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BTC#2 : Summary of things to watch out for in the current uptren🔥 The previous plan helped you make a profit. Leave a comment and share the joy. 🔥 Today I will continue to bring everyone a perspective on BTC and the next trading plan. 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 🔴US CPI rose slightly more than expected in December as energy costs rose, suggesting inflation is still rising ▫️ In addition, a recovery in Bitcoin was supported by the release of December PPI on Tuesday, which showed weaker-than-expected inflation data. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **D Frame**: Yesterday's candle close shows strong market confidence in BTC rising. However, the price has reacted when touching the trendline. This is the area we need to pay attention to 🔹 **H4 frame**: The bearish price structure was broken when the price crossed 968xx and went straight to the trendline, which caused the bullish momentum to slow down somewhat. It is likely that we will need a slight correction to gain momentum to break the resistance area above 🔹 **H1 frame**: Looking at the price structure, you can see more clearly. The bullish wave has not shown any signs of ending, but the important resistance area requires us to be more patient if we want to find profits. 3️⃣ **Trading plan:** ✅ If you want to have a BUY position at the moment, my advice is that we can patiently wait for the price to test the support area of ​​958xx as I marked on the chart. Don't be hasty, when the R:R ratio of the important resistance area is always low. The bullish price structure also needs confirmation by a higher bottom than the previous bottom. FOMO at this time is not a wise choice ⛔ The resistance zone will always make you want to stop the ship. However, wait for the bearish price structure in the small time frame M5. M15 to make sure your judgment is correct. If you have a good position, you should not expect high profits when the bearish price structure is temporarily broken, closing part of the profit when the price touches support and leaving SL positive will be a wise choice. 💪 **Wish you successful trading!** 🚀
by TonyL0ng
SP500#1: HOW DOES NONFARM AFFECT SP500?🔎 1/ Fundamental Analysis 🟥 Political tensions: • The US increases pressure on Russia through energy sanctions. This could lead to trade retaliation, negatively affecting the economy. 🟥 Interest rate policy: • Interest rates are likely to remain unchanged until June, limiting the amount of money injected into the market – causing concern. 🟥 CPI data next week: • Inflation is the biggest determinant of interest rate policy. Forecasts show that inflation is likely to increase again, continuing to put pressure on the market. 💡 Basic conclusion: The market faces a less optimistic sentiment due to increasing economic and political risks. 📊 2/ Technical Analysis 🔵 W (Weekly) Frame: • This week closed with a long-tailed, long-bodied candle – a strong bearish sign. 🔵 D (Daily) Frame: • The bearish structure was confirmed after Friday's trading session. 🔵 H1 (Hourly) Frame: • The bearish price structure is clear: consecutive lower highs, the support trendline is broken. 💡 Summary: All three timeframes are supporting the downtrend. 📈 3/ Trading Plan 🟢 Correction strategy: • Support zone: 5676~5750. 👉 Wait for price reaction at this zone to find an opportunity to enter the order. ⚠️ Note: The weekly candle closes badly, profit expectations should not be too high. Do not rush to catch the bottom! 🔴 Trade in the direction of the trend: Resistance zone: 5890~5915. 👉 Plan: Wait for the price to react at the resistance zone to enter a sell order in the direction of the trend. 🎯 Profit target: 5680 - strong support zone. ❓ Which side are you on - BULL or BEAR? 💬 Leave a comment to discuss and exchange!
