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Technical Analysis

Gold price today: Gaining momentum again!Golden information: According to the weekly report from the US Department of Labor, the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits in this country has increased to the highest level since August last year. In the week ending May 4, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the US increased by 20,000 people compared to the previous week, an increase that exceeded expectations, to 231,000 people. The data raises expectations that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates at some point this year. Gold is a non-interest-bearing asset, so the strength of gold prices is often reinforced when the prospect of the Fed cutting interest rates increases. In addition, gold price this session is also supported by the decrease in USD exchange rate and US Treasury bond yields. After the US jobs report, the Dollar Index measuring the strength of the USD decreased by about 0.3%, to more than 105.2 points. Gold is priced in USD, so USD depreciation is a beneficial factor for gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
GBPUSD : Hold breath waiting for a new signal from the marketHello friends! Today, the GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive around 1.2495 at the start of the Asian session. The US dollar continued to gain for the third consecutive day, putting pressure on the recovery of GBPUSD, which appeared unchanged from yesterday. The outlook for further price declines remains intact. Currently, the market is moving into a cautious mode ahead of the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision later today and no changes to interest rates are expected. Additionally, the US weekly initial jobless claims report will be released, followed by a speech by the Federal Reserve's Mary Daly.
Short
by RKarina
Day 29 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 29: Good day today. After falling for almost week, market took a breather and the bulls tried to put a stop to selling. My algo got me into a bullish position in the morning and the momentum gave me my target pretty soon. Had to be away so did not trade later on, but the algo did very well on paper trades. Had a not so good day yesterday and was not feeling good yet continued with the algo without touching it during the day, turned out to be a wise decision. Progress: Overcame the sadness of losing yesterday and did not do any manual trade, let the algo run its course.
NSE:INDUSINDBK
by Hiren1
XAUUSD - Shocking price increaseEveryone, let's find out what's new in the gold market today! Yesterday, gold saw a significant breakthrough, as the metal rose from around $2300 USD to as high as $2350 USD at the moment, completely shedding previous bearish sentiment. The weakening of the USD has strongly supported the upward trend in the price of this precious metal. In addition, gold prices rose even higher "after a number of major central banks decided to cut interest rates or signaled their willingness to cut interest rates further in the future." Lower interest rates reduce the "opportunity cost" of holding gold, a non-yielding asset, making it a more attractive investment. Looking at the chart analysis: Gold is approaching the resistance area as marked. On the upside: If it succeeds in maintaining this trend and successfully closes above resistance, XAUUSD will open up a profitable opportunity to quickly move towards $2400 USD. On the other hand, if a pullback to correct the trend occurs, XAUUSD will retest the breakout zone at $2330 USD once again, but the uptrend will still be maintained as the 34 EMA is reversing and signaling positivity for buyers.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
EURUSD bulls keep control ahead of ECB Minutes, US dataEURUSD pares the biggest daily gains of the week while posting mild losses early Friday. Even so, the Euro pair remains on the way to posting a four-week uptrend as traders prepare for the European Central Bank (ECB) Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, also known as the ECB Minutes, as well as the preliminary readings of the US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations. It should be noted that upbeat RSI and MACD conditions keep the buyers hopeful but a downward-sloping resistance line from early March, close to 1.0790 at the latest, guards the immediate upside of the pair. Apart from the oscillators like RSI and MACD, the looming “Golden Cross”, a bullish moving average crossover, also keep the buyers hopeful. However, a clear upside of the 5.5-month-old descending resistance line, near 1.0825 as we write, becomes necessary for the bulls to retake control. In that case, the gradual run-up toward March’s high of 1.0980 and then to the 1.1000 threshold can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, a pullback move remains uninteresting beyond the 50-SMA support of 1.0735. Following that, the lows marked in April and February, respectively around 1.0725 and 1.0695, could test the EURUSD bears before directing them to the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600. It’s worth noting that the Euro pair’s sustained weakness past 1.0600 makes it vulnerable to challenge the previous yearly bottom surrounding 1.0450-45 but the same needs validation from the strong US fundamentals, as well as downbeat EU catalysts. Overall, EURUSD bulls are likely to retake control after staying off the grid for some time. However, the fundamentals need to back the pair’s bullish technical details to support the upside bias.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold price today: Prospect of price increase delayed!Hello dear friends, let's understand today's gold price! Currently, today's gold price continues to move above 2,300 USD and has not changed much compared to the same trading session yesterday. Accordingly, Gold remains at familiar levels in the context of rising US Treasury bond interest rates and a strong US dollar. Traders await unemployment claims on Thursday, followed by the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment survey on Friday to find new direction for the metal. Looking at the outlook from the technical chart: The 4h chart of XAU/USD shows that the upside potential is still limited, the metal continues to be limited below the resistance of 2335 USD and moves below the two EMAs 34, 89 without a clear direction. Bears may have a better chance of a clear break below the $2,300 mark until Gold breaks below that level and trades around $2,260 according to the trendline.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
Update the latest gold price today!Hello everyone, today we will learn about the gold market to determine whether this is the right time to buy or sell. Starting with the current gold price chart, we see that the gold price has increased by more than 6 USD, currently sitting at around 2131 USD. Even so, there haven't been any significant breakthroughs. Gold prices remain stable around 2,305 USD, and the market is waiting for new information to be announced later in the day to have a clearer view. There are two important events that will affect the USD exchange rate: Claim unemployment benefits Auction of 30-year US bonds Outlook Analysis: On the 1-hour chart, gold appears to be in the process of consolidating and moving sideways. Because the Bollinger Bands index shows no major changes affecting the current trend, we can expect gold prices to not change much until important news is announced. Careful observation and attention will be the key to determining the right time to trade. Gold is expected to fluctuate between 2328 - 2305 USD until the end of the day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
EUR/USD is stuck in a downtrendHello friends! Today EURUSD remains stuck below the 1.075 resistance level as the US dollar edged up slightly. As a result, trading in the pair appears to be quieter than yesterday, when market sentiment focused on speeches from ECB policymakers. Looking ahead: EURUSD is trending down, with the 4-hour chart showing the pair entering a consolidation range. Against this backdrop, the immediate upside barrier at 1.0800 will limit the potential for recovery, followed by 1.082. On the downside, EURUSD will soon encounter support at 1.0705, which will dictate the next recovery before reaching 1.065.
