renderwithme | NIFTY-50 for the week of August 11–15, 2025The Nifty 50 index, a benchmark for the Indian stock market, is expected to exhibit cautious and potentially bearish behaviour for the week of August 11–15, 2025, based on recent market trends, technical analysis, and macroeconomic factors. Below is a detailed analysis for the upcoming week
# Current Market Context
Recent Performance: As of August 8, 2025, the Nifty 50 closed at 24,363.30, down 232.85 points (-0.95%), reflecting a bearish sentiment driven by foreign fund outflows and US-India tariff tensions. The index has been trading within a descending channel, characterised by lower highs and lower lows, indicating short-term weakness.
Technical Indicators:
Weekly Chart: A candle formed on the weekly chart, signalling market Bearish. Confirmation of this pattern could indicate further consolidation or a directional move.
Moving Averages: The Nifty is below its 21-day EMA, suggesting bearish momentum. The 5-day SMA and EMA are around 24,843.75 and 24,865.11, respectively, acting as resistance.
RSI and MACD: RSI is in the 35–40 range, indicating oversold conditions, which could signal a potential short-term bounce. MACD remains bearish, reflecting sustained selling pressure.
Pivot Levels: Key resistance is at 25,600–25,925, with immediate support at 23,250–23,400. A break below 23,200 could push the index toward its 200-day DMA (~23,900).
Market Sentiment: Sentiment is cautious due to:FII Outflows: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold equities worth ₹4,997.19 crore on August 7, 2025, exerting downward pressure. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) countered with ₹10,864.04 crore in buys, providing some support.
Global Cues: Mixed global market performance (e.g., NASDAQ down 2.24%, Dow Jones up 0.29% on August 4) and US tariff hikes on Indian imports are weighing on sentiment.
RBI Policy: The upcoming RBI policy decision could influence market direction, particularly if it addresses interest rates or liquidity measures.
Nifty 50 Forecast for Next Week (August 11–15, 2025)Based on available data, here’s the forecast for the week:Key Levels to WatchSupport Levels: 23,200, 23,500, (200-DMA). If A weekly candle break and close below 22,000 could accelerate selling toward 22,500.
Resistance Levels: 25,545–25,955. A sustained move above 25,900 could signal a potential reversal, with 26,000 as a critical psychological level.
Trend: Bearish with support at 24,200 critical. A positive global cue (e.g., GIFT Nifty up 0.36% on August 4) could support a modest recovery.
#Technical Outlook
- Bearish Scenario: If the Nifty fails to hold 23,200, it could slide toward 22,900 or lower, aligning with the 200-DMA. The inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the weekly chart suggests a potential base at 22,900, but confirmation is pending.
- Bullish Scenario: A break above 24,600 could trigger a short-term rally toward 24,925–25,045. Sustaining above 25,000 may push the index toward 25,250, potentially signaling a trend reversal.
Indicators: Oversold RSI (35–40) suggests a possible bounce, but bearish MACD and selling volume indicate caution. Traders should monitor for a bullish crossover in MACD or RSI moving above 50 for confirmation of upward momentum.
Key Factors to WatchGlobal Markets: Movements in major indices like NASDAQ, Dow Jones, and FTSE will influence Nifty’s direction. Positive cues from GIFT Nifty (24,685 on August 4) could support a recovery.
FII/DII Activity: Continued FII selling could pressure the index, while DII buying may limit downside.
RBI Policy: Any dovish signals or liquidity measures could boost sentiment.
Sector Performance: Banking, IT, and energy sectors are critical. Stocks like SBI, Bharti Airtel, and Tata Motors may drive index movements.
Geopolitical and Tariff Issues: US-India trade tensions could cap upside potential.
Monitor volume and global cues for intraday trades.
Long-Term Investors:Current valuations near 23,200–23,400 are attractive for quality stocks. Accumulate fundamentally strong Nifty constituents (e.g., HDFC Bank, Reliance) on dips.
Use oversold conditions as an entry point for long-term portfolios, but diversify to mitigate volatility risks.
Critical PerspectiveWhile the sources provide detailed technical levels and predictions, they rely heavily on historical patterns and short-term indicators, which may not account for sudden macroeconomic shifts or black-swan events. The bearish bias is driven by FII outflows and tariff concerns, but DII support and potential RBI interventions could stabilize the market. Predictions like those from (e.g., Min: 22,200, Max: 26,240) show wide ranges, reflecting uncertainty and volatility. Investors should question overly precise forecasts and focus on broader trends, such as the index’s proximity to the 200-DMA and global market correlations.
ConclusionThe Nifty 50 is likely to remain range-bound between 23,900 and 24,925 next week, with a bearish bias unless it breaks above 24,600. Key supports at 24,200–24,000 and resistance at 24,600–25,045 will dictate short-term movements. Traders should stay cautious, monitor global cues, and prioritise risk management, while long-term investors may find opportunities in oversold conditions. Always verify critical information and consult a financial advisor before making decisions.
Chart for your Reference Only
~~ Disclaimer ~~
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational \ educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
# Boost and comment will be highly appreciated.
Support and Resistance
Nifty - Weekly Review Aug 11 to Aug 14Price has broken and closed below the important psychological zone of 24500. Bearish strength has increased.
Buy above 24500 with the stop loss of 24450 for the targets 24540, 24600, 24660, 24700, 24760, and 24820.
