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Support and Resistance

Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil. US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold. Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal. Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”. 👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline. BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum. BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally. SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps. Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618). 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883 SELL Zone: 3949–3950 Resistance: 3950, 3994 Support: 3900, 3880 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 SL: 3898 TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 SL: 3878 TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950 SL: 3955 TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation. Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones. Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements. ✅ Summary Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent ✳️ Hello to all traders, Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities. 📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable. 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS): Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant. Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend. 🔹 Potential Demand Zone: After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate. Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally. 🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend. 🔸 US Government Shutdown: This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets. Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets. 🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates: The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%. This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset. 🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data: The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty. In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role. 🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced. Strategy: Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169. Entry signals: Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as: Pin bar candles, engulfing Or BoS on the M15 chart Targets: Short-term: $3950 – $3990 Long-term: Target “+1000 pips” Risk management: Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account. 🧭 Conclusion The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers: USD is under downward pressure Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture. 👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity. 💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
SBI Cards : Double Bottom Breakout Ignites Bullish MomentumSBI Cards and Payments has given a strong bullish breakout from a well-defined double bottom pattern on the daily chart, indicating bullish potential The price has crossed above the neckline zone, confirming the breakout strength. The structure suggests that buyers have regained control, and momentum indicators are supporting further upside. Currently, the stock is showing sustained strength above its short-term moving averages, and the breakout candle has closed decisively above resistance. Based on the pattern height and measured move projection, the next potential target comes around the ₹904 price level. Any retest towards the neckline could offer a fresh buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward setup. Key Levels: Support: 845 Resistance: 904 Trend Bias: Bullish above 840 Conclusion: The technical breakout from the double bottom pattern points towards renewed upward momentum in SBI Cards. A sustained move above 860–870 can accelerate the rally towards the 904 zone in the short term.
NSE:SBICARDLong
by peace_lover
BTC "Saturday Bull Fizzle Complete (due to low volume)"On weekends (especially Saturday), Bitcoin markets typically see lower trading volume because institutional and large traders are less active. There was a bullish attempt (a move upward in price) visible near the “Saturday” area. However, since the volume was weak, the move failed to sustain, and prices pulled back shortly after. Term “Fizzle” means: The bullish momentum started strong but quickly lost strength, resulting in a failed breakout or continuation. Technical takeaway: A rally on low volume is often a false move — without sufficient participation, it cannot push through resistance or create follow-through. 📊 Market Implication This suggests: The Friday bullish candle tried to extend into Saturday. But due to thin liquidity, the move couldn’t attract further buying. Result: short-term reversal or consolidation, confirming that weekend rallies aren’t reliable without volume confirmation.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by FundedFlexx_
