Gold Prices Today: Buy or sell?Gold prices today continue to hover around the $2,900 mark, showing little volatility compared to the previous trading session. The precious metal remains within the active zone of the Bollinger Bands, lacking a clear directional trend.
That said, market FOMO and strong gold demand from Asia are helping to keep prices stable. However, ongoing geopolitical uncertainties—particularly the risk of U.S. tariffs and the potential for trade wars—could negatively impact the global economy, further reinforcing gold’s status as a safe-haven asset.
Despite this, gold may face short-term downside risks, as speculative traders continue to dominate the market. While the metal remains resilient, it has yet to establish a new all-time high, suggesting the possibility of a temporary pullback before resuming its upward trajectory. If this correction occurs, gold is expected to regain momentum, with $3,000 per ounce as the next major target in the near future.
Technical Analysis
XAUUSD: Uptrend continues with a 500-Pip trading opportunity!Spot gold continues its upward momentum for the third consecutive day, currently trading around $2,939 per ounce, marking a strong gain of $44 or 1.49% in the past 24 hours.
The primary drivers behind this surge include uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policies and strong central bank purchases. Meanwhile, market participants are closely watching the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes for insights into the future path of interest rates. Expectations for a rate cut by the Fed in 2025 have strengthened, particularly after disappointing U.S. retail sales data. Should the U.S. economy weaken due to tariff-related issues, lower interest rates could become a key support factor for gold.
Currently, gold is testing a critical resistance level, where further upside momentum could be triggered. This outlook is reinforced by the trendline and EMA 34-89, which remain intact on the charts. From our perspective, we continue to prioritize buy strategies, staying aligned with the trend—because in trading, the trend is always your best ally.
Finance Sector Leader on Breakout with Huge Volume--What’s Next?Hey Traders!
Hope you're all doing great! There’s an exciting trading idea setting up with Bajaj Finance , and I couldn’t wait to share it with you. The stock is forming a classic Ascending Triangle Pattern , and based on this setup, we're expecting a nice breakout soon. Let’s break it down.
Technical Analysis: Ascending Triangle Pattern
The Ascending Triangle is a bullish continuation pattern that indicates strong buyer interest and a potential breakout. Bajaj Finance has formed a clear ascending triangle , with a horizontal resistance at the top and an upward-sloping support line at the bottom. The price has been making higher lows, showing that buyers are gradually gaining strength, while sellers are being squeezed at the resistance level.
Bajaj Finance continues to be one of India’s leading financial services companies , delivering consistent growth in revenue and profitability. Here's a quick look at the key financials from the December 2024 , September 2024 , and December 2023 quarters:
Sales :
Dec 2024 : ₹18,035 crore ( YoY Growth: 27% )
Sep 2024 : ₹17,091 crore
Dec 2023 : ₹14,164 crore
EBIDT :
Dec 2024 : ₹12,344 crore ( YoY Growth: 24% )
Sep 2024 : ₹11,753 crore
Dec 2023 : ₹9,934 crore
Net Profit :
Dec 2024 : ₹4,308 crore ( YoY Growth: 17% )
Sep 2024 : ₹4,014 crore
Dec 2023 : ₹3,639 crore
Earnings Per Share (EPS) :
Dec 2024 : ₹68.60 ( YoY Growth: 17% )
Sep 2024 : ₹64.62
Dec 2023 : ₹58.88
These solid figures show Bajaj Finance’s strength and its growth trajectory across key financial metrics.
I feel that fundamentally , Bajaj Finance is strong with 27% YoY sales growth and 17% YoY net profit growth , and technically , the Ascending Triangle Pattern on the chart shows a potential breakout, indicating the stock is ready for a big move in the coming months.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Three Black Crows: How to Spot and Profit from Bearish ReversalsHello Traders!
I hope you’re all doing great! Today, we’ll discuss the Three Black Crows candlestick pattern, one of the most reliable bearish reversal patterns you can find in technical analysis. If you're serious about identifying potential trend reversals, understanding this pattern is essential.
