Key Levels: Nifty at a Crucial Turning Point! What's Next? Nifty's price structure is showing a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a prevailing downtrend. However, the market is now at an interesting Demand Zone that could determine its next big move.
📊 Key Observations
On January 27, Nifty took support from an old demand zone, and formed new lower high.
This minor reversal also led to the creation of a new demand zone.
Currently, Nifty is approaching this fresh Demand zone & old Demand Zone, making it a highly significant area to watch.
🔍 Possible Scenarios Ahead
Reversal from the Demand Zone : If Nifty respects this demand zones and reverses, we may see a potential bottom forming.
Sideways Consolidation : Nifty may move sideways, indicating indecision before a breakout.
Breakdown Below Demand Zone : If the demand zone is breached, Nifty could make a new lower low, continuing its downward trend.
🔄 What’s Next?
The next few sessions will be crucial in determining whether Nifty finds strength or continues its downward trajectory. Traders should closely monitor price action and key levels to gauge market sentiment.
Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
🌟 “Patience and discipline separate the successful trader from the rest.”
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
Supply Zone
SIYSIL: A Strong Demand Zone Setup with High Reward Potential!When it comes to technical analysis, understanding demand zones can give traders an edge in identifying potential reversal points. Demand zones represent the footprints of institutional players who significantly influence the market. These zones indicate unfilled buy orders, and when the price revisits these areas, institutions tend to buy again, leading to a reversal.
Let's dive into SIYSIL's price action and explore its technical structure!
🌟 Weekly Chart Analysis
SIYSIL is currently displaying a highly structured setup. If we analyze the weekly chart , we can clearly see a well-defined Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) Demand Zone . The strength of this demand zone is reinforced by the fact that it broke a previous significant resistance level and formed an all-time high .
📊 Daily Chart Confirmation
Upon shifting to the daily chart , the same demand zone is clearly visible. A strong follow-through from this zone has resulted in a powerful imbalance, further validating the structure.
Moreover, there are currently no nearby supply zones that could act as resistance, making this demand zone even more significant.
💡 Observations
Act of Polarity: The concept of polarity further strengthens this structure— the previous resistance level has now turned into support , aligning perfectly with the demand zone.
Market Conditions: While this setup appears strong, it's essential to consider the current weakness in the overall market . Even well-defined structures can face challenges in uncertain conditions, so risk management is crucial.
📈 Final Thoughts
SIYSIL presents a structured demand zone setup with multiple confirmations on both the weekly and daily charts. The alignment of the demand zone with previous resistance-turned-support adds a strong layer of confluence.
Lastly, thank you for your support. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
🚀 "A successful trader is not the one who never loses but the one who learns to manage losses."
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
How to define the Daily Bias for the Day? Determining the likely direction of the market for a particular day can be both challenging and cumbersome. Many traders find themselves overwhelmed by the multitude of data points and differing indicators. However, using a structured methodology, one can systematically analyze the chart and create a daily bias for the day.
If you are an intraday trader, you can use a combination of the Daily chart for the bias and the 15-minute chart for the entry, or alternatively, you can use a 75-minute chart for the bias and a 5-minute chart for the entry.
Steps to Identify the Daily Bias
1. Identify the Most Recent Swing High and Swing Low
The first step in defining the daily bias involves identifying the most recent swing high and swing low. This can be done manually, or you can use ready-made indicators available on trading platforms such as TradingView to plot these points on the chart. Understanding swing highs and lows are fundamental concepts in technical analysis, representing the highest and lowest points within a specific time period. These points can indicate potential reversal areas where the market may change direction.
2. Divide the Region into Two Equal Parts
Once the swing high and swing low are identified, the next step is to divide this region into two equal parts. This can be achieved using the rectangle tool in TradingView. Make sure to enable the middle line feature within the rectangle tool to visually divide the two sections. The middle line acts as a crucial reference point, providing a clear visual boundary between areas of perceived higher and lower value.
