BANKNIFTY at a Make-or-Break ZoneNIFTYBANK is currently trading at a critical confluence zone where a downward-sloping resistance trendline is meeting a well-defined rising support area on the 1-hour timeframe. This price compression indicates indecision and typically precedes a sharp directional move. The index has repeatedly respected both these levels, confirming their importance in the current structure.
On the upside, the falling resistance zone near 59,300–59,500 remains the key hurdle. A sustained breakout and close above this trendline would signal a shift in short-term momentum, opening the door for a recovery move toward 59,800 initially, followed by a potential extension toward the 60,400–60,600 zone. Such a breakout would also indicate that buyers are regaining control after the recent corrective phase.
On the downside, the green support zone around 58,700–58,850 is the immediate demand area to watch. This zone has acted as a base multiple times, and as long as Bank Nifty holds above it, pullbacks may continue to attract buyers. However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish bounce scenario and could accelerate selling pressure toward 58,300 first, with a deeper downside extension possible toward the 57,200 region.
Overall, BANKNIFTY is trading inside a tightening range, signaling an imminent volatility expansion. Directional clarity will emerge only after a confirmed breakout or breakdown. Traders should remain cautious at current levels and wait for confirmation, as this is a classic decision zone where false moves are also common.
Technicalindicators
Price hits FVG: Get ready for Market Maker's next move!In the current market context, the price structure is clearly showing the regulation of Smart Money as it continuously creates new liquidity zones, breaks structures, and leaves important footprints like OB – FVG – BOS. Below is a trading plan built based on the observed price zones on the chart:
🟥 1. Market Context – Role of OB Sell
Price has reacted strongly at the Order Block Sell in the 4,237 – 4,256 zone.
This is where a strong push down occurred (accompanied by a structure break – BOS), confirming this as an active supply zone.
➡️ This will be the key level to monitor all pullbacks in the coming time.
🟩 2. Current Market Structure – Market Structure
After the OB Sell is activated, the market creates a bearish BOS.
Price is moving down to approach the Liquidity Buy below in the 4,154 – 4,161 zone.
On the way, price leaves a Fair Value Gap (FVG) – a zone that can be used as a retracement point to continue selling.
➡️ Overall bias: Bearish intraday – favor sell on pullback.
🟨 3. Main Trading Plan – SELL SETUP
🎯 Area of Interest
FVG: 4,197 – 4,214
This is the ideal price zone for price to return to balance before continuing the downtrend.
📌 Entry SELL:
Preferred scenario: Price retraces to fill FVG → reacts → creates a small bearish structure (BOS M1–M5) → Sell.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 4,170 — intermediate support zone
TP2: Liquidity Buy: 4,154 – 4,161
TP3 (extended): 4,144 if liquidity below continues to be swept
🛑 Stop Loss:
Above the FVG peak or above the nearest OB zone: 4,214 – 4,227
➡️ High probability when price fails to break 4,214–4,227 and continues to create lower highs.
🟦 4. Secondary Scenario – SHORT-TERM BUY (Countertrend)
Only activated when price hits Liquidity Buy and a clear reversal signal appears:
📌 Entry BUY:
After sweeping liquidity in the 4,154–4,161 zone
Wait for bullish BOS confirmation on a lower timeframe
🎯 Targets:
4,184
4,197
4,214 (maximum – hit FVG and exit)
➡️ This is just a retracement trade, not trend-following, so risk management is crucial.
⭐ 5. Summary View
The market is moving in line with Smart Money behavior:
Sweep liquidity above (Sell-side Liquidity) → Create OB → Push price down
Leave FVG → Attract price back → Continue distribution
Main goal: Sweep Liquidity below
👉 The main trend remains SELL until the Liquidity Buy below is hit and a strong reversal structure is created.
XAU/USD: Buy Gold on Support Retest, Bullish StructureGold continues to fluctuate within a compression model + ascending support, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and the market wants to accumulate before bouncing to the upper supply zones.
Recent data shows USD cooling as the market increases expectations that the FED will be more dovish → creating a support base for XAU/USD's short-term rise.
📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Frame (MMF Flow)
1️⃣ Key Support:
4,187 – 4,188: BUY zone + lower trendline + strong price reaction.
Price just retested and bounced → confirming active buying remains.
2️⃣ Near Resistance:
4,211 – 4,212: mid-liquidity zone → expected to create HL before breaking the downtrend line.
3️⃣ Main Target Zone:
4,236 → strong resistance, confluence multiple times from the market.
Further: 4,254 → large supply zone, is an extended target if price breaks out.
🧭 Trading Scenario According to MMF
Main Scenario – BUY with Trend
BUY again when price retests 4,187 – 4,188 or
BUY when price breaks 4,212 then retests.
