EURUSD under pressureEURUSD is moving within a well-defined descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently rejected the resistance zone near 1.16100, showing signs of continued bearish momentum.
On the fundamental side, stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales—especially in the core figure—have boosted the U.S. dollar, putting downward pressure on the euro. Coupled with ongoing concerns about Eurozone economic growth, the pair is likely to continue its decline toward the 1.15400 support area. RSI remains below the neutral zone, confirming short-term bearish bias.
Traders should watch closely for reactions at support to assess further short opportunities.
Technical Analysis
Gold wavers under pressure from strong U.S. retail dataXAUUSD is currently fluctuating within a price box, showing weaker bullish attempts and failing to break above the nearest resistance zone. Selling pressure is mounting as price continues to be rejected at the top and is approaching the medium-term ascending trendline — a key support level.
On the news front, U.S. core retail sales surged, boosting expectations for a stronger USD, which in turn weighs on gold prices. However, a slight uptick in unemployment claims may help slow the dollar’s momentum.
If buyers fail to defend this critical support, the bullish structure risks being broken, potentially signaling a shift toward a clearer downtrend. On the flip side, the price box could still act as a consolidation phase before another bullish leg.
XAUUSD – The Bullish Wave Emerges, Target Closer Than Ever!Gold has broken out of its previous descending channel, confirming a trend reversal. Current price action is forming higher lows while consistently filling Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – a clear sign that institutional money is flowing back in.
The next key target is the previous high near 3,399, where some short-term profit-taking may occur. However, if buyers can defend the support zone around 3,348, the chances of breaking above resistance will increase significantly.
On the news front, the U.S. dollar is weakening as housing and industrial production data show signs of slowing, fueling speculation that the Fed may pause further rate hikes this year.
18/07 Gold Outlook – Final Friday Liquidity Moves Ahead!🟡 Gold Outlook – Final Friday Liquidity Moves Ahead!
Will Gold maintain its bullish pace or face weekend volatility? Stay ahead of the market!Why Gold is Moving – Key Macro Drivers
Gold bounced back sharply after a dip caused by stronger-than-expected US economic data. Here’s what Indian traders need to keep in mind:
📊 Rate cut hopes remain high as US core inflation remains sticky.
💣 Middle East tensions continue, with Israel launching more airstrikes on Syria.
🌐 Trade war risks increase as EU threatens $84B in tariffs on US goods.
🟡 Gold is acting as a safe haven in times of inflation concerns and global uncertainty.
👉 All of these factors support gold’s upside — especially heading into the weekend when low liquidity can cause price swings.
📉 Technical Picture – Zones in Play
Gold reversed from FLZ H2 (3310) — a key liquidity and demand zone. Sellers took profits, triggering a surge in buy volume. The price has since tested the OBS Sell Zone + Continuation Pattern (CP) around 334x with strong resistance.
Today, we expect price to revisit lower liquidity pools on the M30–H2 timeframe before the next breakout.
🧭 Key Levels for Friday – Watch Closely
✅ Buy Zone: 3318 – 3316
SL: 3312
TP Targets: 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360
💼 Scalp Buy Zone: 3326 – 3324
SL: 3320
TP: 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360
⚠️ Sell Zone: 3363 – 3365
SL: 3370
TP: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3335 – 3330
🔔 Important Notes for Indian Traders
Today is Friday, and even though there’s no major economic news, the risk of liquidity sweeps and volatility is high. Protect your capital with solid risk management and stick to your TP/SL strategy.
📌 Plan your entries from strong technical zones and don’t chase price — let the market come to you.
ELECONELECON seems to be ready to give an upside move.
Good volume may push it, above 20ema.
