XAU/USD: Targeting $4,100! Where to Buy Before the FOMC Minutes?Hello TradingView community! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to demonstrate incredible strength, consistently breaking past old highs and forming a solid upward price channel. This robust uptrend is not only technically reinforced but also awaits a potential catalyst from today's significant fundamental news.
In this analysis, we will combine two crucial perspectives: an in-depth look at the technical charts to identify optimal entry points, and an examination of the key fundamental event that could significantly impact Gold prices during the US session.
1. Fundamental Perspective: All Eyes on the FOMC Minutes
Today's market highlight, Wednesday, October 8, is the release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2:00 PM ET
Why is this important? This document provides a detailed record of the latest policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) in September. Traders will scrutinise the text for any hints about the future interest rate path.
Potential scenarios:
"Dovish" Tone: If the minutes reveal FED officials' concerns about economic growth and the possibility of further rate cuts, the US Dollar might weaken. This would create a strong push for Gold (XAU/USD), potentially driving the next price surge.
"Hawkish" Tone: If the minutes emphasise that inflation remains a concern and the FED is not in a hurry to cut rates, the USD might see a short-term recovery, causing Gold to have a corrective dip.
This event is a top catalyst for volatility. Our strategy is to prepare technical zones to capitalise on the market's reaction.
2. Technical Analysis: Detailed Trading Plan
The bullish structure on the 2H timeframe is undeniable. Prices are creating a series of higher highs, confirmed by each "BoS" (Break of Structure), signalling that the Buyers are in full control. Here are the key zones to watch:
Potential Buy Zones (Key Points):
FVG Zone ($4,004): The nearest support is this Fair Value Gap, an area of price imbalance that the market often seeks to fill. Prices may retest this area before or during the news release.
"Buy Break BoS" Zone ($3,981): This is the nearest swing high that has been broken. Now it has turned from resistance into a crucial support level. This zone offers a solid entry point if prices correct slightly deeper.
"Bullish Order Block" Zone ($3,951): This is the last major "stronghold" of the Buyers—a powerful buy order block that initiated the latest push wave. This is an ideal area to look for buy orders if the market experiences a strong liquidity sweep downwards.
Upside Targets:
Short-term Target (Scalping): $4,070 - This level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Main Target: "Liquidity Sell" Zone at $4,103. This is a large "liquidity pool" where the Sellers' stop-loss orders are likely concentrated. Smart money often drives prices to such areas.
Strategy Summary
Main Trend: Bullish.
Core Strategy: Look for "Buy the dip" opportunities at the key support zones mentioned.
Critical Timing: Be cautious around the FOMC Minutes release (18:00 UTC). Volatility can be high, and the market may whip in both directions to sweep stop-losses before following the main trend.
Pro Tip: Patience is key. Waiting for prices to pull back to a confirmed support zone will provide a much better Risk/Reward ratio than chasing the market at the top.
WHAT'S YOUR VIEW?
How do you think Gold will react to today's FOMC minutes? And where are you looking to place your buy orders—at the FVG zone $4,004, the BoS level $3,981, or are you patiently waiting for the Order Block $3,951?
Share your views in the comments below!
👇 Don't forget to leave a Like 👍 and Follow the channel for the latest XAU/USD analysis updates!
Support and Resistance
Pilani Investment and Industries Ltd – DailyMarket Structure:
Price is currently in a bullish market structure, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows after breaking previous internal structure. The recent pullback appears to be a retracement into a discount zone, aligning with potential demand area.
Point of Interest (POI):
A clear demand zone is visible around ₹5,200–₹5,300, where price previously showed strong bullish reaction. Current price action suggests liquidity sweep below recent equal lows before potential mitigation.
Liquidity & Imbalance:
Liquidity Grab: Possible short-term liquidity sweep below minor lows (~₹5,320 zone).
Imbalance/FVG: Fair value gap present between ₹5,350–₹5,450, likely to be filled during bullish continuation.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Around ₹5,250–₹5,300 (reaction from demand zone).
Stop Loss: Below ₹4,800 (invalidates bullish setup).
Target: ₹6,000–₹6,050 (retest of previous supply zone).