The Three Black Crows is a powerful bearish signal that typically marks the end of an uptrend. It consists of three consecutive long red (or black) candles that close progressively lower, showing strong selling pressure and a shift in momentum. This pattern is particularly effective when it forms at a key resistance level, and it can lead to significant price declines.
What is the Three Black Crows Pattern?
The Three Black Crows candlestick pattern signals the reversal of an uptrend. The pattern forms when:
The first candle is a large red candle, closing near the low of the day.
The second candle opens below the first one and closes lower.
The third candle opens lower than the second one and closes near its low.
Each candle in the sequence is characterized by strong bearish price action, and their alignment suggests that bears are gaining control.
Key Characteristics of the Three Black Crows Pattern
Bearish Trend Reversal: Three long red candles following an uptrend suggest a shift in momentum from buyers to sellers.
Strong Resistance Zone: The pattern is more reliable when it forms near a strong resistance level, where the price has struggled to move past in the past.
Closing at the Low: Each of the three candles closes near their respective lows, showing increasing selling pressure.
Volume Confirmation: Volume should ideally increase with each successive candle, confirming that bears are taking control.
How to Trade the Three Black Crows Pattern
Entry Point: After the formation of the third candle, consider entering a short position once the price breaks the low of the third candle. This confirms the bearish trend.
Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just above the high of the third candle to minimize risk in case of a false breakout.
Profit Target: Measure the distance from the high of the pattern to the low of the third candle. Project this distance downward from the breakout point to estimate your profit target.
Real-World Application: Tata Consultancy Services Case Study
In the chart of Tata Consultancy Services (above), we can see a classic example of the Three Black Crows pattern. The price formed a resistance zone and then saw the three consecutive bearish candles break the support, confirming the bearish trend reversal. The huge fall after the pattern’s confirmation indicates the power of this candlestick formation.
Risk Management Considerations
Position Sizing: Adjust your position size based on your risk tolerance and make sure it fits within your overall portfolio strategy.
Stop Loss Placement: Place your stop loss above the third candle to avoid potential losses from a false breakout.
Confirmation with Volume: Always wait for volume confirmation before entering the trade. Volume should increase as the pattern forms.
What This Means for Traders
The Three Black Crows is an excellent pattern to spot potential trend reversals, especially after an uptrend. This pattern works best when combined with other technical indicators like trendlines, support and resistance, and moving averages to confirm the trend reversal.
Look for the pattern at resistance levels to identify high-probability bearish reversals.
Confirm with volume to increase the reliability of the pattern.
Use proper stop loss placement to manage your risk and ensure a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion
The Three Black Crows candlestick pattern is a reliable bearish reversal signal that can help traders capitalize on price declines. By identifying the pattern correctly, waiting for confirmation, and applying solid risk management strategies, you can improve your trading success.
Have you traded using the Three Black Crows pattern?
Share your experiences in the comments below! Let’s keep learning and growing together!
Aarti Pharmalabs | Rectangle Pattern Breakout | Big Upside AheadHello everyone! I hope you all are doing great. 😊 Today, I’ve got something interesting for you – a solid breakout in Aarti Pharmalabs! After months of going sideways, Aarti Pharmalabs has finally woken up! The stock was stuck between 555 (support) and 695 (resistance) for a long time, but now, the bulls have taken control and pushed it past this critical resistance zone.
Here’s what’s happening:
The price tested 695 multiple times but kept getting rejected. This time, it broke out with strong volume , showing that buyers mean business. This could be the beginning of a strong uptrend!
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Short-Term Target: 815
🔹 Final Target: 895
🔹 Best Entry Zone: 750-715 (if we get a pullback, it’s a golden chance!)
🔹 Stop Loss: 670 (always manage risk!)
Fundamental View:
Aarti Pharmalabs is growing steadily, expanding into regulated markets , and benefiting from increasing demand for specialty chemicals . The sector looks strong, but risks like raw material costs and regulatory challenges remain. Despite that, the stock is still at a reasonable valuation and has room for further upside.
