XAUUSD – FIBO MATRIX Trading Plan | Key Levels for TodayMarket Snapshot
Gold is attracting steady buying interest as dovish Fed expectations keep the USD capped near 3-week highs.
At the same time, geopolitical tensions and tariff concerns add to safe-haven demand.
Focus now shifts to US PCE inflation data, which could trigger the next big move.
📍 Important Price Zones (M30)
🔴 SELL Reaction Zones
3767 – 377x → Major rejection area (Fibo 0.786).
3810 – 3817 → Strong SELL zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618).
🟢 BUY Support Zones
3725 → First support zone.
3690 – 3695 → Deep pullback support (Fibo confluence).
🎯 Trading Ideas
1️⃣ SELL Setup
Entry: 3767 – 377x (if rejection signal shows).
Targets: 3750 → 3725.
SL: Above 3778.
2️⃣ BUY Setup
Entry: 3725 with bullish confirmation.
Targets: 3760 → 377x.
SL: Below 3715.
3️⃣ Deep BUY Opportunity
Entry: 3690 – 3695 zone.
Targets: 3725 → 3760.
SL: Below 3685.
⚡ Trading Insights
Respect the Fibo reaction levels for clean entries.
Risk range: 6–8 USD to avoid stop hunts.
Book profits in steps: 1R → 2R → 3R for strong RR balance.
💬 Community Talk
Do you see gold breaking above 3770 first, or dropping to 3725/3695 before bouncing back? Share your chart view 👇
Technicalindicators
STEVEN XAUUSD – Buy Scenario Aligned with the TrendTechnical Analysis
Gold continues its strong upward trend after breaking out from the previous accumulation zone. Currently, the price has tested the 3,742–3,744 range and is showing signs of pausing for a short-term correction.
The EMA200 H1 (3,662) remains upward sloping, confirming that the main uptrend is intact.
Fibonacci Retracement for the latest upward move:
The 0.786 level (3,738) coincides with the Volume Profile area – this is the first support for the short-term buy scenario.
The 0.618 level (3,707) coincides with the old resistance now turned support – a strong confluence, suitable for finding the main Buy point.
The RSI (14) is around 63–65, not yet in the overbought zone, indicating there is still room for an increase.
Trading Scenario
Buy aligned with the trend
Entry 1: 3,738–3,740
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,750 – 3,760
Entry 2: 3,707–3,710
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,738 – 3,760 – 3,780
Price Levels to Watch
3,742–3,744: short-term resistance, may cause adjustments.
3,738–3,740: nearby support, suitable for quick Buy.
3,707–3,710: strong support, important Buy zone.
3,780–3,785: extended resistance, target of the upward trend.
This is a reference scenario, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and scenarios in upcoming sessions.
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves forming on H4 chart, clear correction signaHello Trader,
On the H4 chart, gold is forming a quite standard Wolfe Waves pattern. The 5th wave has completed, and the price is moving into the crucial resistance zone of 3760 – 3770, which is also a potential Sell Zone. Given the current structure, the preferred scenario is a short-term downward correction before the main trend resumes.
Technical Analysis
The price has touched the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension and reacted with a decline, indicating profit-taking pressure.
The MACD still shows the previous buying force was quite strong, but the histogram is starting to weaken, aligning with the possibility of a correction wave emerging.
Area 3760 – 3770: a critical resistance zone, also coinciding with the 5th wave line of Wolfe Waves.
Trading Scenario
Sell order according to Wolfe Waves
Entry: 3760 – 3770
SL: 3782 (above resistance zone)
TP: 3710 -3660 -3610 – 3620 (key level Wolfe target)
Sell when price confirms below trendline
Entry 3727-3730
sl 3735
tp 3715-3700-3686-3665
Short-term Buy Scalping
Entry: 3705 – 3708
SL: 3700
TP: 3720-3730 – 3745- 3766
Note: This is just a short-term retracement strategy, going against the correction, so risk management is crucial.
