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Technical Analysis

USD/JPY Falls Below 141.00 Due to Fed-BoJ Policy DivergenceUSDJPY is in a downtrend, trading around 140.908 after breaking the support level at 140.500. The EMA 34 and 89 lines indicate that selling pressure remains dominant. If the price rebounds from this support, the short-term target will be 142.307. Otherwise, if the support breaks, the price may drop to 139.175. Regarding news: USD/JPY continued to weaken below 141.00 in Friday's Asian session, driven by the policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ, which supported the Yen. Attention now shifts to U.S. sentiment data.
Short
by Romio_pro
Gold: Prices renew all-time high under $2,600, but expect bumpsGold prices hit a fresh record high around $2,570 early Friday as it extends the previous day’s upside break of a three-week-old resistance, now support around $2,525. This rise is fueled by increasing expectations of significant rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve and a push against a rising trend line from mid-July. A bumpy road for the bulls ahead… Despite the Fed's rate cut hopes supporting gold, an eight-week resistance line and an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggest a possible price pullback. Additionally, a potential bounce in the US Dollar, especially with upcoming reports on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, might give gold buyers a temporary pause. Nevertheless, the breakout above resistance and bullish MACD signals keep the buyers optimistic. Technical levels to watch… To continue climbing, gold prices need to break above a two-month resistance line around $2,570. If successful, gold could quickly reach the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) level of the bullion’s late July to early September moves near $2,581 and then target $2,600. If gold surpasses $2,600, it could aim for the 78.6% and 100% FE levels around $2,610 and $2,650, respectively. If prices pull back, they might first test the 50% and 38.2% FE levels near $2,560 and $2,540. A key support level at $2,525 could also come into play. If gold drops below $2,525, it might struggle to hold above $2,500 and $2,470, making those levels significant for potential declines. What next? Gold buyers are expected to remain strong, thanks to anticipated rate cuts from major central banks like the Fed. However, there might be a temporary dip in prices before the next rally.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY Faces a Downtrend with Target at 135.492The USDJPY chart is showing a strong downtrend after reaching a peak in July. Currently, the price is trading around 142.67 with a clear descending wedge pattern forming. Strong resistance lies at 147.537, while the projected downside target is 135.492. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 both indicate a downward trend, confirming selling pressure. In terms of news, U.S. economic factors, especially the CPI report, are having a significant impact on the USD. If inflation decreases, the USD may weaken, allowing USDJPY to continue its downtrend toward lower levels.
Short
by Romio_pro
1
Gold Hits 2,570 USD Peak, Support at 2,521 USDGold is currently trading around its all-time high near 2,570 USD after a strong rally fueled by rising expectations of a significant Fed rate cut. The 34 and 89 EMA lines show that the upward trend is still intact, though a short-term correction is possible. Key support levels lie at 2,501 USD and 2,521 USD, where investors may find buying opportunities. Gold could rise to the 1.618 level, where it will face psychological resistance before continuing upward towards the next target at 2.618.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Romio_pro
4
Gold Prices May Rise Due to Lower CPI, Support Near 2,500 USDTTonight, the CPI data will be released and is expected to be lower than the previous reading, which could lead to a significant rise in gold prices. The chart shows gold in a short-term uptrend, with prices breaking above the 20 SMA and other moving averages, reinforcing short-term buy signals. Bollinger Bands are expanding, indicating increased market volatility, and the price is moving within the upper band, showing strong buying pressure. The RSI at 63.57 signals a rising market, but it's approaching the overbought zone. If the RSI exceeds 70, it may suggest a short-term correction. Given the current trend, the recommended strategy is to buy when the price pulls back to the key support level around 2,500 USDT. The potential target for the next price increase is 2,545 USDT.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Romio_pro
1
XAUUSD: Breaking the Resistance Zone!Gold prices are currently fluctuating within a clear resistance and support range. At present, the price is positioned between the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, indicating a tug-of-war in the trend. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA are converging, signaling a potential trend breakout as the price moves out of this range. The key resistance level is around 2,525, a zone where prices have previously been rejected, indicating strong selling pressure. There are two main support levels: one near 2,470 (Support 1) and another closer at 2,489 (Support 2). The price has tested Support 2 once and is showing signs of retesting it. If the price holds above the 2,489 support level and shows signs of a rebound, it may retest the resistance zone at 2,523.48. If this level is breached, the next target could be 2,538.21. Trading Strategy: Wait for clear signals from price action as it reaches the critical resistance and support zones. If the price breaks out of these zones, consider trading in the direction of the new trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Romio_pro