What’s Next?
As long as the breakout holds above 695 , the bullish momentum should continue. If we see a retest of the breakout zone, it could be a great entry point before the next rally.
What do you think? Will Aarti Pharmalabs hit 895 soon? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only . Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together— happy trading!
EURUSD trades with negative bias below 1.0500EUR/USD is struggling to capitalize on the strong rally since February 11 and is currently trading in a narrow range below the psychological level of 1.0500 in early Monday trading, with little change since the start of the session.
Looking ahead, the next upside hurdle for EURUSD is 1.0500. Breaking above this level would be bullish while holding below it would be bearish. Taking a closer look at the pair, you will see that it is overbought with the RSI trending down in bullish territory, suggesting a potential shift in momentum and a continuation of the downtrend.
I remain bullish on the downtrend for the coming week. Once the current support level is broken, there is nothing stopping it from falling further. What do you think of this view?
EURUSD: "CHoCH". Are sellers gaining control?The EURUSD uptrend appears to have encountered significant resistance above the 1.0500 level so far on Monday, facing mild selling pressure alongside the indecisive price action of the US Dollar (USD). The pair’s stable price movement has been accompanied by low volatility and subdued trading conditions, with German 10-year bond yields climbing to a new monthly high near 2.50%, persistent concerns surrounding White House trade policies, and a more cautious Federal Reserve outlook moving forward.
From a technical perspective, a CHoCH (Change of Character) pattern has emerged on the chart, signaling a potential loss of bullish momentum and the start of a corrective phase. Additionally, the breakout below the previous rising channel confirms growing selling pressure, suggesting that EURUSD may remain under bearish control in the near term.
LODHA: Chart and Fundamentals Align for a Promising MoveHello everyone, Happy Republic Day to all my followers, I hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought a stock which name is Macrotech Developers (LODHA) and it has delivered an exceptional quarterly performance, reflecting robust financial strength and promising growth. Here’s the detailed breakdown:
Quarterly Financial Highlights
Revenue from Operations: 4083 crore, a substantial rise compared to 2931 crore in the same quarter last year.
Net Profit: 944.8 crore, showing strong growth compared to 505.2 crore in Q3 FY24.
EBITDA Margins: Improved significantly, showcasing efficiency in operations.
Pre-sales: 2570 crore for the quarter, with collections reaching 2280 crore.
Net Debt: Reduced to 6240 crore, highlighting financial discipline and a stronger balance sheet.
Technical Analysis
Strong Support Zone: The price has bounced from the ₹1125-1075 support zone, a proven demand area.
Morning Star Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern near the support zone signals a potential reversal.
Oversold RSI: RSI recently dipped into the oversold region, further indicating a likely bullish move.
Falling Resistance Trendline: The stock is nearing a critical resistance trendline. A breakout above this level could confirm upward momentum.
With a strong financial performance in Q3 FY25, including a sharp rise in revenue and net profit, coupled with a favorable technical setup, LODHA looks promising for swing traders. Watch for a breakout above the falling resistance trendline for further confirmation.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Bharti Airtel – Strong Setup for Short-Term & Positional HoldingHello everyone! Hope you're all doing great in life and in trading. Today, I bring you a stock that has not only given a strong breakout but also delivered exceptional Q3 FY25 results stock name is Bharti Airtel Ltd. and it is the world’s leading providers of telecommunication services with presence in 18 countries representing India, SriLanka, 14 countries in Africa.
After breaking out of a descending trendline , Bharti Airtel is now retesting the 1630-1600 support zone . If this level holds, we could see a strong upside move in the coming sessions. The technical structure remains bullish, with an entry zone between 1630-1600 , and targets at 1688, 1736, and 1778 , while the final positional target is set at 1955 . For risk management, a short-term stop loss at 1570 and a positional stop loss at 1520 should be considered. RSI is showing strong momentum , and volume confirmation on the breakout strengthens the bullish case
.
