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Support and Resistance

Gold preparing for correction under FED & geopolitic - Vincent🟡 Gold Plan 25/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ 1. Market Context 🌍 Russia – Ukraine: Trump puts pressure on Putin to negotiate within 2 weeks. This looks positive for peace, but also carries escalation risks → Gold keeps its safe-haven role . FED – Powell at Jackson Hole: Hawkish tone reduced expectations of a September rate cut from 3 to 2. USD strengthened → short-term downside pressure on Gold . 👉 Mix of political support vs FED pressure → Sideways market, Gold may need a pullback to absorb liquidity before showing clear direction. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ H4 candle closed bearish → Buying momentum weakens , sellers may return. Recent FVG created after sharp bounce → Likely pullback for liquidity grab . Bias of the day: Prioritise Sell, but short Buy Scalp setups possible at support. 3. Key Levels – Captain Vincent’s Map 🪙 Resistance: Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3398 – 3400) 3376 (intermediate resistance – watch reaction) Support: Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp 3340 – 3342) SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3328 – 3326) SL: 3318 TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx Higher Low – 3323 Anchor point of the trend → If broken, need to reassess all Buy setups. 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 Sell at Storm Breaker 🌊 Entry: 3398 – 3400 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3387 → 3384 → 33xx 🚤 Buy Scalp at Quick Boarding Entry: 3340 – 3342 SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx 🏝️ Buy at Golden Harbor (3328 – 3326) SL: 3318 TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Today, the golden sea is full of undercurrents: FED winds blow against, politics push along. Those who pick Storm Breaker 🌊 may ride the wave safely; those who patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will find peace. Quick Boarding 🚤 is for sailors seeking fast scalps in narrow waters."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Bank Nifty Weekly Insights: Key Levels & TrendsThe Bank Nifty ended the week at 55,149.40, slipping -0.35%. 🔹 Key Levels for the Upcoming Week 📌 Price Action Pivot Zone: 55,032 to 55,267 – This blue-shaded range is the key area to watch. A breakout on either side could decide next week’s trend direction. 🔻 Support Levels S1: 54,679 S2: 54,207 S3: 53,739 🔺 Resistance Levels (From Chart): R1: 55,621 R2: 56,093 R3: 56,564 📊 Candle Observation: The weekly candle was a strong bearish red candle with both upper and lower shadows. This shows that while bulls attempted a recovery early in the week, sellers overpowered them, pushing the index lower. Buyers did step in at the bottom, but overall the sentiment remains bearish-to-neutral, with resistance pressure visible near the pivot zone. 📰 Sentiment Check (Last Week): Market sentiment was hit by global uncertainty despite the optimism around the Trump–Putin meeting, which initially gave a positive gap-up. Profit booking dominated midweek, particularly in banking stocks, dragging Bank Nifty into the red. The candle reflects caution among traders, with the index struggling to find bullish momentum above resistance levels. 📈 Market Outlook ✅ Bullish Scenario: If Bank Nifty sustains above 55,267, buyers may gain control, pushing the index toward R1 (55,621), followed by R2 (56,093) and R3 (56,564). ❌ Bearish Scenario: If the index falls below 55,032, sellers could dominate, leading the index toward S1 (54,679), and potentially to S2 (54,207) and S3 (53,739). 📌 Sentiment Outlook: The strong bearish candle signals that sellers are still in command. Unless Bank Nifty reclaims and sustains above 55,267, the index may remain under pressure. Supports at 54,679 and below will be critical to watch in the coming week. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by ALICEBLUE
Nifty Weekly Outlook: Holding the Line or Breaking Below?The Nifty 50 ended the week at 24,870.10, gaining +0.97%. 🔹 Key Levels for the Upcoming Week 📌 Price Action Pivot Zone: 24,792 to 24,949 – This is the critical zone to watch. A decisive move beyond either side may dictate next week’s trend. 🔻 Support Levels S1: 24,553 S2: 24,236 S3: 23,936 🔺 Resistance Levels R1: 25,187 R2: 25,505 R3: 25,887 📊 Candle Observation: The last weekly candle formed a red body with a long lower shadow, showing that although bears dominated early in the week, strong buying support emerged near the lows. This wick-based recovery signals demand at lower levels, keeping the support zones (24,553–24,236) important for the coming sessions. 📰 Sentiment Check (Last Week): The Nifty opened the week with a gap-up, supported by global cues and positive sentiment around the Trump–Putin meeting, which was seen as a potential step toward easing geopolitical tensions. However, mid-week profit booking dragged the index down, before buyers stepped back in from lower supports, leaving a long lower wick on the weekly candle. This shows underlying resilience, though the market remains sensitive to global political developments. 📈 Market Outlook ✅ Bullish Scenario: If Nifty sustains above 24,949, buying momentum could build, aiming for R1 (25,187). A strong breakout above this may push prices towards R2 (25,505) and R3 (25,887). ❌ Bearish Scenario: If the index breaks below 24,792, selling pressure may return. This could drag Nifty towards S1 (24,553), and further down to S2 (24,236) and S3 (23,936). 📌 Sentiment Outlook: Nifty is showing resilience with support at lower levels, but for a strong bullish confirmation, it needs to sustain above the 24,949 pivot zone. Global cues, especially political events, may continue to influence short-term moves. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:NIFTY