CANFINHOME - The Ascending Triangle PatternCan Fin Homes Ltd has recently exhibited a notable range-bound movement, forming an ascending triangle pattern that highlights its price consolidation phase. The stock oscillated between key price levels, with a significant high of 938 on July 1st and a low of 680 on June 4th, before peaking at 909.80 on July 25th. This range-bound behavior reflects a period of accumulation and steady buying pressure, as the price repeatedly tests the horizontal resistance while respecting the upward-sloping support line. This consolidation phase is crucial as it sets the stage for a potential breakout, indicating that the stock is gearing up for a significant directional move. The pattern suggests that investors are increasingly optimistic, with the price confined within these key levels, paving the way for future volatility and trading opportunities. In this analysis, we will explore three key trading strategies for CANFINHOME based on the recent ascending triangle pattern. First, we will examine the Breakout Strategy, which capitalizes on the price movement once it surpasses key resistance levels. Next, we will discuss the Pullback Strategy, focusing on entering trades during price retracements to the breakout level. Finally, we will consider the Breakdown Strategy, which prepares for a potential bearish reversal if the price falls below critical support levels. Each strategy will be detailed with entry points, stop losses, and targets to help you make informed trading decisions. In this analysis, we will explore three key trading strategies for CANFINHOME based on the recent ascending triangle pattern. First, we will examine the Breakout Strategy, which capitalizes on the price movement once it surpasses key resistance levels. Next, we will discuss the Pullback Strategy, focusing on entering trades during price retracements to the breakout level. Finally, we will consider the Breakdown Strategy, which prepares for a potential bearish reversal if the price falls below critical support levels. Each strategy will be detailed with entry points, stop losses, and targets to help you make informed trading decisions. Breakout Strategy: Entry Point: For an optimal entry, consider buying above 914 as an early signal or above 938 for a regular entry. This indicates a confirmed breakout from the ascending triangle pattern, signaling strong bullish momentum. Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below the support level of 838. This precautionary measure helps safeguard against potential reversals or false breakouts. Target: Set your price target around 1196. This level is calculated by adding the vertical height of the triangle to the breakout point, reflecting the expected upward movement based on the pattern. Rationale: Entering at 914 or 938 allows you to capitalize on the upward potential following the breakout. With a stop loss at 838, you manage risk effectively. The target of 1196 aligns with the pattern’s projection, maximizing your profit potential. Pullback Strategy: Entry Point: Look for a buying opportunity during a pullback to the breakout level around 914 or the support level of 903.85. This approach leverages a temporary price retracement to secure a more advantageous entry. Stop Loss: Position the stop loss below the support level of 838 to mitigate risk in case the pullback evolves into a deeper correction. Target: Maintain the target at approximately 1196, consistent with the breakout strategy. Rationale: The pullback strategy offers a chance to enter at a better price while confirming the validity of the breakout. The stop loss below 838 provides protection against significant losses, and the target of 1196 remains aligned with the anticipated price movement. Breakdown Strategy: Entry Point: If the price drops below the key support level of 838, consider this a breakdown of the ascending triangle pattern. This shift indicates a bearish reversal and a potential shift in market sentiment. Stop Loss: Set the stop loss above the support level of 838 to prevent substantial losses if the breakdown proves to be a false signal. Target: For a breakdown scenario, the target will need to be adjusted based on new technical analysis of lower support levels. Immediate downside targets should be reevaluated as the situation unfolds. Rationale: The breakdown strategy addresses the possibility of a bearish reversal when the support level is breached. The stop loss above 838 helps limit potential losses, while the target will depend on further analysis of the emerging support levels. Conclusion : The ascending triangle pattern for Can Fin Homes Ltd indicates a bullish outlook with a potential price target of 1196 if the breakout is confirmed. The breakout strategy aims to capture the upward trend, while the pullback strategy provides an opportunity to enter during a retracement. Conversely, the breakdown strategy prepares for a potential bearish scenario if the support level is breached. Each strategy includes specific entry points, stop losses, and targets, offering a comprehensive approach to trading based on the pattern’s analysis. Disclaimer : The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading and investing in the stock market involve risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author and the publisher are not responsible for any losses or damages that may occur as a result of using the information provided in this article. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. *** Hint*** Use a buffer at entry to avoid false breakout
