Supportandresistancezones
JSW Steel Breakout & Retest SetupOn the daily chart of JSW Steel, a strong breakout above the multiple time-tested resistance zone can be observed. Following the breakout, the price retraced back to the flip zone and found support before heading up towards the next high. This presents a potentially lucrative swing trading opportunity in JSW Steel.
To enter this trade, a long position can be taken on the open of the next candle. A stop loss can be placed below the previous candle's low, as indicated on the chart. In terms of profit targets, a favorable reward-to-risk ratio of 1:3 can be targeted, as also marked on the chart.
Thank you for your attention. Please feel free to like and follow my profile for more insightful market analysis.
Nifty AnalysisIn this assessment I will try to answer a few questions:
1️⃣where is the market trading?
It is trading near its all-time high 18887.60
2️⃣How it is behaving near this resistance?
🚩It reacted sharply from near the resistance level but took support near a previous swing low of 18670.
🚩Then it rallied even much sharper back to the resistance and this time the reactions have been not that strong.
🚩It seems consolidating/absorbing whatever supply is left near the highs.
3️⃣Is there any pattern or range that can be traded?
🚩Yes, there is a triangle pattern formation as shown in the chart. It is probably best to buy near the lower edge and wait for an up move.
🚩There could also be a range formation in which market can oscillate for a while. This range is between 18780 (an important support-resistance level) and 18875-18900.
4️⃣Is there any chance of massive crack from all-time highs?
🚩At this point of time I don’t see any indication of a fall. As I said that the reactions are getting smaller, and price is hugging the resistance zone. There are higher chances of a breakout in the direction of primary trend on the weekly timeframe (see chart on the right).
5️⃣What should be the trailing SL to protect gains in the market?
🚩The swing low of 18660 could be a good stop loss to protect or lock the gains (if any) in the markets.
Do like🚀 share 🔊 or comment 📃 for more such ideas in future.
Disclaimer: The views shared above are not a trading or investment advice. You need to apply your due diligence before investing your capital.
AUDUSD bulls have tough time regaining control on Australia inflAUDUSD remains on the back foot at the three-week low after posting the biggest weekly loss since August 2022 on Australia inflation day, breaking convergence of the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of its late May to early June run-up on downbeat Aussise Monthly CPI. Having breached the stated key support, the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracements, respectively near 0.6625 and 0.6550, act as the final defense of the bulls before directing the downside towards the year-to-date (YTD) low marked in May around 0.6460.
On the contrary, the support-turned-resistance confluence around 0.6670, comprising the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement, guards the quote’s immediate upside ahead of an eight-day-long falling resistance line surrounding 0.6715. Following that, the 100-SMA level of around 0.6750 will restrict the AUDUSD pair’s further upside. Should the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.6750, a broad resistance area comprising multiple levels marked since May 10, near 0.6805-15, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls.
Kotak Bank Swing Trade SetupKotak Bank is currently approaching a crucial support zone on the daily timeframe chart. This presents a potentially good opportunity for a swing trade.
Entry:
For entry, it is recommended to go long on the open of the next candle.
Stoploss:
To minimize risk, a stop loss should be placed below the support zone, with some buffer to avoid stop loss hunting.
Target:
As for the target, it is advised to aim for the next resistance level as indicated on the chart.
Thank you for considering this analysis, and feel free to follow for more insights.
EURUSD Swing Downtrend AnalysisTrade Analysis : Swing EURUSD Downtrend
Channel analysis on EURUSD
Trend Identification: Swing Downtrend EURUSD .
Support/Resistance Levels: Identify key levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points.
Price Behavior: Daily Bearish pullback with market structure.
Targets: T1 = 1.6000, T2 - 1.0550.
Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements.
Confirmation Indicators: Support/Resistance Levels, Higher High, Higher Lows.
Conclusion: Based on the chart analysis of , EURUSD is Downtrend has been identified. EURUSD is heading towards the 3-Month Low. Combine this analysis with thorough research and risk management strategies to make well-informed trading decisions. Avoid counter-trend trading. Happy trading!
(Note: Trading is subject to market risk. This is analysis not an trade idea for trade.)
USDJPY UPTREND SWING ANALYSISTrade Analysis : Swing USDJPY UPTREND
Trend analysis on USDJPY
Trend Identification: Swing Uptrend USDJPY.
Support/Resistance Levels: Identify key levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points.
Price Behavior: Daily Bullish pullback with market structure.
Targets: T1 = 141.00, T2 - 142.500.
Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements.
Confirmation Indicators: Support/Resistance Levels, Higher High, Higher Lows.
Conclusion: Based on the chart analysis of , USDJPY is Downtrend has been identified. Combine this analysis with thorough research and risk management strategies to make well-informed trading decisions. Avoid counter-trend trading. Happy trading!
