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Technical Analysis

EUR/USD at Resistance 1.08914: Correction or Breakout?The current EUR/USD chart shows the currency pair facing selling pressure as it approaches the resistance zone at 1.08914. This level could hinder further gains, and if it fails to break through, EUR/USD may correct towards the support zone around 1.07684. This is a key level where buyers might seek a bounce opportunity. The 34 and 89 EMAs continue to act as major resistance, reflecting the ongoing short-term downtrend. With the current technical signals, a prudent strategy would be to wait for price reactions at the resistance and support levels to determine the next direction, rather than rushing into trades. News Update: On October 30, 2024, the U.S. dollar softened slightly from its recent highs, pausing its recent rally ahead of key macroeconomic data releases that could shift rate-cut expectations.
Short
by Will_ll
1
XAUUSD in Tug of War: Strong Support or Deep Correction?The XAUUSD chart on November 4 shows gold oscillating around the critical support level of 2,718 USD/oz, with the EMA 34 and 89 lines providing main support. If this support holds, gold may rebound toward the resistance level at 2,757 USD/oz. However, the MACD shows a bearish divergence, signaling potential for continued correction, while the RSI indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a possible short-term recovery. Recent U.S. news highlights expectations that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates longer, pressuring gold as the USD strengthens. Additionally, pre-election uncertainty in the U.S. continues to drive safe-haven demand, creating significant volatility for XAUUSD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Will_ll
Suzlon.. currently in Falling Wedge. Looking at this chart of Suzlon Energy Ltd. on NSE, here are some key observations: 1. **Falling Wedge Pattern**: - The recent price action shows a falling wedge, a pattern characterized by converging trendlines sloping downwards. This often suggests a potential bullish reversal if the price breaks out above the upper trendline. 2. **Uptrend Channel**: - The price is still within a broader upward trend channel, indicating the overall bullish trend is intact despite the recent correction. The current price is approaching the lower boundary of this channel, which could act as a support zone. 3. **Volume Analysis**: - Volume seems to have decreased during the recent downtrend. A breakout from the falling wedge with increasing volume could further confirm bullish momentum. 4. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: - The RSI is showing a bullish divergence; while the price is making lower lows, the RSI is making higher lows. This divergence is often a precursor to a potential price reversal. 5. **Support Levels**: - The price is near the lower trendline of both the falling wedge and the broader upward channel, around the INR 62–65 range, which could serve as a strong support zone. 6. **Potential Trade Setup**: - A breakout above the wedge with strong volume could provide a good entry point for a bullish trade. Alternatively, if it fails to break out, monitoring the lower boundary of the channel as support would be essential. In summary, the chart shows signs of a potential reversal if it breaks out of the falling wedge. Watching for a breakout with volume confirmation and monitoring the RSI divergence will be crucial for validating the bullish case.
NSE:SUZLONLong
by brijmohan_h
USD/JPY Hits 153.827: Continue Rising or Ready to Retrace?USD/JPY is in a stable uptrend, supported by two key EMAs (89 and 34), showing that buying pressure remains strong. However, the resistance at 153.827 could act as a “wall” that halts the upward momentum. If pushed back, the 151.807 area could serve as a “launchpad” for a bounce. With the current uptrend, a pullback to 151.807, followed by a rebound signal, may offer a good buying opportunity. A clear breakout above 153.827 could signal the next leg up. The key here is not chasing the market, but waiting for the golden opportunity: buying at support on a pullback, or catching the wave if resistance breaks. BOJ’s decision to keep rates at 0.25% has reduced the yen’s appeal, adding upward pressure on USD/JPY as the Fed may keep rates high.
Short
by Will_ll
1
EUR/USD Hits 1.0900 Resistance: Breakout or Pullback?The EUR/USD pair is touching a strong resistance area around 1.09224, with the 34 and 89 EMAs acting as key resistance levels. If the price fails to break through this resistance zone, a pullback toward the support area around 1.0800 could occur. The recent trendline shows that buying pressure remains, but the uptrend might weaken without sufficient momentum to push beyond the current resistance. Both the MACD and RSI indicate saturation, signaling a potential pullback if selling pressure increases at this level. Recent news on Fed policy expectations could impact the USD and the EUR/USD pair, driving significant volatility.
