Short term trading strategy for todayWorld gold prices increased more than 1% to the highest level in nearly two weeks in the trading session on Wednesday (July 3) due to increasing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates. in September, after recent US data showed the labor market was weakening.
Closing the session, daily gold price increased 1.2% to 2,357.06 USD an ounce. US gold futures rose 1.5% to $2,369.40
Spot gold price increased 0.01% to 2,356 USD/ounce, according to Kitco, while gold price for August delivery decreased 0.16% to 2,365 USD.
Precious metals as well as base metals are rallying across the board as ADP data and unemployment claims add to the 'weakening economy' sentiment, which could potentially lead to a first interest rate cut in September".
Trading
EURUSD bulls jostle with 200-SMA hurdle on US HolidayEURUSD struggles to keep the buyers on board early Thursday, after rising for four consecutive days, as market momentum dwindles during the US holiday. That said, the Euro pair jumped to a three-week high while rising the most in a week after the US statistics drowned Greenback the previous day. However, the cautious mood ahead of Friday’s key US employment report might have challenged the bulls of late, especially amid dicey markets. That said, the RSI’s pullback from the overbought region and receding bullish bias of the MACD joins the 200-SMA to limit the quote’s further upside past 1.0790-85. Even if the quote crosses the 1.0790 hurdle, the 1.0800 threshold and the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of March-April fall, close to 1.0840, will prod the additional advances. Above all, a four-month-old descending resistance line, close to 1.0895, quickly followed by the 1.0900 round figure, will act as the final defense of the bears.
Meanwhile, the EURUSD pair’s retreat appears elusive beyond the week-start peak of around 1.0776. Following that, the 100-SMA support of 1.0730 will be crucial to watch for the Euro bears. It’s worth noting, however, that an ascending support line from mid-April, close to 1.0680 by the press time, appears a tough nut to crack for the sellers, a break of which will make the pair vulnerable to slump toward the yearly low of 1.0600 marked in April.
Overall, the EURUSD pair is likely to remain on the bull’s radar during a less active day. However, the quote’s upside room appears limited and hence highlights Friday’s key data/events.
More data needed before rate cuts for XAU to fallThe US central bank still needs more data before cutting interest rates to ensure the recent weak inflation figures accurately reflect underlying price pressures.
Previous data showed U.S. jobs rose to 8.14 million in May.
Friday (US time), which will be important in assessing whether the US labor market remains resilient amid decades of high interest rates.
GBPUSD pokes key upside hurdles as UK/US PMI, Fed Minutes loomGBPUSD struggles to defend the five-day uptrend early Wednesday as traders await key activity numbers from the UK and the US, as well as Minutes of the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting. It’s worth noting that the US Dollar’s weakness past Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech propelled the quote’s previous rebound from a two-month-old horizontal support, enabling buyers to poke the 100-bar SMA. Also underpinning the upside bias are the firmer RSI conditions and the bullish MACD signals. However, the 100-SMA’s bearish cross of the 200-SMA, known as the death cross, challenges the Cable buyers unless crossing the broader moving average, namely the 200-SMA hurdle of 1.2715. Following that, the mid-June swing high of around 1.2740 and 1.2800 become imminent targets for the Pound Sterling buyers before aiming for the previous monthly high of around 1.2860.
Meanwhile, GBPUSD sellers need firmer US data and hawkish Fed Minutes, as well as a successful break of the aforementioned two-month-old horizontal support surrounding 1.2610-15. Following that, the Cable bears will aim for the 1.2550 and the 1.2500 thresholds ahead of challenging May’s bottom surrounding 1.2445. It should be observed that the Pound Sterling’s sustained weakness past 1.2445 will make it vulnerable to challenge the yearly low marked in April surrounding 1.2300.
To sum up, the GBPUSD bulls are at a crossroads and need a fundamental push to keep the reins.
Gold is still in a strong uptrendGold costs rose greater than 1.0% on Thursday, way to a pointy drop in US authorities bond yields after records at the US hard work marketplace became released. Specifically, the range of packages for unemployment blessings withinside the 2nd week of November improved better than expected, achieving 231,000, better than the forecast of 220,000. The range of humans receiving unemployment blessings additionally amazed while it improved to 1,865,000 - the very best in almost years, displaying the problem of the United States activity marketplace.
Gold costs rose sharply yesterday, overcoming critical resistance lasting from 1,975-1,980 USD. If the upward momentum is maintained, the charge ought to upward push to the $2,010-2,1/2 area, in addition to $2,060 withinside the coming days.
Gold price will surpass 2,350 USD/ounce in July.Gold prices rose more than 1.0% on Thursday, thanks to a sharp drop in US government bond yields after data on the US labor market was released. Specifically, the number of applications for unemployment benefits in the second week of November increased higher than expected, reaching 231,000, higher than the forecast of 220,000. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits also surprised when it increased to 1,865,000 - the highest in nearly two years, showing the difficulty of the US job market.
