EUR/USD Outlook: Tariff Concerns and Key Technical LevelsEUR/USD is stable around 1.0360 during the Asian trading session, after rising in the previous session. The currency pair may face downward pressure due to President Donald Trump’s plan to impose reciprocal tariffs, which could affect major countries such as Japan, the EU, and China. The Euro faces challenges as the Eurozone is particularly vulnerable to tariffs from the US. Risk-averse sentiment has also increased, compounded by the cautious stance of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell regarding interest rate cuts.
From a technical analysis perspective, EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.0360 and is likely to encounter strong resistance at 1.0400. This is a key level, and if it is surpassed, the pair could continue to rise towards the next target of 1.0450. However, if the price fails to maintain above 1.0400, it is likely that EUR/USD will continue its downward adjustment.
The nearest support level is at 1.0331, which was previously resistance and could now act as a significant support level. If the price breaks this support, the pair could continue its downtrend and find lower levels at 1.0290.
Technical indicators suggest that momentum is weakening, and overbought levels on the hourly chart are gradually declining, indicating the potential for short-term correction. However, if EUR/USD maintains above 1.0400, the pair could return to an uptrend. Investors should keep an eye on signals from indicators such as RSI and MACD to track further changes in the pair’s price direction.
Technicalindicators
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H: Bullish with Possible Pullback!!Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Chart Analysis: Bullish Trend with Possible Pullback
Key Observations:
1. Price Action & Trend:
The price is currently trading around $2,817.685.
The trend appears bullish, with a strong upward move.
There is a marked internal liquidity (Int. LQ) taken, indicating that liquidity has been absorbed, which could lead to further upside.
A market structure break (MB filled) suggests past resistance turned into support.
2. Technical Indicators:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA 200, red line) is at $2,709.123, which is significantly below the current price. This suggests that gold is in a strong uptrend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14 close) is at 68.56, nearing the overbought zone (70) but still has room for potential upside.
3. Projected Movement:
The chart suggests a potential pullback (small consolidation) before further upward movement.
Fair volume ranges (marked in red) indicate levels where price may slow down or consolidate before continuation.
Price is above key liquidity levels, which may act as support.
Conclusion:
The trend remains bullish, and the price could continue rising after a minor consolidation.
Key levels to watch:
Support: Around $2,800 (former liquidity level).
Resistance: Next potential target is $2,840 - $2,860.
Risk Consideration: RSI is approaching overbought levels, so a short-term correction could occur before another push higher.
DXY Bullish Breakout – USD Strengthening Towards 120+?📊 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Monthly Chart Analysis 🚀
📈 Breakout in Progress:
The chart shows a breakout from a horizontal resistance zone (previous highs). This signals bullish momentum.
📊 Trend & Structure:
Higher Lows & Higher Highs indicate an uptrend.
Price has been moving within an ascending channel for years.
📉 EMA 200 Support:
The 200-month EMA (95.63) is well below the current price, acting as a strong long-term support level.
🔮 Future Projection:
A potential pullback to confirm support, followed by a strong bullish move toward 120-125 levels.
Chart Projection Suggests: 🚀 Upside continuation if support holds.
🔥 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: 104-108 (Breakout retest zone)
🎯 Target: 116-124 (Upper trendline)
💡 Conclusion: Bullish bias remains strong. If DXY holds above 108, the dollar could gain more strength in 2025. 🚀📊
Advance Option Trading Option trading is largely a skill requiring knowledge of market trends, strategies, and risk management techniques. While there is an element of uncertainty in the markets, successful traders rely on analysis, planning, and discipline rather than luck.18 Dec 2024
Even though successful options trading can be immensely profitable and financially liberating, you need to set your life up so you can afford to get good at trading without worrying about money and stress. It is possible, but trading is not a way to get rich quickly or without effort.
RSIThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used momentum oscillator in technical analysis that helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions in a market. Here’s a brief overview:
Interpretation:
Overbought: An RSI above 70 suggests that the asset might be overbought and could be due for a pullback.
Oversold: An RSI below 30 indicates that the asset might be oversold and could be due for a bounce.
PCR (Put Call Ratio) Trading The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
Here PCR is computed by dividing the put trading volume by the call trading volume on a specific day. Here, Put volume indicates the total put options initiated over a specific time-frame. Conversely, Call volume indicates the total call options initiated over a specific time-frame.