From Euphoria to Equilibrium The Market’s True PatternHello Mates, Hope everyone’s doing great and enjoying the charts so today let’s explore one of the most important market concepts that how an All-Time High gradually evolves into a fresh Support and Resistance cycle. Understanding the Market’s Natural Rhythm--:: Every chart tells a story a story of enthusiasm, correction, recovery, and retest. Price action moves in cycles, and one of the most powerful yet simple cycles is when a market makes an All-Time High, corrects into a Support Zone, and then forms a New Resistance before deciding its next direction. This NIFTY 50 weekly chart beautifully captures that structure a sequence every trader should recognize to understand market behavior with more clarity. 1️⃣ Major Swing High (The All-Time High) At this stage, optimism dominates and new buyers rush in, assuming the trend will never end. However, this is also where smart money begins distributing positions quietly. You’ll often notice slowing momentum, smaller candle bodies, or divergence on oscillators. This “All-Time High” is not just a price it’s the point where supply pressure starts building and emotional euphoria reaches its peak. 2️⃣ Primary Demand Zone (Support After the All-Time High) As the correction begins, emotional traders exit while strong hands start building positions again. The price eventually finds primary demand a zone that often aligns with previous breakout areas or major volume clusters. This becomes a high-value area, where institutional accumulation quietly begins. It represents balance after a phase of imbalance a healthy step in any structural cycle. 3️⃣ Secondary Supply Zone (Resistance After Support) Once the support holds, the price rallies back and retests the previous breakdown region. This forms a secondary supply zone, where earlier buyers might book profits and short-term traders look for reaction. It’s a retest phase, where the market decides whether it wants to continue upward or stay range-bound. A breakout from here indicates renewed strength, while rejection can invite another leg of consolidation or retracement. 4️⃣ New Structural Base (Fresh Support) Recently, we can observe a new higher base forming just below the resistance zone. This area acts as a structural pivot — often referred to by professionals as: Intermediate Demand Zone Base Formation Area Mid-Structure Support Higher Low Support Zone Why This Cycle Matters--:: Recognizing this evolution from All-Time High → Correction → Support → Retest → New Structural Base helps traders identify where they are in the price cycle instead of reacting emotionally and It builds a roadmap of liquidity flow and institutional intent. No matter the timeframe or assets like stocks, forex, or crypto this structure repeats endlessly, forming the core rhythm of the market. Key Takeaway--:: Price doesn’t move randomly. It evolves through phases of enthusiasm, fear, and reaccumulation and every level leaves footprints of intent. Traders who learn to read these transitions stop chasing moves and start understanding the underlying structure of opportunity. Regards- Amit Rajan
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by AMIT-RAJAN
5
SILVER AT THE $50 "WIDOW MAKER ZONE": IS A CRASH IMMINENT?Silver has hit the wall. It's not just resistance—it's the exact price range $48.00–$50.00 that triggered the 70%+ market massacres of 1980 and 2011. 3 Reasons Why a Correction Is Locked In The risk of a violent reversal is extreme. This zone is a perfect storm of selling pressure: * The $50 Trap: It's a massive Technical Trap. Long-term sellers trapped from the 2011 peak are all waiting here to dump their bags and take profit. * Psychological Trauma: Historical Precedent is terrifying. The memory of two prior crashes at this level creates panic-selling pressure that will compound any dip. * Market Exhaustion: Retail Over-Exuberance is flashing red. Heavy positioning means the easy money is gone, and there's no fuel left to break the ceiling. The Twist: Not a Total Bust (Yet) While a crash is likely, a full 1980s-style wipeout is less certain. Why? Industrial Demand. Silver is fundamentally stronger now, backed by massive, non-negotiable demand from the Green Energy Transition (solar, EVs). This structural deficit offers a floor that past bubbles lacked. The Bottom Line The $48–$50 area is the "Widowmaker Zone." Expect carnage. * The Line: If Silver fails to decisively close above $50.00, brace for a brutal correction—likely a fast drop back to the $35.00 range. * Your Move: MAXIMUM CAUTION. Short-term profits must be protected. History doesn't just rhyme; at this price, it often repeats itself.
CMCMARKETS:SILVERShort
by StockVesters
3
Short term trend opens up in Nifty So on Thursday we studied that NSE:NIFTY would remain sideways with a bullish tone. And that’s exactly what happened on Friday. Nifty traded within a range in the first half and then moved up sharply in the second half, closing +57 points higher. Closing above the previous day’s high is definitely a good price action sign. But ideally, buyers’ volume should have matched that momentum too. On Friday, buyers’ volume was up — but not strong enough to suggest a sharp move ahead. In fact, on the last 15-minute candle, sellers’ volume was higher by 10 million. However, on short-term charts, net volume has turned green, which means any dip till 24800 will likely be bought quickly. Now, Nifty’s Pivot stands at 24848. A drop below this could lead to another range-bound session tomorrow, with support at 24800. Resistance for the day would be 24925, and any meaningful move will only come if this level is broken and sustained for at least one hour. Since PP is tight, if a breakout happens with strong buyers’ volume, we could see a sharp rally upward. For FnO stocks, we’ll continue tracking NSE:BSE and NSE:BHARATFORG . Sector-wise, #Shipbuilding, #NBFC, and #AutoParts are looking good. That’s all for the day. Take care and have a profitable tomorrow. --- 📊 Levels at a glance: Pivot: 24848 Support: 24800 Resistance: 24925 (sustain > 1H = breakout) Pivot Percentile: Tight (sharp rally possible on volume breakout) Bias: Sideways to bullish, buy dips above pivot Sectors to watch: Shipbuilding, NBFC, Auto Parts FnO Focus: #BSE, #BHARATFORG
