Sensex Monthly expire AnalysisFor the Sensex monthly expiry on 28th March 2024, I anticipate a bullish trend driven by positive economic indicators and corporate earnings. Continued government stimulus measures and favorable global market conditions are likely to support investor sentiment. Key sectors such as technology, healthcare, and renewable energy could outperform, while stable inflation and interest rates may further bolster market confidence. However, cautiousness regarding geopolitical tensions and potential regulatory changes remains prudent. Overall, I expect the Sensex to exhibit resilience and potentially reach new highs during this expiry period, reflecting the underlying strength of the Indian economy.
Tradingsignal
Anupam Rasayan - Inverse H&S Breakout on Weekly ChartChart patterns are the most loved trading strategy among traders. There are different kind of patterns traded in stock market. One of which is inverse head and shoulder - a trend reversal pattern. Upon formation of this pattern the stock trend get reversed. Generally if the stock is in consolidation phase then this pattern is seen.
Now here I have observed inverse head and shoulder pattern formation in one of the chemical manufacturing company in India named Anupam Rasayan India Ltd. On closely observing the chart, I found that the stock is in downtrend since May 2022 after making a high of 1234 and remain in downtrend till Oct 2023. Now the fresh uptrend in the stock is supported by inverted head and shoulder pattern which signifies that the stock can continue the uptrend in coming months.
The targets for this stock can be found by projecting the depth of head just after the breakout which comes around 1320. Also the stop loss for this trade can be put at the depth of right shoulder which is around 990.
Disclaimer: The stock shared is only for educational purpose and does not hold any buy or sell recommendations.
AXP/ American Express Company Swing Short Trade Setup - AXP is setting up for a supply reaction
- It can surely retrace the whole move it created from the origin
- Inefficiencies created should be filled by expansion and post that a bounce back
- Do not initiate shorts from the mentioned zone like a fool without a reaction
Turned down right from the opening of the new weekGold prices edged lower at the start of the week after posting solid gains from haven flows that were seen outperforming higher government bond yields across most of the globe. The price of precious metals decreased not because gold's upward momentum was over, but because the market needed to consolidate with resistance at 1,985 USD/ounce.
The geopolitical situation and macroeconomic factors of the Middle East may have contributed to the increase in gold prices. The decline in the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond Fund ETF reflects the worsening outlook for corporate bonds. This credit squeeze also affected Wall Street stock indexes and increased risks to other assets.
The Middle East situation is unlikely to find a peaceful solution soon, which could maintain demand for gold despite higher Treasury yields. The 2-year Treasury note reached 5.25% last Thursday but fell to 5.10% over the weekend. The 10-year note also hit its highest level since 2007, briefly surpassing 5.0% before settling at 4.95%.
The chart shows that the rise in the 10-year Treasury yield and the USD index has not yet affected the price of gold, but it is worth keeping an eye on in case of sudden movements in those markets.
The sell-off of the iShares high-yield ETF could have broader consequences for stocks as companies face higher borrowing costs.
SELL zone 1982$ - 1980$ - stoploss: 1986$
Buy zone1945$ - 1947$ - stoploss: 1940$
Long term gold. 2050 COMINGCurrently gold is trading around 1980 USD and has increased a total of 7 USD today. It can be seen that after the Fed chairman's speech yesterday, gold's reaction was not too strong but still developed with the highest impressive number in the past two weeks since October 6.
The reason gold prices increased cannot help but mention the fact that the gold market continues to benefit as the Israel-Hamas conflict continues to intensify. Besides, the cooling of the USD also partly supported gold's return.
With gold retesting the level of 1,964 USD/ounce, this precious metal will easily surpass levels in the range of 1,985 - 1,995 USD/ounce.
All resistance zones are not enough to slow down the rise of gold.
Let me know your mind!
GOLD - Scalping StrategyGold prices slightly extended its gains and successfully continued a third day of gains.
TVC:GOLD hovers around $1,900/oz during the Asian session on Wednesday, showing signs of recovery from four consecutive weeks of losses despite a firmer US Dollar (USD).
However, a stronger recovery is unlikely at the moment.
After days of continuous decline, gold finally showed signs of changing the trend. At first, we can look at the problem as follows:
1. Economic data in the US is showing signs of getting better
2. Inflation may not reach the target of the Fed, but it can also be called cooled down
3. The economic data is giving clearer evidence of the US economic scenario will have a soft landing if the FED is ready to QE after this period.
=> From the above points, I think that Gold is still in a downtrend, and this rally may not be as strong as expected.
You can set up sell order at price zone 1905-1907 SL 1913 TP 1900,1895
TATA MOTORS INTRADAYTata Motors is trading in a very narrow range and we expect a breakout soon on 15 mins chart.
A short position below 302 for a small target of 298 from where it is expected to rebound.
If we see a bullish breakout then we can buy for a target of 315 followed by 323.
Ultimately the momentum is still bullish and just we need to wait for a right entry level.
All the cases have been market on the chart.
NIFTY SETUP FOR TOMORROWNifty shows a potential upside for tomorrow session. A perfect W bottom with clear diversion on TDI. The diversion is strong as the first leg of the diversion is outside the Bollinger band followed by the second inside leg. If it breaks the trend line we can expect the 61.8% levels tomorrow.