The Outperformer's Guide: Top Stocks from Each SectorThis analysis highlights key sectors and stocks to watch.
1. Nifty IT NSE:CNXIT
● The Nifty IT sector has demonstrated resilience during the recent negative market sentiments.
● Notably, it has formed a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern and expected to breakout soon.
➖ Stock to Watch - Coforge NSE:COFORGE
● The stock is currently trading just below its all-time high with a strong uptrend.
● Investors can consider accumulating shares on any dips.
2. Nifty Finance NSE:CNXFINANCE
● The Nifty Finance sector has recently breached its trendline support and is now approaching its next key support level, ranging from 22,500 to 22,700.
➖ Stock to Watch - Axis Bank NSE:AXISBANK
● The stock is currently trading at its support level, offering a potential short to mid-term trading opportunity.
3. Nifty PSU Bank NSE:CNXPSUBANK
● The Nifty PSU Bank sector has consolidated within a range and is nearing its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - State Bank of India NSE:SBIN
● The stock is approaching its trendline support level.
● A buying opportunity may arise if the price reaches the 770 level.
4. Nifty Pharma NSE:CNXPHARMA
● After experiencing a downturn, the Nifty Pharma sector is now approaching its trendline support level.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Divis Laboratories NSE:DIVISLAB
● The price is overall in an uptrend.
● Following a record peak, the stock is now nearing its trendline support level.
● The best buy zone is between 5,500 and 5,600.
5. Nifty Media NSE:CNXMEDIA
● The Nifty Media sector is expected to witness a potential pullback towards the 1,720-1,760 level.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Network18 Media NSE:NETWORK18
● The stock is trading just above its trendline support zone, presenting a short to mid-term trading opportunity.
6. Nifty Realty NSE:CNXREALTY
● The Nifty Realty index is currently trading above its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Oberoi Realty NSE:OBEROIRLTY
● The stock is trading at the support zone and expected to rise soon.
7. Nifty FMCG NSE:CNXFMCG
● After a downfall, index is approaching its trendline support level
➖ Stocks to Watch - Varun Beverages NSE:VBL
● VBL is trading above its support zone, offering a short to mid-term trading opportunity.
8. Nifty Metal NSE:CNXMETAL
● The Nifty Metal sector is trading above its support zone,
➖ Stocks to Watch - Ratnamani Metals & Tubes NSE:RATNAMANI
● The stock price has formed an Ascending Triangle pattern and is currently trading above the support level.
9. Nifty Oil & Gas NSE:NIFTY_OIL_AND_GAS
● The Nifty Oil & Gas sector is also trading above its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Aegis Logistics NSE:AEGISLOG
● The stock price is close to breaking through its trendline resistance.
● If it can maintain its position above this level, a rally may be imminent.
10. Nifty Auto NSE:CNXAUTO
● Lastly, the Nifty Auto sector is trading above its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Eicher Motors NSE:EICHERMOT
● Eicher Motors is consolidating within a rectangle pattern, indicating a potential breakout.
Sector_analysis
Market Direction for upcoming daysAs after fall market has become volatile,
it becomes extremely important to trade sector specific and stock specific
Here is the analysis of 20 Top Traded Sectors
Market seems to be stable right now as we have
6 Sectors Improving
5 Leading
3 Lagging
4 Weakening
Overall market may remain Sideways to Positive
LIChsgfinance showing reversal signsHousing finance sector is looking very positive considering the tapering effects of recession and inflation data.
PNBHsg finance has already skyrocketed post breakout.
Lichsg finance is a good fundamental stock which is looking a good positional trade. This idea is not a recommendation and is shared only for educational purposes.
You can also study stocks like aptus hsg finance, ibull hsg finance, HUDCO which are showing similar trend.
CNX AUTO sentimentCNX auto continues the rally and aims at the 18860-19000 mark to make the new all-time-high.
Immediate resistance at 18719.50 which was the latest high made on 29th Dec'23
We can see a small divergence at the current level, indicating the possibility of a price fall.
Hence any bullish new entries are advisable once the price validates the breakout of the last high made at 19719.50
NIFTY MEDIA : SECTOR WILL BOOM IN 2024 NSE:CNXMEDIA
Nifty media is the participant that will contribute in the 2024 rally.
Nifty media has started forming a horizontal resistance around 2500 zone on a weekly chart After 2.2 years of consolidation it has approached the resistance with some strength and now within some weeks it can break out from this range.
Keep an eye on the sector and its component that are mentioned in the description.