TP Targets:
TP1: 4,212
TP2: 4,236
TP3: 4,254
SL: below 4,182.
Idea: price creates an absorption model + HL on trendline → potential to pull up to the upper liquidity zones.
Secondary Scenario – SELL Reaction
Only for scalp traders:
SELL reaction at 4,236 – 4,238
TP: 4,212
SL: 4,243
🎯 Daily Bias Summary
Bias: Bullish on H1 when price holds 4,187.
Priority: BUY at the bottom – SELL at the top only for scalp.
Wait for the downtrend line to break to extend the target to 4,254.
XAUUSD –| watch reaction at POC – VAL – VAH according to VolumeXAUUSD – Brian | watch reaction at POC – VAL – VAH according to Volume Profile
1. Market snapshot
Gold is entering a redistribution phase in the high price range, with fluctuations mainly revolving around large volume clusters on the Volume Profile. In this context, Brian's current priority scenario is to watch for a Sell when the price approaches the POC / VAL / VAH areas – where the market previously traded heavily.
2. Volume Profile – Notable price areas
POC – VAH area 4.217 is the price area where buyers/sellers previously "struggled" strongly, suitable for looking for sell signals if there is a rejection reaction.
VAL & the support area below around 4.134 is where short-term buying force may appear, suitable for a technical rebound buy scenario.
3. Trading plan (this week)
Scenario 1 – Sell according to Volume Profile (priority)
Sell: 4.217
SL: 4.125
TP: 4.200 – 4.182 – 4.150
Idea: wait for the price to rebound to the POC/VAH area around 4.217, observe the H1/M30 candle reaction. If a clear rejection signal appears (long upper tail, reversal candle...), the sell order can be activated according to the plan.
Scenario 2 – Short buy at VAL/support area
Buy: 4.134
SL: 4.125
TP: 4.155 – 4.180 – 4.200
Idea: if the price adjusts deeply near the VAL area and holds above 4.125, a technical rebound may occur. This is a short buy, not going too far against the trend, prioritizing partial profit-taking when the price returns to the upper POC area.
4. News to watch – Unemployment Claims
Today there are US Unemployment Claims figures, which are quite sensitive data for gold because:
The market will assess the strength/weakness of the US labor market.
Worse-than-expected figures → increase the likelihood of Fed easing → positive for gold.
Better-than-expected figures → support USD, may cause gold to face adjustment pressure.
Therefore, it is advisable to limit new orders close to the news release time, wait for the post-news candle to stabilize, and then reassess the structure.
5. Risk management (user-friendly for phone users)
Sell is the priority scenario but do not overlook SL 4.125, to avoid the case of a strong breakout above the current volume cluster.
With the Buy 4.134 scenario, it is advisable to split TP, move SL to breakeven when the price hits TP1 to reduce the pressure of having to "watch the chart" continuously on the phone.
If D1/H4 closes below the 4.125 area with large volume, Brian will consider it a signal to reduce short-term buying expectations and wait for a clearer new structure.
Gold Holds Strong Inside Trend Channel,Prepares for New ATH PushGold continues to maintain impressive bullish momentum, trading steadily within its rising trend channel. With structure firmly supported and macro sentiment leaning dovish, the market appears to be positioning for a new short-term ATH if liquidity aligns.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – MMF Flow)
Gold has respected the ascending channel perfectly, with each corrective leg finding buyers along channel midline and lower boundary.
The most recent impulse broke through the 4,23x region before pulling back into local liquidity.
Key Liquidity Zones
4,236 – 4,254 → Short-term supply reacting
4,218 – 4,220 → Minor demand zone
4,196 – 4,199 → Major BUY Zone (channel support + imbalance fill)
Market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 4,196, the confluence level where:
✔️ Demand zone
✔️ Trend channel support
✔️ Fibonacci retracement
all align.
A clean bounce from this zone could trigger the next expansion leg.
🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Priority
Scenario 1 – Continuation Bounce
Entry (Buy): 4,218 – 4,220
SL: 4,210
TP: 4,254 → 4,272 → 4,281
Scenario 2 – Strong Liquidity Sweep BUY (Preferred for RR)
Entry (Buy): 4,196 – 4,199
SL: 4,188
TP: 4,236 → 4,254 → 4,281
SELL Trades
Only scalp sells at supply zones
(4,254–4,257 / 4,281–4,283)
→ Not a main strategy while trend remains bullish.
⚜️ MMF View
Gold is showing healthy bullish structure, with clear liquidity engineering and controlled corrections.
As long as price stays within the trend channel and above 4,196, the path of least resistance remains up.
A breakout toward 4,281+ is highly likely before any deeper correction.
