Swingtrading
MMTC: Looks Good For 30% Upside potential🚀 MMTC Ltd (NSE: MMTC): Bullion Surge Triggers Breakout Momentum
As of January 15, 2026, MMTC is showing strong technical momentum, surging over 12.6% in a single session to close at ₹71.58. The move is primarily fueled by a sharp rally in gold and silver prices, which directly impacts MMTC’s significant bullion trading operations.
🏦 Technical Snapshot (3D Chart Analysis)
Current Price: ₹71.58.
Breakout Zone: The stock has decisively cleared the ₹65.60 – ₹68.00 horizontal resistance with a massive volume spike.
Support: Immediate support now sits at the ₹65.00 level (the breakout neckline), with major trendline support near ₹55.00.
Resistance: The next significant hurdle is the psychological and historical supply zone at ₹85.00 – ₹88.00 (52-week high).
RSI: Currently at 60.96, signaling strong bullish momentum without being overbought.
💡 AI-Powered & Macro Insights
Bullion Correlation: MMTC's performance is currently detached from its internals and is tracking the bull run in precious metals. Silver hit a lifetime high of ₹2,86,790/kg this week, acting as a major tailwind.
Institutional Footprint: Trading volumes on Jan 14 were nearly 10.5x the 30-day average, indicating massive retail and potential early institutional participation.
Financial Growth: Q2 FY26 saw a significant 255% jump in net profit to ₹170.81 Cr, providing a fundamental backdrop to the current technical strength.
🎯 What I'm Watching
Sustenance above ₹70: A 3-day close above the ₹70 mark is critical for momentum acceleration toward the ₹80+ zone.
Volume Confirmation: Continued high delivery volume will confirm that this isn't just a speculative "gap-and-crap" move.
Bullion Prices: Any cooling off in global gold/silver prices will likely lead to a retest of the ₹65 support.
Risk/Reward: Favorable for swing traders while the stock holds above ₹70.00.
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. PSU stocks can be highly volatile. Please do your own research or consult a certified advisor before taking any positions. (#DYOR)
Trendline breakout at support level in GAEL1. Gujrat ambuja export lt- showing consolidation at 100 to 115 levels
2. Candle close above 115 can trigger consolidation breakout at strong support zone
3. Trendline breakout has already happend but above 115 close will be safe and logical
4. Good Risk:Reward one can watch for upside movement with strict sl level
L & T (Larsen & Toubro) – 4H | From Breakdown to Bounce?L & T has delivered a sharp corrective move from the upper supply zone, flushing out weak hands and reaching a well-defined higher-timeframe demand area. This zone previously acted as strong support and is now being retested under pressure.
The reaction from this area will decide the next big move.
🔹 Market Structure: Higher-timeframe uptrend intact
🔹 Current Phase: Deep pullback into demand
🔹 Key Zone: Marked support area (buyers’ battlefield)
🔹 Trade Idea: Long only if price holds and stabilizes
🔹 Invalidation: Clean break below demand
📌 What makes this interesting:
Strong uptrend before correction
Fast sell-off into support (possible exhaustion)
Defined risk with clear invalidation
Attractive reward if trend resumes
📈 A sustained hold above support can trigger a mean reversion move back towards the supply zone.
⚠️ Failure to hold support may open the door for deeper correction.
💡 Sometimes the best trades appear when fear is loud and risk is clear.
BNBUSDT.P – 1D | High RR Trend-Continuation SetupBNB is forming a higher-low structure after a prolonged correction and is now reacting from a key demand / flip zone aligned with the ascending trendline. Price acceptance above this level can lead to a strong upside expansion.
🔹 Market: BNBUSDT Perpetual (Bitget)
🔹 Timeframe: 1 Day
🔹 Bias: Bullish continuation
🔹 Entry Zone: Demand / Structure support
🔹 Stop Loss: Below invalidation level
🔹 Targets:
TP1: Previous supply / range high
TP2: Major resistance zone
TP3: Higher-timeframe liquidity area
📌 Confluence Factors:
Higher-low market structure
Trendline support
Previous resistance turned support
Clean risk-to-reward profile
📈 As long as price respects the marked demand zone and holds the trendline, upside continuation remains favorable.
⚠️ A daily close below support invalidates the setup.
💡 Trade with strict risk management. This chart reflects technical analysis, not financial advice.
ASTRALASTRAL – Market structure remains bullish.
The stock has held above the previous low near 1348 and showed a clear reversal from the 1350 zone, maintaining a higher high–higher low structure since forming the bottom around 1260.
Price is currently trading above all key EMAs, indicating improving momentum and underlying strength. A breakout from the current consolidation zone could lead to a fresh upside move.
