Descending triangle pattern breakout in PERSISTENTPERSISTENT
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Descending triangle Pattern .
✅ Strong Bullsih Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 4620+.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss below 3855-.
Strategy
Assets I prioritizeIn the previous post Balance sheet: taking the first steps , we began parsing the balance sheet of the imaginary workshop and focused on assets. Today, I suggest looking at what types of tangible and intangible property are classified as current assets and what types are classified as non-current assets.
Current assets contain the following items:
- Cash and cash equivalents - in our case we can include a safe with money, which, in general, corresponds to the company's cash in its current bank accounts.
- Net receivables - here we would include the IOU from a friend. That is everything that clients owe the company for goods or services.
- Inventory - this includes a bag with leather, rubber and thread. That is all raw materials, from which goods are made, as well as stocks of finished goods in warehouses.
- Other current assets - this can include other current assets that do not belong to the previous items.
Non-current assets include the following items:
- Net property, plant and equipment - we include a garage, table, chair, sewing machine and tools. Depreciation is deducted from the original cost of the property when reporting it. Depreciation is the cost to repair and renew the property.
- Equity and other investments - in our example, this would include oil company stocks (and in general, any company investment in stocks or bonds of other companies).
- Goodwill - let's say our company wants to buy another company and is willing to pay $11 million for it. The assets of the other company are $10 million, and the debts that our company will have to pay for the other company are $2 million. So the assets net of debt are $8 million. After the purchase, the assets and debts of that company will become the assets and debts of our company. So, the difference between the purchase amount of $11 million and the net assets of $8 million is a goodwill equal to $3 million. For our workshop, this item is not relevant, as it didn't buy any company. Nevertheless, remember that goodwill is the difference between the purchase price of another company and its net assets.
- Intangible assets - this can include the value of the customer base in the master's phone book, as well as any other assets that have no tangible basis (such as purchased trademarks).
- Other long term assets - this item includes other non-current assets that don't belong to the previous items.
Once we understand which asset belongs to which item, its value (or rather, the sum of the values of all assets belonging to this item) is written in the balance sheet. For example, let's say we've determined that the Inventory item includes leather, rubber, and thread. The accountant adds up the value of the leather, rubber, and thread and writes the total amount in monetary terms against the Inventory item. This is how the numbers appear in the balance sheet.
Now let's discuss which balance sheet items we should pay attention to during the fundamental analysis of assets. I have formulated the following rule for myself: pay attention to the assets that are directly related to the sale of the company's goods or services .
If a company does not sell its goods or services well, its bank account balance will shrink, huge inventories of unsold goods and raw materials will accumulate in its warehouses, and accounts receivable (customers debt) will grow. The fact is that when sales are bad, the company is ready to lend out goods as debt.
If sales are going well, then, on the contrary, the money in the account will grow, and accounts receivable and inventory will start to shrink. All other assets can influence sales only indirectly, so I don't consider them.
Thus, I have identified my priority assets :
- Cash and cash equivalents;
- Net receivables;
- Inventory.
As you can see, they are all quick current assets. Non-current assets only indirectly affect sales, so they are not a priority benchmark for me.
In the next post, we'll start looking at the right side of our disclosed book, called the Balance sheet. That's where the company's liabilities and equity belong. See you next time!
SYNGENEKey highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1W Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Triangle pattern .
✅ Strong bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 795.
✅Can Go long in this stock by placing a stop loss above 600.
✅ breakout this can give risk:reward upto 30%+
Falling wedge pattern reversal in JUBLFOODJUBLFOOD
Key highlights: 💡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Falling wedge Pattern .
✅ It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 505+.
✅There have chances of Breakout of resistance level too.
✅ After Breakout of resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto above 555+ .
Balance sheet: taking the first stepsToday we are going to start learning about fundamental analysis of companies. In my opinion, this is the basic skill you should have when picking stocks to invest in.
Once again, the main principle of the strategy I follow is to pick outstanding companies and buy their stocks at a discounted price.
You may have noticed that first-class products are occasionally discounted in stores, but not for long, because such products are quickly swept off the shelves, and almost the next day the price is again without a discount. Exactly the same strategy is applicable to the stock market. Now, fundamental analysis is a method for picking outstanding companies (that is, companies with strong fundamentals).