Conclusion
Short-term: Prioritise observing reversal signals at 3760 – 3770 to Sell.
Medium-term: Wait for Buy opportunities around 3564 – 3574 to align with the main trend.
The market is entering a distribution and correction phase, so patiently waiting for candle confirmations at key zones will be key to optimising entry.
This is the Wolfe Waves scenario I propose for gold during this period. You can refer to and adjust according to your own strategy.
Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes.
XAUUSD – Strategic Selling Zone and Detailed Trading ScenarioTechnical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is experiencing a strong upward trend and has now reached the Fibonacci extension zone of 1.618 – 2.618, a region often associated with profit-taking and short-term distribution.
Sell Zone Fibo 2.618 (3,730–3,735): The first potential supply area, if a bearish confirmation candle appears on H1/H4, a corrective phase is likely to commence.
Sell Zone Swing (3,745–3,750): A strong supply zone confluencing with multiple Fibonacci extensions, posing a higher reversal risk.
Short-term Buy Zone (3,690–3,700): An intermediate support area after breaking the previous peak, suitable for short-term buy orders if the price retests and confirms.
Buy Swing (3,645–3,650): The main support zone, confluencing with EMA200 H1 and an old trendline, considered a 'safe buying point' if a deep correction occurs.
The RSI (14) is currently at 77, indicating that the price has entered the overbought territory. Historically, whenever the RSI exceeds 75, a significant correction follows. This serves as a warning signal for traders to consider gradually taking profits on short-term Buy positions and preparing for Sell or Buy scenarios at lower price levels.
Trading Scenario
Scenario 1 – Sell at Supply Zone:
Entry: 3,732–3,735 (Fibo 2.618) or extend to 3,745–3,750 (Sell Zone Swing)
SL: above 3,740
TP1: 3,707
TP2: 3,690–3,700 (Buy Zone)
TP3: 3,661
TP4: 3,645
Scenario 2 – Short-term Buy (regression scalping):
Entry: 3,670–3,700 (after H1 confirmation candle)
SL: below 3,690
TP1: 3,718
TP2: 3,730
Scenario 3 – Long-term Buy Swing:
Entry: 3,645–3,648 (EMA200 + main support zone)
SL: below 3,640
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,707
TP3: 3,730
Price Levels to Watch
3,730–3,750: The strongest current supply zone, suitable for a Sell scenario based on Fibonacci extensions.
3,690–3,700: Short-term Buy Zone, a crucial retest area to confirm the trend.
3,661: An intermediate level, if breached, could lead to a decline towards EMA200.
3,645: Potential Buy Swing, the main support of the upward structure.
Overall Assessment
The main trend on H1 remains upward; however, the current price level has entered the overbought zone, indicating a likely correction towards support before continuing the trend.
The most suitable strategy at this time: Monitor for short-term Sell opportunities at the supply zone – take profits at the support zone, then wait for Buy Swing at lower levels to follow the main trend.
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan
Hello Traders,
Gold opened the Asian session holding its price structure firmly. The 3708 level will be the key pivot today:
If price sustains above this level, the next upside targets are 3750 and possibly 3780.
If price reacts lower at 3708 resistance, then 3650 or even 355x could be the zones to watch for buying opportunities.
Fundamental Context
Last week’s correction was triggered by comments from the Fed Chair on interest rate policy. The Fed does not intend to cut rates too frequently, and this week’s PCE data will play a decisive role in shaping the outlook.
Trading Strategy for Today
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3653
SL: 3645
TP: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725
Sell Setup 1
Entry: 3700 – 3703
SL: 3708
TP: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633
Sell Setup 2
Entry: 3738 – 3740
SL: 3746
TP: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650
Summary
The preferred bias for today is to look for buy opportunities on dips, in line with the broader uptrend.
Follow me to receive the latest updates as soon as market structure changes
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Sell XAU/USD now at 3688.00 level and take a stop loss of 3703.00 and the targets will be as follows.
