MUTHOOTFIN Down to see 800 level ??!!!Chart patterns insist me the above titled opinion.
Reasons
1. Muthoot finance has been travelling in a expanding triangle pattern from 2015.
2. Till now, its respecting the pattern by taking support and resistance at perfect levels.
3. Currently it is in downswing inside the pattern.
4. It may take take support at the Major support (GRENN LINE 800 LEVEL ) soon .
In Weekly timeframe, there is BEARISH PENNANT formation , yet to give BREAKDOWN.
5. only if the Bearish Pennant gives BREAKDOWN , we can confirm the down move .
I will update(Target and SL) once it gives Breakdown!!!
We need to wait, as the breakdown can occur this week or 2 month later or never.
Let's wait for the Market's decision!!!
As of now, (on seeing the chart) its not easy for bulls to charge up.
Note : Just sharing my view....not a tip nor advice!!!
Supportandresistancezones
BANKNIFTY LEVELS 21/04/2023BANKNIFTY ANALYSIS WITH LOGIC:
1. If there's gap up price should form bullish candle above 42470 level then only, we will take long position up to 42820 level.
2. If there's flat opening on today's session price should reach 42238 level. If there's any rejection candle forms above this level, we can take long position up to 42365 level by maintaining trailing stoploss.
3. Or if the price gets rejection from below 42470 level, we can short up to 42238 level.
4. Maintain proper stoploss while placing trades.
Have a profitable day :)
BANKNIFTY LEVELS 20/04/2023BANKNIFTY ANALYSIS WITH LOGIC:'
1. If there's is gap up or flat opening in price and forms bearish candle below 42238 level, we can short up to 41920 level
2. If price sustains above 42238 level, it should retest those level then only we will take long position up to 42365 level as first target.
3. If price crosses above 42365 level, should retest those level then only we will take long positions up to 42470 level as second target.
4. Try to maintain trailing stoploss while placing trades in options due expiry.
Have a safe and profitable trading :)
Gold needs to break $1,980 support for short-term downsideGold price grinds lower between a three-month-old ascending resistance line and an upward-sloping trend line from late March. That said, the quote recently bounced off a convergence of the 21-day EMA and an upward-sloping support line from March 22, close to HKEX:1 ,980, which in turn suggests the commodity’s further recovery towards the HKEX:2 ,020 immediate hurdle. However, nearly overbought RSI and nearness to the aforementioned multi-month-old resistance line, currently around HKEX:2 ,045, could challenge the XAUUSD bulls.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the HKEX:1 ,980 support confluence could quickly drag the Gold price toward February’s high of around HKEX:1 ,960. Following that, 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its late November 2022 to early April 2023 upside, near HKEX:1 ,890 and HKEX:1 ,853 in that order, could test the Gold sellers. It’s worth noting that the XAUUSD remains on the buyer’s radar unless it offers a daily closing below the 200-day EMA level of around HKEX:1 ,845.
Overall, the Gold price is likely to grind higher unless breaking the HKEX:1 ,845 level. That said, a downside break of HKEX:1 ,980 can trigger the metal’s short-term fall.
BANKNIFTY LEVELS 19/04/2023BANKNIFTY ANALYSIS WITH LOGIC:
1. If there's flat opening or gap down in price, it should get reversal from 42160 level with bullish candle we can take long position up to 42420 level.
2. If it breaks 42420 level with strong candle up to recent high, we can take buy side position.
3.Or if the price gets reversal from 42420 with bearish candle, we can short our positions till 42160 level.
4. If the price breaks 42160 level with strong candle we will short sell our positions up to 41920 level.
5. Maintain trailing stoploss while making trades.
Have a safe and profitable day.
