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Fibo BUY Zone Mandatory for Trend Continuation.🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: The Bulls Are Unstoppable! Gold is the most sought-after asset as XAU/USD aims directly for the $4,300 mark and further. Primary Catalyst: Financial markets remain cautious amidst the ongoing US government shutdown. Driving Force: Widespread USD weakness—fueled by the funding battle in the US government—strengthens the bullish case for Gold. Record Strength: XAU/USD is maintaining positive upward momentum despite extreme overbought conditions. Technical Focus: In this continuous Bull market, FIBO is the paramount tool for identifying the critical pullback points to initiate BUY entries. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Our core strategy remains BUY ON DIPS at the most precise Fibo levels, leveraging the strong Parabolic structure. 1. Strategic BUY Zone (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): This is the most crucial Fibo support zone where we anticipate a high-probability pullback: 4,321.332 The REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5. This is the most vital retracement point to catch the next growth wave. 2. Sell/Take-Profit Targets (FIBO SELL TARGETS): These are the Fibo extension targets where the Longs are aiming: TP Target 1 (Extension) 4,436.179 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 1.5 - 1.618. The next immediate target for the rally. TP Target 2 (Deep Extension) 4,538.394 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 2.5 - 2.618. The long-term target if momentum remains unchecked. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Patiently wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5 at 4,321.332. Upon confirmation (H1/M30/M15 reversal candles), confidently activate the Long (BUY) entry. Targets (TP): Aim for TP Target 1 (4,436.179) and further to TP Target 2 (4,538.394). ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Warning: Given the extreme overbought conditions, always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the Fibo BUY ZONE and maintain stringent risk management! Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Completion of Wave 5Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Completion of Wave 5, Awaiting Strong ABC Correction Wave Hello trading community, Gold continues to make waves as it extends its record-breaking rally, setting a new all-time high above 4,240 USD. However, after a strong upward cycle, technical signals indicate a short-term correction (ABC Wave) is forming to gather liquidity before the uptrend resumes. 🧭 Technical Analysis (30m Chart – XAUUSD) Based on the 30-minute chart, the price structure suggests the possibility of:Completing Elliott Wave: Gold seems to have completed the 5th Impulse Wave (Elliott Wave 5), reaching the peak area near 4240 USD. ABC Wave Forming: After Wave 5, the market tends to enter a correction phase following the ABC Wave pattern. Wave A: Formed from the peak of Wave 5 to the 4200 USD area. Wave B: Currently in progress (recovering upwards). Wave C: The preferred scenario is a deeper corrective drop to the Buy Support area to gather enough liquidity for the next upward move. Liquidity Zones to Watch:Sell Resistance (Sell Scalping): Around 4240 – 4270 USD. This is the technical peak and the final resistance of the price channel, ideal for scalping sells.Buy Support: Area 4170 – 4180 USD. This is a crucial support zone where Wave C is expected to end to trigger the next upward move. 🎯 Intraday Trading Scenario (Europe & US) Today's preferred scenario is to watch for selling (Sell) to catch the corrective wave and then watch for buying (Buy) at strong support zones. 📉 Sell Scalping (Priority to sell to catch corrective Wave C) Based on the expectation that the price will complete Wave B and start Wave C down to gather liquidity.📍 Entry: 4266 – 4268 (Watch for selling at the channel peak resistance) 🛑 SL: 4275 🎯 TP: 4245 - 4222-4210.5 (Targeting the temporary support zone) 📈 Buy Swing (Following the main trend)Wait for the price to correct deeply to the important liquidity zone before rising again. 📍 Entry: 4181 – 4183 (Buy Support area – where Wave C ends) 🛑 SL: 4175 🎯 TP: 4190 - 4205 - 4233 - 4250 (Targeting a breakout of the peak) 📌 Fundamental View & Conclusion Main Driver: Gold prices remain firm near historical highs due to sustained safe-haven demand and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates in the future (long-term supportive factor).Conclusion: Gold is in a short-term technical correction phase (ABC Wave) during the European and US sessions to consolidate the foundation before continuing the uptrend. 4180 USD is an extremely important liquidity zone to trigger a new upward move. 👉 Follow me for detailed updates as the price approaches the outlined Entry zones!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold Pulls Back From All-Time High – Correction Looks Limited📊 Market Overview Gold slightly corrected from its all-time high near $4,239, showing early signs of a short-term pullback, but the overall trend remains bullish. Despite the correction, fundamental sentiment still supports Gold: 💬 US–China trade tensions and geopolitical risks continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. 💵 The US Dollar remains under pressure amid expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this year. ⚖️ Ongoing concerns about a possible US government shutdown further enhance Gold’s attractiveness. These factors suggest that the current dip is likely a healthy correction within a strong uptrend, not a reversal. 🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW Wave View) Gold has likely completed a minor Wave (V) on the M30 chart, forming a new ATH Zone near 4,239. Currently, price is unfolding a corrective A–B–C pattern, expected to find support at key liquidity zones before resuming the uptrend. Our model highlights two potential BUY setups and a short-term SELL scalp opportunity for today’s trading session. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🔵 BUY Setup 1 Zone: 4,184 – 4,182 SL: 4,178 TP: 4,188 – 4,192 – 4,196 – 4,200 – 4,210 – 4,220 – ??? 