Short
by Will_ll
Gold Nears 2,800: Recovery or Further Correction?Gold prices nearly reached the 2,800 USD/ounce mark on November 1, driven by concerns over the U.S. election and expectations of a Fed rate cut. However, prices saw a slight decline on November 2 as the market adjusted after a strong rally. The current XAUUSD chart shows gold attempting to recover from a strong support level at 2,734. This is a critical price zone that could serve as a “launchpad” if selling pressure continues to ease. The 34 and 89 EMA lines above remain significant resistance levels, indicating lingering short-term bearish pressure. Currently, the RSI shows signs of oversold conditions, suggesting the possibility of a short-term recovery. A cautious strategy is to watch price reactions at the support level, waiting for a confirmed bullish signal before entering a buy position to capitalize on a potential rebound from this lower price range. However, if the support level does not hold, the downward trend could continue, and a lower price zone may become the next target for the following decline.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Will_ll
XAUUSD: The Battle Between Support and Resistance!The XAUUSD chart highlights a clear “battle” at key price levels. Gold has just rebounded from the support at 2,734 and is approaching the resistance at 2,756 – a zone where sellers are strongly defending. The two EMAs (89 and 34) continue to act as “shields,” reflecting the ongoing downward pressure. With selling force at resistance, the 2,734 support zone could serve as a crucial pivot to determine the next trend. For now, monitoring price reactions at these levels provides a clearer view of market behavior without the need for distant predictions. Investors are closely watching U.S. election uncertainties and the Federal Reserve’s policy path.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Will_ll
Gold flirts with sellers in a bullish channel ahead of US NFPGold is stabilizing after its largest daily decline in 15 weeks, as traders await Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. In doing so, the precious metal bounces back above the 50-SMA but struggles to reclaim its previous upward trend, signaled by a three-week-old rising wedge. Still, it remains within a bullish channel established since early August. Bulls need conviction to retake control Even with gold's recent bounce and its position within a multi-day bullish channel, Thursday’s confirmation of a rising wedge bearish chart formation, combined with bearish MACD signals and a lack of oversold RSI, raises concerns for buyers. Key technical levels to watch Gold buyers focus on the rising wedge's bottom near $2,762 to regain control. If they succeed, the next targets will be the wedge's top at around $2,796 and the bullish channel’s upper line at about $2,810. A firm move above $2,810 could lead to the bullion’s gradual rise toward $2,900 and potentially $3,000. On the other hand, Gold sellers are looking at Thursday’s low of $2,731, with the previous weekly low of around $2,708 in their sights. Key levels for bears include the bullish channel bottom and the 200-SMA near $2,687 and $2,670, respectively. If gold drops below $2,670, it may be set for a decline toward the rising wedge target of $2,570. Bulls in control, but sellers seek opportunities The recent bearish chart pattern offers sellers a chance for short-term gains, especially if the US employment report impacts gold prices. However, buyers are expected to maintain their hold on the market.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY fades month-old bullish trend on BoJ’s cautious pauseUSDJPY snapped a three-day winning streak even as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) held benchmark interest rates unchanged, as widely expected, after its two-day monetary policy meeting early Thursday. In doing so, the Yen pair also challenged a five-week-old bullish trend channel. Bulls lack acceptance but bears have a bumpy road ahead… Apart from the BoJ’s hawkish halt, sluggish MACD and RSI conditions, along with the USDJPY pair’s inability to cross a month-old rising resistance line and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of July-September downside, suggest a weakening of bullish bias. A slew of key supports, however, might challenge the sellers before taking control. Key technical levels to watch The aforementioned upward-sloping trend channel’s bottom line, close to 152.80, gains the immediate attention of the sellers ahead of the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around 152.20 at the latest. Following that, the USDJPY sellers can aim for the 150.00 threshold and the 200-EMA support of 149.00. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 149.00, the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio and September’s peak, respectively near 148.10 and 147.20, will act as the final defense of the buyers. On the contrary, USDJPY needs a clear upside break of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 153.45, also known as the golden ratio, to convince buyers. Even so, a month-long ascending trend line and a horizontal hurdle established since mid-July, close to 154.80 and 155.30-40, will challenge the Yen pair’s further advances. If the prices remain firmer past 155.40, the odds of witnessing a rally toward the aforementioned bullish channel’s top line surrounding 157.70 can’t be ruled out. Focus on US data As the BoJ’s cautious stance weighs on USDJPY buyers, traders will watch upcoming US inflation and employment data for further direction.