Entry range 3691.00 to 3687.00
Take Profit 1 = 3673.00
Take Profit 2 = 3665.00
Take Profit 3 = 3655.00
Take Profit 4 = 3645.00
Stock Loss 3703.00
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point.
Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3.
Conclusion
Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
XAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & ShouldersXAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & Shoulders: Two Key Levels 3657 / 3627
Hello Traders,
Gold opened the week with a bounce of over 20 points from the rising trendline and is now consolidating within a Pennant, which aligns with a small Head & Shoulders structure on the H1 chart. At the moment, the market is waiting for a breakout and confirmation to establish a clearer direction.
Pattern: A narrowing Pennant Flag alongside an H&S (left shoulder – head – right shoulder).
Key Zones to Watch
3655–3660: Crucial reaction zone (trendline + Pennant top).
3627: Critical support — a break below would invalidate the short-term bullish structure.
Fibonacci Levels:
1.618 in the mid-range, 2.618 lower — possible targets for a deeper correction.
MACD (12,26,9): Histogram has turned negative → short-term bearish momentum has the edge, though clear confirmation is still pending.
Trading Scenarios
Bullish Setup
Entry: Retest around 3654–3657
Targets: 3663 – 3670 – 3680 → 3695
Stop: Below 3648
Bearish Setup
Entry: Sell directly on breakdown, or wait for a retest near 3671–3674
Targets: 3663 – 3650 – 3633 – 3615 → 3595 → 3568 → 3540
Stop: Above 3679
the market is currently pricing in near certainty of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17th September, while the probability of a 0.50% cut still remains on the table.
If you find this analysis helpful, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I’ll update the outlook as soon as the price structure changes — follow me to get the latest setups first.
Bullish Cup & Handle – A Powerful Continuation Chart Pattern🔹 Intro / Overview
☕ The Cup and Handle is a 📈 bullish continuation pattern often studied in technical analysis.
⚔️ It forms when there is a fight between bulls 🐂 and bears 🐻 — the Cup develops as both remain strong.
📉 During the Handle, sellers 🛑 temporarily gain strength.
📈 But when price closes above the Validation Line, buyers regain control 💪 and bullish momentum dominates.
____________________________________________________________
📖 How to Identify
✅ Validation → The pattern is valid if price closes above the Validation Line.
❌ Devalidation → The pattern is invalid if price closes below the Devalidation Line(before Validation).
📉 Retracement Rule →The pattern is only confirmed if the price closes below the Retracement Line during the Handle formation.
This ensures a proper pullback forms before breakout .
____________________________________________________________
📖 Key Points of Pattern
✅ A valid Cup requires the retracement condition — confirmation occurs only if price closes below the Retracement Line .
⚖️ Balanced Highs → Point A (left peak) and Point C (right peak) should be relatively close in price, ensuring a proper Cup shape 🍵.
🔒 The Handle must not break the structural integrity of the Cup.(No Close Below Devalidation Lines)
____________________________________________________________
🎯 Trading Plan (Educational Only)
📌 Entry → Considered only after confirmation when price closes above the Validation Line.
🛡️ Stop-Loss (SL) → After validation, the Devalidation Line may act as an SL.
🎯 Target (TP) →
First Target → 1R (equal to the risk defined by Entry–SL distance).
Remaining Lots → Trail using ATR, Fibonacci levels, Box Trailing, or structure-based stops.
____________________________________________________________
📊 Chart Explanation
🍵 The Cup forms with a rounded base Point B and two balanced tops: Point A (left peak) & Point C (right peak) - The marginal price difference should be small to ensure a reliable Cup.
📈 The Retracement Line ( Point D ) confirms the pattern only if price closes below the Fibonacci Level of 78.60% and above the 50.00% .
📉 The Handle develops as price pulls back, with Point E marking the Handle low. and Good Handle of Cup is Formed (this low should not go below 50.00% Level )
📏 The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from Point B (Cup base) to Point C (right peak). These levels provide a reference framework to observe Retracement (minimum 78.60%) , Validation (100.00%) , and Devalidation (50.00%) areas for educational study of the structure.
