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NIfty50 Analysis: Is it start of new bull run or a bull trap?Nifty50 Has given a cup& handle breakout and has already retested this breakout. Currently, it is hovering near ATH and already looks ready for a breakout. If this breakout sustains, we might see a good rally coming till budget(Feb'26) and levels to watch according to fib are 27500, 28150 & 29000. However, December is a favourite season for FIIs to offload money and a correction is historically seen during Christmas season. So, there is a high probability of a bull trap formation as well. 25300 will be a crucial support for Nifty. a breakdown of this level will be confirmation of bull trap and we might see a sharp fall towards 24000 level. I will suggest to keep a watch on Nifty price action if you have any swing trades open.
NSE:NIFTY
by chartistamey
SMS Pharma (D): Strongly Bullish - News-Driven BreakoutThe stock has confirmed a major structural reversal, breaking out of a 6-month consolidation pattern. This move is powered by a significant regulatory approval (USFDA) and strong earnings, validating the high volume. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The massive surge and volume are not random. They are a direct reaction to two major positive developments: - USFDA Approval: The company's partner, VKT Pharma, received USFDA approval for reformulated Ranitidine tablets (an antacid). This marks a re-entry into the US market after years, opening a significant revenue stream. - Strong Earnings: The company recently reported a 79% YoY jump in Net Profit for Q2 FY26. - Impact: This fundamental "double engine" provides the conviction that the breakout is genuine and not a "trap." 📈 2. The Long-Term Structure (The Reversal) - The Correction: After the Sep 2024 ATH (~₹398) , the stock corrected ~55% to bottom out in March 2025 . - The Turnaround: Since March, the stock has shifted structure, forming Higher Lows , indicating that buyers are stepping in aggressively on dips. - The "Dual" Resistance: 1. Angular Resistance: From the Sep 2024 ATH. 2. Horizontal Resistance: The ₹314–₹317 zone (active since Nov 2024). 💥 3. The Breakout & Re-test (Current Action) - The Breakout (Yesterday): The stock surged 17.82% with massive volume ( 11.76 Million ), decisively closing above both resistance lines. This high-volume close confirms the "Lid" is off. - The Re-test (Today): The stock pulled back to the ₹314–₹317 zone today. The volume during this pullback was lower than the breakout volume. - Bullish Signal: A low-volume pullback to a high-volume breakout level is a textbook "healthy re-test." It suggests profit-taking, not a trend reversal. 📊 4. Technical Indicators - RSI Cooling: The Daily RSI has fallen with today's re-test. This is actually positive—it prevents the stock from becoming "overheated" too quickly, allowing it to gather strength for the next leg up. - EMAs: The PCO state across all timeframes confirms that the trend is aligned in favor of the bulls. 🎯 5. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The "healthy re-test" sets the stage for continuation. - 🐂 Bullish Target: ₹360 . If the stock holds the re-test level, a move to ₹360 (and potentially the ATH of ₹398) is the path of least resistance. - 🛡️ Support (The Stop Loss): Support level at ₹290–₹292 is the critical "safety net." If the stock falls back below the breakout zone (₹314), it must hold ₹290 to keep the bullish structure alive. Conclusion This is a Grade A setup . Technical breakout, a healthy re-test, and a powerful fundamental catalyst. As long as ₹314 holds as support, the bias is strongly upward.
NSE:SMSPHARMALong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone LtdCurrent price shown: ₹1,450.50, up ₹7.40 (+0.51%). The chart displays a strong uptrend from late August onward. A rising trendline (blue, upward-sloping) supports the price from the lows of September through November. Price has recently pulled back slightly but is still near the upper resistance zone. Major resistance zone highlighted: around ₹1,515–₹1,530. Support level marked near ₹1,467–₹1,480 (shaded lower red area). The price is currently trading close to resistance. Volume bars at the bottom show moderate trading activity, with occasional spikes. No abnormal volume at the latest price area.