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD: Focus on 13-month-old support and EU/US GDPEURUSD retreats towards a key support level as traders prepare for Wednesday's Eurozone and US Q3 GDP reports. Despite this, the pair maintains a mid-October breakdown below the 200-SMA, while oscillators challenge continued bearish momentum. Bulls and bears jostle at key support While EURUSD sellers benefit from the drop below the 200-SMA and a stronger US Dollar, an upward trend line from October 2023, along with an oversold RSI and a potential bull cross on the MACD, may limit further declines of the major currency pair. Key technical levels The 13-month rising support line near 1.0770 is crucial for EURUSD sellers if the pair drops further. Below that, the monthly low of 1.0760 is an important level, with June and April lows around 1.0665 and 1.0600 as potential targets. For EURUSD buyers, recovery seems challenging without breaking the 200-SMA at 1.0870. Even if they succeed, the 1.1000-1.0980 zone, marked since January, poses a tough challenge. If the Euro bulls cross the 1.1000 hurdle, they’ll set their sights on the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the pair’s late 2023 fall and a 10-month-old rising trend line, close to 1.1100 and 1.1220 in that order. Further downside needs a strong catalyst With mixed oscillator signals, EURUSD sellers need robust data to support US Dollar strength and Euro weakness to push prices lower. A corrective bounce seems likely, potentially creating fresh selling opportunities if Eurozone data surprises positively.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD: Sellers approach multi-month-old support before US dataGBPUSD is slipping from last week’s bounce off a six-month support line. Traders are watching for Tuesday's US Consumer Confidence report, while the strong US Dollar and cautious mood ahead of the US Q3 GDP figures, inflation data, and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are putting pressure on the Pound Sterling. Bears lose momentum While GBPUSD buyers aren’t gaining traction, sellers will struggle to take control. There are multiple support levels, and indicators like the RSI (14) and a weakening bearish MACD signal may hinder the bear’s progress. Key technical levels to watch Watch for the upward support line from late April around 1.2935, followed by the 200-SMA near 1.2800, as near-term key levels to watch for the GBPUSD sellers. If the bears push below 1.2800, look for support at the August and June lows around 1.2665 and 1.2610. GBPUSD needs to break the ascending trend line from early March near 1.3080 for a recovery. Additional resistance levels include the psychological barrier at 1.3000 and the 50-SMA at 1.3140. Lastly, a horizontal resistance zone near 1.3240 serves as a crucial barrier for buyers. Further downside appears less convincing With the bearish trend losing momentum, expectations for fewer rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve could change if upcoming data doesn't support US Dollar strength. This uncertainty calls for caution among GBPUSD sellers.
by MTradingGlobal
Bitcoin: BTCUSD bulls eye $68,700 resistance as key week beginsBitcoin's (BTCUSD) recent gains are under pressure as traders await important data this week, including the US Q3 GDP, Fed Inflation, and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). However, optimism about post-US election industry regulations and strong ETF inflows continue to support buyers. BTCUSD braces for major upside Although Bitcoin (BTCUSD) buyers take a breather, the prices remain above the key resistance-turned-support, and the oscillators are positive, too, suggesting the cryptocurrency pair’s further advances. That said, the quote’s sustained trading beyond the 100-SMA and month-old horizontal support join bullish MACD signals and an upbeat RSI (14) line, keeping the buyers hopeful. Key technical levels to watch Among the important technical levels, a one-week-old descending resistance line surrounding $68,700 gains immediate attention. Following that, the monthly high surrounding $69,490 and the $70,000 threshold will be in the spotlight. It should be noted that the BTCUSD pair’s successful trading beyond the $70,000 hurdle enables the buyers to aim for the yearly high of around $73,800. Meanwhile, the 100-SMA and aforementioned horizontal support restrict the short-term downside of Bitcoin to around $66,600 and $66,100 respectively. In a case where the BTCUSD prices remain bearish past $66,100, an upward-sloping trend line from early September, close to $63,000 at the latest, will be the final defense of the buyers. An interesting week for buyers Despite positive technical and fundamental signals for Bitcoin buyers, key data and events could introduce volatility, leading to month-end consolidation. Bulls should stay cautious, as they are likely to maintain control of the market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Bank Nifty - Formation of Bearish Head and ShoulderBank Nifty index is forming bearish head and shoulders pattern. Here are the key levels mentioned below: Neckline : 50000 (activation point for the pattern) Immediate Support: 49700 (200 EMA) Potential Target: 46500 (if price pierces below 200 EMA) Trend Breakdown: Noted breakdown of the uptrend line since October 23. Make sure to keep an eye on these levels and monitor price action closely as it approaches them! If you have any more insights or questions about trading strategies, feel free to share.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by Arvind_Share_Academy