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Trendxinc
Bitcoin Breaks Out of Descending Channel: Supply Zone to Support This 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) highlights a breakout from a descending channel after a prolonged consolidation phase lasting over 16 days (99 bars). 🔻 A clearly defined supply zone (marked in red) acted as a major resistance area, rejecting price multiple times before the breakout. The breakout above this zone indicates a shift in market structure, with bullish momentum gaining strength. 🟡 The breakout was followed by sustained buying pressure, pushing BTC upwards toward the $118,000 region. Price has since pulled back slightly and is now hovering around $115,500 — retesting the previous resistance zone, now potentially acting as support
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by FundedFlexx_
2
XAU/USD Near Record Highs: Key Data AheadGold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – October 3, 2025 1. Macro & News Context Gold is holding near record highs, heading for its seventh consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates and by concerns around the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Spot prices have recently tested the ₹3,890–3,900 region and are now consolidating around ₹3,860. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – Typically scheduled for 18:00 IST on the first Friday of the month, the September jobs report is likely to be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown. Key event to watch today: ISM Services PMI (September) will be released at 19:30 IST. Since ISM data is privately produced, it will be published regardless of the shutdown and may serve as the main volatility catalyst in today’s U.S. session. 【ISM】 Labor market signals: Challenger job cut data showed lower layoffs in September, but planned hiring at the lowest level since 2009, reinforcing a softer employment backdrop. Combined with the Fed’s recent 25 bps rate cut (to 4.00%–4.25%), this continues to support the bullish gold narrative. USD trend: The dollar has weakened broadly this week, aligning with market bets on further monetary easing. This backdrop provides an additional tailwind for gold. 2. Technical Landscape (H1 Chart) The attached chart highlights key technical zones and a completed Harmonic XABCD pattern on the 1H timeframe: Support levels: Near-term: ₹3,844–3,841 Deeper: ₹3,827 (intraday pivot), ₹3,792 (strong low) Strategic: ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish Order Block) Resistance levels: Immediate: ₹3,865 Strong supply: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish Order Block) Extended target: ₹3,930–3,940 (Sell Scalping | Fibo zone) Momentum: After bouncing from point D of the harmonic structure, gold has been forming higher lows (HL). Price currently sits above the longer-term moving average and is testing the shorter-term average, suggesting a constructive short-term bias as long as supports hold. 3. Trade Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy-the-dip (preferred bias) Entry zone: ₹3,844–3,841 Stop loss: Below ₹3,827 (safer: below ₹3,792) Targets: ₹3,865 (first take-profit) ₹3,880–3,890 (major supply) Stretch: ₹3,930–3,940 Rationale: Higher low formation, bullish macro backdrop, aligned with strong weekly uptrend. Scenario 2 – Countertrend short at resistance Trigger zone: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish OB) Confirmation: Rejection candles (H15–H1) such as wicks, engulfing, or failed breakout. Stop loss: Above ₹3,895–3,900 (or above ₹3,945 if price spikes into the ₹3,930–3,940 fib zone). Targets: ₹3,865 → ₹3,844 → ₹3,827 Rationale: Potential liquidity sweep ahead of ISM, with profit-taking likely near supply zones. Scenario 3 – Breakdown through support Trigger: 1H close below ₹3,841 Path: ₹3,827 → ₹3,792 (Strong Low) → ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish OB) Rationale: Loss of intraday structure would flip bias short until major demand zones. 4. How to Trade Around Today’s Data If NFP is indeed delayed, the 18:00 IST slot may bring limited volatility. Focus instead on the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST, which could trigger sharp swings in both USD and gold. Adjust position sizing: Expect spread widening and slippage around the release. Reduce leverage or scale into positions. 5. Risk Management Limit risk per trade to 0.5–1% of account equity. Avoid chasing price once levels are tested; wait for H15–H1 candle closes for confirmation. Monitor the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields – further dollar weakness would reinforce bullish gold setups. 🔑 Key Takeaway Gold remains structurally bullish in the broader trend, with immediate support at ₹3,841–3,844 critical to maintain upside momentum. Watch for reactions around ₹3,880–3,890 and ₹3,930–3,940. With NFP possibly delayed, the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST will be today’s most important catalyst for directional moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Daily Plan: Gold Targets 7th Straight Weekly Gain |MMFLOWTRADING📊 Market Context Gold holds firm above $3,850, aiming for its 7th consecutive weekly gain. 