🟢 BUY Setup 2 (Deeper Retrace) Zone: 4,148 – 4,146 SL: 4,140 TP: 4,152 – 4,156 – 4,160 – 4,170 – 4,180 – 4,190 – 4,200 🔴 SELL SCALP Opportunity Zone: 4,230 – 4,234 SL: 4,238 TP: 4,220 – 4,215 – 4,210 – 4,200 – 4,190 – ??? ⚙️ MMFLOW Trading View 📈 Price is currently respecting Wave (A) of the correction. We expect a possible (B) retracement toward 4,220 – 4,230, followed by (C) decline completing near 4,147 – 4,150 (Fibo 0.618 / CP Buy Zone). From there, Smart Money may re-enter long positions targeting a fresh liquidity sweep toward the 4,285 SELL ZONE. In short: The uptrend remains intact, only a short-term correction is unfolding. Patience is key — best opportunities will likely appear around 4,150 – 4,180 range. The structure aligns perfectly with both technical confluence (Elliott + Liquidity Zones) and macro sentiment. If the market holds above 4,140, Gold could aim for new highs toward 4,285 – 4,300 in the next few sessions. However, traders should: ✅ Always use Stop Loss — volatility is high near record highs. ✅ Avoid overtrading in narrow pullback zones. ✅ Focus on reaction at key liquidity levels before entering. ⚡️ Summary Gold remains technically bullish with limited downside correction. Watch for price reaction around 4,184 and 4,147 — both zones represent strong liquidity areas where Smart Money may look to buy again. After completing this correction, a new impulsive leg up toward 4,285+ could unfold, potentially marking the next all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Flows Continue to Support GoldMarket Context: Gold has attracted strong buying for the fourth consecutive session, supported by a mix of global risk factors: renewed US–China trade tensions, rising geopolitical uncertainty, and growing fears of a prolonged US government shutdown. Meanwhile, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve are keeping the USD under pressure — further enhancing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. During the Asian session, XAU/USD printed a fresh all-time high, with bulls now eyeing a potential extension toward the 4,200 USD/oz region amid escalating global concerns. Technical Outlook (M30): Gold continues to respect its ascending channel structure, maintaining dynamic support between 4,167 – 4,154. As long as price holds above 4,139, the broader trend remains bullish, with the next liquidity target sitting at 4,240 – 4,241. Key Zones to Watch: Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,240 – 4,242 ATH Zone / Short-Term Resistance: 4,190 – 4,200 OBS Buy Zone – CP Trendline Support: 4,141 – 4,139 Secondary Buy Zone: 4,114 – 4,112 Trading Plan: 🔹 BUY Zone Entry: 4.141 – 4.139 SL: 4.134 TP: 4.145 → 4.150 → 4.155 → 4.160 → 4.170 → 4.180 🔹 BUY Zone Entry: 4.114 – 4.112 SL: 4.106 TP: 4.120 → 4.125 → 4.130 → 4.140 → 4.150 🔹 SELL Zone (Scalp Reaction) Entry: 4.240 – 4.242 SL: 4.248 TP: 4.235 → 4.230 → 4.225 → 4.220 → 4.210 → 4.200 Summary: The bullish market structure remains intact as long as price holds above the 4,139 zone. Watch for potential long opportunities from 4,141 – 4,139, where the confluence of trendline and order block support could trigger fresh demand. Bulls remain in control, targeting the 4,240 – 4,241 liquidity area in the coming sessions. 📊 What’s your take — will gold break above 4,200 or pause for a correction first? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure insights and institutional-style setups. 🟣 Chart: XAUUSD M30 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity pools, CP confluence and key buy/sell zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD CRASH ALERT: +60 PRICES DUMP! Waiting for the Ultimate Fibo React BUY Zone. FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Emergency Action Plan Gold just suffered a brutal 60-point plunge from 416x to 411x, triggered by mounting geopolitical tensions. The market is volatile, and deep correction is highly likely. We must trade smart, not emotionally. 🎯 EMERGENCY ACTION ZONES (H1/M30) Avoid chasing! We only trade when price hits our calculated FIBO REACTION ZONES. 1. SCALP SELL RETRACEMENT: Zone 1 (High): Watch the 407x area (4,077.605). Zone 2 (Key Fibo Resistance): The 405x area (4,048.493). Action: If price bounces back into either zone, look for strong bearish rejection to execute a SCALP SELL. 2. CRITICAL BUY REACT ZONE (The Lifeline): Zone: We are waiting for the AD's updated FIBO REACTION zones that conform to the new deep trend. Action: DO NOT BUY BLINDLY. Only enter a Long when the price reaches these deeper support levels and gives a strong, confirmed BUY REACT signal. ⚠️ Immediate Focus: OBSERVE & WAIT. The AD will provide continuous updates. Manage risk strictly—this volatility demands discipline!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – Sharp Pullback After Hitting New ATHMarket Context: Gold has seen a steep intraday drop after hitting a fresh all-time high at 4,179 USD/oz, extending beyond the morning target of 4,170–4,172. The move likely reflects profit-taking amid broader market caution, as the US Dollar strengthened and GBP fell sharply, indirectly weighing on XAUUSD. Silver also followed the correction, down over 2%, trading near 51 USD/oz after peaking at 53.60 earlier. Despite this drop, the overall market sentiment remains defensive — both metals are still up about 2% for the week, suggesting this is a technical retracement, not a full trend reversal. Technical Outlook (M30): Price has broken below the short-term rising channel and is now retesting key liquidity areas. Watch the 4,134 – 4,135 zone for a potential retest (50% pullback) before continuation toward lower buy zones. End Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,165 – 4,170 Retest Zone (50% Down): 4,134 – 4,135 CP Buy Zone / Fibo 0.618: 4,052 – 4,054 OBS Buy Zone: 4,000 – 4,005 Trading Plan: 🔹 Sell Setup (Correction Play): Entry: 4,134 – 4,136 Stop Loss: 4,142 Take Profit: 4130 - 4125 - 4120 - 4110 - 4100 - ??? 🔹 Buy Setup (Reaction Zone): Entry 1: 4,052 – 4,054 (Fibo 0.618 Confluence) Stop Loss: 4,044 Take Profit: 4056 - 4060 - 4065 - 4070 - 4080 - 4090 - ??? Summary: Gold’s sharp drop after a new ATH signals a short-term correction phase while the broader bullish trend stays intact. A pullback toward 4,052 or even 4,000 could attract buy-side liquidity before any recovery. Keep an eye on 4,135 for a potential retest before continuation. 📊 What’s your view — is this just a healthy retracement or the start of a deeper correction? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for precise intraday setups and structure-based analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Technical Indicators 1. Introduction to Technical Indicators Technical indicators are mathematical calculations based on historical price, volume, or open interest data. They are primarily used in technical analysis, a method of evaluating securities by analyzing market statistics rather than intrinsic value. Indicators help traders: Identify trends and reversals. Determine momentum and market strength. Recognize overbought or oversold conditions. Generate buy or sell signals. There are three main categories of technical indicators: Trend Indicators – Identify the direction and strength of a trend. Momentum Indicators – Measure the speed and force of price movements. Volume Indicators – Analyze trading activity to confirm price movements. Some indicators are leading, giving early signals of potential price movement, while others are lagging, confirming trends after they have started. 