Gold hits important support. Is the downtrend over?
📊 Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" policy is affecting the entire financial market in general and gold prices in particular. The trade war is approaching and the market continued to fall sharply on Monday. Not staying out of the game, OANDA:XAUUSD is also inevitable to sell off when market volatility increases. Let's analyze the next developments of gold from the perspective of **Technical Analysis:** and the opportunity to find profits at this time:
🔹 **Frame D**: After 3 consecutive days of decline, FOREXCOM:XAUUSD prices have temporarily maintained the upward price trend. And currently the price is at an important support area, the old peak area 1 month ago. Whether the correction ends here or not, we will need to consider further in the next time frames
🔹 **H4 frame**: The important key zone has been broken, the bearish price structure has not changed, it is not yet possible to confirm that this downtrend has ended.
🔹 **H1 frame**: The bearish price structure is very clear, however, the selling force is not as strong as before. The support area still brings a cautious mentality to the bears, plus the profit-taking action for SELL positions after the past 3 days.
✅**Trading plan:*
Looking at the price structure, although the price is at an important support area, we are still not sure that this downtrend has ended, so the BUY option will not be considered. However, the current area is no longer suitable for setting up a SELL position. The priority at the moment is to wait for the price to return to the marked resistance area to TRADE WITH THE MEDIUM TERM TREND. The market volatility is very high at the moment so pay attention to reduce the corresponding Volume and Stoploss with the loss you can accept.
💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**
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GOLD MARKET – Early Asian Spike Meets Resistance Ahead of ADP🟡 GOLD MARKET UPDATE – Early Asian Spike Meets Resistance Ahead of ADP
Gold saw a strong early move during the Asian session, rallying back into the 313x zone — largely supported by consistent buying flow from Asian and Middle Eastern investors, as seen in the bullish momentum early in recent Asian sessions.
However, price quickly reacted to the key resistance zone at 3130–3135, which was highlighted in yesterday’s plan. With selling pressure reappearing at this level, my view remains to look for sell setups in both the Asian and London sessions if price retraces upward again.
📉 Technical Structure:
Gold is approaching the tip of a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout.
→ As always: wait for the breakout, then trade the retest in the breakout direction.
📰 Fundamental Watch:
All eyes will be on tonight’s ADP Non-Farm Employment data from the U.S.
Expectations are fairly optimistic — if the data comes in near or better than forecast, this could strengthen the USD and push gold lower, aligning with my bearish view toward the 308x–307x target zone.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance: 3128 – 3135 – 3142 – 3148
🔻 Support: 3110 – 3100 – 3080 – 3070
🎯 Trade Setup:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3102 – 3100
SL: 3096
TP: 3106 – 3110 – 3114 – 3118 – 3122 – 3126 – 3130
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150
SL: 3154
TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120
📌 Caution: Watch out for increased volatility during the US session with ADP release.
In Asia and Europe, stick to the technical zones above and always manage your TP/SL properly to protect your capital.
Good luck, stay sharp.
— AD | Money Market Flow
BTC23: BTC falls again. Testing support or finding a new bottom?📊 BINANCE:BTCUSD continued to decrease again in the past 2 days. Let's evaluate and look for opportunities through the multi-timeframe perspective below BINANCE:BTCUSDT :
🔹 **D Frame**: Before the price decrease in the past 2 days, we can see that although BTC had a recovery phase before, the fake decrease structure has not been broken yet.
🔹 **H4 Frame**: The keylever zone has been broken as marked on the chart, however, this is the first decrease after the increase wave in the past days, so it will need clearer confirmation.
🔹 **H1 Frame**: Currently, the price is reacting to the support zone of 81~83k. However, the price is still in a downward wave if looking at the price structure.
🚀 **Trading plan:*
📌 At the present time, we can look for a SELL position in line with the main trend in diagonal resistance areas to look for a trading position in line with the main trend. The current price is at an important support area, so it is no longer suitable to SELL at this time. BUYing in this area is not recommended when the downtrend has not shown any signs of ending. We will have to wait for a clearer signal from the price structure to properly assess the effect of the current support area.
💪 **Wishing you success in making a profit!**
Gold Awaits – A Major Move Is Just Around the CornerGold has shown consistent structure since the start of this week.
Today, there are no major economic events, so price is likely to continue moving sideways within the current range, as previously analyzed in AD’s plan.
📌 Important Events Coming Up:
🔸 Thursday: US Quarterly GDP data
🔸 Friday: PCE Inflation Report (Key inflation indicator)
👉 These are the two most impactful news releases this week, and essentially wrap up Q1/month-end flows.
→ Global traders will be closely watching Thursday & Friday, so stay extra cautious during these two sessions.
🔄 Today’s Market Behavior:
Gold continues to range within the same channel shared earlier this week.
There is no clear breakout or strong directional move yet.
The market is essentially waiting for Thursday & Friday's data — which could act as the catalyst for a stronger bearish correction, in line with AD’s mid-term outlook.
🔍 Current Trading Strategy:
As shared from the beginning of the week, AD continues to trade reactions at key support and resistance zones.
Without a confirmed breakout, the approach remains:
→ Trade the range. React to both ends of the zone.
