Decoding Westlife: Market Rally and Anticipating the Next MoveHello Traders! Today we're revisiting our analysis of Westlife from June 6, where we discussed the breakout of a Head & Shoulder pattern. Let's dive in!
On June 9, our suggested entry triggered at a retest of the H&S breakout at 825 .
From that entry point, the stock rose to a level of 1024 by September 8 — a gain of nearly 27% .
This movement aligns perfectly with the Head & Shoulder target method. This method measures the vertical distance from the head to the neckline of the pattern. The same distance becomes our target from where the breakout happened.
Now, let's understand Shortening of Thrust (SOT):
What is SOT? SOT stands for Shortening of Thrust, which is a trading term that indicates potential trend weakness. It’s used to identify the end of moves. SOT is part of Wyckoff trading theory. Thrust refers to the distance between the current swing high to a previous swing high (in an uptrend) or swings low (in a downtrend). Increased thrust is a sign of potential trend strength. Shortening of Thrust is a sign of potential trend weakness.
to learn more check below post:
On the monthly timeframe, we can observe a Shortening of Thrust (SOT) , a sign that the current uptrend may be losing thrust. The price is currently stopping at its daily EMA50 and the uptrend line. There's a chance for a pullback from these levels, but the odds are low due to the SOT observed on the monthly candle.
To summarize, if the price does not break above 1020 after a potential pullback, we may expect further weakening of the trend. If the price doesn't take a pullback from the current level, it could fall further as the monthly timeframe is showing weakness.
🔮 Possible Scenarios Ahead for Westlife 🎯
If the price pulls back from the current level and breaks above 1020, we may see further upside.
If the price doesn't pull back from the current level, we could experience a downward move due to the weakness shown in the monthly timeframe.
Please note that this article is purely educational and should not be taken as financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
🤝 Thank you for your continuous support, likes 🚀 follows, and comments. Your engagement keeps me motivated to consistently provide valuable content.
Shorteningofthrust
NIFTY: 'Classic' Market TopsHi
In this article I will discuss how classic market tops develop and in this background I will try to analyze whether our market meets the conditions necessary for it to be declared at its top.
Acceleration
As we can see that market was behaving nicely in the primary channel (white). Suddenly it changed its behavior and started to accelerate in a new channel (pink). It reflects greed where everybody wants to buy, irrespective of the market valuations.
Overbought
This is a typical condition where markets jump out of the supply line of the trend channel. The tendency after such an event is to get back into the channel. A we can see at A, B and C in the chart when it jumped out of primary channel.
Wide range bars
Another common observation at market tops. The volatility increases and the range of the bars, compared to previous so many bars, suddenly widens. We can clearly observe the recent formation of such wide range bars in our market.
Distribution at the top
A very powerful and rare observation at the higher time frame charts (monthly), but very common on lower time frames. We generally observe sharp reactions from the top. Markets then rally as if everything was normal. It then peek-a-boo above the previous highs and
tumbles down. It may rally again to retest the highs but with no buying interest at the top level. It means that the market makers are in distribution mode. They support the market at certain psychological levels and begin to distribute to the heard again near the top. When the distribution is complete, they stop supporting the market and lock everybody at the top.
Shortening of the thrust and Upthrust
The market makes new highs but without any further progress. And this progress keep on diminishing at every attempt to make new highs. Clearly visible at A, B and C. Also at C there is an upthrust (can't discuss here) with next bar down which confirms the rejection.
Unfortunately I dun have the Volume on the index charts so can't do VSA, otherwise the scenarios would have been logically more clear. With all this in the background, I have reached to the conclusion that our market is forming a top. A top which will be remembered for a couple of years.
One can wait for a lower low formation to confirm but that condition is sufficient for lower time frames. Also It is possible that market bounces sharply from 10600 zone or 10000 zone but those rallies should be played for quick gains. Selling the weakness on such rallies will make us big money. The levels like 9500-9000 may be seen in the coming months. But have patience, this is gonna take some time.
I hope it makes sense for everyone and help in your future decisions.
Trade Safe, Stay Healthy.
JJ