Sell below 24380 with the stop loss of 24440 for the targets 24320, 24280, 24220, 24180, 24120, 24080, and 24020.
24000 is another support seen. Let us see whether the price breaks this week.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Nifty Levels and Ideas for the Next Week (11th Aug - 14 Aug )Although there was a huge sell off seen on 8th August Friday, But a recovery can be witnessed in Nifty - that too in the case if it strongly surpasses the Resistance levels which have turned stronger now - the 24480 - 24560 - 24640 levels are stacked on above the other - breaking these levels in continuation may not be possible in the current ongoing downtrend market. But nothing is impossible. In contrary some more fall can't be denied - yes but before that an upward retracement can be seen and there might be some Sell on Rise scenarios may occur, which then can take the Nifty towards 2429 and then 24200 levels too. 24150-24200 may act as a good and strong support area.
Let's see how this analysis plays out for the market in upcoming week.
SAIL 1HRSWING TRADE
- EARN WITH ME DAILY 10K-20K –
SAIL Looking good for Downside..
When it break level 120.49 and sustain.. it will go Downside...
SELL @ 120.49
Target
1st 118.26
2nd 115.91
FNO
SAIL AUG FUT – LOT 4 (Qty-18800)
SAIL AUG 120 PE – LOT 4 (Qty-18880)
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Big Investor are welcome..
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COFORGE 1HRSWING TRADE
- EARN WITH ME DAILY 10K-20K –
COFORGE Looking good for Downside ..
When it break level 1690 and sustain.. it will go downside...
SELL@ 1690
Target
1st 1650
2nd 1625
FNO
COFORGE AUG FUT – LOT 8 (Qty-2625)
COFORGE MAY 1600 CE – LOT 8 (Qty-2625)
Enjoy trading traders.. Keep add this STOCK in your watch list..
Big Investor are welcome..
Like this Post??? Hit like button..!!!
Follow me for FREE Educational Post and Alert..
Trend Reversal Rejection Strategy | Higher High + Candle Confirm🔍 Idea Summary:
This strategy focuses on identifying trend reversal zones using classic Higher High (HH) and Lower Low (LL) structures followed by rejection confirmation candles.
🔻 Short Setup:
Price forms a Higher High.
Wait for a rejection candle (long wick, body closes inside previous range).
Confirm structure break and take short entry on confirmation.
✅ Example: On the left side of the chart, price printed a HH, followed by a strong rejection candle. That led to a clean move downward.
🔺 Long Setup:
Price forms a Lower Low.
Watch for a rejection candle near key support.
Enter long trade after confirmation.
✅ Example: Mid-chart shows price breaking to LL, then instantly rejecting with a strong bullish candle. Followed by a sustained move up.
🔴 Current Price Action:
Price is testing a potential new Higher High.
📌 Strategy suggests: Wait for a bearish rejection candle before shorting!
📈 Strategy Benefits:
Avoids impulsive entries
Combines structure with candle logic
Great for reversal traders and range scalpers
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LLOYDSME – Breakout Retest with 21 EMA ConfluenceAs part of my personal trading strategy, I am closely watching LLOYDSME, which is currently retesting a recent breakout zone and hovering near a key support level. This area also coincides with the 21 EMA on the daily chart, adding to the technical confluence.
I am considering a long position if the price action confirms support at this level, in line with my predefined risk management rules. From my perspective, the current chart structure offers a potentially favorable risk-reward setup, with scope for upward movement if the retest holds.
Disclaimer
This analysis reflects my personal views and is shared for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified financial advisor and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 08th August 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 24750 – 24800 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 24950 – 25000 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24450 – 24400 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24250 – 24200 range.
Volatility expected due to further executive orders to be issued by the US President.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 08th August 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 55900 – 56000 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 56400– 56500 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 55000 - 54900 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 54500 - 54400 range.
Volatility expected due to further executive orders to be issued by the US President.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 08th August 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 26600 - 26650 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26800 - 26850 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26250 – 26200 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26050 – 26000 range.
Volatility expected due to further executive orders to be issued by the US President.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 08th August 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 12825 – 12850 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 12975– 13000 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 12625 – 12600 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12475 – 12450 range.
Volatility expected due to further executive orders to be issued by the US President.
Corrective Rise UpNifty seems to completed the formation of the corrective down pattern which was a Diametric formation.
From here we could expect an up move to take place, which will most likely be a corrective rise too.
The first warning that the downside it still in progress will be price entering the range of around 24290 and a break below the level of 23900 will confirm that this wave was just the starting of a larger correction
Happy Trading!!
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 07th August 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 24750 – 24800 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 24950 – 25000 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24450 – 24400 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24250 – 24200 range.
Volatility expected due to probable tariff escalation from the US President on imports from India.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 07th August 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 55800 – 55900 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 56400– 56500 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 55000 - 54900 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 54500 - 54400 range.
Volatility expected due to probable tariff escalation from the US President on imports from India.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 07th August 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 26550 - 26600 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26750 - 26800 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26200 – 26150 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26000 – 25950 range.
Volatility expected due to probable tariff escalation from the US President on imports from India.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 07th August 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 12750 – 12775 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 12875– 12900 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 12525 – 12500 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12400 – 12375 range.
Volatility expected due to probable tariff escalation from the US President on imports from India.