3. Define Retail and Wholesale Areas
After dividing the region into two parts, the upper section is termed the “Retail Area,” where prices are considered expensive. Conversely, the lower section is called the “Wholesale Area,” where prices are deemed cheap. This concept stems from the basic economic principle of supply and demand, where higher prices in the Retail Area suggest selling opportunities, and lower prices in the Wholesale Area indicate buying opportunities.
4. Focus on Buying and Selling Opportunities
With the areas defined, the next step is to focus on the appropriate trading opportunities. When prices are in the Retail Area, the focus should be on “Selling” opportunities. When prices are in the Wholesale Area, the focus should be on “Buying” opportunities. This methodology, known as “Curve Analysis” or determining your Bias for the day, simplifies the decision-making process by providing a clear framework for evaluating market conditions.
Example: BankNifty 75-Minute Chart
Let’s look at an example to understand this better. Here we have the BankNifty 75-minute chart. We have identified the most recent swing high and swing low on the chart and divided the section into two parts. The current market price is in the Wholesale Area, which means that on your execution time frame, which is 5 minutes, you will be focusing on buying or “Long” opportunities.
Now, proceed to the lower time frame and identify your key levels of interest using support, resistance, demand, supply, or any other technical analysis tools. Observe how the supply zone on the chart played out beautifully and how prices fell from the Retail Area. This example illustrates the practical application of the methodology, demonstrating how historical price movements can inform future trading decisions.
While the above steps provide a solid foundation for defining the daily bias, incorporating the following advanced tips can enhance your trading efficiency:
1. Use Multiple Time Frames
Integrate multiple time frames to gain a comprehensive view of the market. For example, use the Daily chart to determine the overall bias and the 15-minute or 5-minute chart for precise entries and exits. This multi-time frame analysis allows traders to align shorter-term trades with the broader market trend, increasing the likelihood of successful outcomes.
2. Incorporate Technical Indicators
Employ technical indicators such as Moving Averages, RSI, and MACD to corroborate your bias. Confirming signals from multiple sources can provide greater confidence in your trades. These indicators serve as additional tools to validate the defined bias, offering insights into market momentum, overbought or oversold conditions, and potential trend reversals.
3. Monitor Economic News
Stay updated with economic news and events that could influence market movements. Important news releases can cause significant price fluctuations, impacting your defined bias. Economic indicators, such as GDP reports, employment data, and central bank announcements, can have profound effects on market sentiment and price action.
4. Practice Risk Management
Always practice sound risk management strategies. Define your risk tolerance levels and use stop-loss orders to protect your capital. Never risk more than you can afford to lose on any single trade. Effective risk management involves setting appropriate position sizes, diversifying trades, and adhering to pre-defined risk parameters to safeguard against unforeseen market movements.
5. Keep a Trading Journal
Maintain a trading journal to record your trades, strategies, and outcomes. Analyzing past trades can help you refine your methodology and improve future performance. A detailed journal provides valuable insights into trading patterns, strengths, and areas for improvement, fostering continuous learning and development.
Conclusion
Defining the daily bias for the day is crucial for successful intraday trading. By following the structured steps of identifying swing highs and lows, dividing the price region into Retail and Wholesale areas, and focusing on appropriate buying and selling opportunities, traders can streamline their market analysis. Remember to use multiple time frames, incorporate technical indicators, stay informed about economic news, practice risk management, and maintain a trading journal. With these strategies in place, you can effectively navigate the markets and enhance your trading performance.
I hope you all find this article useful. Do give your valuable feedback in the comments section.
HOW-TO: Use Demand and Supply Zones Pro [Afnan] As Screener In this video, I walks you through an exciting update to the Demand and Supply Zones Pro Indicator—integration with TradingView’s Pine Screener. This powerful tool allows traders to scan stocks based on demand and supply zones, helping to streamline your trading process and increase your efficiency.
Key Highlights:
Learn how to set up the Pine Screener for scanning stocks from your watchlist based on demand and supply zones.
