#XAUUSD/H4 Gold is bottoming out or continuing to adjust?Market outlook for the European-American trading session on November 15, 2024:
The price correction of gold has been weakening, possibly forming a bottom. However, it is advisable to be patient and wait for lower price levels to find a good entry point.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Key price levels to pay attention to:
🔴BUY zone: 2550 - 2555, 2535 - 2540, and 2515 - 2520.
🔴SELL zone: 2572 - 2577, 2585 - 2590, and 2609 - 2614.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2551 - 2553
SL 2548
TP 2556 - 2565 - 2575 - 2590.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2538 - 2540
SL 2535
TP 2543 - 2550 - 2570 - 2590.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2588 - 2590
SL 2593
TP 2585 - 2575 - 2565 - 2560.
Support and Resistance
How moving average works on chartsHello mates sharing a view
How Moving Averages Work
A moving average works by calculating the average price of a security over a specific period of time, and then updating that average as new price data becomes available. The purpose is to help eliminate noise (short-term price fluctuations) to provide a clearer view of the underlying trend.
Types of Moving Averages
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Definition: The most basic type of moving average. It is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a security’s price over a specified number of periods.
Formula:
SMA=Sum of closing prices over a periodNumber of periods
SMA=Number of periodsSum of closing prices over a period
Example: A 10-period SMA adds up the last 10 closing prices and divides by 10. As each new closing price comes in, the oldest price is dropped, and the new price is added.
Use: The SMA smooths out price data and provides a basic view of the average price over the chosen period.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Definition: A more sophisticated type of moving average that gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes compared to the SMA.
Formula: The calculation is more complex than the SMA but it’s designed to give more emphasis on the latest price data.
Use: The EMA is often preferred in volatile markets because it reacts more quickly to price movements, providing more timely signals.
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Definition: Similar to the EMA but with a simpler calculation. It assigns a specific weight to each data point, with more weight placed on the more recent prices.
Use: Like the EMA, the WMA is more sensitive to recent price changes compared to the SMA.
Common Periods for Moving Averages
Short-Term (Fast) MAs: 9, 10, 20 periods (e.g., 10-day or 20-day SMA or EMA)
Medium-Term MAs: 50 periods (e.g., 50-day SMA or EMA)
Long-Term (Slow) MAs: 100, 200 periods (e.g., 200-day SMA or EMA)
Key Uses of Moving Averages
Trend Identification
Uptrend: When the price is above the moving average, it signals an uptrend.
Downtrend: When the price is below the moving average, it signals a downtrend.
Sideways (Neutral) Trend: When the price moves sideways and stays close to the moving average, this indicates no clear trend.
Support and Resistance Levels
Moving averages can act as dynamic support and resistance levels. In an uptrend, the price might repeatedly bounce off a moving average, using it as support. In a downtrend, the moving average might act as resistance.
For example, in a strong uptrend, the 50-day or 200-day moving average might act as a support level, where price tends to pull back to and then bounce up again.
Crossovers (Golden and Death Crosses)
Golden Cross: A bullish signal occurs when a short-term moving average (like the 50-day SMA) crosses above a long-term moving average (like the 200-day SMA). This is seen as a confirmation of an uptrend.
Death Cross: A bearish signal occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a long-term moving average. This is seen as a confirmation of a downtrend.
Momentum and Buy/Sell Signals
When the price crosses above a moving average: This is often considered a bullish signal, suggesting that an upward trend could be starting.
When the price crosses below a moving average: This is typically a bearish signal, suggesting a potential downward trend.
Smoothing Volatility
By averaging out price data over a set period, moving averages help reduce the "noise" of daily price fluctuations and provide a clearer view of the overall trend.
How to Use Moving Averages in Charts
Plotting Moving Averages: On most charting platforms, you can easily overlay a moving average by selecting the tool from the indicators list and choosing the period (e.g., 50-day or 200-day).
Adjust the Time Period: You can experiment with different time periods to adjust the sensitivity of the moving average. Shorter periods (e.g., 10-day) react faster to price changes, while longer periods (e.g., 200-day) provide a smoother, slower-moving trend line.
Example of Using Moving Averages
Trend Confirmation:
If the price is consistently above the 50-day moving average, the market is likely in an uptrend, and you might look for buy opportunities.
If the price is consistently below the 50-day moving average, the market is in a downtrend, and you might look for sell opportunities.
Golden Cross (Bullish Signal):
Suppose the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA — this is the "Golden Cross," a classic signal that suggests the start of a strong uptrend. Traders may start looking for long (buy) positions.
Death Cross (Bearish Signal):
Conversely, if the 50-day SMA crosses below the 200-day SMA, it forms a "Death Cross," signaling a potential downtrend, and traders may look for short (sell) opportunities.
