Trading
UMAEXPORTS Giving a Strong BreakoutUMAEXPORTS Giving a Strong Breakout
About:
Uma Exports Ltd. engages in the marketing and sale of agricultural produce and commodities. Its products include sugar, spices like dry red chilies; turmeric; coriander; cumin seeds; food grains like rice, wheat, corn, sorghum and tea; pulses; and agricultural feed like soy bean meal, and rice bran de-oiled cake. The company was founded on March 9, 1988 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.
Stoploss - Below the BO Candle
Target - Exit half at 10 - 15% and Trail the Remaining
Bitcoin Looks Promising on Bullish SideBitcoin has made double bottom base at around 53000 price range.
Also in weekly time frame, coin is in consolidation to negative pattern which shows a FLAG AND POLE pattern possibility.
Other support is near to 40000 to 40600 price range.
In Monthly Time Frame it is just showing profit booking.
If price breaks above 64000 in weekly candle or sustains above 70000 (Safe Side+ breakout of flag and pole pattern) the price can reach to the levels given in chart.
Follow for more such content.
Disclaimer: Above is just my own opinion about the coin and is for educational purpose only.
CNXIT BULLISH !
1. Resistance Breakout:
- The index has historically faced selling pressure at 38,653 - 38,405 Zone, causing it to reverse or pause its upward movement.
- When a stock breaks above a strong resistance level, it means that buying demand has overwhelmed the selling pressure at that price point. This breakout is a positive sign, indicating that the chart may move higher, especially if it is a clean break (i.e., it closes significantly above the resistance level).
- The **strength of the breakout** is often measured by the volume of trading activity. If the breakout occurs on **high volume*, it indicates that a large number of market participants are involved, adding credibility to the When a stock breaks through a strong resistance level and retests that level with good volume, it can signal a strong bullish move. Here's a detailed breakdown:
2. Retest of the Resistance Level:
- After the breakout, it’s common to see a retest of the previous resistance level, which now acts as a support level. This retest occurs as some traders may take profits, or there may be some temporary selling pressure as the market re-evaluates the new price.
- If the stock successfully holds above the previous resistance (now support) on the retest, it confirms that the breakout was valid. This gives bulls (buyers) more confidence that the level will hold and that the stock has further upside potential.
3. Volume Confirmation:
- A retest with good volume is essential. If the stock holds the new support on strong volume, it signals that buyers are stepping in to defend the level, further reinforcing the idea that the stock is in a bullish phase.
- Conversely, if the retest occurs on low volume, it may indicate a lack of conviction from buyers, and the breakout may be prone to failure.
4. Bullish Expectations:
- When a stock breaks out of resistance and successfully retests it with strong volume, the expectation is that the stock will enter a new bullish trend. The prior resistance has now been transformed into a solid base of support, and the stock may experience momentum buying, pushing prices higher.
- Traders often see this scenario as a low-risk, high-reward setup. Their stop-loss would typically be placed just below the new support level, while the upside target could be based on previous price patterns, such as Fibonacci extensions or previous highs.
5.Target :
- it is on its all-time high targets on fib zones,pivots 0r based on future price action basis.
# Summary:
- **Breakout of strong resistance Indicates potential for higher prices.
- **Retest of resistance as support Confirms strength of the move if support holds.
- **Good volume on retest: Adds confidence in the bullish move.
- **Bullish expectation Likely continuation of the upward trend.
This combination forms a high-probability bullish setup in technical analysis.
#cnxit #itsector #nifty
Gold: Prices renew all-time high under $2,600, but expect bumpsGold prices hit a fresh record high around $2,570 early Friday as it extends the previous day’s upside break of a three-week-old resistance, now support around $2,525. This rise is fueled by increasing expectations of significant rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve and a push against a rising trend line from mid-July.
A bumpy road for the bulls ahead…
Despite the Fed's rate cut hopes supporting gold, an eight-week resistance line and an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggest a possible price pullback. Additionally, a potential bounce in the US Dollar, especially with upcoming reports on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, might give gold buyers a temporary pause. Nevertheless, the breakout above resistance and bullish MACD signals keep the buyers optimistic.