🔥 Main driver: Risks from a prolonged U.S. government shutdown. 📉 54% probability of the shutdown lasting 29 days (Polymarket) → directly impacting gold sentiment. 🛡 Safe-haven demand & BUY-side FOMO keep fueling momentum. ⚖️ Still, profit-taking at higher resistance zones could trigger sharp swings before the next directional move. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) 📈 Main trend: Bullish, but consolidating near 3,850. 🚧 Key Resistances: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936 (Liquidity Sell Zones). 🏦 Key Supports: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754 (Buy Zones). 🎯 Key Levels: 3850 – 3880 – 3900. 📈 Trading Scenarios & Plan ✅ SELL ZONE 1: 3882–3884 SL: 3890 TP: 3878 – 3874 – 3870 – 3865 – 3860 – 3850 – 3840 – ??? ✅ SELL ZONE 2: 3934–3936 SL: 3940 TP: 3930 – 3925 – 3920 – 3910 – 3900 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3797–3795 SL: 3790 TP: 3800 – 3810 – 3820 – 3830 – 3840 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3756–3754 SL: 3750 TP: 3760 – 3770 – 3780 – 3790 – 3800 – ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes 🌀 U.S. shutdown headlines may spark unexpected volatility. 🕵️‍♂️ Focus on BUY setups at support, avoid chasing FOMO at highs. ❌ Consider SELL only if clear rejection signals form at resistance zones. ✅ Summary Gold remains supported by safe-haven flows, eyeing a 7-week winning streak. 🎯 Strategy: BUY setups: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754. SELL setups: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Britannia holds mild bullish trend with steady support zonesTopic Statement: Britannia remains a mildly bullish stock, resilient to broader market corrections and ideal for structured trading. Key Points: 1. The stock recently formed a double top candlestick pattern, indicating possible short-term resistance 2. Price can be accumulated when it falls below the 50-day EMA, a level that has historically provided good entries 3. It moves within an up-trending bullish channel, making it well-suited for disciplined channel-based trading strategies
NSE:BRITANNIA
by yogeshwar
BPCL– Wave B Nearing Resistance, Wave 2 Correction Still in PlayBack on August 20, I highlighted that BPCL had completed a 5-wave advance from 234.01 to 358.65 , marking higher degree Wave 1, and that a corrective Wave 2 was in progress. (Earlier technical analysis write-up is attached here: ) At that time, only Wave (a) of the correction was visible. Since then, price action has unfolded further: Wave B is now rising into a strong resistance cluster near 350–358. Unless price decisively breaks above 358.65 , the move remains corrective. A final Wave C decline into the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone (296–281) remains the higher probability path. Momentum check: The RSI is pushing higher alongside Wave B, but if momentum stalls here, it would confirm the setup for a downward leg. Key Levels: Resistance / Stop: 358.65 Retracement Zone: 296 – 281 Summary: The corrective roadmap outlined in August is still intact. With Wave B nearing exhaustion, focus now shifts to a potential Wave C decline toward 296–281, before the larger bullish structure resumes with Wave 3. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:BPCLShort
by WaveXplorer
JSW Steel powers through bullish channel with momentumTopic Statement: JSW Steel is on a relentless bullish run, steadily climbing within a strong up-trending channel that continues to attract accumulation. Key Points: 1. The stock is moving consistently in a strong bullish channel, making directional trading highly structured and reliable 2. It rarely dips below the 50-day EMA, and when it does, it presents a strong investment or accumulation opportunity 3. The clearly defined channel makes it ideal for disciplined channel-based trading strategies
NSE:JSWSTEEL
by yogeshwar
(XAU/USD) – Gold likely to touch $4,000/oz: Ideal buying levels?1. Market Structure & Trend Outlook On the H1 chart, gold is sustaining its bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. After the BoS (Break of Structure), price retraced near 3,862 Buy Zone and bounced upward. At present, price trades above EMA34 and EMA89, keeping bullish bias intact. 2. Important Levels Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Acts as short-term support. Holding above strengthens the bullish case. OB1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support in case Buy Zone breaks. OB2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, triggered only if market corrects heavily. Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): 3,912. A short-term resistance, profit booking expected. Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breakout here may lead to fresh record highs. 3. Trade Setups Bullish Setup: Buy on retest of 3,862 – 3,865. SL: Below 3,850. TP1: 3,912. TP2: 3,933 – 3,935. Bearish Setup (Defensive): If below 3,860, expect test of 3,806 – 3,810. If this fails, price may decline towards 3,763 – 3,770. 4. Conclusion Trend remains positive on H1. Best strategy: Buy on dips near support, manage SLs carefully, and book partial profits near resistances. Sustaining above 3,933 may open doors for new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent