Gold Price Plunges Under Pressure From Rising USD and US StocksThe current chart shows that gold prices are under great pressure as the USD Index surged to 105.12, making the USD stronger. This has reduced the attractiveness of gold to international investors. In addition, optimism about the US economic outlook under President Donald Trump and expectations that the FED will pause interest rate cuts have also contributed to the decline in gold prices.
The next important support level is at the $2,620/ounce area, a price level that has previously produced a rebound. If the price falls to this level, this could be the point where traders wait to see if there is enough buying pressure to create a temporary recovery. However, if the price breaks the $2,620 level, the price is likely to continue to fall further, towards lower support levels such as $2,600 or $2,580/ounce.
Given the current economic factors and the growth outlook of the USD, gold may continue to be under pressure in the coming time, especially when the demand for holding USD is still increasing.
Trading!
GBP/USD Waiting for Breakout in Downward ChannelGBP/USD is currently moving within a downward channel with resistance around 1.3000 and support at 1.2850. If the price breaks the upper channel boundary, an uptrend could be formed, with the target of reaching higher highs. Conversely, if the support at the lower boundary is broken, the downtrend could resume, pushing the price lower. The EMAs (34 and 89) are sloping downwards, indicating weak bullish momentum. Traders should keep a close eye on the channel boundaries to determine the next move.
Gold Faces Strong Selling Pressure, Heading Towards Key SupportGold is facing strong selling pressure below a descending trendline defined by lower highs. All three approaches to this trendline were rejected, indicating strong short-term selling pressure.
With the current selling pressure, I think there is a high possibility that the price will continue its downtrend and head towards a strong support zone around $2,650/ounce. If this support zone is broken, the downtrend could push the price further down, towards $2,620 or even lower.
USD/JPY Double Top Pattern PredictionFrom my observation on the USD/JPY chart, there are signs that the pair may be forming a double top pattern. The current key top is around 156.0 – this is a strong resistance level that the price has reached twice without being able to break out. This is a warning sign for a possible reversal, especially when buying pressure starts to wane.
With the double top pattern, if the price drops and breaks through the support area near 152.0, I think there is a high chance that the pattern will be confirmed. In this scenario, the downtrend could continue, and the price could head towards the lower support area around 151.0. That would be a point where I would consider entering a short position if the downtrend is confirmed.
EUR/USD Breaks Upward ChannelBased on the current chart of EUR/USD, the price has broken the upward channel and is in a downward correction trend. With the current selling pressure, EUR/USD is likely to continue falling towards the support zone around 1.0700 – 1.0720. If the price continues to be under pressure and fails to overcome the resistance at 1.0800, a deeper decline scenario is very likely.
Short Term to Long Term Chart Analysis of CreditAccess Grameen.Hello Everyone, I hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well, today i have brought a stock which has come at important support zone right now, I already have mention everything on chart, but let's discuss here as well in details. If you Check Stock is corrected almost 46% from all time high (1796) zone and made low at (911), today's closing is (947.35).
Currently stock is giving very good opportunity to accumulate on discounted price and hold for long term, This can be SIP stock also if anybody wants to do in it. we might not gonna to see these prices again.
Let's talk about some fundamentals
1:- P/E ratio is 11.34
2:- P/E ratio is 11.34 which is lower than it's 5 years Average P/E 31.77
3:- P/B ratio is 2.1655 which is lower than it's 5 years Average P/B 2.57
4:- P/E ratio is 11.3434 which is lower than it's Industry P/E 24.11
5:- Interest Coverage ratio 2.12 is higher than last year's Interest Coverage Ratio 1.91
6:- ROCE is 14.76%
7:- ROCE 14.76% has increased as compared to last year's ROCE 12.06%
8:- ROE is 24.87%
9:- ROE 14.76% has increased as compared to last year's ROE 12.06%
10:- ROCE 14.76% is higher than 5 years ROCE average 11.01%
11:- ROE 24.87% is higher than 5 years ROE average 13.81%
12:- PEG ratio is 0.25
13:- Operating Profit Margin (EBITDA Margin) is 72.05%
14:- Operating Profit Margin (EBITDA Margin) 72.05% has improved as compared to last year's OPM 66.73%
15:- Company is expected to give good quarter
16:- NPM is 27.99%
17:- Net Profit Margin (PAT Margin) 27.99% has improved as compared to last year's NPM 23.3%
18:- Dividend Yield is 1.05%
19:- Annual Sales has grown by 45.74%
20:- Annual Profit has grown over by 75.06%
21:- 3 Years Sales CAGR is 44.73%
22:- 3 Years Profit CAGR is 62.98%
23:- Quarterly Sales has grown over by 16.55% YoY
24:- Retail/Public have reduced their stakes by 1.39% in the latest quarter (16.25% to 14.86%)
25:- Promoters + FIIs + DIIs hold 92.16% in the company
Market Leader
The company is India’s largest NBFC Microfinance Institution with a total gross loan portfolio of Rs. ~26,700 Cr in FY24 vs Rs. ~16,500 Cr in FY22. It holds a 6% market share in the overall microfinance industry.