Gold prices rose sharply yesterday, overcoming important resistance lasting from 1,975-1,980 USD. If the upward momentum is maintained, the price could rise to the $2,010-2,015 area, further to $2,060 in the coming days.
AUDUSD drops within a symmetrical triangle after RBA MinutesAUDUSD extends the week-start losses toward 0.6600 as Minutes of the latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Meeting fail to inspire the bulls despite pushing back the odds of rate cuts, especially backed by the recent upbeat Australian inflation clues. It’s worth noting, however, that the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a fortnight-old rising support line, respectively near 0.6645 and 0.6630, restrict the short-term downside of the Aussie pair within a two-month-old symmetrical triangle formation, currently between 0.6700 and 0.6585. Given the normal RSI conditions and the sluggish MACD signals, the quote is likely to remain chopped within the stated triangle. Even so, increasing odds of the US Dollar’s run-up on hawkish Fed Minutes and the upbeat US jobs report keep the sellers hopeful. That said, a clear downside break of 0.6585 makes the pair vulnerable to slump toward a 2.5-month-old horizontal support zone surrounding 0.6455-65.
On the contrary, AUDUSD buyers need validation from the downbeat US data/events, as well as the previously stated triangle’s top-line surrounding the 0.6700 threshold, to retake control. In that case, the yearly high marked in May around 0.6715 acts as an extra filter toward the north before fuelling the Aussie prices toward the late 2023 peak of around 0.6870. It should be observed that the 0.6800 round figure and the mid-2023 tops near 0.6900 will also challenge the quote’s advances ahead of highlighting the 0.7000 psychological magnet.
Overall, the AUDUSD pair is likely to remain depressed within a short-term triangle formation ahead of the key US data/events.
Gold is waiting for market fluctuationsGold costs will remain caught until "some thing shakes up the marketplace as a whole."
to get better again to 2,340 USD/ounce. This absolutely offset final week`s losses.
Investors need to now no longer promote at the moment due to the fact "in case you are preserving gold long-term, there's no purpose to promote due to the fact the charge remains above 2,2 hundred USD/ounce".
maximum humans are having impartial predictions gold
The US economic system is slowing down, inflation is vulnerable and americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) is much less dovish. These affects lessen call for for gold, that may cause a huge promote-off.
If you're preserving gold, there's no purpose to promote due to the fact the charge remains above 2,2 hundred USD/ounce.
The marketplace might also additionally have few transactions, because of this that the hazard of big fluctuations. Geopolitical trends consisting of escalation in Ukraine or the Middle East ought to disrupt the marketplace, Grady said.
XAU price will continue to be stuckGold prices will continue to be stuck until "something shakes up the market as a whole."
to recover back to 2,340 USD/ounce. This fully offset last week's losses.
Investors should not sell at this time because "if you are holding gold long-term, there is no reason to sell because the price is still above 2,200 USD/ounce".
IDFC First Bank : 34% to 218% Upside Potential#IDFC First Bank : 01 Jul 2024
"Life is Simple, we make it complicated, So is Trading.
Discover Simple, Yet POWERFUL IDEAS."
In Play : HH : HL
Summary
• CMP : 82
• Clean Price Action with Vol favor's BULLS FOOT PRINT
• Nice CONSOLIDATION of around 8-10 months
• Trading right AROUNG VP mountains
- ATH : 100.70
Conclusion
• CMP 82
• Looks good for going NORTH
• Higher Levels could be around
o Imm Higher Levels : 110/124
o Potential Levels : 168/262
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"Always Respect Risk"
Happy Trading
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XAU rises despite weak US economic dataUS economic data on June 27 was not very positive: the number of applications for unemployment benefits reached the highest level since November 2021, the number of durable goods orders showed a bad signal for Q2 GDP, sales Pending home sales hit a record low, and finally, the Kansas Fed's manufacturing activity stagnated for the 21st straight month.
Keeping policy rates steady “for a while” may be enough to control inflation, but reiterate “a readiness to increase borrowing costs if necessary”.
Analysts say that world gold prices will likely find it difficult to break out in the short term, at least until there is clearer information about the Fed's monetary policy.
The weakening USD has pushed gold prices up above 2,300 USD
According to some experts, this is a way of pricing based on factors that do not yet exist. If the AI craze continues and the market bubble has not burst, the current price may still be considered cheap compared to future growth potential. However, because this index depends on expectations, the final results are still highly subjective.
JaiCorp Ltd Forming Momentum for a big move Hey Family, there is a one more stock Which is showing a great opportunity.
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XAU trading strategy when USD is highIn the market, investors are currently waiting for important US economic data later on June 27 on growth and unemployment data to gather more clues about the future of monetary policy. Data released earlier this week showed that US consumer confidence eased in June amid concerns about the economic outlook, but households remained optimistic about the labor market and expected to Inflation will moderate next year.