The next major resistance to watch is around 1590.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
INDIAN HOTELS (INDHOTEL) – Swing Trade SetupINDIAN HOTELS (INDHOTEL): CMP: 748.65; RSI: 51.47
✅ Trend: Strong Bullish (Weekly Golden Cross)
📐 Pattern: Flag consolidation → Breakout setup
🔔 Entry:
• Above ₹770 (weekly close / breakout confirmation)
⛔ Stop Loss:
• ₹700 (below flag support & recent swing low)
🎯 Targets:
• T1: ₹820–830 (partial profit)
• T2: ₹880–900 (flag pole projection / Wave-V zone)
📌 Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5 to 1:3
⚠️ Note:
• Enter only on breakout with volume
• Trail SL once T1 is achieved
📈 Trend is up. Consolidation is healthy. Breakout can lead to next expansion leg.
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INDUSTOWERINDUSTOWER is showing a positive setup with an overall bullish structure. Price is trading above all key EMAs, and the stock has been in an uptrend for some time.
It recently broke above the 430 resistance and moved up to 454, but the move didn’t sustain, likely due to short-term profit booking. Importantly, the stock found support near the 9 EMA and managed to close back above 430, which is a constructive sign.
If it forms a strong green candle from here, the probability of a fresh upside move increases.
Keep it on your watchlist for paper trading.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
BALKRISIND | Support Trendline + Demand Zone ConfluenceDISCLAIMER: This is NOT a trade recommendation, but only my observation. Please do your own analysis before entering your trades.
Points to note:
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1. A Support trendline of 3 years is being respected by price
2. There is tightness since Oct 2025, on the said trendline, indicating accumulation.
3. A Higher High, Higher Low formation is being seen.
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Keeping in mind the above points, the following trade:
Entry CMP, SL 2220, TGT 2525, 2750
KIRLOSENGKIRLOSENG moved out of a nearly 6-month consolidation phase in November and began showing strength on the upside.
Recently, the stock broke above the resistance near 1185, followed by a healthy retest of that level, which is often seen in strong trends.
The overall market structure is bullish, with price trading above all key EMAs and consistently holding above the 20 EMA since 12th November.
If this structure sustains, the price action suggests the probability of further upside continuation.
This setup highlights the importance of structure, retest, and EMA alignment in trend-following trades.
Keep it in your watchlist.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
NIFTY : Bearish Territory - Caution AdvisedA potential bearish crossover between the 20-day and 50-day EMAs signals weakness. If this crossover confirms, deeper downside levels cannot be ruled out.
The market is currently about to test an important support zone. A decisive breakdown below this level could open the door for further selling pressure.
Any short-term bullish move should be approached with caution. These may not be true reversals but retracements within a broader downtrend, potentially leading to renewed sell-offs.
A sustainable bullish move can only be confirmed if:
The 20-day EMA moves above the 50-day EMA, and
Price breaks and closes above both EMAs with strong momentum
Until these conditions are met, it’s prudent to avoid fresh swing positions.
🔒 Risk Management First
For existing positions, maintain strict stop losses and manage risk proactively. Capital protection should remain the priority in such volatile conditions.
📌 Market is offering clarity — patience and discipline will be rewarded.
📢📢📢
If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
NIFTY : 50 D EMA Breach – A Key Level to Track📊 NIFTY – Technical View
• Nifty has closed below the 50-Day EMA, signalling short-term trend weakness.
• The previous 50 D EMA breach occurred around 25th September 2025.
• Notably, during that phase, the critical swing low formed just before the EMA breach was respected, acting as a strong base for the subsequent rally.
• A similar structure is visible now — the recent critical low before the current 50 D EMA breach becomes a key level to track.
• Price rejection near the upper channel / ATH zone highlights distribution at higher levels.
• As long as Nifty trades below the 50 D EMA, rallies are likely to face selling pressure.
I currently hold a position in NIFTYBEES. If the market fails to recover from current levels, there is a high probability that the stop-loss on this position may get triggered. I will continue to manage the trade strictly based on price action and risk parameters.
🧠 Market Character: Transitioning from buy-the-dip to selective, risk-managed trades.
⚠️ Focus: Protect capital, track the marked critical low, and stay reactive.
📢📢📢
If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
BEL – Setting Up for a 5% Move-Swing TradeBEL – Setting Up for a 5% Upside Move 🚀
BEL has taken strong support near ₹385–388 and is now reclaiming key moving averages with improving momentum. With the upcoming Union Budget expected to favor Defence spending, sentiment & flows remain supportive.
📌 Trade View
CMP: ~₹400
Targets: ₹420 (near-term), ₹431 (extendable)
Support: ₹388
Stoploss: ₹382 (strict)
💡 Why?
