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31 May 2024 - BankNifty stance is neutral, slightly bullish toneBankNifty was unable to break the 48947 resistance today, except for the 10.18 candle, rest 5 candles touched the 48947 resistance level. In 3 instances we went above, but could not sustain. If any of the candles closed above this level, I would have changed the stance to bullish. As of now maintaining the neutral stance with a slightly bullish tone.
All eyes are on the election exit polls today and then the actual results on June 4th. Banks and financial sectors will be the first to react to any news, rumors, or press releases. Unlike other developed markets, finances are the most important sector in our listed space.
Copy pasting my expectations for markets next week, post election results
1. 400+ seats - up 5%+
2. 270 to 399 seats - down 5 to 10%
3. less than 270 seats - down 25%
breakout trading !In technical analysis, a breakout refers to a substantial price movement of a financial instrument, such as a stock or commodity, surpassing a specific level of support or resistance. This occurrence is of paramount importance, as it frequently signifies the initiation of a new trend, offering traders and investors valuable insights for informed decision-making.
Outlined below are key aspects related to breakouts in technical analysis:
Definition: A breakout occurs when the price of an asset surpasses a well-defined level of support or resistance. The breakout can manifest as either an upward movement (bullish breakout) or a downward movement (bearish breakout).
Significance: Breakouts carry significance as they indicate a shift in market sentiment, suggesting that the prevailing trend may be weakening or reversing, potentially giving rise to a new trend.
Types of Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: This occurs when the price surpasses a resistance level, signaling potential upward momentum.
Bearish Breakout: In contrast, a bearish breakout happens when the price drops below a support level, indicating potential downward momentum.
Volume Confirmation: Successful breakouts are often accompanied by an uptick in trading volume, serving as confirmation of the robustness of the new trend. Volume analysis is instrumental in validating the legitimacy of the breakout.
False Breakouts: It is important to note that not all breakouts lead to sustained trends. False breakouts can occur, wherein the price briefly breaches a support or resistance level but subsequently reverses. Traders commonly employ additional technical indicators or await confirmation before acting on a breakout.
Measuring Target: Traders frequently use the height of the pattern preceding the breakout, such as a triangle or rectangle, to estimate the potential price target. This aids in setting profit targets.
Common Chart Patterns Leading to Breakouts:
Triangles: Symmetrical, ascending, or descending triangles often precede breakouts.
Head and Shoulders: Both inverse and regular head and shoulders patterns can signal potential breakouts.
Rectangles and Flags: Consolidation patterns like rectangles and flags can lead to breakouts.
Role of Trendlines: Trendlines are commonly employed to identify potential breakout points. The intersection of a trendline with a support or resistance level is deemed a critical zone for a potential breakout.
Risk Management: Traders typically incorporate risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders, to safeguard against false breakouts or adverse market movements.
In summary, breakouts in technical analysis are pivotal events offering valuable information to traders and investors about potential shifts in market trends. Effective breakout trading strategies involve confirmation, volume analysis, and meticulous consideration of various chart patterns.
LICI- All time high breakoutInsurance sector in action with leading company giving all time high breakout. LIC of India is giving all time high breakout on daily chart. The volume in last 1-2 months are quite high and stock has till now given a returns of almost 30% in year 2023. This seems just the beginning of rally in this stock.
The next possible levels on the chart is 1083 according to Fibonacci.
Disclaimer: The stock shared is only for educational purpose and does not include any buy or sell recommendations.
Mahindra Lifespace Ltd - LongThe stock is giving fresh breakout on daily chart. The last resistance it made was of 592 level on 15 Sept 2023. Now the stock is crossing this levels with good volume accumulations after a consolidation of 4 months.
A fresh rally may come after this breakout. Keep this stock in your radar.
Apollo Tyre - Fresh BreakoutApollo Tyre giving a fresh breakout on daily chart. The last high of 464 (on closing basis) on the daily chart was made on 19 Dec 2023. Now today that high has been broken with good volume accumulation.
The long term chart of this company is very good and medium to long term investing can be done in this stock.
Disclaimer: The stock shared is only for educational purpose and not any buying and selling recommendations.
Canara BankA confluence of the 2017 high and PF line at 463.70 makes this price very important.
On rejection of this, we can see a deep correction in the prices at least till 448 and 424 (long term)
On breakout of this resistance, I am buying the stock for a target of 484.40 as the immediate target and 520 in the longer term.
Learn Support Bounce- For Swing TradingSimply speaking a support is a zone where demand overcomes supply. There are more buy orders than the sell orders at this level, which could force the bids to go higher and hence the stock can rally.
I would like to discuss one of the efficient ways to trade support levels. This is not the only way and may not be the perfect one but still with good success rate.
There are a few simple points that needs to be followed.
🚀Step 1
There should be a support level from where the stock bounced significantly. Draw a horizontal line from the lowest point of the support.
🚀Step 2
Let the price pullback to this support zone and create a green candle. It could be a pin bar with long wick at the bottom or a full green candle that closes above support.
The setup may develop either at or near the support OR after the price breaks through the support and then fakes the break. Both ways we need a green candle above the support zone.
🚀Step 3
Buy few ticks above the high of the pin bar or full bar with stop loss few ticks below these candles.
Buying at the close of those bullish candles is another method to further reduce the risk (SL) but the first method will keep you from some awkward positions.
🚀Step 4
Here we are not looking for reversals. We are looking for 50% target of the previous down wave.
⚡Tip1:
Now we know the target and stop loss, before entering the trade please confirm that reward is 2 times, or more than the risk involved.
Ex if SL is 10 points, then target should be at least 20 points. So, the down wave must be more than 40 points.
⚡Tip2:
Once trade starts moving in your direction, keep trailing to bring your stop to breakeven or lock some profit on partial position if your like.