“In bullish markets, the best trades come from buying the dip—never chasing the pump.”XAU/USD – Gold Holds Strong Inside Trend Channel, Prepares for New ATH Push
Gold continues to maintain impressive bullish momentum, trading steadily within its rising trend channel. With structure firmly supported and macro sentiment leaning dovish, the market appears to be positioning for a new short-term ATH if liquidity aligns.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – MMF Flow)
Gold has respected the ascending channel perfectly, with each corrective leg finding buyers along channel midline and lower boundary.
The most recent impulse broke through the 4,23x region before pulling back into local liquidity.
Key Liquidity Zones
4,236 – 4,254 → Short-term supply reacting
4,218 – 4,220 → Minor demand zone
4,196 – 4,199 → Major BUY Zone (channel support + imbalance fill)
Market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 4,196, the confluence level where:
✔️ Demand zone
✔️ Trend channel support
✔️ Fibonacci retracement
all align.
A clean bounce from this zone could trigger the next expansion leg.
🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Priority
Scenario 1 – Continuation Bounce
Entry (Buy): 4,218 – 4,220
SL: 4,210
TP: 4,254 → 4,272 → 4,281
Scenario 2 – Strong Liquidity Sweep BUY (Preferred for RR)
Entry (Buy): 4,196 – 4,199
SL: 4,188
TP: 4,236 → 4,254 → 4,281
SELL Trades
Only scalp sells at supply zones
(4,254–4,257 / 4,281–4,283)
→ Not a main strategy while trend remains bullish.
⚜️ MMF View
Gold is showing healthy bullish structure, with clear liquidity engineering and controlled corrections.
As long as price stays within the trend channel and above 4,196, the path of least resistance remains up.
A breakout toward 4,281+ is highly likely before any deeper correction.
“In bullish markets, the best trades come from buying the dip—never chasing the pump.”
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(28/11/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat today, indicating a neutral start with no immediate directional push from buyers or sellers. If the index sustains above the 59550–59600 zone, the buying setup becomes active with upside targets of 59750, 59850, and 59950+. A further breakout above 60050–60100 can continue the bullish momentum toward 60250, 60350, and 60450+.
On the downside, any weakness will be confirmed only if Bank Nifty slips below the 59450–59400 level, which will activate the reversal setup with downside targets of 59250, 59150, and 59050-. Since the opening is flat, the initial movement may remain range-bound, and a decisive break above or below key levels will determine the intraday trend.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 24/11/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up today, indicating early strength after the recent decline and signalling that buyers may attempt a recovery from lower levels. If the index sustains above the 26050–26100 zone, the long setup becomes active with upside targets of 26150, 26200, and 26250+. A breakout above the major resistance at 26250 can further extend the bullish momentum toward 26350, 26400, and 26450+.
On the downside, any weakness or reversal will be confirmed only if the index rejects the 26250–26200 zone, activating the reversal short setup toward 26150, 26100, and 26050-. An additional short opportunity emerges only if Nifty breaks below 25950, which opens targets of 25850, 25800, and 25750-. With a gap-up opening, early price action around the key zones will determine whether the market continues upward or faces resistance-driven pullback.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendlineLiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendline, waiting to break the structure for a breakout
After testing the upward trendline twice, gold bounced up and then moved sideways around the 4065 area. On H4, this price zone has accumulated for almost a week – indicating that the selling force is not liquid enough to push the price down deeply, while there is still plenty of price gap above according to Fibonacci. My preferred scenario: gold continues to "compress" within the triangle, then breaks out to create a new wave.
Macro – Fed context
Fed member Collins emphasized that there is still reason to be cautious about cutting rates in the December meeting. She stated:
This is a complex phase, and it's not unusual for internal disagreements within the Fed.
The Fed must balance between the two goals of employment and inflation, which are moving in opposite directions.
This makes it difficult for the market to clearly price the interest rate scenario, so gold continues to choose to accumulate around important technical zones instead of breaking out in one direction.
Technical Analysis – Trendline, Fibonacci, Volume Profile
The current H4 structure is a triangle model with:
A downward sloping trendline from the old peak 42xx.
An upward sloping trendline from the late October low, acting as dynamic support.
Zone 4060–4070: the "balance" price zone last week – where the price moved sideways the longest, serving as a reference point for the short-term trend.
Key levels: 4132: near resistance, coinciding with the VAH area of the current Volume Profile.
4171: higher resistance, near the Fibonacci 1.0 area of the recovery wave.
4242: Fibonacci extension confluence zone (1.618) + historical resistance – where strong profit-taking is likely.
4347: 2.618 expansion zone – reference target if the peak is successfully broken.
4022 and 3997: important support close to the lower trendline – main buy zone if there is a liquidity sweep.
When the price decisively breaks out of one of the trendlines, the new trend on H4 will be clearer; the trading plan will follow this breakout direction.
Risk management and invalidation
H4 closes below 3997: the triangle structure is broken downward, fully prioritizing sell orders to lower zones – at that point, medium-term buy orders should not be held.
H4 closes above 4245 with good volume: considered a successful triangle peak breakout, discard all sell orders in this area and focus on buying according to the new trend.
Which scenario are you leaning towards for next week: breaking up to test 4242–4347 or sweeping down to 4022–3997 before bouncing back? Leave a comment and follow the LiamTrading channel on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(21/11/2025)Bank Nifty is likely to open flat today, indicating a neutral start with no strong directional bias in the early session. A sustained move above the 59050–59100 zone will activate the buying levels, opening targets of 59250, 59350, and 59450+.
If momentum continues and price moves into the higher resistance band at 59550–59600, the next buying opportunity becomes active with upside targets at 59750, 59850, and 59950+.
On the downside, weakness will be confirmed only if the index slips below the 59450–59400 area, triggering a selling entry with targets of 59250, 59150, and 59050-. Since the opening is flat, price action near these key trigger zones will decide the trend. Until then, the market may remain inside the range with mild volatility.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(13/11/2025)Bank Nifty is likely to open with a gap up near the 58,400–58,450 zone, indicating positive sentiment after yesterday’s consolidation phase. The index is currently hovering close to its key resistance area, and a decisive move above this zone could lead to further momentum on the upside.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 58,500–58,550, traders can look for buying opportunities, targeting 58,750, 58,850, and 58,950+. A breakout beyond 58,950 could trigger a sharp rally toward the 59,100–59,200 zone.
On the downside, support lies at 58,050, followed by 57,950. A fall below 57,950 may invite mild selling pressure, leading to targets around 57,750–57,550.
Overall, with a gap up opening, market tone remains slightly bullish, but traders should wait for sustained movement above 58,550 for confirmation of upward continuation. If the index fails to hold above 58,450, a short-term pullback cannot be ruled out. Keeping a trailing stop loss and partial profit booking is advisable in this volatile range.
Jio Financial Breakout Watch –Wedge Setup Points to ₹356+ TargetJio Financial Services is currently presenting an exciting opportunity on the charts, with a wedge breakout setup forming after months of consolidation. A wedge is a bullish pattern that typically signals a reversal or continuation of an uptrend, especially when supported by rising volumes and strong market sentiment.
The price has been compressed within a narrowing wedge since August, bouncing between a down-sloping resistance zone and a strong ascending support zone. Each dip has been met with higher lows, indicating strong accumulation near the base of the wedge. The recent price action around ₹300 shows a strong bullish candle attempting to break out of the wedge resistance — a sign of growing buyer interest.
What strengthens this setup is the support confluence with 200 EMA and the lower wedge support. The 200 EMA near ₹299 has particularly held firm, and the breakout is emerging just above it — a healthy technical signal.
If the breakout sustains, we can expect a multi-leg bullish move with:
Target 1: ₹315+
Target 2: ₹340+
Final Target Projection: ₹356+
These targets are calculated based on the height of the wedge, which is then projected upwards from the breakout point. The price structure suggests a potential for an impulsive rally once the wedge breakout is fully confirmed on daily closing.
On the downside, a strict stop loss below ₹292 has been defined — any close below this zone would invalidate the bullish pattern and suggest a deeper retracement. This stop aligns just beneath the key support zone, keeping the risk-reward ratio favorable for positional traders.
In conclusion, Jio Financial is at a critical technical juncture. A confirmed breakout above the wedge could unlock substantial upside toward ₹356+, while maintaining disciplined risk management below ₹292 remains essential. Watch the breakout candle and follow-up volume closely — it could be the start of a new trend leg.
Gold Rebuilds Structure Above $3940, Eyeing $4030 Liquidity Pool🔍 Market Context
Gold is attempting to regain bullish momentum as safe-haven demand remains supported by rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the upcoming US ADP employment data.
The market continues to oscillate between risk aversion and rate expectations — with the Fed’s hawkish tone keeping the Dollar capped but steady.
At the same time, capital flow rotation from equities into defensive assets is quietly supporting the metal’s structural recovery, with gold holding above key liquidity levels despite intraday volatility.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4)
After forming a double-bottom structure near $3,938, XAU/USD has reclaimed the 38.2% retracement zone (3,974–3,975) from its previous bearish leg.
This area now acts as a pivot zone, separating short-term bullish continuation from potential retracement.
The chart reveals a classic liquidity cycle shift:
Phase 1: Sweep of downside liquidity below 3,930, marking an internal structural low.
Phase 2: Expansion leg reclaiming short-term FVGs, signaling a potential smart money accumulation phase.
Phase 3: Repricing toward upper liquidity targets aligned with Fibonacci extensions.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Liquidity Base: 3,938 – 3,950 (recent demand re-entry area)
• 🎯 Rejection Zone 1: 3,974 – 3,999 (previous inefficiency block)
• ⚙️ Target Zone: 4,033 – 4,045 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extensions, liquidity pool)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,920 would shift structure back to distribution.
🎯 MMFLOW Scenario
If gold sustains above the 3,950 support cluster, buyers are likely to extend the retracement toward 3,999–4,033 where resting liquidity sits.
A clean rejection from 4,000 could trigger an intraday pullback — but as long as price holds above the 3,938 OB base, the bullish recovery structure remains intact.
The short-term narrative favors controlled accumulation, suggesting that smart money is building positions into liquidity zones before the next impulsive move.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Liquidity isn’t random — it’s engineered. Every move leaves a footprint, and gold is tracing its next one above $3,950.”
Gold Pauses Below $4,000 as Markets Digest Hawkish Fed Tone🔍 Market Context
Gold struggles to find direction in early Asia, hovering just below the $4,000 psychological level after the Fed’s hawkish remarks dampened bullish momentum.
Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed that another rate cut this year is “not a given”, keeping yields supported and safe-haven demand balanced.
Meanwhile, ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7, signalling cooling momentum but not enough to alter the Fed’s cautious stance.
With odds of a December rate cut near 70%, gold remains trapped between policy uncertainty and soft macro sentiment.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4)
Price is consolidating within a tight structure between 3,963$ and 4,024$, showing compression before a potential expansion move.
The 3,984$–3,963$ zone acts as short-term liquidity support, aligning with the rising intraday trendline.
Key Levels
• 💎 Liquidity Support: 3,963$ – 3,984$
• 🎯 Immediate Resistance: 4,024$
• ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ (liquidity sweep + expansion zone)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,923$, bias shifts to neutral
A clean breakout above 4,024$ could trigger a move toward 4,046$, while failure to hold above 3,963$ may invite another liquidity grab before buyers re-enter.
🎯 MMFLOW View
Smart money remains patient.
As long as 3,963$ holds, dips are seen as accumulation rather than weakness.
But conviction only returns when liquidity confirms above 4,024$ — that’s where momentum aligns with intent.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Liquidity doesn’t chase price — it creates the path for it.”
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand.
Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion.
However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps.
• Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply).
• Short-Term Targets:
– 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket.
– 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension.
• Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility.
Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound.
⚜️ Summary
This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset.
The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment.
Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
GOLD (XAU/USD) — Calm Before the FOMC Storm Gold is currently consolidating above $3,950, signaling a pause in volatility as traders await the FOMC decision for the next directional move.
1️⃣ Macro Outlook & Core Bias – FOMC in Focus 🔑
Market Pause: After rebounding during the Asian session, Gold’s upside momentum remains limited. Market participants are cautious ahead of the Fed’s policy update.
Headwinds: Renewed optimism on US–China trade and a slightly stronger USD are capping Gold’s advances.
Game Plan: Stay tactical — identify scalp zones and prepare for a major breakout once the FOMC event unfolds.
2️⃣ Technical Setup – Descending Channel in Play 📉
Structure: Price action is holding above $3,950, but movement remains confined within a descending channel/flag.
Bias: Short-term demand persists, yet the broader structure still favors bears.
Preferred Setup: Watch for BUY scalps from lower demand zones toward the Fibo/channel resistance area.
3️⃣ Trading Plan – Precision & Patience 💰
🟩 BUY Scenario (Long Scalp)
Buy Zone: $3,939.468
Strategy: Look for long scalps targeting the Fibo 0.5 resistance.
Stop-Loss: Tight SL just below the $3,939 level.
🟥 SELL Scenario (Short Setup)
Scalp Sell Zone: $4,015.646 (Fibo 0.5)
→ Short scalps targeting a retest of the channel midline.
Main Sell Zone: $4,046.448 (Fibo 0.618 / Channel Ceiling)
→ Ideal entry for a continuation short, aligning with the overall bearish channel.
4️⃣ Trader’s Take 🚀
The FOMC decision will set the tone —
Are you eyeing a bounce from $3,939, or waiting for the $4,046 rejection to ride the next wave down?
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks.
The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD.
However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish.
The break below the ₹4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans.
📊 Technical Analysis
Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame.
Immediate resistance: ₹3,985 – ₹4,000 (former support, now supply zone).
Target zones:
• Short-term liquidity area near ₹3,925–₹3,930
• Extended target sits around ₹3,880–₹3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618.
Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above ₹4,020–₹4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the broken ₹4,000 zone and fails to regain it,
expect sellers to extend control toward ₹3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting.
That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside.
⚜️ Summary
Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural.
The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment,
and liquidity below ₹3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound.
Watch the reaction near ₹3,920–₹3,880 —
that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.
GOLD DIP ALERT! Sniping the $3,89x FIBO Floor Ahead of FOMC!FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Quick Insight (H1/M30 Focus)
Welcome Traders! Gold paused its sell-off near $4,065 as safe-haven demand returned pre-FOMC. Dovish Fed expectations are weakening the USD, setting the stage for a major rally. This is the final BUY ON DIPS setup!
🧠 INSIGHT & LOGIC
Fundamental Anchor: Weak US inflation and strong expectations for a Fed rate cut are the key drivers limiting downside. Long-term bias is Bullish.
Technical Focus: We are tracking the final deep correction to the $3,89x zone (Fibo 1.5 - 1.618 Extension). This is the ultimate technical floor for the ATH rally.
Action Plan: WAIT for the price to hit this extreme zone and confirm reversal (H1/M30).
🎯 KEY ACTION ZONES
🔥 CRITICAL BUY: $3,89x region ($3,881.435$).
Strategy: BUY on confirmation here.
TP TARGET 1: $4,037.647 (Immediate Resistance).
TP TARGET 2: $4,232.374 (Major Structural Resistance).
SL MANDATE: Place SL safely below the 1.618 Fibo zone.
Patience is key. Do NOT rush the entry! Is the $3,89x$ floor strong enough for the ATH rally? 👇
🇮🇳 LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMC🇮🇳 LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMC | Focus on Buying the Retracement near $3914
Hello Traders,
After a strong sell-off, Gold (XAUUSD) is showing early signs of recovery, building a minor upward structure.
We continue to focus on buying the pullback, viewing this move as a short-term correction within the broader downtrend.
Expect higher volatility as the FOMC decision approaches.
📰 MACRO CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTALS
The market is holding steady ahead of the FED announcement:
🟢 Technical Recovery:
Gold reversed part of its decline during the Asian session, bouncing slightly from a 3-week low as traders await the FOMC rate decision.
🔴 Headwinds:
However, optimism around US-China trade talks and a stronger USD continue to limit the upside momentum.
📊 TECHNICAL VIEW & TRADING PLAN
We are focusing on high-probability liquidity zones for both long and short opportunities:
🟢 Primary BUY Setup (Retracement Buy)
Looking for a retest of the key buy-side liquidity zone to trigger the next recovery wave.
Entry Zone (Buy): $3914
Stop Loss: $3906 (Tight SL recommended)
Take Profit: TP1 $3933 | TP2 $3956
🔴 SELL Setup (Retest / Short-Term Scalping)
Using the broken trend area for short opportunities.
Entry Zone (Sell): $4048
Stop Loss: $4056
Take Profit: TP1 $4035 | TP2 $4022
🧭 SUMMARY & TRADER’S NOTE
Gold is now in a decision zone — volatility will spike around FOMC.
Trade with discipline:
✅ Enter only at confirmed liquidity zones.
✅ Always respect your Stop Loss.
✅ Manage your capital carefully before the news release.
Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined session!
GOLD DIVE—Sniping the $405x Dip Before FOMC!Welcome Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is correcting sharply, dropping 1.10% towards $4,065. This weakness is driven by trade optimism, but the underlying Fed rate cut expectation keeps our BUY ON DIPS strategy highly profitable!
🧠 MARKET PSYCHOLOGY (MIND)
Bears' Power: Trade optimism is pushing safe-haven assets down. Sellers are targeting the recent uptrend structure.
Bulls' Anchor: Weak US inflation data means a Fed rate cut is almost certain (25 bps expected). This long-term USD weakness acts as a floor for Gold.
Action Bias: BUY THE DIP at critical Fibo supports, anticipating the Fed decision to fuel the next rally.
📊 KEY LEVELS & ACTION ZONES (H1)
We are using the Fibo retracement from the recent high to define our optimal entry points.
🎯 SELL TARGET / CEILING: $4,164.938 (Zone 416x). This is the immediate resistance and the ultimate target for the Long trade.
🔥 HIGH-CONVICTION BUY ZONE: $4,048.493 (Fibo 0.5 Zone 405x). The optimal entry to maximize risk/reward.
Strategy: Wait for a clean tag and H1/M30 reversal signal here.
⚡️ SCALP BUY REACT ZONE: $4,077.605 (Zone 407x). A quick bounce area for aggressive buyers.
❌ INVALIDATION: SL must be placed safely below the 0.618 Fibo level of the 405x zone.
