ASTS: Failed Breakout & Structural Invalidation1. The Macro Perspective: The V-Shaped Recovery and Failure
I am taking a BEARISH / CAUTIONARY bias on AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) on the daily (1D) timeframe.
When analyzing pure market structure on an aggressive growth stock, vertical, V-shaped recoveries often lack the necessary structural digestion required to sustain a true breakout. Following a steep markdown into early May, the stock initiated a massive, high-velocity vertical squeeze back toward its historical highs. Fundamentally, this aggressive technical momentum was built on the anticipation of rapid satellite constellation deployment to enable commercial space-based cellular broadband. However, this entire fundamental thesis suffered a massive structural blow today. A catastrophic incident occurred at Cape Canaveral where a Blue Origin New Glenn rocket exploded during an engine test, severely damaging the launch complex. Analysts note this will cause significant delays for AST SpaceMobile, jeopardizing their timeline to get 45 satellites into orbit this year, which is required to begin commercial direct-to-cell service.
2. The Educational Setup: Horizontal Boundary Rejection
To understand the absolute technical failure behind this setup, look closely at how the price structure interacted with its core boundary right at the critical moment:
The 121.80 Pivot Ceiling: The definitive line in the sand for a bullish continuation was the solid black horizontal resistance line drawn at 121.80. While the price recently managed to push above this line, the vertical nature of the ascent meant there was zero structural support built beneath it. Buyers were entirely overextended.
3. Current Price Action: Failed Breakout and Bull Trap
Look at the most recent daily candle on the far right of the chart. The structural reality has violently snapped back. Following the devastating fundamental catalyst regarding the launchpad explosion, institutional buyers instantly pulled their bids. The stock printed a massive, full-bodied red expansion candle, gapping down and actively collapsing over 15% on the session. This explosive downside thrust has decisively obliterated the 121.80 level, pulling the price all the way down to the 112.80 zone. This price action confirms a textbook failed breakout and a massive bull trap. The stock has officially transitioned out of the markup phase and into a highly volatile downside correction.
4. The Trade Plan: Entries, Targets, and Risk Management
Entry Strategy: The bullish thesis is completely dead. For traders looking to capitalize on the downside momentum, the highest-probability entry strategy involves waiting for a dead-cat bounce or a minor intraday relief rally that retests the underside of the broken 118.00 to 121.00 zone, which should now act as a heavy new resistance ceiling.
Take Profit (Targets): Downside momentum is exceptionally strong, compounded by a major analyst downgrade from a global investment bank to a "Hold" rating with a lowered price target. By utilizing the depth of the recent structural swings, primary downside targets sit comfortably in the 95.00 to 100.00 zone, with further capitulation potentially revisiting the 80.00 to 85.00 structural base if panic selling accelerates.
Invalidation (Stop Loss): A bearish continuation thesis is invalidated if the market completely absorbs the fundamental shock and violently reclaims the structural high. A hard stop loss for short positions should be placed safely above the recent rejection wick and the 121.80 pivot, specifically around the 125.00 to 127.00 level.
5. Time Horizon:
Because this technical setup captures a massive structural phase transition and a violent failed breakout on the 1-Day chart, this is a high-volatility momentum setup designed to capture rapid downside expansion over the coming weeks. Respect the structural break! 
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sellHere is a professional and engaging description you can use for your TradingView publication. It highlights the technical aspects of the chart, focusing on price action and market structure.
Title: BTC/USD 1H: High R:R Short Setup at Premium Supply / Resistance
After a sharp, aggressive V-shaped recovery from the recent lows near 70,300, Bitcoin is rapidly pushing back into a premium pricing area on the 1-hour timeframe. While the short-term momentum is strongly bullish, we are approaching a critical resistance zone where a rejection or a deeper retracement becomes highly probable.
This setup anticipates a reaction at the upcoming supply zone/resistance block. The rapid ascent often leaves behind inefficiencies and unchecked liquidity below. We are looking for price to sweep into the 75,260 region, potentially grabbing buy-side liquidity, before initiating a reversal back toward the lower support structures.
Direction: Short
Entry Zone: ~75,260
Stop Loss (SL): ~76,015 (Placed safely above the resistance block to allow for wicks/volatility)
Take Profit (TP): ~71,050 (Targeting a return to the recent discount range and lower liquidity pools)
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:5.6
Management:
Given the aggressive nature of the current bullish impulse, wait for a lower timeframe shift in market structure (choch) or a clear bearish rejection candle within the entry zone before blindly placing a limit order.