🧭 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
🔺 Resistance: 3,010 – 3,036 – 3,046 – 3,057
🔻 Support: 3,010 – 3,001 – 2,988
🎯 TRADE ZONES:
BUY ZONE: 2988 – 2986
SL: 2982
TP: 2992 – 2996 – 3000 – 3004 – 3008 – 3015
SELL ZONE: 3045 – 3047
SL: 3051
TP: 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030 – 3026 – 3020
🧠 Final Reminder:
There is no breakout confirmation yet → market is still in accumulation mode.
Be patient, avoid FOMO, and watch price reaction closely at each zone.
➡️ Trade clean levels. Enter only when setups are clear — stay out if not.
Protecting your capital always comes first.
— AD | Money Market Flow
BTC#22: BTC recovers slightly. Is the bear wave over?
In the past few days, BINANCE:BTCUSD has been continuously SW in the 81~85k area. Is this a sign that BTC will rise again? Let's analyze in detail and plan a trade BINANCE:BTCUSDT :
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 The IMF has included Bitcoin and other digital assets in the framework of the global economic report for the first time. This shows that BTC is being recognized as a real asset.
🚀 The probability that the US government will buy Bitcoin in 2025 is 30% with information that the Trump administration may use profits from Gold to increase Bitcoin reserves
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: the bear wave has not shown any signs of ending. The price has been anchored in the 80~85k area for a long time, but there has been no significant fluctuation and the sign of recovery is still unclear.
🔹 **H4+H1 frame**: The current short-term price structure is temporarily increasing with the appearance of higher peaks and higher bottoms. However, the price has not surpassed the important key zone to change the main trend.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
📌 At the present time, the current price has no clear signs when BTC is still fluctuating continuously in the SW area. Currently, the price is in a recovery phase with the nearest target being the resistance area of 88~91k. The current area is also not good for seeking profit from BUY positions. We can wait for the price reaction to the resistance area to consider establishing a SELL position. Prioritize trading in accordance with the main trend.
💪 **Wish you success in making profits!**
WEEKLY GOLD OUTLOOK – BIG PICTURE VIEW FOR THE HOMIES!🔍 Let’s take a quick look at Gold on the higher timeframes (W1 & D1) —
The weekly and daily candles are showing long upper wicks, indicating strong rejections from the highs due to last Friday’s correction.
📉 Gold dropped more than 50 points toward the end of the week, but later bounced back with a late-session recovery.
Looking at the W1 and D1 candles, there are early signs of a possible reversal, but momentum still seems not strong enough, as prices retraced over 20 points into the close, making the candle bodies close above 50% of the full D1/W1 range.
🧭 From AD’s perspective, price has now reacted at the all-time high zone, and we need to wait for Monday to confirm whether the bulls can push higher again — only then can we establish a full directional bias for the upcoming week.
We're now stepping back to get a broader view of price action and macro sentiment, reviewing all the latest news & market developments before entering the final week of the month...
📈 Current View from AD:
Gold is still moving inside its main bullish channel on the higher timeframes. However, in order for a true reversal to form, strong selling pressure must come in, triggering larger volumes and pushing price down into low-liquidity zones.
That said, buyers stepped back in near the weekly close, so we’ll need to closely watch:
Possible weekend gaps
Price action around the Sunday night open
This will help us determine the most accurate direction heading into Monday.
⚠️ There’s a chance we’ll see another drop, as this current bullish retracement is reaching the 0.5 – 0.618 zones on H1 and H2.
But like AD said, the real story unfolds on Monday once the leftover weekend volume gets absorbed and clean market structure reveals itself.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3025 – 3033 – 3040 – 3046 – 3056
Support: 3014 – 3005 – 3000 – 2993 – 2986
📊 Based on the MA indicators AD uses, short-term moving averages are starting to cross over mid- and long-term MAs, indicating a potential major trend shift on higher timeframes.
💡 If this structure holds into early next week, we might get early SELL opportunities, so stay alert and stick close to candle structure.
📍AD has already marked the key levels on the chart —
These are high-probability zones for entry or breakout traps, so don’t miss out on golden opportunities. Save them. Watch them.
💬 Wishing everyone a warm and joyful weekend with your family and loved ones.
AD will drop a post tomorrow on market psychology — if you’re interested, drop a boost and leave a comment!
GOOD WEEKEND HOMIES! 💛
Bank Nifty Technical Analysis Commentary- BNF is currently trading at 50,457 up 5.76%
- BNF has shown some strong recovery post the major drawdown
- BNF is currently trading near a strong POI, if BNF fails to flip this zone to 50,600 and continues to drop then we will enter another distribution mitigating 46,000
- Two paths drawn shows the possible price paths for BNF
- Green path signifies flip above the MSS and weekly candle close above it and we move towards the next high liquid zone sitting at 52,000 to fill the inefficiencies above
The red path shows we will flip above the MSS deviate and fall below harder
GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading Plan: Will Gold Break $3100? 🚀Published by MMFlowTrading on March 20, 2025
Overview 📊
Gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong uptrend on the H1 timeframe, with price action moving within a clear ascending channel 📈. The recent breakout above the $3000 psychological level signals robust bullish momentum 💪. However, key resistance levels are approaching, and upcoming economic events might influence the next move. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental factors to craft today’s trading plan! 🧠
Technical Analysis 🔍
Ascending Channel:
Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel (highlighted in orange on the chart) 📉📈. The price has respected both the upper and lower boundaries, indicating a healthy uptrend. Currently, the price is near the upper channel resistance at $3070.612 🚧.
