Silver Futures: Navigating the Bullish Breakout
The Silver Futures chart presents a compelling picture, but as we know, navigating the market demands more than just technical analysis. Let's break down what we see:
Bullish Signals: The decisive breakout above the VWAP, coupled with the series of green Heikin Ashi candles, paints a bullish picture. The recent breach of the Base Camp level further strengthens this positive outlook.
VWAP as a Guide: The VWAP is now acting as dynamic support, offering potential buying opportunities on dips. However, remember that even in a bullish scenario, the market can be unpredictable.
Beyond the Chart: While technicals are promising, external factors can sway silver prices. Keep an eye on global economic indicators, geopolitical tensions, and any news that might impact precious metals.
Applying the Wisdom:
Don't Get Complacent: Even with a bullish setup, risk management is paramount. Set stop-losses to protect your capital in case of unexpected reversals.
Stay Informed: Technical analysis is valuable, but it's only one piece of the puzzle. Stay updated on fundamental factors that can influence silver's price trajectory.
Avoid Blind Faith in Tips: This bullish setup might attract stock tips, but remember, no one can predict the market with certainty. Do your own research and make informed decisions.
In Conclusion:
The Silver Futures chart is signaling a potential bullish trend. However, successful trading involves more than just following signals. Combine technical analysis with a keen understanding of market dynamics, risk management, and a healthy dose of skepticism towards "hot tips." This approach will increase your chances of navigating the market successfully, even when faced with its inherent unpredictability.
Disclaimer: This is an analysis, not financial advice. Trading involves risk; conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions
Tradingsignals
Gold Analysis September 19Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices regained positive momentum after yesterday’s pullback from an all-time high and continued their steady intraday gains heading into Thursday’s European session. The US dollar (USD) saw an intraday reversal from a one-week high and now appears to have stalled its recovery from its lowest since July 2023 hit the previous day. This, coupled with concerns over a recession in the United States (US) and China, along with the risk of further escalation in tensions in the Middle East, prompted some safe-haven flows into the precious metal.
With Thursday’s positive move, Gold now appears to have snapped a two-day losing streak, although the possibility of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could limit any further gains. In fact, the US central bank decided to start its policy easing cycle by cutting borrowing costs by 50 basis points on Wednesday. However, the Fed has lowered market expectations for excessive rate cuts in the future. This still supports a modest increase in US Treasury yields, which could limit the USD's losses and limit the gains of the non-yielding yellow metal.
Technical analysis
Gold has recovered very strongly from the Fibonacci retracement level of 2547-2545. At the moment, we need to understand what it wants each session and how it pushes the price. So Gold can absolutely continue to push higher in 3 sessions when Asia and Europe have not had any significant declines. The important price zone is 2588. If this zone breaks when the US enters, do not sell and wait for 2600 SELL to react. It is easy to have a false break, so the beautiful BUY point in the area I determined yesterday at 254x will be held until 263x. Today is a difficult day to trade. If the US session at 19:30 cannot break the 2588 area, it is possible to SELL to the destination area at 2565 - 2545
SELL attention zone 2588-2600-2612-2618
BUY attention zone 2565-2545
HUL showing cup and handle patter breakout on weekly chartsHUL is currently demonstrating a cup and handle pattern on the weekly charts, with a breakout that could potentially propel the stock towards the 4000 level. Traders should keep a close watch on the price action and volume as it approaches and surpasses the breakout point. A sustained move above the handle's resistance will be crucial for confirming the bullish signal and driving the stock towards the anticipated target. Staying tuned to any fluctuations or volume spikes around this level will provide insights into the strength and sustainability of the upward momentum.
Gold analysis September 11Fundamental Analysis The steady rise continued throughout the early part of the European session and took the commodity to a fresh weekly high, with buyers now looking to build on the upside momentum beyond the $2,525-2,526 supply zone. The US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on the gains recorded over the past three days and withdrawn from the monthly top amid dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, in turn, is seen as a key factor driving flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, a weaker risk-on sentiment in general has prompted some safe-haven flows and lifted Gold closer to its all-time high in the last hour. However, bulls may refrain from positioning for any further upside moves and prefer to pause ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures. The key US CPI report will play a key role in investigating market expectations on the size of the Fed's September rate cut and determine the next leg of the directional move for the precious metal.
