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Technical Analysis

USDJPY : Forming lower highs!USD/JPY edged lower on Wednesday, slipping back to the 153.00 level after a broad-based decline in the US Dollar (USD) shed weight against all of its major peers. The Japanese Yen (JPY) is also looking to ease selling pressure in the broad market, recovering ground as the Greenback declines. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation eased slightly on Wednesday, with headline CPI inflation in April falling to 0.3% versus market forecasts of holding at 0.4%. Easing inflationary pressures are raising hopes of a rate cut as investors call for a rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
Short
by RKarina
AUDUSD bulls need validation from 0.6720 to keep the reinsAUDUSD bulls struggle to keep command at the highest level since January as a jump in the Aussie Unemployment Rate supersedes upbeat Employment Change data from the Pacific major and challenges the previous day’s run-up. That said, the risk-barometer pair marked the biggest daily rise in six months on Thursday after softer US inflation and Retail Sales numbers drowned the US Dollar. The Aussie pair’s upside also took clues from hopes about more stimulus from China. Technically, the upbeat RSI (14) and the bullish MACD signals join the AUDUSD pair’s upside break of a four-month-old horizontal resistance, now immediate support near 0.6645-40, to keep the buyers hopeful. However, a downward-sloping resistance line from early February 2023, near 0.6720 by the press time, challenges the quote’s immediate upside. Following that, the pair’s quick run-up toward the yearly high of 0.6839 and then to the late 2023 peak surrounding 0.6870 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the March 2024 peak of near 0.6665 acts as immediate support for the pair traders to watch ahead of the aforementioned resistance-turned-support near 0.6645-40. It’s worth noting that a one-month-old rising support line of around 0.6610, quickly followed by the 0.6600 threshold, will act as the final defense of the AUDUSD buyers before giving control to the sellers. Overall, the AUDUSD pair remains on the bull’s radar but the pair’s further upside hinges on a daily closing beyond 0.6720.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold price today: Continuing to search for new peaks!Hello everyone, let's learn about gold prices today. At the end of the trading session on May 15, gold increased by 27 USD, reaching 2,385 USD. During the trading session, at one point the gold price reached $2,390, the highest level in nearly a month. The USD index yesterday fell 0.6%, to its lowest level in more than a month. The depreciation of the USD has made gold more attractive to buyers, creating conditions for gold prices to recover strongly. Comments from the chart: Gold continues to consolidate its record upward momentum on the two EMAs 34 and 89, showing a good sign for buyers in the long term. In addition, gold is forming a cup-in-hand model, it is expected that after the adjustment, the long-term target of over 2,500 USD will continue to be targeted by the Bulls!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
4
Day 32 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 32: Day opened good, however could not sustain bullish momentum and gave up all the gains. Algo waited till it got the pullback. First trade turned out to be loss making as market played mischief and got me out. On the second trade also market tried to play mischief but the sellers were very strong and did not allow it to go beyond my SL and hence was saved. Getting to the target was a long patient wait. Had to wait for two and half hours to get it. For most of the time market just tried to push beyond the limits and kept on fooling people on both sides but my algo kept on holding. Finally at last it did go in my direction and got profit. Progress/Learnings: PATIENCE pays. Got jittery at a time when market was close to my stop loss and thought it might get hit but did not do anything manually and held on. Patience and faith on the system pays.
NSE:INDUSINDBK
by Hiren1
Gold Price Today: Reversing to increase in price!Currently, gold price has increased by 21.9 USD, reaching 2,357.6 USD/ounce, recovering to the high level from last week after positive news announced last evening. The main reason is the weakening of the USD and Treasury bond yields after data on US producer prices in April were published. The USD fell 0.2%, making gold more attractive to investors using other currencies. Yields on 10-year Treasury bonds also fell, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, thereby boosting gold prices. In addition, the fact that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell did not signal a rise in interest rates is also a positive factor, which can help gold prices continue to grow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
100-SMA tests EURUSD bulls ahead of EU GDP, US CPIEURUSD rises to the highest level in five weeks, up for the third consecutive day, as traders await the second reading of the Eurozone Q1 GDP and the US headline inflation number, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI). In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the previous day’s successful clearance of the 200-SMA hurdle, backed by the upside RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals. However, the 100-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from late December 2023, close to 1.0825 and 1.0835 respectively, challenge the pair buyers. Following that, the quote’s gradual run-up toward the highs marked in April and March, around 1.0885 and 1.0985 in that order, can’t be ruled out. It should be observed, however, that a slew of hurdles near the 1.1000 threshold will challenge the pair’s upside past 1.0985, if not then bulls can aim for a late 2023 high of around 1.1140. On the contrary, a convergence of the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the October-December 2023 upside, near 1.0795-90, restricts the short-term downside of the EURUSD pair. Following that, a late April swing high of near 1.0750 and a one-month-old rising support line surrounding 1.0715 will stop the Euro bears from taking control. It’s worth noting that the quote’s sustained weakness past 1.0715 needs validation from the 1.0700 threshold before challenging the yearly low of 1.0600. To sum up, the EURUSD pair is in the uptrend and hence capable of crossing the immediate resistances. However, the surprise element of the US inflation data and little room toward the north require buyers to be cautious.