NSE:CANFINHOMELong
by ruelfernandes
YATHARTH - Ichimoku Breakout📈 Stock Name - Yatharth Hospital & Trauma Care Services Ltd 🌐 Ichimoku Cloud Setup: 1️⃣ Today's close is above the Conversion Line. 2️⃣ Future Kumo is Turning Bullish. 3️⃣ Chikou span is slanting upwards. All these parameters are shouting BULLISH at the Current Market Price and even more bullishness anticipated AFTER crossing 570. 🚨Disclaimer: This is not a Buy or Sell recommendation. It's for educational purposes and a guiding light to learn trading in the market. #CloudTrading #IchimokuCloud #IchimokuFollowers #Ichimokuexpert Excited about this analysis? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👍 Like, Share, and Subscribe for daily market insights! 🚀 #StockAnalysis #MarketWatch #TradingEducation #ichimoku #midcap #smallcap #largecap #YATHARTH
NSE:YATHARTHLong
by nikunjbhadja
XAUUSD Awaits Break of $2,530 Resistance Under CPI PressureXAUUSD is in a mild uptrend, trading around $2,517 with a key resistance level at $2,530. If the price breaks above this level, the uptrend could continue. However, failure to breach it may lead to a correction toward the $2,501 support level. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are still supporting the current uptrend, but if the price falls below them, a downtrend might resume. U.S. economic news, especially the CPI report, will heavily impact gold prices, as a higher-than-expected inflation rate could strengthen the USD, putting downward pressure on XAUUSD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Romio_pro
EURUSD: Bears Eye 1.0980 as ECB Interest Rate Decision LoomsEURUSD prints its first daily gain in five days as traders recover from a month-long low, preparing for the European Central Bank's (ECB) upcoming policy announcements. Despite the recent slowing of US inflation and speculation about possible significant rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve in late 2024, the Euro bulls remain cautious due to the ECB's dovish stance and economic concerns in the Eurozone. EURUSD sellers keep control Even though the Euro is recovering before the key event, the overall bearish outlook for the pair remains intact. It continues to show weakness with the 20-EMA breakdown early in the week, bearish MACD signals, and a steady RSI (14) line. Key technical levels to watch Among the key technical levels, sellers are particularly focused on the convergence of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a previous resistance line around 1.0980. Following that, an ascending support line from late June near 1.0900 is also important to monitor. If the price remains below 1.0900, it could drop further to the previous monthly low around 1.0790. On the other hand, for EURUSD buyers to regain control, they need to see the price break above the 21-day EMA at around 1.1050 and a falling resistance line at about 1.1070. Additionally, a hawkish rate cut from the ECB would support this move. If the price manages to rise past 1.1070, it could test the monthly high of 1.1155 and the yearly peak around 1.1200. Downside bias gains acceptance Looking ahead, there's uncertainty about the ECB’s upcoming rate decision. Some traders anticipate a 0.50% cut, while most expect a smaller 0.25% reduction. If the ECB surprises the market with a more aggressive or unexpected rate move, it could lead to significant volatility. Therefore, EURUSD traders should hold off on new trades until the ECB's decision is announced. They should set a stop-loss to manage their risk if they are currently holding short positions.
by MTradingGlobal
EURJPY Declines, Watch 157.1 and 155.3The EURJPY chart shows a clear downtrend, with the price trading below the EMA 34 and EMA 89, confirming strong selling pressure. The key resistance is identified around 157.100 USDT. If the price fails to break this level, it is likely to retest the support zone at 155.321 USDT. The downtrend is expected to continue unless there is a reversal. The market is also significantly influenced by the interest rate decisions from the ECB and BOJ, which will be crucial in determining EURJPY's direction in the near future.
Short
by Romio_pro
AUDUSD Declines, Watch 0.6640 and 0.6690The current AUDUSD chart shows a short-term downtrend as the price trades below the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating that selling pressure remains dominant. The key support level is at 0.6640 USDT, while the nearest resistance is at 0.6690 USDT. The price is expected to correct towards the support before potentially rebounding, but failure to break resistance may result in a retest of the support level. The market is also heavily influenced by factors such as the Fed's interest rate decisions and economic data from Australia, which could cause significant short-term volatility.
