Swing Trading Opportunity in Sun PharmaOn the daily timeframe chart of Sun Pharmaceutical, the price is approaching a resistance zone that has been tested multiple times. As this resistance has been tested multiple times, it may be considered a weak resistance. If the price gives a strong breakout above this resistance zone, it could present a great opportunity to take a swing trade.
For entry, we can go long after a breakout of a strong bullish candle above the resistance zone. It is advisable to initially enter with half quantity, as most breakouts tend to fail. After the breakout, when the price pulls back to the flip zone to take support and then starts moving in the direction of the breakout, we can add the other half quantity. Sometimes, the price doesn't pull back, which is why we enter the trade with half quantity after the breakout candle closes.
Regarding the stop loss, we can keep it below the resistance zone with some buffer.
We can set the target near the all-time high, as it may provide a significant resistance level and a potential area of profit-taking for traders. However, it is important to note that we should also monitor the price action closely and adjust our target accordingly if we see any signs of weakness or reversal in the trend.
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Supportandresistancezones
EURUSD bears have a long road ahead before taking controlEURUSD holds onto the previous week’s U-turn from a five-month-old horizontal resistance while bracing for the second weekly loss, targeting the 50-EMA support of around 1.0850 of late amid a looming bear cross on the MACD. That said, the RSI (14) line’s retreat from the overbought RSI also suggests the Euro pair’s further weakness and hence the pair’s fall past the 50-EMA to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of January-April upside, near 1.0785, can’t be ruled out. However, a convergence of the 200-EMA and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, close to 1.0715-10, appears a tough nut to crack for the sellers. Even if the quote manages to break the 1.0710 support confluence, an upward-sloping support line from January, surrounding 1.0670, will act as the final defense of the buyers before giving control to the bears.
It should be noted, however, that the EURUSD pair’s recovery from the 50-EMA support will be difficult unless crossing the multi-month-old horizontal resistance area around 1.0990. Also acting as the short-term upside hurdle is the 1.1000 psychological magnet. Following that, the yearly high marked in April near 1.1095 holds the key to the major currency pair’s rally toward the March 2022 peak of 1.1185.
Overall, the EURUSD is likely to witness further downside but the road towards the south won’t be smooth.
JSW Steel Breakout & Retest SetupOn the daily chart of JSW Steel, a strong breakout above the multiple time-tested resistance zone can be observed. Following the breakout, the price retraced back to the flip zone and found support before heading up towards the next high. This presents a potentially lucrative swing trading opportunity in JSW Steel.
To enter this trade, a long position can be taken on the open of the next candle. A stop loss can be placed below the previous candle's low, as indicated on the chart. In terms of profit targets, a favorable reward-to-risk ratio of 1:3 can be targeted, as also marked on the chart.
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Nifty AnalysisIn this assessment I will try to answer a few questions:
1️⃣where is the market trading?
It is trading near its all-time high 18887.60
2️⃣How it is behaving near this resistance?
🚩It reacted sharply from near the resistance level but took support near a previous swing low of 18670.
🚩Then it rallied even much sharper back to the resistance and this time the reactions have been not that strong.
🚩It seems consolidating/absorbing whatever supply is left near the highs.
3️⃣Is there any pattern or range that can be traded?
🚩Yes, there is a triangle pattern formation as shown in the chart. It is probably best to buy near the lower edge and wait for an up move.
🚩There could also be a range formation in which market can oscillate for a while. This range is between 18780 (an important support-resistance level) and 18875-18900.
4️⃣Is there any chance of massive crack from all-time highs?
🚩At this point of time I don’t see any indication of a fall. As I said that the reactions are getting smaller, and price is hugging the resistance zone. There are higher chances of a breakout in the direction of primary trend on the weekly timeframe (see chart on the right).
5️⃣What should be the trailing SL to protect gains in the market?
🚩The swing low of 18660 could be a good stop loss to protect or lock the gains (if any) in the markets.
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Disclaimer: The views shared above are not a trading or investment advice. You need to apply your due diligence before investing your capital.
AUDUSD bulls have tough time regaining control on Australia inflAUDUSD remains on the back foot at the three-week low after posting the biggest weekly loss since August 2022 on Australia inflation day, breaking convergence of the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of its late May to early June run-up on downbeat Aussise Monthly CPI. Having breached the stated key support, the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracements, respectively near 0.6625 and 0.6550, act as the final defense of the bulls before directing the downside towards the year-to-date (YTD) low marked in May around 0.6460.
On the contrary, the support-turned-resistance confluence around 0.6670, comprising the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement, guards the quote’s immediate upside ahead of an eight-day-long falling resistance line surrounding 0.6715. Following that, the 100-SMA level of around 0.6750 will restrict the AUDUSD pair’s further upside. Should the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.6750, a broad resistance area comprising multiple levels marked since May 10, near 0.6805-15, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls.
Kotak Bank Swing Trade SetupKotak Bank is currently approaching a crucial support zone on the daily timeframe chart. This presents a potentially good opportunity for a swing trade.
Entry:
For entry, it is recommended to go long on the open of the next candle.
Stoploss:
To minimize risk, a stop loss should be placed below the support zone, with some buffer to avoid stop loss hunting.