by MTradingGlobal
XAUUSD - Downside correction outlook continues!The gold market today showed a modest recovery, with the metal trading at approximately $2343, reflecting a 0.34% gain since yesterday's notable decline. However, there are emerging signs that gold may be forming an inverted cup and handle pattern. If this pattern fully materializes, it suggests the possibility of a further downside correction, reaching a Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618 to 0.5. In such a case, the $2,305 mark is expected to act as a solid defensive zone for those who are optimistic about gold's prospects.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
Day 31 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 31: Day opened bullish, my stock opened and immediately ran up to its high point. Algo did not trigger as it is deisgned to get in on a pullback. Got an entry; market tried to cheat but could not succeed and was saved. However later on the market cheated and threw me out with a minor profit. Algo again got triggered but in the wrong direction, suffered small loss. Third time algo got triggered but came out at parity. Progress : Did not do any manual trade today even when felt like taking a bullish position manually(in hindsight looks like I was correct), but idea is to build the habit of only algo trading, no manual trading, so good, did not get into temptation.
NSE:INDUSINDBK
by Hiren1
EURUSD: Continue the price increase chain!EURUSD has decreased slightly at the end of the weekend session, with the closing price of over 1,076, but it still maintains a significant recovery trend in recent days. Important resistance levels for EUR/USD pairs are currently in the range of 1,0790 - 1,0800, determined by EMA 34, 89 and the upper boundary of the trendy channel. The next level of resistance should be noted that the highest range on April 9, at 1,0885, investors are aiming for.
Long
by RKarina
GBPUSD pokes nine-week-old resistance as key UK/US data loomGBPUSD regains upside momentum, after posting the first weekly loss in three, as buyers defend the previous week’s reversal from the 20-SMA to poke a downward-sloping resistance line stretched from early March, close to 1.2560 at the latest. The Cable pair’s recovery also takes clues from the bullish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI conditions, not overbought. With this, the Pound Sterling is likely to cross the immediate upside hurdle and aim for the 100-SMA resistance of 1.2633. Following that, the 1.2700 threshold and late March’s swing high near 1.2800 could test the buyers before directing them to the yearly top surrounding 1.2895. Meanwhile, the quote’s pullback needs validation from the 20-SMA support of 1.2495 to convince sellers. Even so, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci ratios of the Cable pair’s run-up from October 2023 to March 2024, respectively near 1.2460 and 1.2365, will challenge the bears. It’s worth noting that the yearly bottom marked in April, close to 1.2300, appears the last defense of the GBPUSD buyers, a break of which will open doors for the pair’s gradual fall toward the late 2023 swing low of near 1.2030 and then to the 1.2000 psychological magnet. Overall, GBPUSD remains on the front foot despite last week’s failure to cross the aforementioned resistance line. However, the technical formation also needs support from the UK employment report and the US inflation clues to convince the bulls.
by MTradingGlobal
XAUUSD - Bearish but outlook still bullish!Hi everybody. At the beginning of today's trading session, gold fell after a strong increase late last Friday. Year-to-date, the precious metal is down more than $10, reflecting a 0.48% drop on the day. Looking ahead, gold is expected to face more short- and medium-term corrections. However, from a long-term perspective, investors and markets are still optimistic that gold will regain the $2,400 level. This belief is reinforced by signs that the US labor market is cooling. With inflation under control and US interest rate cuts expected to increase - currently expected to happen twice - the outlook for gold remains positive, encouraging traders to stay maintain faith in its resilience!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
Day 30 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 30: Made a mistake today. Market was bearish in the morning and algo took a position which went on to be incorrect. Again algo took another position and this also turned out to be a loss making trade. After the fall over last few days, I was bullish while the algo signals were all bearish. So, after two wrong trades by my algo, I thought let me take the next trade manually and I went long. Market punished and threw me out. Then again I took two more trades (even when algo was quiet and did not give any signal), made up the loss that I had made in my manual trade. Overall, a loss making day, losing bit less than 1%, but the worst part was losing my patience and getting overconfident on my skills. Bad idea. Setback: Manual trade.... i think due to getting overconfident by looking at the chart, getting influenced by a certain call, bad impact...