A step-by-step guide to creating and using a Nifty 200 Watchlist.
Setting up Demand and Supply Zones Pro with custom timeframe and alert configurations.
How the screener analyzes stocks, focusing on demand and supply zone proximity and key price levels.
Understanding the columns in the Pine Screener and how to interpret them for your trades.
This screener is available exclusively to Premium and higher TradingView plans, so ensure your account is upgraded to take advantage of this feature.
HINDALCO 10R probable trade set upThe short-term price action for Hindalco appears to be positive, with some bullish indicators:
The stock is trading above its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 657.
The price is in the upper range of the Bollinger Bands, suggesting strong momentum.
The MACD has generated a buy signal, although it is initial and weak.
The CCI (Commodity Channel Index) has generated a strong buy signal.
However, there are also some cautionary signs:
The RSI is generating a sell signal in the short term.
Volume-based indicators are showing selling momentum.
Medium-term Outlook
The medium-term analysis reveals a more complex picture:
The stock is trading slightly above the 200-day Moving Average, around 6521.
The zone between 652-620 is considered a crucial demand area.
The RSI on the daily timeframe shows early signs of reversal, suggesting potential bullish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: A critical resistance level is identified near 715. Breaking above this level could negate the existing negative trend and confirm a reversal.
Support: The 652-620 range is an important support zone. Maintaining a position above this range is crucial to prevent further selling pressure1.
Options Data
The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) for various strike prices indicates:
For the 630 strike, the PCR is 3.58, suggesting more put options are being traded relative to call options.
Higher strike prices (710, 720, 750) show lower PCR values, indicating less bearish sentiment for those levels.
BTC Short setup for 04-12-2024 Looking for the short setup from two point of zone.
First zone is at 97k and second one is at 97800 levels as marked in chart.
BTC seems changing the direction for the shortterm correction till 87-85k levels.
Entries would be identified after finding the reversal setup as mentioned in the chart.
Trade with right risk and reward.
This is shared only for the educational purpose.
Honaut: Strong Daily Demand Zone & 44,000 Weekly SupportHonaut is currently trading entering a strong daily demand zone between 44,275 and 43,060, which could offer significant support if price stays within this range. Additionally, we observe a key weekly support line at 44,000 (also aligns with a psychological level). This makes it an even more significant area for potential price action.
Key Levels:
Daily Demand Zone: 44,275 and 43,060
Weekly resistance turned support Line: 44,000 (previous resistance now acting as support)
If the price remains within the demand zone, this could be an ideal area for potential reversals, especially with the added confluence of the 44,000 psychological level. Watch for price action confirmation and the possibility of an uptrend continuation or reversal as the price approaches this zone.
BITCOIN FORMED BULLISH DIVERGENCE FUELING TO 75KScenario 1: CRYPTOCAP:BTC Moves Up with Strong Volume After a Rate Cut
Bullish Divergence Support: The bullish divergence suggests that #Bitcoin is gaining strength, indicating a potential upward move.
Volume Confirmation: If BTC moves up with solid volume post-rate cut, it could break through 74k and potentially head higher. Increased volume after the rate cut could be a sign that institutional or retail investors are confident in the rally, driving prices above previous resistance levels.
Target: If this scenario plays out, BTC could surpass the 74k mark, especially if the broader market sentiment is favorable post-rate cut.
Scenario 2: BTC Reaches 73k, Then Faces Another Correction
Resistance at 73k: If BTC reaches 73k but struggles to break above it, this would indicate a strong resistance zone. A pullback could follow as the market hesitates or prepares for another consolidation phase.
Correction Potential: In this case, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may correct before attempting another rally. This could be a short-term dip that sets the stage for a more significant breakout once the market rebalances.
Target: If the price reaches 73k but can't break it, then a pullback would likely bring BTC back into a lower range for a while before making another attempt at the next breakout.