____________________________________________________________
👀 Observations
✨ Works best after a strong uptrend 🚀 or at major support–resistance zones 🧱.
⚖️ A balanced Cup (Top Right ≈ Top Left) improves reliability.
📏 Handle Formation
The Handle should be shorter than the Cup depth — and should also be longer than the required minimum depth for proper structure.
If the Handle is too deep, it weakens the setup — and also if it is too short, the formation loses reliability.
____________________________________________________________
❗ Why It Matters
🔍 Shows the market battle between buyers and sellers.
💪 Highlights how buyers regain dominance after retracement validation.
⚖️ Balanced structure + strict rules = better filtering of weak setups.
📝 Provides clarity on entry, SL, and TP with a structured framework.
____________________________________________________________
🎯 Conclusion
The Cup and Handle pattern, when validated through Fibonacci retracement rules 📉, balanced highs ⚖️, and proper Handle structure 🔒, offers a disciplined framework for studying bullish continuation setups.
🔥 Patterns don’t predict. Rules protect.
____________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
BTC/USD Supply Zone Rejection SetupThis BTC/USD 30-min chart shows price climbing within a rising channel toward a POI Supply Zone (114,201 – 114,940 USD). The market is respecting both the support line and rejection line while trading above the EMA 70 (111,733) and EMA 200 (112,102), indicating bullish momentum in the short term.
Key Analysis Using Strategies:
Trend/EMA Strategy: Price is above both EMAs, signaling bullish continuation until the supply zone.
Channel Strategy: Price is moving inside an ascending channel; upper channel resistance aligns with the supply zone, suggesting potential reversal.
Supply & Demand: Strong supply zone at 114,201–114,940 is the key resistance area to watch for rejection.
Price Action: After breakout from EMA and minor consolidation, price shows bullish structure with higher highs and lows.
Risk Management: Possible short entry at supply zone (114,201–114,940) with stop-loss above 114,940, and targets near 112,100 and 109,000.
📌 Summary: Short-term bullish toward supply zone, but a potential bearish reversal setup forms at 114,201–114,940 if rejection occurs, with downside targets around 112,100 → 109,000.
USOIL Bearish Reversal & Selling OpportunityUSOIL (WTI Crude Oil) – Bearish Setup Analysis
The chart shows a clear bearish structure with multiple confirmations:
Trendline Rejection & Break: Price rejected from the upper rejection line and later broke the rising trendline, confirming bearish momentum.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Selling Zone: Price retested the imbalance zone (63.53–63.94), creating a strong selling opportunity.
EMA Confluence: Both the 70 EMA and 200 EMA are above the price, acting as dynamic resistance, supporting bearish bias.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): Breakdown of higher lows signals shift to bearish structure.
Target: Downside continuation expected towards 61.65, the next liquidity and support zone.
Stop Loss: Above 63.94 (selling zone invalidation).
📉 Strategy: Look for sell entries around 63.53–63.94 zone, with target at 61.65 and stop loss above 63.94.
EUR/USD Buy Setup from Support Zone towards 1.1743 TargetEUR/USD 2H Chart Analysis
The chart shows EUR/USD trading within a rising channel, with the price currently retesting the support zone (1.1600–1.1620).
Trend & Structure: Price has been respecting channel support and resistance. Currently, it bounced off the lower boundary of the channel, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
Support & Resistance: Strong support at 1.1600 zone, resistance/target at 1.1743.
Moving Averages: EMA 70 (1.1655) and EMA 200 (1.1648) are near, acting as dynamic resistance. A bullish break above them confirms upside continuation.
Candlestick & Momentum: Long wicks near support indicate buyer interest, suggesting accumulation before reversal.
Risk Management: Stop loss should be placed just below 1.1580 (last swing low).
