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Gold Surges: Political Momentum and New OutlookAmid the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict, gold witnessed a sharp increase in price, closing at $2,716/ounce, reflecting strong demand for safe-haven assets. This recovery was evidenced by the price of gold breaking above both the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating a reversal from the previous downtrend and opening up a positive outlook for prices in the short term. I assess that global political factors along with the upcoming US economic policy will continue to be the main factors affecting gold prices. Investors should pay attention to these developments when making investment decisions in the current context.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
EUR/USD Faces Strong Bearish Pressure: Is 1.0390 a Stop?The EUR/USD chart is currently showing a clear bearish trend as the price continues to stay below both the Bollinger Bands and the SMA. In particular, the downward cross of the SMA by the price line indicates that the bearish momentum is still very strong. From a technical perspective, the next important support level could be at 1.0390, if the downtrend continues. It will be important to monitor whether EUR/USD can stabilize and recover at this level, or if it continues to decline. The recovery could be difficult as the short-term moving average (SMA) and the Bollinger Bands are still above the current price, forming strong resistance. Overall, the current trend shows challenges for the euro, and I will continue to closely monitor the technical indicators to adjust my trading strategy accordingly
by Maria_aaa
EUR/USD: Bearish Pressure Continues, 1.0560 Is KeyEUR/USD on the 1-hour chart is currently showing signs of a slight recovery from the lows around 1.0520. However, the main trend is still tilted to the downside as the EMA 34 and EMA 89 continue to lie above the price, reflecting that selling pressure has not abated. Personally, I think the bearish trend is still dominant and the 1.0560 area will be the deciding point whether the exchange rate can continue to recover or not. If it fails to overcome this resistance area, the possibility of EUR/USD continuing to fall to the 1.0520 area and even deeper is very high.
by Maria_aaa
EUR/USD In Bear RaceThe EUR/USD chart is showing a clear bearish trend, with the price moving below both the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating strong selling pressure. The 34 EMA has crossed the 89 EMA and is heading downwards, further reinforcing the bearish trend. The fact that the price continues to stay below these two EMAs is not a very optimistic sign for those who are expecting a recovery in the euro against the US dollar. In the current scenario, the next important support point could be the 1.0400 area. If EUR/USD continues to decline and breaks this level, we could see a deeper decline, testing new lows. This requires traders to keep a close eye on the market developments and be ready to adjust their strategies to suit the current trend. From a technical perspective, the current recovery appears to be just a technical recovery before the continuation of the downtrend. This increases the possibility of further declines, especially when there are no clear signs of a trend reversal. Investors need to carefully consider the risks and have a suitable capital management plan to avoid unnecessary losses in the current context.
by Maria_aaa
Will $2,640 Hold Amid Volatility?After a strong rally, gold is facing some downside pressure from its new highs. Specifically, the daily chart shows that gold has hit a key resistance level at $2,678/oz and is currently showing signs of a slight recovery. Personally, I believe that gold is still in the accumulation phase after a strong rally, and the selling pressure may not be over yet. The next important support level to watch is $2,640, which corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This will be the deciding point whether gold continues its downtrend or starts to recover. If gold fails to hold this support level, we could see a deeper decline towards $2,600/oz. Overall, given the current situation, I advise investors to be cautious and prepare for a scenario where gold could fall further if the next support levels are not held. At the same time, investors should also closely monitor market developments to quickly update and respond promptly to changes in gold price trends.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Will 1.2590 Support Hold?On the hourly GBP/USD chart, it is clear that the British pound is under pressure. The price is currently trading below both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, which is a sign that the downtrend is still intact. The fact that the 34 EMA is below the 89 EMA suggests that the downtrend could extend. In recent hours, it seems that the price has tested the support around the 1.2590 area but has not been able to recover above the 34 EMA, which indicates weakness in the GBP recovery attempt. If this support level is broken, we could see GBP/USD continue to decline to new lows.
by Maria_aaa
USD/JPY Slight Correction After UptrendUSD/JPY is trending around 155, after a slight decline from the peak near 155.5. On the H4 chart, the price is testing the EMA 34, while the EMA 89 provides strong support at 154.0. The nearest resistance is at 155.5, if broken, the price may continue to increase to the 156 area. On the contrary, if strong selling pressure causes the price to break the EMA 34, the target will be the 154.0 - 153.8 area. Personal opinion: Currently, USD/JPY is in a state of hesitation, due to the lack of new momentum in the market. I expect the price to accumulate around this area before a clear breakout. Traders should monitor US economic data or any developments in bond yields to determine the next trend.