NSE:ADANIPORTSLong
by shahushubham300
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by tradergyan01
2
XAU/USD: Gold Stagnates, Poised for a Strong Surge📊 Market Structure Gold is moving in a tight accumulation phase (compression) between two important zones: • OB Support: 4,130 – 4,126 • Resistance – Small Supply: 4,148 – 4,166 The previous trend remains a strong uptrend (clear BoS sequence from 4,089), and currently, the price is retesting the newly formed peak-bottom structure. The BUY side is still in control as long as the price stays above: • 4,130 – Main OB Support • 4,104 – Discount FVG • 4,089 – Key Low Confirming Trend If gold holds these zones, the next targets will be the upper liquidity levels: • 4,166 • 4,181 • 4,207 • 4,243 💎 Key Technical Zones • OB Support 1: 4,130 – 4,126 • FVG Zone: 4,104 – 4,089 (best discount) • Deep Bearish OB: 4,060 – 4,045 (if price drops sharply) • Upper Liquidity Targets: 4,166 → 4,181 → 4,207 → 4,243 🎯 Trading Plan (Priority BUY) 1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest OB 4,130 When the price touches the OB support zone 4,130 – 4,126 and shows a bounce signal (rejection / engulfing). • Entry: 4,130 – 4,126 • SL: below 4,115 • TP1: 4,166 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → Quick setup, good RR, trend aligned. 2️⃣ BUY 2 – Discount FVG 4,104 – 4,089 This is the best BUY zone if the market drops sharply before rising. • Entry: 4,104 – 4,089 • SL: 4,070 • TP1: 4,166 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → Strong confluence: FVG + fibo discount + key liquidity. 3️⃣ BUY 3 – Deep Accumulation at Bearish OB Shift • Entry: 4,060 – 4,045 • SL: 4,020 • TP: 4,104 → 4,166 → 4,207 → Only activate if “flush liquidity” appears. 🎯 SELL Scalp (secondary – not priority) Only SELL when there is a clear rejection reaction at: • 4,166 – first liquidity sweep zone • 4,181 – strong reaction zone • 4,207 – main bearish OB • 4,243 – large liquidity peak • SL: 10–15 USD • TP: 4,148 → 4,130 → For scalpers only, not a main setup. 🧠 Vincent’s View The market structure remains completely bullish. The market is accumulating energy in a narrow range before breaking strongly to the upper liquidity targets. As long as gold stays above 4,089 – the uptrend remains dominant. “Patience builds the entry – liquidity completes the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold Holds Above Key Support as Pullback Stays LimitedGold remains capped below its two-week high during the Asian session, but the downside is clearly limited. Market sentiment is shaped by: A weaker USD as dovish Fed expectations gain traction Rising probability of rate cuts in upcoming meetings Improving global risk sentiment amid hopes of progress in Russia–Ukraine negotiations Even though Gold is retracing, the bigger picture remains bullish as long as price holds above key support zones. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Trading Style (M30/H1) Price is currently consolidating below the resistance cluster 4,156 – 4,170, retracing into multiple demand zones. Key Levels to Watch Support 1: 4,131 – 4,137 Support 2: 4,115 – 4,118 Support 3 (major liquidity): 4,083 – 4,090 Main Resistance: 4,170 – 4,193 Market structure shows a clean zigzag pullback, suggesting a potential bullish continuation once liquidity is collected below. 🎯 MMF Intraday Trading Plan Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias) Best trade today: Buying retracements into demand. BUY: 4,115 – 4,118 SL: 4,103 TP: 4,131 → 4,156 → 4,170 BUY (extended liquidity sweep): 4,083 – 4,090 SL: 4,070 TP: 4,118 → 4,145 → 4,170 – 4,193 Reason: Fibo confluence + strong demand + liquidity zone = high-probability reversal area. Scenario 2 – Short-Term SELL (Scalp Only) Only valid if price rejects strongly at resistance. SELL: 4,156 – 4,170 SL: 4,177 TP: 4,145 → 4,131 This is not the main bias today. ⚜️ MMF Trading View Gold is forming a healthy pullback—not, at this stage, a bearish reversal. As long as price stays above 4,08x, the bullish structure remains intact. “In Gold, the goal isn’t chasing the breakout — it’s waiting for price to return to value.” Today’s focus: Prefer BUY setups on retracement – SELL only for quick scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Sensex - Expiry day analysis Nov 27Today, the price opened gap down, showed bullish strength, broke the resistance and moved up. Now it is near the next resistance, which is also a double top. 85600 - 85800 zone should show bullish strength to break 86k. If the price opened right at the double top and showed bearish strength, then it can test the 85500 zone. If the price opens flat, buy above 85640 with the stop loss of 85520 for the targets 85760, 85900, 86080 and 86160. Sell below 85380 with the stop loss of 85520 for the targets 85260, 85120, 85020, 84900 and 84780. Daily chart shows the strength of today's move. The expected expiry day range is 85500 to 86300.
BSE:SENSEX
by vanathi
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd – Weekly Chart AnalysisPricePrice has been moving inside a rising wedge structure, forming higher highs & higher lows over the past several months. Recently, the stock attempted a breakout above the wedge resistance but is now trading near the upper trendline, showing signs of pullback or retest behavior. Volume has remained moderate, suggesting the market is waiting for a clear direction. Now price action is at a decision zone — either a successful retest could resume bullish momentum, or failure may lead to profit-booking and a slide toward lower support trendlines. This zone becomes crucial for directional clarity.