Latest Q3 FY25 results highlight consistent revenue and profit growth . The company’s standalone revenue surged 19.1 percent YoY to 45,129 crore , with its India business growing 24.6 percent YoY . ARPU has increased to 245 , boosting overall profitability. EBITDA came in at 24,880 crore , with a 55.1 percent margin , showing strong operational efficiency. On the expansion front, 5G rollout is progressing aggressively, with 5.2K new towers added , and the subscriber base has grown by 25.2 million users . Additionally, Bharti Airtel has significantly improved its financial position, having prepaid 36,263 crore in spectrum dues , further strengthening its balance sheet.
Market Cap
₹ 9,70,118 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 1,620
High / Low
₹ 1,779 / 1,098
Stock P/E
48.5
Book Value
₹ 153
Dividend Yield
0.49 %
ROCE
13.1 %
ROE
14.9 %
Face Value
₹ 5.00
Industry PE
40.9
Debt
₹ 2,25,541 Cr.
EPS
₹ 43.2
Promoter holding
53.1 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 421
Return over 5years
25.1 %
Debt to equity
2.59
Net profit
₹ 27,074 Cr.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Polycab India Ltd – A Strong Technical and Fundamental Setup!Hello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brough a stock which name is Polycab India Ltd and it is currently testing a crucial support zone after a sharp correction. The previous resistance has turned into support, and a Morning Star candlestick pattern is forming, indicating a potential reversal. This setup aligns well with the stock’s long-term growth story.
From a technical perspective, a breakout from this support zone could lead to strong upside momentum. The entry zone is 5850-5750, with targets at 6333, 6955, and 7550, while a stop-loss at 5450 ensures risk management.
On the fundamental side, Polycab remains a market leader in the wires & cables industry, backed by strong revenue growth, profitability, and a solid order book. With the government's focus on electrification and infrastructure development, the stock has promising long-term potential.
Fundamental Ratio:
Market Cap
₹ 87,699 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 5,830
High / Low
₹ 7,607 / 4,236
Stock P/E
47.7
Book Value
₹ 571
Dividend Yield
0.51 %
ROCE
31.3 %
ROE
23.2 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Industry PE
31.9
Debt
₹ 193 Cr.
EPS
₹ 122
Promoter holding
63.0 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 2,329
Return over 5years
43.3 %
Debt to equity
0.02
Net profit
₹ 1,865 Cr.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Mastering the Three White Soldiers Pattern: A Bullish ReversalHello Traders!
I hope you're doing great in your trading journey! Today, we will be diving into the Three White Soldiers chart pattern, a powerful bullish reversal pattern that can help you spot a potential trend shift. This pattern typically occurs after a downtrend, signaling a strong reversal. If you can spot it early, it offers a high-reward trading opportunity. Let’s break down the pattern and how to use it effectively.
What is the Three White Soldiers Pattern?
The Three White Soldiers pattern consists of three consecutive long bullish candles that close progressively higher. This pattern typically appears after a downtrend and signifies a potential reversal. The pattern shows a strong shift in market sentiment, where buyers are stepping in to push the prices higher.
Key Characteristics of the Three White Soldiers Pattern
Trend Reversal: The pattern forms after a strong downtrend, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Three Consecutive Bullish Candles: The pattern consists of three long bullish candles, each closing higher than the previous one.
Strong Closing Prices: Each candle should close near its high, indicating strong buying pressure.
Volume Confirmation: The pattern is more reliable when accompanied by increasing volume, showing strong interest in the reversal.
How to Trade the Three White Soldiers Pattern
Entry Point: Consider entering a long position once the third candle closes, confirming the reversal.
Stop Loss: Place your stop loss below the low of the first candle in the pattern to limit potential losses.
Profit Target: For setting targets, measure the height of the pattern (distance between the low of the first candle and the high of the third candle) and project this distance upwards from the entry point to set your profit target.