by Maria_aaa
Gold Price Increases for 3 Consecutive SessionsWorld gold prices continued to increase for the third consecutive session, currently trading around 2,650 USD/ounce, up a total of 88 USD in the past three days. The main driving force of the uptrend comes from safe-haven demand due to escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, along with the potential impact of US President-elect Donald Trump's economic policies. On the 1-hour time frame, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are providing good support for the uptrend, showing the strength of the buyers. The nearest short-term resistance is at 2,670 USD/ounce, if broken, the gold price may continue to increase to 2,680 - 2,690 USD/ounce. The current strong support is around 2,640 USD/ounce, if broken, it may pull the price down to 2,620 USD/ounce. Personal opinion: The current uptrend is still maintained thanks to the positive sentiment in the gold market. However, the $2,650 - $2,670/ounce area is an important resistance level to watch. If the buyers cannot maintain the pressure, the price may correct slightly to accumulate before continuing the uptrend. Note that the US interest rate policy in December may create a short-term correction period, but in the long term, gold is still very attractive due to geopolitical and macroeconomic instability. Personal opinion: If the price breaks the resistance, this is a good opportunity to consider continuing to buy orders.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Gold Price Approaches Important Resistance ZoneGold is currently trading around $2,638/ounce, continuing its strong rally after rising $48 in the previous session. The main drivers of the rally are geopolitical tensions and the stability of the USD. Gold is in a strong recovery phase from its low around $2,580. However, the medium-term downtrend has not been broken yet as the EMA 89 is still acting as resistance. Resistance and support: Nearest resistance: The $2,650-2,660 area, which coincides with the EMA 89. This is an important area to confirm a bullish reversal. Support: The $2,600 area, if broken, gold could retest the old low around $2,580. Price pattern: On the 4-hour chart, gold is approaching an important resistance zone. If there is a price rejection signal, the possibility of correction will be very high. Personal opinion: Gold price is likely to test the $2,650-2,660 zone in the short term. However, with current technical indicators, selling pressure at the resistance zone will be very high. If the price fails to break through this zone, the possibility of correction back to $2,600 is quite high. On the contrary, if it breaks through, the next target will be $2,700. Trading strategy: Sell at the $2,650-2,660 resistance zone, set Stop Loss at $2,670, Take Profit at $2,600. Buy when the price breaks through $2,660, set Stop Loss at $2,640, Take Profit at $2,700.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Trend continuation or correction?Both EMA 34 and EMA 89 are sloping up, creating a strong uptrend support structure. This is a positive signal for buyers. The price is consolidating around the 154.50 - 155.00 area, close to the psychological resistance. The recent upward momentum is still maintained, but there are signs of slowing down. USD/JPY is still receiving support from US bond yields, as the 10-year yield remains high. This increases the strength of the USD. However, profit-taking pressure may occur if USD/JPY fails to break above the current resistance zone. Personal opinion: If the price breaks above 155.00, USD/JPY may extend its upward momentum, heading towards 156.00. However, if strong selling pressure appears, the price may adjust to the support zone of 154.00 - 153.50 before deciding on the trend.
by Maria_aaa
Recovery or Further Decline?The price zone of 1.06575 - 1.07100 (Fibonacci level 50%-61.8%) acts as strong resistance. This is also the area where the sellers are likely to increase pressure. Price action scenario: Currently, the price is in a recovery phase near the above resistance zone. If the sellers defend the 1.06575 zone well, the price will likely continue to decline sharply. Important support zone: The nearest support is at 1.04876, which coincides with the old bottom. If the price breaks this support, the next target will be the 1.02127 zone (Fibonacci extension level 1.618). Personal opinion: Wait for the price to return to the resistance zone of 1.06575 - 1.07100, look for a reversal signal here to enter a sell order. First target is 1.04876, further target at 1.02127. Stop loss above 1.07200 to avoid resistance break.
