SENSEX : Trading levels and Plan for 27-Nov-2025📊 SENSEX TRADING PLAN — 27 NOV 2025
Sensex closed near 85,598, sitting just below the No-Trade Zone (85,464–85,597) and heading toward a crucial resistance cluster at 85,999–86,143.
Market structure shows bullish momentum, but overhead supply requires caution around the opening.
Key Levels for the Day
🟨 No Trade Zone: 85,464 – 85,597
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 85,999 – 86,143
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 85,165 – 85,272
🟩 Major Downside Level: 84,775
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP-UP OPENING (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens around 85,900–86,050, it enters directly into the large resistance zone.
If price SUSTAINS ABOVE 86,143 for 10–15 minutes →
⭐ Upside continuation targets: 86,260 → 86,340 → 86,430
If price rejects the resistance zone (85,999–86,143) →
Expect pullback to: 85,750 → 85,597
Do NOT chase longs immediately at open — gap-up into resistance often traps buyers.
Best long setup = Breakout → Retest → Confirmation above 86,143.
📘 Educational Note:
Every time price opens near multi-day resistance, early volatility is normal. Smart traders wait for confirmation instead of reacting emotionally.
🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Near 85,450–85,600)
A flat opening inside the No-Trade Zone makes this a patience-based market at the start.
A breakout above 85,597 →
Targets: 85,750 → 85,999 → 86,143
A breakdown below 85,464 →
Targets: 85,350 → 85,272 (support test)
Avoid taking trades inside the 85,464–85,597 zone — it is explicitly a no-trade area due to whipsaws.
Best trades:
✔️ Breakout retest above 85,597
✔️ Support bounce near 85,272
✔️ Breakdown below 85,165 (trend continuation)
💡 Educational Tip:
Flat openings are the BEST for identifying trend direction.
Let the first 15-min candle close before committing to a trade.
🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP-DOWN OPENING (300+ Points)
A gap-down near 85,100–85,200 brings price directly to Last Intraday Support (85,165–85,272).
If 85,165–85,272 holds strongly →
Reversal targets → 85,350 → 85,464 → 85,597
If price breaks below 85,165 →
Expect downside continuation toward → 85,020 → 84,775
A strong bullish wick on support may produce one of the best long trades of the session.
If momentum candles form below 85,165, avoid long entries — trending down day likely.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-downs near major support often produce V-shaped bounces — wait for confirmation via higher lows before entering.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS 💡
Avoid trading the first 5–10 minutes on large gap openings.
Prefer ATM or slightly ITM options for directional clarity.
Keep SL fixed based on structure — never widen SL emotionally.
Avoid averaging losing trades (discipline > hope).
When VIX is low → option buying works better.
When VIX is high → hedged selling or credit spreads are safer.
Partial profit booking is essential near major zones like 85,999 & 86,143.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Long-term profitability = Protect capital first, chase profits later.
📌 SUMMARY
Bullish Above → 85,597
Targets → 85,750 → 85,999 → 86,143 → 86,260
Bearish Below → 85,272
Targets → 85,165 → 85,020 → 84,775
No-Trade Zones:
— 85,464–85,597 (Flat opening whipsaw zone)
— 85,999–86,143 (High-risk supply zone unless breakout confirmed)
🧾 CONCLUSION
Sensex is approaching a heavy resistance cluster.
The most reliable trades will come from:
✔️ Breakout + Retest above 85,597
✔️ Reversal opportunities near 85,165–85,272
✔️ Strong continuation above 86,143
✔️ Breakdown setups below 85,165
Avoid noise — trade only when structure is clear.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes.
Please consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Sensex
SENSEX : Trading levels and Plan for 20-Nov-2025Request you please hit LIKE or BOOST button - Like Target 25
📊 SENSEX TRADING PLAN — 20 NOV 2025
(Timeframe: 15-min | Reference: Key price reaction zones & intraday structure)
SENSEX closed around 85,176, sitting directly inside the No-Trade Zone (85,026 – 85,232) which indicates indecision and potential volatility at tomorrow’s open. Price is just below a strong resistance cluster at 85,577 – 85,612, and a major upside extension level at 85,999.
Key Zones to Track:
🟧 No-Trade Zone: 85,026 – 85,232
🔴 Last Intraday Resistance: 85,577 – 85,612
🔴 Major Resistance / Profit Booking Zone: 85,999
🟩 Opening Support: 85,026
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 84,882
🟩 Major Support: 84,678
Below is the complete action plan for all opening scenarios 👇
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP UP OPENING (300+ points)
If SENSEX opens at 85,450+, price will approach or enter the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (85,577 – 85,612).
If price sustains above 85,612 for 10–20 mins with strong candles →
🎯 Upside targets = 85,750 → 85,880 → 85,999
If price rejects from 85,577–85,612 →
Expect a correction down to:
➡️ 85,400 → 85,232
Avoid immediate buying on a gap-up directly under resistance since high probability of profit booking.
Safer entry = Breakout → Retest → Continuation above 85,612.
📘 Educational Tip:
Gap-ups into supply zones often trigger selling. Confirmation candles are essential before entering long positions.
🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Around 85,100–85,200)
A flat open places price inside the No-Trade Zone (85,026 – 85,232) — avoid impulsive entries.
If price sustains above 85,232, bullish bias activates.
🎯 Targets → 85,350 → 85,450 → 85,577
If price breaks below 85,026, bearish leg likely.
📉 Targets → 84,882 → 84,678
Best trades:
— Breakout from 85,232
— Breakdown from 85,026
Avoid trading in the middle of the No-Trade Zone.
💡 Educational Note:
Flat openings inside equilibrium zones often generate false moves. Wait for a clear breakout before positioning.
🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP DOWN OPENING (300+ points)
If SENSEX opens around 84,700–84,800, price lands near the Last Intraday Support (84,882) and may test deeper support at 84,678.
Bullish reversal is possible if 84,678–84,882 holds with wick rejections →
🎯 Upside targets → 85,026 → 85,232 → 85,350
If price fails 84,678 →
Strong bearish continuation
📉 Targets → 84,520 → 84,400
This zone provides high RR reversal trades — but only with confirmation.
Avoid trying to catch falling knives without structure.
📘 Educational Tip:
Gap-downs entering demand zones typically give the day’s biggest reversal moves — but always after confirmation, not anticipation.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTION TRADERS 💡
Trade only after first 5–10 min to avoid opening volatility.
Use ITM options for directional intraday trades.
Keep SL strictly at 20–30% of premium for option buying.
Do NOT average losing trades.
In higher VIX, prefer spreads (Credit/Debit spreads).
Take partial profit at 30–40% and trail SL.
Avoid trading inside No-Trade Zones — unnecessary chop kills premium.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Capital protection > catching a move. One good trade a day is enough for consistent profitability.
📌 SUMMARY
Bullish Above → 85,232
Targets → 85,350 → 85,450 → 85,577 → 85,612 → 85,999
Bearish Below → 85,026
Targets → 84,882 → 84,678 → 84,520
High-Risk Zone:** 85,026–85,232 (No-Trade Zone)**
Major Reversal Zone:** 85,577–85,612
🧾 CONCLUSION
SENSEX sits at an equilibrium zone before a major directional move.