Technical levels to watch…
To continue climbing, gold prices need to break above a two-month resistance line around $2,570. If successful, gold could quickly reach the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) level of the bullion’s late July to early September moves near $2,581 and then target $2,600. If gold surpasses $2,600, it could aim for the 78.6% and 100% FE levels around $2,610 and $2,650, respectively.
If prices pull back, they might first test the 50% and 38.2% FE levels near $2,560 and $2,540. A key support level at $2,525 could also come into play. If gold drops below $2,525, it might struggle to hold above $2,500 and $2,470, making those levels significant for potential declines.
What next?
Gold buyers are expected to remain strong, thanks to anticipated rate cuts from major central banks like the Fed. However, there might be a temporary dip in prices before the next rally.
EURUSD: Bears Eye 1.0980 as ECB Interest Rate Decision LoomsEURUSD prints its first daily gain in five days as traders recover from a month-long low, preparing for the European Central Bank's (ECB) upcoming policy announcements. Despite the recent slowing of US inflation and speculation about possible significant rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve in late 2024, the Euro bulls remain cautious due to the ECB's dovish stance and economic concerns in the Eurozone.
EURUSD sellers keep control
Even though the Euro is recovering before the key event, the overall bearish outlook for the pair remains intact. It continues to show weakness with the 20-EMA breakdown early in the week, bearish MACD signals, and a steady RSI (14) line.
Key technical levels to watch
Among the key technical levels, sellers are particularly focused on the convergence of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a previous resistance line around 1.0980. Following that, an ascending support line from late June near 1.0900 is also important to monitor. If the price remains below 1.0900, it could drop further to the previous monthly low around 1.0790.
On the other hand, for EURUSD buyers to regain control, they need to see the price break above the 21-day EMA at around 1.1050 and a falling resistance line at about 1.1070. Additionally, a hawkish rate cut from the ECB would support this move. If the price manages to rise past 1.1070, it could test the monthly high of 1.1155 and the yearly peak around 1.1200.
Downside bias gains acceptance
Looking ahead, there's uncertainty about the ECB’s upcoming rate decision. Some traders anticipate a 0.50% cut, while most expect a smaller 0.25% reduction. If the ECB surprises the market with a more aggressive or unexpected rate move, it could lead to significant volatility. Therefore, EURUSD traders should hold off on new trades until the ECB's decision is announced. They should set a stop-loss to manage their risk if they are currently holding short positions.
Gold analysis September 11Fundamental Analysis The steady rise continued throughout the early part of the European session and took the commodity to a fresh weekly high, with buyers now looking to build on the upside momentum beyond the $2,525-2,526 supply zone. The US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on the gains recorded over the past three days and withdrawn from the monthly top amid dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, in turn, is seen as a key factor driving flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, a weaker risk-on sentiment in general has prompted some safe-haven flows and lifted Gold closer to its all-time high in the last hour. However, bulls may refrain from positioning for any further upside moves and prefer to pause ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures. The key US CPI report will play a key role in investigating market expectations on the size of the Fed's September rate cut and determine the next leg of the directional move for the precious metal.
Technical Analysis Gold's push to 2529 in European trading promises a breakout of all-time highs early today. The current key zone around 2529 in European trading could push prices back to 2540. The top is a push to the psychological port zone which is also the Fibonacci level of 2555. Contrary, if 2029 fails to break, prices could soon push to the 2517 zone before the CPI data and also the US session. and revisit the 2495 support zone and 2555 resistance when the news is released. because if the news pushes up, there will be no good entry to sell until the 2540 and 2555 areas.