✅ BUY Setup: From 1.1600–1.1620 support zone, targeting 1.1743 with stop loss below 1.1580.
📊 Strategies Used: Trendline channel, EMA confirmation, support/resistance, candlestick patterns, and risk-reward setup.
USD/JPY Bullish Continuation Towards 149.00This USD/JPY (1H) chart shows a bullish setup:
Price is respecting the ascending channel (support & rejection lines).
Currently, price is near the FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone between 147.257 – 147.526, suggesting a possible retracement before continuation upward.
Both EMA 70 & EMA 200 are aligned closely, acting as dynamic support.
A long entry is expected from the FVG zone with a target point at 148.975 – 149.002.
Stop-loss lies below the FVG around 147.251.
👉 Overall bias: Bullish continuation towards 149.00 after filling the FVG.
BTC/USD Bearish Retest Setup – Eye on 106.6K TargetTrend: BTC is in a downtrend channel (rejection line above, support line below).
EMA Signals: Price is trading below EMA 70 & EMA 200 → bearish bias remains strong.
Supply & Demand:
Support zone: around 112,000 – 112,500 (price just bounced).
RBR Supply zone: 114,300 – 116,000 where sellers are likely waiting.
📊 Strategies in play
Support–Resistance: Bounce at support, retest expected at supply zone.
EMA Strategy: Bearish since candles trade under 200 EMA.
Break & Retest: Price could retest supply before resuming drop.
Target Projection: If rejection at supply holds, target = 106,600 zone (chart target point).
⚖️ Risks
A clean break above 116,000 would invalidate bearish setup and open room for reversal.
Range trading possible between 112k–116k before breakout.
✅ Summary: BTC short-term bias remains bearish. Expect retest of 114.3k–116k supply before continuation lower toward 106.6k target. Only a strong breakout above 116k flips the trend bullish.
XAU/USD – Bullish Breakout: Buy Dips Toward $3,409 Target📊 XAU/USD (Gold) – 2H Analysis
Gold has just broken out of its descending channel, showing a clear change of character (CHOH) around the $3,348–$3,358 support zone. This breakout suggests bullish momentum is taking control after weeks of compression.
Key Observations:
✅ Support Zone: $3,348–$3,358 is now a strong demand zone (previous rejection area flipped to support).
✅ Moving Averages: Price is above both the EMA 70 ($3,342) and EMA 200 ($3,346), strengthening the bullish bias.
✅ Projection: A potential continuation rally toward $3,409 (major liquidity target).
⚠️ Risk: If the support zone fails, price could re-test $3,334 or even $3,326.
Trading Plan (Short-Term):
Entry (Buy): Around $3,358–$3,348 (support retest).
Stop Loss: Below $3,342 (under EMAs).
Target 1: $3,390
Target 2: $3,409
👉 In summary: Gold is in a bullish reversal phase, and buying dips into the support zone offers the best risk-reward setup.
EUR/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone – Target 1.15392📉 EUR/USD 1H Chart Analysis
Trend: The chart is showing a clear bearish trend inside a descending channel (support & rejection lines). Price continues to respect this downward structure.
Resistance Zone: A strong supply/resistance area is marked at 1.16148 – 1.16307 (highlighted in pink). Sellers are likely to defend this zone.
Indicators:
Price is trading below the 70 EMA and 200 EMA, confirming bearish momentum.
EMA crossover suggests continued downward pressure.
Price Action: Recently, a small pullback (yellow highlight) is visible after touching the lower boundary of the channel, indicating a short-term retracement before another bearish push.
Strategy:
📍 Entry: Look for short entries near the resistance zone (1.16148 – 1.16307).
⛔ Stop Loss: Above 1.16456 (previous high / EMA resistance).
🎯 Target: First target 1.15392, aligning with the projected channel support and marked demand area.
✅ Summary:
EUR/USD remains bearish as long as price stays below the EMAs and inside the descending channel. Expect rejection from the resistance zone and continuation to the downside toward 1.15392.