The most reliable trades will come from:
✔️ Breakout above 85,232
✔️ Rejection from 85,577–85,612
✔️ Reversal from 84,678–84,882 support
Let the market give direction — avoid forcing trades inside the No-Trade Zone.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Please consult a certified financial advisor before taking any trading decisions.
SENSEX : Trading levels and plan for 18-Nov-2025📊 SENSEX TRADING PLAN — 18 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Sensex closed near 84,920 , maintaining its upward bias after recent strength, but now approaching multiple resistance levels that could trigger either continuation or profit booking.
Key resistance zones are seen around 85,081 (Opening Resistance – Gap-Up Case) and 85,437 (Last Intraday Resistance) . On the downside, key supports lie near 84,730 (Opening Resistance / Support) , 84,231 (Opening Support) , and 83,800 (Last Intraday Support) .
Overall bias remains moderately bullish above 84,730 , but traders should stay cautious near upper resistances as momentum could fade. The session may begin with volatility due to proximity to crucial resistance zones.
Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Supports: 84,730 / 84,231 / 83,800
🟥 Resistances: 85,081 / 85,437
⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 84,730 | Bearish below 84,231
🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens around or above 85,200 – 85,250 , it will start near the Last Intraday Resistance (85,437) zone. Gap-ups at such elevated levels often trigger early volatility or profit booking before trend continuation.
If Sensex sustains above 85,081 – 85,150 for 15–20 minutes with strong bullish candles and increasing volume, it may continue higher toward 85,437 – 85,500+ .
If it faces rejection near 85,437 , expect a pullback toward 84,950 – 84,800 .
Avoid aggressive buying on opening candles; instead, wait for a retest of 85,081 as support before re-entering.
For intraday traders, use quick trailing stops and partial booking near resistance levels to protect profits.
💡 Educational Note:
Gap-ups at resistance levels often trigger two-way action. The key is to watch whether price accepts or rejects that resistance. Sustained trading above the level shows real strength, while early rejection signals smart money profit booking.
🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Around 84,900 – 84,950 Zone)
A flat open near the previous close keeps Sensex within the neutral transition zone . The first 15–20 minutes will be critical to determine trend direction.
If price sustains above 84,950 – 85,000 , expect bullish continuation toward 85,081 – 85,437 .
If Sensex breaks below 84,730 , a short-term retracement toward 84,400 – 84,231 may follow.
Avoid trading inside the tight range of 84,730 – 84,950 initially; let market direction develop first.
Volume-backed breakouts with clean candle structure are more reliable than early volatile spikes.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings often trap impatient traders who enter without confirmation. Wait for structure formation — the first few 15-min candles act as the “tone-setter” for the entire session. Trade only when price shows commitment beyond key zones.
🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens near 84,600 – 84,500 , it will directly test the Opening Support (84,231) . This area could either trigger a bounce or lead to deeper correction depending on reaction strength.
If Sensex shows buying momentum or reversal candles (hammer, bullish engulfing) near 84,231 , expect a rebound toward 84,600 – 84,730 .
If the index fails to hold 84,231 , expect a slide toward 83,950 – 83,800 .
Avoid panic shorting immediately after open; let the price test and confirm breakdown before entering trades.
If volume tapers off near the low while price holds stable, it may indicate seller exhaustion — a possible setup for intraday recovery.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs near strong supports often create “false panic.” Smart traders focus on price reaction, not emotion. When supports hold firm on declining volume, it’s often a sign of strength disguised as weakness.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Avoid trading during the first 15 minutes — wait for confirmation after volatility settles.
Do not risk more than 1–2% of total capital per trade .
For directional trades, prefer ATM or slightly ITM options — they respond faster and reduce time decay.
Avoid deep OTM options unless market momentum is clearly one-sided.
Always set stop-loss — no strategy survives without it.
Trail profits as soon as your trade moves 30–40 points in your favor.
If volatility spikes sharply (due to global cues or events), consider staying flat or scalping small moves.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Capital preservation > Aggressive positioning. Your goal is to trade multiple sessions safely — not to win every trade but to avoid large losses.
📈 SUMMARY:
🟩 Supports: 84,730 / 84,231 / 83,800
🟥 Resistances: 85,081 / 85,437
⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 84,730 | Bearish below 84,231
🎯 Levels to Watch:
- Above 85,081 → Targets: 85,300 / 85,437
- Below 84,231 → Targets: 84,000 / 83,800
📚 CONCLUSION:
Sensex stands at a crucial resistance zone with clear short-term momentum but possible intraday volatility. Sustaining above 85,081 can push the index toward 85,437 , while failure to hold 84,730 may trigger intraday corrections toward 84,231 .
For 18th November, the focus should be on structure, not emotion — trade the confirmed breakout or breakdown rather than guessing the direction. Stay flexible and adaptive to market reactions.
📊 Trading isn’t about predicting — it’s about preparing and responding intelligently to what unfolds.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The analysis shared here is purely for educational and informational purposes . Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
SENSEX : Trading levels and plan for 17-Nov-2025📊 SENSEX TRADING PLAN — 17 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Sensex closed around 84,654 , showing a recovery from the recent lows but still within a mixed-to-cautious phase. The price currently hovers near 84,730 (Opening Resistance / Support Zone) , suggesting a tight equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
Immediate resistance is placed at 85,081 (Gap-Up Opening Resistance) , followed by 85,437 (Last Intraday Resistance) . On the downside, supports lie near 84,231 (Opening Support) and 83,800 (Last Intraday Support) .
The overall bias remains neutral to bullish as long as the index holds above 84,231 . A breakout above 84,730 could push the index toward higher zones, whereas a failure to hold 84,231 may invite a deeper retracement.
Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Support Levels: 84,231 / 83,800
🟥 Resistance Levels: 84,730 / 85,081 / 85,437
⚖️ Bias Zone: Between 84,231 – 84,730 (Consolidation area, watch for breakout confirmation)
---
🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens around or above 85,000 – 85,100 , it will directly enter the Gap-Up Resistance Zone (85,081) . This could attract early profit-booking as the price approaches the upper resistance levels.
If Sensex sustains above 85,081 for 15–20 minutes with strong bullish candles, targets open toward 85,300 – 85,437 .
If price rejects 85,081 with visible upper wicks or doji candles, a pullback toward 84,730 – 84,600 could occur.
Avoid immediate long entries on the gap-up — wait for price to retest 85,000 – 85,050 for confirmation of support.
A strong sustained move above 85,100 may indicate fresh buying momentum for the day.
💡 Educational Note:
When a market gaps up near resistance, emotions drive early buying. But true confirmation comes only when the breakout is sustained with rising volume. Patience after the open often reveals whether bulls truly have control.
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🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Around 84,600 – 84,700 Zone)
A flat opening near 84,730 would place Sensex right inside the equilibrium zone. Such opens usually result in initial range-bound movement before breakout direction appears.
Avoid trading within 84,600 – 84,730 in the first 15–20 minutes; allow market structure to form.
If price sustains above 84,730 , upside targets open toward 85,081 – 85,437 .