EURUSD remains on the bull’s radar beyond 1.0900EURUSD prins mild gains within a one-month-old bullish channel even as RSI eases from the overbought conditions. That said, the impending bear cross on the MACD joins the major currency pair’s inability to stay beyond 1.1000 to lure sellers. However, a clear downside break of the stated channel’s bottom line, close to 1.0900 at the latest, becomes necessary for the confirmation of downside bias. Even so, the 50-SMA and an ascending support line from early January, respectively near 1.0745 and 1.0585 in that order, appear tough nuts to crack for the pair sellers before retaking the control.
Meanwhile, the EURUSD recovery needs to sustain above the 1.1000 psychological magnet to convince buyers. In that case, the aforementioned channel’s top line, close to 1.1100, may test the upside momentum. Should the Euro price remains firmer past 1.1100, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of its between November 10, 200 and March 15, 2023, near 1.1200, could lure the upside momentum. During the run-up, the late March 2022 top surrounding 1.1185 can act as an intermediate halt.
Overall, EURUSD bulls appear to run up out of steam but the bears have a long and bumpy road before taking control.
BANKNIFTY LEVELS 18/04/2023BANKNIFTY ANALYSIS WITH LOGIC:
1. Considering today intraday levels, if there's gap up or flat opening price should get reversal from 42160 or 42105 in between these levels.
2. From that point we can short up to 42420 level by maintaining trailing stoploss.
3. There are no chances to short our positions until price crosses 42105 level with strong bearish candle.
4. Try to maintain ITM call options to avoid heavy decay .
Have a safe and profitable day :)
Rising wedge on the top lures GBPUSD bearsWith its heavy fall on Friday, GBPUSD ended the last week on a negative note, after four consecutive weekly gains. Adding strength to the bearish bias is the rising wedge chart formation. Furthermore, the RSI and MACD conditions also keep sellers on the lookout for opportunities. As a result, a clear downside break of the stated wedge’s support line, around 1.2415 by the press time, quickly followed by the 100-SMA support of 1.2385, becomes necessary for the bears to retake control. Following that, the 200-SMA support of around 1.2230 can act as an intermediate halt during the theoretical target of the wedge, close to 1.2050.
Alternatively, the GBPUSD pair’s recovery may initially aim for regaining the 1.2500 round figure before challenging the stated bearish formation’s upper line, near the latest peak of around 1.2550. In a case where the Cable pair remain firmer past 1.2550, the 1.2600 threshold and May 2022 high of around 1.2665 will be in focus.
Overall, GBPUSD buyers ran out of steam but the bears need confirmation from the 1.2385 to retake control.
BANKNIFTY LEVELS 17/04/2023BANKNIFTY ANALYSIS WITH LOGIC:
1. If there's gap up or flat opening price should retest 42105 or 41920 levels
2. If price gets reversal from those from those two levels with 15m bullish candle. we can take long position upto 42820 by maintaining trailing stoploss.
3. On today's intraday session banknifty is stronger when compared to nifty.
4. Consolidation may occur in between 42105 - 41920 levels
Have a safe and profitable day :)
lets understand support and resistance in detail support and resistance they play a truly crucial role in trading
If you want to trade like a pro, there's something you should know:
Support and resistance, they're the stars of the show!
this can be understood from the below:-
Support is like a floor, it holds prices up high,
Resistance is a ceiling, prices can't seem to fly.
When prices hit support, they tend to bounce back,
And when they reach resistance, they often lose track.
These levels are key, they're a trader's best friend,
They help you to enter, exit, and defend.
So pay attention to support and resistance, my friend,
They'll help you make profits and trade till the end!
volume confirmation along with breakouts are beautiful
Gold buyers run out of steam before final dose of US dataGold price seesaws near the highest levels since March 2022 inside a one-month-old bullish channel. The bullion recently makes rounds to the upper line of the stated bullish formation amid overbought RSI (14), which in turn suggests that the buyers are running out of steam and a pullback is in the offing. The same highlights the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) level of the metal’s moves between March 22 and April 10, around HKEX:2 ,041, as the immediate support. Following that, the previous weekly top surrounding HKEX:2 ,031 and the HKEX:2 ,000 round figure could lure the XAUUSD bears. It’s worth noting, however, that a convergence of the 100-EMA and the aforementioned channel’s lower line, close to HKEX:1 ,980-78, as the key support to watch during the quote’s further downside. Above all, the metal’s bearish trend remains elusive unless it trades beyond the 200-EMA level surrounding HKEX:1 ,947.
On the contrary, a successful upside break of the HKEX:2 ,050 defies the expectations of witnessing a pullback in the Gold price. Even so, the 78.6% FE level of around HKEX:2 ,057 can test the bulls before directing them to the previous yearly high of near HKEX:2 ,070. In a case where the bullion remains firmer past HKEX:2 ,070, the record high of HKEX:2 ,075, marked in 2020, will precede the 100% FE level of HKEX:2 ,078 to act as the final defense of the short-term sellers prior to propelling the quote towards the HKEX:2 ,100 round figure.
Overall, Gold price appears to have had enough of a run-up in the week and may witness a retreat. In doing so, the lower high on RSI and higher high of prices, known as bearish divergence, may play its role, if not the US Dollar.
Two-month-old resistance line challenges EURUSD bullsEURUSD bulls struggle at an 11-week-high as an upward-sloping trend line resistance challenges the major currency pair’s further upside around the 1.1000 psychological magnet. Adding strength to the stated resistance is the overbought RSI conditions. Even if the quote manages to cross the 1.1000 hurdle, the YTD high marked in February around 1.1035 could act as an additional upside filter for the bulls to tackle before approaching the late March 2022 peak around 1.1185. Following that, the previous yearly high of 1.1495 will be in focus.
Alternatively, the EURUSD pullback could initially aim for the 1.0930 resistance-turned-support area comprising multiple levels marked in the last two months, a break of which will highlight the 100-SMA level of 1.0860 as the key support. It’s worth noting, however, that a clear downside break of 1.0860 won’t hesitate to drag the Euro pair toward the monthly low of near 1.0785. Though, the 200-SMA level of 1.0745 could restrict the quote’s south run afterward.
To sum up, EURUSD bulls appear running out of steam and hence a pullback in prices can be expected. However, the bearish trend is still far from sight.
BANKNIFTY LEVELS 13/04/2023 BANKNIFTY ANALYSIS WITH LOGIC:
1. Considering those levels bank nifty is weak when compared to nifty,
2. Maximum range boundness can be seen during first half session in between 41600- 41412 levels.
3. If there's slight gap up price should get reversal from 41660 level with strong 15m bearish candle therefore we can short up to 41412 level by maintaining trailing stoploss.
4. Option buyers be careful during today intraday session as we can expect heavy decay.
Have a safe and profitable day :)
USDCAD stays on bear’s radar as US inflation, BoC loomsBe it a clear downside break of the 10-week-old ascending trend line or sustained trading below the 200-SMA, not to forget the latest fall below one-week-long rising trend line, USDCAD has it all to keep its place on the bear’s radar. The quote’s further downside, however, hinges on the Bank of Canada (BoC) monetary policy decision and the US Consumer Price Index data, as well as the FOMC Meeting Minutes. That said, the monthly low of around 1.3400 and multiple levels marked near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s February-March upside, close to 1.3390, could test the Loonie pair sellers. In a case where the bears keep the reins past 1.3390, February’s low of around 1.3260 will be in focus.
Meanwhile, USDCAD recovery initially needs to cross the weekly support-turned-resistance of around 1.3500 before poking the 50% Fibonacci retracement hurdle, around 1.3560, to convince intraday buyers. Even so, the previous support line from early February, close to 1.3615-20, could challenge the upside momentum. If at all the Loonie pair manages to cross the 1.3620 hurdle, a convergence of the 200-SMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement will act as the final defense for bears near 1.3630. Should the quote remains firmer past 1.3630, backed by price-positive fundamentals, a run-up towards 1.3740 and 1.3800 can’t be ruled out.
To sum up, USDCAD is well-set for further downside on a key day for the pair traders.