Gold Outlook After FOMC NewsGold Outlook After FOMC News
The recent FOMC meeting did not bring any new policy measures to support the economy. Chair Powell stated that conditions remain stable, and interest rates were kept unchanged. As a result, markets stayed quiet, with expectations now shifting towards September for potential updates.
On the charts, gold completed wave A after reacting strongly to the trendline on the daily timeframe. I expect the market to now form an ABC corrective structure, which would complete a medium-term Elliott cycle. The recent rally also broke above the descending trendline on H4, confirming that the bullish momentum could be more sustainable.
Currently, price is showing a mild pullback since the Asian session. A retracement of around 40–50% on the recent H4 candle would be a healthy move, and it could retest the broken descending trendline. If confirmed, this would establish a stronger bullish Dow structure, opening room for a longer cycle, at least until wave C completes.
The H4 chart also supports this view, with MACD averages pointing upward and trading volume showing steady growth.
Buy Zone: Around 3334 on the H4 candle, in line with the trend for holding medium- to long-term positions.
Sell Zone: Around 3365, once wave C completes and a new cycle begins.
Gold is now showing clearer technical direction. I hope this scenario helps traders align with the market trend. Wishing you all successful trades.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #MACD #CommodityTrading #FOMC
HEROMOTOCO Breakout Alert: Inverted Head & Shoulder PatternHero MotoCorp Ltd has formed a classic Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe, a strong indication of a potential bullish trend reversal. This pattern, combined with a breakout above the neckline and support from the 200 EMA, presents a high-probability long setup. This post details the trade plan, key levels, and conditions to validate or invalidate the move.
Chart Analysis Summary:
The stock closed at ₹4,535.90 with a powerful bullish candle, up by 5.20% for the day. This breakout move has occurred after months of consolidation and pattern development. The 200 EMA, which acted as dynamic resistance around ₹4,294, has now been breached with strong momentum, adding further bullish confidence.
The left shoulder of this pattern formed around November–December 2024, the head bottomed out near April 2025, and the right shoulder was developed during June–July 2025. The neckline, placed between ₹4,500 and ₹4,550, was the final resistance, which has now been broken decisively.
Trade Plan & Entry Strategy
If you’ve missed the breakout candle, don’t worry. The ideal approach now is to wait for a retest of the neckline zone, which lies around ₹4,500–₹4,550. If price comes down and finds support here, then traders should watch for bullish candlestick patterns on lower timeframes (like 1H or 4H) before entering. This ensures a high-probability entry with manageable risk.
For aggressive traders, early entries can be considered at current levels, but only with strict risk management and stop-loss placement below the neckline or the last swing low. If the retest holds and bullish momentum continues, this setup has the potential to deliver a clean rally.
Target Zones
The first target for this setup is ₹5,000, which acts as an important psychological and technical resistance. It’s a good point for partial profit booking or trailing stop adjustments. The final projected target based on the height of the pattern is ₹5,480. This level marks the completion of the measured move and can be used for full profit booking if the trend remains intact.
Risk & Invalidation Level
This setup will be considered invalid if the price drops and closes below ₹4,200, which is the base of the right shoulder. A breakdown below this support would indicate that the bullish structure has failed, and the stock may revisit lower zones.
Why This Setup is High-Quality
The Inverted Head & Shoulders is one of the most reliable reversal patterns in technical analysis. In this case, the breakout is supported by strong volume (not shown in the chart), a decisive close above the neckline, and a 200 EMA crossover, all of which provide strong technical confluence. The structure is clean, and the breakout level is clearly defined. Risk is limited and reward is substantial — a great setup for swing or positional trades.
Hero MotoCorp is showing early signs of a potential trend reversal after months of correction and consolidation. The breakout from the Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern offers a golden opportunity for traders looking for bullish setups. If the neckline retest confirms, this trade can offer a great reward-to-risk ratio targeting 5,000 and beyond. As always, patience and disciplined execution are key.
