000 and 15,000 strikes, supports upward momentum in the stock.
- Caution Signals:
- Aggressive Put Buying: Put OI of 9,36,500, mainly concentrated at the 13,000 strike price, signals hedging or caution.
- High Intraday PCR of 50.08: This suggests increased put buying activity, indicating traders are hedging against possible downside.
- Volatility Expectations:
- Implied Volatility (IV): Ranging between 37.66% and 41.8%, which points to the potential for significant price swings.
Key Price Levels
- Resistance: 14,000 – 14,500, with 15,000 acting as a strong cap.
- Support: 13,000 – 13,500, serving as a potential floor.
Recommended Options Strategies
1. Bull Call Spread (Moderately Bullish)
- Strategy: Buy 14,000 Call, Sell 15,000 Call.
- Target: Profitable if Dixon rises toward 15,000.
- Suitability: Ideal for traders with a moderately bullish outlook, offering limited risk and reward.
2. Bear Put Spread (Moderately Bearish)
- Strategy: Buy 13,000 Put, Sell 12,500 Put.
- Target: Gains are realized if Dixon drops toward 12,500.
- Suitability: Suitable for traders anticipating a moderate downside, providing defined risk and reward.
3. Protective Put (Hedging Strategy)
- Strategy: Buy 13,000 or 13,500 Put to hedge against downside risk.
- Purpose: Allows long-term investors to maintain their position while protecting against adverse price movements.
- Suitability: Best for long-term investors looking to manage risk during heightened volatility.
Conclusion
Dixon Technologies’ options data leans towards a bullish bias, with rising call OI at 14,000 and 15,000. However, the increased put activity at 13,000 indicates some hedging and caution. Short-term traders can capitalize on a bull call spread for upside potential or a bear put spread for downside protection. For long-term investors, a protective put is recommended to mitigate risks as volatility rises ahead of the dividend announcement.
Disclaimer
The information provided in this analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. It is important to conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The strategies discussed are based on current market conditions, which are subject to change. We do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information presented, and we are not liable for any losses incurred from its use.
How to get started with Options Trading on TradingView with DhanHi Traders,
For traders tracking Indian markets, there's exciting news: TradingView now supports Options Charts , and you can Trade in Options directly on TradingView with Dhan . We’re sure that you already know - Dhan is the first platform in India to bring Options Trading on TradingView.
To get started, link your Dhan account to TradingView. Navigate to the ‘Trading Panel’ at the bottom of the screen, click on the Dhan logo, and scan the QR code using your Dhan app to log in. Alternatively, you can enter your login details manually. If you don't have a Dhan account, initiate your registration by clicking on ‘Open Account’.
Once your Dhan account is connected, you're all set to trade from TradingView. Simply open the search box, type the instrument name search for the underlying asset, and select 'Options' from the top horizontal tabs. Currently, options trading is available for 5 indices and 182 stocks on the National Stock Exchange, all accessible through the Dhan and TradingView integration. The available indices are:
- Nifty 50
- Nifty BANK
- Nifty FINANCIAL SERVICES
- Nifty MIDCAP SELECT
- Nifty NEXT 50
- Plus, 182 individual stocks*
This seamless integration of superior charting and dhan execution capabilities promises to enhance the trading experience. Feel free to share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below.
Now Trade Options on TradingView🚀Hello Community,
At Dhan, we understand that traders like you are constantly seeking ways to streamline their trading process, optimize their strategies, and seize opportunities swiftly. With this in mind, we proudly present the Dhan Webhooks for TradingView feature, designed exclusively for TradingView's super users.
Our team has collaborated closely with TradingView to leverage their Alert feature and craft an unparalleled order execution system on the Dhan platform. This integration empowers you to place orders on Dhan based on your TradingView indicators, strategies, alerts, or Pine scripts, effectively bridging the gap between these two platforms.