Technical Analysis Gold's push to 2529 in European trading promises a breakout of all-time highs early today. The current key zone around 2529 in European trading could push prices back to 2540. The top is a push to the psychological port zone which is also the Fibonacci level of 2555. Contrary, if 2029 fails to break, prices could soon push to the 2517 zone before the CPI data and also the US session. and revisit the 2495 support zone and 2555 resistance when the news is released. because if the news pushes up, there will be no good entry to sell until the 2540 and 2555 areas.
Resistance above: 2535 - 2540 - 2550-2555…
Support: 2512 - 2506 - 2499 - 2493 - 2485
SELL 2537 - 2529 Stoploss 2442
SELL 2554 - 2556 Stoploss 2559
BUY 2508 - 2506 Stoploss 2503
BUY 2496 - 2494. Stoploss 2491
AETHER IND : nice turn around from bottom 📈 AETHER IND has shown good accumulation from the bottom with a decent volumes.
🔰 It can give upto 8% to 18% returns in short term. Also able to make a new ATH in near future.
🟢 Range : 975-1000
🎯 Target : 1100 / 1200
🛑 SL : 900 (wcb)
⚠️ Disclaimer : It's not a buy/sell advice. It's a view only for an educational purposes.
Latest gold analysis☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices witnessed an intraday reversal from an all-time high and fell below the psychological $2,500 level after the release of key US monthly employment data on Friday. The mixed US employment report reduced the chances of the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates by 50 basis points, which prompted some cover in the US dollar (USD) prices and weighed on the precious metal.
That said, concerns about a US recession dampened investors’ appetite for riskier assets and acted as a driver for safe-haven Gold prices. Additionally, the lack of progress in ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas became another factor supporting XAU/USD during the Asian session on Monday. This warrants caution for bearish traders amid the prospect of an impending Fed rate cut cycle.
☘️Technical Analysis
Gold is below the 2500 round port level, in fact this port area is no longer strong enough to push gold prices lower. The area of interest in today's European session is around the 2507 Fibonacci 0.5 retracement zone and the 2512 Fibonacci final extension zone. These are two areas of interest for a SELL plan. When 2512 is broken, the downtrend on Friday is reversed. The main candle h4 is broken and ATH comes early this week, the expected level is 255x. The 2331 area is no longer valuable when gold pushes up. The opposite direction is the 2470-2460 2433 area playing an important support role.
🌸Trading signal
SELL zone 2505 - 2507 Stoploss 2511
BUY zone 2484 - 2482 Stoploss 2479
BUY zone 2473 - 2471. Stoploss 2467
SBIN : A perfect breakdown short trade📉 SBIN has depicted a perfect breakdown of rising trend line in the Daily time-frame.
🔰 It's RSI also broke the 40 level in the Daily chart. So, it's a clear trade of short.
🟥 Short : 785-780
🎯 Target : 760 / 730
🛑 SL : above 800
⚠️ Disclaimer : It's not a buy/sell advice. It's a view only for educational purposes.
D P Abhushan : Nice channel Breakout 📈 D.P.ABHUSHAN has broken out the parallel price channel with a huge volume spurt.
🔰 It can rise as the difference of the parallel channel.
🟢 Range : 1450 to 1500
🎯 Target : 1600 / 1700-1725
🛑 SL : 1250 (DCB)
⚠️ Disclaimer : This is not a buy/sell advice. It's a view purely for the educational purposes.
UPL | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈
Price Action Analysis
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
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Revive Traders
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Apollo Tyres Swing Long Setup - Apollo Tyres is currently Trading at 507
- Apollo Tyres has a bullish structure shift and so far making higher highs
- Apollo Tyres looks all set to purge and print candles above 520
- Look to add swing longs in Apollo T when you see it around 499-505
- Keep a wide sl of 3% from your entry and watch it print 1:2 easily
Solana Swing Spot Long Setup - Solana is currently trading at 127.2$
- Solana is at a perfect spot to be accumulated for Spot buys if you are looking to accumulate cryptos that will bounce back first
- Solana is also standing strong because a lot of memes are getting launched on Solana's also making Solana's price less volatile
- Accumulation Zones - 108-125$
- SL - 10-15%
Gold Price Analysis September 6Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buyers for the third straight day on Friday and traded near weekly highs heading into the European session. However, the gains lacked bullish sentiment as investors opted to wait for the release of the key US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before placing any fresh bets. Meanwhile, rising bets for more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September weighed on the US Dollar (USD) for the third straight day and provided some support to the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, a mixed batch of US employment data released this week suggested the labour market is losing momentum and raised concerns about the health of the economy. This, coupled with persistent geopolitical tensions, dampened investor appetite for riskier assets and turned out to be another factor that acted as a driver of safe-haven Gold prices. However, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the two-day uptrend ahead of key US macro data risks.