Bias: 🟢 Bullish — Expecting mitigation of demand and continuation toward premium side.
Confirmation: Watch for bullish BOS (Break of Structure) and displacement before entry.
Retesting of Impulsive moveNSE:HBLENGINE
This is in healthy up-trend. Shown the breakout on 01 Sep 2025, and again tested the previous levels, formed multiple bullish candles (24 Sep 2025 and 01 Oct 2025), also formed "W" Pattern at previous breakout levels. If we consider the blending of candles from 23 sep 2025 to 01 Oct 2025 it shows the bullish candles
Buy at 840
Stop loss 805
Target 910
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 08th October 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25250 – 25300 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25450 – 25500 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24950 – 24900 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24750 – 24700 range.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 08th October 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 56650 – 56750 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 57150– 57250 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 55850 - 55750 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 55350 - 55250 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 08th October 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 26950 - 27000 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 27200 - 27250 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26575 – 26525 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26325 – 26275 range.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 08th October 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13175 – 13200 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13325 – 13350 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 12900 – 12875 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12775 – 12750 range.
JSL TECHNICAL ANALYSISStructure: Price is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish rally.
Support Zone: The chart highlights an unmitigated Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the discount zone (~₹700–₹720), which aligns with a strong previous resistance turned support area.
Current Price Action: Price is trading around ₹747, slightly above the FVG zone, showing mild bearish momentum.
Expectation: If price dips into the FVG in discount zone and holds, it could act as a high-probability demand zone for a bullish reversal.
Invalidation: A daily close below ₹690 would invalidate bullish bias and open downside risk.
Upside Target: On confirmation of reversal, potential targets are around ₹800–₹820, near recent swing highs.
Powerful Setup & Art of the Pullback: Supply & Demand Concept📊 Supply & Demand View 📊
When you look closely, supply and demand zones are essentially the fingerprints of institutional activity. Big players rarely dump or buy entire positions in one shot—they stagger their trades, leaving behind identifiable imbalances on the charts. Every time price revisits these zones, it tends to react sharply.
Take Zydus Wellness as a clear example of this dynamic. After an impressive rally to a fresh all-time high, a predictable wave of profit-taking emerged, carving out a new supply zone at the top. This is the moment where sellers stepped in decisively, nudging prices down in a healthy correction. These zones aren’t just lines or boxes on a chart—they mark areas where significant buying or selling has historically occurred, often foreshadowing price reversals.
Now here’s where it gets interesting: price is at strong demand zone, And this isn’t just any support level—this is the very origin of the rally that shattered all previous resistance and propelled the stock to its highs. Areas like this tend to hold clusters of unfilled buy orders, meaning a return to this level often triggers a meaningful bounce as buyers re-enter the fray.
🚀 Classical Chart View 🚀
From a more traditional technical lens, the story remains bullish. The chart highlights a key resistance that had capped price for some time. When this level finally broke, it wasn’t subtle—volume spiked, signaling strong conviction from major market participants.
This is a textbook “resistance becomes support” scenario. The price is now retesting this old barrier. What makes this retest particularly noteworthy is the noticeable drop in selling volume during the pullback. This drying of volume suggests sellers are losing momentum, making it more likely that the pause is temporary rather than a reversal. The convergence of this retested resistance with a high-quality demand zone creates a compelling setup for the next move higher.
✨ Final Takeaway ✨
Both perspectives are telling a consistent story. Supply and demand analysis highlights a prime zone for buyers to re-engage, while classical technical confirm the strength of the underlying trend. The price has already found a foothold at the Best Quality Demand Zone, which could very well act as the springboard for the next leg of the rally. For anyone considering a position, a stop-loss below 430 provides a sensible buffer beneath this structural support.
💡 Risk Management Reminder 💡
Even the cleanest setups aren’t guarantees. Stick to your risk rules, size positions carefully, and maintain a disciplined stop-loss. Remember—the goal is to protect capital, not to perfectly predict the market.
“The art of trading is not about being right all the time, but about losing less when you are wrong.”
🔄 Patience and discipline win more often than bold predictions. 🔄
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as trading advice. I’m not a SEBI-registered analyst.
INJ Spot Trade Setup – Waiting for PullbackINJ has been rejected at resistance, and we are now watching for a pullback into the $11.40 – $12.00 support zone. This level has acted as a strong support area in the past and may offer a good entry point for a long spot position.
🔹 Entry Zone: $11.40 – $12.00
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: $14.00 – $16.00
• TP2: $20.00 – $23.00
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $11.00 (conservative SL placement)
LINKUSD – Waiting for Pullback to Support Before Long EntryLINK was recently rejected at resistance, and we’re now watching for a pullback to confirm support before entering a long spot trade.
🔸 Trade Setup
We are targeting a long spot entry around $21.00 – $21.50, which aligns with prior structure and potential buyer interest. This zone could provide a strong foundation for a rebound if confirmed with price action or volume.
🔸 Targets & Risk Management
Take Profit 1: $27.00 – $31.00
Take Profit 2: $38.00 – $43.00
Stop Loss: Below $19.50
A clean bounce off support with a bullish structure would trigger the setup. Waiting for confirmation is key. As always, manage risk carefully.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 07th October 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25200 – 25250 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25350 – 25400 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24950 – 24900 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24750 – 24700 range.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 07th October 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 56500 – 56600 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 57000– 57100 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 55700 - 55600 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 55200 - 55100 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 07th October 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 26900 - 26950 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 27100 - 27150 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26525 – 26475 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26275 – 26225 range.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 07th October 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13075 – 13100 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13200 – 13225 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 12850 – 12825 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12725 – 12700 range.
Gold Near ₹4000, BofA Warns of Mid-Cycle Adjustment 📊 Market Context
Gold prices are inching closer to the ₹4,000/oz mark, but a fresh warning from Bank of America has made the market cautious. Strategist Paul Ciana notes that gold is over 20% above the MA200 – a level seen before sharp corrections in historical peak cycles (2008, 2011, 2020, 2022).
However, medium-term forecasts from Goldman Sachs, UBS, and even BofA still suggest that gold could reach ₹4200–₹4900/oz next year. This means the long-term upward trend is still intact – but the current phase is prone to unexpected corrections to shake off FOMO buying pressure.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000.
Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders.
Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark.
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910.
SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity.
Psychological resistance: ₹4000.
📈 Scenario & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933
SL: ₹3927
TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ???
✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995
SL: ₹4000
TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal.
Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark.
Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000.
Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders.
Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark.
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910.
SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity.
Psychological resistance: ₹4000.
📈 Scenario & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933
SL: ₹3927
TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ???
✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995
SL: ₹4000
TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal.
Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark.
Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”.
Nifty - Expiry Day Analysis Oct 7Today, the price moved along with the upper trend line of the channel and is sustaining above 25000. Now price has to break 25100 with bullish strength to move towards 25400.
The hourly chart shows the formation of a rounding bottom.
Buy above 25120 with the stop loss of 25070 for the targets 25160, 25200, 25260 and 25300.
Sell below 24960 with the stop loss of 25010 for the targets 24920, 24880, 24820 and 24780.
Expected expiry day range is 24900 to 24250.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Sustainable Price Rise: Where’s the Next Optimal Entry?Hello TradingView community! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) is in an extremely sustainable upward structure. Instead of lengthy analysis, let's dive straight into the action plan: What is the optimal entry point and what target is Gold aiming for? Check out the details below.
1. Market Structure Analysis: The Strength of the Bulls 🐂
Looking at the chart, the first thing that catches our eye is a series of "BoS" (Break of Structure).
Every time Gold breaks an old peak, it not only creates a Higher High but also confirms that the upward trend is very strong and sustainable. This indicates that buying power is completely overwhelming and shows no sign of weakening. Smart Money is continuously pushing the price higher, and our job is to ride this "wave."