Real-World Application: TCS Case Study
In the chart of Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) , we see a clear Three White Soldiers pattern forming after a downtrend. The price closed progressively higher over three consecutive days, breaking key resistance levels and signaling a potential bullish trend. Traders entering after the confirmation of the pattern would have witnessed a substantial upward move, with a clear Stop Loss and Profit Target in place.
Risk Management Considerations
Position Sizing: Adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and overall portfolio.
Stop Loss Placement: Place your stop loss below the low of the first candle to manage risk in case the pattern fails.
Volume Confirmation: Confirm the pattern with increasing volume to ensure the strength of the reversal.
What This Means for Traders
The Three White Soldiers pattern is an excellent tool for identifying trend reversals and can be a powerful signal when used in conjunction with other technical indicators. Remember to always look for confirmation with volume and manage your risk effectively.
Look for the pattern after a significant downtrend to identify potential bullish reversals.
Use volume to confirm the strength of the pattern and increase the reliability of your trade.
Implement stop loss placement to minimize risk while targeting a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion
The Three White Soldiers pattern is a reliable bullish reversal signal that can offer excellent trading opportunities when combined with other technical indicators. By understanding its key characteristics, waiting for confirmation, and managing risk appropriately, you can increase your chances of making profitable trades.
Have you traded using the Three White Soldiers pattern?
Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! Let’s keep learning and improving our trading strategies!
Showing Strength with RSI Breakout📈 Stock: Voltas (NSE:VOLTAS)
🔍 Closing Price: 1284.10
📊 Pattern: Bullish Engulfing after Bullish Piercing (17.02.2025)-Bulls taking charge!
📉 Technical Signal: Strong Bullish Candle + RSI Breakout
Key Observations:
✅ Bullish Engulfing confirms buyer strength.
✅ RSI Breakout, signaling strong momentum.
✅ Attempting to move out of the weak zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support Zones: 1311 – 1338 – 1388
🔹 Resistance Zones: 1234 – 1185 – 1158
Trading Plan:
📌 Sustained move above 1311 could trigger further upside toward 1338 and 1388.
📌 Weakness below 1234 may bring downside pressure.
Strong Bullish Breakout📈 Stock: Tornt Pharma (NSE:TORNTPHARM)
🔍 Closing Price: 3120.55
📊 Pattern: Bullish Engulfing & Strong Bullish Candle
📉 Technical Signals: RSI Breakout | EMA 200 Crossover
Key Observations:
✅ Bullish Engulfing confirms buying momentum.
✅ RSI Breakout signals strength.
✅ EMA 200 Crossover, indicating potential trend continuation.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support: 3027 – 2934 – 2882
🔹 Resistance: 3171 – 3223 – 3316
Trading Plan:
📌 Above 3171, potential upside towards 3223 and 3316.
📌 Below 3027, caution as weakness may extend to 2934.
Strong Bullish Momentum with RSI Breakout📈 Stock: KEI Industries (NSE: KEI)
🔍 Closing Price: 3568.60
📊 Patterns: Bullish Engulfing, Bullish Marubozu, Strong Bullish Candle
📈 Momentum Signal: RSI Breakout
Key Observations:
✅ Bullish Engulfing + Marubozu indicate strong buying pressure.
✅ RSI Breakout, signaling increasing momentum.
✅ Trying to move out of the weak zone, showing strength.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support Zones: 3435 – 3302 – 3226
🔹 Resistance Zones: 3644 – 3720 – 3853
Trading Plan:
📌 Above 3644, price may extend toward 3720 and 3853.
📌 Below 3435, a pullback toward 3302 cannot be ruled out.
APL Apollo - Bullish Momentum with RSI Breakout📈 Stock: APL Apollo (NSE: APLAPOLLO)
🔍 Closing Price: 1380.65
📊 Pattern: Bullish Engulfing, Strong Bullish Candle
📈 Momentum Indicator: RSI Breakout
Key Observations:
✅ Bullish Engulfing confirms buying pressure.