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EURUSD approaches multi-month-old support ahead of Fed inflationEURUSD struggles to defend the first weekly gain in four as sellers appear more inclined to revisit an upward-sloping support line from early October 2023. That said, the Euro pair’s failure to keep Thursday’s rebound from the stated support line joins the bearish MACD signals to keep sellers hopeful ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, namely the Core PCE Price Index. However, a daily closing beneath the aforementioned key technical support surrounding 1.0665 becomes necessary for the bears to tighten their grip. Following that, the quote becomes vulnerable to slump toward the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600. In a case where the downbeat RSI conditions and the stated 1.0600 support fail to stop the sellers, the prices could well aim for the year 2023 to bottom close to 1.0450.
Meanwhile, EURUSD recovery remains elusive unless it stays beneath a convergence of the 200 and 100 SMAs, close to 1.0790 by the press time. That said, the 1.0750 and the 1.0800 thresholds are extra upside filters to watch during the quote’s fresh rise in case of the downside US data. It’s worth noting that the Euro pair’s successful run-up beyond 1.0800 will enable buyers to aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement of late 2023 fall, around 1.0865, but a descending trend line from early January 2024, close to 1.0900, will challenge the upside afterward. Even if the quote manages to remain firmer past 1.0900, an 11-month-long falling resistance line near 1.0990 and the 1.1000 psychological magnet will be tough nuts to crack for the bulls.
Overall, EURUSD bears keep the reins ahead of the key US data but the quote’s further downside hinges on the strong US inflation clues and a clear break of the 1.0665 support.
USD is dominating the marketGold fees are forecast to range strongly withinside the last days of the week. In the fast term, the treasured steel`s help stage is 2,three hundred USD/ounce and the resistance stage is 2,340 USD/ounce.
This treasured steel is attracting cash managers and hedge funds. Look at this need
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman on Tuesday reiterated her view that maintaining coverage quotes steady “for a while” will probably be sufficient to manipulate inflation, however additionally reiterated that she is open to growing spending Loan charges if necessary.
The marketplace has tilted toward the dollar after the discharge of financial facts highlighting the resilience of americaA economy, growing an possibility for the Fed to preserve excessive hobby quotes for longer.
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Market Cap
₹ 3,11,707 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 10,796
High / Low
₹ 10,909 / 7,941
Stock P/E
44.2
Book Value
₹ 2,086
Dividend Yield
0.35 %
ROCE
15.3 %
ROE
12.3 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Industry PE
30.0
Debt
₹ 11,403 Cr.
EPS
₹ 243
Promoter holding
60.0 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 3,985
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
23.7
Change in Prom Hold
-0.01 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
24.1 %
Sales growth 5Years
11.3 %
Return over 5years
18.8 %
Debt to equity
0.19
Net profit
₹ 7,004 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
13.0 %
Profit growth
40.0 %
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The market has tilted towards the greenback following the releasGold prices are forecast to fluctuate strongly in the remaining days of the week. In the short term, the precious metal's support level is 2,300 USD/ounce and the resistance level is 2,340 USD/ounce.
This precious metal is attracting money managers and hedge funds. Look at this need
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman on Tuesday reiterated her view that keeping policy rates steady “for a while” will likely be enough to control inflation, but also reiterated that she is open to increasing spending Loan fees if necessary.
The market has tilted towards the greenback after the release of economic data highlighting the resilience of the US economy, creating an opportunity for the Fed to maintain high interest rates for longer.
Oversold RSI, $2,293 key support challenge Gold sellersGold price remains pressured at the lowest level in a fortnight while justifying the previous day’s downside break of a three-week-old rising support line, now immediate resistance. It’s worth noting, however, that the cautious mood ahead of this week’s key US data/events joins the oversold RSI conditions and an upward-sloping support trend line from early April to challenge bears around $2,2932 of late. Among the key data/events, the US Durable Goods Orders, a debate between the US Presidential Candidate Joe Biden and Donald Trump, as well as the US Core PCE Price Index, also known as the Fed’s preferred inflation, will gain major attention. It should be observed that the XAUUSD’s sustained trading beneath the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and bearish MACD signals join the aforementioned trend line break to help the sellers break the $2,293 key support.
That said, the monthly low of around $2,286, May’s bottom surrounding $2,277 and early April swing lows around $2,267 are additional downside filters to watch during the bullion’s weakness past $2,293. Following that, the 76.8% Fibonacci ratio of the precious metal’s March-May run-up, near $2,210 will act as the final defense of the buyers before directing prices toward March’s monthly low of near $2,146.
Meanwhile, the Gold price recovery needs validation from the catalysts weighing on the US Dollar. Also challenging the XAUUSD bulls is a convergence of the 50-EMA and a three-week-old previous support line, close to $2,324 by the press time. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past $2,324, a descending resistance line from June 07 surrounding $2,364 and the monthly high of near $2,387 will be on the buyer’s radar. Above all, a horizontal area comprising tops marked since April 12, near $2,432-35, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls.
To sum up, Gold price is likely to stay depressed but the further downside needs support from fundamentals to favour the bears.