Key Resistance Levels (VPOC High):
The nearest resistance is at $3070.612, a high-volume node (VPOC) where sellers might step in 🛑.
If this level is broken, the next targets are $3081.053 and $3097.774, with a potential push toward the psychological $3100 mark 🎯.
Key Support Levels:
The closest support is at $3031.774, aligning with the lower channel boundary and a previous VPOC level 🛡.
A deeper pullback could test $3024.254 or even $3017.197, where buyers previously stepped in (marked by yellow circles on the chart) 📍.
Additional Key Levels:
Resistance: $3054 - $3061 - $3070 🚧
Support: $3044 - $3038 - $3031 - $3026 🛡
Fundamental Analysis 🌍
US Dollar Strength:
Gold has an inverse relationship with the USD 💱. On March 20, 2025, the market is awaiting the US Jobless Claims data and Fed speeches, which could impact the USD 📅. If the data indicates a weaker US economy, the USD might weaken, supporting Gold’s rally toward $3100 🚀.
Geopolitical Tensions:
Ongoing global uncertainties (e.g., Middle East tensions, US-China trade talks) continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets like Gold 🛡. This fundamental factor supports the bullish bias in the short term.
Interest Rates:
The Fed’s recent dovish stance on interest rates (as of early 2025) has reduced the opportunity cost of holding Gold, further fueling its uptrend 📉.
Trading Plan 📝
Buy Setup (BUY ZONE: $3032 - $3030) 🟢
Stop Loss (SL): $3026 ⛔️.
Take Profit (TP): $3038 - $3042 - $3046 - $3050 - $3060
Sell Setup (SELL ZONE: $3069 - $3071) 🔴
⛔️Stop Loss (SL): $3075
Take Profit (TP): $3065 - $3060 - $3055 - $3050
Market Note ⚠️
The market has been hitting all-time highs (ATH) after the FOMC storm early this morning 🌪. Traders, please stay cautious and strictly follow your TP/SL to keep your accounts safe! 🛡💡
Conclusion 🏁
Gold is at a critical juncture near $3070. A breakout above this level could pave the way to $3100, driven by strong technicals and supportive fundamentals 🚀. Alternatively, a rejection might lead to a pullback to the $3032 - $3030 buy zone. Stay disciplined and trade smart! 💪
What do you think about this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 For more daily trading ideas, follow me on TradingView
XAU/USD PLAN VIEW – PREPARE FOR THE FOMC STORM!📊 This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting on March 19, where the Fed will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook. Gold remains bullish but is now approaching key resistance zones, which could lead to a short-term correction before determining its next direction.
⚠ Important Note: The following PLAN VIEW applies before the FOMC meeting. Once we approach the event, traders should consider closing positions to protect their accounts, as extreme volatility is expected when the news is released.
🔥 Fundamental Analysis – What’s at Stake in This FOMC?
📌 1️⃣ Fed Expected to Hold Rates at 4.25% - 4.5% but…
The Dot Plot & Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will guide the market’s expectations.
If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, the USD may strengthen, pressuring gold.
If the Fed signals a dovish shift, the USD could weaken, pushing gold higher.
📌 2️⃣ Central Banks Are Still Buying Gold
China, Russia, Poland, and India continue stockpiling gold, reducing dependence on the USD.
This ongoing trend supports gold’s long-term bullish momentum, despite possible short-term pullbacks.
Technical Analysis – XAU/USD Key Levels
🔹 Primary Trend: Bullish, but facing strong resistance.
🔹 Price Channel: Gold remains within an uptrend, though a short-term pullback is possible.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
📍 Resistance:
3,055 - 3,071 – If gold faces rejection here, a correction could follow.
📍 Support:
3,021 - 3,009 – A key area to watch if a pullback occurs.
2,986 - 2,948 (FVG Zone H1) – Deeper liquidity levels if selling pressure increases.
🎯 PLAN VIEW – BEFORE FOMC
BUY ZONE: 3010 - 3008
SL: 3004
TP: 3015 - 3020 - 3024 - 3028 - 3032
ELL ZONE: 3054 - 3056
SL: 3060
TP: 3050 - 3046 - 3042 - 3038 - 3030
⚠ Key Warning:
As we approach FOMC, consider closing all positions to avoid unnecessary risks, as the market reaction can be highly unpredictable.
🔥 A storm is coming with the FOMC – trade smart and protect your capital! 🚀
GOLD HOLDS ABOVE $3,000 – BIG MOVE AHEAD?📌 Market Overview
Gold remains stable above the $3,000 mark as traders await the March 19 FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but speculation about a rate cut in June 2025 continues. Amid global economic uncertainty, gold maintains its position as a safe-haven asset, benefiting from a low-interest-rate environment.