NSE:INDUSINDBK
by Hiren1
Gold price today: Forecasted to continue to increase sharply?Hello dear friends, let's learn about gold prices in the new week! Currently, gold is continuing to adjust after a strong price increase over the last two days of last week. This metal is trading around 2,358 USD in the first trading hours of the second day and down 0.11% on the day. Accordingly, the correction is taking place according to the basic wave structure, so there is nothing too worrying about the metal's ability to continue to recover. In terms of outlook: Gold targets the 2045 USD range to test the EMA line as well as complete the correction wave around the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci level followed by a price increase again according to Dow theory. Regarding forecasts: Of the 17 analysts who participated in the survey, 10 experts, or 59%, expect to see gold prices move higher next week; while only 2 analysts, accounting for 12%, predict prices will decrease. The remaining five experts, or 29% of the total, see gold trending sideways.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
USDJPY pokes key resistance, US inflation, Japan's GDP eyedUSDJPY jostles with a fortnight-old horizontal resistance as buyers turn cautious ahead of this week’s US inflation and the first readings of Japan’s Q1 2024 GDP. In doing so, the Yen pair struggles to extend the previous week’s recovery from the 50-SMA. That said, the near-50 RSI levels join the receding strength of the bearish MACD signals to suggest a continuation of the quote’s latest rebound within the bullish trend channel comprising levels marked since late 2023. It’s worth noting, however, that a clear upside break of the immediate 155.20-156.00 resistance zone becomes necessary for the bulls to retake control. In that case, the upper line of the previously stated bullish channel, close to 159.00 by the press time, will precede the 160.00 psychological magnet and the year 1990’s peak of 160.40 to lure the buyers. Meanwhile, softer US inflation and upbeat Japan growth numbers could trigger the USDJPY pair’s retreat toward the mid-April swing highs around 154.80. However, the 50-SMA and the aforementioned bullish channel’s bottom line, respectively near 152.50 and 152.00, could challenge the Yen pair sellers afterward. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 152.00, the 150.00 threshold will act as the final defense of the buyers. Overall, the USDJPY pair remains bullish, despite the latest inaction, but the upside room remains limited.
by MTradingGlobal
Technical Analysis Update: DXY & Bitcoin Price Correlation Technical Analysis Update: DXY & Bitcoin Price Correlation DXY Overview: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading at a pivotal support level of $105. This level is crucial as it has played a major role in dictating the next moves for Bitcoin. Bitcoin Price Implications: If DXY Bounces: Should the DXY rebound from the $105 support level, we might see a bearish impact on Bitcoin, potentially driving BTC prices down towards the $50,000 mark. If DXY Breaks Down: Conversely, if the DXY fails to hold this support and breaks below $105, it could signal a bullish scenario for Bitcoin, with price targets possibly reaching up to $75,000. What to Watch: Traders should keep a close eye on the DXY's behavior at the $105 support. A confirmed bounce or breakdown will be pivotal in setting the next direction for BTC prices. Action Steps: - Monitor DXY closely for any signs of reversal or continuation patterns at the support level. - Prepare for potential volatility in BTC prices in response to DXY movements. Stay Tuned: Follow for more updates.
TVC:DXYLong
by CryptoPatel
Gold price returns to the race to increase?Global gold prices have continued their upward trend, with gold prices reaching $2,360/ounce. This is the strongest increase in 5 weeks, as more and more investors expect that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon adjust monetary policy towards loosening. This optimism is further reinforced by recent economic data, which shows a slowdown in the US economy, increasing expectations that the Fed will have to loosen monetary policy in the near future. Specifically, after the US monthly employment report did not meet expectations, the latest report on weekly unemployment benefit applications increased higher than expected, which pushed gold prices up more than 1%. , reaching its highest level of the month.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
EURUSD: Stable price increase on the weekend!The resurgence of some bearish sentiment towards the US Dollar (USD) sparked a notable reaction in EUR/USD, taking it to a two-day high around 1.0780 during trading hours first of Friday. The Dollar's pullback also coincided with a broadly negative session in US bond yields across various maturities, particularly after investors priced in a larger-than-expected rise. of weekly claims as they continue to review the Federal Reserve's recent decision to leave interest rates unchanged with the possibility of the central bank starting an easing cycle in September thereby creating Add new motivation to EURUSD. In terms of technical analysis: EURUSD increased in price but is still in the narrowing price wedge and limited below the resistance level as marked. It is expected that after a move to retest the EMA as well as the trendline once again, EURUSD will receive more momentum. new for the price increase to continue to grow larger and stronger. Wishing you happy trading!
Long
by RKarina