Short
by RKarina
Gold suddenly turned down!"Gold (XAU/USD) attracted some buyers during Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Safe-haven demand, driven by geopolitical tensions and political uncertainty, as well as central bank buying activity, may contribute to pushing gold prices higher. However, hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials could dampen hopes of interest rate cuts in 2024, despite weaker-than-expected US employment reports in April. This could drag the precious metal lower. At the end of Wednesday, Philip Jefferson, Susan Collins, and Lisa Cook of the Federal Reserve will speak. Hawkish comments from Fed policymakers may lift the greenback and exert pressure on gold priced in USD. Gold traders will monitor consumer sentiment indices from the University of Michigan on Friday."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
GBPUSD : New breakthrough has appeared!GBP/USD keeps sliding and trades in the negative territory below 1.2500 after losing nearly 0.5% on Tuesday. The newfound strength of the US dollar, fueled by hawkish remarks from the Fed, weighs heavily on this pair as market focus shifts to the policy announcements from the Bank of England on Thursday. From chart observations, this pair has broken out of the uptrend channel after a prolonged period. Expectations are for further downward adjustments after a retest of the Breakout zone, with the selling strategy continuing to be prioritized during this time.
Short
by RKarina
XAUUSDHello all dear traders! Gold price today decreased by 15 USD compared to last night's highest price of 2,325 USD/ounce. Accordingly, Gold decreased slightly as investors focused more on the prospect of interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed). According to CME's FedWatch tool, futures traders believe there is about a two-in-three chance that the US Central Bank will cut interest rates in September. Although prices are pressured by the interest rate outlook. But! The upside for gold, especially related to geopolitical risks and potential tensions in the banking system, is strong enough to support the precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
Gold keeps buyers in game despite recent inaction, $2,338 eyedGold price lacks bullish momentum despite staying positive on a weekly basis, after a two-week downtrend. While bearish MACD signals and a steady RSI (14) line suggest a continuation of the metal’s recent sideways performance, a one-month-old falling wedge bullish chart formation keeps the buyers hopeful. It’s worth noting that the 21-SMA resistance of $2,338 will act as an extra filter toward the north, in addition to the stated wedge’s upper line surrounding $2,322. Following that, the quote’s run-up toward the $2,400 threshold and then to the latest peak of around $2,431 can’t be ruled out. In a case where the XAUUSD remains firmer past $2,431, the bullion buyers can aim for the theoretical target of falling wedge confirmation, close to $2,480 in this case. On the flip side, the $2,300 round figure and $2,285 restrict the short-term downside of the Gold price ahead of the aforementioned wedge’s bottom line, near $2,275 by the press time. Should the precious metal drop beneath the $2,275 support, it defies the bullish chart formation and can direct the XAUUSD sellers toward the 50-SMA support of $2,251. It’s worth mentioning, however, that the buyers should remain hopeful of witnessing a corrective bounce, even during the gradual fall, unless the quote breaks an ascending trend line support stretched from the mid-February, around $2,219 as we write. Overall, the Gold price is likely to reverse the previous losses but a sustained upside clearance of $2,338 is a must for bulls to retake control.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
How is gold price traded today?Hello everyone, it's RKarina again! Today, gold prices continued their recovery since Monday, with the metal up more than $25 since the start of the new week. Although gold has experienced two consecutive weeks of price declines after a 5-week recovery streak, overall investor sentiment is still optimistic about this precious metal. From chart analysis, we see that gold has broken out of the price range and surpassed the trend line, signaling a new uptrend. Support at $2310 has been established, with a current target of $2350 - $2360 in the near future if gold maintains its bullish momentum in the current economic and market conditions!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
XAUUSDWorld gold price is currently trading around 2,320 USD. “The recent decline in gold prices that we have seen over the past few weeks may be weakening,” one expert noted. US employment data has weakened the USD, creating an opportunity for world gold prices to increase." According to technical analysis, in the short term, gold's next resistance level is 2,360 USD/ounce and if this threshold is broken, gold could quickly climb to 2,400 USD/ounce. If gold enters a downtrend, the first support level is 2,280 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