GRASIM Bullish Setup: Key AOI Levels and Reversal Trade PlanGRASIM Industries Ltd is currently forming a potential bullish reversal structure as it approaches a key structural AOI (Area of Interest) zone on the daily chart. This post outlines the complete trade setup, including price action analysis, important zones to monitor, trade plan, and conditions under which the setup could fail.
Key Observations
1. Weekly AOI – Support Zone
Range: Around ₹2,675 to ₹2,701
This green zone represents a strong weekly demand area, acting as a base for potential reversal.
Aligned with the psychological level of ₹2,700, this zone has historically acted as a strong pivot.
2. 2H Structure Shift AOI Zone
Level: ₹2,752.10
This level marks the intraday structure breakout zone on the 2-hour chart.
A successful breakout followed by a retest and bullish candlestick pattern may trigger confirmation for a long position.
Suggested lower timeframes for confirmation: 2HR, 1HR, and 30 Min.
3. Weekly AOI – Resistance Zone
Range: ₹2,875 to ₹2,925
The upside potential is capped at this resistance area, making it an ideal zone for partial or full profit booking.
Trade Plan Breakdown
Projected Move:
Price is currently hovering below the intraday structure shift.
If the price breaks above the ₹2,752 level, traders should wait for a pullback and confirmation in the form of a bullish candle on lower timeframes.
Post-confirmation, an upward move toward the weekly resistance zone is projected.
Entry Strategy
Trigger: Break and retest of the ₹2,752.10 level.
Confirmation: Bullish candlestick pattern (Pin Bar, Engulfing, or Morning Star) on 30 Min – 2HR timeframe.
Stop-Loss: Below the structure AOI or below ₹2,700.
Target 1: ₹2,875 (Near top of Weekly AOI – Resistance)
Target 2: ₹2,900+ (Aggressive target within resistance zone)
Setup Invalidation Level
If the price starts trading below ₹2,700, especially with strong bearish momentum, the setup fails.
In that case, price may revisit lower zones, and traders should refrain from taking long positions.
Technical Confluence
EMA 200 Support: Current price is significantly above the EMA 200 (₹2,618), indicating long-term bullish momentum.
Psychological Level ₹2700: Key psychological round number acting as a magnet and support.
Intraday structure shift: The break of lower timeframe structure adds strength to the setup
Risk Management Guidelines
Position Sizing: Do not risk more than 1-2% of capital per trade.
Wait for Confirmation: Avoid premature entries without bullish candlestick confirmation.
Trail Your Stop-Loss: After price moves into profit zone, trail SL to protect capital.
GRASIM Industries is showing signs of potential reversal and strength near the ₹2,700 zone. The structure shift on the 2-hour chart provides a bullish opportunity, but entry must be cautious and confirmation-based. With a solid risk-to-reward ratio, this could be a textbook breakout-retest trade if conditions align.
Greenpanel Inds cmp 320.50 by Weekly Chart viewGreenpanel Inds cmp 320.50 by Weekly Chart view
- Support Zone 277 to 298 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 325 to 345 Price Band
- Bullish Rounding Bottom with Resistance Zone neckline
- Rising Support Trendline seems well respected by price momentum
- Volumes have surged very heavily over past week by demand based buying
- 1st Falling Resistance Trendline Brake out done and 2nd Trendline Breakout attempted
- Most common Technical Indicators like BB, EMA, MACD, RSI, SAR are showing positive trend
“Still losing? It’s not your system – it’s your state of mind.”Still Losing Money? It's Not Your Strategy – It’s Your Mind That’s Failing You
Let’s be brutally honest.
Have you been repeating the same mistakes over and over… even though you know they’re wrong?
You know you shouldn’t enter trades without confirmation – but you do.
You know your stop-loss should be fixed – yet you keep moving it.
You know your mental state isn’t stable today – but you open the chart anyway and… trade again.
Don’t blame the market.
You’re not losing because it’s “manipulated.”