Customers
As of FY24, the company has an active borrower base of ~49 lakhs vs 38 lakhs in FY22. Rural borrowers account for ~84% of its total borrower base, ~28% are unique borrowers of the company.
Branch Network
As of FY24, the company has a network of ~1,960 branches (vs ~1,600 branches in FY22) across 16 States, 1 UT, and 383 Districts.
Outlook
The company expects a loan portfolio growth of 23% to 24% in FY25 and an NIM of 12.8% to 12.9%. Over FY25 to FY28, it anticipates a loan portfolio growth of 20% to 25%, and NIMs in the range of 12.7% to 12.9%.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
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ADVANCED OPTION TRADING Nifty option chain is considered to be the best advance warning system of sharp moves or break outs in the index.
An option chain will consist of both call and put options, along with other details. Option chain trades are more informed, as investors can compare different contracts. It can help investors view the strike price, bid price, ask price, volume, and other details for available contracts.
OPTION DATABASE TRADING An option chain is a comprehensive list that shows you all available option contracts for a given stock. These are sorted by their expiration date, which is the last day you can trade or use the option, and strike price, which is the price at which you can buy (call) or sell (put) the stock.
Nifty option chain is considered to be the best advance warning system of sharp moves or break outs in the index.
NMDC has announced bonus share and stock has given breakoutHello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought another stock which has given breakout of falling trendline on the news of bonus share announcement. Stock is technically and fundamentally good company. I am expecting 30-35% rally in this. Stock is ready to fly in blue sky. NMDC is engaged in exploration and production of Iron Ore along with Diamond, production and sale of Sponge Iron and generation and sale of Wind Power.
A Navratna company
National Mineral Development Corporation (NMDC) was established in the year 1958 as a fully owned government company under the administrative control of the Ministry of steel and is one of the most profitable ones among the Navratna companies.
Forward Integration
NMDC is one of the world’s low-cost Iron ore producers and they have ventured into the steel-making business to benefit from their ability to procure Iron ore at a cheaper price. The company has procured 2000 Acres of land in Chattisgarh to set up a steel plant with a manufacturing capacity of 3 MTPA and the facility will be the largest Blast furnace in India with a capacity of 4506 Cum.
Market Cap
₹ 68,796 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 235
High / Low
₹ 286 / 160
Stock P/E
11.2
Book Value
₹ 87.5
Dividend Yield
3.11 %
ROCE
30.9 %
ROE
23.9 %
Face Value
₹ 1.00
Industry PE
20.7
Debt
₹ 3,359 Cr.
EPS
₹ 20.1
Promoter holding
60.8 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 470
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
6.58
Change in Prom Hold
0.00 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
4.67 %
Sales growth 5Years
11.9 %
Return over 5years
22.2 %
Debt to equity
0.13
Net profit
₹ 5,887 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
24.0 %
Profit growth
23.1 %
Earnings yield
15.2 %
PEG Ratio
2.39
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Will Bitcoin History Repeat after US Election ?#Bitcoin and US Elections: History Repeats?