🔹 Key Fundamental Factors
1️⃣ Fed’s Economic Projections
The upcoming forecasts will provide insights into how policymakers assess Trump’s fiscal policies.
A dovish Fed stance could push gold to new highs.
2️⃣ Safe-Haven Demand for Gold
Low interest rates increase gold’s attractiveness as a non-yielding asset.
Geopolitical tensions continue to support gold’s long-term bullish outlook.
3️⃣ Interest Rate & Inflation Impact
Traders anticipate a rate cut by June, fueling gold’s rally.
However, if inflation remains strong, the Fed may delay cuts, causing short-term pullbacks in gold.
📊 Technical Analysis – Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance (Upside Targets)
$3,034 - $3,050: If gold holds above $3,000, a test of this zone is likely.
Breakout Alert: A move past $3,050 could trigger stronger bullish momentum.
🔻 Support (Pullback Zones)
$3,000: A critical psychological level.
$2,985 - $2,975: A potential dip zone where buyers might step in.
$2,945 - $2,950: Strong long-term support—breaking below could indicate a shift in trend.
🎯 Trading Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2986 - 2984
📍 SL: 2980
🎯 TP: 2990 - 2994 - 3000 - 3005 - 3010
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3033 - 3035
📍 SL: 3039
🎯 TP: 3028 - 3024 - 3020 - 3015 - 3010
⚠ Market Caution!
Gold is consolidating above $3,000, but volatility is expected ahead of the Fed meeting.
Watch for potential breakouts or pullbacks—stick to risk management strategies!
📢 Will gold maintain momentum above $3,000, or is a correction coming? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
GOLD (XAU/USD) Weekly Analysis – Correction or Breakout Ahead?Last week, gold (XAU/USD) hit a new all-time high (ATH) at 3005, but a sharp correction followed, bringing prices down to the 2980 - 2985 zone. This volatility suggests that the market is seeking equilibrium before determining the next move.
For the upcoming week, all eyes are on key economic data from the U.S., particularly the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and inflation indicators. These factors will directly impact the USD and gold’s direction.
📉 Gold Market Outlook
After a strong rally, gold is now in a corrective phase, absorbing liquidity before a potential continuation. Based on the technical chart:
The FVG (Fair Value Gap) formation suggests that gold might revisit lower levels to fill liquidity before resuming its trend.
The overall trend remains bullish, but key support levels need to hold for continued upside movement.
The market awaits signals from the Fed and U.S. economic data to determine the next major move.
🔥 Key Factors to Watch This Week
1️⃣ Federal Reserve Policy – Will Rates Remain High?
The Fed has maintained a hawkish stance, but if upcoming economic data show signs of weakness, expectations of rate cuts or easing policies could support gold.
👉 Scenario 1: If the Fed remains committed to tight monetary policy, gold could face more selling pressure and test deeper support levels.
👉 Scenario 2: If the Fed signals a more dovish stance, the USD could weaken, boosting gold prices.
2️⃣ U.S. Inflation & Economic Data – The Game Changer
Key reports like CPI and PPI will be the driving force behind market movements. If inflation slows down, expectations of a Fed rate cut will rise, pushing gold higher.
👉 Higher-than-expected CPI: The Fed may keep rates high → Stronger USD → Gold under pressure.
👉 Lower-than-expected CPI: Expectations for easing policies increase → Weaker USD → Gold rebounds.
📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels for GOLD
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
3014 - 3034: A crucial zone where previous selling pressure emerged.
3050: A breakout above this level could open the door for further upside movement.
🔹 Major Support Levels:
2942 - 2915: The FVG zone, where liquidity might be filled before a potential rebound.
2885: A breakdown below this level could trigger a deeper correction.
🎯 Conclusion
Primary Trend: Gold remains in a long-term uptrend, but a short-term correction is possible before resuming the bullish move.
Market Catalyst: The direction of gold this week will be dictated by the Fed’s stance and U.S. inflation data.
Key Levels to Watch: 2915 - 2942 as critical support zones, while 3014 - 3050 will act as major resistance.
🔥 This week, closely watch gold’s reaction at key support and resistance levels to assess its next move! 🚀
XAU#24: Gold hits $3,000. Will there be a correction?💎 💎 💎 So OANDA:XAUUSD has successfully achieved the $3,000 mark thanks to tariffs and economic growth concerns. Let's continue to plan for gold FOREXCOM:XAUUSD : 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 The trade war due to tariffs as well as expectations of slowing inflation and concerns about economic growth will push the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year are the main drivers of gold's safe-haven demand.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: Gold broke through the resistance area of 2955 strongly and reached the 3000 mark the next day. The uptrend is very clear. Although the weekend closed with a pinbar, this is likely to be short-term profit-taking pressure as the market enters the weekend trading day and comes from the 3000 round mark
🔹 **H4+H1 frame**: the price returns to a strong uptrend after accumulating the 2900~292x area. The price reaction at the psychological level of 3000 is weak when the price does not have a clear corrective reaction.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
✅ There is still no clear sign of adjustment. Gold prices will continue to increase if trade tensions escalate from tariff retaliation orders. Although touching the psychological resistance of 3000, the price reaction is insignificant, showing that market sentiment is still optimistic about the prospect of gold's increase. The top priority is not to FOMO according to the price line. We can wait for the price to return to the support area to look for trading opportunities.
💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**
BTC#21: Fear Index Rising. Will BTC Continue to Fall? 💎 💎 💎 BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC's decline has somewhat slowed down in recent days with a recovery from 78k. We will plan for BINANCE:BTCUSD next 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental Analysis:**
📊 The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 30 today, and the level is still fear
🚀 Cumulative net inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs have dropped to their lowest level since January 2
📌 The market is still in a pessimistic phase about BTC's bullish outlook. The outflow of money from the market is not only due to BTC's decline but also due to concerns about an economic recession due to Trump's unstable policies.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: BTC's downtrend has shown signs of slowing down, but the main trend in frame D is still down. We will still need to wait for the price reaction in the resistance area to confirm.
🔹 **H4 frame**: The price trend is still down. The price reaction in the support area of 78K is not as strong as before, showing that market sentiment is still leaning towards the bears.
🔹 **H1 frame**: we are in a short-term correction. The target for this correction is the resistance area of 88-91K as you can see on the chart
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
As you can see from the multi-frame perspective, the main trend is still down, but we are in a short-term correction. We can choose to wait for the price to return to the resistance area to trade in line with the main trend or if the price has a slight recovery, set up BUY to seek profit. However, because the main trend is down, we need to stop loss fully and not be greedy when the price hits resistance because the price can return to the main trend at any time.
💪 **Wish you success in achieving profits!**
GOLD HITS NEW ATH – IS $3,000 JUST THE BEGINNING?📌 Market Overview
Gold has soared to a new all-time high (ATH) following the latest inflation reports (CPI & PPI), confirming the market’s strong bullish sentiment. As expected, weak US economic data caused DXY to plunge to its lowest levels, further fueling gold’s upward momentum. Everything is aligning in favor of gold’s rally – up, up, up! 🚀
👉 Why is gold skyrocketing?
Investors are rushing to buy gold at record-high prices due to economic and political instability.
Former President Donald Trump’s policies are shaking market confidence, making gold the go-to safe-haven asset.
Until USD shows signs of a strong recovery, gold will remain the priority investment.
📊 Will Gold Break Beyond $3,000?
🔹 Short-term bullish outlook:
Asian & European sessions are expected to favor buying, as investors continue to pile into gold.
In the US session, profit-taking may trigger sharp pullbacks, especially as early buyers cash out at higher levels.
Being a Friday, the market could see large liquidations and volatility spikes.
📉 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🔺 Major Resistance: $3,000 - $3,019 - $3,039 - $3,052
🔻 Major Support: $2,978 - $2,967 - $2,942 - $2,918
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🔴 SELL ZONE: $3,039 - $3,041
📍 SL: $3,045
🎯 TP: $3,035 - $3,030 - $3,025 - $3,020 - $3,015 - $3,010 - ???
🟢 BUY SCALP: $2,968 - $2,966
📍 SL: $2,962
🎯 TP: $2,972 - $2,976 - $2,980 - $2,985 - $2,990 - $3,000
🟢 BUY ZONE: $2,948 - $2,946
📍 SL: $2,942
🎯 TP: $2,952 - $2,956 - $2,960 - $2,965 - $2,970 - $2,980 - $3,000 - ???
⚡️ Final Thoughts – Caution Ahead!
📌 Despite the strong uptrend, today is Friday, and profit-taking could trigger sudden drops.
📌 Stick to TP/SL strategies to protect capital and avoid getting caught in sharp pullbacks.
📌 Watch for potential liquidations in the US session – big moves are possible!
💬 Do you think gold will push beyond $3,000, or are we in for a sharp correction? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
IS GOLD HEADING FOR A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH? USD LOSING GROUND!📌 Market Overview
For the past three months, the US Dollar (USD) has been consistently weakening, signaling a significant shift in the financial markets. With the latest CPI report showing weaker-than-expected figures, USD remains under pressure in the short term. However, long-term indicators suggest a potential recovery, implying short-term weakness but long-term strength for the dollar.
Meanwhile, GOLD continues to benefit from this USD downturn, both fundamentally and technically. As previously highlighted, our bullish bias remains intact, and we will continue to look for early buy opportunities at key support zones while monitoring the next resistance levels at all-time highs (ATH).
📊 CPI Impact on USD & GOLD – What’s Next?
🔹 USD’s Short-Term Weakness vs. Long-Term Resilience
The weaker-than-expected CPI figures have put immediate downside pressure on the USD.
However, in the long run, this could signal a bottoming phase for the dollar, setting the stage for future strength.
For now, USD weakness supports GOLD's bullish momentum, allowing for further upside potential.
🔸 GOLD’s Continued Strength – Aiming for New Highs?
With weaker USD and a risk-off sentiment, GOLD remains a preferred asset for investors.
Our strategy stays focused on buying dips, particularly around key support zones.
The upcoming PPI report (Producer Price Index) will be another crucial factor influencing inflation expectations and USD movement.