You’re losing because your emotions are in control – not your logic.
💣 The most dangerous mindset: Knowing it’s wrong… and still doing it
It’s not about lacking knowledge.
It’s not about having a weak strategy.
It’s about being hijacked by your own emotional reactions.
Ask yourself sincerely:
Are you trading to avoid boredom, anxiety, or emotional pain?
Do you open charts just to escape from real-life stress?
Are your trades a form of self-soothing rather than strategic action?
If yes, then it’s no longer about technical skills.
It’s about emotional management – and inner healing.
👹 Three psychological traps that silently ruin your trading every day:
1. FOMO – Fear of Missing Out
You see price running.
You see others winning.
You panic – “I cannot miss this one!”
→ You enter the trade impulsively, not logically.
FOMO means you don’t trust yourself to wait for better chances.
It’s fear-driven, not system-driven.
2. Revenge Trading – You just can’t stand losing
One loss and your ego is bruised.
You want to "get it back" instantly.
So you fight the market like it owes you something.
But the market doesn’t care.
You’re just venting your frustration – and losing even more in the process.
3. Overtrading – You tie your self-worth to every single trade
You feel valuable only when you’re placing trades.
Doing nothing feels like failure.
So you keep clicking – even without a plan.
Overtrading reflects your need to feel in control, even if it costs you your capital.
🔍 Harsh truth: You’re not losing to the market – you’re losing to your expectations
You expect to win fast.
To become rich fast.
To prove something to others – or to yourself.
And when that doesn’t happen, you spiral.
You're not really trading the charts.
You're trading your emotions.
✅ So what’s the solution?
Stop immediately when you feel emotionally unstable – no matter if you're in profit or loss.
Maintain a journal for your thoughts, not just your trades – track what you feel, not just what you did.
Ask yourself honestly:
Am I trading for profit, or to escape something?
Is this setup real, or am I afraid of missing out?
Invest in your inner self: meditation, walks, talking to a coach or mentor, resting properly.
💬 Final message:
Losing is not the problem.
Refusing to confront the real reason behind your losses – that’s the real danger.
You don’t need a new indicator.
You don’t need a magical strategy.
You need one decent system – and a calm, emotionally neutral mind to execute it.
The game is not on the screen.
It’s inside your head.
#TradingPsychologyIndia #MindsetForSuccess #FOMOTrading #RevengeTrading #OvertradingIssues
#ForexIndia #NSETrader #DisciplineInTrading #TradingStruggles #EmotionalAwareness #TradeLikeAPro
#MentalStrengthInMarkets #TradingMindsetMatters #ConsistencyInTrading
Indian Bank cmp 637.55 by Daily Chart viewIndian Bank cmp 637.55 by Daily Chart view
- Support Zone 615 to 630 Price Band
- Resistance only at ATH 658.80 price level
- Darvas Box Breakout in the making process
- Rising Support Channel has yet well sustained
- Support Zone has been tested retested well enough
- Repeated Bullish Rounding Bottoms at Support Zone neckline
- Considerate VCP pattern formed from Rising Price Channel start point
Bank Nifty spot 56528.90 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateBank Nifty spot 56528.90 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Resistance Zone seen at 56850 to 57250 and then ATH Level 57628.40
- Updated Rising Support Channel indicates Index Spot hopefully sustains
- Support Zone seen at 59550 to 56285 of Bank Nifty Index yet seems sustained
- Next fairly decent Support Zone seen at 55050 to 55450 of Bank Nifty Index Levels
- *Multiple reasons attribute for weakness and breakdown and that is how Markets show their Supremacy*
SWSolar Sterling & Wilson cmp 335.10 by Daily Chart viewSWSolar cmp 335.10 by Daily Chart view
- Support Zone 280 to 305 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 340 to 365 Price Band
- Bullish VCP Pattern completed on stock chart
- Volumes spiking heavily at regular intervals by demand based buying
- Resistance Zone Neckline Breakout maybe seen unfolding in the near future