2. Trend Indicators Trend indicators help traders identify whether an asset is moving upward, downward, or sideways. Recognizing trends early allows traders to align their strategies with the market direction. 2.1 Moving Averages (MA) Moving averages smooth out price data to reveal trends over a specific period. There are two main types: Simple Moving Average (SMA): Calculated by averaging the closing prices over a specified period. Example: A 50-day SMA sums the last 50 closing prices and divides by 50. Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Places more weight on recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes. Applications: Trend identification: Prices above the MA indicate an uptrend; below indicate a downtrend. Crossovers: A short-term MA crossing above a long-term MA generates a bullish signal, and vice versa. Limitations: Lagging indicator, less effective in sideways markets. 2.2 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) MACD measures the difference between two EMAs (usually 12-day and 26-day). Components: MACD Line: Difference between the fast and slow EMA. Signal Line: 9-day EMA of the MACD line. Histogram: Difference between MACD line and Signal line. Interpretation: Crossovers: MACD crossing above Signal line = buy signal; below = sell signal. Divergence: Price making new highs while MACD fails indicates trend weakness. Strengths: Effective for spotting trend reversals and momentum shifts. Weaknesses: Lagging indicator; may give false signals in choppy markets. 2.3 Average Directional Index (ADX) ADX measures the strength of a trend regardless of its direction. Values above 25 indicate a strong trend. Values below 20 suggest a weak trend or sideways market. Applications: Confirming trend strength before entering a trade. Pairing with other indicators for trend-following strategies. Limitations: Does not indicate trend direction, only strength. 3. Momentum Indicators Momentum indicators assess the speed of price movements, helping traders identify potential reversals or continuation patterns. 3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI) RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. Values above 70 = overbought (possible reversal or pullback). Values below 30 = oversold (possible rebound). Applications: Divergence between RSI and price signals potential trend reversals. Combining RSI with trend indicators enhances trade accuracy. Limitations: Can remain overbought or oversold for extended periods in strong trends. 3.2 Stochastic Oscillator The stochastic oscillator compares a security’s closing price to its price range over a specific period. %K Line: Current close relative to the high-low range. %D Line: 3-period moving average of %K. Interpretation: Values above 80 = overbought; below 20 = oversold. Crossovers of %K and %D lines indicate potential buy/sell signals. Strengths: Effective in volatile markets for timing entries and exits. Weaknesses: Less effective during strong trends; prone to false signals. 3.3 Rate of Change (ROC) ROC measures the percentage change in price over a given period. Positive ROC indicates upward momentum. Negative ROC signals downward momentum. Applications: Identifying early trend reversals. Confirming breakouts or breakdowns. Limitations: Sensitive to price spikes; may give false signals in choppy markets. 4. Volume Indicators Volume analysis confirms price trends, as strong moves are typically accompanied by high volume. 4.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV) OBV measures cumulative buying and selling pressure by adding volume on up days and subtracting volume on down days. Applications: Divergence between OBV and price can signal reversals. Confirming trend strength. Limitations: Lagging indicator; requires combination with price analysis. 4.2 Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) CMF measures the volume-weighted average of accumulation and distribution over a specified period. Positive CMF = buying pressure. Negative CMF = selling pressure. Applications: Identifying accumulation or distribution phases. Supporting trade entries in trend-following strategies. Weaknesses: Less effective during low-volume periods. 5. Volatility Indicators Volatility indicators help traders gauge market risk and potential price swings. 5.1 Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average (middle band) and upper/lower bands based on standard deviation. Price near upper band = overbought. Price near lower band = oversold. Applications: Trading range-bound markets using band bounces. Breakouts indicated when price moves outside bands. Limitations: Band breakouts don’t always result in sustained trends. 5.2 Average True Range (ATR) ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average of true price ranges over a period. Applications: Setting stop-loss levels. Identifying breakout potential. Limitations: Does not indicate trend direction, only volatility. 6. Combining Indicators for Strategy Using a single indicator often results in false signals. Effective traders combine indicators from different categories: Trend + Momentum: Example: Use SMA to identify trend direction and RSI to detect overbought/oversold conditions. Trend + Volume: Example: Confirm trend strength with ADX and OBV before entering a trade. Momentum + Volatility: Example: Use MACD for momentum and ATR to set stop-loss levels. Rule of Thumb: Avoid indicators that provide the same information. Mix leading and lagging indicators for better confirmation. 7. Indicator-Based Trading Strategies 7.1 Trend-Following Strategy Use moving averages or ADX to identify trends. Enter trades in the direction of the trend. Use momentum indicators like MACD or RSI for entry timing. 7.2 Reversal Strategy Use RSI, Stochastic, or Bollinger Bands to detect overbought/oversold conditions. Look for divergence between price and indicator for potential reversals. 7.3 Breakout Strategy Use Bollinger Bands or price channels to identify consolidation. Volume indicators like OBV or CMF confirm breakout strength. 8. Common Mistakes in Using Indicators Overloading charts: Too many indicators can confuse signals. Ignoring market context: Indicators must be interpreted in conjunction with price action. Blind reliance: No indicator guarantees success; risk management is crucial. Neglecting timeframes: Indicators behave differently on daily, weekly, or intraday charts. 9. Advanced Indicator Techniques Divergence Trading: Identifying differences between price and indicators like MACD or RSI to spot potential reversals. Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Confirm signals from multiple timeframes to reduce false entries. Weighted Indicators: Adjust indicator sensitivity to reduce lag or noise. Algorithmic Integration: Using indicators as inputs in automated trading systems. 10. Choosing the Right Indicators Factors to consider: Trading style: Day traders vs. swing traders vs. long-term investors. Market conditions: Trending vs. ranging markets. Timeframe: Short-term indicators are more sensitive; long-term indicators reduce noise. Simplicity: Choose a few reliable indicators rather than overwhelming charts. 11. Conclusion Mastering technical indicators requires practice, observation, and discipline. While indicators provide valuable insights into market behavior, they are most effective when combined with strong risk management and a clear trading plan. Successful traders: Use indicators to enhance decision-making, not replace it. Test strategies thoroughly before applying them in live markets. Adapt indicator settings to suit different market conditions. By understanding the nuances of trend, momentum, volume, and volatility indicators, traders can create robust strategies that increase probability and confidence in their trades. This Technical Indicators Masterclass equips traders with the knowledge to analyze markets effectively and navigate complex price movements with precision.
TVC:US10YEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Technical Analysis and Chart PatternsIntroduction to Technical Analysis Technical Analysis (TA) is the study of historical price and volume data to forecast future price movements in financial markets. Unlike fundamental analysis, which focuses on the intrinsic value of an asset, technical analysis relies on patterns, trends, and statistical indicators to identify trading opportunities. It is widely used across equity, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrency markets by traders of all timeframes, from intraday scalpers to long-term investors. The foundation of technical analysis rests on three main assumptions: Market Action Discounts Everything: All information, whether public or private, is already reflected in the current price of an asset. Prices Move in Trends: Markets follow trends rather than random movement, and identifying these trends can help traders profit. History Tends to Repeat Itself: Human psychology drives market behavior, and patterns formed in the past tend to recur under similar conditions. 1. Key Principles of Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Indicates bullish sentiment. Downtrend: Characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Indicates bearish sentiment. Sideways/Range-bound Trend: Occurs when prices move horizontally, often leading to breakout opportunities. Support and Resistance Levels Support: A price level where demand is strong enough to prevent further decline. Often a buying opportunity. Resistance: A price level where selling pressure prevents further rise. Often a selling opportunity. Breakouts and Breakdowns: Breaching these levels can signal the start of new trends. Volume Analysis Volume reflects the intensity of a price movement. Rising prices with increasing volume confirm trends, whereas divergences (e.g., rising price with falling volume) indicate potential reversals. Momentum Indicators Measure the speed and strength of price movements. Examples: Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Stochastic Oscillator. Moving Averages Smooth out price fluctuations to identify trends. Common types: Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Crossovers (e.g., 50-day SMA crossing 200-day SMA) are key trading signals. 2. Chart Types Understanding chart types is crucial for recognizing patterns: Line Charts Simple representation connecting closing prices. Useful for identifying long-term trends but lacks intraday information. Bar Charts Displays open, high, low, and close (OHLC) for each period. Provides more detailed insight into market sentiment. Candlestick Charts Originated in Japan; visually appealing and widely used. Each candlestick shows open, high, low, and close, forming recognizable patterns that signal market direction. Point and Figure Charts Ignores time; focuses solely on price changes. Useful for identifying strong trends and breakout points. 3. Chart Patterns Chart patterns are visual representations of market psychology, helping traders anticipate future price action. They can be broadly categorized into reversal and continuation patterns. 3.1 Reversal Patterns Reversal patterns indicate a potential change in trend. Head and Shoulders Signifies a trend reversal from bullish to bearish. Features a left shoulder, a head (higher peak), and a right shoulder. The neckline is the support level; breaking it confirms the trend reversal. Inverse Head and Shoulders Opposite of the standard head and shoulders. Signals reversal from bearish to bullish. Double Top Occurs after an uptrend; two peaks at roughly the same level. Breaking the support level between the peaks signals a downtrend. Double Bottom Occurs after a downtrend; two troughs at a similar level. Breaking the resistance confirms a bullish reversal. Triple Top/Bottom Less common but more reliable than double tops or bottoms. Indicates stronger resistance or support levels. 3.2 Continuation Patterns Continuation patterns suggest that the existing trend is likely to continue. Triangles Ascending Triangle: Bullish; flat resistance and rising support. Breakout likely upwards. Descending Triangle: Bearish; flat support and descending resistance. Breakout likely downwards. Symmetrical Triangle: Neutral; breakout direction depends on the preceding trend. Flags and Pennants Short-term consolidation patterns after strong moves. Flags: Rectangular consolidation; pennants: small symmetrical triangles. Typically continue in the direction of the previous trend. Rectangles (Trading Ranges) Horizontal consolidation between support and resistance. Breakout indicates trend continuation. 3.3 Candlestick Patterns Candlestick patterns provide detailed insight into market sentiment: Single Candlestick Patterns Doji: Indicates indecision; potential reversal if appearing after a strong trend. Hammer/Inverted Hammer: Bullish reversal after a downtrend. Shooting Star: Bearish reversal after an uptrend. Multiple Candlestick Patterns Engulfing Pattern: Bullish or bearish reversal depending on candle alignment. Morning Star/Evening Star: Signals trend reversal. Three White Soldiers/Three Black Crows: Strong trend continuation patterns. 