✅ Strong Bullish Candle, signaling momentum shift.
✅ RSI Breakout, indicating strength and potential upside.
✅ Attempting to move out of the weak zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support: 1332 – 1285 – 1258
🔹 Resistance: 1406 – 1432 – 1480
Trading Plan:
📌 Above 1406, potential upside towards 1432 and 1480.
📌 Below 1332, weakness may extend to 1285.
Bullish Engulfing & EMA 200 Crossover📈 Stock: Eicher Motors (NSE:EICHERMOT)
🔍 Closing Price: 4810.60
📊 Pattern: Bullish Engulfing
📉 Technical Signal: EMA 200 Crossover
Key Observations:
✅ Bullish Engulfing pattern signals strong buying momentum.
✅ EMA 200 Crossover indicates a potential trend shift.
✅ Increasing volumes add conviction to the setup.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support Zones: 4718 – 4625 – 4574
🔹 Resistance Zones: 4862 – 4913 – 5006
Trading Plan:
📌 Above 4862, price may see bullish momentum toward 4913 and 5006.
📌 Below 4718, cautious approach needed, as downside risk increases.
Strong Bullish Momentum with EMA 200 Crossover + RSI Breakout📈 Stock: Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders (NSE:MAZDOCK)
🔍 Closing Price: 2180.10
📊 Technical Signals:
✅ Strong Bullish Candle, signaling strong buying interest
✅ Bullish Engulfing pattern adds strength to the trend
✅ EMA 200 Crossover, indicating trend strength
✅ RSI Breakout, confirming bullish momentum
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support Zones: 1999 – 1819 – 1721
🔹 Resistance Zones: 2278 – 2377 – 2557
Trading Outlook:
📌 Sustained move above 2278 may open the path towards 2377 and 2557.
📌 If price dips below 1999, a retracement toward 1819 is possible.
MindaCorp - Strong Bullish Momentum with EMA 200 & RSI Breakout📈 Stock: Minda Corporation (NSE:MINDACORP)
🔍 Closing Price: ₹548.05
📊 Technical Signals:
✅ EMA 200 Crossover – Indicating trend strength.
✅ RSI Breakout – Suggests increasing buying momentum.
✅ 5x Volume & Price Change – Strong participation from buyers.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support Zones: ₹506 – ₹464 – ₹436
🔹 Resistance Zones: ₹576 – ₹604 – ₹645
Trading Plan:
📌 Above ₹576, price may move towards ₹604 and ₹645 if momentum sustains.
📌 Below ₹506, watch for weakness and possible retracement to ₹464.
Deepak Fertilizers - Bullish Setup with EMA 200 Crossover📈 Stock: Deepak Fertilisers (NSE:DEEPAKFERT)
🔍 Closing Price: ₹1034.25
📊 Pattern: Bullish Engulfing
📉 Technical Signal: EMA 200 Crossover
Key Observations:
✅ Bullish Engulfing pattern on the daily chart suggests buying interest.
✅ EMA 200 Crossover, indicating potential trend reversal or continuation.
✅ Strong volumes supporting the breakout.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support Zones: ₹981 – ₹928 – ₹897
🔹 Resistance Zones: ₹1065 – ₹1096 – ₹1148
Trading Plan:
📌 Above ₹1065, potential momentum towards ₹1096 and ₹1148.
📌 Below ₹981, caution is advised, as weakness may extend toward ₹928.
USDJPY: Maintaining downward momentum!Dear Traders,
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is gaining some positive momentum following a decline in the Asian session. Expectations of further rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continue to act as a key catalyst supporting the JPY.
Additionally, the narrowing interest rate differentials between Japan and other major economies are attracting capital flows into the lower-yielding JPY. On the other hand, the U.S. Dollar (USD) remains under pressure amid growing expectations of additional Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. This suggests that the path of least resistance for USD/JPY is to the downside, although traders may prefer to wait for the FOMC meeting minutes before making decisive moves.