New possibilities with webhook feature
Listening to your valuable feedback, we have enhanced and expanded the Dhan Webhooks experience, and today, we're excited to unveil a new range of enhancements:
1. Webhooks as an Order Type: With our new update, Webhooks are now available as an order type on the Dhan platform. This means that you're not confined to scripts available solely on TradingView. Whether it's Equity, Futures, Options, or even Multi-segments, you can execute orders based on any chart, providing you with unprecedented trading flexibility.
2. Options Trading with Dhan Webhooks: We've also introduced the ability to execute Options trades using Dhan Webhooks. Now, you can leverage the power of this integration to optimize your Options trading strategies and capitalize on market movements like never before.
3. Multi-Segment Strategies: Take your trading to the next level by building strategies with multiple legs across segments. Thanks to Dhan Webhooks, you can now place orders via indicators on TradingView charts, creating intricate trading strategies with ease.
We understand that one of the most important goals for traders is the ability to automate their strategies without the need for complex coding. With Dhan Webhooks, this goal becomes a reality. You can seamlessly integrate your existing TradingView strategies with Dhan's order execution capabilities, without altering your chart setup.
Dive into systematic trading with confidence, as your TradingView strategies generate alerts and place trades, all while you monitor the progress. And here's the best part: no coding experience or knowledge is required. Dhan Webhooks empowers you to build sophisticated automated trading strategies effortlessly.
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Happy Trading!
BANKNIFTY 29th March MONTHLY OPTIONS IDEA
The Bank Nifty index has been on a roller-coaster ride in the past few weeks, with sudden dips and recoveries. With the expiry of March monthly options coming up tomorrow, traders are eager to find profitable trade ideas. The Bank Nifty is the index that represents the performance of the banking sector in India, comprising of the 12 most liquid and large capitalized banking stocks. The Bank Nifty monthly options are widely traded and provide ample opportunities for traders to make profits. In this idea, we will explore some Bank Nifty 29th March monthly options ideas that traders can consider while trading tomorrow.
Educational Understanding of Options Trading I have made efforts in Explaining relative revenue Growth in Options Trading and they are different form spot value or Moves
Options Trading carries high risk along with high reward , so one must be careful in taking decision during Options Trading
Good luck
Bitcoin Bounce? Caution, $3B Options Expire!Bitcoin Bounce? Caution, $3B Options Expire!
We are having a bounce short-term on the BTCUSD trading pair.
This is good news but I am warning caution.
Tomorrow is Friday and $3 Billion worth of options are expiring.
The options expiry date is normally a bearish event for Bitcoin.
You can have a bounce such as is happening now followed by a bigger drop (red arrow).
If the resistance can be taken out (yellow rectangle/downtrend line), additional growth is possible.
Better to wait and see how the market will react when the options expire... This is only a little 24 hours away.
What's your take on the Bitcoin options expiration date?
Hit LIKE and Leave us a comment.
Namaste.
LT Options Strike Rs. 900 Price Rs 15NSE:LT
Entry 15 to 20
Target 55+
SL 10
Lot 550
This is my First attempt for Options trading Idea , In last 4 days Time value is minimum and has potential to gain more . But the above options at 15 to 20, Exit if Cash price falls below 894. Square off position before the expiry 24 Sept. Provide your advice about options Idea , you need it or not so that i can think about it and post Idea time to time.
Disclaimer: author may also enter in trade, take your own decision , This is an trading idea not an trading or Investment advice.
Nifty: F&O Data analysis Nifty
Closing price 9383
This is our Nifty 14-May-2020 expiry strategy view
Data analysis
FIIs net bought 1626 Contracts amounting -48.87 Cr
Futures Data
FIIS squared off 11.47 K Long contracts & also exited 13.09 K Contracts from Short positions. In doing so, their over all Open Interest in Index futures has come down to just 78K contracts (40.1K Long & 38.1K Shorts).
Retail participants booked profits in 131 contracts & added 3.3K Short contracts.
Pro / Brokers booked profits in 1096 Long contracts & added 568 Short contracts
Call Option data
Retail participants bought 92.08 K Call options & created 71.08 Short contracts
FIIs booked profits in 2054 Long Call options & created 17.8K Short contracts
Pro / Brokers bought 39.5 K Call options & created 40.65 Short contracts
Put Option data
Retail participants bought 48.1 K Put options & created 36.1K Put Short contracts
FIIs booked profits in 6786 Put Long options & created 3.58K Put Short contracts
Pro / Brokers bought 10.4 K Put options & created 17.07 Put Short contracts
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Looking at the Futures Open Interest data, I must say, just 78 K; this is the least Open Interest number of FIIs that I could remember I have seen.
Retail participants have been more active on the Call buy side & may likely be disappointed tomorrow.
Nifty staying below 9240 -9260 levels may likely increase probability of falling up to 9145 odd levels
Nifty Futures and Options data analysisAs was suggested in my earlier post that Futures and Options data analysis was indicating weekly Options expiry to be below 11600. Well the high made on Thursday was 11599 and the closing was at 11582.
Derivatives data analysis
FIIs net bought 5.8K contracts worth Rs 572.07 Cr
274 Long contracts were squared off and 6.1K Short contracts were squared off by FIIs.
Retail clients added 292 Long contracts and squared off 2.5K short contracts
On the Options front
Call Option
FIIs squared off 15K Long contracts and also squared off 28.3K Short Contracts
Retail clients squared off 5.65 Lakh Long contracts and also squared off 3.3 Lakhs Short contracts
Put option
FIIs squared off 9.5K Long contracts and also squared off 10.4K Short contracts
Retail clients squared off 1.24 Lakh Long Put contracts and also squared off 1.09 Lakh Short Put contract
The heavy squaring off of Options contracts by retail clients reflect the concentration on weekly Options expiry
Going forward
As can be seen from data the run up was clearly led by short covering rally only
The Bears were happy to book profits. But We need further confirmation. If this Short covering rally is not backed up by fresh buying then Bears will know that Bulls have been cornered. And that might tempt them to short again.
Resistance at 11620 / 11658 / 11770
Support at 11530 / 11460 / 11430 / 11280
Take care and safe trading...!!!
Trader's Queries : Y options not suitable for beginner?Trading involves risk. Without learning,trading is betting or speculating. Options trading can be extremely risky for a beginner. One should not start his trading career with options trading.The speculative nature of options will make the beginner as a gambler. Every Indian knows the story of "Mahabharatha" and the consequences of betting/gambling from it. When I started my trading career I watched how option trading was working. It was tough to understand options and I felt it was like gambling. And I just eliminated it from my trading. It is not suitable for my personality.
Why it is important to protect your money/capital? Every loss takes money and also some part of
your courage along with it. You are not only losing your money, but also your courage. I remember one story. I didnt remember the king's name. Once there lived a mighty king. The King was good and he was blessed by all 8 Lakshmi. There came a time when according to that king's fate all Lakshmi should leave him. Since king was good, each Lakshmi asked his permission to go. He gave permission to all Lakshmi, but refused to allow "Veer Lakshmi". One by one all Lakshmi
came back to him as the king had the blessing of Veer Lakhsmi. Your capital represents your courage and money. Protect it by your technical knowledge in trading.
SENSEX By Professional Options Trader's#We Make Only Profit.
#HDFCBANK #BANKNIFTY #NIFTY50 #NIFTY #SENSEX #TATA
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
RBI Forex Reserve Grow is this Good or Bad ?
1st 140 Billion loss hua hai or ab 20 Billion Grow hua hai to hai to abi bhi loss mai
Gover..t abi losss mai hai
26 Jul ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty | Options premiums are LOWBanknifty on the other hand gave a trend reversal signal in just a day. For nifty we had atleast 3 days in succession. I took some short positions yesterday intraday and was all geared up to further attack by shorting more CALLS today.
The opening minutes looked encouraging, so did the period from 10.35 to 11.15 but 2 things went against it.
The options data showed lack of interest in creating CE credit spreads i.e shorting near ATM call option and buying a far away OTM option.
Banknifty started to rally and take the place of NiftyIT which reversed from its intraday high.
It was like 2 brothers who came prepared from evening to support their sister, when one brother got tired, the other one jumped in. In our case the BankNifty brother did more than just support - it rallied an impressive 252pts ~ 0.55% up till 14.30.
The short trade negation came in banknifty only after the 46000 got taken out. Let us see how the expiry day is getting played out tomorrow because as it stands the options premium in banknifty looks pretty low. The India VIX staying in the 10 range is also a discouragement for the bears that are still left.
...
Please comment with your thoughts, opinion or bias, I will respond with mine!
BANKNIFTY 31st March OPTIONS IDEA (FRIDAY)BANKNIFTY 31st March OPTIONS IDEA (FRIDAY)
NSE:BANKNIFTY
The Bank Nifty index has been exhibiting a lot of volatility in recent weeks, with sudden dips and recoveries. As we approach the end of March, traders are eager to find profitable trade ideas in the banking sector. To help traders, we have analyzed the Bank Nifty chart and marked some important levels to watch out for during trading on Friday, 31st March. Bank Nifty may respect these levels, providing traders with potentially profitable trading opportunities. In this idea, we will discuss some Bank Nifty 31st March options ideas based on these marked levels and how traders can potentially profit from them. Follow these levels. Happy and Safe Trading!
NIFTY 31st March OPTIONS IDEA (THURSDAY)NIFTY 31st March OPTIONS IDEA (THURSDAY)
NSE:NIFTY
The Nifty 50 index has been displaying a lot of volatility in recent weeks. To help traders, we have analyzed the Nifty chart and marked some important levels to watch out for during trading tomorrow. Nifty may respect these levels, presenting traders with potentially profitable trading opportunities. In this blog, we will discuss some Nifty 31st March options ideas based on these marked levels and how traders can potentially profit from them.
Infosys Q2 results based strategies INFOSYS Q2 RESULT BASED STRATEGIES
The IT heavyweight is scheduled to declare its results tomorrow. However, I am not sure at what time the results are likely to be declared so am creating the strategy now itself and have this post cum video explaining the basis on which I have created the strategy only for the purposes of tracking I have not taken a position. If I do take, I will let you know.
Infosys has been behaving in a very unusual manner for quite some time. Either it goes up quickly and then abruptly falls and then goes in to a drifting mode then leading to consolidation. I have traded Long Only options in the scrip and have gained good ROI. However, for the last few weeks I have stayed away from all IT scrips in Options as the behavior is not something that I like to trade.
Infosys Spot is at 1673 when I am writing this post so my strategies would be based on the same. Please watch the video to know the workings related to the strategy.
BN Iron CondorFollowing trade is for educational purposes only. An Iron Condor is an option strategy, where the expected outcome for next week is range-bound.
A CE option mentioned below is a European Call Option, while a PE option is a European Put.
A hedger always buys these options and a speculator mostly sells one.
But when the speculator only sells these options, the risk involved is unlimited and the margin requirement is also high. This is called naked option selling. When both CE and PE are sold, it is called a short straddle.
In combination with this, if we buy much farther CE and PE, the short straddle becomes an Iron condor. Here, the idea is to capture the option premium in a range-bound market with reduced risk and margin compared to short straddle.
The spread between buy and call leg is based on optimum use of margin. Since the option premium is credited to us in advance, it is also a credit spread.
Please leave a comment if you need further clarification on the following trade
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Sell 35000PE, Buy 34400PE
Sell 36700CE, Buy 37300CE
The history of trades of this trade model is in the following link:
docs.google.com
My concept of trading is not to be an overnight millionaire, but a disciplined method to grow the wealth that you own.
Please leave a like if you like the trade ideas :)