FX:SPX500
by TonyL0ng
GOLD STORY #1: XAUUSD SIDEWAY – SHOULD I BUY OR SELL NOW?🔎 1/ Fundamental Analysis 🔴 Global economy and market sentiment: • Non-farm payrolls (NFP) data: Positive results, showing that the US economy is growing steadily. • Inflation – the deciding factor: The Fed is still waiting for CPI data next week, which will be the most important factor for interest rate policy. • Uncertainty from Russia-US tensions: Trade and political sanctions continue to increase, creating greater risks for the global market. 💡 Summary: Although the USD received support signals from NFP, gold prices still maintained their upward momentum due to risk-off sentiment. 📊 2/ Technical Analysis 🔵 W (Weekly) Frame: • After 5 weeks of sideways, gold price bounced back strongly, continuing the main trend. • The weekly candle closed with a strong body, showing that the bulls are in control. 🔵 D (Daily) Frame: • The key level 2600 has been broken, but the resistance zone 2725~2750 has not given a positive signal. • The price touches the resistance but continuously creates higher lows – the market is still leaning towards the bulls. 🔵 H1 Frame: • The uptrend is clear, but the price is near the resistance zone. • The Risk-Reward (R:R) ratio is no longer attractive to trade in the uptrend. 📈 3/ Trading Plan 🟢 BUY – Follow the trend: • If you have a buy order at a low price, congratulations! 🎉 👉 You can: • Hold the order: If you expect the price to continue to break the resistance. • Close a part: When the price touches the resistance zone of 2725~2750 to preserve profits. • Note: If you do not have a position, you should not FOMO into this price zone because the R:R ratio is no longer ideal. 🔴 SELL – Counter-trend: • Although the uptrend does not support selling, you can consider: • Wait for the price reaction at the resistance zone of 2725~2750. OANDA:XAUUSD • Expected profit should be low because this is a counter-trend trade. 🐂 Which side are you on – BULL or BEAR? 🐻 💬 Leave a comment and discuss with the community! OANDA:XAUUSD
FX:XAUUSD
by TonyL0ng
Option and Database trading To study an option chain, focus on the current market price, displayed in the centre. Analyse the built-up data to understand market direction based on recent changes in open interest and price. ITM call options are typically highlighted in yellow, making it easier to distinguish them from other options. The put-call ratio measures trading volume using put options versus call options. Instead of the absolute value of the put-call ratio, the changes in its value indicate a change in overall market sentiment.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Neat & Clean Rectangle Pattern Breakout seen in Top Cement StockHello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought another stock which has given Near and Clean Rectangle pattern breakout. Stock name is UltraTech Cement and it is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of Cement and Cement related product primarily across globe. Okay guy's let's learn something very important about this pattern: Q:- What is Rectangle Pattern and How to Use Rectangle Chart Patterns to Trade Breakouts? Rahul:- A rectangle is a chart pattern formed when the price is bounded by parallel support and resistance levels. A rectangle exhibits a period of consolidation or indecision between buyers and sellers as they take turns throwing punches but neither has dominated. The price will “test” the support and resistance levels several times before eventually breaking out. From there, the price could trend in the direction of the breakout, whether it is to the upside or downside. we can clearly see Above in Ultratech chart that the pair was bounded by two key price levels which are parallel to one another. So, Traders, i hope you Guy's have learned today how to Trade Rectangle Pattern, but Mates We just have to wait until one of these levels breaks and go along for the ride! Remember , when you spot a rectangle: THINK OUTSIDE THE BOX! That's it. Market Leadership The company is the 3rd largest cement company in the world, excluding China. It is also the largest cement manufacturer in India with a 22% share of the grey cement capacity. Let's discuss some fundamentals - D/E is 0.17 - Interest Coverage ratio 10.73 is higher than last year's Interest Coverage Ratio 10.01 - D/E 0.17 has reduced as compared to last year's D/E 0.18 - ROCE is 15.42% - ROCE 15.42% has increased as compared to last year's ROCE 13.2% - ROE is 12.25% - ROE 15.42% has increased as compared to last year's ROE 13.2% - ROCE 15.42% is higher than 5 years ROCE average 14.02% - Operating Profit Margin (EBITDA Margin) is 18.29% - Operating Profit Margin (EBITDA Margin) 18.29% has improved as compared to last year's OPM 16.79% - NPM is 9.88% - Net Profit Margin (PAT Margin) 9.88% has improved as compared to last year's NPM 8.01% - Company has a negative Cash Conversion Days of -188.47 - Annual Sales has grown by 12.13% - Annual Profit has grown over by 38.33% - 3 Years Sales CAGR is 18.67% - Retail/Public have reduced their stakes by 0.32% in the latest quarter (14.4% to 14.08%) - Promoters + FIIs + DIIs hold 92.01% in the company Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