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Radhika Jeweltech – Classic Contraction PatternTimeframe: Weekly
Structure Observed: Contraction Pattern between Trendlines
Volume: Significant recent uptick 📊
Key Zones:
🔴 Supply Zone above 123
🟢 Dynamic Support from ascending trendline
🟠 Active counter-trendline now breached
After months of lower highs and higher lows, the price has been squeezing into a classic contraction pattern between a descending orange trendline (acting as counter-trendline resistance) and a rising green trendline providing consistent support.
This week’s candle has decisively broken above the descending trendline on strong relative volume.
With the weekly close due tomorrow, all eyes remain on how the candle settles — will it sustain this breakout structurally or retreat below the trendline?
📌 Important Note: This is a technical observation — not a trade recommendation.
Nuvoco Vistas Corp cmp 381.50 by Weekly Chart view since listedNuvoco Vistas Corp cmp 381.50 by Weekly Chart view since listed
- Support Zone 335 to 355 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 395 to 415 Price Band
- Volumes generated over past few days based on expected good results outcome
- Darvas Box - Stock trading between 292 to 415 price range since Breakdown in Feb 2022
- Multiple Bullish Rounding Bottoms completed within Darvas Box indicative of probable breakout attempted
TFCILTD - Massive Cup & Handle Breakout | Daily Chart📊 TFCILTD – Massive Cup & Handle Breakout | Fib 100% Retest | RSI Overbought | Volume Surge | Daily Chart
📅 Chart Date: July 6, 2025
📍 CMP: ₹262.65 (+8.48%)
📈 Symbol: NSE:TFCILTD
🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
☕ Cup & Handle Pattern Breakout
Price broke out above the Cup & Handle neckline near ₹258.50 and hit the Fibonacci 100% extension at ₹262.65.
Clean rounding bottom formation visible, followed by bullish handle and sharp breakout.
📐 Fibonacci Retracement (from swing low ₹93.85 to high ₹262.65)
50.00% – ₹177.02
61.80% – ₹196.65
✅ 100.00% – ₹262.65 (just achieved!)
📈 RSI Indicator (14)
RSI at 78.02, clearly in overbought territory – indicating momentum strength, but a minor pullback is likely.
RSI consistently above 70 for the past few sessions reflects strong trend continuation.
📊 Volume
Volume surged to 4.14M, supporting the breakout. Confirmation of pattern breakout is validated by this volume spike.
🏁 Key Technical Levels
Breakout Zone (Neckline): ₹258.50 ✅
CMP: ₹262.65
Next Resistance: Blue Sky Zone (New Highs)
Support on Retest: ₹258.50 → ₹230.67
Major Support: ₹177.02 (Fib 50%)
💡 Trade Setup Idea
Entry: On breakout confirmation above ₹258.50 or on retest
Stoploss: Below ₹230
Target: Open sky above ₹262 → Trend-following zone
Risk Level: Medium-High (due to overbought RSI)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is an educational chart setup and not trading advice. Please conduct your own research and risk management.
📣 Follow @PriceAction_Pulse for more such clean breakouts and chart pattern analysis!
🔁 Drop a comment if TFCILTD is on your radar for the next breakout rally 📈
ALBERTDAVDAfter a long consolidation ALBERTDAVD has given breakout, now we may expect a good move from here.
Keep eyes on it.
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Gold rebounds – Is the next bullish wave starting? XAUUSD is holding firmly above its ascending trendline, with each pullback quickly absorbed around the support zone near 3,333. The current price structure suggests a continued move higher, as long as the trendline remains intact.
On the news front, U.S. PPI data came in at 0.2% — exactly in line with expectations — offering no major surprises. With the dollar failing to gain strength, gold remains supported. In this context, XAUUSD is likely to continue its climb toward the next resistance zone near 3,447, which has previously triggered strong price reactions.
GOLD 16/07 Minor Pullback Before PPI? Bears May Reclaim Control!GOLD 16/07 – Minor Pullback Before PPI? Bears May Reclaim Control!