Target:
As for the target, it is advised to aim for the next resistance level as indicated on the chart.
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EURUSD Swing Downtrend AnalysisTrade Analysis : Swing EURUSD Downtrend
Channel analysis on EURUSD
Trend Identification: Swing Downtrend EURUSD .
Support/Resistance Levels: Identify key levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points.
Price Behavior: Daily Bearish pullback with market structure.
Targets: T1 = 1.6000, T2 - 1.0550.
Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements.
Confirmation Indicators: Support/Resistance Levels, Higher High, Higher Lows.
Conclusion: Based on the chart analysis of , EURUSD is Downtrend has been identified. EURUSD is heading towards the 3-Month Low. Combine this analysis with thorough research and risk management strategies to make well-informed trading decisions. Avoid counter-trend trading. Happy trading!
(Note: Trading is subject to market risk. This is analysis not an trade idea for trade.)
USDJPY UPTREND SWING ANALYSISTrade Analysis : Swing USDJPY UPTREND
Trend analysis on USDJPY
Trend Identification: Swing Uptrend USDJPY.
Support/Resistance Levels: Identify key levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points.
Price Behavior: Daily Bullish pullback with market structure.
Targets: T1 = 141.00, T2 - 142.500.
Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements.
Confirmation Indicators: Support/Resistance Levels, Higher High, Higher Lows.
Conclusion: Based on the chart analysis of , USDJPY is Downtrend has been identified. Combine this analysis with thorough research and risk management strategies to make well-informed trading decisions. Avoid counter-trend trading. Happy trading!
(Note: Trading is subject to market risk. This is analysis not an trade idea for trade.)
USDCAD has more downside room as Canada inflation loomsUSDCAD remains depressed at the year-to-date levels ahead of Canada inflation and US Durable Goods Orders. It’s worth noting that the Loonie pair bears have little fundamental, as well as technical support unless witnessing a corrective bounce. That said, the oversold RSI appears the first catalyst suggesting a rebound in the pair price. With this, a one-month-old falling trend line, around 1.3165 by the press time, precedes the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its August-October 2022 upside, near 1.3210, to restrict the short-term upside of the pair. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.3210, the previous support line stretched from November 2022, close to 1.3350, and the piercing of the 50-EMA to the 200-EMA from above near 1.3400, will act as the last defense of the bears.
On the contrary, strong Canada inflation and the downbeat US data may allow the USDCAD bears to keep the reins despite an oversold RSI. The same highlights the 1.3000 and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2990 as the next targets for the Loonie pair bears. Should the pair sellers keep dominating past 1.2990, the September 2022 bottom of near 1.2950 will challenge the sellers before directing the pair towards the late 2022 trough close to 1.2725.
Overall, the USDCAD bears are likely to stay in the driver’s seat even if a short-term bounce is very much likely.
GBPUSD is still not for the bearsDespite posting the first weekly loss in four, the GBPUSD pair stays beyond the key supports. Not only that but the RSI (14) also retreats from overbought conditions and hence the fears of a pullback are off the table. That said, the MACD signals are bullish, which in turn backs the buyers to renew the upside momentum. That said, the latest peak, also the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of March-May moves, near 1.2850, appears the immediate target for Cable buyers. Following that, the lows marked during March 2022 join the 78.6% FE to highlight the 1.3000 as a strong resistance to watch. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.3000, the late 2021 bottom of around 1.3160 will be in the spotlight.
Meanwhile, the previous monthly high of near 1.2680 acts as immediate support for the intraday sellers of the GBPUSD pair to watch. Following that, an ascending support line from early March, close to 1.2510, immediately followed by the 1.2500 round figure, will be important hurdles for the bears to conquer to retain control. It’s worth observing that the 100-DMA level of around 1.2350 and the previous monthly low surrounding 1.2300 act as the last battle points for the Cable buyers before relinquishing control.
BankNifty RSI Bearish DivergenceObserving the BankNifty price chart, we can see that the price is making higher highs while the RSI is making lower highs, indicating a clear sign of RSI bearish divergence.
Entry:
To capitalise on this bearish signal, we can consider going short once the close of a strong bearish candle is below the weak support level marked on the chart.
Stoploss:
To manage our risk, we can place a stoploss above the weak support level.
Target:
Our profit target can be set near the next strong support zone marked on the chart.
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UPL Double Bottom & RSI DivergenceAccording to the daily chart, UPL has formed a double bottom pattern near a significant support zone. Notably, while the price made a double bottom near the same level, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recorded a higher low, indicating a bullish divergence in the RSI.
Entry:
We can go long after the close of a strong bullish candle near the support zone.
Stoploss:
We can keep the stop loss below the support zone with some buffer.
Target:
We can keep the target near the next resistance zone as marked on the chart.
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Market at near all time high! What should we do now???Only simple answer:- Wait for breakout or rejection from top, the the price decide. But according to trading rule price has to consolidate first before breakout, otherwise if price will break directly might be it can form a fake breakout. I will prefer to wait for price action, then i will plan accordingly. Now no trading zone according to me.
I think one rejection we can see from this all time high area, and price can fall till 18400 somewhere and then it will prepare for breakout. And that breakout will be healthy breakout. Anyway i am just waiting for price action.
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Rahul Pal