Some of these stocks that I have picked from nifty media sector can move best with the nifty media sector breakout.
1.DISHTV LTD
2.CINEVISTA LTD
3.SHEMAROO
4.RAJTV
5.BALAJI TELEFIMS
6.ENIL
The above Stocks are boosted with their respective charts and the levels of breakout have been clearly mentioned please use alerts feature on trading view to keep track of all of the stocks and use proper position sizing with stop loss.
Have a wonderful trading journey ahead in 2024,
I wish you a happy New Year in advance.
Keep learning,
Happy trading.
This defensive sector is looking bullishPharma sector stocks have given a good bullish momentum in the past few months.
If we analyze the pharma sector, we can see a bounce from strong trendline with higher high, higher low formation.
Keep pharma stocks like Dr. Reddy, Sun pharma, etc. in your watchlist as we might see ATH levels in this stocks soon!
Indoco Remedies Ltd |A Sector Rotation (Pharmaceutical)Indoco Remedies Ltd |A Sector Rotation (Pharmaceutical)
Indoco Remedies (Indoco) is a Mumbai-based pharmaceutical company that focuses on formulations with a presence in contract manufacturing and research.
Market Cap = ₹ 3,758 Cr. Dividend Yield=0.55 % ROCE=17.4 %
ROE =14.8 % Debt to equity = 0.46 Promoter holding = 58.7 %
Quick ratio = 1.13 Current ratio = 1.76 Piotroski score = 5.00
Profit Var 3Yrs = 80.6 % Sales growth 3Years = 14.7 %
Pledged percentage = 0.00 % Return on assets = 9.11 %
Indoco Remedies Limited
is now in momentum zone
I just analyses chart and as per my view I shared my entry exit and tgt
please do your research before investing.
if you like my idea than like and boost and follow me for more ideas.
thanks.
Nifty Auto Sector AnalysisUpcoming Week / Days
Looks like Auto Sector is going to outperform
The formation of the Chart Nifty Auto Looks interesting
RSI is overbought zone, whenever RSI goes above 70 the tendency of the sector is to fall back & touch the 21/50 day EMA giving an ample opportunity to buy stocks in the sector
Though RS (Nifty) is above 0 still looking nice for an upmove
Nifty Metal - Underperforming sector Nifty Metal index trading above 200 EMA. Looks good for upcomming days as almost all major sectors have recovered after the latest Downside rally. Vedl, Hindalco, JSWsteel and Jindalstel are stocks under focus. One can start investing with little portion after breaking 200 Ema and taking pullback.
Note - Fib Retracement levels will act as resistance levels.
Unlocking Secrets of Booming Hotel Industry: Essential Research!Discovering the Potential of the Booming Hotel Industry: Vital Perspectives for Hotel Industry Research!
Overview of the Tourism and Hotel Sector
~ Tourism has become very important in India. It brings in a lot of money from other countries and helps create jobs. The increase in tourists also means more business for hotels.
~ India is becoming a popular tourist destination and is ranked 6th in tourism and hospitality by the World Economic Forum. This is according to a report by the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC).
~ The tourism and hospitality industry in India is one of the top 10 industries that receives the most foreign investment. According to government data, the hotel and tourism sector received around $16.6 billion of foreign investment from April 2000 to September 2022.
~The Indian government is trying to make India a big tourism destination. They have a plan called " Project Mausam " to connect with other countries in the Indian Ocean and bring back old cultural and economic ties. Also, they have made it easier for tourists from 161 countries to visit India by offering electronic visas.
~A significant surge in India, thereby propelling the hospitality sector to thrive. This is primarily due to a marked increase in the volume of foreign and domestic travelers, leading to a corresponding increase in the demand for lodgings. Budget hotels have emerged as prevalent trend in India. Furthermore, international hotel companies have increasingly commenced considering the establishment of such hotels in India, given the latent source of growth that arises from the extant disparity between the burgeoning influx of tourists and the insufficient number of rooms to accommodate them.
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"Supply"
⁎ It has been predicted that the hospitality sector will be unable to keep pace with the sustained growth of the economy, projected to grow at an annual rate of 7%. In the coming five years, it is anticipated that around 40 multinational corporations within the hotel industry will establish a presence in India, yet the industry still remains unable to fulfill the long term demand.
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"Demand"
⁎ The burgeoning nature of tourism industry in India can be attributed to the burgeoning influx of both business and leisure travelers, along with the noticeable proliferation of medical tourism. During the apogee of the tourism season, from November to March, there is a discernible increase in demand. This can only be comprehended by those with an erudite background in the field.