🌍 Market Overview: Inflation Softens, But Risk Remains
Gold is currently trading around $3,334 after a sharp correction earlier this week. While core US CPI data for June came in lower than expected, institutions like BlackRock are signaling concerns:
The impact of new tariffs is only starting to show.
Consumer prices on appliances and electronics are rising.
As inventories shrink, businesses may pass on costs directly to consumers.
➡️ This reinforces Gold’s long-term value as a safe-haven asset, especially with rising macroeconomic risks and uncertainty around the Fed's next move.
📉 Technical Insight: Pullback or Trend Continuation?
Yesterday’s CPI release triggered a sharp drop, pushing price back to the 332x zone.
This created a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the H1 chart.
Around the 3347–3349 level, we see a Continuation Pattern (CP) forming, hinting that the main downtrend might resume after a temporary bounce.
💡 If price returns to the 334x–336x supply zones during the London or New York session, these will be critical SELL zones. Expect price to potentially target the FVG liquidity area below 329x if bears regain control.
📊 Key Trade Setups
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,296 – 3,294 (Liquidity Trap Zone)
SL: 3,290
TP: 3,300 → 3,304 → 3,308 → 3,312 → 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,330
🔴 SELL SCALP: 3,347 – 3,349 (CP Reaction Area)
SL: 3,353
TP: 3,343 → 3,340 → 3,336 → 3,330 → 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,310 → 3,300
🚨 SELL ZONE: 3,358 – 3,360 (VPOC Zone)
SL: 3,364
TP: 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,346 → 3,340 → 3,330 → 3,320 → 3,300
⚠️ Strategy Note:
With the PPI data release expected to move markets today, price may spike upward in early sessions. Watch closely for bearish rejection candles around CP and VPOC zones before entering. Use proper SL and TP levels to protect capital.
💬 What’s Your Outlook Today?
Do you see gold breaking below 329x to fill deeper liquidity, or will macro risks support a fresh rally?
👇 Drop your thoughts and let’s discuss trade ideas in the comments!
XAUUSD – Facing Strong Resistance, Pullback Risk IncreasesGold is approaching a major resistance zone that previously halted its upward momentum. Bullish momentum is fading, while the RSI shows signs of mild divergence. Market expectations around Federal Reserve policy, along with key data like CPI, unemployment rates, and geopolitical developments, are putting pressure on the precious metals market.
Without a strong catalyst from upcoming news, gold may enter a short-term pullback phase before establishing its next major trend.
Archean Chemical – Broadening pattern and the CT ? 🟢A classic case of a broadening formation playing out on the higher timeframe (MTF). The green lines represent the broadening range, with price recently respecting the lower boundary — evident from the two support touches marked with 🚀 icons, each forming slightly lower lows before rebounding.
🟢 The current candle is testing a counter-trend (CT) descending trendline breakout, visible clearly after a prolonged series of lower highs. While the candle is still in progress and hasn’t closed, the structure is showing signs of compression toward the mid-zone of the broadening pattern.
📌 Upper and lower spaces remain open, highlighting the broad-range volatility typical of this setup.
No forecast — just structure. 📊
AARTIDRUGSAARTIDRUGS is crossing the resistance, moving above 9-20EMAs.
Now there is probability of an upside move, keep watching.
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SWANENERGY - Daily Timeframe Breakout (Resistance Zone Break)SWAN ENERGY has shown a breakout above a key horizontal resistance level on the daily chart, accompanied by a nearly 2.5 times volume surge near the breakout zone, as seen earlier, supported by strong momentum.
🔍 Breakout Context:
- Price might break above the ~₹484 horizontal resistance, which had held for over 6 months.
The breakout zone has been supported by 2.5X volume and a range 3X of average near the resistance zone.
- The price is also trading above both the 50- and 100-day SMAs, indicating strong trend continuation.
- This aligns with a bullish continuation setup.