AUDUSD portrays “fakeout” on RBA’s status quoOn Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its monetary policy unchanged, as expected, and dragged the AUDUSD pair back from an intraday high. With this, the Aussie pair defies Friday’s breakout of a four-month-old descending resistance line, terming it the “false breakout” or “fakeout”. In addition to the fakeout, the RSI’s retreat from the overbought territory and an impending bear cross on the MACD also tease the sellers. However, a clear downside break of the aforementioned resistance-turned-support line surrounding 0.6600 and RBA Governor Michele Bullock's dovish remarks are needed for the bears to retake control. In that case, the pair’s quick fall toward 0.6570 and the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level near 0.6530 can’t be ruled out. It’s worth mentioning that the seller’s dominance past 0.6530 depends on the ability to break a three-week-old rising support line, close to 0.6515 at the latest. Meanwhile, an area comprising multiple levels marked since early January, near 0.6645-40, guards the immediate upside of the AUDUSD pair. Following that, March’s peak of 0.6667 and the 0.6700 threshold will challenge the buyers. If the Aussie pair remains firmer beyond the 0.6700 hurdle, 0.6730, 0.6780 and the 0.6800 round figure could test the upside momentum before directing the bulls toward the late 2023 high of 0.6871. Overall, the AUDUSD pair signals a pullback price move, but the bearish momentum will likely remain tepid unless fundamental support is gained.
by MTradingGlobal
Update the latest gold price today!Hello dear traders Today let's explore the price of gold together! Gold recovered slightly after a volatile Friday, trading steady around $2,310 and up 0.34% on the day. In terms of short-term outlook, gold appears to be moving sideways and is still in an accumulation phase with expected swings between $2325 and $2290. Pay attention to the marked points to find a reasonable entry point. Looking ahead, this week is expected to be relatively quiet in terms of economic data releases. However, there are some notable events such as the US 10-year bond auction on Wednesday, the Bank of England's monetary policy decision and the Treasury's 30-year bond auction on Thursday. Additionally, a preliminary consumer sentiment report from the University of Michigan will be released on Friday. We will continually compile and update all of this information. Stay tuned for the latest updates!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Downtrend is still going on!Hello friends! GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its upward momentum and is trading below 1.2550 during the US session. Earlier in the day, disappointing April jobs reports from the US triggered a USD sell-off, pushing the pair to multi-week highs above 1.2600. However, it failed to hold this level and quickly fell to 1,254. On the other hand, the daily chart shows that the sharp rise in GBP/USD broke the 34, 89 EMA, forming a 'shooting star' pattern, opening up opportunities for sellers.
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY rebound appears elusive below 155.70USDJPY bounces off a one-month low to snap a three-day winning streak early Monday. In doing so, the Yen pair takes a U-turn from the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of its March-April upside amid a nearly oversold RSI. Given the receding bearish strength of the MACD signals and the quote’s rebound from the key Fibonacci ratio, as well as the RSI (14) line’s recovery from the oversold territory, the latest run-up in price is likely to prevail for a bit. The same highlights the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 155.00 for short-term buyers. However, a convergence of the 50-SMA, a two-month-old previous support line, and a downward-sloping resistance line from April 29, around 155.60-70, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls. Following that, the pair’s gradual rise toward the monthly high of nearly 158.00 and then to the recent multi-year peak surrounding 160.00 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci ratio put a short-term floor under the USDJPY pair at around 153.30. In a case where the sellers keep control past the 153.30 support confluence, the Yen pair bears could again jostle with the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio surrounding 151.70, also known as the Golden Fibonacci ratio. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s weakness past 151.70 will make it vulnerable to revisit the lows marked in March near 146.50. During the fall, the 150.00 threshold and the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio around 149.40 can act as intermediate halts. USDJPY is likely to extend the latest corrective bounce, especially amid the Japanese holiday, but the upside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD: Continues to increase after a promising week!Hi everybody! In the first trading session of the new week, the EUR/USD exchange rate increased to 1.0800 due to the weakening of the US Dollar. The USD faced a significant sell-off after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released a report, showing weak labor demand and a slowdown in wage growth in April. This decline pushed the US Dollar Index (DXY) to a 3-week low, giving momentum to the EUR/USD currency pair. Additionally, market sentiment has improved significantly after a disappointing Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, suggesting that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may reduce interest rates from its September meeting. Delays in wage growth and weaker labor demand both raise doubts that consumers will spend less, possibly easing inflationary pressures. This scenario may not be favorable for the USD and bond yields, and may also increase the EUR/USD exchange rate in the near future.
by RKarina