If the price breaks below 84,600 , weakness may pull it toward 84,231 .
Look for volume-backed breakouts — confirmation candles (close outside the range) are critical before entries.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings test patience. Avoid predicting direction inside consolidation zones — instead, let price action show its hand. Real traders act on confirmation, not anticipation.
---
🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens near 84,200 – 84,300 , it will test the Opening Support (84,231) . A further slip below this could extend weakness toward 83,800 (Last Intraday Support) .
If price stabilizes and forms bullish candles (hammer or engulfing) near 84,200 – 84,250 , a pullback toward 84,600 – 84,730 can be expected.
If breakdown below 84,231 occurs with volume, next support to watch is 83,800 .
Avoid panic shorting after a gap-down; instead, wait for a retest near 84,400 – 84,450 for safe entries with better risk-reward.
Declining volume on red candles near supports often signals seller exhaustion — use this as an early reversal clue.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs often trigger emotional selling, but seasoned traders focus on price structure. Watch how the market reacts near key supports — rebounds from strong zones often give high-probability intraday setups.
---
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Do not trade immediately after market open — the first 15 minutes are for observation, not execution.
Keep trade risk limited to 1–2% of total trading capital .
Use ATM or slightly ITM options for directional trades — they provide better delta and lower time decay impact.
Avoid trading deep OTM options unless momentum is clear — these lose value quickly.
Always place a stop-loss ; never hold losing positions hoping for reversal.
Trail your stop once the trade moves 30–40 points in your favor — protect your profits.
If the day turns range-bound or choppy, step aside. The best traders are also the best at not trading.
⚠️ Golden Reminder:
Capital preservation is your first job. Surviving to trade tomorrow is more important than winning every trade today.
---
📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 Neutral Zone: 84,600 – 84,730
🟥 Resistance Zones: 85,081 / 85,437
🟩 Support Zones: 84,231 / 83,800
⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 84,730 | Bearish below 84,231
---
📚 CONCLUSION:
Sensex sits at a crucial juncture, consolidating between 84,231 – 84,730 . A breakout above 84,730 could fuel a rally toward 85,437 , while a breakdown below 84,231 may drag the index to 83,800 .
For 17 Nov, focus on confirmation over anticipation. Let volume and price action lead your decisions. The key is to remain objective — not bullish or bearish, but responsive.
📊 Remember: You don’t need to trade every move; you need to trade the right one with discipline.
---
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The analysis shared here is purely for educational and informational purposes . Please conduct your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
SENSEX : Trading levels and Plan for 13-Nov-2025📊 SENSEX TRADING PLAN — 13 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Sensex closed near 84,432 , forming a small consolidation candle just below the Opening Resistance (84,724) . The index remains within a defined No-Trade Zone (84,308 – 84,523) , indicating indecision before the next directional move. The short-term trend remains constructive, but bulls need a sustained breakout above 84,724 to regain momentum, while bears will attempt to push the index below 84,308 for downside continuation.
Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Support Levels: 84,308 / 83,966
🟥 Resistance Levels: 84,724 / 84,874 / 85,266
⚖️ Bias Zone: 84,308 – 84,523 (No-Trade Zone)
🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens above 84,700 – 84,800 , it will start near or above the Opening Resistance . Bulls must hold this level to confirm a continuation of upward momentum.
If price sustains above 84,874 with strong bullish candles and volume expansion, upside targets open toward 85,100 – 85,266 .
However, if Sensex opens higher but fails to sustain above 84,724 – 84,874 , it may lead to profit booking and a pullback toward 84,523 – 84,308 .
Traders should wait for confirmation — avoid chasing a gap-up. Look for a breakout retest around 84,724 for safer entries.
If rejection candles appear near 85,100 – 85,266 , consider partial profit booking or trailing stops.
💡 Educational Note:
Gap-ups around resistance zones often attract excitement from retail traders but smart money waits for confirmation. Always look for candle structure and volume support. Strong breakouts hold above key levels, while fakeouts quickly revert into range-bound movement.
🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Within 84,308 – 84,523 Zone)
A flat opening within this zone indicates indecision. The market could spend some time consolidating before deciding on direction.
Avoid trading within the No-Trade Zone (84,308 – 84,523) as volatility and fake moves are common here.
If the index breaks and sustains above 84,523 , expect bullish momentum toward 84,724 – 84,874 .
If price breaks below 84,308 , weakness could extend toward 83,966 .
Always wait for volume confirmation — sideways breakouts without participation are unreliable.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings test a trader’s discipline. The first 30 minutes usually decide the session’s direction. Instead of predicting, react to what the market shows. Staying patient during early whipsaws helps capture clean trends later in the session.
🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens below 84,150 – 84,000 , bearish sentiment will dominate early trade. Watch the Last Intraday Support (83,966) closely — this zone is vital for bulls to defend.
If reversal patterns like hammer or bullish engulfing appear near 83,966 , short-covering rallies toward 84,308 – 84,523 are likely.
If price fails to hold above 83,966 , weakness may extend toward 83,700 – 83,500 .
Avoid shorting immediately at the open during a deep gap-down; wait for a pullback toward resistance for better entries.
Volume near supports will reveal strength — falling volume suggests exhaustion and potential reversal setups.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs often bring panic-driven reactions. Smart traders wait for price to stabilize before acting. Watch the candle structure — strong rejection wicks at support zones often signal short-term reversals and high-probability entries.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Avoid trading in the first 15–20 minutes after open — IV (Implied Volatility) spikes during this time and can distort option prices.
Risk a maximum of 1–2% of total capital on any single trade.
Prefer ITM or ATM options for directional confidence; avoid far OTM options in range-bound conditions.
Trail stop-loss after every 30–40 points in your favor to lock profits.
Avoid holding naked positions near resistance or support zones before confirmation.
Always maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 — quality over quantity wins in the long run.
📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 No-Trade Zone: 84,308 – 84,523
🟥 Resistance Zones: 84,724 / 84,874 / 85,266
🟩 Support Zones: 84,308 / 83,966
⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 84,523 | Weakness below 84,308
📚 CONCLUSION:
Sensex is trading near a decisive zone — the 84,308 – 84,523 range will dictate tomorrow’s trend. A breakout above 84,523 can trigger a move toward 84,874 – 85,266 , while a drop below 84,308 may invite selling pressure toward 83,966 .
Patience and confirmation are key — avoid trading inside the no-trade zone and wait for directional clarity. React to price, not emotion.
📊 In trading, patience and preparation are your strongest edges — execution follows clarity, not anticipation.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The analysis shared above is purely for educational purposes . Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
SENSEX : Trading levels and Plan for 12-Nov-2025📊 SENSEX TRADING PLAN — 12 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Sensex is currently trading near 83,900 , just above its Opening Support / Resistance Zone (83,800 – 83,975) . The index recently recovered sharply from the lower levels but is now entering a potential inflection zone. The near-term trend remains cautiously bullish, with 84,231 acting as a key resistance and 83,343 as critical support.
The structure shows that price may continue to climb as long as it sustains above the 83,800 zone, but any rejection near 84,231 – 84,728 could trigger intraday corrections.