NSE:ULTRACEMCOLong
by TraderRahulPal
31 May 2024 - BankNifty stance is neutral, slightly bullish toneBankNifty was unable to break the 48947 resistance today, except for the 10.18 candle, rest 5 candles touched the 48947 resistance level. In 3 instances we went above, but could not sustain. If any of the candles closed above this level, I would have changed the stance to bullish. As of now maintaining the neutral stance with a slightly bullish tone. All eyes are on the election exit polls today and then the actual results on June 4th. Banks and financial sectors will be the first to react to any news, rumors, or press releases. Unlike other developed markets, finances are the most important sector in our listed space. Copy pasting my expectations for markets next week, post election results 1. 400+ seats - up 5%+ 2. 270 to 399 seats - down 5 to 10% 3. less than 270 seats - down 25%
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
breakout trading !In technical analysis, a breakout refers to a substantial price movement of a financial instrument, such as a stock or commodity, surpassing a specific level of support or resistance. This occurrence is of paramount importance, as it frequently signifies the initiation of a new trend, offering traders and investors valuable insights for informed decision-making. Outlined below are key aspects related to breakouts in technical analysis: Definition: A breakout occurs when the price of an asset surpasses a well-defined level of support or resistance. The breakout can manifest as either an upward movement (bullish breakout) or a downward movement (bearish breakout). Significance: Breakouts carry significance as they indicate a shift in market sentiment, suggesting that the prevailing trend may be weakening or reversing, potentially giving rise to a new trend. Types of Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: This occurs when the price surpasses a resistance level, signaling potential upward momentum. Bearish Breakout: In contrast, a bearish breakout happens when the price drops below a support level, indicating potential downward momentum. Volume Confirmation: Successful breakouts are often accompanied by an uptick in trading volume, serving as confirmation of the robustness of the new trend. Volume analysis is instrumental in validating the legitimacy of the breakout. False Breakouts: It is important to note that not all breakouts lead to sustained trends. False breakouts can occur, wherein the price briefly breaches a support or resistance level but subsequently reverses. Traders commonly employ additional technical indicators or await confirmation before acting on a breakout. Measuring Target: Traders frequently use the height of the pattern preceding the breakout, such as a triangle or rectangle, to estimate the potential price target. This aids in setting profit targets. Common Chart Patterns Leading to Breakouts: Triangles: Symmetrical, ascending, or descending triangles often precede breakouts. Head and Shoulders: Both inverse and regular head and shoulders patterns can signal potential breakouts. Rectangles and Flags: Consolidation patterns like rectangles and flags can lead to breakouts. Role of Trendlines: Trendlines are commonly employed to identify potential breakout points. The intersection of a trendline with a support or resistance level is deemed a critical zone for a potential breakout. Risk Management: Traders typically incorporate risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders, to safeguard against false breakouts or adverse market movements. In summary, breakouts in technical analysis are pivotal events offering valuable information to traders and investors about potential shifts in market trends. Effective breakout trading strategies involve confirmation, volume analysis, and meticulous consideration of various chart patterns.
NSE:MPHASISEducation
by pratik2358
2
LICI- All time high breakoutInsurance sector in action with leading company giving all time high breakout. LIC of India is giving all time high breakout on daily chart. The volume in last 1-2 months are quite high and stock has till now given a returns of almost 30% in year 2023. This seems just the beginning of rally in this stock. The next possible levels on the chart is 1083 according to Fibonacci. Disclaimer: The stock shared is only for educational purpose and does not include any buy or sell recommendations.