by ALICEBLUE
HUL - Support & Resistance AnalysisHUL - Daily Chart Analysis (Support & Resistance) Key Factors to Reach 2810 & 3000 level => Support Level (Double Bottom) created on 04.03.25 & 07.04.25 => Broken the Strong Resistance Level (Between 2458.20 & 2529.85) => Uptrend in intact => Next, the price will move to the next Resistance levels of 2810 & 3025 (Targets) => Last traded Price - 2629.90 => Stop Loss - 2395 on closing Basis In Addition, => US Tariff will have minimal impact => Expect that the coming GST revision will have benefit
NSE:HINDUNILVR
by Kotti_Kals
Observing Charts Smarter: Learning Price Action Made EasyIn this video, I share how simple trading observations and “talking to the charts” can improve your understanding of price action and trade movements. By reviewing Apollo’s chart, we explore how breakout patterns, retracements, and higher highs unfold in real time. The goal is not prediction, but sharpening your ability to read market structure, avoid wrong entries, and reduce big drawdowns—ultimately helping you become a more disciplined trader.
NSE:APOLLOLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
13
Natural gas analysis Monthly Time frameNatural gas markets are influenced by a complex interplay of supply, demand, weather, geopolitical events, and technical factors. Below is a concise analysis based on recent trends and data as of August 24, 2025, covering key aspects of the natural gas market Price Trends and Market Dynamics Spot and Futures Prices: The Henry Hub spot price recently fell from $2.92/MMBtu to $2.81/MMBtu, and the September 2025 NYMEX futures contract dropped from $2.828/MMBtu to $2.752/MMBtu. The 12-month futures strip (September 2025–August 2026) averaged $3.501/MMBtu, reflecting a bearish near-term outlook but expectations of tighter balances later. Supply and DemandSupply: U.S. natural gas production has risen, with a 3% increase in marketed production in 2025, particularly from the Permian (2 Bcf/d), Haynesville, and Appalachia (0.9 Bcf/d each). However, production is expected to stabilize in 2026 as associated gas from oil declines. Storage: U.S. storage inventories are projected to reach 3,927 Bcf by October 31, 2025, 174 Bcf above the five-year average, due to higher-than-average injections (20% above the five-year average). This surplus is pressuring prices downward. Demand: Cool weather forecasts for August 2025, potentially the coolest in 50 years, have reduced demand, contributing to bearish price sentiment. However, LNG exports are rebounding, with Freeport LNG operations resuming, providing some support. LNG Exports: Maintenance at U.S. LNG terminals earlier in 2025 reduced exports, but recovery and new contracts (e.g., ConocoPhillips’ 4 Mt/y from Port Arthur LNG Phase 2) signal growing export potential. Technical AnalysisBearish Signals: Technical indicators suggest a "strong sell" for Natural Gas Futures across multiple timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly), driven by a head-and-shoulders pattern with prices breaking below the $3.050 neckline, targeting $2.220–$2.000. Indicators: RSI, MACD, and stochastic oscillators indicate oversold conditions, but negative momentum persists below key resistance levels like $3.100–$3.320. Pivot points and moving averages reinforce bearish trends, with potential support at $2.200. Geopolitical and Structural FactorsEurope: The 2022–2023 Russian supply shock shifted Europe to rely on LNG, increasing price volatility. Market reforms have boosted trading volumes (7,300 bcm in 2024, 15x demand), but derivatives trading by physical players dominates, limiting speculative impacts. Weather Impact: Cooling in the Midwest and Northeast (highs of 60s–80s°F) contrasts with hotter conditions elsewhere (80s–100s°F), driving regional demand differences. Weather models (ECMWF, GFS) forecast continued impacts on heating and cooling degree days, affecting prices. Energy Transition: Natural gas is increasingly vital for electricity generation as coal phases out, linking gas and power markets and amplifying price sensitivity to weather and demand. Forecast and OutlookShort-Term (1–6 Weeks): Bearish due to high storage, weak demand from cool weather, and technical indicators. Prices may test support at $2.220–$2.080, Long-Term: Growing U.S. electricity demand (31% over 15 years) and constrained global supply (e.g., limited OPEC spare capacity) suggest bullish prospects for natural gas as a reliable fuel. Trading ConsiderationsRisks: High volatility, weather-driven demand shifts, and geopolitical uncertainties (e.g., Russia-Ukraine tensions) pose risks. Strategies: Traders may consider short positions targeting $2.80, but oversold conditions suggest caution for potential reversals. Long-term investors might accumulate near support zones ($2.220–$2.080) for 2026 upside. Data Tools: Monitor EIA storage reports, weather forecasts (NatGasWeather.com), and technical indicators (RSI, MACD) for real-time insights. Note: Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research.