NSE:HINDPETROLong
by The_Chart_Couple
FVG Retracement With EMA, RSI & Fib Confluence📈 Bitcoin Chart – FVG Retracement With EMA, RSI & Fib Confluence in a Bearish Market Structure This chart showcases a sustained bearish sequence on BTC, defined by a clean continuation of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). Throughout this decline, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed both locally and at higher levels — each created by strong institutional sell-side displacement. As price trends downward, these unmitigated FVGs above the market consistently act as magnet zones:price retraces into previous inefficiencies, rebalances them, and resumes the dominant bearish trend. In the current setup, the integration of FVGs + Fibonacci Retracement(Point A to B) + EMA Levels + RSI Momentum provides a highly structured roadmap for anticipating retracements and continuation points. The most significant imbalance sits near the major Fib retracement zone and under key EMAs — making it the highest-probability reaction area. Secondary FVGs below it may still induce a bounce, but carry lower structural relevance. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📊 Key Observations 1️⃣ Prior FVG Mitigation A previously formed FVG under the EMA was cleanly filled, followed by immediate downside continuation. This confirms bearish order-flow control and validates the role of FVGs as efficient retracement targets in a downtrend. 2️⃣ High-Priority FVG (Primary Zone) The upper FVG holds the strongest confluence: Created by strong displacement Sits below the EMA50 Aligns with the 38.2%–61.8% Fib retracement zone This cluster makes it the most likely zone for a meaningful bearish rejection if price retraces into it. 3️⃣ Secondary FVG Reaction Zone A lower FVG also exists beneath the main zone. Although it can cause a minor corrective bounce, it formed during a smaller move and does not align with the key trend or Fib levels — giving it lower probability. 4️⃣ RSI Momentum Context RSI remains below 50, confirming bearish momentum. When RSI stays under mid-line, bearish FVG reactions tend to be more reliable and continuation setups form cleanly. 5️⃣ Structural Context The broader structure remains decisively bearish as long as price trades below the EMAs and below the major upper FVG. Retracements into these zones are more likely to serve as rebalancing moves rather than genuine reversal attempts. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📊 Chart Explanation Symbol → BTCUSDT Timeframe → 1D This visualization illustrates how Smart Money Concepts apply cleanly during strong trending conditions: A clear LH–LL downtrend Several historical FVGs acting as retracement magnets A previously mitigated FVG confirming bearish control A high-confluence FVG aligned with EMAs and Fib levels A secondary imbalance that can still induce short-term reactions RSI showing momentum remains bearish Together, these elements outline a textbook sequence: displacement → inefficiency → retracement → rebalancing → continuation. Price remains under firm bearish control unless it breaks above the upper FVG with conviction. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📘 Using Fib Retracement, EMA50, and RSI With FVGs (Bullish + Bearish) 🔹 1. Fibonacci Retracement + FVG In a downtrend, draw Fib from swing high → low; in an uptrend, draw low → high The 38.2%–61.8% zone is the prime retracement area in both directions. If an FVG forms or sits inside this Fib zone, it becomes a high-probability reaction point (bearish rejection in downtrend, bullish bounce in uptrend). 🔹 2. EMA50 + FVG In a bearish trend, price and FVGs forming below EMA50 act as stronger bearish retracement zones. In a bullish trend, price and FVGs forming above EMA50 act as stronger bullish retracement zones. EMA50 acts as a mean reversion point where price often returns to rebalance before continuation. 🔹 3. RSI + FVG RSI below 50 → bearish momentum → bearish FVG reactions are more reliable. RSI above 50 → bullish momentum → bullish FVG reactions are more reliable. If RSI rises from oversold (or falls from overbought), it often signals a retracement phase toward nearby FVGs. 🔹 4. Combined Logic (Works for Bullish and Bearish) Displacement creates an FVG (inefficiency). Price retraces into the 38–61% Fib zone. Retracement taps EMA50 or stays on the correct side of EMA50 (below for bearish, above for bullish). RSI confirms momentum (below 50 for bearish continuation, above 50 for bullish continuation). Price rejects from the FVG and continues the trend. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ✅ Summary Market structure remains bearish with consistent LHs and LLs. A previously filled FVG under the EMA validated the continuation move. The upper FVG is the highest-strength level due to EMA + Fib + displacement confluence. A lower FVG exists but carries reduced importance. RSI below 50 reinforces bearish momentum and reliability of bearish FVG reactions. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer 📘 For educational purposes only. 🙅 Not SEBI registered. ❌ Not investment advice. 🧠 Smart-Money-Concepts explanation only.
Short
by MarketAlgoBot
3