Long
by Romio_pro
USDJPY Ranging 142-144 Ahead of U.S. CPIOn the 3-hour timeframe of the USDJPY pair, the price is moving within a range between the support level of 142 and the resistance level near 144. Closest support: 142. This is a key support level, and if it breaks, a sharp decline to lower levels could follow. Key resistance: 144. If the price surpasses this level, a short-term bullish trend may be triggered. Traders can sell when the price touches the 143 resistance or breaks the 142 support, targeting the lower support levels of 142.500 and 141.800. Investors are awaiting tomorrow's U.S. CPI report. A higher-than-expected CPI could boost the USD, aiding USDJPY recovery, while a lower CPI would pressure the USD, causing further declines in USDJPY.
Short
by Romio_pro
GBPUSD: Sellers need confirmation from 1.3050 and UK/US dataGBP/USD remains flat at its lowest level in three weeks, ending a two-day losing streak. As traders await crucial economic data from the UK and the US, the Pound Sterling is testing a resistance level from late December 2023, which is now providing immediate support. GBPUSD bears flex muscles… Despite a long-standing resistance-turned-support line and upcoming data challenges, recent technical signals suggest further declines. Monday’s close below the 20-day moving average (SMA) and bearish MACD signals indicate potential further downside. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is not yet oversold, keeping sellers hopeful. Technical levels to watch… Firstly, the resistance-turned-support line surrounding 1.3050 restricts the GBPUSD pair’s immediate downside. Following that, the quote’s quick decline to the 1.3000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. However, March’s peak of around 1.2890 and the 1.2800 round figure will precede the 200-SMA level of 1.2720 to challenge the Cable bears afterward. For buyers, a positive shift in UK data and a daily close above the 20-SMA at 1.3090 are needed to consider entering. Even so, a slew of resistances near 1.3150 and 1.3180 could test the pair’s following advances ahead of directing the bulls toward the recent peak surrounding 1.3265 and then to the 1.3300 threshold. Consolidation expected… Overall, the GBP/USD may see further declines if the economic data from the UK remains weak and US inflation data improves, unless the upcoming reports provide an unexpected boost.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD 1.1032: Resistance at 1.1300, Pressure from ECB & FEDEURUSD is currently fluctuating around the support level of 1.10320, where it has bounced several times. If this level holds, the price could rise towards the resistance level of 1.1300. The RSI is at 39.81, indicating strong selling pressure, but potential buying interest may emerge at this support. The short-term downtrend remains intact as the price is below both the EMA 34 and EMA 89. In terms of news, the ECB is expected to adjust its monetary policy this week to tackle high inflation in the Eurozone. Meanwhile, the USD is strengthening due to expectations that the FED will continue its tight monetary stance. These factors from the ECB and FED will significantly impact EURUSD’s next moves.
Long
by Romio_pro
EURUSD Awaits Nonfarm, Potential for Price IncreaseNonfarm Payrolls data and U.S. labor statistics have a strong impact on the USD and EURUSD trend. If the data is unfavorable, EURUSD may see a price increase. On the chart, EURUSD is fluctuating around 1.11077 after reaching resistance near 1.11500. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are supporting the short-term upward trend, indicating that the price may continue to rise after the current adjustment. EURUSD could make a slight correction to 1.10760 before rising again. If support holds and economic news is favorable, the next target is 1.11389.
Long
by Romio_pro
1
GBPUSD: Resistance at 1.32225, Strong Support at 1.30969The chart shows GBPUSD facing strong resistance at 1.32225, tested multiple times but not yet broken, as indicated by the red arrows. Both EMA 34 and EMA 89 confirm that the long-term uptrend remains intact, despite the price temporarily correcting towards the support zone. The two key support levels are Support 1 at 1.30969 and Support 2 at 1.31182, with price responding well, showing strong buying pressure. GBPUSD is likely to fluctuate within the range of 1.3050 - 1.3250 before a clearer trend emerges. If it breaks above the 1.32225 resistance, the pair could continue to rise. The slight decrease in the UK's GDP may put short-term pressure on the GBP. However, the Bank of England (BoE) potentially raising interest rates adds uncertainty and volatility to the GBPUSD pair.