4. Indicators and Oscillators Technical analysis often combines chart patterns with indicators: Trend Indicators Moving Averages, MACD, ADX (Average Directional Index) Momentum Indicators RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, Rate of Change (ROC) Volatility Indicators Bollinger Bands, Average True Range (ATR) Volume Indicators On-Balance Volume (OBV), Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) 5. Technical Analysis in Trading Strategy Technical analysis is integrated into different trading strategies: Day Trading Focuses on intraday price movements using candlestick patterns and intraday indicators. Swing Trading Capitalizes on short to medium-term trends using support/resistance and chart patterns. Position Trading Long-term trend following; relies on moving averages, trendlines, and breakout patterns. Algorithmic Trading Combines TA rules with automated systems for high-frequency trading. 6. Advantages of Technical Analysis Quick decision-making due to focus on charts and indicators. Applicable across different asset classes and timeframes. Helps identify entry and exit points with greater precision. 7. Limitations of Technical Analysis Reliance on historical data; past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Can produce false signals in highly volatile or low-volume markets. Requires experience and discipline to interpret patterns accurately. 8. Combining Technical Analysis with Other Tools Many traders combine TA with fundamental analysis to improve accuracy. Sentiment analysis, news events, and macroeconomic data can enhance decision-making. Risk management is essential: stop-loss, position sizing, and portfolio diversification mitigate losses. Conclusion Technical analysis and chart patterns provide traders with a structured way to interpret market behavior. While no method guarantees success, mastery of TA enables traders to identify high-probability setups, manage risk, and make informed decisions. With the right combination of pattern recognition, indicator use, and disciplined execution, technical analysis can be a powerful tool in the trader’s arsenal. By understanding trends, patterns, support/resistance levels, and combining them with indicators and sound risk management, traders can navigate financial markets with greater confidence and precision.
NSE:AXISBANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress
XAUUSD – Breakdown After Ceasefire & Fed Comments📉 Market Overview Gold (XAUUSD) dropped over 2%, sliding from $4,012/oz to $3,945/oz, marking a sharp $67 decline overnight. The selloff came as two key catalysts hit the market: 🕊 Israel–Hamas ceasefire agreement cooled down geopolitical tensions. 💬 Fed’s Barr pushed back against October rate cuts, sending USD higher and pressuring gold. Despite the drop, price action suggests a temporary corrective phase, with gold now stabilising near a short-term support zone. 📊 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View) Gold has confirmed a Head & Shoulders (H&S) breakdown pattern, with a neckline retest around $4,014 – $4,033 acting as resistance. After the breakdown, price rebounded slightly but continues to trade below the structure, showing that bears remain in control short-term. The short-term support zone sits around $3,945, and if broken, could accelerate the decline towards $3,912 – $3,885, aligning with deeper liquidity areas. 🔑 Key Zones to Watch Resistance (Breakdown Zone): 4,014 – 4,033 Support (Short-term): 3,945 – 3,912 Liquidity/Buy Zone: 3,885 – 3,878 💡 MMFLOW Trading Scenarios 🔵 BUY SCALP Zone: 3,912 – 3,910 🔴 Stop Loss: 3,905 ✅ Take Profit: 3,916 – 3,920 – 3,925 – 3,930 – 3,940 – 3,950 – ??? Trading View: The market is still digesting recent fundamentals; volatility remains high. A short-term rebound from 3,910 is possible as liquidity builds up near this demand zone. However, unless price reclaims 4,014, any bounce may only be corrective before further downside continuation. 🧭 MMFLOW Insight Even though gold faces bearish momentum, macro risks still support a long-term bullish narrative: U.S. government shutdown risks remain unresolved. Fed may turn dovish later in Q4 if labour data weakens. Liquidity gaps below $3,900 could attract smart money accumulation zones. ⚠️ Trading Notes ✅ Always set Stop Loss – NFP-style volatility can occur post-Fed comments. ✅ Avoid chasing after breakdown candles. Wait for pullback entries at key levels. ✅ Be patient — the best setups form when liquidity is fully absorbed. 📍 Summary Gold continues to trade under pressure after geopolitical easing and hawkish Fed tones. Watch for price action around $3,910 – $3,945; this range will likely define the next major impulse. Stay alert — once liquidity clears, MMFlow will be watching for smart-money reentry signals from key OB/CP zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD| Unstoppable Uptrend, Gold Benefits from Fed & ETF Inflow📊 Market Context Gold continues to maintain its upward trend amidst the political and economic instability in the US. The US government has entered its second week of shutdown with no signs of reaching an agreement, raising further concerns about the impact on economic performance. Simultaneously, the Fed's entry into a monetary easing cycle since September, with expectations of further 25-point rate cuts in October and December, is driving strong buying momentum in gold. Not just investors, but global central banks are also continuing to accumulate gold, adding 15 tonnes to reserves, indicating a gradual shift away from US public debt. All these factors combined continue to reinforce a sustainable upward trend, opening up opportunities for strategic BUY moves. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices remain within the upward channel, continuously retesting and bouncing off support zones. Buy Scalp Zone 4004–4002: a quick reaction zone in the short term. Main Buy Zone 3986–3984: key support, combined with FVG. Target Resistance: 4068–4082 (Liquidity Zone). 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4004–4002 SL: 3996 TP: 4008 - 4012 - 4016 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3986–3984 SL: 3980 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4010 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Note The 4000 level is a psychological resistance – prone to liquidity sweeps. Prioritise waiting for clear price action signals at BUY zones. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may increase with political news & Fed impacts on market sentiment. ✅ Summary Gold's uptrend remains solid thanks to political instability, Fed easing, record ETF inflows, and central banks continuing to hoard gold. Strategy prioritises BUY at 4004–4002 and 3986–3984 with targets aiming at 4068–4082.