Gold portrays much-awaited pullback, focus on $2,710 & US dataEarly Friday, gold prices slipped after a brief bounce from a week-long support level, retreating from a point that has shifted from support to resistance. Traders are closely watching the September U.S. Durable Goods Orders. This movement highlights gold's defense against a mid-week rejection of a bullish trend, signaling the anticipated price pullback. Sellers flex muscles Gold is struggling to regain momentum, facing rejection from recent highs. With bearish signals from the MACD and an RSI close to 50, further declines in gold prices seem likely. However, strong support levels may challenge sellers' quest for lower prices. Key technical levels to watch In the past week, gold has seen multiple peaks and troughs, with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) highlighting $2,715-$2,710 as a crucial support zone for sellers. Below that, the 38.2% Fibonacci Extension of gold's movements from September to October and the previous monthly high near $2,686 could attract bearish interest. Importantly, the upward-sloping trend line from early August and the 200-day SMA, around $2,657 and $2,638, respectively, will serve as final defenses for buyers before control shifts to sellers. On the upside, gold buyers are looking for confirmation from the lower boundary of the bullish channel, around $2,753. A successful breakout could lead to a rise towards the recent peak of $2,758 and potentially up to the channel’s upper line near $2,790. The 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at $2,772 and the $2,800 mark are additional upside filters to watch for the XAUUSD bulls. Bulls run out of steam Despite several strong support levels, the anticipated strength of the US dollar after upcoming economic data and recent technical consolidations indicate a potential short-term decline in gold prices. However, the overall bullish trend remains intact unless prices fall below $2,638.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Technical Class 1 #SMC1In finance, technical analysis is an analysis methodology for analysing and forecasting the direction of prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and volume. Technical analysis is a means of examining and predicting price movements in the financial markets, by using historical price charts and market statistics. It is based on the idea that if a trader can identify previous market patterns, they can form a fairly accurate prediction of future price trajectories.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
EURUSD bounces back from year-long support ahead of EU/US PMIEURUSD records its first daily gain in four, bouncing back from the lowest level since July 3, as traders eagerly await the preliminary readings of October's PMIs for the Eurozone and the US. The Euro pair’s movement aligns with overbought RSI conditions while it turns from an upward support line established in early October 2023. Sellers remain in control Despite an oversold RSI (14) supporting EURUSD's bounce from key support, bearish MACD signals and trading below the 200-SMA keep sellers optimistic. The downside bias is further strengthened by more dovish expectations from the European Central Bank (ECB) compared to the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Key technical levels to watch The multi-month support line around 1.0765 is crucial for EURUSD. A clear break below this level could expose the pair to a decline toward February and June 2024 lows, near 1.0700 and 1.0680, respectively. However, if the RSI conditions hold, Euro bears may face challenges around 1.0680. If not, the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600 will be the last line of defense for buyers before the pair heads toward the late 2023 bottom around 1.0450. Alternatively, a rebound for EURUSD seems unlikely while trading below the 200-SMA at 1.0870. That said, the immediate upside is protected by the 50% Fibonacci level from the pair's rise between October 2023 and September 2024, located around 1.0830. Additionally, the 38.2% Fibonacci level and an 11-week-old support line near 1.0920 and 1.1000 will be tough obstacles for bulls to overcome if they break past 1.0830. Further recovery looks challenging While some technical signals indicate that sellers may be losing momentum, several technical and fundamental factors suggest buyers are not yet ready to step in. The EURUSD's corrective bounce could continue with strong EU data and weak US statistics. However, if the US Dollar sees a positive surprise, the likelihood of further downside for the pair remains high.