📉 Trade Plan:
- CMP: ₹485.2
- Entry: Near ₹484
- Target: ₹566 (~16.5% upside from CMP)
- Stop-Loss: ₹450
- Risk-Reward Ratio: ~ 1 : 2.3
📌 Note:
- Wait for the closing of this candle, enter the trade near 3:20 PM, or get confirmation on 75min/1Hr TF.
- Avoid chasing the extended move unless confident in intraday momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
XAUUSD – Gold Sideways, Awaiting Key Economic DataXAUUSD – Gold Sideways, Awaiting Key Economic Data: Will We See a Correction or Continued Uptrend?
🌍 Macro Overview – Waiting for Key CPI Data from the US
Currently, Gold is moving sideways in a wide price range (from the 3x price levels to 4x), awaiting important economic data this week from USD, GBP, AUD, and EUR.
📊 Key Economic Data Today:
The US CPI report will be released during the US session, one of the most crucial reports of the month.
CPI forecast is positive at 0.3%, which is considered a good sign for the US economy.
This data is expected to align with the recent Nonfarm results and could lead to a strong price movement at the time of the announcement, potentially helping to sweep liquidity.
🔍 Technical Analysis – Uptrend with Key Resistance
The current trend is still upward, but the movement on larger timeframes is not as strong.
Key resistance lies between 337x and 339x, where SELL orders are currently dominant.
If price breaks through these levels, Gold may find support to move towards 3400.
📈 Short-Term Forecast:
A pullback to around 333x is expected, providing a good BUY opportunity.
Looking further, 331x could be a possible target as the price range remains wide.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3331 – 3329
SL: 3325
TP: 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → ????
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3392 – 3394
SL: 3398
TP: 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370
⚠️ Important Notes:
Watch for support and resistance levels to set up suitable Scalping trades according to the trend.
Follow the TP and SL to protect your account, and avoid FOMO when there's no confirmation.
The 3350 – 3347 range is a key zone for entering BUY trades early.
💬 What do you think about Gold’s movement today? Do you believe it will break above the resistance, or will we see further correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments below and join the discussion with fellow traders!
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NATCOPHARMANATCOPHARMA gave BO of long time resistance, looking in a good position.
Now there is probability of an upside move.
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PIUSDT – Potential Long Setup from Ascending Channel Support (4HI’m watching PIUSDT closely as it approaches a significant confluence of technical levels on the 4-hour chart:
🔹 Key Highlights:
Ascending Channel Support: Price is testing the lower boundary of the channel (orange trendline).
Descending Trendline Resistance: Creating a wedge structure—breakout potential if momentum builds.
Bullish Structure: Clear rejection wicks and consolidation near support suggest accumulation.
✅ Trade Plan:
Entry Trigger: Confirmed breakout and close above the descending trendline.
Targets:
🥇 1st Target: 0.5650 (local resistance)
🥈 2nd Target: 0.6550 (major horizontal resistance)
Stop Loss: Below 0.4392 (breakdown invalidates the setup)
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always use proper position sizing and a disciplined stop loss. This setup is shared for educational purposes—do your own research before entering any trades.
Exhaustion vs Runaway Gap |How to Catch Trend and Spot ReversalsGaps often confuse traders — some lead to powerful trends, others signal trend exhaustion. In this video, I break down the key psychological and technical differences between Runaway Gaps and Exhaustion Gaps, with real examples and clean explanations.
SUNFLAG- Breakout from DTFSUNFLAG has resistance weakening on the Daily charts and has given a breakout with good volume.
The target of this pattern signals an upside potential of 10% from the current price level in the medium term.
The stock is trading above its 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The range is more than 1.2X, and the Volume is also >6X the average.
CMP- Rs. 316
Target Price- Rs347 ( 10% upside)
SL - 297
Disclaimer: This is not a buy/sell recommendation. For educational purpose only. Kindly consult your financial advisor before entering a trade.
ASTRALASTRAL looks good, has been taking support near 1470 level - above 50ema, and today formed a Hammer candle. Now there is probability of it going up.
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