GBPUSD: Maintaining bullish momentum within the price channelToday, GBPUSD continues its upward momentum, trading around 1.2612, as the U.S. dollar (USD) struggles amid declining Treasury yields. This comes despite persistent caution regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook, with the focus now shifting to the FOMC meeting minutes, set to be released later in the North American session.
However, on Tuesday, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly noted that while the U.S. economy remains strong, the outlook for rate cuts in 2025 is still uncertain. Meanwhile, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker emphasized the need for stable interest rate policies, citing ongoing concerns about inflation. This stance has somewhat capped GBPUSD's upside potential despite its current bullish trend.
My strategy is to focus on the key channel boundaries to identify optimal buy or sell opportunities. If the channel is broken, I will wait for a retest of the breakout before entering new trades.
What’s your outlook on GBPUSD? Do you expect further gains?
EURUSD: Is it profitable to buy or sell?The EURUSD pair is currently undergoing a retracement phase while still maintaining its uptrend on the H4 timeframe. At the moment, the price is testing a key support level at 1.0450, a critical point that could determine the next move. If this level holds, the pair could resume its upward momentum, targeting higher levels. Conversely, a break below this support may trigger increased selling pressure. However, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 remain supportive, indicating that caution is required given the current market volatility.
Key News Factors Impacting EURUSD
Beyond technical factors, EURUSD is heavily influenced by global economic and political developments. One major factor is the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, which continues to fuel uncertainty across global financial markets. In such an environment, USD strengthens as a safe-haven asset, potentially limiting EURUSD’s upside potential.
In addition to geopolitical risks, investors are closely watching the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes. While the Fed remains committed to a cautious monetary policy, weaker-than-expected U.S. retail sales data has increased speculation about a potential rate cut in 2025. If the Fed adopts a more dovish stance in the upcoming meetings, the USD could weaken, allowing EURUSD to rebound. However, if the Fed remains hawkish, downward pressure on the pair is likely to intensify.
Trading Strategy – Opportunities & Risks
Buy Strategy: Enter long positions from the inner boundary of the trend channel or on a break above 1.0500, targeting 1.0600, with a stop loss at 1.0366.
Sell Strategy: Short the pair if price breaks below 1.0450, aiming for 1.0410, with a stop loss at 1.0480.
Regardless of the strategy chosen, risk management and staying updated on economic events remain crucial. Market sentiment can shift quickly due to Fed policies or any major geopolitical developments. Always stay informed to make the most accurate trading decisions!
"Crucial Neckline Breakout Ahead for Ashiana Housing LtdHello everyone, today i have brough a news base trade setup of Ashiana Housing Ltd. and it is showing an exciting setup on the charts as it approaches a neckline breakout level at ₹368. This is a critical resistance zone, and if the stock sustains above this level, it could mark the beginning of a strong upward move.
Here’s why this is interesting:
Technical Setup: After a period of consolidation, the stock is attempting to break out of a well-defined neckline. This kind of breakout often signals the start of a new trend.
Volume is Key: A breakout supported by higher volumes would confirm strong buying interest, which is exactly what traders want to see.
Recent News Adds to the Momentum:
Ashiana Housing recently launched the final phase of its luxury residential project, Ashiana Ekansh, in Jaipur's Mansarovar Extension. This has been well-received and could boost the company’s fundamentals.
While the stock faced some selling pressure recently, the current setup indicates the potential for a turnaround.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Point: ₹368 – Breakout confirmation is crucial.
Stop Loss: ₹344 – To manage risk effectively.
Targets:
1st Target: ₹413
2nd Target: ₹438
3rd Target: ₹468
Why This Matters:
A breakout from this level could provide a solid risk-reward opportunity for traders. However, patience is key – wait for confirmation before jumping in. Also, keep an eye on the broader market sentiment and any updates related to the company.
Final Thought:
Ashiana Housing is at a pivotal point. If the breakout happens, this could be an exciting ride to the targets. Stay alert, manage your risks, and let the market guide you.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
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