by Maria_aaa
Strong Recovery After Prolonged DowntrendGold prices have recovered strongly to $2,610/ounce in today's trading session, up $48 in just the past 24 hours. This move shows increased bottom-fishing demand after the precious metal fell a total of more than $120/ounce in the previous five trading sessions. Technical Analysis Looking at the gold price chart, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 still show a medium-term downtrend. However, the current strong bullish candle is challenging these dynamic resistance levels. If gold continues to surpass $2,620, the uptrend could extend to the resistance zone near $2,650. On the contrary, if it fails to stay above $2,600, the possibility of a reversal back to the support zone of $2,560 is quite high. Fundamentals Support Geopolitical situation: Escalating tensions in the Ukraine region with the participation of long-range weapons from the US and military moves from Russia and North Korea have boosted safe-haven demand for gold. Bullish forecast: A report from Goldman Sachs with a forecast of gold prices reaching $3,000/ounce by the end of 2025 is creating positive sentiment for the market. Bargain hunting demand: After a series of sharp declines, large financial institutions have started to increase purchases, pushing gold prices up rapidly. Review Based on the above factors, I expect gold prices to retest the important resistance zone at $2,650 in the short term. However, it is necessary to closely monitor the market's reaction at the $2,620 area. If the breakout fails, selling pressure may reappear.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Bullish momentum stalls amid resistanceUSD/JPY is currently trading around 154.57 after a strong rally. It seems that the bulls have run into pressure at the 155.00 resistance zone, while technical and market sentiment factors are also influencing the next direction of the pair. Technical analysis: Nearest resistance: 155.00 - a strong psychological resistance zone where the price is struggling to overcome. Nearest support: 154.00 - a key support level, if broken, the price could fall further to 153.00. EMA 34 and EMA 89: The price is trading around EMA 34 (short-term support), but is still above EMA 89, suggesting that the medium-term uptrend is still in place. Price pattern: There are signs of a pause, with the possibility of forming a "Pullback" pattern or a slight reversal before continuing the main trend. Personal opinion: I see the market facing a dilemma between buying and selling forces. The recent increase in USD is supported by high US bond yields and positive market sentiment. However, if it fails to break above the 155.00 zone, USD/JPY may correct slightly before looking for new momentum to continue rising. Trading strategy: Buy: When the price breaks above 155.00, the next target is 156.00. Sell: When the price falls below 154.00, the next support target is 153.00.
by Maria_aaa
Signs of Recovery or Resistance Ahead?Currently, GBP/USD is trading around 1.26857, indicating a slight recovery after the previous extended bearish phase. The British pound is showing more positive signs, however, the pressure from the EMA 89 resistance has not been completely broken. The GBP/USD pair remains in an overall downtrend, confirmed by lower highs and lows. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 continue to slope down, indicating that selling pressure is still dominant. Resistance and support: Nearest resistance: The area around 1.2700-1.2720, which coincides with the EMA 89. This is an important zone that needs to be broken to confirm a short-term reversal. Key support: The 1.2600 area, where the pair has found buying pressure in recent sessions. If this zone is broken, GBP/USD could fall further to 1.2540. Personal view: I expect GBP/USD to continue its slight recovery in the short term to test the resistance zone of 1.2700-1.2720. If it fails to break, the price will reverse and retest the support at 1.2600. However, if there is a strong news factor supporting the pound, the pair could break above the 89 EMA and open the door for further gains.
by Maria_aaa
Recovery Trap or Breakout Opportunity?On the EUR/USD 4-hour chart, the bearish bias remains dominant. The pair is attempting to recover from the recent low at 1.0540, however, the important resistance zone around the 34-EMA (1.0600) is holding back the upside momentum. If EUR/USD fails to overcome the resistance zone of 1.0600 - 1.0620 in the coming sessions, selling pressure will return strongly, pushing the price towards the support zone of 1.0550 and even 1.0500. On the contrary, a clear breakout above 1.0620 could open the door to a test of the 1.0650 zone, however, the upside outlook remains challenging amid the long-term downtrend. Trading Strategy: Short: When price fails to break above 1.0600, place a sell order with target at 1.0550 and further at 1.0500. Long: Consider buying if price breaks above 1.0620 with high volume, target at 1.0650.
by Maria_aaa
Gold in Bears' ControlI am watching the recovery in gold, currently trading around $2,586/oz. With the USD rising sharply after President-elect Donald Trump's victory and expectations of higher inflation, the Fed is likely to maintain high interest rates. This is creating significant pressure, making it difficult for gold to continue to break above the 34-EMA and 89-EMA. In addition, comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell about not being in a hurry to cut interest rates further reinforced the USD's bullish momentum and reduced the appeal of gold. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and between Ukraine and Russia remain a slight support factor for the precious metal's safe-haven status. Personal view Key resistance: $2,600–$2,625, which the price needs to break above to generate upside momentum. Potential support: $2,550, which is an important area I will wait to test. If the price fails to surpass $2,600, I believe there is a high possibility of a further decline to $2,550, consistent with the current market scenario. I will prioritize a short-term selling strategy in the resistance zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Price compression signals a strong trendCurrently, EUR/USD is trading around 1.0540, in a clear price compression zone. The 34 and 89 EMAs still show that the downtrend is dominant. The price remaining below these EMAs further reinforces the selling pressure in the market. Technical analysis: Nearby resistance: 1.0560 - the 34 EMA zone, where the price may face strong selling pressure if approached. Nearby support: 1.0520 - this is an important support level, if broken, it will trigger a stronger downtrend. Price pattern: The price is forming a symmetrical triangle structure, suggesting a possible breakout in the near future. Personal view: I see the market waiting for a decisive breakout. If it breaks below 1.0520, the next downside target will be 1.0480. Conversely, if the price breaks above 1.0560, it is likely to test 1.0600. However, with the downward pressure from the strong USD, I am leaning towards the bearish scenario. Trading Strategy: Sell: On a break below 1.0520, target 1.0480. Buy: On a break above 1.0560, target 1.0600.