How can we tell if a company has a strong foundation or not? There is only one way - by analyzing its financial statements. Every listed company has to disclose this information publicly on its website. In other words, we don't have to extract that information - it is publicly available. You can also find it on TradingView and see the data in dynamics.
What is the content of this information? The company publishes three reports : balance sheet, income statement and cash flow statement.
The balance sheet, like the order book , can be presented as an open book. The left side of the book lists the company's assets and their valuation in monetary terms, and the right side lists the company's liabilities and equity , and their valuation in monetary terms.
What are company assets? These are everything that belongs to the company: buildings, equipment, trademark, shares of other companies, cash in the cash register. In general, all tangible and intangible property of a company are assets.
What are liabilities and equity of a company? These are the sources of funds that gave rise to the assets. For example, if you bought a computer for $1000 with your savings, then the computer is an asset, and your own savings are equity. If a friend lent you $100, and you put the money in your pocket, the money in your pocket is an asset, and the debt to your friend is a liability. Based on these examples, you can make an imaginary balance sheet:
As you can see, the entry in the balance sheet is the name of the asset, liability or equity and their monetary value. Assets, liabilities and equity are inextricably linked, so the sum of assets is always equal to the sum of liabilities and equity .
If we were to write every asset in this way on the balance sheet of a large company, it would turn into an endless book of hundreds of pages. However, if we look at the balance sheets of huge corporations, they can fit on a single sheet of paper. This is due to the fact that over time invented to group the same type of balance sheet items. Let's look at how the company's balance sheet items are grouped:
Don't be frightened. Now we will try to digest this table with the help of an example we are already familiar with. Let's think back to our master cobbler , specifically to the period when he was just starting out.
Let's assume what exactly he had at that time: a garage, a table, a chair, a sewing machine, tools, a bag with leather and rubber, thread, a safe with money, a phone book with clients' contact information, a IOU from his friend, and oil company stocks.
I have now listed the assets of our master, or should I say, of his workshop. I should note that what is listed here is exactly what is directly related to his business. Even the money in the safe, the debt from his friend, and the oil company shares came about because of the existence of the business. Let's say the master's apartment or the bicycle he rides in the park are not assets, because they don't belong to the workshop. They belong to the master, but not to his business.
Let's categorize the workshop's assets into groups. There are two big groups: Current assets and Non-current assets .
How should you distinguish them? The general rule is this: Current assets are what a company's product is made of, and what can turn into money in the near future, so they can be called quick assets . Non-current assets are where and with what we create the product, and what can turn into money not so soon (so they can be called long-term assets ).
So, here we go:
- A garage, a table, a chair are where we create a product, so a long-term (non-current) asset.
- A sewing machine, tools - this is what we use to create a product - a long-term (non-current) asset.
- A bag with leather and rubber and thread is what a product is made from - a quick (current) asset.
- A safe with money is already real money - a quick (current) asset.
- A phone book with customer numbers - it's hard to sell it to someone quickly, such assets are also called intangible assets and are placed in long-term (non-current) assets.
- IOU from a friend, i.e. a friend bought boots from a master, but can pay only after receiving his salary - a quick (current) asset.
- Shares of an oil company - let's assume that a customer once paid for the boots with them - a long-term (non-current) asset.
So, we've just categorized the master's assets into two groups: current assets (quick assets) and non-current assets (long-term assets). In the next post, we'll break down the components of these two large groups. See you then!
Inverted head and shoulder pattern in NAVINFLUORNAVINFLUOR
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Inverted Head and shoulder Pattern .
✅ Strong Bullsih Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 4115+.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss above 3950-.
✅ breakdown this can give risk:reward upto 1:5+
Channel pattern reversal in TATACONSUMTATACONSUM
Key highlights: 💡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Channel Pattern .
✅ It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 778+.
✅There have chances of Breakout of resistance level too.
✅ After Breakout of resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto above 800+ .
channel pattern breakout in LAURUSLABSLAURUSLABS
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of channel Pattern .
✅ Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 391+.
✅Can Go Long in this stock by placing a stop loss above 378-.
✅ breakout this can give risk:reward upto 1:3+
Nifty 50 Index Weekly Overview made Bearish Pattern Nifty 50 Index Weekly Overview made Bearish Pattern
Hey Friends Here is an Overview of Nifty Fifty Indian stock market Index for next week. Only Educational purpose to publish this idea. not buy sell advice.
