SBI- Possible Short Trade Setup in ProgressionSBI seem to be forming a Head and Shoulder pattern in the shorter time frame chart. The pattern to be completed needs the price to test the neck line placed near 420-418 levels and break below. The immediate targets for the set up, if it realizes can be 406/393. The stop loss needs to be placed above 436, which is slightly above the most recent high made intraday (June 11).
Possible trades from the set up
1. Aggressive traders may consider shorting the stock/Futures on any up move towards 433-435 levels, keeping a stop loss at 436.2.
2. Those willing to risk about 7000 to 8000 and wait for approximately 40 days may consider buying the 420 PE July series, currently priced at 15.75 (closing price as on June 11). If the trade materialises the option should be worth around 24 near final target . Square off the option at market if the price closes above the stop loss mentioned in daily chart.
3. Those who wish to carry overnight position and look to hedge can short the July Futures intraday when the spot price is near 433-435 range and hold the position as long as the spot price do not breach the stop loss mentioned. If the trade is in our favor, towards closing buy 430 CE July series and convert the intraday Futures position to overnight. This can offer some hedge and also will allow you to carry the trade overnight with a small margin.
Note:
I am not a SEBI registered analyst
The information given is only for educational purposes.