Looking back at the last two US elections, we’ve seen a strong Bitcoin bull market follow each one. Let’s take a look:
📅 2016 US Election (November):
➡️ Before the election, BTC was at $700
➡️ Within a year, BTC soared to $19,900
📅 2020 US Election (November):
➡️Pre-election price: $13,600
➡️ Just a year later, BTC hit an all-time high of $69,000!
Now, with the US election tomorrow, is this another CRYPTOCAP:BTC buying opportunity based on past trends?
🔮 My Prediction: By next year, November 2025, #BTC could reach $150,000 - $180,000.
Let’s see if history repeats!
#Crypto #BullMarket
Gold flirts with sellers in a bullish channel ahead of US NFPGold is stabilizing after its largest daily decline in 15 weeks, as traders await Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. In doing so, the precious metal bounces back above the 50-SMA but struggles to reclaim its previous upward trend, signaled by a three-week-old rising wedge. Still, it remains within a bullish channel established since early August.
Bulls need conviction to retake control
Even with gold's recent bounce and its position within a multi-day bullish channel, Thursday’s confirmation of a rising wedge bearish chart formation, combined with bearish MACD signals and a lack of oversold RSI, raises concerns for buyers.
Key technical levels to watch
Gold buyers focus on the rising wedge's bottom near $2,762 to regain control. If they succeed, the next targets will be the wedge's top at around $2,796 and the bullish channel’s upper line at about $2,810. A firm move above $2,810 could lead to the bullion’s gradual rise toward $2,900 and potentially $3,000.
On the other hand, Gold sellers are looking at Thursday’s low of $2,731, with the previous weekly low of around $2,708 in their sights. Key levels for bears include the bullish channel bottom and the 200-SMA near $2,687 and $2,670, respectively. If gold drops below $2,670, it may be set for a decline toward the rising wedge target of $2,570.
Bulls in control, but sellers seek opportunities
The recent bearish chart pattern offers sellers a chance for short-term gains, especially if the US employment report impacts gold prices. However, buyers are expected to maintain their hold on the market.
USDJPY fades month-old bullish trend on BoJ’s cautious pauseUSDJPY snapped a three-day winning streak even as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) held benchmark interest rates unchanged, as widely expected, after its two-day monetary policy meeting early Thursday. In doing so, the Yen pair also challenged a five-week-old bullish trend channel.
Bulls lack acceptance but bears have a bumpy road ahead…
Apart from the BoJ’s hawkish halt, sluggish MACD and RSI conditions, along with the USDJPY pair’s inability to cross a month-old rising resistance line and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of July-September downside, suggest a weakening of bullish bias. A slew of key supports, however, might challenge the sellers before taking control.
Key technical levels to watch
The aforementioned upward-sloping trend channel’s bottom line, close to 152.80, gains the immediate attention of the sellers ahead of the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around 152.20 at the latest. Following that, the USDJPY sellers can aim for the 150.00 threshold and the 200-EMA support of 149.00. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 149.00, the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio and September’s peak, respectively near 148.10 and 147.20, will act as the final defense of the buyers.
On the contrary, USDJPY needs a clear upside break of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 153.45, also known as the golden ratio, to convince buyers. Even so, a month-long ascending trend line and a horizontal hurdle established since mid-July, close to 154.80 and 155.30-40, will challenge the Yen pair’s further advances. If the prices remain firmer past 155.40, the odds of witnessing a rally toward the aforementioned bullish channel’s top line surrounding 157.70 can’t be ruled out.
Focus on US data
As the BoJ’s cautious stance weighs on USDJPY buyers, traders will watch upcoming US inflation and employment data for further direction.
TTL Breakout with a good upside potentialHey Family, there is a one more stock Which is showing a great opportunity.
Key Points:-
* Formation of Rectangular box Pattern in Daily TF.
* From Feb 2024 to Oct 2024 its in range.
* From Feb 2024 to Oct 2024 Tested & Moving Resistance Many times.
* It's Break resistance Zone and trying to Sustain Above Resistance Zone with good volume good closing required.
* Volume Accumulation (Volume is Rising).
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. We are Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
EURUSD: Focus on 13-month-old support and EU/US GDPEURUSD retreats towards a key support level as traders prepare for Wednesday's Eurozone and US Q3 GDP reports. Despite this, the pair maintains a mid-October breakdown below the 200-SMA, while oscillators challenge continued bearish momentum.