(Note: Trading is subject to market risk. This is analysis not an trade idea for trade.)
USDCAD has more downside room as Canada inflation loomsUSDCAD remains depressed at the year-to-date levels ahead of Canada inflation and US Durable Goods Orders. It’s worth noting that the Loonie pair bears have little fundamental, as well as technical support unless witnessing a corrective bounce. That said, the oversold RSI appears the first catalyst suggesting a rebound in the pair price. With this, a one-month-old falling trend line, around 1.3165 by the press time, precedes the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its August-October 2022 upside, near 1.3210, to restrict the short-term upside of the pair. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.3210, the previous support line stretched from November 2022, close to 1.3350, and the piercing of the 50-EMA to the 200-EMA from above near 1.3400, will act as the last defense of the bears.
On the contrary, strong Canada inflation and the downbeat US data may allow the USDCAD bears to keep the reins despite an oversold RSI. The same highlights the 1.3000 and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2990 as the next targets for the Loonie pair bears. Should the pair sellers keep dominating past 1.2990, the September 2022 bottom of near 1.2950 will challenge the sellers before directing the pair towards the late 2022 trough close to 1.2725.
Overall, the USDCAD bears are likely to stay in the driver’s seat even if a short-term bounce is very much likely.
GBPUSD is still not for the bearsDespite posting the first weekly loss in four, the GBPUSD pair stays beyond the key supports. Not only that but the RSI (14) also retreats from overbought conditions and hence the fears of a pullback are off the table. That said, the MACD signals are bullish, which in turn backs the buyers to renew the upside momentum. That said, the latest peak, also the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of March-May moves, near 1.2850, appears the immediate target for Cable buyers. Following that, the lows marked during March 2022 join the 78.6% FE to highlight the 1.3000 as a strong resistance to watch. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.3000, the late 2021 bottom of around 1.3160 will be in the spotlight.
Meanwhile, the previous monthly high of near 1.2680 acts as immediate support for the intraday sellers of the GBPUSD pair to watch. Following that, an ascending support line from early March, close to 1.2510, immediately followed by the 1.2500 round figure, will be important hurdles for the bears to conquer to retain control. It’s worth observing that the 100-DMA level of around 1.2350 and the previous monthly low surrounding 1.2300 act as the last battle points for the Cable buyers before relinquishing control.
BankNifty RSI Bearish DivergenceObserving the BankNifty price chart, we can see that the price is making higher highs while the RSI is making lower highs, indicating a clear sign of RSI bearish divergence.
Entry:
To capitalise on this bearish signal, we can consider going short once the close of a strong bearish candle is below the weak support level marked on the chart.
Stoploss:
To manage our risk, we can place a stoploss above the weak support level.
Target:
Our profit target can be set near the next strong support zone marked on the chart.
If you find this analysis helpful, please consider liking and following me for more insights and trading ideas. Thank you.
UPL Double Bottom & RSI DivergenceAccording to the daily chart, UPL has formed a double bottom pattern near a significant support zone. Notably, while the price made a double bottom near the same level, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recorded a higher low, indicating a bullish divergence in the RSI.
Entry:
We can go long after the close of a strong bullish candle near the support zone.
Stoploss:
We can keep the stop loss below the support zone with some buffer.
Target:
We can keep the target near the next resistance zone as marked on the chart.
Please Like & Follow me.
Market at near all time high! What should we do now???Only simple answer:- Wait for breakout or rejection from top, the the price decide. But according to trading rule price has to consolidate first before breakout, otherwise if price will break directly might be it can form a fake breakout. I will prefer to wait for price action, then i will plan accordingly. Now no trading zone according to me.
I think one rejection we can see from this all time high area, and price can fall till 18400 somewhere and then it will prepare for breakout. And that breakout will be healthy breakout. Anyway i am just waiting for price action.
Hit the like button if you like my content. And follow for more updates like this. Thankyou
Note:- only for educational purpose.
Regards
Rahul Pal
Gold Price gradually declines towards $1,900Gold Price breaks a month-old bearish channel towards the south and suggests further downside past the latest three-month low surrounding $1,920. However, the oversold RSI conditions keep offering intermediate bounces as the bullion drops towards the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of May 15 to June 16 moves, near $1,907. Following that, the $1,900 round figure may test the XAUUSD bears before highlighting the 78.6% FE level of around $1,890. In a case where the precious metal remains weak past $1,890, the June 2022 peak of near $1,880 and early March 2023 high close to $1,858 will act as the last stops for the bulls to leave the throne and give control to the bears.