Technical Analysis
Gold is looking to make an ATH in today’s US session. The re-approach to the 2523 zone in yesterday’s evening session and the liquid pullback to the 2508 zone and back to the top as the European session began have prompted investors to buy to push prices higher in the US session. The key price zone of 2526 on the breakout in today’s European session is definitely a new all-time high for Gold.
Gold will at least reach 2526 or 2533 before a sharp decline. Now the US session begins and gold pushes down first, the US's upward force will be greater and it is possible to reach the sell zone of 254x.
Resistance: 2526 - 2532 - 2542 - 2555
Support: 2493 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440
SELL price zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536
BUY price zone 2499 - 2497 stoploss 2492
BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
BEL : A clear downtrend candidate 📉 BEL has shown a clear trend line break down in a daily time-frame.
🔰 It has broken down with a good short volumes. RSI also broke the 40 levels.
🟥 Short : 290
🎯 Target : 287 / 280
🛑 SL : above 295
⚠️ Disclaimer : it's not a buy/sell advice. It's a view purely for an educational purposes.
Gold Analysis September 5Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices edged up in Asian trade on Thursday. A US jobs report showed on Wednesday that employment fell to a three-and-a-half-year low in July, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further in September, which in turn acted as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. Moreover, concerns about the health of the US economy dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, further supporting the safe-haven precious metal.
However, gold prices lacked strong buying interest as traders appeared reluctant to place strong bullish bets, preferring to wait for key details on the US monthly employment report - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report - due on Friday. Meanwhile, the US economic agenda on Thursday - including the ADP report on private sector employment, the weekly jobless claims and the ISM services PMI - will be looked at for short-term opportunities. However, expectations of the imminent start of the Fed's policy easing cycle could continue to support Gold.
Technical Analysis
Gold is moving back in the sideways range of 2490-2505. After an old liquidity sweep to 2472. The Asian session's upside momentum is not strong enough to break the technical level of 2508. When the European session pushes up to 2508 without breaking through, we can set up a SELL signal at this area. The sell trend may extend further than there is still a way to move up to ATH. Today, when the US session enters, pay attention to the resistance zone of 2512-2514 for a SELL strategy. And the push to the low zone this week and next week could create momentum for the FOMC to push gold to a new ATH.
Resistance: 2505 - 2509 - 2515 - 2524 - 2535
Support: 2491 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440
SELL price zone 2513 - 2515 stoploss 2518
BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
BUY price zone 2480 - 2478 stoploss 2475
EWT – Can Bulls Push NSE JIOFIN to New Highs?Timeframe: Daily
After hitting a low of 202.8, NSE JIOFIN has formed an impulsive cycle. Wave ((2)) has not retraced more than 100% of Wave ((1)). Sub-Wave (3) is a powerful extended wave, reaching 261.8% of the Fibonacci extension of Wave (1). The price has completed Wave (4) at 307, marking an exact 50% retracement of Wave (3).
The impulsive structure is expected to resume following a breakout above the corrective slope. However, if the price encounters strong resistance at the upper channel, there is also a possibility of a triangle formation on the daily timeframe chart. The 337 level will pose a significant challenge for the bulls to overcome.
According to the alternative chart, the price has completed Wave D at 337.95 and has begun forming Wave E. If the price doesn’t break below the low of Wave C, Wave E could alternatively be interpreted as a 1-2 wave formation. If price breaks out 338 , traders can trade for the following targets: 360 – 383 – 405 +. A breakdown of Wave A at 307 will require a reassessment of the entire wave structure
We will update further information soon.
UNO MINDA : Inverse head & shoulder pattern breakout 📈 UNO MINDA is breaking out from the inverse head & shoulder pattern in the daily time frame. It can give Targets 🎯 of the Shoulders & then its Head .
🔰 Uno Minda can rise upto 12% to 24% returns in the short term.
🟢 Range : 1180 to 1200
🎯 Target : 1340 / 1480
🛑 Stop : 1000 (DCB)
⚠️ Disclaimer : It's not a buy/sell advice. It's a view purely for the educational purposes.
RADICO KHAITAN : A symmetrical channel Breakout💡 RADIKO KHAITAN has shown a symmetrical price channel breakout in a weekly time frame.