📉 Key Technical Levels for GOLD
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
2,945 - 2,956 - 2,972 - 2,988
🔻 Major Support Levels:
2,931 - 2,922 - 2,914 - 2,906 - 2,898
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2,922 - 2,920
📍 SL: 2,916
🎯 TP: 2,926 - 2,930 - 2,935 - 2,940 - 2,950
🔴 SELL ZONE: 2,955 - 2,957
📍 SL: 2,961
🎯 TP: 2,950 - 2,946 - 2,942 - 2,938 - 2,930
⚡ PPI Data Tonight – Another Market Mover!
📌 Tonight, the PPI (Producer Price Index) report will be released, measuring inflation at the production level.
📌 A weak PPI print could add short-term bearish pressure on USD, further supporting GOLD’s bullish bias.
📌 However, in the long run, stable inflation could provide support for USD, reinforcing its recovery trend.
📢 Traders, be prepared for increased volatility! Stick to TP/SL levels to protect your capital. 🚀🔥
💬 What’s your view? Do you think GOLD will hit new ATH levels, or will USD start its recovery soon? Let’s discuss in the comments!
XAU#23: Gold Continues SW – Waiting for a Boost from CPI News?🔥 Immediately after the decline FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , there was a recovery with a large amplitude. Looking at the price reaction, we will plan the next step OANDA:XAUUSD : 🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊Gold rises on tariff concerns, but is under pressure from the Ukraine-Russia ceasefire agreement
🔹Gold prices rise on a weaker USD and increased demand for safe-haven, as concerns about a US economic recession become more evident.
🚀The US market faces risks from Trump's tax policy, Fed interest rates and slowing growth of large technology companies. Weak CPI & PPI data could prompt the Fed to ease policy, creating conditions for gold prices to continue to be supported.
📌 In recent days, trade wars and geopolitics have continuously coordinated the price of gold. Continuous declarations of tax imposition, response and withdrawal have caused the price to fluctuate strongly.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: The bullish price structure has not changed. Yesterday's price increase brought momentum to the prospect of gold's increase. However, to break out of the SW zone, we will need strong enough momentum from both news and price structure.
🔹 **Frame H4**: The downtrend has been confirmed when the price reacted strongly in the resistance zone. The price continues to be in the old SW zone. We will have to wait for confirmation from the price structure in this area to predict the trend and wait for the opportunity to establish a position.
🔹 **Frame H1**: The bearish price structure has been established and yesterday was a recovery to the resistance zone. It is too early to say that the price will break through the SW area.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔ At the current price range, the price line is likely to SW waiting for today's CPI news. If we have not established a position, we should not FOMO at this time. Because the information given at this time can change at any time and the price line has not been clearly confirmed.
✅ An ideal scenario when the price has a correction to retest the H4 trendline. The upward momentum will be clearer when the price bounces from support. However, yesterday's price increase has not ended yet, so we should wait for the price structure to appear more clearly to place an order.
💪 **Wishing you successful trading!**
Gold Breaks Out! Is This the Start of a Massive Rally?🚀 Gold Breaks Out! Is This the Start of a Massive Rally? 🔥
🌟 Gold Rises 1% as USD Weakens Amid Recession Fears
💰 Market Overview
Gold remains well-supported as market uncertainties continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. However, any positive developments in negotiations between Russia and Ukraine could reduce risk premiums.
🌍 Trade policies imposed by former U.S. President Donald Trump on key trading partners had previously caused significant volatility in global markets, raising concerns about economic growth.
📊 Key Economic Events
All eyes are now on the upcoming U.S. inflation reports, with the CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Producer Price Index) scheduled for release on March 12 and 13, respectively. According to a Reuters poll, the U.S. CPI for February is expected to increase by 0.3%.
⚠️ With these economic data releases ahead, investors need to stay alert, as this week’s fundamental news could significantly impact gold’s movement. From a technical perspective, gold seems well-supported at key levels, indicating potential strength in the market.
📈 Technical Outlook & Trade Setup
✅ Gold has broken out of a parallel downward channel with a strong breakout around $2898 - $2900, forming a continuation pattern (CP) and surging 15 - 20 prices afterward.
📌 Yesterday’s break of the bearish structure and the subsequent rally suggest that gold still has strong buying momentum, backed by fundamentals favoring USD and gold.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
📍 Major Resistance Levels: $2927 - $2944 - $2954
📍 Major Support Levels: $2899 - $2884 - $2873
📌 Trading Zones
🟢 BUY ZONE: $2884 - $2882
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $2878
🎯 Take Profit (TP): $2888 - $2892 - $2896 - $2900 - $2906 - $2910
🔴 SELL ZONE: $2943 - $2945
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $2949
🎯 Take Profit (TP): $2940 - $2936 - $2932 - $2928 - $2922
📢 Final Thoughts
🕵️♂️ Tonight, we have a crucial CPI release that could shape gold’s trend for the week. Currently, gold is moving unpredictably in lower timeframes, sweeping both highs and lows as the market transitions from Spring-Winter to Summer-Fall phases.
📌 Traders should be cautious and wait for a clearer trend before making aggressive moves. Stick to your TP/SL levels to protect your capital.