Key Factors to Watch:
1. Volume: As you noted, volume is crucial. A strong volume push above resistance (like 73k) would favor Scenario 1.
2. Macro Events: The rate cut and overall macroeconomic factors could heavily influence the market. If the rate cut signals more liquidity or favorable conditions for risk assets like Bitcoin, Scenario 1 becomes more probable.
3. Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment in both crypto and traditional markets will play a role. If broader financial markets are stable or bullish, Bitcoin could push past the resistance levels.
Ultimately, monitoring the price action around the 73k and 74k levels, as well as volume trends, will help clarify which scenario is more likely.
Adani Enterprises: 100 pts long trade.First of all Happy Deepavali to Everyone. Wish everyone a happy trading year.
* Previous ICICI Bank trade worked out very well achieving all its targets. Still following the trend channel.
* Adani enterprise after taking A strong support from 2700 level on the way to retest its swing high 3100 - 3200.
* Presently trading on fib retracement zone of 0.5 to 0.6 at 2950 level.
*Trade levels for the trade
Target levels: 3100-3200 (if resistance breaks, can take more risk)
Stop loss: 2900
Risk/Reward ratio: 1:2
Reliance in confluence of demand zones- Long OpportunityReliance is currently sitting in the weekly and daily demand zones, providing strong support.
weekly zone
Daily zone:
However, the price has yet to reach the 4-hour and 2-hour demand zones, which are located near the bottom of the weekly and daily zones, adding further strength to this area.
For an ideal long entry, wait for the price to touch the 4-hour and 2-hour demand zones, as this will reinforce the potential reversal. Once these zones are tested, a breakout above the key trendline could signal a bullish move. Monitor the trendline breakout as confirmation to take a long position.
Nifty Intraday Levels | 16-OCT-2024This trading strategy focuses on scalping Nifty options based on institutional support and resistance zones and executing trades using order flow data. Here's a quick summary of the key points:
1️⃣ Zones to Focus on:
👉Green Zone: Represents institutional support.
👉Red Zone: Indicates institutional resistance.
👉Gap Between Zones: Typically ranges from 100-200 points.
👉Zone Creation: Uses pivot points and Fibonacci levels.
👉Price Action: An advanced version for refined entries and exits.
👉Chart Reference: Trades are executed based on the Nifty futures chart.
2️⃣ Trade Execution:
👉Order Flow Data: Trades are triggered by tracking the market's order flow.
👉Timeframes: Focus on the 1-minute and 5-minute charts for quick scalps.
👉Risk-Reward Ratio: Strict 1:2 (Risk 1 to gain 2).
👉Strike Price: Target at-the-money (ATM) or slightly in-the-money (ITM) options.
👉Position Sizing: Customize based on personal risk tolerance.
3️⃣ House Rules:
👉Sharp Execution: Be ready at 9:15 AM for market open.
👉Risk Management: Always a priority.
👉Quick Trades: Fast execution "morning breakfast".
👉Strict Stop-Loss: Set at 10 points to limit losses.
This method is well-structured for traders who prioritize risk management and quick scalping opportunities in the Nifty market.
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Gokul Agro-Volume breakout of ATHGokul agro has tested level of 150 multiple times in last couple of years.
Stock has managed to break the level now with heavy volumes.
Stock can be accumulated for big returns in future, more than 2x.
Stock is available at decent valuations currently.
However, stock comes under high risk category so safe investors should stay away.
However, such breakouts normally bring explosive move in small cap stocks, given broader markets are supportive.
Keep in watchlist for educational purposes.
IS IT TIME FOR REVERSAL IN NHPCNHPC has been moving in a Parallel Channel from January. No green candle has closed above the upper trendline. There is also a Resistance Zone between 115-119.
After testing the above resistance zone the price has been continuously falling to touch the Bottom Trendline. Yesterday a green candle has been formed signalling a trend reversal.
A buy can be initiated above the candles high for a 1st Target of 116 and a 2nd target of 126 if it breaks the Resistance zone.
Tata Motors - Poised for a Powerful UpsurgeTata Motors is presenting an exciting setup, and all signs point to a potential strong move upwards, thanks to multiple demand zones aligning perfectly across higher time frames.