📈 It has given a very nice breakout that too with much more volume. It can rise till the target of symmetrical price channel range.🚀
🟢 Range : 1880 - 1900
🎯 Target : 2100 / 2300
🛑 Stop : 1600 (wcb)
⚠️ Disclaimer : It's not a buy/sell advice. It's a view purely for the educational purposes.
Bitcoin Worst Case Scenario Setup - Bitcoin is currently trading at 59000$ and we have the August monthly closing tomorrow
- Bitcoin has a Fair Value Gap ranging from 62,500-61,000$
- Bitcoin is currently chopping getting distributed and then showing small recoveries which has changed BTC's trend to bearish more HL HL followed with LL LL
- To flip the current trend we need a strong weekly closing above 67,000$ first
- I have drawn 2 bearish paths which happens to be best possible scenario for BTC, I am being practical and not blindly bullish over Bitcoin
- In trading, you have to consider a lot of uncertainties or else you get thrown out of the market so yes 51-54,000$ will be an important accumulation and longing zone for me to track BTC
Gold price fluctuation analysisFundamental Analysis
Upbeat US growth reports and initial jobless claims have pushed back expectations of a deeper Federal Reserve rate cut in September, weighing on non-yielding gold. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the war between Russia and Ukraine could boost safe-haven demand, benefiting the yellow metal.
Investors will be closely watching US inflation data for further insight into the potential size of the Fed’s rate cut. The core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, is estimated to have risen 2.7% year-on-year in July, up from 2.6% in June. A weaker-than-expected PCE reading could prompt the Fed to start a rate-cutting cycle, acting as a bullish catalyst for XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
Gold is pushing higher in the European session ahead of an all-time high. If the resistance at 2525 is broken before the US session starts, we will see a new ATH around 2450. In the event that gold is pushed below 2525 and the US enters, it could push gold deeper into the current support at 2503-2494 as a hurdle ahead before heading towards 2485 to end a volatile Friday for gold.
Resistance: 2530 - 2535 - 2543 - 2550 - 2558 - 2568
Support: 2513 - 2505 - 2500 - 2494 - 2485 - 2472
SELL zone 2541 - 2543 stoploss 2547
SELL zone 2548 - 2550 stoploss 2554
BUY zone 2509 - 2507 stoploss 2503
BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480
Trading gold signals 28/8☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices lost steam amid a modest recovery in the US dollar (USD) on Wednesday. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could help limit losses. In addition, US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium last week, signaling that it was "time" to start cutting interest rates, could support the precious metal as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets.
Investors will pay closer attention to speeches by Fed officials Christopher Waller and Raphael Bostic on Wednesday for some hints on the path of US interest rates. Attention will also turn to preliminary data on US annualised GDP for the second quarter (Q2) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, due on Thursday and Friday. Better-than-estimated results could lift the US Dollar (USD) and limit upside in USD-denominated Gold prices.
☘️Technical analysis
Gold is retreating from the closing level of 2424, currently gold is approaching the important area of 2509. When breaking this area, lower areas can pay attention to trading in the European session around 2503-2495. Today, the main plan is to wait for buying to break ATH. On the contrary, if the price pushes to 09 and does not break, you can buy in the 09 area. If you cannot break this area in the European session, you can close the order. The candle closes above 2020 after the European session ends, consider finding a recovery point for DCA to buy the target to break ATH.
Wish you a successful transaction.
SELL scalp zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536
SELL zone 2545 - 2547 stoploss 2551
BUY scalp zone 2496 - 2494 stoploss 2490
BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480
Nifty Intraday Levels | 26-AUG-2024#Optionbuyers
#Niftyoptionscalping
1️⃣ Zones you always Like:-
👉Green zone- Institutional support
👉Red zone - Institutional resistance
👉Gap between institutional zones is always of 100 points
👉Zone is created with the help of pivot points and Fibonacci
👉Advance version of price action
👉Trades based on Nifty future chart
2️⃣ Trade Execution:-
👉Trade based on order flow data
👉Timeframe - 1 min and 5 min
👉Risk Reward Ratio always 1:2
👉Strike price always ATM & slightly ITM
👉Maintain Position sizing according to your own method
3️⃣ House Rules in trading:-
👉Sharp at 9:15 AM
👉Priority to risk management
👉Fast execution (morning breakfast)
👉Stop-loss 10 points (strictly)
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