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"Entrance Hindrances"
⁎ High Capital Intensity, Brand Recognition, Zoning and Regulatory Restrictions, Strong Competition, Economies of Scale, Customer Relationships
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"New cycle begun"
⁎ Travel within India is starting to recover and travel businesses have seen a big increase in earnings. Right now, the industry is almost back to its normal levels with occupancy at 63-65%. This new trend is just starting, India to host G20 Summit in Sept 2023, hold over 200 meetings. international travelers geopolitical events and global economy, which should support the hotel RevPAR growth. which will help hotels earn more money.
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⁎ The IMF predicts that India's economy will grow rapidly in the next few years. They expect India to have the highest growth rate, with a projected 7.4% in FY22-23 and 6.1% in FY23-24.
⁎ After removal of international travel restrictions, domestic travel remains the preferred choice for Indian nationals. Travel is not limited to pilgrimages only anymore and to places of one’s relatives as travellers are now more inclined to visit leisure and holiday destinations. Corporate travel has taken a new leap in the country, factoring in the growing economic activities. In fact, the pandemic has evolved a new work cum travel option in the form of workations, staycations and bleisure travel, which has further aided the domestic travel and hotel industry. Young people are starting to save money for travel and taking their trips more seriously.
⁎ Social media is also making people more aware of new places to visit. India has many places that could become great tourist destinations if developed. The demand for hotel rooms in India has increased dramatically, going up from 25,000 rooms per day to 90,000 rooms per day. This suggests that more and more people are traveling and choosing to stay in hotels, which is a positive trend for the tourism industry in the country.
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We will learn how to differentiate between a fundamentally strong hotel from a weaker one.
⁎ Examination of the Comprehensive Structure of India's Hotel Industry at a Macro Level. The Indian hotel sector is characterized by a highly fragmented landscape, with each city accommodating a mixture of both domestic and international chains and a considerable number of unbranded, predominantly family run establishments. The Ministry of Tourism classifies these establishments via the allocation of stars, such as standard, star, and heritage. In the branded segment, while the majority of the supply was once concentrated in high end properties, the shift towards a greater number of domestic travelers over the last decade has resulted in the proliferation of mid range branded hotels, which has accordingly expanded the room supply. This increase in supply has been derived from the conversion of non branded establishments and new construction projects. the Indian hotel industry operates in a crowded environment. This further constrains the pricing power of the industry.
⁎ The demand for hotels changes depending on the economy and the time of year. When the economy is doing well, people have more money to spend on vacations or business trips, which means more business for hotels. But when the economy is not doing well, people spend less money on these services, which can make it difficult for hotel companies to make money. This can be a big risk for the hotel business.
⁎ In the hotel industry, the demand for rooms can vary greatly throughout the year. Despite this, expenses such as power, lighting, and salaries are constant and can make up to 70% of a hotel's costs. Investors should be aware of this volatility and the fact that a hotel's quarter on quarter performance may fluctuate.
⁎ Starting a hotel requires a substantial amount of capital, including the cost of acquiring land and constructing the building. The process also involves obtaining local government approvals, negotiating contracts, and can take anywhere from four to six years. The long gestation period and two to three years it takes for a hotel to reach optimal operations makes the industry challenging.
⁎ There are ways to reduce the capital requirements, such as through a management contract model where the management of the hotel is separated from its ownership. This allows for the risk of operating a hotel to be shared among different entities, though the macro business risks of competition, funding cycles, and seasonality still remain. Despite these challenges, the hotel industry remains attractive.
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Some point to help us understand the comparison between different hotel companies.
First Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR) . The Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR) depicts the revenue generated from a single room, regardless of its occupancy status. It encompasses unsold or unoccupied rooms, thereby providing a precise representation. The four major hotel companies in the study,
NSE:INDHOTEL , NSE:CHALET , NSE:EIHOTEL & NSE:LEMONTREE , All strive to maximize their RevPAR, as it reflects not only the pricing of the rooms but also their occupancy rate. The company Charlotte has already surpassed its pre-COVID-19 RevPAR levels.
Let's look at example
The average sales price is approx. Rs. 4600 and unit costs are Rs. 1800 per room while occupancy rate is 80%. We can calculate RevPAR as follows: 200*(RevPAR/Unit Costs)+(1800/Unit Costs) = 1000+3400=3472
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Second the Occupancy Rate . The Occupancy Rate is the number of Occupied rooms divided by the number of available rooms. when the COVID-19 pandemic hit, the Occupancy Rate for both branded and unbranded hotels went way down in FY22. We will see some major hotel companies.