by Maria_aaa
GBP/USD Faces Strong Selling, Downtrend May ContinueLooking at the 4-hour chart of GBP/USD, I notice that the pair is in a clear downtrend, with the EMA 34 and EMA 89 both sloping down, indicating strong selling pressure. The current price is approaching the bearish support line below the 1.2740 area. The psychological resistance zone around 1.2800 – 1.2850 has been tested several times but failed to break above. This shows that the selling pressure is still dominant and is likely to push the price further down if there are no signs of strong support. My trading plan is to wait for a small correction to the resistance zone of 1.2800. If the selling pressure persists in this area, I will consider entering a short position with the target of approaching the lower support zone around 1.2700 or lower. Conversely, if price breaks and goes above 1.2850, I will re-evaluate my strategy.
by Maria_aaa
2
Next Target Fibonacci ExtensionLooking at the USD/JPY 4-hour chart, I see that the uptrend remains quite strong, with the price trading above both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, suggesting that the bullish momentum continues to hold. Based on the Fibonacci extension analysis, I am particularly interested in the 1.618 level around 157.00, which could be the next key resistance. I expect a short-term correction before continuing the uptrend towards this target. If the price falls towards the 0.618 Fibonacci support near 154.00, this would be an ideal opportunity to look for a long entry. Conversely, if the price breaks above 157.00, the uptrend could be further reinforced, while if the momentum weakens, the price could trade sideways around the EMAs.
by Maria_aaa
EUR/USD Under Pressure, Wedge Signals More WeaknessLooking at the EUR/USD 4-hour chart, I see the pair forming a falling wedge pattern, signaling a possible continuation of the downtrend. With both the 34 and 89 EMAs above the price and sloping down, this suggests that selling pressure is still dominant. In the short term, a key support level could be found around 1.0500. If EUR/USD breaks this support level, it is likely to continue falling further, aiming for further targets in the 1.0400 area. Conversely, if there is a bounce from the bottom of the wedge, the pair could retest the resistance at the top of the wedge pattern.
by Maria_aaa
2
Gold prices fall sharply due to pressure from USD World gold prices are under downward pressure in the context of a stronger USD and rising US bond yields. The US CPI index in October increased by 0.2%, pushing inflation in the year to 2.6% as expected. This, along with the possibility of new taxes from the administration of President-elect Donald Trump, is making investors believe that the FED may pause interest rate cuts, leading to gold prices falling for four consecutive sessions. On the morning of November 14, the world gold price fell to 2,573 USD/ounce, down 46 USD from the previous session's high of 2,619 USD/ounce. On the daily chart, the gold price has broken the uptrend channel and is currently continuing to decline. The next support levels are at 2,492 USD and 2,444 USD/ounce. If the price holds above this support level, a short-term recovery may occur. However, if the price continues to break these levels, the downtrend is likely to continue.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Gold Hits 7-Week Low Amid Rising Yields and Dollar PressureGold prices are under pressure as the US dollar strengthens, US Treasury yields rise to 4.5%, and demand for gold from China declines. In the recent trading session, gold prices fluctuated sharply, falling to a 7-week low of $2,599/ounce. Market sentiment is gradually losing confidence in gold, with many investors selling off to preserve capital. In addition, US stocks also weakened as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 both fell, adding more pressure to gold. If factors such as the US dollar do not decrease and gold demand does not recover, the possibility of gold prices continuing to decline is still very high in the short term. In the short term, gold prices are likely to continue to be under downward pressure if the US dollar maintains its strength and US bond yields remain high. The nearest important support level could be the $2,580/ounce area. If the price breaks this level, the downtrend could extend to lower levels, towards the $2,550 area. Conversely, if there is significant buying pressure, gold could recover slightly, but the possibility of maintaining a strong upward momentum is low as economic factors remain unfavorable for this precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
EUR/USD: Double Top Pattern Signals Strong Bearish MomentumLooking at the current EUR/USD chart, I see that a double top pattern has formed, marking a strong reversal in the trend. After hitting the resistance zone at 1.1200, the price rejected that high and dropped to the support zone around 1.0700. Currently, the pair is within this support zone, but there are signs of further downside. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are both pointing down, reflecting that the downtrend is still dominant in the medium and long term. This shows that selling pressure is very strong and the price is likely to continue to correct further down. If the support zone at 1.0700 is completely broken, my next target is expected to be around 1.0500. This is an important psychological support zone, and if it continues to fail, selling pressure will push the price down even lower. In the short term, I will wait to see if the price recovers slightly, but the main strategy is still to wait to sell when the price breaks the support levels.
by Maria_aaa