Bulls and bears jostle at key support
While EURUSD sellers benefit from the drop below the 200-SMA and a stronger US Dollar, an upward trend line from October 2023, along with an oversold RSI and a potential bull cross on the MACD, may limit further declines of the major currency pair.
Key technical levels
The 13-month rising support line near 1.0770 is crucial for EURUSD sellers if the pair drops further. Below that, the monthly low of 1.0760 is an important level, with June and April lows around 1.0665 and 1.0600 as potential targets.
For EURUSD buyers, recovery seems challenging without breaking the 200-SMA at 1.0870. Even if they succeed, the 1.1000-1.0980 zone, marked since January, poses a tough challenge. If the Euro bulls cross the 1.1000 hurdle, they’ll set their sights on the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the pair’s late 2023 fall and a 10-month-old rising trend line, close to 1.1100 and 1.1220 in that order.
Further downside needs a strong catalyst
With mixed oscillator signals, EURUSD sellers need robust data to support US Dollar strength and Euro weakness to push prices lower. A corrective bounce seems likely, potentially creating fresh selling opportunities if Eurozone data surprises positively.
After falling 25% Nifty50 stock is giving good entry to go long Hello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well. Today i have brought Bajaj-Auto stock which has fallen 25% from all time high and now trading at importance support zone, There is higher probability for reversal from these levels. It is giving good entry for short term to long term traders and investors.
Bajaj Auto, the flagship company of Bajaj Group, is a two-wheeler and three-wheeler manufacturing company that exports to 79 countries across several countries in Latin America, Southeast Asia, and many more. Its headquarter is in Pune, India.
It has acquired 48% of the KTM Brand which manufactures sports and super sports two-wheelers, which was 14% in 2007 when the company first acquired KTM.
Market Leadership:-
The company is the 2nd-largest player in the domestic motorcycle segment in terms of volume. It is the largest 3W producer in the world and the largest exporter of 2W and 3W from India.
Manufacturing Capacity:-
The company has five manufacturing plants, of which two are in Chakan and one each in Waluj, Akurdi, and Pantnagar, with a total installed capacity of 7.1 million units per annum.
Expansion:-
In FY24, the company set up a new plant in Brazil with an initial capacity of 20k units/ month that commenced commercial production on Jun 24. It will incur capex of Rs. 600 Cr -Rs. 700 Cr in FY25-FY26, largely towards maintenance activities.
Vehicle Financing:-
Its wholly-owned captive financing company Bajaj Auto Credit Ltd. commenced business in Maharashtra and Goa on 1st Jan 24 and expanded to Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Rajasthan, and Gujarat. It plans to cover all the balance states by FY25. On Apr 24, the board approved additional investment in BACL of Rs. 2250 Cr, in addition to the existing Rs. 600 Cr approved earlier, to fund its expansion plans.
Market Cap
₹ 2,72,363 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 9,753
High / Low
₹ 12,774 / 5,285
Stock P/E
36.9
Book Value
₹ 1,109
Dividend Yield
0.80 %
ROCE
33.5 %
ROE
26.5 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Industry PE
64.6
Debt
₹ 5,245 Cr.
EPS
₹ 263
Promoter holding
55.0 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 3,891
Pledged percentage
0.01 %
EVEBITDA
25.8
Change in Prom Hold
-0.01 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
10.7 %
Sales growth 5Years
8.13 %
Return over 5years
25.2 %
Debt to equity
0.17
Net profit
₹ 7,371 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
21.8 %
Profit growth
7.74 %
Earnings yield
3.64 %
PEG Ratio
3.46
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
Gold near to ATHAfter gap down opening Gold price again trading near to ATH and price now sustaining on PWH on H1.
For sell we have to wait for rejection on ATH area (2755-59: for scalping only right now with tight SL on Intraday No confirmation, No sell) and for next move in higher side price need to breakout and need to sustain above this area and then we can look for buy in higher side towards weekly R1 and then R2.
For a safe sell I think better wait for price to close below 2738 (As wee have High volume support at 2738-40,H1 or H4) and in Higher side there is no major confirmation right now.