I will post some examples in the update section. One is right there on the SBI chart shown above. Two support zones and 3 buying opportunities that worked.
Keep boosting for more educational ideas in future.
Disclaimer: Examples shown in the idea are not an investment or trading advice. Apply your due diligence and backtest the strategy for good results.
RAMAKRISHNA STOCK TO TAKE LONG ENTRYLong Ramakrishna all important levels has given on the charts. Support taking 50 EMA on daily charts as well as stock near the breakout of the resistance area. Entry to be taken after the breakout. Good risk to reward trade. This is for your educational purpose only.
Turned down right from the opening of the new weekGold prices edged lower at the start of the week after posting solid gains from haven flows that were seen outperforming higher government bond yields across most of the globe. The price of precious metals decreased not because gold's upward momentum was over, but because the market needed to consolidate with resistance at 1,985 USD/ounce.
The geopolitical situation and macroeconomic factors of the Middle East may have contributed to the increase in gold prices. The decline in the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond Fund ETF reflects the worsening outlook for corporate bonds. This credit squeeze also affected Wall Street stock indexes and increased risks to other assets.
The Middle East situation is unlikely to find a peaceful solution soon, which could maintain demand for gold despite higher Treasury yields. The 2-year Treasury note reached 5.25% last Thursday but fell to 5.10% over the weekend. The 10-year note also hit its highest level since 2007, briefly surpassing 5.0% before settling at 4.95%.
The chart shows that the rise in the 10-year Treasury yield and the USD index has not yet affected the price of gold, but it is worth keeping an eye on in case of sudden movements in those markets.
The sell-off of the iShares high-yield ETF could have broader consequences for stocks as companies face higher borrowing costs.
SELL zone 1982$ - 1980$ - stoploss: 1986$
Buy zone1945$ - 1947$ - stoploss: 1940$
Long term gold. 2050 COMINGCurrently gold is trading around 1980 USD and has increased a total of 7 USD today. It can be seen that after the Fed chairman's speech yesterday, gold's reaction was not too strong but still developed with the highest impressive number in the past two weeks since October 6.
The reason gold prices increased cannot help but mention the fact that the gold market continues to benefit as the Israel-Hamas conflict continues to intensify. Besides, the cooling of the USD also partly supported gold's return.
With gold retesting the level of 1,964 USD/ounce, this precious metal will easily surpass levels in the range of 1,985 - 1,995 USD/ounce.
All resistance zones are not enough to slow down the rise of gold.
Let me know your mind!
Gold price increased in the Asian and European trading session🍀Gold price trades higher around $1,930 a troy ounce, rebounding from the losses registered in the previous week. The pullback in the USD is providing support in strengthening the prices of Gold, which could be attributed to the lower likelihood of the US Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in the upcoming September.
🍀Gold price increased in today's Asian and European trading session. continuously increased from 1919 price after opening to 1930. We can wait to catch a rebound from gold
🍀Interesting knowledge about trading
Trading is not as interesting as many people think.
Trading is a boring job!
With repeated actions that are not allowed to bring emotions into it!
Gold price suddenly decreased slightly today. Why ?Hello dear traders! Nice to see you all again to explore and discuss today's market!
Currently, the gold price has had a slight decrease from the previous session after reaching a peak of $ 1,952.79 / ounce, the highest this month, then falling to $ 1,936 / ounce.
Gold is expected to see significant changes ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy meeting on September 19-20, I expect gold prices to continue to receive strong support. .
Wishing you successful and effective trading endeavors.
GBP/USD struggles to reclaim 1.2500 ahead of the weekendGBP/USD clings to small daily gains but finds it difficult to surpass 1.2500 on Friday. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the USD to continue to outperform its rivals and helps the pair hold its ground heading into the weekend.
XAUUSD-Triple bottom pattern formedAt the end of last Friday's session, GOLD had confirmation of a sideways accumulation around the 1916 - 1928 border after the price tried to push up past the 1928 peak but then sold back strongly during the night of Friday, which This shows the hesitation of investors before the US inflation announcement on Wednesday night this week.
If we label the short-term waves from the 1916 to 1928 area this morning, we will see that 5 short-term waves have completed, so the probability this evening may continue to confirm another selling phase back into the market. sidedway border.
If you trade, please note that you should only trade around the upper and lower borders and reduce the trading volume.
It is expected that if selling pressure occurs, GOLD will fall back around the 1922 - 1923 area.
XAUUSD_ Analysis August 28, GOLD has vitality again⚡️In a speech at the central bank conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said inflation remains too high even with recent favorable figures and that the US central bank has room to substantial basis to regain price stability. But at the same time, Powell noted that economic uncertainty calls for "aggressive" monetary policymaking and that the Fed will proceed "with caution" when deciding on its next policy move.
⚡️Powell's message on Friday was in line with mixed signals from other Fed officials in the run-up to the meeting. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker told CNBC he doubted the central bank would need to raise rates again, but also said he wasn't ready to predict when rate cuts might begin. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said on Yahoo Finance's video channel that interest rates could be near or at their peak, "but could certainly increase further."
⚡️Plan: BUY XAUUSD price 1907-1909. SL 1903. TP 1915, 1920
XAUUSD-Gold found in 1952 was just an accidentGold price today continued to maintain a downtrend and traded around 1925 usd/ounce.
It can be seen that last night, the USD had a hot session again, causing gold to come under downward pressure and hit its lowest level in the past week.
In the near future, the gold price may drop further to the threshold of 1,900 USD/ounce when the USD is still rising. If on September 13, the US announces that the August inflation index fell exactly or lower than the forecast of 3.2%, gold will continue to face difficulties.
Trading plan:
XAUUSD Sell zone 1933 - 1935
SL 1939
TP 1915