GOOD LUCK & TRADE SAFE! 🚀
GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – AWAITING CPI & PPI IMPACT! GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – CPI & PPI TO DRIVE THE NEXT MOVE!
🔥 GOLD REMAINS IN A RANGE – BREAKOUT OR CORRECTION AHEAD? 🔥
📌 Market Overview
Gold continues to trade sideways within a wide range, despite last week’s disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for the U.S. economy. Even though the jobs data was weak, gold failed to break a new high, indicating that investors may have anticipated the report. Key market focus is now shifting towards Trump’s trade policies & inflation rather than employment data alone.
👉 After the news release, gold reacted briefly but lacked strong bullish momentum, continuing to trade around $2,910 before closing the week at this level.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KEY PRICE LEVELS
🔹 Resistance Levels to Watch:
$2,929: Immediate resistance; breaking this level could confirm bullish momentum.
$2,943 - $2,954: Major resistance; a breakout here could push gold towards $2,970+.
🔻 Support Levels to Watch:
$2,884: Closest support; breaking this could open the door for further downside.
$2,872 - $2,859: Strong support zone where buyers may step in.
$2,840: A critical level, especially if the upcoming CPI & PPI reports strengthen the USD.
📊 KEY EVENTS IMPACTING GOLD THIS WEEK
📅 CPI & PPI – The Major Catalysts Ahead
💡 Expectations:
If CPI and PPI come in higher than expected ➜ USD strengthens, and gold may correct lower.
If CPI and PPI are weaker ➜ USD weakens, and gold could break resistance to continue its uptrend.
⚠️ Key Technical Clues to Watch:
Gold needs to break out of the $2,926 - $2,896 range to confirm a trend direction.
Resistance at $2,926 - $2,928 is still holding, which doesn’t favor BUY setups yet.
If gold drops below $2,896 - $2,884, the likelihood of a deeper correction increases.
🎯 TRADING PLAN
🔵 BUY ZONE: $2,874 - $2,872
📍 SL: $2,868
🎯 TP: $2,878 - $2,882 - $2,886 - $2,890 - $2,900
🔴 SELL ZONE: $2,944 - $2,946
📍 SL: $2,950
🎯 TP: $2,940 - $2,935 - $2,930 - $2,926 - $2,922
⚡ CONCLUSION
📌 Wait for price reaction at key levels before making trading decisions.
📌 Focus on the $2,926 - $2,896 range to determine the main trend.
📌 Strictly follow TP/SL to protect your account and maximize profit!
💬 What’s your take? Will gold break higher or correct deeper? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
XAU#22: Gold SW for 3 Days! What's Next?🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD has been SW for the past 3 days of the weekend. Today we will look at the next scenario for FOREXCOM:XAUUSD to look for trading opportunities: 🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊Trump's erratic tariff policy increases uncertainty, boosting demand for safe havens.
🔹USD falls sharply to a 4-month low, making gold more attractive to international investors.
🚀India steps up investment in gold, with jewelers and retail investors using gold options for speculation and hedging.
📌Gold remains a safe haven asset, especially amid concerns about India's economic growth and global instability.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: 3 consecutive SW days, however, it can be seen that the upward trend of gold has not changed. The SW price zone is also quite high compared to the most recent bottom, indicating an upward prospect for gold
🔹 **H4 frame**: The temporary bullish price structure was broken and there was a strong reaction at the most recent peak area with a previous pinbar.
🔹 **H1 frame**: In the H1 frame, we can see the hesitation more clearly. Although the previous price continuously set higher bottoms, the upward momentum is weakening. If the price breaks through 2905. There is a high possibility that we will see a correction to the lower support zone
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔The current area is no longer safe to establish a BUY position. We will wait for a clearer opportunity in the lower support zone
✅ The current priority is to look for a SELL position. The expected scenario is that if the price breaks through 2905, we can completely establish a position.
💪 **Wishing you successful trading!**
GOLD & NONFARM SHOWDOWN – WILL THE MARKET EXPLODE OR CRASH?📌 Market Outlook Before Nonfarm
The global financial markets are eagerly awaiting the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, set to be released tonight. As one of the most anticipated economic indicators, it directly impacts the U.S. Dollar (DXY), Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, and Gold prices (XAU/USD).
Currently, Gold is consolidating within the 2,892 - 2,929 range, waiting for a breakout. This report could serve as the catalyst to define the next major trend.
📊 Expected Nonfarm Scenarios & Impact on Gold & USD
✔ If Nonfarm Data Comes in Weak (~Below 180K)
A lower-than-expected jobs report could signal economic slowdown, weakening the USD.
Gold could break above 2,929 and move towards 2,943 - 2,954, as investors seek safe-haven assets.
✔ If Nonfarm Data is Strong (>250K)
A robust jobs report would strengthen USD, reinforcing expectations that the Fed may delay interest rate cuts.
Gold may drop towards 2,884 - 2,872, or even test deeper support at 2,859 - 2,840.
✔ If Nonfarm Matches Expectations (~200K)
Market volatility may increase temporarily, but a clear trend will only emerge if price reacts strongly at key levels.