NSE:LICILong
by Vipin_Dixena
Learn Support Bounce- For Swing TradingSimply speaking a support is a zone where demand overcomes supply. There are more buy orders than the sell orders at this level, which could force the bids to go higher and hence the stock can rally. I would like to discuss one of the efficient ways to trade support levels. This is not the only way and may not be the perfect one but still with good success rate. There are a few simple points that needs to be followed. 🚀Step 1 There should be a support level from where the stock bounced significantly. Draw a horizontal line from the lowest point of the support. 🚀Step 2 Let the price pullback to this support zone and create a green candle. It could be a pin bar with long wick at the bottom or a full green candle that closes above support. The setup may develop either at or near the support OR after the price breaks through the support and then fakes the break. Both ways we need a green candle above the support zone. 🚀Step 3 Buy few ticks above the high of the pin bar or full bar with stop loss few ticks below these candles. Buying at the close of those bullish candles is another method to further reduce the risk (SL) but the first method will keep you from some awkward positions. 🚀Step 4 Here we are not looking for reversals. We are looking for 50% target of the previous down wave. ⚡Tip1: Now we know the target and stop loss, before entering the trade please confirm that reward is 2 times, or more than the risk involved. Ex if SL is 10 points, then target should be at least 20 points. So, the down wave must be more than 40 points. ⚡Tip2: Once trade starts moving in your direction, keep trailing to bring your stop to breakeven or lock some profit on partial position if your like. I will post some examples in the update section. One is right there on the SBI chart shown above. Two support zones and 3 buying opportunities that worked. Keep boosting for more educational ideas in future. Disclaimer: Examples shown in the idea are not an investment or trading advice. Apply your due diligence and backtest the strategy for good results.
NSE:SBINEducation
by Bravetotrade
3
Turned down right from the opening of the new weekGold prices edged lower at the start of the week after posting solid gains from haven flows that were seen outperforming higher government bond yields across most of the globe. The price of precious metals decreased not because gold's upward momentum was over, but because the market needed to consolidate with resistance at 1,985 USD/ounce. The geopolitical situation and macroeconomic factors of the Middle East may have contributed to the increase in gold prices. The decline in the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond Fund ETF reflects the worsening outlook for corporate bonds. This credit squeeze also affected Wall Street stock indexes and increased risks to other assets. The Middle East situation is unlikely to find a peaceful solution soon, which could maintain demand for gold despite higher Treasury yields. The 2-year Treasury note reached 5.25% last Thursday but fell to 5.10% over the weekend. The 10-year note also hit its highest level since 2007, briefly surpassing 5.0% before settling at 4.95%. The chart shows that the rise in the 10-year Treasury yield and the USD index has not yet affected the price of gold, but it is worth keeping an eye on in case of sudden movements in those markets. The sell-off of the iShares high-yield ETF could have broader consequences for stocks as companies face higher borrowing costs. SELL zone 1982$ - 1980$ - stoploss: 1986$ Buy zone1945$ - 1947$ - stoploss: 1940$
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Basil_Trading
Long term gold. 2050 COMINGCurrently gold is trading around 1980 USD and has increased a total of 7 USD today. It can be seen that after the Fed chairman's speech yesterday, gold's reaction was not too strong but still developed with the highest impressive number in the past two weeks since October 6. The reason gold prices increased cannot help but mention the fact that the gold market continues to benefit as the Israel-Hamas conflict continues to intensify. Besides, the cooling of the USD also partly supported gold's return. With gold retesting the level of 1,964 USD/ounce, this precious metal will easily surpass levels in the range of 1,985 - 1,995 USD/ounce. All resistance zones are not enough to slow down the rise of gold. Let me know your mind!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Basil_Trading
Gold price increased in the Asian and European trading session🍀Gold price trades higher around $1,930 a troy ounce, rebounding from the losses registered in the previous week. The pullback in the USD is providing support in strengthening the prices of Gold, which could be attributed to the lower likelihood of the US Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in the upcoming September. 🍀Gold price increased in today's Asian and European trading session. continuously increased from 1919 price after opening to 1930. We can wait to catch a rebound from gold 🍀Interesting knowledge about trading Trading is not as interesting as many people think. Trading is a boring job! With repeated actions that are not allowed to bring emotions into it!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mars_Hunter
3