Resistance above: 2535 - 2540 - 2550-2555…
Support: 2512 - 2506 - 2499 - 2493 - 2485
SELL 2537 - 2529 Stoploss 2442
SELL 2554 - 2556 Stoploss 2559
BUY 2508 - 2506 Stoploss 2503
BUY 2496 - 2494. Stoploss 2491
GBPUSD: Sellers need confirmation from 1.3050 and UK/US dataGBP/USD remains flat at its lowest level in three weeks, ending a two-day losing streak. As traders await crucial economic data from the UK and the US, the Pound Sterling is testing a resistance level from late December 2023, which is now providing immediate support.
GBPUSD bears flex muscles…
Despite a long-standing resistance-turned-support line and upcoming data challenges, recent technical signals suggest further declines. Monday’s close below the 20-day moving average (SMA) and bearish MACD signals indicate potential further downside. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is not yet oversold, keeping sellers hopeful.
Technical levels to watch…
Firstly, the resistance-turned-support line surrounding 1.3050 restricts the GBPUSD pair’s immediate downside. Following that, the quote’s quick decline to the 1.3000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. However, March’s peak of around 1.2890 and the 1.2800 round figure will precede the 200-SMA level of 1.2720 to challenge the Cable bears afterward.
For buyers, a positive shift in UK data and a daily close above the 20-SMA at 1.3090 are needed to consider entering. Even so, a slew of resistances near 1.3150 and 1.3180 could test the pair’s following advances ahead of directing the bulls toward the recent peak surrounding 1.3265 and then to the 1.3300 threshold.
Consolidation expected…
Overall, the GBP/USD may see further declines if the economic data from the UK remains weak and US inflation data improves, unless the upcoming reports provide an unexpected boost.
Latest gold analysis☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices witnessed an intraday reversal from an all-time high and fell below the psychological $2,500 level after the release of key US monthly employment data on Friday. The mixed US employment report reduced the chances of the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates by 50 basis points, which prompted some cover in the US dollar (USD) prices and weighed on the precious metal.
That said, concerns about a US recession dampened investors’ appetite for riskier assets and acted as a driver for safe-haven Gold prices. Additionally, the lack of progress in ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas became another factor supporting XAU/USD during the Asian session on Monday. This warrants caution for bearish traders amid the prospect of an impending Fed rate cut cycle.
☘️Technical Analysis
Gold is below the 2500 round port level, in fact this port area is no longer strong enough to push gold prices lower. The area of interest in today's European session is around the 2507 Fibonacci 0.5 retracement zone and the 2512 Fibonacci final extension zone. These are two areas of interest for a SELL plan. When 2512 is broken, the downtrend on Friday is reversed. The main candle h4 is broken and ATH comes early this week, the expected level is 255x. The 2331 area is no longer valuable when gold pushes up. The opposite direction is the 2470-2460 2433 area playing an important support role.
🌸Trading signal
SELL zone 2505 - 2507 Stoploss 2511
BUY zone 2484 - 2482 Stoploss 2479
BUY zone 2473 - 2471. Stoploss 2467
USDJPY: "Death Cross" makes sellers optimisticUSDJPY ends a four-day decline and rebounds from its lowest point in a month as traders start the US inflation week with mixed feelings, especially after a disappointing employment report on Friday.
Sellers are in control
Despite the brief pause to recover from an ascending support line from late December 2023, the "Death Cross" on the moving averages and a possible bearish cross on the MACD suggest that sellers remain dominant.
Technical levels to watch
Given that the RSI is nearly oversold and the market is adjusting its previous movements, USDJPY might continue its recent recovery towards a resistance zone from a month ago, around 143.45-60. After that, a downward-sloping resistance line from early August, near 146.60, will challenge buyers before they can take full control. If they succeed, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from July 2023 to 2024, around 149.60, and the 200-SMA level at 151.05 could attract more buying interest.
On the other hand, sellers might look for a daily close below a long-term rising support line, around 141.90. They should also watch for the late 2023 low around 140.25 and the 140.00 level, which could provide additional support before aiming for the mid-2023 low of 137.25.
What next?
The USDJPY pair might see a rebound as the market consolidates before the important US inflation data is released on Thursday. However, the bearish trend will continue unless the price stays below the 200-SMA.