📈 TRADING PLAN SUMMARY (DIP BUY)
Entry Focus: Prioritize the $4,048.493 (405x) Fibo Zone for a high-quality Long entry.
SL Placement: Strict SL below the 0.618 Fibo of the 405x zone.
TP Target: Aim for the recent high at $4,164.938 (416x).
💬 TRADER'S QUESTION
The drop is here! Are you buying the aggressive 407x level or patiently waiting for the optimal 405x Fibo zone before the expected Fed cut rally?
Plan |Gold Gradually Accumulating, Ready for a Rebound Wave?🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold underwent a deep correction, breaking the short-term bullish structure (BoS) and retesting the OB Bearish zone above .
However, since the price returned to the 4,040 – 4,060 USD area, the market has clearly shown signs of liquidity absorption ($$$) and maintained an internal uptrend line, indicating that buying momentum is returning.
The current structure suggests gold is in a re-accumulation phase before forming a medium-term rebound wave towards the 4,185 → 4,243 USD zone.
The buyers hold the advantage as long as the price does not break the main support trendline.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 USD → a strong support zone confluencing with the trendline, where institutional buying forces have appeared.
Support Trendline: connecting the series of higher lows from 15/10 → the short-term trend remains bullish.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,060 – 4,080 → supply absorption zone, confirming its role as a “price base”.
Resistance Zone: 4,149 – 4,185 → the first resistance zone to break to confirm the recovery momentum.
Target FVG / Supply Zone: 4,243 – 4,250 → potential profit-taking zone or point to consider reversal.
Current structure:
→ Short-term: bullish corrective move.
→ Medium-term: potential for forming an extended recovery wave if it holds above 4,040 USD.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Trendline / Liquidity Zone 4,060 USD
Entry: 4,060 – 4,070
SL: 4,035
TP1: 4,149
TP2: 4,185
TP3: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Price touches the trendline or liquidity zone 4,060 and shows a bullish reversal signal (rejection / bullish engulfing).
➡️ This is a high-probability setup, confluencing the trendline structure + liquidity support zone, often where large buyers re-enter the market.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Break & Retest resistance zone 4,149 USD
Entry: 4,149 – 4,155
SL: 4,130
TP1: 4,185
TP2: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to break the resistance zone 4,149 with strong volume, then lightly retest without closing the candle below 4,130.
➡️ Trend-following setup – confirms the return of buying momentum and extends the target to the FVG zone 4,243 USD.
3️⃣ SELL Setup (Scalp Reaction) – FVG 4,243 USD
Entry: 4,240 – 4,245
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,185 → 4,150
✅ Condition:
Only execute if there is a strong reaction at FVG 4,243 without a continuation break signal.
➡️ Short-term technical sell – exploiting the supply zone reaction, do not hold the position long.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise trading in the buy direction, avoid selling against the main trend.
If H2 closes the candle below 4,035 → bullish scenario invalid, wait for a new structure.
Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,090–4,130).
Keep moderate volume, move SL to breakeven when the price exceeds 4,149.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in an ascending re-accumulation phase after a strong decline.
As long as the price holds the trendline and support zone 4,040 – 4,060 USD, there is a high chance gold will rebound following the liquidity + breakout retest model, with the main target being 4,185 → 4,243 USD .
If it breaks through 4,243 USD, the market may trigger a stronger recovery momentum towards 4,300 – 4,340 USD .
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,060–4,070 → TP 4,185 / 4,243 USD
Add Buy when breaking 4,149 USD with volume confirmation.
Technical Sell 4,243 USD if there is no signal to break higher.
🔥 “As long as 4,040 holds, gold remains in accumulation — patience will pay.”
⏰ Timeframe: 2H
📅 Update: 27/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Stuck Near ₹4,100 Ahead of CPIMarket Pulse:
Gold is holding steady around ₹4,100, caught between uncertainty and opportunity as traders brace for the US CPI release and new developments in US–China trade talks.
The yellow metal has paused its recovery from ₹4,050 → ₹4,160, while the US Dollar and bond yields edge higher amid renewed geopolitical tension and surging oil prices.
This is the classic “calm before volatility” moment — the market is simply waiting for data to decide the next wave.
If CPI comes in softer or trade talks disappoint, liquidity could flood back into gold, breaking above ₹4,155–₹4,160 and opening the path toward ₹4,215 → ₹4,261.
But a strong CPI surprise could flip sentiment fast — dragging price back into the ₹4,056 and ₹4,018 buy zones, where the next reaction will decide direction.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30)
Price continues to coil within a tight structure between ₹4,100 – ₹4,155, forming a “spring compression” right below trendline resistance.
Market flow suggests accumulation beneath ₹4,100, hinting that liquidity is building before the next expansion.
