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Support and Resistance

Crizac Ltd: Breaking Out with Strong FundamentalsCrizac Ltd operates as an asset-light overseas education platform, connecting thousands of student recruitment agents with global universities, primarily in the UK, Ireland, Canada, and other markets. Key Financial Highlights (FY25) Revenue: ₹849 Cr (+60% YoY) PAT: ₹153 Cr (+30% YoY) Operating Margin: ~25% ROE: ~36% | ROCE: ~48% Debt-to-Equity: 0.00x (virtually debt-free) Cash Flow: Strong operating cash flows with modest capex needs Strengths: High growth and returns with minimal capital employed Strong promoter holding (~80%) ensures alignment Diversified agent network (~10,362 registered, ~3,948 active in FY25) Risks: Heavy UK revenue concentration (~95% in FY25) Dependence on top 3 institutions (~53% revenue share) Rising receivable days (~91 days FY25 from 67 days FY24) Technical Analysis Chart Structure On the 1-hour timeframe, CRIZAC had been trading within a downward-sloping channel since mid-July, marked by consistent lower highs and lower lows. The recent price action shows a decisive breakout above the upper trendline of this channel, signaling potential reversal momentum. Key Technical Levels Reversal Zone (Support): ₹311–₹318 Immediate Resistance 1: ₹352 Next Resistance 2: ₹381 Resistance 3: ₹407 Major Resistance 4: ₹450 Interpretation The breakout from the descending channel, with price now sustaining above the ₹318 reversal zone, is a bullish technical signal. If momentum sustains, the stock could test the ₹352–₹381 zone in the short term. A close above ₹381 could open the path toward ₹407 and eventually ₹450. On the downside, failure to hold ₹318 may see the stock re-enter the previous channel, retesting lower supports. Techno-Fundamental View The fundamentals support the breakout story: High ROCE/ROE with debt-free balance sheet Consistent revenue and PAT growth Strong free cash flow generation The technical breakout adds a near-term bullish trigger, suggesting that investor sentiment is aligning with the company’s strong business performance. However, the key to sustaining the uptrend will be: Confirmation of higher volumes on breakout Continued positive earnings momentum in upcoming quarters Any progress on geographic diversification to reduce UK dependency Bottom Line Crizac Ltd is transitioning from a consolidation phase to potential upside momentum, backed by strong operational and financial performance. The breakout above the downtrend channel, coupled with a robust business model, makes the current setup attractive for growth-oriented investors—provided they can tolerate the risks of geographic concentration and post-IPO volatility. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:CRIZAC
by Alice Blue
Nifty - Expiry day analysis - Aug 14We had a choppy movement today as the price did not gain strength to give a trending move. Sustaining above 24600 is important to be bullish. If the price is unable to gain strength, then we may get a choppy range between 24500 to 24700. Buy above 24620 with the stop loss of 24570 for the targets 24660, 24700, 24760 and 24800. Sell below 24480 with the stop loss of 24530 for the targets 24440, 24400, 24340 and 24300. Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
NSE:NIFTY
by vanathi
2
Sensex - Expiry day analysis Aug 12The morning session was within a range, and the afternoon session gave a breakout of that range, and now the price is at an important support zone. 80450 to 80750 zone is important, and the price can move in this range if it does not gain strength. Buy above 80580 with the stop loss of 80420 for the targets 80720, 80900, 81040, 81200, 81360, and 81480. Sell below 80300 with the stop loss of 80420 for the targets 80200, 80060, 79920, 79800, 79660, and 79540. Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
BSE:SENSEX
by vanathi
5
Gold Plan 12/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 12/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ Background: After sliding from the Storm Breaker 🌊, Gold has broken below the 3358 zone and successfully retested it. The ship is now heading straight towards the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 dock. Today’s Plan: Only buy when price reaches the pre-defined support zones — no chasing in open waters. Zone 1 – Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp) Entry: 3,333 – 3,331 SL: 3,327 TP: 3,336 → 3,339 → 3,342 → 3,345 → 3,348 → 33xx Note: Fast in & out. Take partial profits at each TP hit. Zone 2 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone) Entry: 3,311 – 3,309 SL: 3,305 TP: 3,315 → 3,319 → 3,323 → 3,327 → 3,331 → 33xx Note: Main accumulation zone. Hold longer if buying momentum stays strong. Today’s Scenarios: If price hits Quick Boarding → Wait for a reversal signal (pin bar, engulfing) on M15/H1 before entering. If price dips to Golden Harbor → Observe the bounce strength; enter only on clear confirmation. If neither zone is touched → Stay on the shore; wait for the next voyage. Captain’s Note: “The Gold ship has left the 3358 waters, turning its bow towards Quick Boarding 🚤. If docking is smooth, the crew will sail out swiftly to the open seas. Golden Harbor 🏝️ remains the main refuge if stronger waves push deeper.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
2