USDINR 25 Mar Expiry viewHi Folks !
USDINR is now seen in a crucial level near 76
* It has retraced only 38% from recent dip
* Retest done at previous breakdown level which was also a support level earlier
* Price also can be seen moving in a downtrend channel and now is at the upper level, having room to move downwards till the lower level
* Chart pattern : If we look at this retracement as flag, we can also say that it is a flag Breakdown and may also give flag target which is 75
* Indicators : RSI & Stochastic also supporting the Bearish View analyzed with points observed and mentioned above
Contra View : If this takes a support at immediate support level 75.5 and makes a double bottom ( reversal sign )
then wait for Break out of 76 to get a target of 76.657
No trading zone - 76 to 75.5
Strategy recommendation : Bear Call Spread
Plan your Trade ! Trade your Plan !
Search in ideas for "stochastic"
USDINR Next week view 18 March ExpiryUSDINR on Weekly Time frame has reached channel resistance marked in Blue parallel line
at this channel resistance, on daily timeframe it has shown us a hanging man (hammer) type candle ,
the low of this candle is also taken down by the big bearish candle.
Now this all has happened at the previous resistance level and this bearish engulf (hammer + big bearish candle) has taken down
low of the bullish breakout candle too confirming fake breakout.
Now, as per this price action any bounce is a Sell with Stop loss high of the hammer candle (77.150)
We can also see Bearish Divergence with RSI.
View : Neutral to Short with target 75.5
Counter view : if the high of the hammer is broken out, then bullish momentum continues, hence, continuing the view given in my previous post. Please check out.
Strategy that can be applied :
Bear Call Spread - Buy 77.25 CE Sell 77 CE (Buy OTM Sell ATM/ITM)
OR
Call Ratio Back Spread Buy twice of the lots of 76.5 PE and Sell 76.75 PE (Sell one lot of ITM, Buy two lots of OTM)
Few things to know about this spread are below :-
* Unlimited profit if the market goes down
* Limited profit if market goes up
* Predefined loss if the market stays within a range
LONG VIEW ON NATURAL GASDear Buddies!!!!!
My view on NG is Bullish
Following is my study
1. My Time Frame is Hourly Basis
2. Price Action: Morning Star is Printed on a Long Term Support
3. Stochastic Just Gave a Positive Cross Over
4. My Setup is : Fake Break Down and Failed Bollinger Band Challenge
5. 5 EMA gave Positive Cross over to 13 EMA
6. Elliot Wave: My opinion is Wave C just ended and Wave 1 started with a bullish divergences clearly visible before start of Wave 1
7. One can be Bullish by making their stop loss below low of evening star upto targets till next major resistance
Alert:
I am Novice to the Market and at learning stage, this is just my opinion one must get ready for "what if analysis" and should accept the stop loss with full heart in case study goes wrong.
Britannia Industries Ltd - 04.03.2022Britannia Industries Ltd - 04.03.2022
The stock is trading @ 3371 levels
There is a SUPPORT Zone @ 3300 levels
The prices are below EMA
There is a HAMMER at SUPPORT in Weekly Charts
Let the prices go above 3451
Stochastic is oversold in Monthly Charts
Watch out for the price action
HINDALCO it appears one more target left at least.It appears it is 4 th wave pull back
it may rise to touch the next target.
the stochastic is entering in to over sold zone
in hourly time frame.
But it is too early to say when this correction will end.
I have attached the 15 minute time frame too.
let us watch and see.
Gujarat Gas Ltd - 25.02.2022Gujarat Gas Ltd - 25.02.2022
The stock is trading @ 600 levels
There is a RESISTANCE @ 615 levels
There is a BULLISH HARAMI in Daily Chart
Stochastic is oversold in Daily Chart
The prices are below EMA
Let the prices go above 631 (Fib Levels) for a fresh buy position
watch out for the price action
RBLBANK at channel resistance with Evening starRBL BANK is one such stock which can give you solid returns when it shows signs of falling.
This is one such scenario where it has made a lower high at channel resistance with evening star and also stochastic indicator has given a negative cross over at the same point.
To make money on this opportunity, we may SELL 145 CE option easily hedging it with 150 CE BUY.
Plan your Trade! Trade your Plan!
Happy Trading !
HTMEDIA | BUYING AT SUPPORT CONFLUENCEHTMEDIA is bouncing off the Support Trendline & Demand Zone. Stochastic RSI is in oversold Zone & given a crossover. A trade for a 1.5/1 RR can be taken, above 27.95, with a SL of 25.5 & for targets of 31.7.
Always take trades based on your risk appetite.
Happy Trading!
GBPUSD Long : Triangle Pattern !We have a triangle pattern that formed after the strong pullback, as well as a bullish engulfing pattern on the small support, with bulls appearing to be more powerful than bears due to stochastic RSI. We are now waiting for the breakout of the trendline and POC (volume profile point of control) as confirmations.
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd - 11.02.2022Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd - 11.02.2022
The stock is trading @ 565.90 levels
The prices are above EMA
There is a SHOOTING STAR in Daily Chart
There is a STOCHASTIC BEARISH DIVERGENCE in Weekly Chart
There is a RSI BEARISH DIVERGENCE in Weekly Chart
Let the prices go below 555
One can initiate a SELL Position with support @ 578
watch out for the price action
investment pick on support & demand zoneibulhsgfin : cmp 205.75
trade set up :
1. buy in zone 206 to 202
2. keeping stop loss as 180 on closing basis
3. targets : 229 / 245 / 261 / 279 / 297 / 313+
technical set up :
1. parallel channel support buy
2. triangle base trend line demand zone
3. lower highs & higher lows formation in weekly pattern
4. value buy
5. stochastic RSI divergence and near oversold indicator
6. positional value pick for good short term & long term targets
BTC HTF updatehistorically BTC tried to bottom during the end of the first bear cycle year.
Year 2014 (2013 - Bull year):
Bottom: Dec 2014 - Jan 2015
Bottom retest try (after 425 Days): March-April 2016 ie some crashes before halving
Year 2018 (2017 - Bull Year)
Bottom: Dec 2018 - Jan 2019
Bottom retest try (after 425 Days): March-April 2020 ie crash before halving
Year 2022 (2021 - Bull Year)
Expected Bottom: by the end of or starting of 2023 ie Dec 2022 - Jan 2023.
Expected retest try(after 425 Days): Jan 2024- early March 2024
But what will be the bottom dude? let me answer that too.. :)
See during past bull/bear cycles Bitcoin retraced back almost 80-85% from their ATH in Bull market to bottom in bear market. so with the present scenario retrace(80%) from 69K ATH suggesting bottom near 13K-14K(closing of previous ATH Monthly candle ie Year 2017).
what about 20k then? :(
You should google or I will share about three black crows in a row bear reversal signal.
Generally, if three black crows are followed by a 50% drop in prices this is a strong signal of a bear market.
In the past Bitcoin did the same thing twice(2nd was a retest of bottom) followed by a 50% drop in price which helped BTC to find Bottom during the Bear cycle. it took several months after 3 crows -printed and BTC dropped to its bottom.
what is a chance that three crows will work?
yay! don't worry. here is surprise
Three black crows are getting full support from :
1. Monthly MACD bearish crossed already happened in Jan 2022(this only happened during bear cycles in past)
2. Stochastic RSI has formed the Bear cycle structure too.
3. Fisher Transform also shows signals for the bear market.
so the combo of all these indicators is highly suggesting 50% more drop will happen in the future and this will help in finding the bottom for the coming bear cycle.
Once this Jan 2022 is over then Bitcoin will be in three black crows in a row set up on the monthly chart. So Currently Bitcoin is trading near 33-35K and this is also Monthly EMA support. I do expect this may consolidate more for a few months in the range 46-33K and a crash of 50% or more will push down the bitcoin price in the range of 20k or maybe nosedive to 13-14K. so you must be DCA all along with those drops.
overall Bitcoin may find its bottom by the end of the year 2022, and a retest of the bottom will happen near Halving 2024 so another drop in Jan-March 2024 is expected.
You got two opportunities to DCA along and after the second drop, you may hold your coins for the whole year of 2025.
Yay! Bull market back again in future.