NSE:INDHOTEL "IHCL" includes (Taj Hotels, Vivanta Hotels, Ginger Hotels & Seleqtions Hotels)
NSE:EIHOTEL include (Oberoi Hotels, Trident Hotels & Maidens Hotels)
NSE:CHALET include (The Westin, Novotel Hotel and Resort, Marriott Hotels & Four Points)
Lemon Tree Hotels Include (Aurika Hotels, keys Select & Redfox)
There has been a substantial improvement in occupancy rates, Some companies already. reached pre COVID-19 levels high.
Let's look at example
Hotel has total 100 rooms and the average room rate (ARR) is 2,500 INR per room. The hotel's total room revenue for a given day is 100 rooms * 2,500 INR = 2,50,000 INR.
Hotel has an occupancy rate of 80%, this means that 80 rooms are occupied and the hotel earns 80 rooms * 2,500 INR = 2,00,000 INR in revenue from occupied rooms (Revenue from occupied rooms / Total room revenue) * 100
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Third Average Room Rate (ARR). The ARR calculates the average rental revenue per occupied room dividing the total revenue by the number of rooms occupied. COVID-19 pandemic had an impact on the ARR. Indian Hotels falls under the luxury and upscale category, Lemon Tree is a mid scale or economic brand, And Oberoi, Trident Hotels, are undergoing a process of reestablishment, with Indian Hotels having already reached its desired state.
Let's look at example
The Average Room Rate (ARR) is the average rate of a hotel room per night. Calculated by dividing the total revenue generated from the sale of rooms by the number of rooms sold.
If hotel generates revenue of ₹500,000 from the sale of 100 rooms in a month, the ARR would be ₹5,000 per room per night (500,000/100).
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Sector overview or Business overview
The hotel industry experiences marked fluctuations in profitability margins due to its cyclical nature. As a quadrant business, the evaluation of performance should be based on two key metrics: EBITDA margin and Return on Capital Employed (ROCE). The EBITDA margin, which represents the proportion of profits within a company's sales, holds significant significance across various industries. The four major hotel chains, including Lemon Tree, have experienced an improvement in margins through cost reduction measures. The objective for these companies is to attain a 33% EBITDA margin by 2025. The efficiency with which hotels allocate capital is equally important, as demonstrated by the ROCE metric. With the recent normalization, increase in consumer demand, and heightened operating margins, it is anticipated that the ROCE will settle within a range of 12-15%, after considering debt reduction. We have leveraged expectations. This is an important aspect because hotels are capital intensive. A company's balance sheet determines the level of stress its cash flows can sustain, especially during downturns. High leverage reduces a hotel company's financial flexibility, which also dilutes its efforts to raise funds for future projects.
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Key Ratios Analysis
1. Leverage Ratios
The Debt to Equity ratio is a financial metric that compares a company's total debt to its total equity. It is used to measure a company's financial leverage and its ability to pay off its debt obligations.
⁎ Debt/EBITDA ratio is a financial metric that measures a company's ability to pay off its debt obligations with its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA). This ratio is used to evaluate the financial health of a company, particularly its debt burden and ability to service its debt obligations.
2. Liquidity Ratios
The current ratio used to determine a company's ability to pay its short term obligations. It is calculated by dividing the company's current assets by its current liabilities
⁎ The Cash ratio is financial ratio that measures a company's ability to pay off its current liabilities using only its most liquid assets, such as cash and cash equivalents. This ratio provides an indication of a company's liquidity and short term financial health.
When evaluating a hotel investment, it's important to consider whether there is a well-established and financially strong promoter group backing the company. promoter can help the hotel deal with difficulties in a more timely manner and even negotiate better rates from suppliers. This can be the difference between survival and bankruptcy, as we saw in the past when as many as 40% of hotels and restaurants in India shut down permanently. Indian Hotels Limited and Lemon Tree Hotels, among other prominent hospitality companies in India, enjoy the advantage of having formidable backing from influential promoters and substantial institutional support, respectively. As of December 2022, the percentage of promoter stake in Lemon Tree Hotels that was pledged had declined from 29.39% (December 2021) to a current value of 11.9%.
Thank you for reading my analysis of the hotel industry.
I hope it provided valuable insights into the performance and trends of the sector. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to leave them below.