Using Moving Averages as Support/Resistance:
In an uptrend, the price might pull back toward the 50-day moving average and then bounce back up. This makes the 50-day MA act as a dynamic support level.
In a downtrend, the price might approach the 50-day MA and then reverse downward. This makes the 50-day MA act as a resistance level.
How to draw support and resistance level on chart1. Identify the Trend
Support: This is the price level where a downtrend can pause or reverse. It occurs when buyers are expected to step in and push the price upward.
Resistance: This is the price level where an uptrend can pause or reverse. It occurs when sellers are expected to step in and push the price downward.
Key tip: The more times the price touches a particular level and reverses, the stronger the support or resistance.
2. Locate Significant Highs and Lows
Support: Look for the lowest points where the price has previously bounced. These are the bottoms where price failed to drop further.
Resistance: Look for the highest points where the price has previously been unable to break through. These are the tops where price failed to rise further.
Key tip: You want to find significant turning points — areas where price made a sharp reversal.
3. Use Horizontal Lines to Mark Levels
Support: Draw a horizontal line along the most recent low or lows where price reversed or consolidated. This will mark the support zone.
Resistance: Draw a horizontal line along the most recent high or highs where price reversed or faced rejection. This will mark the resistance zone.
Key tip: You can use multiple points to validate a support or resistance level. If a price has touched and reversed at the same level multiple times, it becomes more reliable.
4. Adjust for Areas (Zones, Not Just Exact Price Points)
Often, support and resistance are not exact price points but zones where price action tends to cluster. For example, if a stock often bounces between $100 and $105, you might draw a support level around $100-105 rather than at one specific price.
Key tip: Consider the range of price movement around these levels. Drawing the lines as zones can provide more flexibility for trading.
5. Look for Volume Confirmation
High trading volume near a support or resistance level adds strength to the level. A breakout or breakdown accompanied by high volume suggests that the level is more significant.
Key tip: Pay attention to volume spikes when the price approaches key support or resistance levels. This may indicate that a breakout or breakdown is imminent.
6. Dynamic Support and Resistance
These levels are not always static. Trends can create dynamic support (in uptrends) or dynamic resistance (in downtrends), where support or resistance is aligned with trendlines or moving averages.
Key tip: In trending markets, you can use tools like trendlines or moving averages (like the 50-day or 200-day moving average) to spot dynamic support and resistance.
7. Check for Price Patterns
Price patterns such as triangles, channels, or head-and-shoulders can also help you identify key support and resistance zones.
EURGBP - TRADE IDEA ON LONG SIDE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - EURGBP
EURGBP is currently trading at 0.8272
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying EURGBP pair at CMP 0.8272
I will be adding more if 0.8245 comes & will hold with SL 0.8225
Targets I'm expecting are 0.8345 - 0.8370 & above.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Nifty levels - Nov 18, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
BankNifty levels - Nov 18, 2024Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
BankNifty levels - Nov 15, 2024Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Nifty levels - Nov 15, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 14th November 2024NSE:NIFTY
Index closed near 23560 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in current weekly contract:
Call Writing
24000 Strike – 106.68 Lakh
23800 Strike – 79.12 Lakh
24100 Strike – 74.90 Lakh
Put Writing
23000 Strike – 89.40 Lakh
23300 Strike – 60.65 Lakh
23500 Strike – 48.49 Lakh
Index has immediate support near 23350 – 23300 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 23100 – 23000 range.
Index has resistance near 23750 – 23800 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 24000 - 24100 range.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 14th November 2024NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index closed near 50090 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in current Monthly contract:
Call Writing
51000 Strike – 9.94 Lakh
50500 Strike – 5.68 Lakh
50000 Strike – 4.88 Lakh
Put Writing
49500 Strike – 15.96 Lakh
50000 Strike – 12.86 Lakh
49000 Strike – 11.67 Lakh
Index has immediate support near 49600 - 49500 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 49000 - 48900 range.
Index has resistance near 50650 – 50800 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 51100 – 51300 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 14th November 2024NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index closed near 23140 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in current weekly contract:
Call Writing
23600 Strike – 4.61 Lakh
23500 Strike – 4.58 Lakh
23400 Strike – 2.77 Lakh
Put Writing
22900 Strike – 2.97 Lakh
23000 Strike – 2.29 Lakh
23300 Strike – 1.62 Lakh
Index has immediate support near 22900 – 22800 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 22600 – 22500 range.
Index has resistance near 23350 - 23400 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 23550 - 23600 range.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 14th November 2024NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index closed near 12120 level and Maximum Call and Put Writing near CMP as below in current weekly contract:
Call Writing
12500 Strike – 17.47 Lakh
12200 Strike – 8.86 Lakh
12400 Strike – 7.79 Lakh
Put Writing
12000 Strike – 8.06 Lakh
12200 Strike – 6.38 Lakh
11800 Strike – 5.99 Lakh
Index has immediate support near 12000 – 12950 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 11800 – 11750 range.
Index has immediate resistance near 12225 - 12275 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 12350 – 12400 range.
Bank Nifty Under Pressure: Head-and-ShouldersNSE:BANKNIFTY has currently formed a head-and-shoulders pattern, indicating potential bearish sentiment. The asset has been showing weakness over the past few days. Additionally, a diamond pattern formed inside the right shoulder, which has also broken down. The 49650 level is a strong support line and serves as the neckline of the head-and-shoulders pattern. The market is slowly approaching this level, and if it breaks, the target could be as low as 46000.
Meanwhile, Bank Nifty is approaching the 50 EMA on the weekly chart after a strong close on the 20 EMA. Overall, the indications point to a bearish outlook for Bank Nifty. Traders should remain cautious and monitor the market closely for any potential developments.
NIACL Trading Close to Demand Zone of ₹176.8-₹169.25NIACL is currently trading at ₹174.24, nearing its demand zone between ₹176.8 and ₹169.25. This zone may attract buying interest based on past price behavior, potentially acting as a support level. Investors should keep an eye on price movements within this range for signs of a reversal or buying momentum.
IRCTC Trading NearTested Demand Zone of ₹797-₹778.65IRCTC is currently trading at ₹801.4, positioned near a previously tested demand zone between ₹797 and ₹778.65. The stock has previously shown buying interest in this range, which may serve as a support level again. Investors can monitor for any price reactions or potential rebounds to consider new entry points.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 14.11.2024On Wednesday, BankNifty opened with a gap down and saw sharp selling pressure in heavyweight stocks, plummeting over 1,250 points and hitting a low of 49,904.40—right into the key Daily Demand Zone highlighted in the last post. It closed at 50,088.35, down 1,069 points on the last weekly expiry. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) has turned negative.
As anticipated, breaking below 50,900 triggered a significant decline of 1,000 points. BankNifty did find support within the Daily Demand Zone (49,654.65 - 49,959.25) and bounced to 50,339.45 toward the session’s end. If this zone holds, we might see a rebound to 50,725 - 51,000. Notably, BankNifty has now corrected 4,563 points from its all-time high of 54,467.35, reflecting an 8.37% decline from the peak.
Demand/Support Zones
Key Support (Daily): 49,654.65 - 49,959.25 (current price within this zone)
Far Support: 49,282.65 (61.8% FIBO Level)
Extended Support (Daily): 44,633.85 - 45,750.40
Supply/Resistance Zones
Immediate Resistance (15m): 50,725.35 - 50,852.45
Higher Resistance (30m): 51,586.35 - 51,874.70
Major Resistance (Daily): 51,562.70 - 52,493.95
Is ROSEUSDT Poised for a Bullish Breakout?Yello, Paradisers! ROSEUSDT is showing signs of a potential bullish breakout. With a confirmed bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), a broken resistance trendline paired with bullish divergence, and the recent formation of a "W" pattern, the stage is set for a potential upward move.
💎If ROSEUSDT manages to break through the current resistance zone and closes a candle above it, this will validate the W pattern and significantly raise the likelihood of a strong bullish push. Traders could see increased momentum once this confirmation occurs, presenting a solid entry opportunity.
💎Should a retracement occur instead, look for a potential triple bottom forming near the support zone. This would reinforce the bullish structure, but for higher accuracy, monitor lower timeframes for another bullish CHoCH. This extra confirmation can help improve the trade’s probability in our favor.
💎However, if price breaks down and closes candle below the support zone, it would invalidate our bullish outlook. In that scenario, it’s best to avoid entering and wait patiently for more favorable price action to develop before taking any positions.
Patience and precision will make all the difference in positioning well for the next move. Stay strategic, and keep your trading plan steady.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 14.11.2024On Wednesday, Nifty opened with a gap down and, driven by heavy selling in major stocks, dropped to a low of 23,509.60, entering the key Daily Demand Zone mentioned in the previous post. It closed at 23,559.05, down 324 points. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) is sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) remains negative.
However, since Nifty has entered and closed within the Daily Demand Zone, if this support holds, we could see some bullish momentum toward the 23,900–24,250 range. It’s worth noting that Nifty has already corrected 2,767.75 points from the high of 26,277.35, marking a 10% drop from the peak.
Demand/Support Zones
Key Support (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667.10 (current price within this zone)
Far Support: 23,189.88 (61.8% FIBO)
Extended Support (Daily): 22,642.60 - 22,910.15
Supply/Resistance Zones
Immediate Resistance (30m): 23,908.65 - 23,992.50
Higher Resistance (75m): 24,106.90 - 24,242.00
Extended Resistance (75m): 24,447.65 - 24,537.60
Key Resistance (75m): 24,636.75 - 24,741.45