Alicon Castalloy Ltd - 21.01.2022Alicon Castalloy Ltd - 21.01.2022
The stock is trading @ 801 levels
There is a Support Zone @ 798 levels
The prices are below EMA
There is an Engulfing Bear at Support
There is a MACD Bullish Divergence in Daily Chart
There is a Stochastic Bullish Divergence in Daily Chart
RSI is overbought in Monthly Chart
Let the prices go above 818
watch out for the price action
long term investment pick gulf oil lubricant : 478
trade setup :
1. buy up to 470
2. keeping stop loss as 430 on closing basis
3. targets :
506/542/583/629/
674/737/777/860+
technical buy based in
1. triangle pattern
base trade
2. harmonics & fibonacci reversal at .886 to .786
3. monthly stochastic RSI at 0
4. RSI divergence
3. bullish monthly reversal candle setup
4. value pick
BANK NIFTY could not sustain at high level.Bank nifty has retraced 61.8 percent of its decline. now in over bough condition. Intermediate line of pitchfork offering resistance. and divergence is there between price and oscillator.
today it failed to sustain above 38550
stochastic is over bought condition but it does not mean it should decline as it has been in over bought condition for the last more than 5 days
but here buying appears to be risky after this rally we should wait for bank nifty to sustain above 38550 or take out this resistance line.
it has now resistance around 38370 Under these condition it is susceptible to selling for any slight adverse international or national news.
please go through my previous published chart of bank nifty and nifty.
don't forget to like my post. follow me to get updates
Tata Motors ComebackAny pattern in a higher timeframe works out very smoothly.
Here the Double Top Pattern took 7 years from the making to the execution and now the stock has been rising very steadily with growing volumes.
The technicals of Tata Motors are backed by the rapidly growing EV business and a fast adaptation of the same in the country.
Technical Aspect
As this platform is solely a technical base so let's keep it to that only.
1. We have 2 different resistance on the chart in the monthly timeframe.
Resistance 1 = 530/540
Resistance 2 = 590/600
This resistance has a high probability of breaking due to the strength of the current trend.
2. Technical Indicators of the stock are all positive at the moment in all major timeframes. (RSI, Stochastic, MACD, Bollinger Band, Supertrend, and Ichimoku).
3. Auto Sector has turned bullish this month only. Auto Sector has the same chart with the same double top pattern (given that disciples follow the discipline).
These are the following reasons why Tata Motors should cross any ceiling in the current uptrend.
Trade = Tata Motors is a buy at the current level with an SL at the open of the same candle - 495
Target = 1st Target is around 600 then it will be trailing.
5 MONTH CONSOLIDATION BREAKOUT On the weekly chart, the stock has decisively broken out its five months consolidation formation on a closing basis
This breakout is accompanied with huge volumes indicating increased participation on rally
The stock was observed from its 20, 50.and 100 Day SMA support zone which reconfirm bullish sentiments
The daily and weekly strength indicator RSI and the momentum indicator Stochastic both are in bullish mode which supports rising strength as well as momentum.
The above analysis indicate an up side of 1885-1925 levels
DOLLAR INDEXThe Dollar index witnessed over throw or fake breakout from ascending parallel channel due to excess optimism but it is now back into the channel. Pattern wise, it seems to be forming distribution triangle. MACD is also going negative in daily time frame along with turning towards negative in weekly time frame. Once it breaks down lower side of Triangle then it could show more bearish-ness, One can go short on break down of support line of triangle with stop loss of upper line of triangle pattern.
Break below this triangle can be trigger point for short.
Fake Breakout of parallel channel or Over-Throw.
macd in weekly converging towards negative crossover
macd in daily already running in negative crossover and downtick along with increasing histogram
rsi in daily down tick and below 50 range
stochastic in daily also down tick and negative
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd - 07.01.2022Maruti Suzuki India Ltd - 07.01.2022
The stock is trading @ 7906 levels
The prices are above EMA
There is a Head & Shoulders Candle Formation in Monthly Chart with a neckline @ 7500 levels
There is a SPINNING TOP in daily chart
Stochastic is overbought in Daily Chart
RSI is overbought in Hourly Chart
Watch out for the price action
L G Balakrishnan & Bros Ltd - 07.01.2022L G Balakrishnan & Bros Ltd - 07.01.2022
The stock is trading @ 625 levels
The prices are at EMA
There is a HAMMER in Hourly Chart
There is a DARK CLOUD COVER in weekly chart
There is a DOJI followed by Shooting Star in Daily Chart
Stochastic is overbought in Weekly chart
RSI is overbought in Weekly & Monthly Chart
Let the prices go above 632 or go below 615
watch out for the price action