BPCL | FVG + Fibonacci COnfluence | Long Setup toward 378 💬 Description:
Chart Type: 1D (Daily)
Stock: BPCL – Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.
🧩 Setup Overview
BPCL has completed a clean retracement into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone from the previous upswing (306 → 351).
The zone around ₹334–₹340 acted as strong demand support, hinting at a possible continuation leg to the upside.
📊 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: ₹338–₹340
Stop Loss: ₹330
Target 1: ₹351
Target 2: ₹378 (1.618 Fib Extension)
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:3
📈 Technical Confluence
✅ FVG + 0.618 Fib alignment
✅ Retest & bounce confirmation
✅ Volume showing accumulation
✅ Clear higher-low structure maintained
🚨 Invalidation
Setup invalid if price closes below ₹330, which would break FVG and shift structure to bearish.
🧠 Bias: Bullish continuation
Time Horizon: Swing (2–4 weeks)
Smartmoneyconcept
Gold sweeps SL, wait for BUY LIMIT at Demand Zone 4,223-4,225Timeframe analysis: H4/30M
Logic: Trend Continuation after liquidity sweep.
MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS (SMC Analysis)
Main Trend: Bullish (Price is moving within a parallel channel).
Structure Confirmation (BOS): The chart has confirmed an upward Break of Structure (BOS), indicating that buyers are controlling the market.
Liquidity Sweep/Fake: The strong bearish candle (marked as "Fake") is a move to sweep Stop Losses of early buyers and gather liquidity before Smart Money pushes the price in the main direction. This is an Inducement action.
Key Demand Zone (POI/Demand Zone/Order Block): The TIMING BUY area (4,223.154 - 4,225.000) is a potential Demand Zone/Order Block identified by Smart Money. The price is expected to retest this area before continuing to rise.
MAIN TRADING SCENARIO (LONG SETUP)
SCENARIO: Wait for the price to Pullback to the POI area to enter a buy order, continuing the main bullish trend.
Parameter
Value
SMC Description
Action
BUY LIMIT
Place a pending buy order
Entry Zone (POI)
4,225.000 - 4,223.150
Demand Zone/Order Block after liquidity sweep.
Stop Loss (SL)
4,214.390
Place below the low of the liquidity sweep candle ("Fake Low"), ensuring safety.
Take Profit 1 (TP1)
4,240.000
Target the nearest Swing High.
Take Profit 2 (TP2)
4,250.000
Target psychological resistance and mid-channel.
Take Profit 3 (TP3)
4,260.000+
Target the upper boundary of the parallel channel.
R:R Ratio
Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 (Depending on TP)
Good R:R ratio for a trend-following trade.
RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk: Only risk a maximum of 1-2% of the account for this trade.
Breakeven: When the price hits TP1, move SL to the Entry point (Breakeven) to protect capital.
Invalidation: If the price closes the D1/H4 candle below the SL level (4,214.390), the buy plan will be invalidated.
Bajaj Auto – Bullish head and shoulder breakout📈 Pattern Analysis: Bajaj Auto has successfully completed a Bullish Head and Shoulders pattern on the chart, followed by a clean breakout and subsequent retest, confirming the validity of the formation. The price action now awaits a pivot breakout, which would trigger the next leg of upside momentum. 
 📊 Trading Strategy: 
Two distinct trading approaches can be considered based on trader type:
 1. Retail Concept Strategy: 
Enter long above the pivot high once price breaks decisively.
Place stop-loss below the breakout candle, ensuring a safer entry with confirmation.
Note: The risk–reward ratio is less favorable if the SL is kept below the right shoulder in classical style.
 2. Smart Money Strategy: 
Enter on retrace to the order block area positioned just above the right shoulder.
This offers a superior risk–reward entry aligned with institutional-style trading concepts.
 🔎 Indicators & Trend: 
50 EMA is sloping upward on the hourly timeframe, confirming short-term uptrend strength.
RSI > 65, indicating sustained bullish momentum with potential for continuation.
 🎯 Target Projection: 
Targets will be determined using the measurement rule, projecting the height of the head added to the neckline breakout zone.
 ⚠️ Disclaimer: 
This analysis is prepared only for educational and training purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a trading recommendation.
 ✍️ Prepared by: SEBI Certified Research Analyst (Not Registered)
XAUUSD Alert| Liquidity Grab or Trend Reversal?”XAUUSD Alert 🚨 | Liquidity Grab or Trend Reversal?”
Gold has recently pushed into the 3525 – 3550 rejection zone, a level that has historically acted as strong supply. After this extended bullish rally, price is now showing early signs of exhaustion. This could be a liquidity grab above resistance before the market corrects lower.