FPMARKETS:XNGUSD
by renderwithme
resistance breakout Comprehensive Analysis Short-Term Outlook: Bullish, with the recent +16.66% green candle and volume surge signaling a breakout from the 144-160 INR range. Positive divergence in RSI and MACD buy signals support a rally toward 175-180 INR, but overbought risks could lead to minor pullbacks to 160 INR. Long-Term Outlook: Very bullish, driven by sector recovery (hospitality demand, RevPAR growth) and company expansion (e.g., Aurika and Keys brands). The stock's beta of 1.07 indicates moderate volatility, with analyst consensus targeting 174-200 INR average. However, high debt (D/E ~1.85) and book value trading at 11.5x warrant caution. Risks: If the price fails to hold above 160 INR, it could retest 144 INR. Macro factors like GST changes or economic slowdowns in travel could impact. Buy Strategy: Enter long on dips to 160 INR, with stop-loss below 155 INR. Targets: 175 INR (short-term), 200 INR (medium-term). Monitor: Next week's candle for confirmation; watch Q2 FY26 earnings for occupancy/ADR updates. This analysis is derived from the chart and corroborated data; markets are dynamic, so verify with real-time tools. This is only Educational pattern not for sugesstion
NSE:LEMONTREE
by chauhanucb
UNOMINDA -CUP & HANDLE BREAKOUT 🔎 1. Chart Pattern The chart is clearly showing a Cup and Handle Pattern (highlighted). Breakout has happened above the neckline (~₹1130–1140) with strong bullish candle. Cup & Handle is a continuation pattern – breakout targets can be measured. 📌 Target Calculation: Depth of the cup = 1132 (neckline) – 767 (bottom) ≈ 365 points. Breakout above 1132 → Target = 1132 + 365 = ₹1495 approx. Short-term resistance: ₹1270–1280 (already touched). Next zone: ₹1350 → ₹1450 → ₹1500. 🔎 2. Support & Resistance Immediate Support: ₹1130–1150 (previous neckline). Strong Support Zone: ₹1050–1070 (previous consolidation). Major Support: ₹767 (cup bottom). Immediate Resistance: ₹1270–1280 (tested). Major Resistance Levels: ₹1350, then ₹1495. 🔎 3. Candlestick / Price Action Current weekly candle is long green, wide-range, high volume breakout → very bullish. Closing above ₹1250 is confirmation of breakout. 🔎 4. Indicators (if applied) RSI (Relative Strength Index): Likely crossing above 65–70 → shows momentum but not yet extreme overbought (healthy breakout). MACD: Likely bullish crossover with histogram expansion. Volume: Breakout candle with strong volume confirms institutional buying. Moving Averages: Price is above 20W, 50W, 200W EMAs → strong uptrend. Golden cross already confirmed earlier. 🔎 5. Trend Outlook Primary Trend (1–2 years): Strong Bullish. Intermediate Trend (2–6 months): Bullish continuation towards ₹1450–1500. Short Term (1–4 weeks): May retest ₹1180–1200 before further rally. 📌 Conclusion (Expert View) ✅ Stock has given a Cup & Handle breakout above ₹1130 with strong momentum. ✅ Upside targets: ₹1350 → ₹1450 → ₹1500. ✅ Downside support: ₹1130, then ₹1050. ⚠️ Near-term, RSI may cool off → watch for pullback to ₹1180–1200 as entry opportunity. 👉 Strategy: Swing Traders: Buy on dips near ₹1180–1200 with SL below ₹1050. Investors: Can hold for long-term with next target ₹1500+. This is only for educational pattern not for sugesstion.