Key Structure Zones:
Resistance Pivot: ₹4,154 – ₹4,155 → Key breakout level
Breakout Support (CP Zone): ₹4,056 – ₹4,060
Liquidity Buy Zone: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020
Sell Zone (Fibo Reaction): ₹4,215 – ₹4,261
🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Style
🔹 BUY PLAN – Reaccumulation Base
Entry: ₹4,056 – ₹4,060
Stop Loss: ₹4,045
Targets: ₹4,100 → ₹4,140 → ₹4,155
Focus on reaction candles & liquidity grab confirmation.
🔹 BUY PLAN – Liquidity Sweep Setup
Entry: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020
Stop Loss: ₹4,005
Targets: ₹4,056 → ₹4,100 → ₹4,150
If liquidity sweeps this zone clean, watch for a sharp recovery flow.
🧭 Summary – MMFLOW View
Gold is in “decision mode”, waiting for CPI and macro catalysts to trigger the next trend.
The structure stays neutral-bullish as long as price holds above ₹4,056.
A confirmed breakout above ₹4,155 may unlock a fast rally toward ₹4,215–₹4,260, while a break below ₹4,018 could open the door for one more liquidity flush.
⚜️ MMFLOW Bias: No need to predict the move — just follow the flow when liquidity confirms.
📊 Do you expect gold to break higher after CPI, or trap traders before reversing?
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context
After a prolonged decline from the peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD zone, where the selling side was completely absorbed by strong buying pressure from the demand zone below.
The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the appearance of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum.
This indicates a high possibility that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the FVG resistance zone above, or even expand back to the ATH zone if buying pressure continues.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom zone, increased volume appears, confirming absorption of sell orders.
Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → starting zone for recovery momentum; if the price retests this zone and holds → confirmation signal for an upward phase.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave.
• FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence of medium-term resistance.
OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if the price surpasses → confirmation of a new upward trend.
Current market structure:
→ Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone).
→ Medium-term: waiting for confirmation to break 4,234 to transition to a complete bullish structure.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest the Order Block 4,081 USD
Entry: 4,081 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,196
TP2: 4,234
TP3: 4,370
✅ Conditions:
Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 zone, a confirmation signal for an increase appears (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15.
➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to the confluence of OB + ChoCH + strong demand zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD
Entry: 4,196 – 4,200
SL: 4,180
TP: 4,234 → 4,370
✅ Conditions:
The price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing candles below 4,180.
➡️ Trend-following setup, following the money flow when the price confirms breaking the short-term resistance zone.
📉 Alternative Scenario – SELL reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 4,234 – 4,240
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,196 → 4,100
✅ Conditions:
If the price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment phase may appear.
➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if there is no continuation confirmation at FVG2.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise BUY according to the main recovery trend, only SELL when there is a clear reaction.
Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,130–4,180).
If the price closes H1 candles below 4,060 → invalidate the recovery trend, pause all buy orders.
💬 Conclusion
Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal .
Two important zones to monitor:
4,081 USD (OB Zone): first rebound support zone.
4,234 USD (FVG Zone): zone confirming a new upward structure.
If the price holds OB and breaks through FVG, there is a high chance gold will resume its upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD.
Sell reaction 4,234 USD only when a clear reversal signal appears.
🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 23/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.”
🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historic peak ATH GOLD 4,381 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe.
Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak.
The sellers are regaining short-term dominance, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — which was the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend.
If this zone is decisively broken, it is highly likely that the medium-term bullish structure will break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD.
💎 Technical Analysis
Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction.
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, may see a temporary pause.
Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum creation zone → ATH; if breached, long-term bullish structure is invalidated.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken.
Overall Structure:
→ Short-term: bearish corrective phase.
→ Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not broken.
📉 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone
Entry: 4,216 – 4,228
SL: 4,240
TP1: 4,043
TP2: 3,956
TP3: 3,689
✅ Condition:
Wait for a clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at the FVG resistance zone.
➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow post-ChoCH, targeting the key OB zone 3,953 USD.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD
Entry: 3,956 – 3,953
SL: 3,940
TP: 4,043 → 4,216
✅ Condition:
Price holds OB and a strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again).
➡️ This is the decisive zone for the medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if it breaks, gold enters a new deep decline cycle.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 with reversal signals.
BUY at 3,953 only with a clear reaction; if broken, cease all buy orders.
When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) .
If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280;
but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase towards 3,689 USD – where a large liquidity pool is concentrated at the bottom.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if clear reversal signals appear.
Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if strong reaction;
If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritise SELL continuation.
🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H – reference H4/Daily
📅 Update: 22/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent






