My expectation here is a short-term pullback. The first key area I’ll be watching is around 3450, which lines up with a smaller demand zone and could act as a temporary support. If buyers fail to defend that level, then I expect continuation toward the 3330 – 3320 zone, which is my final target and also a major higher-timeframe support point.
This level is very important because it was previously a strong base for accumulation, and if tested again, it could provide a potential long opportunity. However, if price breaks below 3320 decisively, it would open the door for a much deeper correction.
Overall, my short-term outlook is bearish retracement, but I’ll be closely watching how price reacts once we reach the deeper support levels.
"Gold Setup: Buying Zone Rejection or Breakout Ahead?""Gold Setup: Buying Zone Rejection or Breakout Ahead?"
Gold is currently trading inside a buying zone (3380 – 3400) but facing rejection. Market structure is still holding higher lows, which keeps the bigger trend bullish, but short-term price action suggests a possible retracement move.
Resistance Zone: 3420 – 3440 (strong supply, previous rejection)
Key Support: 3330 – 3320 (major demand, higher low base)
Immediate Target: 3340 – 3360 (if rejection continues)
📉 Short-term bias: bearish correction toward 3340 – 3360
📈 Swing bias: bullish as long as 3330 – 3320 holds
🔑 My View:
I’ll be watching how price reacts around 3330 – 3320. Holding this level could trigger the next bullish leg toward 3420 – 3440. Losing it opens the door for deeper downside into 3280.
 BTC Took Support – Big Move from Demand Zone Expected!🚀 BTC Took Support – Big Move from Demand Zone Expected!
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has touched the demand zone and now showing signs of upside reversal. After taking out sell-side liquidity, price is getting ready for a bullish push toward higher targets.
📊 Technical Analysis:
🟤 Demand Zone (115,000 – 116,000):
Market came down and respected this zone. This is a strong area where buyers entered again.
🧲 Sell-Side Liquidity Grab:
Price formed equal lows, then broke them to collect liquidity before reversing — typical smart money behavior.
🔁 Break of Structure (BOS):
Structure break confirmed that trend might reverse now from bearish to bullish.
🟪 Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A clean FVG is also visible near the top side, and price may move to fill this imbalance.
🎯 Target: 119,000 USD:
If bulls hold the demand zone, BTC can easily move towards this resistance area. This is the short-term upside target.
📚 Key Learning Points:
Liquidity was collected below equal lows
Buyers stepped in from the demand zone
Break of structure confirms bullish pressure
FVG + Resistance area aligns with target
✅ Conclusion:
As long as BTC holds above 116,000, bulls are in control. This is a good zone for long entries, with a target near 119,000. Traders should watch for confirmation with minor BOS or strong bullish candles.
GBP/USD Technical Insight – Reversal Opportunity from Demand GBP/USD Technical Insight – Reversal Opportunity from Demand Zone
The GBP/USD chart showcases a classic liquidity sweep and bullish reaction from a clearly defined support zone (1.3360 – 1.3400). After an extended bearish move, price entered the demand area, rejected strongly, and formed a potential bullish reversal setup, signaling a possible move toward the resistance zone near 1.3740 – 1.3800.
The use of Supertrend Indicator confirms a shift in market structure, supporting the bullish bias. This setup reflects a textbook example of smart money behavior — where price mitigates imbalance, grabs liquidity, and rallies from institutional zones.
⸻
🧠 Educational Key Points:
	•	Support & Resistance Zones are well-respected.
	•	Trend Shift confirmed after long accumulation.
	•	Liquidity Engineering: Market makers swept the lows before reversing.
	•	Confluence of Structure + Indicator adds high-probability confidence.
📌 Potential Trade Idea:
Buy from the support zone with targets near resistance; manage risk below the support zone for precision.
PATANJALI FOODS LTD – Daily Chart AnalysisPATANJALI FOODS LTD – Daily Chart Analysis
Price as on June 6, 2025: INR 1,681.60
Technical View with Fundamental Context 
Price Structure Analysis:
Patanjali Foods appears to be consolidating within a large descending wedge pattern. The recent price action shows a bounce from the lower wedge boundary, where multiple liquidity points have been swept, creating a potential accumulation zone.
Current Support Zone: INR 1,650 to 1,698 (marked by green horizontal levels)
Immediate Resistance: INR 1,783 (falling trendline and horizontal supply zone)
Breakout Targets:
INR 1,783 (near resistance)
INR 1,904 (midterm supply area)
INR 2,011 (swing high from previous uptrend)
If the price sustains above 1,698 and gains volume strength, it may attempt a move toward the 1,783 zone, followed by a breakout targeting 1,904 and beyond.