On the contrary, the bottom line of the stated bearish channel, close to $1,925 at the latest, can escalate the corrective bounce toward the $1,940 hurdle. However, a convergence of the 200-EMA and a three-week-old descending trend line, near $1,960, appears a tough nut to crack for the Gold buyers afterward. Even if they manage to cross the $1,960 resistance, the top line of the aforementioned falling trend channel, close to $1,970, will be the final battle before welcoming the bulls.
Overall, the Gold price is likely to decline further but the downside appears slow and steady.
GBPUSD stays on bull’s list despite pre-BoE retreatGBPUSD dropped in the last three consecutive days and is on the way to posting the first weekly loss in four as the Cable traders prepare for the Bank of England (BoE) Interest Rate Decision, despite the latest rebound. Even so, the Pound Sterling remains beyond the 50-SMA and a three-week-old rising support line, respectively near 1.2690 and 1.2655 at the latest. Even if the quote breaks these immediate supports, the monthly swing high of near 1.2540 and the 200-SMA surrounding 1.2520 can act as the last defenses.
It should be noted that the RSI is below 50.0 and suggest bottom-picking while the strong UK inflation also increases the hawkish hopes from the BoE. In that case, the weekly resistance line of near 1.2770 and the latest multi-month high marked the last week around 1.2850 will be in the spotlight. However, an upward-sloping trend line from mid-April, close to 1.2870 at the latest, will challenge the GBPUSD bulls afterward. In a case where the Cable pair remains firmer past 1.2870, multiple hurdles near 1.2970 and the 1.3000 threshold may test the upside momentum before directing the Pound Sterling prices toward the April 2022 peak of near 1.3150.
Overall, GBPUSD is likely to grind higher unless the BoE disappoints markets.
EURUSD bulls are still in the game despite retreatEURUSD pares the biggest weekly gain since early January ever since it reversed from the monthly high on Friday. In doing so, the Euro pair prints the first weekly loss in three as Fed Chair Powell’s testimony looms. However, a golden cross on the moving average, that is a condition where 50-SMA pierces the 200-SMA from below, joins the quote’s sustained trading beyond a fortnight-old rising support line to keep the buyers hopeful. Hence, the immediate trend line support, close to 1.0875 at the latest, precedes the 50-SMA of near 1.0840 and the 200-SMA surrounding 1.0820 to act as the final defense of the Euro buyers. Also acting as the downside filter is the early-month peak of around 1.0775, a break of which can quickly drag the pair to the previous monthly low of 1.0635.
Meanwhile, the EURUSD recovery needs to remain successfully high past the two-month-old horizontal support zone surrounding 1.0900-910. In that case, the weekly high of 1.0970 and the 1.1000 psychological magnet can challenge the bulls. Following that, the double tops marked in late April and early May, just below the 1.1100 round figure, will be crucial for the buyers to cross to confirm their ruling.
Overall, the EURUSD appears slipping off the bull’s radar but the bears need validation from technicals, as well as from Fed’s Powell, to retake control.
NTPC Strong Breakout & Retest SetupNTPC has given a strong breakout above a resistance zone that was tested multiple times and is now approaching a retest of this zone, which is expected to act as a support zone. Based on this setup, a swing trade opportunity may be considered.
Entry: A long position can be initiated after the close of a strong bullish candle near the flip zone.
Stop Loss: A stop loss order can be placed below the flip zone to limit potential losses.
Targets:
Target 1: Take profit can be set near the next resistance zone as marked on the chart.
Target 2: Once target 1 is achieved, a second profit target can be set near the next resistance zone 2 as marked on the chart.
What is Flip Zone?
A flip zone is a term used to describe a price zone that has flipped from acting as a resistance to acting as a support level or vice versa. It occurs when the price breaks through a key level, then retests it, causing the level to switch from acting as resistance to support or vice versa.
Please Like & Follow me.
AUDUSD teases sellers on breaking short-term bullish channelAUDUSD prods three-week uptrend after RBA Minutes and PBOC rate cut impresses bearish ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s Testimony. Also favoring the odds of a pullback in the Aussie pair is the nearly overbought RSI and concerns about hearing hawkish words from Fed Chair Powell. However, a clear downside break of a three-week-long rising trend channel becomes necessary to convince the pair bears. In doing so, a daily close below the stated channel’s bottom line, near 0.6850, becomes necessary to convince sellers. Even so, the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level of around 0.6760 acts as the last defense of the bulls.
Meanwhile, the AUDUSD upside needs to refresh the latest monthly peak of around 0.0.6900 to convince short-term buyers. However, the stated channel’s top line, close to 0.6940, will precede the 0.7000 psychological magnet to challenge the pair’s further upside. In a case where the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.7000, the mid-February around of around 0.7030 and the yearly high of 0.7157 will be in the spotlight.
Overall, AUDUSD bulls appear running out of steam but the bears have a long way to retake control.