Monthly Demand Zone : Tata Motors has firmly entered a high-confluence area, with the monthly and daily demand zones acting as a solid foundation. These zones represent areas where big buyers historically step in, making it a strong base for a bullish reversal. The confluence between the larger time frames adds even more strength to this zone, suggesting a high probability of upward momentum.
Monthly Demand Zone
Daily Demand Zone Reactivity: On the daily chart, the price dipped into a daily demand zone, triggering a sharp bounce. The immediate reaction from buyers shows the validity of this zone, with bulls actively defending it. This reactivity adds further confidence that Tata Motors may have found a strong floor.( visible in lower time frame Charts)
Daily Demand Zone:
Lower time frame Reaction:
Higher Timeframe Trendline Support : Adding more weight to this bullish setup is a long-term trendline support, which has acted as a reliable level for price to bounce from historically. This trendline is now aligning with the demand zones, creating a super-strong support structure. It’s not just the demand zones that are holding; the higher timeframe trendline is also providing a solid foundation for the price to launch upward.
Trend Line support
Gap-Filling Opportunity: There’s also a gap in price that remains unfilled, creating a target area for bulls to aim for. Gaps often act like magnets for price, and with the support from both the demand zones and the trendline, Tata Motors looks set to make its way upward to close this gap
With Tata Motors sitting in a confluence of monthly and daily demand zones, supported by a long-term trendline and a gap-filling opportunity, the setup is ripe for a significant upside move. The alignment of demand zones across multiple timeframes combined with the trendline support creates a compelling case for a bullish rally. This is one to watch for a potential strong uptrend!
Dr. Reddy's : Triangle Pattern Formation in Demand ZonesDr. Reddy's stock is currently forming a descending triangle pattern on the 2-hour, 4-hour, and daily demand Zones. This pattern and its positioning within demand zones are crucial for potential future movements.
Key Observations:
Triangle Pattern : The stock is creating a descending triangle pattern, characterized by a series of lower highs and a horizontal support level. This pattern often precedes a breakout or breakdown, depending on the direction of the price action.
Demand Zones: The triangle pattern is developing within established demand zones on all three time frames. These zones are areas where buying interest has been strong in the past, which may influence the pattern's outcome on the upside.
Implications:
Potential Breakout : Watch for a breakout above the upper trendline signaling the start of a new trend.
Support Levels: The demand zones within the triangle may act as crucial support levels. A bounce from these levels could lead to a trend reversal.
Key Levels:
Demand Zones:
Daily:
4Hour:
2Hour:
Pattern:
Lets monitor the price action closely as the stock approaches the apex of the triangle pattern for potential trading opportunities when it breaks out
Vodafone in 4H & 2H Demand Zones: Potential Reversal Ahead?Vodafone is currently consolidating in both the 4-hour and 2-hour demand zones , coupled with daily trendline support , indicating a strong potential for a bullish reversal. This price consolidation suggests potential accumulation and could lead to a bullish reversal in the near future. Also convergence of support levels across multiple time frames adds confidence to a possible bounce in price action. There should be a lookout for a potential bullish breakout, especially considering the strong confluence of support levels.
Key Levels:
Daily Trendline Support:
4H Demand Zone:
2H Demand Zone:
Breakout Possibility
The price is consolidating within the demand zones in both the 4H and 2H time frames, while maintaining contact with a daily trendline support. This consolidation could signal an accumulation phase, where the market is indecisive before a breakout. Once the price has broken out of the range (i.e resistance @ 13.77), The target could be the next supply zone around 15. There is also a small gap filling opportunity as well
Taking Rejection from a Strong Support Zone.ONGC is Standing on Strong Support Zone. If this Support Zone Breaks Firstly, it Will Definitely Turn Bearish and Downtrend might Continue Secondly, it Multi-year Breakout Will Also Fail. But there are stronger Chances and Probability of ONGC Showing Reversal From this Point.