Strong bounce from key demand zone
Reclaiming trend levels + improving structure
Budget tailwinds + Defence sector strength
Trend intact. Dips buying. Ride the move! 🐊🔥
Northern Arc Capital | Daily Chart | Consolidation Price is consolidating between ₹250–270 after a strong recovery, indicating absorption near resistance rather than weakness.
🔹 Resistance: ₹270–275
🔹 Support: ₹250–255
🔹 Structure: Falling channel / flag after upmove
🔹 EMA Zone: Price holding near EMAs → volatility compression
👉 Sustained breakout above ₹275 with volume can trigger the next leg towards ₹300+.
👉 Breakdown below ₹245 will weaken the bullish structure.
NIFTY 2Hr ChannelNSE:NIFTY
NIFTY 50 – 2H Structure Update
Nifty is trading within a well-defined rising channel, indicating an intact medium-term bullish structure.
Price has taken support from the demand zone (blue zone) and bounced strongly, confirming buyers’ presence at lower levels.
Currently, price is consolidating above the previous breakout zone (~26,100), which now acts as an important support.
As long as this support holds, the higher-high higher-low structure remains valid.
🔹 Immediate Support: 26,100–26,000
🔹 Resistance / Supply: Near upper channel zone
🔹 Trend Bias: Buy on dips while above demand
🔹 Risk Area: Sustained breakdown below the blue zone can invite deeper retracement
Market is in a healthy pause after a sharp rally, not weakness.
Patience and level-based trading is the key here.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
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This content is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes.
We are not SEBI-registered investment advisors or analysts.
The views expressed are personal opinions, based on publicly available data and market observations.
Please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before taking any investment or trading decisions.
Any actions taken based on this content are entirely at your own risk and responsibility.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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SRF LTD: Price Compression at Key Resistance|Clean Breakout Play📌 Structure: Daily Timeframe
SRF has been consolidating inside a clean descending channel, printing lower highs while demand holds near the channel base.
Price is now pressing against well-tested channel resistance — a clear decision zone.
🔴 Key Reads
Descending resistance respected multiple times
Tight price compression near supply → volatility contraction
Buying interest visible near demand
Muted volume during consolidation → pre-expansion behaviour
This is structure-led, not momentum-driven.
🟢 Breakout Rules (Strict)
Trade triggers only if:
Strong green Marubozu / near-Marubozu
Daily close above descending resistance
Clear volume expansion
No close above resistance = no trade.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Breakout close
SL: Low of breakout candle
Target 1: ₹3300, then trail
Management: Trail via higher lows / structure
Defined risk. Reward from range expansion, not prediction.
🧠 Why It Works
- Long consolidation builds energy
- Repeated rejections weaken supply
- Channel breakouts often expand fast
Clean price + volume = institutional participation
⚠️ Invalidation
Weak breakout
Low volume
Rejection wick with close back inside channel
→ No trade
📊 Final Word
SRF is coiled, not weak.
Patience first. Execution only on confirmation.
➡️ Let price prove strength. 👍 Appreciate if this helps.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a technical study for educational purposes only, based purely on price action and volume.
Not financial advice. Please manage risk as per your own trading plan.
🔔 Follow
If you like clean, no-indicator, price–volume based setups,👉 Follow for more structure-led trade ideas and chart studies.
💬 Your Turn
Have a stock you want analysed using pure price action & volume?
Drop the name in the comments — I’ll pick a few and share clean charts.
CSBBANK : Momentum Breakout with Sector StrengthThis trade is a classic momentum breakout setup. The price had been consolidating in a range since August 2025 and has now broken out with strong volume, indicating fresh participation. The broader finance and banking sector is also showing strength, which adds further confluence to the trade. Additionally, recent sales and EPS growth have been encouraging, supporting the bullish bias from a fundamentals perspective.
The only concern is that the price is currently extended from the 20 and 50 EMA, and there wasn’t a very clear basing structure before the breakout. However, considering the overall momentum and sectoral support, this can be managed by allowing some breathing room and using a slightly wider stop loss.
Based on this setup, the trade has been initiated with a defined risk of 1%.
📢📢📢
If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
TATASTEEL | Weekly Chart | Breakout SetupTata Steel has shown a clear shift in market structure on the weekly chart. After spending several months in a broad consolidation phase, price has now broken above a major supply/resistance zone, indicating improving sentiment and possible trend continuation.
🔍 Price Structure & Trend Analysis
The stock was earlier trapped in a range between ₹150–160, acting as a strong supply zone.
Multiple rejections from this zone confirmed heavy distribution in the past.
Recent price action shows a decisive breakout with strong weekly closing, confirming acceptance above resistance.
The market has transitioned from distribution → accumulation → markup phase.