2. Potential Buying Zones - Where to Catch the Wave? 🧐
To optimize profits and minimize risks, finding a beautiful entry point after a price correction is extremely important. Based on the chart, we have 2 noteworthy potential buying zones:
Buying Zone 1 - Fibonacci Confluence ($3885): This is an extremely ideal "Buy Zone," coinciding with the golden Fibonacci ratio of 0.618. In technical analysis, this is a very strong support level, where prices often tend to reverse and continue the main trend. Professional traders always hunt for pullbacks to this zone.
Buying Zone 2 - Exploiting FVG ($3914 - $3933): Slightly higher, we have the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area at $3914 and the "Buy Scalping" zone at $3933. These are "price gaps" created by supply-demand imbalances when prices rise too quickly. The market tends to return to fill these gaps before continuing its journey. This could be an opportunity for those wanting to catch an earlier wave.
3. Target Conquest - What’s Gold’s Next Destination? 🎯
Once we have a buying position, where will our target be?
Short-term target: The "Sell Scalping FVG" zone around $3969 could be a minor resistance point where some traders will take profits.
Main target: The ultimate destination this structure is aiming for is the "Sell Gold Liquidity" zone at $3998. This is an important "liquidity" area, concentrating many stop-loss orders of the Sellers. Prices are often attracted to these zones like a "magnet" to sweep liquidity before making further moves.
Summary & Advice
Main trend: UP.
Primary strategy: Buy on dip when prices correct to important support zones.
Potential buying zones: $3885 (Fibonacci) and $3914 - $3933 (FVG).
Price targets: $3969 (short-term) and $3998 (main target).
Always remember, risk management is the key to surviving in the market. Set reasonable Stop-loss for all your trades.
WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS PLAN?
Will Gold retrace to the Fibonacci zone $3885 or react right at the FVG zone $3914? Leave your opinions and perspectives in the comments below. We will discuss together to find the best opportunities!
👇 Don't forget to Like 👍 and Follow my TradingView channel to not miss daily Gold analyses!
BankNifty Daily, Butterfly pattern completed!Beautiful Butterfly 🦋 pattern has completed on Daily chart of BankNifty.
Expect some profit booking or neutral trend in coming days up-to 55840 level.
Most near level is the re-test of 78.6% level ( 56013 ), for a new UP trend ( investors ).
" Buy 🟢 " above 56013 with the stop loss 🔻 of 55840, for the
🎯 Target 1: 56300
🎯 Target 2: 56500
🎯 Target 3: 57000
🎯 Target 4: open.
" Sell 🔴 " below 55631with the stop loss 🔺 of 55843, for the
🎯 Target 1: 55363
🎯 Target 2: 55095
🎯 Target 3: 54763
🎯 Target 4: open.
Smart Levels is Smart Trading. 👨🎓
⚠ RISK DISCLAIMER :
All content provided by "TradeWithKeshhav" is for information & educational purposes only.
It does not constitute any financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. All investments / trading involve risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results / returns.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Regards :
@TradeWithKeshhav & team
Happy Trading and Investing!
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Nifty 50 Daily, Trend Based Fibonacci Extension (Natural levels)Hey Traders, I hope you all are doing well in your life.
Market is nature's response and Price is the God.
Let's check the market with the help of natural levels tool : Trend Based Fibonacci Extension .
After forming a ' W ' pattern on Daily chart, Nifty50 has given a pull-back ( base for Fib-Extension level tool, 24587 ).
Most near level is the re-test of 38.2% level ( 24980 ), for a new UP trend ( investors ).
" Buy 🟢 " above 25110 with the stop loss 🔻 of 24980, for the
🎯 Target 1: 25402
🎯 Target 2: 25650
🎯 Target 3: 26260
🎯 Target 4: 26500.
" Sell 🔴 " below 24960 with the stop loss 🔺 of 25110, for the
🎯 Target 1: 24880
🎯 Target 2: 24780
🎯 Target 3: 24680
🎯 Target 4: 24500.
Smart Levels is Smart Trading. 👨🎓
⚠ RISK DISCLAIMER :
All content provided by "TradeWithKeshhav" is for information & educational purposes only.
It does not constitute any financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. All investments / trading involve risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results / returns.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Regards :
@TradeWithKeshhav & team
Happy Trading and Investing!






