So Nifty 50 made a bearish pattern called Rising Wedge
BANKNIFTY TOMORROW PREDICTION...BANKNIFTY analysis for tomorrow. In my opinion the market will be GAP DOWN tomorrow. If the market cross 42481 then we can go for PE(PUT) in banknifty for tomorrow... First target 42378, second target 42234 and third target 42085. if the market goes UPSIDE we should BUY CE(CALL) in banknifty above 42756. First target42905. second target 42973 and third target 43135...
Falling wedge pattern breakout in DABURDABUR
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1h Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Falling wedge Pattern .
✅ Strong bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 580+.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss below 561-.
Triangle pattern breakout in NAVINFLUORNAVINFLUOR
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing breakout of triangle Pattern.
✅ Strong bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅Re-entry has been given to resistance.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 4360+.
✅Can Go Long in this stock by placing a stop loss below 4045.
✅ breakout this can give risk: reward up to 1:6+
Symmetrical triangle pattern reversal in JKCEMENTJKCEMENT
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Symmetrical triangle Pattern .
✅ It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 2991+.
✅There have chances of Breakout of resistance level too.
✅ After Breakout of resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto above 3230+ .
Man on the shoulders of giantsIsaac Newton, who turned people's view of the world upside down, once said: "If I have seen further than others, it is by standing on the shoulders of giants". And indeed, each of us has a chance to discover something new for ourselves and others by drawing on the wisdom of our predecessors. I want to say a big thank you to Benjamin Graham, David Dodd, Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch, who openly shared their ideas with the world and inspired more than one private investor in their first investments.
I'm sure Mohnish Pabrai will join me in saying the same. Born in Mumbai, an engineer by training, he had no interest in the subject of stock investing until he was 30 years old. But by chance, after reading a book by Peter Lynch, he began to study the subject more deeply. Centimeter by centimeter he climbed the shoulders of the giants of value investing to see hitherto unknown horizons. He is now known as a successful investor, author of books on investing, and creator of incredibly kind philanthropic initiatives.
Listening to Mohnish Pabrai's lectures, I noted his ideas, which in many ways coincide with my own. I am happy to share them with you:
1. The market is always concerned about what will happen to the company in the future, so it cannot be 100% efficient (*).
(*) Let me remind you that according to "efficient market" theory, a company's current price reflects its "fair value" because any publicly known information instantly affects the price. Thus, an investor is unlikely to make a profit on any information, such as a company's strong financial statements, because the market has already reflected the event. However, this theory does not take into account the future, which we all think about every day and act in the present, including the market, based on those thoughts. For example, someone may think that a company's future is murky because of the news that has come out. This concern will be picked up by the crowd, and the stock will go down. Or on the contrary, the success of the company may be perceived as over-optimistic, and a real stir will start around the stock. No one knows the future, but thinking about it affects the present. For this reason, the current price of the company may not reflect its fair value, contrary to the "efficient market" theory.
2. Continuing with the first thought, the waves of pessimism and optimism will always be present in the market. They distort a company's value so much that they give us private investors a chance to buy and sell a company's stock profitably.
3. The more time you spend analyzing a company, the more you "fall in love" with it. Try to grasp this idea. After all, by spending a lot of time studying something, such as a company's excellent financial statements, we set ourselves up for what it must pay off as a profitable investment. Remember: the market doesn't owe you anything.
4. Often the decision to invest in a company can be made based on just a few surprising figures. For example, if the value of a company is equal to 50% of the amount of cash in its checking account. Mohnish Pabrai said that Warren Buffett used a reference book with the statements of thousands of companies, not to spend months studying each of them, but to find something that would really surprise him.
5. Mohnish Pabrai admitted that he has never once played the short and has no intention of doing so for the rest of his life. His math is really simple. If you play the short by selling a stock at $100, your maximum earnings are capped at $100 (which will happen when the stock drops to zero). Whereas a buyer of a $100 stock has a chance to sell it at both $1,000 and $2,000. There is no upside restriction by its very nature.
6. And the thought I want to conclude this post with is don't look for people to hand you a treasure on a platter. Looking for treasure is much more interesting! It's about not trying to replicate someone else's trades or portfolio positions. Try to make your own decisions. Try to see your horizon.
The unwavering shoulders of giants will help you in all of this.
Rising wedge pattern breakdown in MCDOWELL_NMCDOWELL_N
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Breakdown of Rising wedge Pattern .
✅ Strong bearish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakdown target of 715-.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss above 895+.
✅ breakout this can give risk:reward upto 1:6+
Falling wedge pattern breakdown in CIPLACIPLA
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Breakdown of Falling wedge Pattern .
✅ Strong bearish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakdown target of 1005-.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss above 1100+.
✅ breakout this can give risk:reward upto 1:4+
Falling wedge pattern breakdown in TVSMOTORTVSMOTOR
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Falling wedge Pattern .
✅ Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of above 1160+.
✅Can Go Long in this stock by placing a stop loss below 1020-.
✅ breakout this can give risk:reward upto 1:4+
M pattern formation in finnifty .as we can see the chart of fin nifty show m pattern formation in 5min time frame and box pattern which is more stronger so if fin nifty break box upside we can take a trade for busying and another aspect is that if fin nifty break-down the box pattern and also activate M pattern then we can trade selling side which is more satisfy trade as cpmpare to buying because as we can see the market over all trend is down in short term. NSE:CNXFINANCE
Falling wedge pattern reversal in SRFSRF
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Falling wedge Pattern .
✅ It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 2400+.
✅There have chances of Breakout of resistance level too.
✅ After Breakout of resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto above 2930+ .
A pill for missed opportunitiesPrevious parts of the post:
Part 1: My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist
Part 2: Two captains of the same ship
The market is an element we take for granted. It can't stop when we're busy doing other things, and it can't work if the stock market is off and you personally have work days.
The small investor's impact on the market is close to zero. Some may not like it, but I see it as a big plus. I'm not the only one. Even Peter Lynch wrote about this . It is because of our size that we small investors have the ability to get the best buy and sell prices on stocks. Just imagine an elephant and a mouse trying to drink water from a coffee mug. Who has a better chance?
Like the best sales, attractive stock prices don't last long. This also applies to the period of increased stock prices that are interesting to sell. To make sure you don't miss this time, TradingView has an alert service.
Why do we need an alert system? For our convenience. Once we have selected fundamentally strong companies, our next step is to keep an eye on their stock price so we can buy them at a price we can benefit from.
You remember our strategy, right? Buy rooms in a great hotel, and even during a sale period.
How do you monitor these "sales"? You have two options: to monitor the price chart yourself during the trading period, or set up alerts so that if the stock price reaches a certain level, you will receive an SMS message to your phone or email, or a push-notification in the TradingView app (depending on your settings). Agree, this is very convenient.
So how do you set up the alerts?
1. First of all, you must open the chart of the stock you are going to configure the alerts for.
2. Then click on the "Alert" button at the top toolbar of the chart.
3. Set the alert parameters in the settings menu.
How do I read the settings in this picture?
If the Apple stock price is less than $130 per share, I will receive an alert every minute, all the time the stock is trading below $130.
The alert I will receive will contain the following message:
AAPL Less Than 130.00
If you don't want to get an alert every minute, set the trigger to "Only Once".
4. In the "Notifications" tab, you can configure where the alerts and the sound will go. The system of customized alerts will allow you to use your time effectively. You will not be chained to the monitor and you can calmly wait for the cherished message.
In the picture you can see that alerts can come as:
- push notification to your phone (if you have the TradingView app installed);
- a pop-up window on your monitor;
- a letter to your email address;
- a message to a web address (advanced feature for developers);
- SMS to your phone, but via email (i.e. your email service must have the ability to send copies of emails via SMS).
As for my investment strategy, it's quiet enough to work on it even without alerts. Mr. Market doesn't often come with insanely interesting prices, so it takes time to get to the target values. It's like waiting for an astronaut from the Moon: he can't return to Earth in a day, you have to wait patiently, with the occasional peek at the situation.
So, I'm concluding my series of posts dedicated to the basic functions of TradingView. I advise you to "play" with the platform for a while to get used to it as quickly as possible. In fact, it has a lot of features that you will discover over time. For now, that's it.
In the following posts, we will begin to examine perhaps the most important aspect of an investment strategy, which is fundamental analysis. Get ready, here comes the part that will require the most concentration. But then you will be able to navigate this topic with ease.
See you next time!