XAU/USD Medium-Term Breakdown: Market Structure Shift Confirmed!Gold has officially entered a bearish phase after decisively breaking below a key high-volume support zone around $3225, which now flips into a major resistance level. This wasn’t a minor flush — it was a clean structural break that reflects deeper underlying weakness.
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Key Technical Highlights:
1. HVZ Breakdown – The Trend Flip Signal
The HVZ (High Volume Zone) at ~$3,165 was acting as a base where buyers previously absorbed sell pressure. But the recent breakdown with strong bearish candles confirms that buyers have lost control Still watch today close may15 -2025. Price attempted to hover above it for several sessions, but once it gave in, the breakdown was swift — signaling a shift in control from bulls to bears.
Now, any bounce back into the 3,150–3,165 range is likely to meet aggressive selling — this has now become a sell zone, not a support.
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2. 3111 – The Last Stand for Bulls
The current trading region — around $3,111 —3120 is the final line of defense for buyers. This zone was an earlier demand pocket and acted as the origin of the strong April rally. If bulls can hold this, we may see short-term relief or a retest of HVZ.
But if this zone fails, especially on a candle close with volume, it would trigger another wave of liquidation, as this region is structurally thin and lacks strong historical support.
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3. Projected Path – The Final Flush to $3,014–3,000
Once the 3111 level is broken, gold opens up downside space to the $3,014–3,000 zone — which is the final target as marked on the chart.
This zone is significant for three reasons:
• It marks the origin of the April bullish move.
• It’s a historical accumulation block.
• Psychological round number ($3,000) often acts as magnet for liquidity grabs or rebounds.
It’s also where institutional buyers may reappear to attempt a reversal, provided macro conditions align.
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Momentum & Behavior:
The current momentum favors the bears:
• Lower highs, lower lows are in place.
• Failed breakout attempts above $3,240 only strengthened bearish intent.
• Breakdown below HVZ happened with conviction — not a fakeout.
Also, notice the slow grinding nature of the recent move. This isn’t panic selling, it’s a controlled liquidation, which often leads to a final flush, then sharp bounce — especially if macro triggers (like rate cuts or Fed dovishness) hit the news cycle.
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Conclusion:
• Bias: Medium-term bearish
• Invalidation: Only above $3240 reclaim with volume
• Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3,165
• Pivot: 3,111
• Target: 3,014 / 3,000 zone
The safest approach now? Sell the bounces, not the dips — unless you’re playing the final drop scalps with tight risk.
Shorts
IPCA LABS - Shorts below 1550 you may think of buying a put option or selling futures if IPCA labs closes below 1550 levels and then you can thank me later by boosting, liking and sharing the post.
One of the first modern pharma factory of yesteryears was commissioned by Ipca at Mumbai in 1969. The company was originally promoted by a group of medical professionals and businessmen and was incorporated as 'The Indian Pharmaceutical Combine Association Limited. ' in October 1949.
Thank you.
ABB Head and Shoulder with breakdownHead and Shoulder #HnS with breakdown has formed in #ABB
A clear left shoulder, Head and and right shoulder is formed.
break down came in this week below the neckline and the pattern has completed.
Let's see if the pattern can show it's effect in coming weeks.
PS: This is only for educational purpose
Gold price today: Will the upward momentum continue?The price of gold (XAU/USD) has taken advantage of its recent upward momentum and reached a new record high around $2,152 on Wednesday. This price increase comes amidst expectations of an upcoming change in the Federal Reserve's policy. Comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell have reinforced these expectations, indicating that the central bank is likely to lower the benchmark interest rate by the end of this year. However, Fed Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari has tempered speculation of a more aggressive policy easing, providing some support for the US Dollar (USD) and preventing it from dropping to its lowest level since February. As a result, this has limited further gains for gold, especially when considering the excessive price increase on the daily chart.
At the same time, any significant adjustments in the price of gold seem unlikely due to the current geopolitical tensions. Furthermore, concerns about China's economic slowdown, as the world's second-largest economy, may continue to support this precious metal. Additionally, investors may exercise caution ahead of Powell's second testimony before the Senate Banking Committee and the release of monthly employment data in the United States.
Market Correction or Market Crash? What you expect but soonHello Everyone,
I've conducted another analysis, indicating that we might experience a good correction, likely in the 2nd or 3rd week of January 2024. But the question is how far this correction will go?
Projected Support Levels:
1st Support: 21,100
2nd Support: 20,250
3rd Support: 19,950
I'm optimistic that the correction will be limited to 21,100, after which we anticipate breaking the Nifty50's lifetime high of 21,834 and progressing towards 23,000.
I wish you successful investing and trading.
Best regards,
Naveen
Colpal Double Top Breakdown: Navigating Short PositionsColpal broke the neckline following the formation of a double top , signaling a potential bearish trend. We've initiated short positions based on this pattern.
Please note, that the provided chart includes details such as entry points, stop-loss levels, re-test zone, and target levels.
However, trading involves risks, and these are speculative predictions. It's crucial to conduct thorough research, consider your risk tolerance, and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The market is dynamic, and outcomes may vary. Trade responsibly.
Gold price hangs near two-week low ahead of US CPIThe gold price has recently dropped below the psychological $2,000 mark, indicating a bearish trend after breaking the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the November-December rally at $2,012-2,010. Daily chart oscillators are losing positive momentum, supporting the possibility of further declines. The next potential support level is the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $1,965-1,963, followed by the crucial 200-day SMA near $1,951-1,950. A decisive break below the 200-day SMA could extend the recent pullback from the all-time high.
On the positive side, the $2,010-2,012 support now acts as an immediate hurdle, with resistance at $2,030 and the $2,040 supply zone. If a golden cross occurs, with the 50-day SMA rising above the 200-day SMA, it could favor bullish traders. In this scenario, a climb to the $2,071-2,072 region and a potential reclaim of the $2,100 level may follow.
BTCUSDT good for short (Bitcoin short position)****************************************************************************************************
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* All the information shared in this chart is provided for strictly educational purposes only.
* This chart is sharing information are based on the theory of technical analysis .
* This is not an offer to buy or sell stocks, futures , options, commodity, forex, interests or any other trading security.
* Back test yourself before jump into live market consult your financial adviser and use proper risk management.
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Trade entry : 37685
SL : 37848
Target : 37200 \ 36946 \ 36354
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Trading_Cafe24
Thank you :)
NIFTYHi, in this chart i Got a Good Top in NIFTY , please Observe this levels and Analysis your own... Don't Take any orders Based on this Chart because this is just Observation purpose only.
I Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply which is My Own Concept Called "PENDAM ZONES" ... Don't Take any trades based on this chart/Post...because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation.. Thank Q