📐 Support & Resistance Mapping
Major Support Zone: ₹168 – ₹170
(Previous resistance now turning into demand — classic role reversal)
Intermediate Support: ₹160 (EMA cluster + price base)
Immediate Resistance: ₹185 (current price acceptance zone)
Upside Target Zone: ₹215 – ₹220
(Next weekly supply and measured move projection)
📈 Moving Average Structure
Price is trading above short-term and medium-term EMAs, reflecting bullish momentum.
EMAs are sloping upward, indicating trend strength rather than a dead-cat bounce.
Pullbacks towards EMAs are likely to act as dynamic support.
🔁 Retest & Risk Perspective
A healthy retest of the ₹168–170 zone would strengthen the breakout reliability.
Sustained trade below ₹160 would weaken the bullish structure and invalidate the breakout thesis.
As long as price holds above prior resistance, trend continuation remains the higher probability scenario.
🎯 Trade Planning Framework (Educational)
Bias: Bullish above ₹168
Opportunity Zone: Retest or consolidation above breakout level
Invalidation: Weekly close below ₹160
Trend Target: ₹215 – ₹220 (medium-term)
🧠 Big Picture Takeaway
This is a classic weekly breakout setup with:
✔ Strong structure
✔ Clear role reversal
✔ EMA alignment
✔ Defined risk levels
If volume expands on continuation, Tata Steel could enter a sustained markup phase rather than a short-term spike.
MFSL | Uptrend Continuation?DISCLAIMER: This idea is NOT a trade recommendation but only my observation. Please take your trades based on your own analysis.
Points to note:
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1.Stock in a strong uptrend, and broken out of a Cup & handle consolidation that lasted.
2. The breakout is strong and firm, forming a pole. Currently price is consolidating inside a flag.
3. The breakout from this flag can lead to another good move up
4. The target price is the pole's height
Considering these points, the following trade:
Entry CMP, SL 1425, TGT 2310
VBL – Is their a wedge Breakout- swing trade Scenario...???Varun Beverages Limited;- CMP: 493.80; RSI: 54.95
Trading plan based on the weekly chart of Varun Beverages Limited 🔍Visible Chart Patterns are as belwo
1️⃣ Falling Wedge / Descending Channel
Lower highs + flat to slightly rising lows
This is a bullish reversal / continuation pattern
2️⃣ Base Formation
Price holding above long-term moving average (200 WMA)
Selling pressure is reducing, volatility is contracting
3️⃣ Mean Reversion Zone
Price hovering near 50–100 WMA cluster
Indicates value buying zone, not breakdown
🎯 Trading Strategy (Swing Trade)
📌 Entry:
• Above ₹500–505 (weekly close above channel resistance)
⛔ Stop Loss:
• ₹470 (below recent higher low)
🎯 Targets:
• T1: ₹540–550
• T2: ₹590–600 (major supply & trendline zone)
⚠️ Neutral / Range Trade (If No Breakout)
• Buy near ₹460–470
• Sell near ₹520–530
• Keep tight SL below ₹450
📌 Thanks a ton for checking out my idea! Hope it sparked some value for you.
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Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity🟡 Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity ⏳✨
Gold is not a market that rewards constant action.
It rewards waiting, observation, and precise timing.
Many traders believe that trading more means earning more. In Gold, this mindset often leads to overtrading, emotional decisions, and unnecessary losses.
⏱️ 1. Gold Moves in Phases, Not Constant Trends
Gold spends a large amount of time in:
consolidation 🔄
slow accumulation 🧩
controlled ranges 📦
During these phases, price appears “boring,” but the market is actually preparing.
Trading aggressively in these conditions usually means trading noise, not opportunity.
🧠 2. Activity Feeds Emotions, Timing Controls Risk
High activity leads to:
impatience 😤
forced entries 🎯
emotional exits ❌
Good timing, on the other hand, comes from:
understanding context 🧭
waiting for price to show intent 📊
acting only when conditions align ✅
Gold punishes impatience faster than most markets.
🏦 3. Institutions Trade Less, But Trade Better
Large players do not chase every candle.
They wait for:
liquidity to build 💧
weak hands to exit 🧹
price to reach meaningful zones 📍
When timing is right, Gold often moves fast and decisively — leaving overactive traders behind.
⚡ 4. Big Gold Moves Come After Quiet Periods
Some of the strongest Gold expansions begin after:
low volatility 😴
reduced participation 📉
trader boredom 💤
This is why patience is not passive — it is strategic.
🧩 Key Insight
In Gold, doing less at the right time often outperforms doing more at the wrong time.
🎯 Final Takeaway
❌ More trades ≠ more profits
✅ Better timing = cleaner execution
🟡 Gold rewards discipline, context, and patience
Master timing, and activity will take care of itself.






