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Bulls Reloading After a Healthy Pullback | Next Target: 4090+📊 Market Context After a powerful bullish rally that pushed gold to record highs, XAUUSD retraced about 1% on Thursday as traders took profit from the recent surge. However, this move appears to be a technical correction, not a trend reversal — as indicators have shown overbought conditions for several sessions. Despite this short-term pullback, the long-term uptrend remains intact. Gold is up more than 50% year-to-date, driven by: 🌍 Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions, 💰 The Federal Reserve’s monetary easing cycle, 🏦 Record central bank gold accumulation, ⚔️ Rising global uncertainty, fueling strong safe-haven demand. Overall, this retracement could be an ideal setup for BUY re-entries, as bulls look to reload positions toward the 4090–4100 liquidity zone. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price remains inside the medium-term bullish channel, showing strong reactions around 4000–3980 support. 4010–4008 acts as a quick scalp zone for short-term entries. 3984–3982 serves as a key structural support and liquidity reaction area. 4090–4092 (Liquidity Sell Zone) stands as the major resistance — potential liquidity trap area. 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4010–4008 SL: 4002 TP: 4015 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - 4050 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3984–3982 SL: 3978 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4005 - 4010 - 4020 - ???? ✅ SELL ZONE: 4090–4092 SL: 4098 TP: 4085 - 4080 - 4070 - 4060 - 4050 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The 4000 level remains a strong psychological and structural support — only enter long positions with confirmed price action signals. Be cautious around 4090–4100, where liquidity sweeps and false breakouts are likely. Adjust position size properly to manage volatility during high-impact news or geopolitical updates. ✅ Summary Gold is undergoing a healthy correction phase within its broader uptrend. The strategy remains BUY-focused at 4010–4008 and 3984–3982, with upside targets toward 4060–4090, and a potential short-term SELL opportunity near 4090–4092 if rejection signals appear. 💡 MMFLOW TRADING – Trade with market structure, follow liquidity, and ride the BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD XAU/USD – Intraday Plan | Bulls Targeting 4,000$Gold has once again proven its safe-haven dominance, pushing close to 3,980$ during the Asian session. Despite USD fluctuations and global market risk-on vibes, buyers remain firmly in control. The psychological milestone of 4,000$ is now directly in focus. 🔎 Technical Snapshot (M30) Trend remains bullish, supported by the Fibo channel. Dip-buying pressure continues to dominate intraday price action. Sellers will only gain short-term control near the 3988 – 4000$ resistance zone. 🔑 Key Trading Levels BUY Zone (Fibo 0.618): 395x → Ideal intraday demand. Support Zone: 393x → Must hold for bullish structure. Immediate Resistance: 397x → Current ATH zone. SELL Reaction Zone: 3988 – 4000$ → Potential short scalp. Major Resistance: 4000 – 4006$ → Strong psychological wall. 📌 Trading Plan (FranCi$$ Style) ✅ BUY on Dips Entry: 395x – 393x Targets: 3975 → 3988 → 4000$ Stop Loss: Below 392x ⚡ SELL Scalp Entry: 3988 – 4000$ Targets: 3970 → 3950$ Stop Loss: Above 4015$ 🎯 Final Take Gold’s path remains upward, but the 4000$ barrier is where bulls meet the biggest challenge. Smart traders will look to buy dips for continuation and use scalp sells only at strong rejection zones. 🔥 Stay tuned with FranCi$$ for realtime intraday updates – precision signals, scalping setups, and golden opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(08/10/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat near the 56,200 level after a strong rally in the previous sessions. The index has been consolidating within a narrow range, suggesting a pause before the next directional move. On the upside, a sustained move above 56,450–56,500 could trigger a bullish breakout, leading to an upside toward 56,650, 56,850, and 56,950+. A breakout above 56,950 will further strengthen the bullish momentum and may push the index toward new short-term highs. On the downside, immediate support lies around 56,050–55,950. A breakdown below this zone may lead to mild selling pressure, dragging the index toward 55,750, 55,650, and 55,550-. Overall, the sentiment remains cautiously positive. Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from the current consolidation zone before initiating fresh positions, while maintaining strict stop-loss levels.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
Gold Near ₹4000, BofA Warns of Mid-Cycle Adjustment 📊 Market Context Gold prices are inching closer to the ₹4,000/oz mark, but a fresh warning from Bank of America has made the market cautious. Strategist Paul Ciana notes that gold is over 20% above the MA200 – a level seen before sharp corrections in historical peak cycles (2008, 2011, 2020, 2022). However, medium-term forecasts from Goldman Sachs, UBS, and even BofA still suggest that gold could reach ₹4200–₹4900/oz next year. This means the long-term upward trend is still intact – but the current phase is prone to unexpected corrections to shake off FOMO buying pressure. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000. Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders. Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark. 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910. SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity. Psychological resistance: ₹4000. 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933 SL: ₹3927 TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ??? ✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995 SL: ₹4000 TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal. Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000. Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders. Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark. 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910. SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity. Psychological resistance: ₹4000. 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933 SL: ₹3927 TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ??? ✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995 SL: ₹4000 TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal. Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil. US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold. Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal. Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”. 👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline. BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum. BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally. SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps. Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618). 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883 SELL Zone: 3949–3950 Resistance: 3950, 3994 Support: 3900, 3880 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 SL: 3898 TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 SL: 3878 TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950 SL: 3955 TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation. Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones. Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements. ✅ Summary Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD Marching Toward $4,000 Zone? Gold Holds Firm Above 3,900Gold starts the week with relentless bullish momentum, breaking through 3,900 USD for the first time and eyeing new record highs. The rally is fueled by safe-haven demand as the US government shutdown drags on and market expectations grow for an upcoming Fed rate cut. Despite a stronger USD and risk appetite in equities, gold buyers remain firmly in control. 🔎 Technical Outlook (H1 – FIBO Matrix) 📍 Reaction Buy Zones 3884 – 3880 (Fibo 0.5 support) → Short-term demand pocket. 386x (Fibo 0.618 H1) → Stronger liquidity-backed support, high-probability rebound zone. 📍 Reaction Sell Zones 393x – 394x (Fibo Extension 1.5 – 1.618) → Intraday resistance, possible rejection. 4,000 (Psychological Round Level) → Key psychological barrier; heavy liquidity likely. 🎯 Trade Plan 1️⃣ BUY Scenario Entry: 3884 – 3880 / 386x, wait for bullish confirmation. Targets: 3925 → 3940 → 4000. Stop Loss: Below 3850. 2️⃣ SELL (Short-term Scalp) Entry: 393x – 394x or rejection at 4000. Targets: 3900 → 3884. Stop Loss: Above 3952. ⚡ Key Insights Trend bias remains bullish → Prefer long setups from strong Fibo supports. 3925 is the immediate hurdle, 4000 the ultimate psychological wall. Watch USD volatility and Fed commentary for intraday direction. 💬 What’s your take, India? Do you expect Gold to hit 4,000 this week, or will sellers defend the zone? Drop your setups 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent ✳️ Hello to all traders, Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities. 📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable. 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS): Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant. Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend. 🔹 Potential Demand Zone: After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate. Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally. 🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend. 🔸 US Government Shutdown: This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets. Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets. 🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates: The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%. This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset. 🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data: The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty. In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role. 🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced. Strategy: Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169. Entry signals: Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as: Pin bar candles, engulfing Or BoS on the M15 chart Targets: Short-term: $3950 – $3990 Long-term: Target “+1000 pips” Risk management: Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account. 🧭 Conclusion The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers: USD is under downward pressure Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture. 👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity. 💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
US Government Shutdown, Gold Benefits & FOMO BUY Continues📊 Market Context The gold market kicks off Q4/2025 with great enthusiasm as safe-haven flows continue to surge. Not only that, the potential delay of the NFP employment report this week further fuels the market's "thirst" for directional information, positioning gold as the central asset in everyone's sights. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure from political uncertainties and expectations that the Fed is moving closer to further rate cuts. Combined, the current picture shows that gold is not only maintaining its strength after a breakout rally but also has the opportunity to expand and conquer new high price territories, as safe-haven capital and FOMO momentum from the BUY side continue to amplify. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) The price maintains the main upward trend, staying above the support structure. Important BUY ZONE: 3833–3831 (Fibo + CP zone) – this area is likely to react strongly. Secondary BUY ZONE: 3817–3815 (OBS zone) – stronger support, suitable for accumulating additional BUY orders. Resistance area 3919–3923 (Liquidity Sell Zone) may be where liquidity traps appear. ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3833–3831 SL: 3827 TP: 3838 - 3842 - 3846 - 3850 - 3855 - 3860 - 3870 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3817–3815 SL: 3810 TP: 3822 - 3826 - 3830 - 3835 - 3840 - 3850 - 3860 - 3870 - ??? ✅ Summary Gold is directly benefiting from political instability and the delay in US economic data. The main trend remains BUY with safe-haven flows, with strategic zones at 3833–3831 and 3817–3815. The expansion target aims for 3870–3880 and beyond to 3920+ if buying momentum remains strong.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Gold Bulls Eye New Highs | Francis FiboMatrix Plan📊 Market Outlook Gold keeps climbing with momentum, now approaching the 3,800$ zone. The market is fuelled by expectations of more Fed rate cuts and rising demand for safe-haven assets as global uncertainties stay elevated. Silver is also breaking higher, heading toward its historic $50 target, confirming the broader strength in precious metals. 📍 Trading Levels ✅ BUY Zone: 3782 – 3780 🛑 Stop Loss: 3772 🎯 Take Profits: TP1 → 3800 TP2 → 3829 TP3 → 3848 TP4 → 3885+ (long-term hold if 377x holds support) ⚡ Trading Plan Only look for BUY setups on dips – no shorting in this phase. Keep position sizing balanced; trail stops once price moves past 3829. Bias remains bullish as long as gold holds above 377x support. 💡 Francis Note This is not just a trade – it’s part of the bigger wave. Play the retracements smart, respect risk, and let the trend do the heavy lifting. 💬 Your View? Is gold ready to break beyond 3,885 → 3,900, or will we get a quick pullback first? Drop your charts and setups below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – FIBO MATRIX Trading Plan | Key Levels for TodayMarket Snapshot Gold is attracting steady buying interest as dovish Fed expectations keep the USD capped near 3-week highs. At the same time, geopolitical tensions and tariff concerns add to safe-haven demand. Focus now shifts to US PCE inflation data, which could trigger the next big move. 