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY crosses 200-SMA to refresh 12-week high, focus on 152.00USDJPY has reached its highest point since July 31, rising for the third straight day after breaking the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) early Wednesday. However, a seven-month-old resistance zone around 151.85-152.00 limits further gains of the Yen pair. Bulls need a strong push The US Dollar’s strength and bullish MACD signals keep buyers hopeful. Yet, overbought RSI conditions and tough resistance mean a significant boost is necessary for further upward movement. Without this, the pair could quickly drop below the 200-SMA, leading to short-term selling. Key technical levels to watch In addition to the 200-SMA support at 151.35 and the resistance zone around 151.85-152.00, several important technical levels are crucial for USDJPY traders. The 50% Fibonacci level near 150.80 will attract sellers if the price drops below the 200-SMA, along with the key threshold at 150.00. A drop to around 149.40 is possible if sellers gain control, and if the price falls past this level, September’s high of 147.20 and the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 144.85 will come into focus. On the upside, a close above 152.00 could encourage buyers to target the 61.8% Fibonacci level, or Golden Ratio, near 153.40. If momentum continues, potential targets may include June’s low of 154.55 and the 78.6% level at 157.20. Decisive move ahead… While buyers seem in control, the struggle to surpass key resistance amid overbought conditions and upcoming PMI data could lead to a necessary pullback. Traders should proceed with caution as the next moves in USDJPY will be crucial.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD: Bears face limited downside ahead of BoE's Bailey speechOn Tuesday morning, GBPUSD is testing the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support, pulling back from last week's bounce. Traders are on alert as they await comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey. Sellers keep the reins but have limited downside room available While GBPUSD’s failure to stay above the 100-EMA and bearish MACD signals encourage sellers, a declining RSI (14) and a six-month-old ascending support line suggest only limited room for further decline. Key technical levels to watch The GBPUSD pair is currently supported by the 100-EMA around 1.2985 and an upward trend line near 1.2950, limiting immediate downside potential. If these levels break, the 50% Fibonacci retracement from April to September at 1.2865 could attract sellers, followed by the 61.8% retracement and August low at 1.2730 and 1.2665. On the upside, the 50-EMA and the 23.6% Fibonacci level around 1.3085 and 1.3165 will be crucial barriers. However, the key focus will be the horizontal resistance zone near 1.3230-40. If GBPUSD can hold above 1.3040, the next target could be around 1.3315-20, with the previous monthly high at 1.3435 acting as a potential stopping point. Bears approach key support zone GBPUSD is nearing important support levels as traders wait for comments from BoE’s Bailey, along with this week’s UK and US PMIs and Durable Goods Orders. With a more hawkish stance from the Fed compared to the BoE and concerns about the UK’s economic strength relative to the US, the pair is likely to maintain its downward trend, even if the downside potential seems limited.
by MTradingGlobal
Bitcoin: BTCUSD bulls struggle amid overbought RSI, $70,100 eyedOn Monday morning, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) experienced slight losses after reaching a three-month high. This movement highlights overbought RSI conditions, indicating weak upside momentum beneath the horizontal resistance area established since early June. Buyers remain hopeful Despite overbought RSI conditions and facing key resistance, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) buyers remain optimistic. The pair is holding above last week’s breakout from a descending resistance line, which is now acting as support around $67,700. Additionally, bullish MACD signals suggest strong buyer momentum. Key technical levels to watch The horizontal resistance around $70,100 is a key barrier for Bitcoin bulls. They should also monitor the $70,000 threshold and recent highs near $72,000 as additional hurdles. If BTCUSD breaks through, the yearly peak near $73,800 and the $75,000 mark will attract buyers' attention. If Bitcoin (BTCUSD) breaks below the former support at around $67,700, it could trigger a short-term decline. Key levels to watch include the previous monthly high near $66,500 and the 200-SMA support around $63,300. If prices fall below $63,300, the next significant support is at $62,500. A move past that could lead to a drop towards the psychological level of $60,000 and potentially a monthly low of around $58,870. Upside potential remains intact Overall, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) buyers are likely to remain in control despite the challenges at key resistance. However, a price pullback is possible if the US Dollar strengthens from this week’s PMIs and Durable Goods Orders data.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 21/10/2024BUY ABOVE - 52220 SL - 51990 TARGETS - 52400,52600,52800 SELL BELOW - 51990 SL - 52220 TARGETS - 51820,51600,51380 NO TRADE ZONE - 51990 to 52220 Previous Day High - 52220 Previous Day Low - 51160 Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day. Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move. Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Jagadheesh_JP