Jai hind 🇮🇳
keep an eye on ITHistory shows that big winning stocks tend to favor certain industry groups - M.M
IT index has good support of demand zone(big box) present below. in coming weeks or month hunt for best from this group. we might see lil compression after small rally which i think best time to select leaders.
India NSE Sector PerformanceThe below indicator shows the performance of NSE Sectors and top performing stocks in those sectors
NSE Sector Performance
It will help identify the stock sectors and individual stocks in those strong sectors.
Also, the distance from 250d high/low is shown to focus on high momentum stocks
RCF break out, pull back and bounce1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or close below daily supertrend (for short term traders) or close below weekly supertrend (for long term investors)
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Largest weekly price spread
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
after consolidation since may 2021, on 29th March NSE:RCF gave a high volume breakout. Today at pulled back to the support of Rs.88.50 and is currently trying to cross the previous day high of Rs.93.70. If he successfully bounces back above Rs.93.70 it will be a good buy with a stop just below Rs.87.50.
Why are fertilizer stocks in demand?
Shares of fertilizers companies have been in demand riding the commodity boom, more so after the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. According to reports, prices of three main types of nutrients have been rising for several months on the back of supply shortages and high energy prices. Recently, the government had permitted fertilizer companies to raise output of urea manufacturing units beyond installed capacity, in order to meet shortfall.
RCF fundamentals:
Company has reduced debt.
Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.35%.
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 50.47%.
Debtor days have improved from 140.73 to 63.89 days.
Debt to equity at 0.50 (less than 1 is good) and Interest Coverage at 7.46 (greater than 3 is good).
WHERE IS NIFTY IT HEADED ?Nifty It has been showing no particular direction for the past week, sometimes on a solid green day it manages to fall and sometimes seeing Nasdaq it seems to gain some points but what is the real direction of this sector?
I have taken the top 5 Nifty I.T stocks that have the most weightage in this sector and have analysed them.
Below are all the top 5 constituents of cnxit.
1. INFY
2. TCS
3. HCLTECH
4. WIPRO
5. TECHM
INFY
I can spot LH LL formation in this and seems like it has had it's pullback and will continue to correct itself.
TCS
TCS has been following this support trendline for sometime and it can be taken into account that after double top tcs went for a pullback and again a low can be made near 3550 levels.
HCLTECH
HCLTECH is facing resistance from 1200 levels which is psychologically and technically a strong resistance level and now it seems like it's due a correction.
WIPRO
Took a bounce from the demand zone but is still below the 200 ma and flip level.
TECHM
Techm looks like that it is sitting on a crucial level and the next few candles can give us a sense of direction.
Please LIKE, COMMENT and SHARE to motivate and support me. I'll keep on posting new ideas on Indices & Stocks. Be sure to follow so that you don't miss any good trades that might have been rewarding.
Any comments and critiques will be appreciated even if it's of opposite view as a trader can also be right so many times.
These are just my views and I am not a SEBI registered analyst so consult your advisor before taking any trades.
ALLCARGO Logistics (Positional Study)Let us study ALLCARGO Logistics for Positional Investment prospects.
Chart Structure:
- Price has broken out All-Time-High of 2018.
- Price has crossed the previous swing high above ATH.
- Stock is in an uptrend since May.
Volume & Deliveries:
- Huge deliveries had happened in July & August near ATH Range.
- From 19th July to 4th Aug. 2.04 cr. shares were delivered with an Average of 17.01 lac shares per day. The previous average was 2.63 lac shares /day. (Average price = 186.54/- per share)
- From 10th to 17th August, again 60 lac shares were delivered with an Average of 15.06 lac shares per day. (Average price 207.86/- per share)
- Huge accumulation has been witnessed near the All-Time-High Price Range.
Relative Strength:
- Stock became RS positive on 25th June.
- Since becoming RS+ stock has not Flipped-Flopped and was only increasing.
- Stock is outperforming Nifty50 as well as Midcap100 index.
- Stock is outperforming its sector & benchmark in all 1W, 1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y, 2Y & 5Y timeframe.
Financial Performance:
- ALLCARGO's Q1 Sales growth was 3% QoQ & 66% YoY
- Q1 PBT growth stood at 1019% QoQ & 442% YoY
- Q1 PAT growth stood at 117% QoQ & 144% YoY
Sectoral Performance:
- Logistics sector has broken out of its previous high on 2nd September.
- The sector is outperforming the Nifty & Midcap index.
- Outperformance in the sectoral index has again started after 2nd September when the Spread chart value has crossed over its 50MA.
Good stock for positional study.