Key Levels to Watch:
🟩 Supports: 83,800 / 83,343
🟥 Resistances: 84,231 / 84,728
⚖️ Bias Zone: Between 83,800 – 83,975 (Opening Support / Resistance)
🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens near or above 84,150 – 84,250 , it will directly test the Last Intraday Resistance Zone . Bulls will need strong follow-through buying to hold this gap-up, otherwise a quick pullback is likely.
If the price sustains above 84,231 for 15–30 minutes with strong candle closings and volume, the upmove could extend toward 84,500 – 84,728 .
However, if Sensex opens high but fails to hold above 84,231 , it could retrace back toward 83,975 – 83,800 .
Traders should avoid jumping in immediately after a large gap-up — instead, wait for a retest of 84,150 – 84,200 as support before entering long.
If price rejects near 84,728 , consider booking profits or looking for short-term reversals.
💡 Educational Note:
Gap-up openings often create excitement, but impulsive entries can be dangerous. Always wait for confirmation — sustained price action with strong volume shows institutional activity. Without confirmation, most gap-ups end in fade-outs as early buyers take profits.
🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Within 83,800 – 83,975 Zone)
A flat opening near this zone indicates consolidation. Early volatility may occur as both bulls and bears try to establish control. Patience and discipline are key here.
Avoid entering trades within the 83,800 – 83,975 range; this is the “neutral zone” where the direction is unclear.
If price breaks and sustains above 83,975 , it can rise toward 84,231 , and if momentum continues, 84,500+ levels.
If price slips below 83,800 , expect weakness toward 83,600 – 83,343 .
Wait for the first clear breakout candle backed by volume before entering to avoid getting trapped in early fakeouts.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings are like calm seas before a storm — the breakout direction defines the day’s opportunity. Many traders lose money by predicting moves within consolidation zones. The pros wait for confirmation, letting the market reveal its intent first.
🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens near 83,600 – 83,400 , the market will test the Last Intraday Support Zone (83,343) . This area is critical for bulls to defend.
If reversal patterns (hammer, bullish engulfing, or morning star) appear near 83,343 , short-covering can lift price back toward 83,800 – 83,975 .
However, if price fails to hold above 83,343 and breaks below with volume, weakness may extend toward 83,000 – 82,850 .
Avoid shorting right at the open during a gap-down — wait for a pullback toward 83,600 – 83,700 for better risk-reward entries.
Watch volume at support — declining volume during a fall signals seller exhaustion and potential reversal setups.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs often create panic. Professional traders stay calm and observe how the market behaves near major supports. If sellers fail to follow through and buyers step in, it often marks the beginning of a reversal day. Let the chart tell the story before acting.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Avoid trading during the first 15–20 minutes after market open — high IV (Implied Volatility) inflates option premiums and often decays fast once volatility cools.
Define your stop-loss before taking any trade — never risk more than 1–2% of total capital on a single setup.
Prefer ITM options for directional trades — they are less affected by time decay and provide cleaner movement.
Trail your stop-loss after a 30–40 point favorable move to lock in profits.
Avoid holding OTM options overnight unless you have a confirmed directional bias with volume support.
Always book partial profits when targets approach key resistance or support zones.
📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 Key Zone: 83,800 – 83,975
🟥 Resistance Levels: 84,231 / 84,728
🟩 Support Levels: 83,800 / 83,343
⚖️ Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish above 83,975 | Weakness below 83,800
📚 CONCLUSION:
Sensex is trading close to its breakout zone, and the 83,800 – 83,975 range will define tomorrow’s trend. A breakout above 83,975 can fuel a move toward 84,231 – 84,728 , while a breakdown below 83,800 may drag the index back toward 83,343 .
Patience and confirmation are the keys to trading this structure effectively. Avoid impulsive entries — let the market show its direction, then follow with discipline.
📊 Remember: The market rewards patience, not prediction. Consistent discipline beats occasional luck.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The views and analysis provided above are strictly for educational purposes . Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
SENSEX : Trading levels and Plan for 11-Nov-2025📊 SENSEX TRADING PLAN — 11 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Sensex is currently trading near 83,515 , positioned between its key Opening Resistance (83,966) and Opening Support (83,343) . The market has been in a consolidation phase after recent pullbacks, and now sits at a crucial juncture where momentum could emerge in either direction.
A decisive breakout beyond these zones will likely define the intraday trend. Sustaining above 83,966 may extend the recovery toward 84,169 – 84,724 , while losing 83,343 could bring further weakness toward 82,963 .
Key Levels to Watch:
🟢 Support Zones: 83,343 / 82,963
🟥 Resistance Zones: 83,966 / 84,169 / 84,724
⚖️ Bias Zone: 83,343 – 83,966
🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens near or above 83,850 – 83,950 , it will directly approach the Opening Resistance . Bulls must sustain this gap for upward momentum to continue.
If price sustains above 83,966 with strong bullish candles and expanding volume, expect continuation toward 84,169 and then 84,724 .
However, if the index opens higher but forms rejection candles or fails to sustain above 83,966 , it may retrace toward 83,515 – 83,343 .
Ideal strategy: Wait for a breakout retest above 83,966 before taking new long entries. This minimizes risk and confirms real momentum.
Partial profit booking near 84,169 is advisable — this level has previously acted as a reversal point.
💡 Educational Note:
Gap-ups often attract emotional buying at open. True continuation comes only when price holds above resistance with volume support. The first 15–20 minutes are crucial to filter out traps — professionals wait for confirmation before entering, while retail traders often get caught in fake breakouts.
🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Between 83,343 – 83,966)
A flat opening within this range suggests indecision. Early volatility is expected as both bulls and bears test control. Traders should avoid jumping in until the market establishes a clear direction.
Avoid trading within the 83,343 – 83,966 band initially; it’s a “No Trade Zone” until breakout confirmation occurs.
If price breaks and sustains above 83,966 , expect an upside move toward 84,169 – 84,724 .
If price slips below 83,343 , weakness may extend toward 82,963 .
Volume confirmation and candle close beyond these levels are key to filtering false breakouts.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings are designed to test patience. Avoid predicting direction — react instead. When price consolidates, it builds energy for the next big move. Traders who wait for breakout confirmation often capture the most reliable part of the trend with less stress.
🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens below 83,200 or closer to 83,000 , bearish sentiment will dominate early trade. Watch how the index behaves near Opening Support (83,343) and Last Intraday Support (82,963) .
If a bullish reversal candle (hammer, bullish engulfing) forms near 82,963 – 83,000 , a short-covering move toward 83,343 – 83,515 may unfold.
If the index fails to hold above 82,963 , further downside toward 82,700 – 82,500 is possible.
Avoid shorting deep gap-downs immediately — wait for a pullback toward resistance for better entries.
Monitor volume behavior — declining volume on down candles often signals exhaustion and potential reversals.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs tend to trigger fear and panic selling among retail traders. However, professional traders observe reactions near key supports — if selling pressure fails to continue, reversals often follow. Always differentiate between panic-driven moves and genuine continuation trends.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Avoid buying options in the first 15 minutes of trade — high Implied Volatility (IV) can make premiums expensive and erode quickly once volatility settles.