NSE:UNOMINDA
by chauhanucb
SBIN Blueprint --- ### **State Bank of India (SBI) – Overview** * **Type:** Public Sector Bank (PSB) * **Founded:** 1806 (as Bank of Calcutta), renamed SBI in 1955 * **Headquarters:** Mumbai, India * **Presence:** 20,000+ branches and 60,000+ ATMs across India --- ### **Business Model** SBI operates on a **classic banking business model**: 1. **Deposit & Lending** * Collects money from customers via **savings accounts** and **fixed deposits**. * Lends these funds as **loans** to individuals and businesses. * Main profit comes from the **difference between loan interest and deposit interest**. 2. **Retail Banking** * Services for individual customers: * Current & Savings Accounts * Home, Personal, and Car Loans * Debit/Credit Cards, Net & Mobile Banking 3. **Corporate Banking** * Services for businesses: * Working Capital Loans * Trade Finance (Import/Export) * Cash Management Services 4. **Investment & Treasury** * Sells Government Bonds, Mutual Funds, and Insurance products. * Treasury operations (Forex trading, govt securities) generate additional income. 5. **Other Services** * Insurance: Life & General (SBI Life, SBI General) * Mutual Fund Distribution * Demat & Wealth Management --- ### **Key Points** * Main revenue sources: **interest income** and **fees & commissions**. * Focuses on **financial inclusion**, reaching rural and semi-urban areas. * Government of India owns approximately **57% stake**. ---
NSE:SBIN
by TheGoldenFarmsofEquity
GBP/CHF – Potential Pullback to Supply ZoneGBP/CHF is currently trading around 1.0868 after bouncing from the demand zone near 1.0818. Price is consolidating within a range, showing rejection from the lower support area. Immediate upside target sits around 1.0858 (Target 1), with potential continuation towards the supply zone 1.0890 – 1.0900. If the supply zone holds strong resistance, we could see another move back down to the demand zone 1.0818 – 1.0820. Bias: Bullish short-term towards 1.0858 – 1.0890. Watching for rejection at supply for a potential reversal. Key Levels: Demand Zone: 1.0818 – 1.0820 Target 1: 1.0858 Supply Zone: 1.0890 – 1.0900
Long
by sohail1811
Nifty 15-Minute Analysis – Probable Supply/Demand Levels.Nifty closed today on a weak note when observed on the 15-minute timeframe, suggesting that the index still has room for further downside before any meaningful recovery. Key Observations: Weak Close – The index ended today without showing any strong buying interest near the close, signaling a continuation of bearish momentum. Short-Term Resistance – The first hurdle for any recovery attempt sits near 24950, which aligns with intraday supply zones and minor moving average resistance. Support Zone – The nearest visible support remains around 24700 – 24750, which has acted as a reaction level in the past. Expected Price Action: Immediate Move: A short pullback is likely towards 24950 as sellers allow a relief bounce. Rejection Zone: If price struggles near 24950, fresh short positions may emerge. Downside Continuation: From this rejection, Nifty may head lower towards 24700, with 24750 acting as an intermediate support. Possible Swing Reversal: After testing 24700, there is a probability of a reversal attempt back towards 24870 (today’s closing level) before another leg of selling pressure resumes. Levels to Watch: Resistance: 24950 → 25020 (short-term supply zone) Closing Pivot: 24870 Support: 24750 → 24700 (critical short-term floor) Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice): For Intraday Traders: Look for short opportunities near 24950 if rejection candles form. Target zones: 24800 → 24750 → 24700. For Swing Traders: Watch price behavior around 24700. A sharp bounce from here may give a short-covering rally back to 24870+. Sustained break below 24700 could open further downside. Risk Note: This analysis is based purely on chart structure and momentum on the 15-minute timeframe. Broader market cues (global sentiment, sector performance, macro events) can override intraday patterns. Always use stop-loss and adjust position sizing according to risk appetite.
NSE:NIFTY
by pmdatia
1