Disclaimer: This idea is based on technical analysis and price action. It is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk appropriately. 
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XAU/USD Medium-Term Breakdown: Market Structure Shift Confirmed!Gold has officially entered a bearish phase after decisively breaking below a key high-volume support zone around $3225, which now flips into a major resistance level. This wasn’t a minor flush — it was a clean structural break that reflects deeper underlying weakness.
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Key Technical Highlights:
1. HVZ Breakdown – The Trend Flip Signal
The HVZ (High Volume Zone) at ~$3,165 was acting as a base where buyers previously absorbed sell pressure. But the recent breakdown with strong bearish candles confirms that buyers have lost control Still watch today close may15 -2025. Price attempted to hover above it for several sessions, but once it gave in, the breakdown was swift — signaling a shift in control from bulls to bears.
Now, any bounce back into the 3,150–3,165 range is likely to meet aggressive selling — this has now become a sell zone, not a support.
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2. 3111 – The Last Stand for Bulls
The current trading region — around $3,111 —3120 is the final line of defense for buyers. This zone was an earlier demand pocket and acted as the origin of the strong April rally. If bulls can hold this, we may see short-term relief or a retest of HVZ.
But if this zone fails, especially on a candle close with volume, it would trigger another wave of liquidation, as this region is structurally thin and lacks strong historical support.
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3. Projected Path – The Final Flush to $3,014–3,000
Once the 3111 level is broken, gold opens up downside space to the $3,014–3,000 zone — which is the final target as marked on the chart.
This zone is significant for three reasons:
• It marks the origin of the April bullish move.
• It’s a historical accumulation block.
• Psychological round number ($3,000) often acts as magnet for liquidity grabs or rebounds.
It’s also where institutional buyers may reappear to attempt a reversal, provided macro conditions align.
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Momentum & Behavior:
The current momentum favors the bears:
• Lower highs, lower lows are in place.
• Failed breakout attempts above $3,240 only strengthened bearish intent.
• Breakdown below HVZ happened with conviction — not a fakeout.
Also, notice the slow grinding nature of the recent move. This isn’t panic selling, it’s a controlled liquidation, which often leads to a final flush, then sharp bounce — especially if macro triggers (like rate cuts or Fed dovishness) hit the news cycle.
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Conclusion:
• Bias: Medium-term bearish
• Invalidation: Only above $3240 reclaim with volume
• Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3,165
• Pivot: 3,111
• Target: 3,014 / 3,000 zone
The safest approach now? Sell the bounces, not the dips — unless you’re playing the final drop scalps with tight risk. 
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Gold price today: Will the upward momentum continue?The price of gold (XAU/USD) has taken advantage of its recent upward momentum and reached a new record high around $2,152 on Wednesday. This price increase comes amidst expectations of an upcoming change in the Federal Reserve's policy. Comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell have reinforced these expectations, indicating that the central bank is likely to lower the benchmark interest rate by the end of this year. However, Fed Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari has tempered speculation of a more aggressive policy easing, providing some support for the US Dollar (USD) and preventing it from dropping to its lowest level since February. As a result, this has limited further gains for gold, especially when considering the excessive price increase on the daily chart.
At the same time, any significant adjustments in the price of gold seem unlikely due to the current geopolitical tensions. Furthermore, concerns about China's economic slowdown, as the world's second-largest economy, may continue to support this precious metal. Additionally, investors may exercise caution ahead of Powell's second testimony before the Senate Banking Committee and the release of monthly employment data in the United States. Long 
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Market Correction or Market Crash? What you expect but soonHello Everyone,
I've conducted another analysis, indicating that we might experience a good correction, likely in the 2nd or 3rd week of January 2024. But the question is how far this correction will go?
Projected Support Levels:
1st Support: 21,100
2nd Support: 20,250
3rd Support: 19,950
I'm optimistic that the correction will be limited to 21,100, after which we anticipate breaking the Nifty50's lifetime high of 21,834 and progressing towards 23,000.
I wish you successful investing and trading.
Best regards,
Naveen 
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Colpal Double Top Breakdown: Navigating Short PositionsColpal broke the neckline following the formation of a double top , signaling a potential bearish trend. We've initiated short positions based on this pattern.
Please note, that the provided chart includes details such as entry points, stop-loss levels, re-test zone, and target levels.
However, trading involves risks, and these are speculative predictions. It's crucial to conduct thorough research, consider your risk tolerance, and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The market is dynamic, and outcomes may vary. Trade responsibly. 
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