Bajaj Finserv: Is a Major Move Coming?Introduction:
Bajaj Finserv Limited, a leader in India’s non-banking financial services and insurance sector, has consistently captured investor interest with its diversified offerings. From technical patterns signaling an impending move to its robust financial performance and macroeconomic tailwinds, this analysis provides a 360-degree perspective on the stock.
Technical Analysis:
The weekly price chart of Bajaj Finserv reveals significant levels and patterns:
1. Formation: Ascending Triangle and Support Trendline
• The stock is confined within an ascending triangle, respecting trendline supports.
• Key support levels include ₹1,458 (close to the 200-week EMA) and ₹1,607 (50-week EMA).
• Resistance lies near ₹1,800; a breakout could lead to a rally toward ₹2,000–₹2,200.
2. Moving Averages: Support Zones
• 200-Week EMA (₹1,458): Indicates strong long-term support.
• 50-Week EMA (₹1,607): A pivot for medium-term trends.
3. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
Based on the price move from ₹900 to ₹1,750 in 2022, a 38.2% retracement around ₹1,480 has acted as a strong demand zone.
4. Volume Patterns:
Spikes in buying volume near ₹1,450–₹1,600 zones signal strong institutional support.
Bullish Triggers:
• Sustained breakout above ₹1,800 can lead to potential targets of ₹2,200–₹2,500.
Bearish Risks:
• Breach of the ₹1,458 support could take the stock toward ₹1,300, intensifying selling pressure.
Fundamental Analysis:
1. Revenue and Profit Performance:
• Bajaj Finserv reported total revenue growth of 18% YoY in Q2 FY2025, reaching ₹17,920 crore, driven by its lending and insurance verticals.
• Consolidated net profit grew by 25%, touching ₹1,800 crore, indicating robust profitability across segments.
2. Business Segments:
• Bajaj Finance: Delivered exceptional growth, aided by higher loan disbursements in retail and SME sectors.
• Insurance Businesses: Recorded a growth of 30% in Gross Written Premium (GWP) YoY in both life and general insurance.
3. Key Metrics (Q2 FY2025):
• EPS (Earnings Per Share): ₹50.85, growing 23% YoY.
• GNPA (Gross Non-Performing Assets): Stable at 1.12%, showcasing asset quality strength.
• ROE: ~16.8%, reflecting superior capital efficiency.
4. Financial Ratios Comparison:
Metric Bajaj Finserv Industry Average
P/E Ratio ~30x ~28x
Price-to-Book (P/B) ~4.2x ~3.5x
Dividend Yield ~0.24% ~0.60%
Market News and Developments:
1. Positive Catalysts:
• Bajaj Finserv’s proposed asset management business (AMC) is set to boost diversification. Regulatory approvals are awaited, but investor confidence remains high.
• Digitalization Strategy: Over 70% of customer acquisition in FY2025 came from digital platforms, solidifying its position in fintech.
• Insurance Growth Potential: Rising insurance penetration and expanding middle-class demographics in India.
2. Challenges to Watch Out For:
• Global Headwinds: The possibility of slower global economic growth in 2025 could affect financial markets and investment income.
• Rising Competition: Increased competition in the NBFC space might impact margins.
Bullish and Bearish Scenarios:
Bullish Case (Targets: ₹2,200–₹2,500):
1. Sustained breakout above ₹1,800 with strong volume confirmation.
2. Continued growth momentum in revenue and profitability, coupled with positive macroeconomic support like a potential rate cut by the RBI.
Bearish Case (Risk: ₹1,300 or lower):
1. Break below ₹1,458 could intensify selling and lead the stock to revisit its June 2022 lows.
2. Unanticipated macro events, like regulatory actions or NPAs rising above expectations, could derail long-term bullish sentiment.
Investment Outlook:
Bajaj Finserv combines growth in lending, insurance, and soon-to-be asset management operations. From a technical standpoint, the current price level offers a pivotal moment for traders. Fundamentally, it remains one of the stronger NBFC players in the sector, backed by operational stability and a growing customer base.
Disclaimer:
The analysis provided is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement of any specific investment or strategy. Consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author holds no responsibility for potential gains or losses incurred from your trades.
Trading indicators Trading indicators are mathematical formulas that give you a way to plot information on a price chart. This information can be used to identify possible signals, trends, and shifts in momentum. In simple terms, trading indicators can highlight when something might be happening.
Learn how to understand the concept of a stock trading indicator, how it affects your trading results and how to use to your benefit during day trading!
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) ...
Bollinger Bands Trading Indicator. ...
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ...
Fibonacci Trading Indicator. ...
Pivot Points.
Advanced Trading Trading involves the buying and selling of financial assets, such as stocks, to earn profits based on the price fluctuations of these assets. There are different types of trading, and traders use various strategies, techniques, and tools to decide when to buy or sell different assets.
Trade is the exchange of goods and services between parties for mutually beneficial purposes. People and countries trade to improve their circumstances and quality of life. It also develops relationships between governments and fosters friendship and trust.
Journey of Advanced Divergence TradingCommon types of trading are intraday, positional, swing, long-term trading, scalping, and momentum trading. Trading involves exchanging goods or services. In stock trading, investors buy and sell stocks from companies within regulated markets overseen by Indian regulatory bodies.
Master these skills and then you'll get a genuine shot at being a trading master.
Skills #1 and #2 – Research and Analysis. ...
Skill #3 – Adapting Your Market Analysis to Changing Market Conditions. ...
Skill #4 – Staying in the Game. ...
Skills #5 and #6 – Discipline and Patience. ...
Bonus Skill #7 – Record Keeping. ...
In the End.
Professional Trading MindsetOne of the most important psychological characteristics of winning traders is the ability to accept (1) risk and (2) the fact that you may well be wrong more often than you are right in initiating trades. Winning traders understand that trade management is actually a more important skill than market analysis.
How to trade professionally?
Start with a clear and concise plan with proven strategies and then leverage the 20 rules that follow.
Stick to Your Discipline. ...
Lose the Crowd. ...
Engage Your Trading Plan. ...
Don't Cut Corners. ...
Avoid the Obvious. ...
Don't Break Your Rules. ...
Avoid Market Gurus. ...
Use Your Intuition.
Option Data Trading– Option Chain Analysis can be used to find out the actual trend of the particular stock or index. Usually institutions and big funds sell options. By finding out which strike has more open interest, we can actually understand the support and resistance levels of a security (be it stocks or indices) for that expiry.
How to do option analysis? Option analysis involves studying various parameters like strike prices, premiums, implied volatility, open interest, and time decay. Combining this data with technical and fundamental analysis helps assess potential trade setups and risks.
Nupur Recyclers looking good; short term inv;Min 75% RoiHuge potential is there.
For short term investment ;
Leave a " Like If you agree ".👍
Follow for regular updates✌️
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Very close Stoploss is Enough
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Wait for small retracement & daily candle to close above - "90"
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This may be Slow and Time taking stock, but good for investment Portfolio.
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Enter after market Breaks
"Yellow box" mentioned.
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Don't make complicated trade set-up.📈📉
Keep it " simple, focus on consistency " 💹
Refer our old ideas for accuracy rate🧑💻
Valuable comments are welcomed-✌️
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Refer over old posted idea attached below.
Doge May Rise from Support Zone.When the DOGEUSD daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue above the support zone. As long as the crypto's 0.09385031 level is not broken down, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 0.10259554 level can exceed the 0.13174628 level and target the 0.16585265 level.
Will Bitcoin Continue Its Rise?When the BTCUSD 8-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue above the support zone. As long as the crypto's 57803 level is not broken down, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 59171 level can exceed the 63223 level and target the 66250 level.
Will Litecoin Break the Wedge Upwards?When the LTCUSDT 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue within the upward sloping wedge. As long as the crypto's 62.56 level is not broken downwards, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 65.79 level can exceed the 69.41 level and target the 76.50 level.
Has Bitcoin Started the Expected Move?When the BTCUSDT daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue above the support zone. As long as the crypto's 59400 level is not broken down, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 61810 level can cross the 69000 resistance zone and target the 79000 level.
XRPUSDT Technical AnalysisWhen the XRPUSDT daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line. As long as the crypto's 0.5410 level is not broken down, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 0.5560 level can cross the 0.6310 level and target the 0.7580 level.
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisWhen the BTCUSDT 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line with the formation of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Formation. As long as the crypto's level of 55554 is not broken down, it is evaluated that the price movements above the level of 58753 can exceed the level of 65022 and target the level of 69969.
SOLUSDT Technical AnalysisWhen the daily chart of SOLUSDT is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in a downward trend. It is evaluated that the crypto can target the level of 196 by passing the level of 152 in price movements above the level of 133, but it is evaluated that it can retreat to the level of 94 by breaking the level of 111 in price movements below the level of 133.
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisWhen the BTCUSDT daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in a downward trend. It is evaluated that the crypto can target the 64835 level by passing the 59867 level in price movements above the 53657 level, but it is evaluated that it can retreat to the 43817 level by breaking the 49071 level in price movements below the 53657 level.