📈 Technical Overview – Key Resistance & Support Levels
🔺 Resistance Levels to Watch:
2,929: Immediate resistance, breaking this could confirm bullish momentum.
2,943 - 2,954: Major resistance; if surpassed, Gold could aim for 2,970+.
🔻 Support Levels to Watch:
2,884: Closest support, breaking this could open further downside risks.
2,872 - 2,859: Strong support zone where buyers might step in.
2,840: Critical level if the Nonfarm report significantly boosts USD.
📉 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for Gold?
📊 The Nonfarm Payrolls report is expected to trigger high volatility, determining Gold's next major trend.
📉 If data is weaker than expected, USD may decline, pushing Gold above 2,929 toward 2,943 - 2,954.
📈 If data exceeds expectations, USD will strengthen, leading Gold to retest supports at 2,872 - 2,859 or lower at 2,840.
⚠ Traders should remain cautious, as price swings may occur before a clear trend is established. Risk management is crucial!
📢 What’s your prediction for Gold after Nonfarm? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
GOLD AWAITS NONFARM – BREAKOUT OR RETRACEMENT?GOLD AWAITS NONFARM DATA ON 07/03 – WILL IT HIT A NEW ATH OR CONTINUE ITS RETRACEMENT?
📌 Market Overview
The global financial markets are on high alert as all eyes turn to the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report – the most anticipated economic data of the month.
🔥 Geopolitical Tensions & Their Impact on Gold & USD (DXY):
US tariff policies against neighboring countries and China continue to fuel uncertainty.
DXY remains highly volatile, directly influencing Gold’s price movements.
Investors worldwide are waiting for NFP results to determine whether Gold will break to new all-time highs (ATH) or undergo another correction.
⚡ Expected Price Volatility:
Currently, Gold is trading sideways within a broad range of 2929 - 2892, holding this structure since the start of the week. Based on previous Nonfarm releases, Gold is expected to move 45 - 50 points today, possibly even 60 points! This presents high-profit potential for traders ready to react to a breakout.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels – Watch for the Breakout!
🔺 Key Resistance: 2920 - 2928 - 2943 - 2954
🔻 Key Support: 2892 - 2884 - 2872 - 2859 - 2838
🚀 Today's Game Plan:
Gold is still consolidating sideways, with no clear breakout yet.
Wait for a breakout confirmation, then follow the momentum.
I will update fresh insights right before the Nonfarm release for a more precise strategy.
🎯 Trading Strategy for the Day
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2874 - 2872
❌ SL: 2868
🎯 TP: 2878 - 2882 - 2886 - 2890 - 2895 - 2900
🔴 SELL ZONE: 2952 - 2954
❌ SL: 2958
🎯 TP: 2948 - 2944 - 2940 - 2935 - 2930
📌 Important Reminders
💥 Nonfarm will trigger extreme volatility today – expect strong liquidity grabs!
✔ Stick to TP/SL to protect your capital against unexpected market swings.
✔ Wait for the breakout confirmation before entering trades – avoid FOMO!
✔ Control emotions & manage risk carefully – today’s market could be a game-changer!
📢 Are you ready for today’s market action? Stay updated and execute your trades with precision! 🚀🔥
GOLD MAINTAINS UPSIDE MOMENTUM AFTER ADP NONFARM DATA RELEASE🔺 Market Overview:
Gold continues to maintain its bullish momentum, having reclaimed key resistance levels after the ADP Nonfarm report was released yesterday. Despite recent U.S. economic data and the uncertainty surrounding tariff policies, the USD has weakened following a brief recovery over the weekend.
🔺 Current Outlook for Gold:
Given the economic news and the candle strength on the chart, I’m still looking for BUY opportunities in Gold. During the Asian and European sessions, we can anticipate BUY setups early, as Gold could reach the key resistance zones, offering good SELL scalping opportunities just like we saw yesterday at the 2928 - 2926 zone, which resulted in a 150-pip profit.
📊 Market Range Today:
The price range today may be sideways as we await important Nonfarm data tomorrow. Pay close attention to the support and resistance levels.
🔸 KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS
🔺 Resistance Levels:
2928 – 2942 – 2954
🔻 Support Levels:
2904 – 2894 – 2886 – 2874
⌛ TRADING ZONE FOR TODAY
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2886 - 2884
Stop Loss (SL): 2880
Take Profit (TP): 2890 - 2894 - 2898 - 2905
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 2942 - 2944
Stop Loss (SL): 2948
Take Profit (TP): 2938 - 2934 - 2930 - 2925 - 2920
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2954 - 2956
Stop Loss (SL): 2960
Take Profit (TP): 2950 - 2946 - 2942 - 2938 - 2934 - 2930
📌 Final Thoughts & Trading Tips:
Key Levels: The key levels have been noted above. Pay attention to the critical support and resistance zones.
Stay Focused: Today, the market is likely to be in a sideways range, so be patient and wait for confirmation before executing trades.
Nonfarm Data: Keep an eye on important Nonfarm data tomorrow. This could trigger significant price movements.
💡 Reminder: Always follow your TP/SL levels to ensure safe trading and protect your capital. Trade with caution and stay disciplined!