Always define your stop-loss before entering; risk a maximum of 1–2% of your total capital per trade.
Prefer ITM options for directional bias to minimize time decay. Avoid far OTM options on range-bound days.
Trail stop-loss once you get 100+ points in your favor on the index to protect profits.
Stay objective — missing a trade is far better than forcing one and losing capital.
Review trades after the session to refine discipline and execution.
📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 Range to Watch: 83,343 – 83,966
🟥 Resistance Levels: 84,169 / 84,724
🟩 Support Levels: 83,343 / 82,963
⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 83,966 | Weakness below 83,343
📚 CONCLUSION:
Sensex is trading at a decision point where a breakout above 83,966 can reignite bullish momentum, while a breakdown below 83,343 may invite fresh weakness. Patience during the initial volatility will be crucial to avoid false triggers.
A disciplined trader will wait for confirmation rather than prediction — the market rewards clarity, not haste.
📊 The key to consistent profitability is not catching every move, but catching the right one with controlled risk.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The above analysis is for educational and informational purposes only . Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
SENSEX : Trading levels and Plan for 10-Nov-2025📊 SENSEX TRADING PLAN — 10 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Sensex is currently trading around 83,254 , sitting right below its key No-Trade Zone (83,223 – 83,596) . This region indicates market indecision and is often characterized by choppy movement and false breakouts. A clean directional move is expected only after a breakout from this band.
The broader structure suggests that bulls need to reclaim levels above 83,600 to regain momentum, while bears will attempt to push prices below 83,200 to reassert control. A volatile session can be expected due to global cues and the pre-weekend sentiment.
Key Zones to Watch:
🟢 Supports: 83,223 / 82,816 / 82,141
🟥 Resistances: 83,596 / 84,178
⚠️ No-Trade Zone: 83,223 – 83,596
🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens near or above 83,750 – 83,900 , it will be opening directly into the Opening Resistance Zone . Bulls must sustain the higher levels to build continuation momentum.
If price sustains above 83,596 with strong green candles and volume confirmation, upside targets open toward 84,000 – 84,178 .
However, if the price fails to hold above 83,750 and shows rejection candles near resistance, a retracement toward 83,450 – 83,300 is likely.
Avoid chasing the first breakout — wait for a retest of 83,596 to confirm support before taking fresh long entries.
Traders looking for quick moves can book partial profits near 84,178 as it coincides with the previous day’s high and potential profit-taking zone.
💡 Educational Note:
Gap-up openings tend to create emotional excitement — traders often buy without confirmation. True bullish strength is only validated when price sustains above resistance with volume. Patience for confirmation separates professional traders from impulsive ones.
🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Within 83,223 – 83,596)
A flat opening within this No-Trade Zone indicates indecision. Price may whipsaw both sides before selecting a direction, making this zone dangerous for early entries.
Avoid trading within 83,223 – 83,596 until a clear breakout occurs on either side.
If price breaks above 83,596 decisively with volume, expect momentum toward 84,000 – 84,178 .
If price slips below 83,223 , a downward move toward 82,816 and possibly 82,141 may follow.
Breakout traders should wait for at least one retest and confirmation candle before entering.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings often test patience and discipline. The first breakout from such a tight zone can be a fake-out, followed by a reversal. Always wait for confirmation and volume alignment before committing to a position. Remember: anticipation is risk, confirmation is confidence .
🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens below 82,900 – 82,800 , it will trigger caution as the market enters a weak zone closer to Last Intraday Support (82,816) .
If a reversal pattern (hammer, bullish engulfing, or double bottom) appears near 82,816 – 82,141 , short-covering could lift prices back toward 83,200 – 83,400 .
However, if price fails to hold above 82,816 after the initial pullback, expect continued weakness toward 82,400 – 82,141 .
Avoid shorting immediately at the open — let the market stabilize and confirm the direction before taking positions.
A gap-down near major support zones can often lead to short squeezes if bears fail to sustain momentum.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs are fueled by emotion and overnight panic. The best traders wait for base formation and reversal signals before entering. Watch for declining volume during selloffs — it’s a classic indicator that selling pressure is losing steam.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Avoid trading options in the first 15–20 minutes — inflated IV (Implied Volatility) can lead to fast premium decay once volatility cools.
Define your stop-loss before entering; risk no more than 1–2% of total capital per trade .
Use ITM options for directional bias and avoid far OTM strikes unless expecting sharp breakouts.
Trail your stop-loss after every 150–200 point favorable move in the index.
Always exit positions before major news events or data releases to avoid unpredictable IV spikes.
Most importantly — never let a profitable trade turn into a losing one. Book partial profits regularly.
📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 No-Trade Zone: 83,223 – 83,596
🟥 Resistance Levels: 83,596 / 84,178
🟩 Support Levels: 83,223 / 82,816 / 82,141
⚖️ Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish above 83,596 | Weakness below 83,223
📚 CONCLUSION:
Sensex stands at a pivotal range between 83,223 – 83,596 . This zone acts as a decision point where the next directional trend will emerge. Sustaining above 83,596 can trigger a bullish breakout toward 84,000+ , while slipping below 83,223 can shift control back to bears with potential declines toward 82,816 – 82,141 .
Tomorrow’s strategy should prioritize patience over prediction. Let price confirm its direction and avoid overtrading within the choppy range.
📊 In trading, patience pays more than prediction — clarity always beats speed.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The views and levels shared above are for educational purposes only . Please do your own analysis or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Real Knowledge of MarketCore Foundational Knowledge
Derivatives Basics: Options are derivative contracts, meaning their value is derived from an underlying asset (stocks, indices, commodities, etc.).
Key Terminology: A trader must be fluent in terms like call options (right to buy), put options (right to sell), strike price, premium, expiration date, intrinsic value, and time value.
Rights vs. Obligations: Understanding that option buyers have the right, but not the obligation, to exercise, while option sellers (writers) have the obligation if exercised, is fundamental to risk assessment.
Leverage: Options offer significant leverage, meaning a small amount of capital can control a large position in the underlying asset, which amplifies both potential profits and losses.
Real value of Market # Entry #Exit #Trail # StoplossThe phrase "Market # Entry #Exit #Trail # Stoploss" refers to the core parameters of a structured trading plan. The "real value" does not imply a single numerical figure, but rather the monetary gain or loss realized from a trade based on how these elements are defined and executed, combined with the discipline to follow them consistently.
Market: The specific financial instrument or market being traded (e.g., a particular stock, currency pair, or commodity).
Entry: The predefined price level or condition at which a trader opens a position. A good entry can offer a favorable risk-to-reward ratio from the start.
Exit: The predefined strategy or points at which a trader closes a position, either to take a profit or to limit a loss. Exits are crucial as they determine the final profit or loss.
Trail: Refers to a trailing stop-loss order, a dynamic risk management tool that automatically adjusts the stop-loss level as the market price moves in the trader's favor. This locks in profits while allowing the trade to continue if the price keeps moving favorably.
Stoploss (SL): A pre-determined price level or percentage below (for a long position) or above (for a short position) the entry price where the position is automatically closed to prevent further losses if the market moves against the trader.
Sensex Expiry Day Intraday Setup (16/10/2025) | 15-min TFHey traders! 👋 With today being the monthly expiry, we're set for some volatile moves. Here’s a clean price-action plan for the session based on the 15-minute chart.
The Big Picture:
All eyes are on the 82,400 level! This isn't just any level; it's the absolute battle zone for today. The price reaction here will give us our directional bias. 🎯
The Two Trading Scenarios:
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO: The Defensive Bounce
What to Watch For: Price dips to 82,400 and forms a clear Bullish Hammer 🛎 candle, showing rejection and buyer strength.
The Trigger: Wait for a GREEN candle to close above the high of that hammer.
The Trade:
Action: Go LONG.
Initial Target: 82,700
Upside Bonus: If we also get a breakout and close above the white descending trendline, the next target is 83,078! 🚀
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO: The Breakdown
What to Watch For: Price slices through 82,400 with a strong Thick Red Marubozu 📉 candle (big red body, tiny wicks). This shows powerful selling pressure.
The Trigger: Wait for the next candle to confirm the break by trading below the Marubozu's low.
The Trade:
Action: Go SHORT.
Target: 81,780
Final Word & Risk Management 🛡️
Patience is Key: Do not jump the gun! Wait for the clear confirmation candle after the initial signal.
Protect Your Capital: Always use a stop loss. For longs, place it below the swing low; for shorts, above the swing high.
This is Intraday: Manage your trade actively and don't carry this setup overnight.
Trade the plan, and let the price do the talking! 👍
Disclaimer: This is purely educational and based on price action. You are responsible for your own trades.
#SENSEX | Cup & Handle Breakout Loading?CMP: 82,600
A classic Cup & Handle pattern is forming on the weekly chart of SENSEX , signaling a potential continuation of the long-term uptrend. A breakout above the neckline could trigger a fresh rally.
Pattern: Cup & Handle (Bullish Continuation)
Breakout Confirmation: Weekly close above handle neckline
Pattern Target: +15% upside → ~96,500
Invalidation: Weekly close below 79,741
📌 Key Zones:
Resistances: 84,059 – 84,100 / 85,978 (All-Time High)
Supports: 82,133 / 81,307 / 80,426
⚠️ Watch for a strong weekly close above the neckline to confirm breakout.
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#SENSEX | #BSE | #CupAndHandle | #ChartPattern | #PriceAction
BAJFINANCE 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading near ₹1,003
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
~ ₹1,020 – ₹1,030 (immediate resistance)
~ ₹1,050 – ₹1,070 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
~ ₹980 – ₹970 (first support)
~ ₹950 – ₹940 (secondary support)
~ ₹920 – ₹900 (deeper support if selling pressure builds)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Sustaining above ₹1,000 may drive price toward ₹1,020 – ₹1,070.
Bearish Scenario: A break below ₹980 can drag it toward ₹950 or even ₹920.
Neutral / Range: Likely sideways between ₹980 – ₹1,030 until a breakout.
HDFCBANK 1D Time frameCurrent Price Action
HDFCBANK is trading around ₹962–968.
Day’s low is near ₹960 and high is around ₹978.
The stock is consolidating in a tight range.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹968 – ₹970
Next Resistance: ₹975 – ₹980
Immediate Support: ₹960
Strong Support: ₹950 – ₹955
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages: Price is below the 50-day MA (short-term weakness) but above the 200-day MA (long-term trend still intact).
RSI (14-day): Around 40–45 → neutral to slightly weak momentum.
MACD: Negative bias, showing limited upside strength.
📈 Outlook
If HDFCBANK stays above ₹960, a bounce toward ₹970 – ₹975 is possible.
A breakout above ₹975 – ₹980 could turn the trend stronger.
If the stock slips below ₹955 – ₹950, it may head lower toward ₹940 – ₹935.
Current bias: Neutral to slightly bearish until price breaks above resistance.
SENSEX 1D Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹81,475
Day’s Range: ₹81,235 – ₹81,644
52-Week Range: ₹71,425 – ₹85,978
Previous Close: ₹81,101
Opening Price: ₹81,504
Market Cap: Approx. ₹15.47 lakh crore
Volume: Moderate
🔑 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: ₹81,235
Next Support: ₹81,000
Immediate Resistance: ₹81,644
Next Resistance: ₹82,000
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
RSI (14): 60 – Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term MAs indicate neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹81,644 with strong volume could target ₹82,000.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹81,235 may lead to further decline toward ₹81,000.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹81,235 – ₹81,644; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Market Sentiment: Overall market trend and investor behavior.
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
HDFCBANK 1D Time frameCurrent Snapshot
Last Traded Price: ₹965.90
Day’s Range: ₹960.30 – ₹965.65
52-Week Range: ₹806.50 – ₹1,018.85
Market Cap: ₹14.82 lakh crore
Volume: 2.46 million shares
VWAP: ₹962.88
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bearish; trading below 50-day and 200-day EMAs.
RSI (14): 48.73 – Neutral; no overbought or oversold signals.
MACD: Positive at +1.19 – Suggests short-term bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term MAs indicate a neutral to bearish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹965.65 with strong volume could target ₹975–₹980.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹960.30 may lead to further decline toward ₹953–₹955.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹960–₹965; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Market Sentiment: Broader market movements can influence HDFC Bank's performance.
Economic Indicators: Changes in interest rates or inflation can impact banking stocks.
Company News: Any announcements regarding HDFC Bank's financials or strategic initiatives.
SEBI Expedites IPO Approvals: A Deep Dive into India’s Capital SEBI Expedites IPO Approvals: A Deep Dive into India’s Capital Market Shift
1. Introduction
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has recently undertaken a significant step—fast-tracking Initial Public Offering (IPO) approvals. Traditionally, IPO approval in India has been a lengthy process, often stretching to six months. But SEBI’s new measures aim to cut this time nearly in half, potentially bringing it down to three months or less.
This shift comes at a time when India’s equity markets are booming, with record levels of fundraising expected in 2025. After raising around $20.5 billion through IPOs in 2024, analysts predict that 2025 could surpass this figure. According to reports, $8.2 billion has already been raised so far in 2025, with an additional $13 billion in IPOs already approved and nearly ₹18.7 billion pending approval.
2. Why SEBI is Expediting IPO Approvals
Several factors are driving SEBI to accelerate the IPO pipeline:
Surging Investor Appetite
Indian retail participation in stock markets has seen an explosion in recent years.
Over 11 crore Demat accounts are active as of 2025, compared to just 3.6 crore in 2019.
More retail investors mean more demand for IPOs, making faster approvals essential.
Global Capital Flows
India is seen as one of the fastest-growing large economies.
With global investors diversifying away from China, India is attracting billions in Foreign Portfolio Investments (FPIs).
A streamlined IPO process will help India capture this liquidity flow before it moves elsewhere.
Boosting Startup Ecosystem
Unicorns like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company, and WeWork India are preparing for listings.
Startups require quicker capital-raising routes to compete globally.
Regulatory Efficiency and AI Adoption
SEBI is now deploying AI-powered document screening tools to check IPO filings.
This reduces human delays and allows faster compliance checks.
Collaboration with merchant bankers and exchanges has also been strengthened.
Record Fundraising Target
SEBI expects India to break the $20B mark again in 2025, possibly setting an all-time record.
Expedited approvals are central to making this happen.
3. How the New Approval System Works
Traditionally, IPO approvals involved multiple manual steps:
Filing of Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP).
SEBI reviews disclosures, company financials, risk factors, and governance.
Queries are raised with the company, leading to back-and-forth communication.
Final approval takes 4–6 months.
Now under the fast-track mechanism:
AI Pre-Screening: Automated checks scan filings for missing data, compliance issues, and inconsistencies.
Concurrent Review: Instead of sequential reviews, SEBI, merchant bankers, and exchanges review documents simultaneously.
Time-Bound Queries: Companies are given strict deadlines to respond to SEBI’s queries.
Standardization: Risk disclosure formats and governance checks are now standardized across sectors.
This is expected to cut approval timelines by 40–50%.
4. IPO Pipeline for 2025
Some big-ticket IPOs in the pipeline include:
PhysicsWallah (₹3,820 crore) – Edtech unicorn expanding into AI-driven education.
Urban Company – Already raised ₹854 crore from anchor investors; IPO opening soon.
LG Electronics India – Large consumer electronics brand targeting India’s growing tech-savvy population.
WeWork India – Despite global challenges, the Indian arm remains profitable and expansion-focused.
Credila Financial Services – Education loan subsidiary of HDFC, a high-demand financial segment.
The SME IPO market is equally hot with listings like Goel Construction debuting at a 15% premium and Prozeal Green Energy getting SEBI approval.
5. Benefits of Faster IPO Approvals
For Companies
Quicker access to capital for expansion.
Ability to capitalize on favorable market sentiment without delays.
Reduced costs of prolonged regulatory processes.
For Investors
More frequent and diverse IPO opportunities.
Increased transparency due to standardized disclosures.
Higher liquidity as more firms enter the public market.
For Indian Markets
Strengthened image of India as an investment hub.
Alignment with global best practices (US SEC and Hong Kong’s IPO process are faster).
Improved global competitiveness for Indian startups.
6. Risks and Challenges
Speed vs. Quality
Faster approvals must not compromise on due diligence.
Weak companies slipping through could hurt investor trust.
Market Saturation
Too many IPOs in a short span could lead to oversupply, reducing listing gains.
Retail Investor Overexposure
Retail investors may flock to IPOs without understanding fundamentals, increasing risk of losses.
Global Volatility
Geopolitical tensions, US interest rate decisions, or oil price shocks can derail IPO plans.
7. Global Context
Globally, IPO markets have been mixed:
US Markets: Tech IPOs are recovering but still face valuation pressure.
China: Tighter regulations have slowed down IPO fundraising.
Middle East: Saudi Arabia and UAE continue to see large IPOs in energy and infrastructure.
In this scenario, India is positioning itself as a global IPO leader, especially in the tech and services sector.
8. Investor Strategy for 2025 IPOs
For investors, the IPO rush creates both opportunities and challenges. Some strategies include:
Focus on Fundamentals
Look for companies with strong financials, governance, and growth potential.
Avoid IPOs driven purely by hype.
Anchor Investor Signals
Strong anchor participation (like Urban Company’s ₹854 Cr funding) signals institutional confidence.
Sector Plays
Edtech, Renewable Energy, Fintech, and Consumer Services are hot sectors.
Traditional sectors like construction and manufacturing are also showing resilience.
Listing Gains vs. Long-Term Holding
Some IPOs (like Goel Construction SME) deliver quick listing pops.
Larger IPOs (like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company) may be better for long-term growth.
9. Case Study: Urban Company IPO
Urban Company is a prime example of SEBI’s faster approval ecosystem.
Filed DRHP earlier in 2025.
Received SEBI approval within 12 weeks.
Raised ₹854 crore from anchors before IPO launch.
Price band set at the higher end, reflecting strong demand.
Market analysts project strong long-term growth given India’s rising demand for home services.
This showcases how SEBI’s new process benefits both issuers and investors.
10. Conclusion
SEBI’s decision to expedite IPO approvals is a game-changer for India’s financial markets. By cutting approval times, using AI-driven compliance, and standardizing processes, SEBI is creating a faster, more transparent, and investor-friendly IPO environment.
With major companies like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company, Neilsoft, and Prozeal entering the market, and regulatory support from SEBI, 2025 is poised to be a record-breaking year for IPO fundraising in India.
However, investors must balance enthusiasm with caution—choosing fundamentally strong IPOs, monitoring global market conditions, and avoiding blind bets driven by hype.
In essence, SEBI’s move reflects India’s ambition to emerge as a global capital-raising hub, connecting domestic growth stories with global capital at unprecedented speed and scale.
NIFTY50 index levelsKey Levels & Swing Trade Outlook (1-Hour Timeframe)
Resistance & Support (Broader Technical View)
Key Resistance Zones:
24,900–25,000 range (daily level)—a critical breakout area
Slightly higher potential if breakout occurs, toward 25,200+
Immediate Support Zones:
24,750–24,800 level
Broader range support at 24,620–24,700
More defensive base near 24,400 (longer-term)
Intraday Pivot Levels (Based on latest derived pivots)
From Moneycontrol, for the current trading session:
Classic Pivot R1: 24,855 | R2: 24,937 | R3: 24,989
Classic Pivot S1: 24,721 | S2: 24,669 | S3: 24,587
1-Hour Swing Trading Perspective
Although explicit 1-hour pivot data is not readily available, we can infer swing strategies using the broader technical context and typical indicators:
1-Hour Swing Fundamentals:
Use short-term moving averages (e.g., 20/50 EMA) to gauge trend direction. The index is trading above these on shorter timeframes, suggesting intraday bullish bias
Common indicators: RSI, Bollinger Bands, MACD, etc.
Nifty50 AnalysisShort term Nifty 50 Technical Outlook is Bullish towards 25300 levels.
Nifty50 -- 1h Timeframe
nifty current close -- 25060
Short term Outlook -- Bullish towards 25300 Volume Imbalance zone.
Key Observation --
1. Liquidity sweep & FVG Mitigation
--on 21st june,Price has swept previous day's low liquidity.
--Also tapped the unmitigated 15 min FVg zone of 20th june which helped for strong upside reaction.
2. Bullish RSI Divergence
-- Clear bullish divergence seen both in price and RSI, which confirms trend change.
3. Volume Imbalance zone
-- Price is going towards unmitigated Volume Imbalance and Liquidity zone of 25300 25350 levels.
-- Clear buy-side Liquidity is resting near 25300 levels which may act as strong resistance levels.
Main Target ---25300-25325 (Buyside Liquidity zone.)
If price fails to support below 24920, then setup gets invalid.
Longer term Outlook ---- (After short term 25300 levels done)
-- Price to reject upside move above 25400 levels and give downside view.
-- Confirmation to be with Market structure shift and Imbalance.
-- lONG-term Is again 24400-24000 levels to be seen after 1st target 25300 liquidity is taken.
Your views or comments are most welcome.
Disclaimer -- This idea is published only for an Education purpose. I'm not SEBI Registered Research Analyst.