Some Observations
Liquidity Grab Confirmed:
Price action shows a wick piercing below a crucial horizontal demand level. This sweep of stop-losses beneath support is often followed by a reversal, suggesting institutional accumulation.
Wedge Compression:
Multiple lower highs and relatively stable lows form a classic descending wedge pattern, which statistically favors bullish breakouts.
Measured Move Setup:
From the current level to the wedge breakout target at INR 1,783 represents a 5.69 percent move. Beyond that, the extended upside toward INR 2,011 offers a potential of over 10 percent.
Fundamentals Highlights:
Operates under strong brand equity with wide rural and urban penetration.
Strategic backward integration in oilseed procurement and processing.
Plays a major role in import substitution for edible oils, supported by government policies.
Recent Developments:
Restructuring and synergy with other Patanjali Group entities is ongoing.
Expansion into high-margin wellness and health products.
Strong demand trends seen in packaged foods and nutraceuticals.
Risks:
Vulnerability to global edible oil prices and supply chains.
High promoter holding under regulatory scrutiny can impact investor sentiment.
Positives:
Focus on indigenous production and Atmanirbhar Bharat themes.
Consistent demand for essentials even in weaker market cycles.
Debt reduction in recent quarters shows improvement in balance sheet strength.
 Patanjali Foods is currently at a crucial technical zone. With signs of smart money accumulation and supportive fundamentals, the script has a fair probability of attempting a bullish breakout in the coming weeks. However, it must sustain above 1,698 and clear 1,783 with conviction for a confirmed uptrend.
Traders should watch volume confirmation and broader FMCG sentiment. Investors may look for dips near the 1,650 zone with a medium-term perspective. 
Like, comment your thoughts, and share this post
Explore more stock ideas on the right hand side your feedback means a lot to me!
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered a buy/sell recommendation.
AUD/USD: Bullish Momentum Builds from Strong DemandIn the 4-hour AUD/USD chart, strong supply and demand zones are visible. A significant demand zone is observed around the  0.62269  level. Within the chart, a Change of Character (ChoCh) is identified from the  0.6323  level, and a Break of Structure (BoS) is noted at the  0.63211  level. A strong selling reaction has been observed from the supply zone, and the market has retested that level again.
On the demand side, the market has touched the strong demand zone twice and showed a bullish formation each time. Currently, the price is forming a strong bullish candle again.
Based on the Fibonacci levels, potential upside targets could be seen at  0.62717, 0.63128, and 0.63312,  provided the market holds above the demand zone. However, if the demand zone is broken, there is a possibility of the market dropping down to  0.61901 .
How would Bitcoin react?  Btc/Usdt Chart analysis Bitcoin on Hourly chart is has formed HH & HL (HIGHER HIGH, HIGHER LOW). Trend is definitely bullish but after a massive move every assets goes for a correction. Looking at hourly chart we can see that Bitcoin is trading in range bound and it need to take any side liquidity for any trade to be executed. For buy we would suggest to wait for the ATH (All time high) to be breaken out. So sell side we would suggest to wait for a MSS( Market structure shift). Weekends are usually slower for Crypto market. We will wait for the first Asian session of the day to start and will trade plan accordingly 
EURUSD Impressive internal structureEURUSD has been consistently accumulating in a wide internal structure, these structures are best for scalpers and day traders since they have a definite range with lesser volatility and high predictability.
Order blocks are marked as per my analysis. Make sure to do your own analysis as well before creating any positions.
SOLANA updated move (SMC)As  SOLANA  continues to follow the chart pattern I previously shared, it has successfully mitigated the demand zone and is currently moving in line with it. 
So far, this movement has resulted in approximately a  10% profit . Considering this positive development, it would be wise to start booking profits partially while implementing a trailing stop loss strategy.
Our next target should be the recent high that SOLANA reached. However, it is crucial to keep an eye on Bitcoin's price movement as well. 
 Bitcoin  often influences the overall cryptocurrency market, so any significant changes in its value could impact SOLANA's performance.Additionally, it is important to note that the current market sentiment appears to be greedy. This means that investors may be more inclined to take risks and potentially overlook potential downsides. 
Therefore, it is essential to exercise caution and manage your risk accordingly.
I will continue monitoring the situation and provide updates as necessary.
USD-JPY Trade Setupprice is at resistance zone of 151.144 and 151.380
after the recent break of structure there is open order block to restest 
also there will be small liquid or inducement zone that need to be triggered 
for next upside 
150.432 and 150.246 is the buying area 
with stop loss of 150 rd figure
and target of 151.500
with risk to reward 1:3
condition to avoid if price reach 151.500 first before coming towards our buying zone then the trade we be cancelled 






