Long
by Romio_pro
EURUSD Faces Resistance, Downtrend ContinuesThe price is fluctuating around the EMA lines, with the EMA 34 above the EMA 89, signaling a short-term recovery but not strong enough to break the main downtrend. A strong support level at 1.10300 has previously caused the price to bounce back. This is also the level that may be revisited if the downtrend continues. The 1.1158 zone is a strong resistance. If the price fails to break through this area, the downtrend is likely to persist. The RSI is at a neutral level, near 50, indicating that the market is balanced, with no signs of being overbought or oversold. EURUSD could continue to decline towards the support level before retesting the resistance. If it fails to break the resistance, the downtrend may continue in the near future.
Short
by Romio_pro
1
USDJPY Tests 143 USD Resistance, Sell Opportunity AheadThe market is influenced by the monetary policies of the Bank of Japan and the Fed, along with U.S. interest rate updates and global economic conditions, continuing to cause volatility for this currency pair. On the 4-hour USDJPY chart, the price is trending downwards, moving below both the EMA and SMA 20, signaling strong selling pressure. The resistance near 143 USD has been tested several times but remains unbroken, indicating strong selling forces at this level. If the price fails to break the 143 USD resistance, USDJPY is likely to continue its downward movement, heading toward the 140 USD level. This could present a potential selling opportunity if the downtrend persists.
Short
by Romio_pro
USDJPY: "Death Cross" makes sellers optimisticUSDJPY ends a four-day decline and rebounds from its lowest point in a month as traders start the US inflation week with mixed feelings, especially after a disappointing employment report on Friday. Sellers are in control Despite the brief pause to recover from an ascending support line from late December 2023, the "Death Cross" on the moving averages and a possible bearish cross on the MACD suggest that sellers remain dominant. Technical levels to watch Given that the RSI is nearly oversold and the market is adjusting its previous movements, USDJPY might continue its recent recovery towards a resistance zone from a month ago, around 143.45-60. After that, a downward-sloping resistance line from early August, near 146.60, will challenge buyers before they can take full control. If they succeed, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from July 2023 to 2024, around 149.60, and the 200-SMA level at 151.05 could attract more buying interest. On the other hand, sellers might look for a daily close below a long-term rising support line, around 141.90. They should also watch for the late 2023 low around 140.25 and the 140.00 level, which could provide additional support before aiming for the mid-2023 low of 137.25. What next? The USDJPY pair might see a rebound as the market consolidates before the important US inflation data is released on Thursday. However, the bearish trend will continue unless the price stays below the 200-SMA.
by MTradingGlobal
UPL | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice. The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown. 👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈 Price Action Analysis And this is the accumulation stage - 1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move. - Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. 2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. - Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests. 3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline. - A wave of buying easily pushes prices up. - The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation. 4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand. - If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. - It is common to have multiple STs after an SC. 5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. 6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS. 7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume. All the phases of accumulation stage- Phase A: Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend. -- Up to this point, supply has been dominant. -- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC). -- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC. -- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation. -- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above. Phase B: -- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend -- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup. --There are usually multiple STs during Phase B' -- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range. --Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume. Phase C: -- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply. -- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears). -- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position. -- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis. Phase D: --During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top --LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions. Phase E: --large operators can occur at any point in Phase E. --These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets. -------------------------------------------------- Regards, Revive Traders ------------------------------------------------ Guys check out the related POST as well, it went FANTASTIC ! 🙏FOLLOW for more ! 👍LIKE if U find it useful ! ✍COMMENT your views & feedback !
NSE:UPLEducation
by ReviveTraders
2
EUR/USD Near 1.11400 Resistance: Breakout or Pullback?The chart shows an upward trendline with EUR/USD approaching the key resistance level of 1.11400, where selling pressure may arise if the price fails to break through. The crucial support currently lies around 1.10500, a level to which the price might retreat if it fails to surpass the resistance. EUR/USD is testing this resistance zone, with the potential for a breakout if buying pressure strengthens. Otherwise, the price is likely to retest the rising trendline.
Short
by Romio_pro
Gold Sideways: Waiting for a Breakout to Determine the Next TrenGold is currently trading sideways between resistance at 2,530 and support at 2,480, awaiting a breakout to determine the next trend. EMA 34: Acting as near-term support, indicating a short-term uptrend. If the price falls below EMA 34, selling pressure could increase. EMA 89 provides medium-term support; maintaining the price above EMA 89 will support the uptrend. Traders should look for confirmation signals from a breakout model. A price move beyond the resistance or support levels will signal a clear trading opportunity. Whales are trading large volumes, creating strong volatility and potentially causing unexpected gold price increases.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Romio_pro