Do not consider it as any investment idea.
Consult your financial advisor before investments.
State Bank Of India ---- Deep Analysis________________________________________
Technical Research Report on SBI (NSE: SBIN)----------
Segment: Equity – Large Cap
Sector: Banking – PSU
Analyst: Hitesh Tailor
Date: July 29, 2025
Time Frames Analyzed: Daily Time Frame
________________________________________
1. Performance Summary--------------
State Bank of India (SBIN) is currently at a key technical levels. The stock recently showed a bearish divergence on the RSI while approaching an extreme orderblock near ₹840.60. A rejection from this level with divergence confirmation indicates potential downside towards the imbalance zone and deeper OB + FVG zones. Currently trading around ₹798.30, the bias is cautious bearish for swing traders.
________________________________________
2. Stock Profile--------------
Parameter Details
Company Name State Bank of India (SBI)
Ticker Symbol SBIN (NSE)
Sector PSU Banks
Market Cap ₹6.5+ Lakh Crores (approx.)
52 Week High/Low ₹899.65 / ₹666.30
CMP (as of July 29, 2025) ₹799.20
________________________________________
3. Chart Setup & Timeframe Analysis----------
A. Daily Timeframe
• Trend: Recent lower high and lower low structure (LL)
• Pattern: Bearish RSI divergence + rejection from Order Block (OB) zone
• Support Zone: ₹770 – ₹760 (Gap imbalance support zone)
• Resistance Zone: ₹840.60 – ₸899.65 (OB and extreme resistance)
• Price Action View: Price rejected from OB with clear bearish divergence and a breakdown below short-term structure. Weakness expected until FVG zone.
B. Weekly Timeframe
• Trend Continuity: Mixed. Long-term trend intact, but facing supply pressure near 52-week highs
• Price Relative to EMA: Trading near 200 EMA; watching for hold or breakdown
C. Intraday 1H Timeframe
• Outlook: Price showing LH-LL structure. Short-term liquidity grab may occur before downside continuation.
________________________________________
4. Technical Indicators-----------------
Indicator Observation
Moving Averages Price below 20 EMA but above 200 EMA – Neutral to Bearish
RSI (14) ~42 with bearish divergence (daily)
MACD -- Not analyzed
Volume -- Not Analyzed
Bollinger Bands -- Not Analyzed
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5. Key Technical Levels------------
Type Price (₹)
Immediate Support 770.00
Major Support 700.00 (OB + FVG)
Resistance 1 840.60
Resistance 2 899.65
CMP 798.30
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6. Trade Idea / Recommendation-------------
Swing Sell Setup (1–2 Weeks)
• Sell Zone: ₹800 – ₹820
• Target 1: ₹770.00
• Target 2: ₹700.00
• Stop Loss: ₹845.00
• Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5
Bias: Bearish below ₹820. Reversal confirmation only above ₹840.60.
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7. Risk Factors------------
• Positive PSU bank sector news or surprise earnings could invalidate downside
• Global risk-on events may cause aggressive short-covering
• RBI interventions or policy rate changes
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8. Conclusion------------
SBI appears technically weak after facing rejection from a strong supply zone marked by an extreme orderblock and bearish RSI divergence. Price is below short-term EMAs and breaking structure levels, pointing towards downside potential. Traders can consider short trades with a strict stop loss and monitor price behavior near imbalance and FVG zones.
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Disclaimer: This Technical Research Report is made for Educational Purpose Only. Do not consider it as any Investment idea. I'm not SEBI Registered Research Analyst. Consult your Registered Financial Advisor Before Investment.
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Your Views or Comments are Most Welcome.
Hit like if you find these insights helpful.
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Regards,
Hit_Analyst
Sensex Scalping Plan For Tomorrow (29/07) Just My ViewThis Trade is Valid Only If Gap-Down Open (80,600 or lower)
Logic: breakdown continuation, FII dump, aggressive call OI active contracts, Weak put writers.
5m Negative Candle + EMA rejection
Entry Around 80,850 – 80,950 Retest
Stop Loss Around Above 81050-81,100
Target 1 80,600 (Day Low)
Target 2 80,200
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any securities. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading and investing involve risk.
Gold, Silver & Commodity Trading (MCX)What is MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange)?
The Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX) is a government-regulated commodity derivatives exchange, launched in 2003. It is regulated by SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) and allows traders to buy and sell commodity futures contracts across various categories like:
Bullion: Gold, Silver
Energy: Crude oil, Natural gas
Base Metals: Copper, Zinc, Lead, Aluminum, Nickel
Agricultural commodities: Cotton, Cardamom, Mentha Oil
MCX operates similarly to stock exchanges like NSE or BSE but deals in commodity contracts rather than equities.
Factors That Influence Gold & Silver Prices
Understanding price drivers helps traders anticipate market movement:
🏦 1. Global Economic Conditions
Inflation
Recession fears
GDP data
🪙 2. Currency Movements
Gold is priced in USD globally. The USD-INR exchange rate significantly impacts domestic prices.
📉 3. Interest Rates
Rising interest rates make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive, pushing prices lower, and vice versa.
💥 4. Geopolitical Tensions
War, political instability, or crisis (Middle East conflict, Ukraine war, etc.) often boost gold/silver prices.
🛢️ 5. Crude Oil Prices
High oil prices can lead to inflation, making gold more attractive as a hedge.
💼 6. Central Bank Policies
Actions by RBI or Federal Reserve (US) in terms of gold reserves, rate hikes, or monetary policy changes affect sentiment.
BANKNIFTY 1D TimeframeClosing Price: ₹56,528.90
Opening Price: ₹57,113.90
Day High: ₹57,170.70
Day Low: ₹56,439.40
Net Change: –₹537.15 (–0.94%)
🔹 Key Price Levels
📉 Support Zones:
Support 1 (S1): ₹56,255
Support 2 (S2): ₹55,982
Support 3 (S3): ₹55,524
Fibonacci Support Zone: ₹56,260 – ₹56,430
Camarilla Support Levels: ₹56,460 / ₹56,395 / ₹56,328
📈 Resistance Zones:
Resistance 1 (R1): ₹56,987
Resistance 2 (R2): ₹57,444
Resistance 3 (R3): ₹57,718
Fibonacci Resistance Zone: ₹56,992 – ₹57,165
Camarilla Resistance Levels: ₹56,596 / ₹56,663 / ₹56,730
🔸 Pivot Point (Central Level): ₹56,713
🔹 Trend Direction (1-Day Timeframe)
📊 Short-Term Trend: Consolidating with mild bearish pressure.
📉 Price closed below pivot point (₹56,713), signaling short-term weakness.
✅ Still within bullish structure as long as it holds above ₹55,980 – ₹56,000.
🔹 Technical Indicator Snapshot
RSI: Around 58 → Still in bullish territory, but momentum cooling.
MACD: Positive crossover, but histogram flattening — sign of range or pause.
20 EMA: Near ₹57,000 → Price is currently below this level.
50 EMA: Around ₹55,500 → Still acts as major support.
Price Action: Forming inside candles → Indicates compression/indecision.






