Gold Price Analysis September 6Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buyers for the third straight day on Friday and traded near weekly highs heading into the European session. However, the gains lacked bullish sentiment as investors opted to wait for the release of the key US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before placing any fresh bets. Meanwhile, rising bets for more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September weighed on the US Dollar (USD) for the third straight day and provided some support to the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, a mixed batch of US employment data released this week suggested the labour market is losing momentum and raised concerns about the health of the economy. This, coupled with persistent geopolitical tensions, dampened investor appetite for riskier assets and turned out to be another factor that acted as a driver of safe-haven Gold prices. However, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the two-day uptrend ahead of key US macro data risks.
Technical Analysis
Gold is looking to make an ATH in today’s US session. The re-approach to the 2523 zone in yesterday’s evening session and the liquid pullback to the 2508 zone and back to the top as the European session began have prompted investors to buy to push prices higher in the US session. The key price zone of 2526 on the breakout in today’s European session is definitely a new all-time high for Gold.
Gold will at least reach 2526 or 2533 before a sharp decline. Now the US session begins and gold pushes down first, the US's upward force will be greater and it is possible to reach the sell zone of 254x.
Resistance: 2526 - 2532 - 2542 - 2555
Support: 2493 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440
SELL price zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536
BUY price zone 2499 - 2497 stoploss 2492
BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
Gold: Edges higher within bullish channel, focus on $2,530 & NFPGold buyers are gearing up for potential weekly gains as the metal rebounds from a resistance-turned-support level that's been holding steady for seven weeks. With the crucial US August jobs report, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), on the horizon, traders are cautious before the release.
A smoother road for bulls
Gold's recent bounce from past resistance and a 2.5-month-old bullish trend channel suggest more gains ahead. That said, supportive RSI and weakening bearish MACD signals also favor buyers.
Important technical levels to watch
A 13-day-old descending trend line, close to $2,530 at the latest, guards immediate upside of the gold price ahead of the all-time high surrounding $2,532 marked in August. Following that, the aforementioned bullish trend channel’s upper line, close to $2,558, and the $2,600 round figure will gain attention of the buyers.
On the contrary, sellers will wait for a clear downside break of the multi-day-old previous resistance line, near $2,470 as we write, for taking fresh entries. Even so, a convergence of the 50-SMA and bottom line of previously stated bullish channel, near $2,439, will be a tough nut to crack for the bears before taking control. It’s worth noting that the 100-SMA level around $2,388 acts as an additional downside filter.
What Next?
Gold buyers are poised for potential new highs, but gains might be limited before the key US jobs data is released.
Gold Analysis September 5Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices edged up in Asian trade on Thursday. A US jobs report showed on Wednesday that employment fell to a three-and-a-half-year low in July, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further in September, which in turn acted as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. Moreover, concerns about the health of the US economy dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, further supporting the safe-haven precious metal.
However, gold prices lacked strong buying interest as traders appeared reluctant to place strong bullish bets, preferring to wait for key details on the US monthly employment report - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report - due on Friday. Meanwhile, the US economic agenda on Thursday - including the ADP report on private sector employment, the weekly jobless claims and the ISM services PMI - will be looked at for short-term opportunities. However, expectations of the imminent start of the Fed's policy easing cycle could continue to support Gold.
Technical Analysis
Gold is moving back in the sideways range of 2490-2505. After an old liquidity sweep to 2472. The Asian session's upside momentum is not strong enough to break the technical level of 2508. When the European session pushes up to 2508 without breaking through, we can set up a SELL signal at this area. The sell trend may extend further than there is still a way to move up to ATH. Today, when the US session enters, pay attention to the resistance zone of 2512-2514 for a SELL strategy. And the push to the low zone this week and next week could create momentum for the FOMC to push gold to a new ATH.
Resistance: 2505 - 2509 - 2515 - 2524 - 2535
Support: 2491 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440
SELL price zone 2513 - 2515 stoploss 2518
BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
BUY price zone 2480 - 2478 stoploss 2475