📍 Important Price Zones (M30) 🔴 SELL Reaction Zones 3767 – 377x → Major rejection area (Fibo 0.786). 3810 – 3817 → Strong SELL zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618). 🟢 BUY Support Zones 3725 → First support zone. 3690 – 3695 → Deep pullback support (Fibo confluence). 🎯 Trading Ideas 1️⃣ SELL Setup Entry: 3767 – 377x (if rejection signal shows). Targets: 3750 → 3725. SL: Above 3778. 2️⃣ BUY Setup Entry: 3725 with bullish confirmation. Targets: 3760 → 377x. SL: Below 3715. 3️⃣ Deep BUY Opportunity Entry: 3690 – 3695 zone. Targets: 3725 → 3760. SL: Below 3685. ⚡ Trading Insights Respect the Fibo reaction levels for clean entries. Risk range: 6–8 USD to avoid stop hunts. Book profits in steps: 1R → 2R → 3R for strong RR balance. 💬 Community Talk Do you see gold breaking above 3770 first, or dropping to 3725/3695 before bouncing back? Share your chart view 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
STEVEN XAUUSD – Buy Scenario Aligned with the TrendTechnical Analysis Gold continues its strong upward trend after breaking out from the previous accumulation zone. Currently, the price has tested the 3,742–3,744 range and is showing signs of pausing for a short-term correction. The EMA200 H1 (3,662) remains upward sloping, confirming that the main uptrend is intact. Fibonacci Retracement for the latest upward move: The 0.786 level (3,738) coincides with the Volume Profile area – this is the first support for the short-term buy scenario. The 0.618 level (3,707) coincides with the old resistance now turned support – a strong confluence, suitable for finding the main Buy point. The RSI (14) is around 63–65, not yet in the overbought zone, indicating there is still room for an increase. Trading Scenario Buy aligned with the trend Entry 1: 3,738–3,740 SL: 3,730 TP: 3,750 – 3,760 Entry 2: 3,707–3,710 SL: 3,695 TP: 3,738 – 3,760 – 3,780 Price Levels to Watch 3,742–3,744: short-term resistance, may cause adjustments. 3,738–3,740: nearby support, suitable for quick Buy. 3,707–3,710: strong support, important Buy zone. 3,780–3,785: extended resistance, target of the upward trend. This is a reference scenario, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and scenarios in upcoming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves forming on H4 chart, clear correction signaHello Trader, On the H4 chart, gold is forming a quite standard Wolfe Waves pattern. The 5th wave has completed, and the price is moving into the crucial resistance zone of 3760 – 3770, which is also a potential Sell Zone. Given the current structure, the preferred scenario is a short-term downward correction before the main trend resumes. Technical Analysis The price has touched the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension and reacted with a decline, indicating profit-taking pressure. The MACD still shows the previous buying force was quite strong, but the histogram is starting to weaken, aligning with the possibility of a correction wave emerging. Area 3760 – 3770: a critical resistance zone, also coinciding with the 5th wave line of Wolfe Waves. Trading Scenario Sell order according to Wolfe Waves Entry: 3760 – 3770 SL: 3782 (above resistance zone) TP: 3710 -3660 -3610 – 3620 (key level Wolfe target) Sell when price confirms below trendline Entry 3727-3730 sl 3735 tp 3715-3700-3686-3665 Short-term Buy Scalping Entry: 3705 – 3708 SL: 3700 TP: 3720-3730 – 3745- 3766 Note: This is just a short-term retracement strategy, going against the correction, so risk management is crucial. Conclusion Short-term: Prioritise observing reversal signals at 3760 – 3770 to Sell. Medium-term: Wait for Buy opportunities around 3564 – 3574 to align with the main trend. The market is entering a distribution and correction phase, so patiently waiting for candle confirmations at key zones will be key to optimising entry. This is the Wolfe Waves scenario I propose for gold during this period. You can refer to and adjust according to your own strategy. Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Strategic Selling Zone and Detailed Trading ScenarioTechnical Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) is experiencing a strong upward trend and has now reached the Fibonacci extension zone of 1.618 – 2.618, a region often associated with profit-taking and short-term distribution. Sell Zone Fibo 2.618 (3,730–3,735): The first potential supply area, if a bearish confirmation candle appears on H1/H4, a corrective phase is likely to commence. Sell Zone Swing (3,745–3,750): A strong supply zone confluencing with multiple Fibonacci extensions, posing a higher reversal risk. Short-term Buy Zone (3,690–3,700): An intermediate support area after breaking the previous peak, suitable for short-term buy orders if the price retests and confirms. Buy Swing (3,645–3,650): The main support zone, confluencing with EMA200 H1 and an old trendline, considered a 'safe buying point' if a deep correction occurs. The RSI (14) is currently at 77, indicating that the price has entered the overbought territory. Historically, whenever the RSI exceeds 75, a significant correction follows. This serves as a warning signal for traders to consider gradually taking profits on short-term Buy positions and preparing for Sell or Buy scenarios at lower price levels. Trading Scenario Scenario 1 – Sell at Supply Zone: Entry: 3,732–3,735 (Fibo 2.618) or extend to 3,745–3,750 (Sell Zone Swing) SL: above 3,740 TP1: 3,707 TP2: 3,690–3,700 (Buy Zone) TP3: 3,661 TP4: 3,645 Scenario 2 – Short-term Buy (regression scalping): Entry: 3,670–3,700 (after H1 confirmation candle) SL: below 3,690 TP1: 3,718 TP2: 3,730 Scenario 3 – Long-term Buy Swing: Entry: 3,645–3,648 (EMA200 + main support zone) SL: below 3,640 TP1: 3,690 TP2: 3,707 TP3: 3,730 Price Levels to Watch 3,730–3,750: The strongest current supply zone, suitable for a Sell scenario based on Fibonacci extensions. 3,690–3,700: Short-term Buy Zone, a crucial retest area to confirm the trend. 3,661: An intermediate level, if breached, could lead to a decline towards EMA200. 3,645: Potential Buy Swing, the main support of the upward structure. Overall Assessment The main trend on H1 remains upward; however, the current price level has entered the overbought zone, indicating a likely correction towards support before continuing the trend. The most suitable strategy at this time: Monitor for short-term Sell opportunities at the supply zone – take profits at the support zone, then wait for Buy Swing at lower levels to follow the main trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading